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2024 United States Senate election in Wisconsin

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For related races, see 2024 United States Senate elections.
Not to be confused with 2024 Wisconsin Senate election.

2024 United States Senate election in Wisconsin
← 2018 November 5, 2024 2030 →
Turnout60.7% Increase
 
Nominee Tammy Baldwin Eric Hovde
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 1,672,777 1,643,996
Percentage 49.33% 48.48%
County results
Baldwin:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%
Hovde:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%
U.S. senator before election

Tammy Baldwin
Democratic

Elected U.S. Senator

Tammy Baldwin
Democratic

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The 2024 United States Senate election in Wisconsin was held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Wisconsin. Incumbent Democratic Senator Tammy Baldwin won re-election to a third term,[1] narrowly defeating Republican nominee Eric Hovde. Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump carried the state on the same ballot. This was the first time that Wisconsin voted for candidates of different political parties for U.S. senator and president since Democrat Gaylord Nelson was reelected as Republican Richard Nixon carried the state in 1968. The closest of Baldwin's three Senate victories, the race held similarities to Ron Johnson's narrow win in 2022, down to the percentage and raw vote margin by which the incumbents won.

The primary election took place on August 13, 2024.[2] The election was considered essential for Democrats' chances to retain the senate majority in 2024.[3]

Background

[edit]

No Republican has won this senate seat since Joseph McCarthy in 1952, the longest Democratic streak of any US Senate seat in the nation. Incumbent Tammy Baldwin was first elected in 2012, defeating former governor Tommy Thompson by 6 percentage points. She was re-elected in 2018 by 11 percentage points.[4][5]

The race was considered to be slightly favorable to Baldwin, despite Wisconsin's nearly even partisan lean, with most polls showing Baldwin to be the favorite to win.

Wisconsin is considered to be a purple state at the federal level, especially since there are both a Republican and a Democratic senator representing the state. Wisconsin was also a top battleground state in the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections. The state backed the Republican candidate in 2016, and then the Democratic candidate in 2020, both by less than 1% and only a plurality.[citation needed]

Both parties have seen success in the state in recent years. Republicans control both chambers of the Wisconsin Legislature and hold a supermajority in Wisconsin's U.S. House delegation. Republicans also control the state's other senate seat. However, Democrats have seen success in statewide races, including in 2022, where incumbent governor Tony Evers overperformed expectations and won reelection to a second term, despite polls showing his Republican challenger as the slight favorite.[6][7]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Tammy Baldwin

U.S. representatives

Governors

Individuals

Labor unions

Organizations

Fundraising

[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of July 24, 2024
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Tammy Baldwin (D) $36,476,704 $30,268,932 $6,349,965
Source: Federal Election Commission[40]

Results

[edit]
Democratic primary results[41]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Tammy Baldwin (incumbent) 639,049 99.81%
Write-in 1,198 0.19%
Total votes 640,247 100.0%

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]
  • Eric Hovde, bank executive and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2012[42]

Eliminated in primary

[edit]

Withdrew

[edit]

Declined

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Eric Hovde

Executive branch officials

U.S. senators

U.S. representatives

Statewide officials

Organizations

Fundraising

[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of July 24, 2024
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Eric Hovde (R) $16,788,769[a] $13,609,814 $3,178,955
Rejani Raveendran (R) $39,888[b] $38,695 $1,192
Stacey Klein (R)[c] $33,712 $33,712 $0
Source: Federal Election Commission[61]

Polling

[edit]
Hypothetical polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[d] 		Margin
of error 		David
Clarke 		Mike
Gallagher 		Eric
Hovde 		Scott
Mayer 		Tom
Tiffany 		Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[62] December 11–12, 2023 503 (LV) ± 4.4% 52% – 7% 6% – 36%
51% – 10% – – 39%
52% – – 6% – 42%
Public Policy Polling (D)[63] June 5–6, 2023 507 (LV) ± 4.4% 40% 20% 3% – 10% 27%
45% 26% – – – 29%

Results

[edit]
Republican primary results[41]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Eric Hovde 477,197 86.21%
Republican Charles Barman 40,990 7.40%
Republican Rejani Raveendran 34,612 6.25%
Write-in 748 0.14%
Total votes 553,547 100.0%

