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2024 United States presidential election in New York

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2024 United States presidential election in New York

← 2020 November 5, 2024 2028 →
Turnout58.6% (Decrease 11.1 pp)
 
Nominee Kamala Harris Donald Trump
Party Democratic Republican
Alliance Working Families Conservative
Home state California Florida
Running mate Tim Walz JD Vance
Projected electoral vote 28 0
Popular vote 4,619,195 3,578,899
Percentage 55.12% 42.71%


President before election

Joe Biden
Democratic

Elected President

Donald Trump
Republican

New Yorkers voting in a polling location near Lincoln Square

The 2024 United States presidential election in New York was held on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. New York voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of New York had 28 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state lost a seat.[1]

A heavily populated Middle Atlantic state, New York is considered a blue state, not having voted for a Republican presidential candidate since 1984. Though it remained comfortably Democratic, New York was the state that had the biggest Republican swing out of any state in the nation in the 2024 election, with Trump greatly improving his performance by winning 42.71% of the state's vote, compared to 36.75% in the 2016 election and 37.74% in the 2020 election. All counties in the state except for Hamilton and Yates swung towards the Republicans in 2024. New York follows a trend of blue states, such as Massachusetts, New Jersey, Illinois and California shifting red.[2][3]

Polling had indicated a potentially closer race in New York in 2024 than in 2016 or 2020, but Democrats still consistently led by margins well outside the margin of error.[4][5] Nonetheless, Trump's performance in New York was the strongest of any Republican presidential candidate since Vice President George H. W. Bush lost by just 4.1 points in the 1988 election.[6] It is also the first presidential election since 1956 in which New York voted more Republican than Washington state, the first since 1960 when New York voted more Republican than Connecticut, and the first since 1980 when New York voted more Republican than Delaware.

Primary elections

[edit]

Democratic primary

[edit]

The 2024 New York Democratic presidential primary was held on April 2, 2024, alongside primaries in Connecticut, Rhode Island, and Wisconsin.

New York Democratic primary, April 2, 2024[7]
Candidate Votes Percentage Actual delegate count
Pledged Unpledged Total
Joe Biden (incumbent) 288,138 80.7% 268 268
Marianne Williamson 15,573 4.4%
Dean Phillips (withdrawn) 11,309 3.2%
Blank ballots 41,113 11.5%
Void ballots 903 0.3%
Total: 357,036 100.0% 268 38 306

Primary polling

[edit]
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Different
Candidate
Undecided
Siena College[8] Sep 10–13, 2023 804 (RV) ± 4.3% 54% 40% 6%
Siena College[9] Aug 13–16, 2023 803 (RV) ± 4.4% 47% 46% 7%
Siena College[10] Jun 20–25, 2023 817 (RV) ± 3.9% 54% 40% 6%
Siena College[11] May 7–11, 2023 810 (RV) ± 4.1% 56% 40% 4%
Siena College[12] Mar 19–22, 2023 802 (RV) ± 4.6% 43% 51% 7%

Republican primary

[edit]

The New York Republican primary was held on April 2, 2024, alongside the Connecticut primary.

New York Republican primary, April 2, 2024[13]
Candidate Votes Percentage Actual delegate count
Bound Unbound Total
Donald Trump 132,698 81.2% 91 91
Nikki Haley (withdrawn) 21,145 12.9%
Chris Christie (withdrawn) 6,679 4.1%
Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn) 1,667 1.0%
Blank or void ballots 1,311 0.8%
Total: 163,500 100.0% 91 91

General election

[edit]

Only two candidates appeared on the ballot in New York: Kamala Harris (under the Democratic and Working Families Party tickets) and Donald Trump (under the Republican and New York Conservative Party tickets).[14] Robert F. Kennedy Jr. did not appear on the ballot in New York[15] after Judge Christina Ryba of the 3rd New York Judicial District[16] ruled that he falsely listed his place of residence as Katonah, New York but actually lived in Los Angeles.[17]

The state authorized votes for 12 write-in candidates:[18]

These electors were nominated by each party in order to vote in the Electoral College should their candidate win the state:[21]

