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2024 United States presidential election in Iowa

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Main article: 2024 United States presidential election
2024 United States presidential election in Iowa
← 2020 November 5, 2024 2028 →
Turnout74.18% (Decrease1.59 pp)
 
Nominee Donald Trump Kamala Harris
Party Republican Democratic
Home state Florida California
Running mate JD Vance Tim Walz
Electoral vote 6 0
Popular vote 927,019 707,278
Percentage 55.73% 42.52%
President before election

Joe Biden
Democratic

Elected President

Donald Trump
Republican

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The 2024 United States presidential election in Iowa was held on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Iowa voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Iowa has six electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.[1]

For most of the race Iowa was expected to be a safe red state in 2024.[2] A poll performed by Selzer and Co. and published by The Des Moines Register on November 2 claimed Harris to be up by 3%, leading some to predict a far closer race than initially expected.[3][4][5] Selzer retired from polling following the election, a decision she claimed she had made the year before.[6][7]

Despite some polls predicting the state could be a very narrow win for Trump or even a flip for Harris, Donald Trump won the state in a landslide, winning the state by 13.2 percentage points, the widest margin for any candidate since 1972.[8][9]

Caucuses

[edit]

Democratic caucuses

[edit]
Main article: 2024 Iowa Democratic presidential caucuses

During the Iowa Democratic caucuses, in-person caucusing focusing only on party business was held on January 15. Voting on candidates was done exclusively via mail-in ballots from January 12 until Super Tuesday, March 5, 2024. This was the result of a compromise between the Iowa Democratic Party and the Democratic National Committee (DNC). Iowa traditionally holds its race first during the presidential primary and caucuses season, but the DNC originally wanted South Carolina to instead hold its race first on February 3.[10]

Iowa Democratic caucus, January 12 – March 5, 2024[11]
Candidate Votes Percentage Actual delegate count
Pledged Unpledged Total
Joe Biden (incumbent) 12,337 90.37% 40 40
Uncommitted 614 4.50% 0 0
Dean Phillips 394 2.89% 0 0
Marianne Williamson[a] 307 2.25% 0 0
Total: 13,652 100.00% 40 6 46

Republican caucuses

[edit]
Main article: 2024 Iowa Republican presidential caucuses

The Iowa Republican caucuses were held on January 15, 2024, the first-in-the-nation nomination contest of the 2024 Republican primaries. Former president Donald Trump won the primary with the largest margin of victory for a non-incumbent in the Iowa caucuses. Trump's overwhelming victory in the state established his position early as the frontrunner.

Popular vote share by county
  Trump
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  Haley
  •   30–40%
Iowa Republican precinct caucuses, January 15, 2024[12]
Candidate Votes Percentage Actual delegate count
Bound Unbound Total
Donald Trump 56,243 51.00% 20 0 20
Ron DeSantis 23,491 21.30% 9 0 9
Nikki Haley 21,027 19.07% 8 0 8
Vivek Ramaswamy 8,430 7.64% 3 0 3
Ryan Binkley 768 0.70% 0 0 0
Asa Hutchinson 188 0.17% 0 0 0
Other 90 0.08% 0 0 0
Chris Christie (withdrawn) 35 0.03% 0 0 0
Total: 110,272 100.00% 40 0 40

Libertarian caucuses

[edit]
Main article: 2024 Iowa Libertarian presidential caucuses

The Iowa Libertarian caucuses were held on January 15, 2024, its first as a recognized party in the state.[13] 2022 U.S. Senate candidate Chase Oliver from Georgia won the non-binding preferential vote with 42.7% of the vote.[14]

2024 Iowa Libertarian presidential caucuses[15]
Candidate Votes Percentage
Chase Oliver 38 42.70
Michael Rectenwald 15 16.85
Mike ter Maat 12 13.48
Joshua Smith 12 13.48
Vivek Ramaswamy 4 4.49
Mario Perales 2 2.25
Robert Sansone 2 2.25
Jacob Hornberger 1 1.12
Lars Mapstead 1 1.12
Art Olivier 1 1.12
None of the above 1 1.12
Total 89 100.00