Independent candidates

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Declared

[edit]

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[67] Tossup October 8, 2024
Inside Elections[68] Tilt D September 26, 2024
Sabato's Crystal Ball[69] Lean D September 25, 2024
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[70] Lean D September 26, 2024
Elections Daily[71] Lean D August 9, 2024
CNalysis[72] Lean D November 4, 2024
RealClearPolitics[73] Tossup September 15, 2024
Split Ticket[74] Lean D October 23, 2024
538[75] Lean D October 24, 2024

Post-primary endorsements

[edit]
Eric Hovde (R)

U.S. Senators

Tammy Baldwin (D)

Executive branch officials

Notable individuals

Organizations

Debates

[edit]
2024 Wisconsin U.S. Senate election debate
No. Date Host Moderators Link Democratic Republican
Key:
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Not invited   I  Invited  W  Withdrawn
Baldwin Hovde
1 October 18, 2024 WMTV Jill Geisler YouTube P P

Polling

[edit]

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation 		Dates
administered 		Dates
updated 		Tammy
Baldwin (D) 		Eric
Hovde (R) 		Undecided
[e] 		Margin
FiveThirtyEight[81] through November 4, 2024 November 4, 2024 49.3% 47.1% 3.6% Baldwin +2.2
Real Clear Politics[82] October 16 – November 4, 2024 November 4, 2024 48.9% 47.1% 4.0% Baldwin +1.8
270toWin[83] October 23 – November 4, 2024 November 4, 2024 48.9% 46.9% 4.2% Baldwin +2.0
TheHill/DDHQ[84] through November 4, 2024 November 4, 2024 48.6% 47.9% 3.5% Baldwin +0.7
Average 48.9% 47.3% 3.8% Baldwin+1.6
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[d] 		Margin
of error 		Tammy
Baldwin (D) 		Eric
Hovde (R) 		Other Undecided
AtlasIntel[85] November 3–4, 2024 869 (LV) ± 3.0% 49% 48% 1%[f] 2%
Research Co.[86] November 2–3, 2024 450 (LV) ± 4.6% 48% 47% 2%[g] 3%
Patriot Polling (R)[87] November 1–3, 2024 835 (RV) ± 3.0% 51% 49% – –
The Trafalgar Group (R)[88] November 1–3, 2024 1,086 (LV) ± 2.9% 48% 48% – 4%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[89] November 1–2, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.4% 47% 48% 3% 2%
AtlasIntel[90] November 1–2, 2024 728 (LV) ± 4.0% 49% 48% 1%[f] 2%
Emerson College[91][A] October 30 – November 2, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.4% 51% 45% – 4%
NYT/Siena College[92] October 25 – November 2, 2024 1,001 (LV) ± 3.4% 50% 46% – 5%
1,001 (RV) ± 3.6% 50% 46% – 4%
Mainstreet Research/FAU[93] October 25 – November 2, 2024 786 (LV) ± 3.6% 47% 45% 3%[h] 4%
798 (RV) ± 3.5% 47% 45% 3%[h] 5%
Morning Consult[94] October 23 – November 1, 2024 541 (LV) ± 4.0% 49% 47% – 4%
AtlasIntel[95] October 30–31, 2024 673 (LV) ± 4.0% 49% 49% 1%[f] 1%
YouGov[96][B] October 25–31, 2024 863 (LV) ± 4.5% 50% 45% – 5%
OnMessage (R)[97] October 29–31, 2024 800 (LV) – 48% 47% – 5%
ActiVote[98] October 6–31, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 54% 46% – –
TIPP Insights (R)[99][C] October 28–30, 2024 831 (LV) ± 3.5% 48% 46% 1% 4%
1,038 (RV) ± 3.5% 47% 43% 3% 7%
Marist College[100] October 27–30, 2024 1,330 (LV) ± 3.4% 51% 48% – 1%
1,444 (RV) ± 3.3% 51% 48% – 1%
Echelon Insights[101] October 27–30, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.5% 49% 48% 1%[i] 2%
SoCal Research (R)[102][D] October 28–29, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 49% 48% – 3%
AtlasIntel[103] October 25–29, 2024 1,470 (LV) ± 3.0% 49% 48% 2%[j] 2%
CNN/SSRS[104] October 23–28, 2024 736 (LV) ± 4.8% 49% 47% 4%[k] –