Kamala Harris and
Tim Walz
Democratic Party
Working Families Party
Donald Trump and
JD Vance
Republican Party
Conservative Party
Kathy Hochul
Jay Jacobs
Eric Adams
Mohammed Akber Alam
Stuart Appelbaum
Byron Brown
Mario Cliento
Michelle Crentsil
Antonio Delgado
Thomas DiNapoli
Hazel Dukes
Thomas J. Garry
Vanessa Gibson
George Gresham
Carl Heastie
Letitia James
Gary LaBarbera
Carolyn Maloney
Luis Miranda
Crystal Peoples-Stokes
Christine Quinn
Katherine Sheehan
Anastasia Somoza
Andrea Stewart-Cousins
Gerard J. Sweeney
Sandra Ung
Latrice Walker
Randi Weingarten
Edward F. Cox
William Barclay
Bruce Blakeman
Joe Borelli
Karl Brabenec
John Burnett
Joe Cairo
Andrea Catsimatidis
Benjamin Federman
Jesse Garcia
Mark Heberling
Michael Kracker
Michael McCormack
Steven McLaughlin
Tim McNulty
Anthony Nunziato
Rob Ortt
Patrick Reilly
Michael Rendino
Jennifer Rich
Sylvia Rowan
Christopher Tague
Trish Turner
Joseph Whalen
Lee Zeldin
Ralph Lorigo
Donald Mazzullo
Michael Torres

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
Cook Political Report[22] Solid D December 19, 2023
Inside Elections[23] Solid D April 26, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[24] Safe D June 29, 2023
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[25] Safe D December 14, 2023
CNalysis[26] Solid D December 30, 2023
CNN[27] Solid D January 14, 2024
The Economist[28] Safe D June 12, 2024
538[29] Solid D August 23, 2024
RCP[30] Solid D June 26, 2024
NBC News[31] Safe D October 6, 2024

Polling

[edit]

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
Research Co.[32] November 2–3, 2024 450 (LV) ± 4.6% 57% 41% 2%
ActiVote[33] October 7–27, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 59% 41%
Siena College[34] October 13–17, 2024 872 (LV) ± 4.1% 58% 39% 3%
ActiVote[35] September 4–30, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 61% 39%
Emerson College[36][A] September 23–25, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 54% 40% 6%[b]
Siena College[37] September 11–16, 2024 1,003 (LV) ± 4.3% 55% 42% 3%
August 23, 2024 Robert F. Kennedy Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump.
August 22, 2024 Democratic National Convention concludes
ActiVote[38] August 1–21, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 58% 42%
August 19, 2024 Democratic National Convention begins
August 6, 2024 Kamala Harris selects Gov. Tim Walz as her running mate.
Siena College[39] July 28 – August 1, 2024 1,199 (LV) ± 4.0% 53% 39% 8%
July 21, 2024 Joe Biden announces his official withdrawal from the race; Kamala Harris declares her candidacy for president.
SoCal Strategies (R)[40][B] July 18–19, 2024 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 52% 41% 7%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Cornel
West
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Chase
Oliver
Libertarian
Other /
Undecided
Siena College[37] September 11–16, 2024 1,003 (LV) ± 4.3% 52% 40% 1% 2% 0% 5%
Hypothetical polling with Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent
Cornel
West
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Chase
Oliver
Libertarian
Other /
Undecided
Siena College[34] October 13–17, 2024 872 (LV) ± 4.1% 54% 37% 0% 1% 1% 1% 6%[c]
Siena College[39] July 28 – August 1, 2024 1,199 (LV) ± 4.0% 49% 37% 7% 1% 2% 1% 10%
Hypothetical polling with Joe Biden and Donald Trump

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
SoCal Strategies (R)[40][B] July 18–19, 2024 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 52% 41% 7%
Siena College[41] June 12–13 & 16–17, 2024 805 (RV) ± 4.1% 47% 39% 14%
Emerson College[42][C] May 28–29, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 48% 41% 11%
55%[d] 45%
Siena College[43] May 13–15, 2024 1,191 (RV) ± 3.9% 47% 38% 15%
Slingshot Strategies (D)[44] May 2–3, 2024 1,059 (RV) ± 5.0% 56% 37% 17%
John Zogby Strategies[45][D] April 13–21, 2024 749 (LV) 48% 42% 10%
Siena College[46] April 15–17, 2024 806 (RV) ± 4.1% 47% 37% 16%
Siena College[47] February 12–14, 2024 806 (RV) ± 4.2% 48% 36% 16%
Siena College[48] January 14–17, 2024 807 (RV) ± 4.5% 46% 37% 17%
Siena College[49] November 12–15, 2023 803 (RV) ± 4.6% 46% 36% 18%
Siena College[50] October 15–19, 2023 1,225 (RV) ± 3.4% 46% 37% 17%
Siena College[51] September 10–13, 2023 804 (RV) ± 4.3% 52% 31% 17%
Siena College[9] August 13–16, 2023 803 (RV) ± 4.4% 47% 34% 19%
Siena College[10] June 20–25, 2023 817 (RV) ± 3.9% 50% 28% 21%
SurveyUSA[52][E] November 3–6, 2022 918 (RV) ± 4.1% 46% 34% 20%
Emerson College[53][C] October 20–24, 2022 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 47% 40% 13%
SurveyUSA[54][F] October 14–18, 2022 1,018 (RV) ± 4.4% 42% 37% 21%
Emerson College[55] September 4–6, 2022 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 53% 37% 10%
SurveyUSA[56][E] August 17–21, 2022 715 (LV) ± 4.6% 49% 29% 22%
McLaughlin & Associates (R)[57] August 7–9, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 52% 40% 8%