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[16] Likely R November 4, 2024
Inside Elections[17] Tilt R November 4, 2024
Sabato's Crystal Ball[18] Likely R November 4, 2024
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[19] Likely R November 3, 2024
CNalysis[20] Tilt R November 4, 2024
CNN[21] Solid R November 3, 2024
The Economist[22] Safe R November 3, 2024
538[23] Likely R November 3, 2024
NBC News[24] Solid R November 3, 2024
Split Ticket[25] Lean R November 2, 2024

Polling

[edit]

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation 		Dates
administered 		Dates
updated 		Kamala
Harris
Democratic 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Other /
Undecided
[b] 		Margin
270ToWin October 2 – November 4, 2024 November 4, 2024 45.3% 50.0% 4.7% Trump +4.7%
Silver Bulletin through November 3, 2024 November 4, 2024 45.4% 49.8% 4.8% Trump +4.4%
Average 45.4% 49.9% 4.7% Trump +4.5%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Kamala
Harris
Democratic 		Other /
Undecided
InsiderAdvantage (R)[26] November 2–3, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 52% 46% 2%[d]
SoCal Strategies (R)[27][A] November 2–3, 2024 501 (RV) ± 4.4% 50% 43% 7%
435 (LV) 52% 44% 4%
Emerson College[28][B] November 1–2, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.4% 53% 43% 4%[e]
54%[f] 45% 1%[e]
Cygnal (R)[29][C] September 27–28, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 51% 45% 4%

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Kamala
Harris
Democratic 		Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent 		Chase
Oliver
Libertarian 		Other /
Undecided
Selzer & Co.[30][D] October 28–31, 2024 808 (LV) ± 3.4% 44% 47% 3% 0% 6%[g]
Selzer & Co.[31][D] September 8–11, 2024 656 (LV) ± 3.8% 47% 43% 6% 1% 3%[e]
Hypothetical polling with Donald Trump and Joe Biden

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Other /
Undecided
Cygnal (R)[32][C] July 8–9, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 51% 39% 10%
John Zogby Strategies[33][E] April 13–21, 2024 405 (LV) – 47% 45% 8%
Selzer & Co.[34][D] February 25–28, 2024 640 (LV) ± 3.9% 48% 33% 19%[h]
Cygnal (R)[35][C] February 13–14, 2024 600 (LV) ± 3.9% 49% 40% 11%
John Zogby Strategies[36] January 2–4, 2024 500 (LV) – 51% 39% 10%
Emerson College[37] December 15–17, 2023 1,094 (RV) ± 2.9% 48% 40% 12%
Emerson College[38] October 1–4, 2023 464 (RV) ± 4.5% 44% 34% 22%
Cygnal (R)[39][C] September 28–29, 2023 506 (LV) ± 4.3% 47% 38% 15%
Emerson College[40] September 7–9, 2023 896 (RV) ± 3.2% 50% 39% 11%
HarrisX[41][F] August 17–21, 2023 1,952 (LV) – 47% 41% 12%
Big Data Poll (R)[42] July 9–12, 2023 1,057 (LV) ± 3.0% 42% 36% 22%
Emerson College[43] May 19–22, 2023 1,064 (RV) ± 2.9% 49% 38% 13%
Cygnal (R)[44][C] April 3–4, 2023 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 46% 40% 14%
Emerson College[45] October 2–4, 2022 959 (LV) ± 3.1% 47% 39% 14%
Cygnal (R)[46][C] October 2–4, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 51% 41% 8%
Cygnal (R)[47][C] July 13–14, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 51% 40% 9%
Cygnal (R)[48][C] February 20–22, 2022 610 (LV) ± 3.9% 53% 38% 9%
Selzer & Co.[49][D] November 7–10, 2021 658 (LV) ± 3.8% 51% 40% 9%
Cygnal (R)[50][C] October 18–19, 2021 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 54% 41% 5%

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent 		Chase
Oliver
Libertarian 		Other /
Undecided
Selzer & Co.[51][D] June 9–14, 2024 632 (LV) ± 3.9% 50% 32% 9% 2% 7%[i]

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Cornel West

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Cornel
West
Green 		Other /
Undecided
Emerson College[40] September 7–9, 2023 896 (RV) ± 3.2% 48% 35% 5% 12%
Hypothetical polling with other candidates

