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2024 California's 20th congressional district special election

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2024 California's 20th congressional district special election
← 2022 March 19, 2024 (first round)
May 21, 2024 (runoff)		 November 2024 →
California's 20th congressional district
 
Candidate Vince Fong Mike Boudreaux Marisa Wood
Party Republican Republican Democratic
First round 51,194
42.3% 		31,202
25.8% 		27,337
22.6%
Runoff 50,643
60.6% 		32,952
39.4% 		Eliminated
Fong:      30–40%      50–60%      70–80%
Boudreaux:      30–40%      50–60%      60–70%
U.S. Representative before election

Kevin McCarthy
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Vince Fong
Republican

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The 2024 California's 20th congressional district special election was held on March 19, 2024, with a runoff on May 21 because no candidate received more than 50% of the vote in the first round. It elected a new member of the United States House of Representatives to replace Kevin McCarthy, who resigned on December 31, 2023, following his removal as speaker of the House.[1]

Two Republicans, Tulare County Sheriff Mike Boudreaux and state assemblyman Vince Fong, advanced to the runoff. Boudreaux narrowly edged out the leading Democrat, teacher Marisa Wood, to claim the second runoff spot. Fong won the runoff with more than 60% of the vote[2] and is seeking a full term in November 2024; Boudreaux dropped out of the November race but his name will still be on the ballot.[3]

Background

[edit]
Further information: January 2023 Speaker of the United States House of Representatives election and Removal of Kevin McCarthy as Speaker of the House

At the start of the 118th Congress, Republicans' narrow majority garnered from the 2022 elections allowed McCarthy, the then-leader of the House Republican Conference, to be elected speaker at the start of the session. However, opposition from the far-right Freedom Caucus prolonged the election, leading to fifteen rounds of voting that eventually resulted in McCarthy's election. The caucus continued its opposition of McCarthy during his tenure, threatening a government shutdown following his involvement in negotiations for the federal budget. When McCarthy led the House in passing a continuing resolution, relying on votes from the Democratic Caucus to effectively avert a shutdown, Representative Matt Gaetz of Florida filed a motion to vacate the speakership. On October 3, the motion narrowly passed, and McCarthy was removed from the office of Speaker of the House, the first instance of which in American history.

Two months after his political defeat, McCarthy published an op-ed with The Wall Street Journal announcing his resignation from Congress, highlighting his accomplishments and stating that his work is "only getting started."[4] His announcement came while House Republicans' majority had already lowered since the expulsion of Representative George Santos of New York, making the legislative agenda of the new speaker, Mike Johnson of Louisiana, more difficult to pass. As such, Republicans see both the special and general House elections in 2024 as crucial to maintaining their influence in Congress.[5] Nonetheless, this district is considered safely Republican: McCarthy won 67.2% of the vote in 2022 against Democratic challenger Marisa Wood.

Nonpartisan blanket primary

[edit]

Campaign

[edit]

Vince Fong, an assemblymember who was considered a protégé of McCarthy, announced that he would be running for the seat after initially declining to run. He was deemed ineligible to run in the 2024 Presidential Primary as the deadline already passed (but not ineligible for the special election) by California Secretary of State Shirley Weber due to Fong having already qualified to be on that ballot for re-election in the California State Assembly, which is prohibited by state law.[6][7] Fong sued the state, with Superior Court judge Shelleyanne W. L. Chang ruling in favor of Fong and allowing him to run in the election.[8] In response to the ruling, Weber appealed the ruling and assemblymember Wendy Carrillo introduced a bill that would prevent candidates from running for two elected offices at the same time.[9][10] In January 2024, Weber filed a petition to a state appeals court to erase the ruling and prohibit Fong from running, while assemblywoman Gail Pellerin introduced a bill to bar candidates from filing to run for more than one office during the same election.[11]

Candidates

[edit]

Advanced to general

[edit]

Eliminated in primary

[edit]
  • James Cardoza (No party preference), real estate photographer[14]
  • Anna Cohen (Republican), high school employee[14]
  • Ben Dewell (No party preference), meteorologist and Democratic candidate for this district in 2022[14]
  • David Fluhart (No party preference), cannabis grower[14]
  • Kyle Kirkland (Republican), casino owner and chairman of the board for Fresno Chaffee Zoo[15]
  • Harmesh Kumar (Democratic), psychologist and perennial candidate[14]
  • Marisa Wood (Democratic), teacher and runner-up for this district in 2022[16]

Declined

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Mike Boudreaux (R)

U.S. executive branch officials

U.S. representatives

State legislators

Individuals

Organizations

Labor unions

Newspapers

Vince Fong (R)

Executive branch officials

U.S. representatives

Local officials

Organizations

Labor unions

Marisa Wood (D)

Individuals

Debate

[edit]
2024 California's 20th congressional district special election primary debate
No. Date Host Moderator Link Republican Republican Democratic Democratic
Key:
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Not invited   I  Invited  W  Withdrawn
Mike Boudreaux Vince Fong Andy Morales Marisa Wood
1[39] Feb. 22, 2024 KGET
KGPE 		Brian Dorman
Jim Scott 		YouTube P P P P