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent
Cornel
West
Independent
Other /
Undecided
Siena College[47] February 12–14, 2024 806 (RV) ± 4.2% 42% 32% 13% 6% 7%
Siena College[48] January 14–17, 2024 807 (RV) ± 4.5% 41% 32% 13% 3% 11%
Siena College[49] November 12–15, 2023 803 (RV) ± 4.6% 37% 28% 18% 5% 11%
Siena College[50] October 15–19, 2023 1,225 (RV) ± 3.4% 38% 31% 13% 5% 12%

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent
Cornel
West
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Other /
Undecided
Emerson College[42][C] May 28–29, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 44% 38% 6% 2% 1% 9%
Hypothetical polling with other candidates

Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent
Other /
Undecided
John Zogby Strategies[45][D] April 13–21, 2024 749 (LV) 44% 44% 12%

Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Donald Trump

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
John Zogby Strategies[45][D] April 13–21, 2024 749 (LV) 45% 39% 16%

Results

[edit]
2024 United States presidential election in New York[58]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic 4,341,375 51.80% Decrease 4.58%
Working Families 277,820 3.32% Decrease 1.16%
Total 4,619,195 55.12% Decrease 5.75%
Republican 3,257,166 38.87% Increase 4.57%
Conservative 321,733 3.84% Increase 0.40%
Total 3,578,899 42.71% Increase 4.97%
Green
46,698 0.56% Increase0.18%
Write-in 135,666 1.62% N/A
Total votes 8,380,458 100.00% N/A