Donald Trump vs. Gavin Newsom

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Gavin
Newsom
Democratic 		Other /
Undecided
Cygnal (R)[39][C] September 28–29, 2023 506 (LV) ± 4.3% 48% 34% 18%

Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Robert
Kennedy Jr.
Independent 		Other /
Undecided
John Zogby Strategies[33][E] April 13–21, 2024 405 (LV) – 39% 45% 16%

Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Joe Biden

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Robert
Kennedy Jr.
Independent 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Other /
Undecided
John Zogby Strategies[33][E] April 13–21, 2024 405 (LV) – 50% 39% 11%

Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Ron
DeSantis
Republican 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Other /
Undecided
Big Data Poll (R)[42] July 9–12, 2023 1,057 (LV) ± 3.0% 38% 36% 26%
Emerson College[43] May 19–22, 2023 1,064 (RV) ± 2.9% 45% 38% 17%
Cygnal (R)[44][C] April 3–4, 2023 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 48% 38% 14%

Generic Republican vs. Joe Biden

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Generic
Republican
 Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Other /
Undecided
Cygnal (R)[39][C] September 28–29, 2023 506 (LV) ± 4.3% 49% 33% 18%

Results

[edit]
2024 United States presidential election in Iowa[52]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican
927,019 55.73% +2.64%
Democratic
707,278 42.52% −2.37%
We the People
13,122 0.79% N/A
Libertarian
7,218 0.43% −0.73%
Socialism and Liberation
1,427 0.09% N/A
Independent
424 0.03% N/A
Socialist
  • Bill Stodden
  • Stephanie Cholensky
 361 0.02% N/A
Write-in 6,657 0.40% +0.02%
Total votes 1,663,506 100.00% N/A