Results

[edit]
2024 California's 20th congressional district primary
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Vince Fong 51,194 42.3
Republican Mike Boudreaux 31,202 25.8
Democratic Marisa Wood 27,337 22.6
Republican Kyle Kirkland 5,941 4.9
Democratic Harmesh Kumar 2,885 2.4
No party preference Ben Dewell 1,074 0.9
No party preference David Fluhart 878 0.7
No party preference James Cardoza 298 0.2
Republican Anna Cohen 289 0.2
Total votes 121,098 100.0
By county
County Vince Fong
Republican 		Mike Boudreaux
Republican 		Marisa Wood
Democratic 		Kyle Kirkland
Republican 		Harmesh Kumar
Democratic 		Ben Dewell
Independent 		David Fluhart
Independent 		James Cardoza
Independent 		Anna Cohen
Republican 		Margin Total
votes
# % # % # % # % # % # % # % # % # % # %
Fresno 12,137 34.33 8,927 25.25 8,833 24.98 3,172 8.97 1,371 3.88 473 1.34 234 0.66 123 0.35 85 0.24 23,218 28.79 35,355
Kern 33,430 55.42 13,004 21.56 10,007 16.59 1,645 2.73 1,045 1.73 491 0.81 446 0.74 159 0.26 95 0.16 26,892 33.47 60,322
Kings 2,315 29.10 3,083 38.75 1,676 21.07 512 6.44 129 1.62 52 0.65 33 0.41 31 0.39 26 0.33 4,774 26.26 7,857
Tulare 3,012 18.66 8,407 52.08 3,569 22.11 567 3.51 318 1.97 95 0.59 110 0.68 45 0.28 18 0.11 7,734 25.03 16,141
Total 51,194 42.3 31,202 25.8 27,337 22.6 5,941 4.9 2,885 2.4 1,074 0.9 878 0.7 298 0.2 289 0.2 19,992 16.5 121,098

General election

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Mike Boudreaux (R)

U.S. executive branch officials

U.S. representatives

State legislators

Individuals

Organizations

Labor unions

Newspapers

Vince Fong (R)

Executive branch officials

U.S. representatives

Local officials

Organizations

Labor unions

Polling

[edit]
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Mike
Boudreaux (R) 		Vince
Fong (R) 		Undecided
WPA Intelligence[40][A] April 1–3, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 30% 46% 24%

Results

[edit]
2024 California's 20th congressional district special election
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Vince Fong 50,643 60.58
Republican Mike Boudreaux 32,952 39.42
Total votes 83,595 100.00
By county
County Vince Fong
Republican 		Mike Boudreaux
Republican 		Margin Total
votes
# % # % # %
Fresno 12,328 55.44 9,909 44.56 2,419 10.88 22,237
Kern 31,774 73.21 11,626 26.79 20,148 46.42 43,400
Kings 2,412 50.00 2,412 50.00 0 0.00 4,824
Tulare 4,129 31.44 9,005 68.56 4,876 37.12 13,134
Total 50,643 60.58 32,952 39.42 17,680 21.16 83,595

See also

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Notes

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  1. ^ Numbered as the 21st district prior to the 2010 redistricting cycle and as the 22nd district from then until the 2020 redistricting cycle.
  2. ^ Numbered as the 19th district prior to the 2020 redistricting cycle.
  3. ^ Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  1. ^ Poll sponsored by Fong's campaign