By county

[edit]
County Kamala Harris
Democratic
Donald Trump
Republican
Various candidates
Other parties
Margin Total votes cast
# % # % # % # %
Albany 92,589 61.32% 54,560 36.13% 3,856 2.55% 38,029 25.19% 151,005
Allegany 5,483 27.88% 13,826 70.29% 360 1.83% -8,343 -42.41% 19,669
Bronx 261,670 71.23% 98,174 26.73% 7,502 2.04% 163,496 44.50% 367,346
Broome 45,142 49.16% 44,763 48.75% 1,918 2.09% 379 0.41% 91,823
Cattaraugus 11,424 33.09% 22,586 65.42% 515 1.49% -11,162 -32.33% 34,525
Cayuga 15,772 42.88% 20,482 55.68% 531 1.44% -4,710 -12.80% 36,785
Chautauqua 22,085 38.39% 34,528 60.03% 908 1.58% -12,443 -21.64% 57,521
Chemung 15,572 40.98% 21,861 57.52% 570 1.50% -6,289 -16.54% 38,003
Chenango 8,177 35.90% 14,294 62.76% 305 1.34% -6,117 -26.86% 22,776
Clinton 17,478 48.23% 18,247 50.35% 513 1.42% -769 -2.12% 36,238
Columbia 20,396 56.15% 15,168 41.76% 762 2.10% 5,228 14.39% 36,326
Cortland 10,290 46.08% 11,706 52.42% 334 1.50% -1,416 -6.34% 22,330
Delaware 9,237 39.47% 13,789 58.92% 375 1.60% -4,552 -19.45% 23,401
Dutchess 79,994 51.75% 71,778 46.44% 2,803 1.81% 8,216 5.31% 154,575
Erie 248,651 53.64% 204,774 44.17% 10,154 2.19% 43,877 9.47% 463,579
Essex 9,629 49.31% 9,533 48.81% 367 1.88% 96 0.50% 19,529
Franklin 8,821 44.86% 10,569 53.75% 272 1.38% -1,748 -8.89% 19,662
Fulton 7,666 31.69% 16,237 67.12% 288 1.19% -8,571 -35.43% 24,191
Genesee 9,367 32.50% 18,997 65.91% 457 1.59% -9,630 -33.41% 28,821
Greene 10,436 40.63% 14,702 57.23% 550 2.14% -4,266 -16.60% 25,688
Hamilton 1,211 35.18% 2,223 64.58% 8 0.23% -1,012 -29.40% 3,442
Herkimer 9,110 31.39% 19,557 67.38% 357 1.23% -10,447 -35.99% 29,024
Jefferson 16,326 37.69% 26,417 60.99% 568 1.31% -10,091 -23.30% 43,311
Kings 601,265 69.76% 233,964 27.14% 26,681 3.10% 367,301 42.62% 861,910
Lewis 3,600 27.18% 9,353 70.61% 293 2.21% -5,753 -43.43% 13,246
Livingston 12,148 38.61% 18,780 59.69% 533 1.69% -6,632 -21.08% 31,461
Madison 14,629 42.69% 19,025 55.52% 611 1.78% -4,396 -12.83% 34,265
Monroe 214,757 58.30% 145,940 39.62% 7,646 2.08% 68,817 18.68% 368,343
Montgomery 7,356 35.16% 13,286 63.50% 280 1.34% -5,930 -28.34% 20,922
Nassau 338,424 46.84% 368,117 50.94% 16,045 2.22% -29,693 -4.10% 722,586
New York 533,782 80.08% 113,921 17.09% 18,896 2.83% 419,861 62.99% 666,599
Niagara 43,438 41.94% 58,678 56.65% 1,457 1.41% -15,240 -14.71% 103,573
Oneida 39,415 38.82% 60,687 59.77% 1,425 1.40% -21,272 -20.95% 101,527
Onondaga 133,155 57.47% 93,916 40.53% 4,636 2.00% 39,239 16.94% 231,707
Ontario 29,520 48.54% 30,221 49.69% 1,073 1.76% -701 -1.15% 60,814
Orange 80,253 44.96% 94,936 53.18% 3,317 1.86% -14,683 -8.22% 178,506
Orleans 5,366 29.32% 12,659 69.17% 276 1.51% -7,293 -39.85% 18,301
Oswego 20,483 37.44% 33,548 61.32% 681 1.24% -13,065 -23.88% 54,712
Otsego 13,031 45.27% 15,256 53.00% 496 1.72% -2,225 -7.73% 28,783
Putnam 23,956 42.46% 31,553 55.92% 912 1.62% -7,597 -13.46% 56,421
Queens 437,282 60.57% 264,628 36.66% 20,027 2.77% 172,654 23.91% 721,937
Rensselaer 39,668 49.74% 38,601 48.40% 1,483 1.86% 1,067 1.34% 79,752
Richmond 69,345 34.40% 128,151 63.57% 4,088 2.03% -58,806 -29.17% 201,584
Rockland 65,880 43.27% 83,543 54.87% 2,826 1.86% -17,663 -11.60% 152,249
St. Lawrence 18,010 40.43% 25,919 58.18% 620 1.39% -7,909 -17.75% 44,549
Saratoga 66,321 49.93% 63,940 48.14% 2,556 1.92% 2,381 1.79% 132,817
Schenectady 39,733 54.35% 31,975 43.73% 1,404 1.92% 7,758 10.62% 73,112
Schoharie 5,547 34.18% 10,423 64.22% 261 1.61% -4,876 -30.04% 16,231
Schuyler 3,736 39.00% 5,717 59.68% 126 1.32% -1,981 -20.68% 9,579
Seneca 6,610 43.41% 8,379 55.03% 238 1.56% -1,769 -11.62% 15,227
Steuben 15,413 33.64% 29,777 64.98% 632 1.38% -14,364 -31.34% 45,822
Suffolk 341,812 44.32% 417,549 54.14% 11,852 1.54% -75,737 -9.82% 771,213
Sullivan 14,549 40.82% 20,386 57.19% 709 1.99% -5,837 -16.37% 35,644
Tioga 9,437 37.99% 15,038 60.54% 364 1.47% -5,601 -22.55% 24,839
Tompkins 34,631 73.20% 11,354 24.00% 1,322 2.79% 23,277 49.20% 47,307
Ulster 57,974 57.96% 39,743 39.73% 2,307 2.31% 18,231 18.23% 100,024
Warren 17,099 47.08% 18,606 51.23% 613 1.69% -1,507 -4.15% 36,318
Washington 11,224 38.84% 17,268 59.76% 405 1.40% -6,044 -20.92% 28,897
Wayne 17,056 37.89% 27,286 60.62% 673 1.50% -10,230 -22.73% 45,015
Westchester 287,434 61.82% 167,795 36.09% 9,752 2.10% 119,639 25.73% 464,981
Wyoming 4,929 25.39% 14,112 72.69% 374 1.93% -9,183 -47.30% 19,415
Yates 4,401 41.13% 6,098 56.99% 201 1.88% -1,697 -15.86% 10,700
Totals 4,619,195 55.12% 3,578,899 42.71% 182,364 2.18% 1,040,296 12.41% 8,380,458