By county

[edit]
County Donald Trump
Republican 		Kamala Harris
Democratic 		Various candidates
Other parties 		Margin Total
# % # % # % # %
Adair 2,916 71.47% 1,086 26.62% 78 1.91% 1,830 44.85% 4,080
Adams 1,517 71.05% 576 26.98% 42 1.97% 941 44.07% 2,135
Allamakee 4,857 66.37% 2,350 32.11% 111 1.52% 2,507 34.26% 7,318
Appanoose 4,704 72.55% 1,686 26.00% 94 1.45% 3,018 46.55% 6,484
Audubon 2,214 68.14% 970 29.86% 65 2.00% 1,244 38.28% 3,249
Benton 9,549 65.81% 4,739 32.66% 221 1.52% 4,810 33.15% 14,509
Black Hawk 30,572 48.60% 31,299 49.76% 1,035 1.65% -727 -1.16% 62,906
Boone 9,199 59.72% 5,895 38.27% 309 2.01% 3,304 21.45% 15,403
Bremer 8,799 60.24% 5,571 38.14% 237 1.62% 3,228 22.10% 14,607
Buchanan 6,790 63.16% 3,766 35.03% 194 1.80% 3,024 28.13% 10,750
Buena Vista 4,962 65.84% 2,462 32.67% 113 1.50% 2,500 33.17% 7,537
Butler 5,784 71.89% 2,144 26.65% 118 1.47% 3,640 45.24% 8,046
Calhoun 3,708 72.75% 1,328 26.05% 61 1.20% 2,380 46.70% 5,097
Carroll 7,814 70.14% 3,153 28.30% 173 1.55% 4,661 41.84% 11,140
Cass 5,007 69.38% 2,077 28.78% 133 1.84% 2,930 40.60% 7,217
Cedar 6,390 60.03% 4,075 38.28% 179 1.68% 2,315 21.75% 10,644
Cerro Gordo 12,627 54.85% 9,955 43.25% 438 1.90% 2,672 11.60% 23,020
Cherokee 4,398 72.04% 1,611 26.39% 96 1.57% 2,787 45.65% 6,105
Chickasaw 4,234 67.86% 1,919 30.76% 86 1.38% 2,315 37.10% 6,239
Clarke 3,140 70.10% 1,265 28.24% 74 1.65% 1,875 41.86% 4,479
Clay 6,047 70.80% 2,367 27.71% 127 1.49% 3,680 43.09% 8,541
Clayton 6,255 66.54% 3,017 32.10% 128 1.36% 3,238 34.44% 9,400
Clinton 13,964 58.48% 9,472 39.67% 442 1.85% 4,492 18.81% 23,878
Crawford 4,651 71.06% 1,812 27.69% 82 1.25% 2,839 43.37% 6,545
Dallas 32,374 51.42% 29,402 46.70% 1,185 1.88% 2,972 4.72% 62,961
Davis 3,027 76.56% 878 22.21% 49 1.24% 2,149 54.35% 3,954
Decatur 2,711 72.51% 957 25.60% 71 1.90% 1,754 46.91% 3,739
Delaware 6,984 68.89% 2,978 29.37% 176 1.74% 4,006 39.52% 10,138
Des Moines 10,794 56.65% 7,935 41.64% 325 1.71% 2,859 15.01% 19,054
Dickinson 7,775 69.21% 3,297 29.35% 162 1.44% 4,478 39.86% 11,234
Dubuque 28,224 53.48% 23,705 44.92% 841 1.59% 4,519 8.56% 52,770
Emmet 3,422 71.32% 1,315 27.41% 61 1.27% 2,107 43.91% 4,798
Fayette 6,325 64.23% 3,334 33.85% 189 1.92% 2,991 30.38% 9,848
Floyd 4,744 62.01% 2,782 36.37% 124 1.62% 1,962 25.64% 7,650
Franklin 3,431 70.02% 1,393 28.43% 76 1.55% 2,038 41.59% 4,900
Fremont 2,711 71.44% 1,023 26.96% 61 1.61% 1,688 44.48% 3,795
Greene 3,211 65.79% 1,603 32.84% 67 1.37% 1,608 32.95% 4,881
Grundy 4,998 69.94% 2,019 28.25% 129 1.81% 2,979 41.69% 7,146
Guthrie 4,446 67.95% 1,974 30.17% 123 1.88% 2,472 37.78% 6,543
Hamilton 5,004 65.87% 2,482 32.67% 111 1.46% 2,522 33.20% 7,597
Hancock 4,336 73.01% 1,523 25.64% 80 1.35% 2,813 47.37% 5,939
Hardin 5,790 68.44% 2,553 30.18% 117 1.38% 3,237 38.26% 8,460
Harrison 5,566 69.93% 2,245 28.21% 148 1.86% 3,321 41.72% 7,959
Henry 6,439 67.07% 2,995 31.20% 166 1.73% 3,444 35.87% 9,600
Howard 3,157 65.09% 1,619 33.38% 74 1.53% 1,538 31.71% 4,850
Humboldt 3,770 74.17% 1,236 24.32% 77 1.51% 2,534 49.85% 5,083
Ida 2,771 75.81% 826 22.60% 58 1.59% 1,945 53.21% 3,655
Iowa 6,068 62.95% 3,400 35.27% 171 1.77% 2,668 27.68% 9,639
Jackson 7,074 65.49% 3,567 33.02% 160 1.48% 3,507 32.47% 10,801