InsiderAdvantage (R)[105] October 26–27, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 48% 49% 1% 2%
Marquette University[106] October 16–24, 2024 753 (LV) ± 4.4% 51% 49% – –
49% 47% 3%[l] 1%
834 (RV) ± 4.4% 51% 49% – –
50% 46% 3%[l] 1%
Suffolk University[107][E] October 20–23, 2024 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 46% 44% 4%[m] 7%
Emerson College[108][F] October 21–22, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.4% 48% 48% 1%[n] 3%
OnMessage Inc. (R)[109][G] October 19–22, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 48% 49% 1%[o] 3%
Quinnipiac University[110] October 17–21, 2024 1,108 (LV) ± 2.9% 49% 48% 2%[p] 1%
The Trafalgar Group (R)[111] October 18–20, 2024 1,083 (LV) ± 2.9% 48% 49% – 3%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[112][H] October 16–18, 2024 622 (LV) ± 3.6% 45% 44% 4%[q] 8%
The Bullfinch Group[113] October 11–18, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 49% 45% – 7%
AtlasIntel[114] October 12–17, 2024 932 (LV) ± 3.0% 49% 46% 2%[j] 3%
RMG Research[115][I] October 10–16, 2024 787 (LV) ± 3.5% 50% 47% 1%[r] 2%
Morning Consult[94] October 6–15, 2024 527 (LV) ± 4.0% 49% 44% – 7%
Patriot Polling (R)[116] October 12–14, 2024 803 (RV) ± 3.0% 50% 49% – –
InsiderAdvantage (R)[117] October 8–9, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 48% 47% 2% 3%
Emerson College[118][A] October 5–8, 2024 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 50% 46% – 5%
Research Co.[119] October 5–7, 2024 450 (LV) ± 4.6% 47% 43% 1%[s] 9%
Quinnipiac University[120] October 3–7, 2024 1,073 (LV) ± 3.0% 50% 46% 2%[t] 2%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[121][H] September 27 – October 2, 2024 533 (LV) ± 4.0% 47% 42% 4%[q] 7%
The Trafalgar Group (R)[122] September 28–30, 2024 1,083 (LV) ± 2.9% 48% 46% – 6%
ActiVote[123] August 29 – September 29, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 54% 46% – –
NYT/Siena College[124] September 21–26, 2024 680 (LV) ± 4.4% 50% 43% – 7%
680 (RV) ± 4.3% 50% 42% – 8%
Marquette University[125] September 18–26, 2024 798 (LV) ± 4.4% 53% 46% – 1%
51% 45% 2%[u] 1%
882 (RV) ± 4.4% 53% 46% – 1%
51% 45% 2%[u] 1%
AtlasIntel[126] September 20–25, 2024 1,077 (LV) ± 3.0% 48% 47% 3%[v] 2%
BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[127][J] September 19–25, 2024 411 (LV) – 47% 44% 4%[w] 5%
49% 47% – 4%
RMG Research[128][x] September 17–23, 2024 788 (LV) ± 3.5% 51% 45% – 4%
Remington Research Group (R)[129][K] September 16–20, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 49% 47% – 4%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[130][H] September 16–19, 2024 600 (LV) ± 3.7% 46% 41% 4%[y] 8%
Emerson College[131][A] September 15–18, 2024 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 49% 46% – 5%
MassINC Polling Group[132][L] September 12–18, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.8% 52% 44% 1%[z] 2%
Morning Consult[94] September 9–18, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 50% 43% – 7%
Marist College[133] September 12–17, 2024 1,312 (RV) ± 3.5% 52% 46% – 1%
1,194 (LV) ± 3.6% 51% 48% – 1%
Quinnipiac University[134] September 12–16, 2024 1,075 (LV) ± 3.0% 51% 47% 2%[aa] 1%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)/
Impact Research (D)[135][M] 		September 11–14, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 50% 47% – 3%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[136][H] September 6–9, 2024 626 (LV) ± 3.7% 46% 39% 4%[ab] 12%
Morning Consult[137] August 30 – September 8, 2024 638 (LV) ± 4.0% 49% 42% – 9%