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

See also

[edit]

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^ a b c d e f g h i Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ^ "Someone else" with 3%
  3. ^ "Someone else" with 1%
  4. ^ With voters who lean towards a given candidate

Partisan clients

  1. ^ Poll sponsored by WPIX-TV
  2. ^ a b Poll sponsored by On Point Politics
  3. ^ a b c Poll sponsored by Nexstar Media Group
  4. ^ a b c Poll conducted for Kennedy's campaign
  5. ^ a b Poll sponsored by WNYT-TV
  6. ^ Poll sponsored by WHEC-TV & WNYT-TV

References

[edit]
  1. ^ Wang, Hansi; Jin, Connie; Levitt, Zach (April 26, 2021). "Here's How The 1st 2020 Census Results Changed Electoral College, House Seats". NPR. Archived from the original on August 19, 2021. Retrieved August 20, 2021.
  2. ^ Mathis, Joel; published, The Week US (November 13, 2024). "Where did Democratic voters go?". theweek. Retrieved November 14, 2024.
  3. ^ Collins, Keith; Levitt, Zach; New York Times (November 22, 2024). "Trump Gained 95,000 Votes in New York City. Democrats Lost Half a Million".
  4. ^ "Now Deep Blue New York Is Turning Into a Battleground State for Biden". Yahoo News. July 10, 2024. Retrieved July 23, 2024.
  5. ^ "Trump Says He Has 'Good Chance' of Winning New York in November". Bloomberg.com. April 25, 2024. Retrieved July 23, 2024.
  6. ^ Donlevy, Katherine (November 6, 2024). "2024 presidential election marks closest New York has come to turning red in 30 years as Trump support surges in NYC". Retrieved November 14, 2024.
  7. ^ "Certified 2024 Democratic Presidential Primary Results". New York State Board of Elections. Retrieved May 1, 2024.
  8. ^ "Siena College" (PDF).
  9. ^ a b "Siena College Poll Conducted by the Siena College Research Institute August 13 - 16, 2023" (PDF). Siena College. August 22, 2023.
  10. ^ a b "Siena College Poll Conducted by the Siena College Research Institute June 20 - 25, 2023" (PDF). Siena College. June 28, 2023.
  11. ^ "Siena College" (PDF).
  12. ^ "Siena College" (PDF).
  13. ^ "Certified 2024 Republican Presidential Primary Results". New York State Board of Electiom. Retrieved May 20, 2024.
  14. ^ "The Green Papers: New York 2024 General Election". The Green Papers. Retrieved September 16, 2024.
  15. ^ Yilek, Caitlin; Novelo, Allison (August 23, 2024). "Map shows where RFK Jr. is on the ballot in the 2024 election". CBS News. Retrieved August 24, 2024.
  16. ^ "Albay Supreme & County Court". NYCOURTS.GOV. Retrieved August 24, 2024.
  17. ^ "What to know about the ruling that bounced RFK Jr. from the New York ballot". PBS News. Associated Press. August 14, 2024. Retrieved August 24, 2024.
  18. ^ Official Write-In Candidates for President. New York State Board of Elections. October 18, 2024. Retrieved October 30, 2024.
  19. ^ Buchiere, Steve (July 21, 2022). "Andrew 'King Kong' O'Donnell hopes to climb to heights of NY government". Finger Lakes Times. Retrieved December 17, 2024.
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  22. ^ "2024 CPR Electoral College Ratings". cookpolitical.com. Cook Political Report. December 19, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
  23. ^ "Presidential Ratings". insideelections.com. Inside Elections. April 26, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
  24. ^ "2024 Electoral College ratings". centerforpolitics.org. University of Virginia Center for Politics. June 29, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
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  26. ^ "2024 Presidential Forecast". projects.cnalysis.com/. CNalysis. December 30, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
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  28. ^ "Trump v Biden: The Economist's presidential election prediction model". The Economist. Retrieved June 12, 2024.
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  31. ^ "Presidential Election Preview 2024". NBC News.
  32. ^ Canseco, Mario (November 4, 2024). "Battleground States Remain Closely Contested in U.S. Race". Research Co.
  33. ^ Allis, Victor (October 28, 2024). "Harris leads in New York". ActiVote.
  34. ^ a b "Siena College Poll Conducted by the Siena College Research Institute October 13-17, 2024" (PDF). Siena College. October 22, 2024.
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