Jasper 12,701 62.88% 7,141 35.35% 356 1.76% 5,560 27.53% 20,198
Jefferson 4,353 52.16% 3,788 45.39% 205 2.46% 565 6.77% 8,346
Johnson 26,087 30.11% 58,846 67.92% 1,711 1.97% -32,759 -37.81% 86,644
Jones 6,820 62.11% 3,942 35.90% 218 1.99% 2,878 26.21% 10,980
Keokuk 3,869 75.13% 1,219 23.67% 62 1.20% 2,650 51.46% 5,150
Kossuth 5,983 71.25% 2,284 27.20% 130 1.55% 3,699 44.05% 8,397
Lee 10,152 62.67% 5,659 34.94% 387 2.39% 4,493 27.73% 16,198
Linn 54,237 44.11% 66,358 53.97% 2,364 1.92% -12,121 -9.86% 122,959
Louisa 3,584 69.70% 1,480 28.78% 78 1.52% 2,104 40.92% 5,142
Lucas 3,400 73.18% 1,169 25.16% 77 1.66% 2,231 48.02% 4,646
Lyon 5,899 84.25% 1,023 14.61% 80 1.14% 4,876 69.64% 7,002
Madison 6,864 68.45% 3,008 30.00% 156 1.56% 3,856 38.45% 10,028
Mahaska 8,207 74.98% 2,577 23.54% 162 1.48% 5,630 51.44% 10,946
Marion 13,289 67.92% 5,928 30.30% 349 1.78% 7,361 37.62% 19,566
Marshall 9,815 56.83% 7,134 41.31% 321 1.86% 2,681 15.52% 17,270
Mills 5,671 68.71% 2,456 29.76% 126 1.53% 3,215 38.95% 8,253
Mitchell 3,736 64.74% 1,943 33.67% 92 1.59% 1,793 31.07% 5,771
Monona 3,331 71.84% 1,236 26.66% 70 1.51% 2,095 45.18% 4,637
Monroe 3,104 74.65% 1,002 24.10% 52 1.25% 2,102 50.55% 4,158
Montgomery 3,486 68.70% 1,508 29.72% 80 1.58% 1,978 38.98% 5,074
Muscatine 11,152 56.46% 8,212 41.58% 388 1.96% 2,940 14.88% 19,752
O'Brien 5,998 79.71% 1,428 18.98% 99 1.32% 4,570 60.73% 7,525
Osceola 2,623 81.23% 555 17.19% 51 1.58% 2,068 64.04% 3,229
Page 5,153 70.38% 2,060 28.13% 109 1.49% 3,093 42.25% 7,322
Palo Alto 3,576 71.78% 1,338 26.86% 68 1.36% 2,238 44.92% 4,982
Plymouth 10,661 76.31% 3,104 22.22% 206 1.47% 7,557 54.09% 13,971
Pocahontas 2,727 76.13% 796 22.22% 59 1.65% 1,931 53.91% 3,582
Polk 112,240 43.70% 140,075 54.54% 4,523 1.76% -27,835 -10.84% 256,838
Pottawattamie 26,335 59.10% 17,468 39.20% 756 1.70% 8,867 19.90% 44,559
Poweshiek 5,758 57.51% 4,067 40.62% 188 1.88% 1,691 16.89% 10,013
Ringgold 2,015 75.02% 638 23.75% 33 1.23% 1,377 51.27% 2,686
Sac 4,100 75.09% 1,289 23.61% 71 1.30% 2,811 51.48% 5,460
Scott 45,976 51.01% 42,479 47.13% 1,678 1.86% 3,497 3.88% 90,133
Shelby 4,600 70.71% 1,811 27.84% 94 1.45% 2,789 42.87% 6,505
Sioux 16,053 84.49% 2,626 13.82% 322 1.69% 13,427 70.67% 19,001
Story 21,665 43.74% 26,765 54.04% 1,096 2.21% -5,100 -10.30% 49,526
Tama 5,379 62.43% 3,070 35.63% 167 1.94% 2,309 26.80% 8,616
Taylor 2,381 77.28% 666 21.62% 34 1.10% 1,715 55.66% 3,081
Union 4,044 67.25% 1,874 31.17% 95 1.58% 2,170 36.08% 6,013
Van Buren 2,785 76.83% 778 21.46% 62 1.71% 2,007 55.37% 3,625
Wapello 9,479 65.00% 4,896 33.57% 208 1.43% 4,583 31.43% 14,583
Warren 19,486 59.40% 12,712 38.75% 606 1.85% 6,774 20.65% 32,804
Washington 7,119 61.43% 4,297 37.08% 172 1.48% 2,822 24.35% 11,588
Wayne 2,426 77.66% 643 20.58% 55 1.76% 1,783 57.08% 3,124
Webster 10,850 64.78% 5,641 33.68% 257 1.53% 5,209 31.10% 16,748
Winnebago 3,636 64.45% 1,909 33.84% 97 1.72% 1,727 30.61% 5,642
Winneshiek 6,427 53.65% 5,321 44.42% 231 1.93% 1,106 9.23% 11,979
Woodbury 25,969 60.50% 16,145 37.62% 807 1.88% 9,824 22.88% 42,921
Worth 2,715 63.33% 1,508 35.18% 64 1.49% 1,207 28.15% 4,287
Wright 3,853 67.32% 1,770 30.93% 100 1.75% 2,083 36.39% 5,723
Totals 927,019 55.73% 707,278 42.52% 29,209 1.76% 219,741 13.21% 1,663,506