co/efficient[138] September 4–6, 2024 917 (LV) ± 3.2% 49% 43% – 8%
CBS News/YouGov[139] September 3–6, 2024 944 (LV) ± 4.0% 51% 43% 2%[ac] 4%
Marquette University[125] August 28 – September 5, 2024 822 (RV) ± 4.6% 52% 48% – 1%
51% 45% 4%[ad] 1%
738 (LV) ± 4.7% 52% 47% – 1%
51% 45% 4%[ae] 1%
YouGov[140][B] August 23 – September 3, 2024 900 (RV) ± 4.1% 49% 41% – 10%
The Trafalgar Group (R)[141] August 28–30, 2024 1,083 (LV) ± 2.9% 50% 44% – 6%
CNN/SRSS[142] August 23–29, 2024 976 (LV) ± 4.4% 51% 45% 3%[af] –
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[143][H] August 25–28, 2024 672 (LV) ± 3.5% 46% 41% 3%[ag] 11%
Emerson College[144][A] August 25–28, 2024 850 (LV) ± 3.3% 49% 48% – 3%
BK Strategies[145][N] August 19–21, 2024 600 (LV) – 49% 44% – 7%
Fabrizio Ward[146][O] August 19–21, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 48% 43% – 9%
TIPP Insights (R)[147][C] August 12–14, 2024 1,015 (RV) ± 3.4% 50% 42% – 8%
976 (LV) ± 3.4% 50% 43% – 7%
The Bullfinch Group[148][P] August 8–11, 2024 500 (RV) ± 4.4% 50% 41% – 9%
NYT/Siena College[149] August 5–8, 2024 661 (RV) ± 4.3% 51% 43% – 6%
661 (LV) ± 4.3% 51% 44% – 5%
BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[150][J] July 26– August 2, 2024 404 (LV) – 50% 43% – 7%
Marquette University[151] July 24 – August 1, 2024 877 (RV) ± 4.6%
47% 39% – 14%
53%[ah] 46% – 1%
50% 44% 4%[ai] 1%
801 (LV) ± 4.8% 48% 41% – 11%
52%[ah] 47% – 1%
51% 45% 4%[ai] 1%
Fox News[152] July 22–24, 2024 1,046 (RV) ± 3.0% 54% 43% – 3%
Emerson College[153][Q] July 22–23, 2024 845 (RV) ± 3.3% 49% 43% – 8%
July 21, 2024 Joe Biden withdraws from the Presidential Race
YouGov[154][B] July 4–12, 2024 900 (RV) ± 4.1% 50% 43% 1%[aj] 7%
831 (LV) – 50% 44% 1%[ak] 5%
Public Policy Polling (D)[155][R] July 10–11, 2024 548 (RV) – 51% 43% – 6%
North Star Opinion Research[156][S] July 6–10, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 49% 41% – 10%
SoCal Research (R)[157][D] June 30 – July 2, 2024 490 (RV) – 50% 38% – 12%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/
Impact Research (D)[158][M] 		June 28 – July 2, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 50% 45% – 6%
Remington Research Group (R)[159][K] June 29 – July 1, 2024 593 (LV) ± 4.0% 48% 48% – 3%
Marquette University[160] June 12–20, 2024 871 (RV) ± 4.6% 45% 38% – 17%
52%[ah] 47% – –
784 (LV) ± 4.9% 49% 40% – 11%
52%[ah] 47% – –
Emerson College[161][A] June 13–18, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 46% 44% – 10%
Mainstreet Research/FAU[162] May 30–31, 2024 338 (RV) ± 5.3% 43% 38% 8%[al] 11%
290 (LV) ± 5.3% 47% 39% 7%[am] 7%
KAConsulting (R)[163][T] May 15–19, 2024 600 (RV) – 46% 42% – 12%
BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[164][J] May 6–13, 2024 503 (LV) ± 4.4% 49% 37% – 14%
NYT/Siena College[165] April 28 – May 9, 2024 614 (RV) ± 4.0% 49% 40% – 10%
614 (LV) ± 4.0% 49% 42% – 9%
Quinnipiac University[166] May 2–6, 2024 1,457 (RV) ± 2.6% 54% 42% 2%[an] 2%
Emerson College[167][A] April 25–29, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 46% 43% – 11%
CBS News/YouGov[168] April 19–25, 2024 1,245 (LV) ± 3.3% 48% 41% 3%[ao] 8%
Marquette University[169] April 3–10, 2024 814 (RV) ± 4.8% 52% 47% – 1%
736 (LV) ± 5.0% 50% 50% – –
Emerson College[170] March 14–18, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 45% 42% – 14%
Emerson College[171] February 20–24, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 46% 39% – 15%
Hypothetical polling

