2024 United States presidential election in Rhode Island
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Elections in Rhode Island |
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The 2024 United States presidential election in Rhode Island was held on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Rhode Island voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Rhode Island has four electoral votes in the Electoral College.
A New England state, Rhode Island has not voted for a Republican candidate since 1984, when Ronald Reagan won in a 49-state landslide. It is a deeply blue state, being one of three states (along with Hawaii and Massachusetts) in 2020 to have every county vote for Democrat Joe Biden.
Although Harris won the state comfortably, including every county, this was the closest election in Rhode Island since 1988, as well as the first election since 1936 that the state voted to the right of neighboring Connecticut and the first since 1956 that the state voted to the right of Delaware, Oregon or Washington state.
Primary elections
[edit]Republican primary
[edit]The Rhode Island Republican primary was held on April 2, 2024, alongside primaries in Connecticut, New York, and Wisconsin.
Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bound | Unbound | Total | |||
Donald Trump | 10,898 | 84.5% | 17 | 17 | |
Nikki Haley (withdrawn) | 1,371 | 10.6% | 2 | 2 | |
Uncommitted | 257 | 2.0% | |||
Ron DeSantis (withdrawn) | 178 | 1.4% | |||
Chris Christie (withdrawn) | 154 | 1.2% | |||
Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn) | 40 | 0.3% | |||
Total: | 12,898 | 100.0% | 19 | 19 |
Democratic primary
[edit]The Rhode Island Democratic primary was held on April 2, 2024, alongside primaries in Connecticut, New York, and Wisconsin.
Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Pledged | Unpledged | Total | |||
Joe Biden (incumbent) | 21,336 | 80.7% | 25 | 25 | |
Uncommitted | 3,834 | 14.5% | 1 | 1 | |
Dean Phillips (withdrawn) | 660 | 2.5% | |||
Write-in votes | 593 | 2.2% | |||
Total: | 26,423 | 100.0% | 26 | 8 | 34 |
General election
[edit]Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
Cook Political Report[3] | Solid D | December 19, 2023 |
Inside Elections[4] | Solid D | April 26, 2023 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[5] | Safe D | June 29, 2023 |
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[6] | Safe D | December 14, 2023 |
CNalysis[7] | Solid D | December 30, 2023 |
CNN[8] | Solid D | January 14, 2024 |
The Economist[9] | Safe D | August 20, 2024 |
538[10] | Solid D | August 23, 2024 |
RCP[11] | Solid D | June 26, 2024 |
NBC News[12] | Safe D | October 6, 2024 |
Polling
[edit]Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
MassINC Polling Group[13][A] | September 12–18, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 56% | 43% | 1% |
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Chase Oliver Libertarian |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
University of New Hampshire[14] | September 12–16, 2024 | 683 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 58% | 38% | – | 2% | 0% | 2%[b] |
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Chase Oliver Libertarian |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
MassINC Polling Group[13][A] | September 12–18, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 53% | 40% | 2% | 0% | 1% | – | 4% |
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
University of Rhode Island/YouGov[15] | August 15 – September 8, 2024 | 500 (A) | ± 6.0% | 53% | 27% | 9% | 11%[c] |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
University of New Hampshire[16] | May 16–20, 2024 | 538 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 60% | 40% | – |
John Zogby Strategies[17][B] | April 13–21, 2024 | 398 (LV) | – | 48% | 43% | 9% |
Fleming & Associates[18][C] | September 29 – October 2, 2022 | 402 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 49% | 32% | 19% |
Echelon Insights[19][D] | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 373 (LV) | ± 6.1% | 51% | 37% | 12% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
University of New Hampshire[16] | May 16–20, 2024 | 538 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 52% | 33% | 6% | 1% | 0% | 8% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Embold Research[20][E] | June 5–14, 2024 | 1,450 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 40% | 33% | 12% | 15% |
Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
John Zogby Strategies[17][B] | April 13–21, 2024 | 398 (LV) | – | 40% | 48% | 12% |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Donald Trump
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
John Zogby Strategies[17][B] | April 13–21, 2024 | 398 (LV) | – | 46% | 40% | 14% |
Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Ron DeSantis Republican |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Echelon Insights[19][D] | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 373 (LV) | ± 6.1% | 47% | 36% | 17% |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | '' | 285,156 | 55.54% | 3.85% | |
Republican | 214,406 | 41.76% | 3.15% | ||
Independent |
|
5,045 | 0.98% | N/A | |
Green | 2,900 | 0.56% | N/A | ||
Libertarian | 1,617 | 0.31% | 0.67% | ||
Socialism and Liberation | 1,176 | 0.23% | 0.07% | ||
Party |
|
359 | 0.07% | N/A | |
Write-in | 2,727 | 0.53% | |||
Total votes | 513,386 | 100.00% | N/A |
By county
[edit]County | Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Various candidates Other parties |
Margin | Total votes cast | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
# | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | ||
Bristol | 17,458 | 61.61% | 10,048 | 35.46% | 829 | 2.93% | 7,410 | 26.15% | 28,335 |
Kent | 46,269 | 49.67% | 44,526 | 47.80% | 2,353 | 2.53% | 1,743 | 1.87% | 93,148 |
Newport | 27,332 | 61.26% | 16,027 | 35.92% | 1,259 | 2.82% | 11,305 | 25.34% | 44,618 |
Providence | 150,102 | 55.66% | 112,443 | 41.70% | 7,134 | 2.64% | 37,659 | 13.96% | 269,679 |
Washington | 42,589 | 56.01% | 31,247 | 41.10% | 2,200 | 2.89% | 11,342 | 14.91% | 76,036 |
Totals | 285,156 | 55.54% | 214,406 | 41.76% | 13,824 | 2.69% | 70,750 | 13.78% | 513,386 |
By congressional district
[edit]Harris won both congressional districts.[22][user-generated source]
District | Harris | Trump | Representative |
---|---|---|---|
1st | 60% | 38% | Gabe Amo |
2nd | 52% | 45% | Seth Magaziner |
See also
[edit]- United States presidential elections in Rhode Island
- 2024 United States presidential election
- 2024 Democratic Party presidential primaries
- 2024 Republican Party presidential primaries
- 2024 United States elections
- Party Party of Rhode Island
Notes
[edit]Partisan clients
- ^ a b Poll sponsored by Rhode Island Current
- ^ a b c Poll conducted for Kennedy's campaign
- ^ Poll sponsored by WPRI-TV & Roger Williams University
- ^ a b Poll sponsored by NetChoice
- ^ Poll sponsored by Salve Regina University
References
[edit]- ^ "Rhode Island Presidential Primary". The AP. April 16, 2024. Retrieved April 18, 2024.
- ^ "Rhode Island Presidential Primary". The AP. April 16, 2024. Retrieved April 18, 2024.
- ^ "2024 CPR Electoral College Ratings". cookpolitical.com. Cook Political Report. December 19, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
- ^ "Presidential Ratings". insideelections.com. Inside Elections. April 26, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
- ^ "2024 Electoral College ratings". centerforpolitics.org. University of Virginia Center for Politics. June 29, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
- ^ "2024 presidential predictions". elections2024.thehill.com/. The Hill. December 14, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
- ^ "2024 Presidential Forecast". projects.cnalysis.com/. CNalysis. December 30, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
- ^ "Electoral College map 2024: Road to 270". CNN. Retrieved January 14, 2024.
- ^ "Trump v Biden: The Economist's presidential election prediction model". The Economist. Retrieved August 29, 2024.
- ^ Morris, G. Elliott (June 11, 2024). "2024 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved August 23, 2024.
- ^ "2024 RCP Electoral College Map". RealClearPolitics. June 26, 2024. Retrieved June 26, 2024.
- ^ "Presidential Election Preview 2024". NBC News.
- ^ a b Lavin, Nancy (September 23, 2024). "Harris has 12% lead over Trump among R.I. voters in new poll". Rhode Island Current.
- ^ McKinley, Sean; Smith, Andrew; Azem, Zachary; Keirns, Tracy (September 18, 2024). "Harris Seen as Debate Victor, Holds Comfortable Lead Over Trump in Rhode Island". University of New Hampshire. Retrieved September 19, 2024.
- ^ "The Rhode Island Survey Initiative, 2024" (PDF). University of Rhode Island. October 15, 2024.
- ^ a b McKinley, Sean; Smith, Andrew; Azem, Zachary; Keirns, Tracy (May 23, 2024). "Biden Comfortably Leads Trump in Rhode Island Despite Low Job Approval". University of New Hampshire Scholars' Repository.
- ^ a b c "Biden Is the Real Spoiler, Kennedy Only Candidate Who Can Beat Trump". Kennedy24. May 1, 2024.
- ^ Nesi, Ted; White, Tim (October 6, 2022). "12 News/RWU Poll: Fung leads Magaziner in race for Congress". WPRI.
- ^ a b Chavez, Krista (September 13, 2022). "New National Poll: 89% of Americans Say Congress Should Focus on Addressing Inflation, Not Breaking Up Tech". NetChoice.
- ^ Nesi, Ted (June 25, 2024). "Poll: Biden holds single-digit lead in RI; McKee job approval slumps to 36%". WPRI.
- ^ "2024 General Election". State of Rhode Island Board of Elections. Retrieved November 22, 2024.
- ^ https://x.com/DrewSav/status/1865553207826567461