References

[edit]
  1. ^ Karni, Annie (December 6, 2023). "McCarthy says he will leave Congress at the end of the year". The New York Times. Retrieved December 6, 2023.
  2. ^ Blood, Michael (May 21, 2024). "California lawmaker Vince Fong wins special election to finish ousted House Speaker McCarthy's term". Associated Press. Retrieved May 22, 2024.
  3. ^ "Sheriff Mike Boudreaux suspends congressional campaign for Kevin McCarthy's former office". Los Angeles Times. July 1, 2024. Retrieved July 5, 2024.
  4. ^ McCarthy, Kevin (December 6, 2023). "I'm Leaving the House but Not the Fight". The Wall Street Journal. Archived from the original on December 6, 2023. Retrieved December 6, 2023.
  5. ^ Zanona, Melanie (December 6, 2023). "Kevin McCarthy to leave Congress at the end of this year". CNN. Retrieved December 6, 2023.
  6. ^ Nelson, Laura J. (December 15, 2023). "California elections officials say Assemblymember Vince Fong can't run for Congress in Bakersfield". Los Angeles Times.
  7. ^ Robertsno, Nick (December 16, 2023). "McCarthy mentee Vince Fong determined ineligible for congressional candidacy". The Hill.
  8. ^ Mason, Melanie (December 28, 2023). "McCarthy protege can run for Congress after court win". Politico.
  9. ^ Hatch, Jenavieve. "Southern California Democrat introduces bill in 'direct response' to Vince Fong congressional run". The Sacramento Bee.
  10. ^ Gligich, Daniel (January 11, 2024). "Weber files notice of appeal to remove Fong from ballot". The San Joaquin Valley Sun.
  11. ^ Brassil, Gillian (January 24, 2024). "California secretary of state asks court to remove Vince Fong as congressional candidate". The Fresno Bee.
  12. ^ McAndrew, Dom (December 13, 2023). "Tulare County Sheriff announces congressional campaign for McCarthy seat". KGET-TV. Retrieved December 13, 2023.
  13. ^ Mason, Melanie (December 28, 2023). "McCarthy protege can run for Congress after court win". POLITICO. Retrieved December 29, 2023.
  14. ^ a b c d e "CANDIDATES FOR MARCH 19, 2024, SPECIAL PRIMARY ELECTION" (PDF). California Secretary of State's Office. January 26, 2024. Retrieved January 29, 2024.
  15. ^ Daniel Gligich (December 12, 2023). "Kyle Kirkland, Matt Stoll pull papers to run succeed McCarthy". San Joaquin Valley Sun. Retrieved December 18, 2023.
  16. ^ "Mathis won't run in special election for Congress". Porterville Recorder. December 8, 2023. Retrieved December 13, 2023.
  17. ^ a b c d Taub, David (November 30, 2023). "If McCarthy Bails From Congress, These Are the GOP Prospects for His Seat". GV Wire. Retrieved December 7, 2023.
  18. ^ a b Gligich, Daniel (December 13, 2023). "Democrat John Burrows leaves race to succeed Kevin McCarthy". Retrieved December 13, 2023.
  19. ^ Garcia, Luis (December 11, 2023). "Grove out, Fong in: Assemblyman Vince Fong to run for Congress after all". KGET-TV. Retrieved December 11, 2023.
  20. ^ a b c Donegan, John (February 14, 2024). "Kern sheriff and state senator pick Boudreaux over Fong for 20th Congressional District". The Bakersfield Californian. Retrieved February 14, 2024.
  21. ^ Gligich, Daniel (December 8, 2023). "Fong, Mathis bow out of sweepstakes to succeed McCarthy". The San Joaquin Valley Sun. Retrieved December 8, 2023.
  22. ^ a b c d e f g Gligich, Daniel (January 3, 2024). "Boudreaux, Fong kick off endorsement scramble in McCarthy sweepstakes". The San Joaquin Valley Sun. Retrieved January 4, 2024.
  23. ^ "McCarthy's exiting Congress. Here's what would-be successors are saying". The San Joaquin Valley Sun. December 6, 2023. Retrieved December 7, 2023.
  24. ^ a b c d "Ric Grenell, Kash Patel – Trump administration national security alumni – endorse Sheriff Mike Boudreaux for Congress". Valley Voice. January 24, 2024. Retrieved January 24, 2024.
  25. ^ a b "2024 Voter Guides". californiaprolife.org. Retrieved February 20, 2024.
  26. ^ a b "2024 Primary Election - CRA Endorsements for Partisan and Nonpartisan Offices". California Republican Assembly. Retrieved February 11, 2024.
  27. ^ a b c d "CRPA PAC Endorsed Federal Candidates". CRPA. Retrieved February 14, 2024.
  28. ^ a b "2024 JC7 March Primary Endorsements". Teamsters Joint Council 7. Retrieved February 10, 2024.
  29. ^ a b "Eleven candidates want to replace Kevin McCarthy. Here is the best choice". The Fresno Bee. February 4, 2024. Retrieved February 5, 2024.
  30. ^ a b "Former President Donald Trump endorses Vince Fong for California's 20th District seat". ABC30 Fresno. February 20, 2024. Retrieved February 20, 2024.
  31. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r "Fong endorsed by California Republican members of Congress". Ridgecrest Daily Independent. January 31, 2024. Retrieved February 5, 2024.
  32. ^ a b Gligich, Daniel (February 5, 2024). "Major endorsements come in for 20th Congressional District race". The San Joaquin Valley Sun. Retrieved February 6, 2024.
  33. ^ a b Mason, Melanie (December 12, 2023). "'A political dust storm in the Central Valley': McCarthy's succession is getting messy". Politico. Retrieved December 12, 2023.
  34. ^ a b "Election notebook: Fong is endorsed by Taft, Tehachapi, Ridgecrest and Bakersfield mayors". Tehachapi News. January 8, 2024. Retrieved January 9, 2024.
  35. ^ a b "Howard Jarvis Taxpayers Association PAC Endorses Vince Fong for Congress". Ridgecrest Daily Independent. January 25, 2024. Retrieved February 5, 2024.
  36. ^ a b NRA-PVF. "NRA-PVF | Grades | California". NRA-PVF. Retrieved March 1, 2024.
  37. ^ "SBA Pro-Life America's Candidate Fund Endorses Vince Fong for U.S. House". SBA Pro-Life America. Retrieved April 18, 2024.
  38. ^ a b "Trump, Border Patrol endorse Fong". TaftMidwayDriller.com. February 20, 2024. Retrieved February 21, 2024.
  39. ^ Donegan, John (February 22, 2024). "Candidates for California's 20th Congressional District seat face off in debate". The Bakersfield Californian. Retrieved April 26, 2024.
  40. ^ WPA Intelligence
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