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

[edit]

By congressional district

[edit]

Trump won all four congressional districts.[53][user-generated source?]

District Trump Harris Representative
1st 53.29% 44.86% Mariannette Miller-Meeks
2nd 54.11% 44.15% Ashley Hinson
3rd 51.33% 46.94% Zach Nunn
4th 64.83% 33.47% Randy Feenstra

Analysis

[edit]

An Upper Midwestern state previously considered a battleground and a bellwether state for decades, Iowa voted significantly more Republican than the nation-at-large in both 2016 and 2020 and is now considered a moderately red state at the federal and state levels. Republican Donald Trump won the state by a comfortable margin of 8.2% while losing nationally in 2020, despite polls indicating a close race. Biden became the first Democrat to be elected president without winning Iowa since Jimmy Carter in 1976. Furthermore, during the 2022 midterms, all three statewide incumbent Republicans (Governor Kim Reynolds, Secretary of Agriculture Mike Naig, and Secretary of State Paul Pate) won reelection by more than 18%, two of three statewide incumbent Democrats (28-year incumbent Attorney General Tom Miller and 40-year incumbent Treasurer Michael Fitzgerald) lost to Republican challengers, and the remaining incumbent Democrat (four-year incumbent Auditor Rob Sand) won by fewer than 3,000 votes, or 0.24%. Republicans also won all four of Iowa's U.S. House seats.[54][55]

Iowa handed Republican Donald Trump a decisive victory, doing so by a margin of 219,741 votes. This election marks the third consecutive cycle in which Iowa voted for the Republican candidate in a presidential election. Notably, Trump improved his margins in 98 of 99 counties and gained significant support across all demographics, performing better in suburban, rural, and urban areas.[56] Trump became the first Republican to win Scott County since Ronald Reagan in 1984. This is the first election since 1968 that Iowa voted to the right of Alaska

See also

[edit]

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^ While voting was ongoing, Williamson suspended and then unsuspended her campaign.
  2. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  3. ^ a b c d e f g h i j Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  4. ^ "Other" with 1%
  5. ^ a b c "Someone else" with 1%
  6. ^ With voters who lean towards a given candidate
  7. ^ "Not sure" with 3%; "Don't want to say" with 2%; "Someone else" with 1%; "Would not vote" with 0%
  8. ^ "Someone else" with 15%
  9. ^ "Someone else" with 3%, "would not vote" with 1%

Partisan clients

  1. ^ Poll sponsored by On Point Politics & Red Eagle Politics
  2. ^ Poll sponsored by RealClearDefense
  3. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l Poll sponsored by the Iowans for Tax Relief Foundation
  4. ^ a b c d e Poll sponsored by the Des Moines Register & Mediacom Iowa
  5. ^ a b c Poll conducted for Kennedy's campaign
  6. ^ Poll conducted for American Free Enterprise Chamber of Commerce

References

[edit]
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  7. ^ "I investigated Ann Selzers poll showing Trump losing". MSN.com. Retrieved November 20, 2024.
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  13. ^ "Libertarian Party of Iowa announces it will hold caucuses Jan. 15".
  14. ^ Bunge, Mike (January 16, 2024). "Libertarian Party of Iowa announces the winner of its statewide Presidential caucus". KIMT 3. Retrieved January 17, 2024.
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  32. ^ "Iowans Seek Protection From Property Taxes and Income Taxes; Grapple with Inflation". Iowans for Tax Relief Foundation. July 15, 2024.
  33. ^ a b c "Biden Is the Real Spoiler, Kennedy Only Candidate Who Can Beat Trump". Kennedy24. May 1, 2024.
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  35. ^ "Poll: Iowans Want Constitutional Protection From Tax Increases". Iowans for Tax Relief Foundation. February 16, 2024.
  36. ^ Zogby, Jeremy (January 5, 2024). "The Zogby Report - 01.05.24 – The State of Nikki Haley and Iowa". John Zogby Strategies.
  37. ^ Mumford, Camille (December 20, 2023). "Iowa 2024 Poll: Trump Maintains Support, Haley Catches DeSantis For Second Place". Emerson Polling.
  38. ^ "Iowa 2024 Poll: Plurality of Independent Voters Disapprove of Gov. Reynolds". Emerson Polling. October 13, 2023.
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