Tammy Baldwin vs. Mike Gallagher

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[d] 		Margin
of error 		Tammy
Baldwin (D) 		Mike
Gallagher (R) 		Undecided
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)[172][U] May 23–25, 2023 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 47% 46% 7%

Generic Democrat vs. generic Republican

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[d] 		Margin
of error 		Generic
Democrat 		Generic
Republican 		Undecided
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)[172][U] May 23–25, 2023 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 42% 46% 12%

Tammy Baldwin vs. generic opponent

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[d] 		Margin
of error 		Tammy
Baldwin (D) 		Generic
Opponent 		Undecided
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)[172][U] May 23–25, 2023 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 40% 43% 17%

Fundraising

[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of November 25, 2024
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Tammy Baldwin (D) $59,479,375 $59,274,659 $346,908
Eric Hovde (R) $31,958,427[ap] $31,600,367 $358,060
Phil Anderson (DTC) $52,738 $52,540 $198
Thomas Leager (AF) $23,856 $23,721 $175
Source: Federal Election Commission[40]

Results

[edit]
2024 United States Senate election in Wisconsin[173]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic Tammy Baldwin (incumbent) 1,672,777 49.33% −6.03%
Republican Eric Hovde 1,643,996 48.48% +3.95%
Disrupt the Corruption Phil Anderson 42,315 1.25% N/A
America First Thomas Leager 28,751 0.85% N/A
Write-in 2,948 0.09% -0.02%
Total votes 3,390,787 100.0%
Democratic hold

By congressional district

[edit]

Despite losing the state, Hovde won 6 of 8 congressional districts.[174]

District Baldwin Hovde Representative
1st 47% 50% Bryan Steil
2nd 70% 29% Mark Pocan
3rd 47% 51% Derrick Van Orden
4th 75% 22% Gwen Moore
5th 38% 60% Scott L. Fitzgerald
6th 41% 56% Glenn Grothman
7th 39% 59% Tom Tiffany
8th 42% 56% Tony Wied

See also

[edit]

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^ $13,000,000 of this total was self-funded by Hovde
  2. ^ $10,000 of this total was self-funded by Raveendran
  3. ^ Withdrew
  4. ^ a b c d e Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  5. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  6. ^ a b c "Blank/Null/Won't vote" with 1%
  7. ^ "Some other candidate" with 2%
  8. ^ a b "Another candidate" with 3%
  9. ^ "I Did Note Vote For This Office" with 1%
  10. ^ a b "Blank/Null/Won't vote" with 1%; "Other" with 1%
  11. ^ "Other" with 3%; "Neither" with 1%
  12. ^ a b Anderson (I) with 2%; Leager (I) with 1%
  13. ^ Leager (I) with 2%; Anderson (I) with 1%; "Refused" with 1%
  14. ^ "Someone else" with 1%
  15. ^ Anderson (I) with 1%
  16. ^ "Someone else" with 1%; "Refused" with 1%
  17. ^ a b "Won't vote if these are the candidates" with 2%; Leager (I) and Anderson (I) with 1%
  18. ^ "Would not vote" with 1%
  19. ^ "Some other candidate" with 1%
  20. ^ "Wouldn't vote" with 1%; "Refused" with 1%
  21. ^ a b Leager (I) and Anderson (I) with 1%
  22. ^ "Blank/Null/Won't vote" with 2%; "Other" with 1%
  23. ^ "Someone else" with 2%; "Would not vote" with 2%
  24. ^ Poll sponsored by Napolitan News
  25. ^ "Won't vote if these are the candidates", "Other", Leager (I) and Anderson (I) with 1%
  26. ^ "Prefer not to say" with 1%
  27. ^ "Refused" and "Wouldn't Vote" with 1%
  28. ^ "Won't vote if these are the candidates" with 2%; Leager (I) and Anderson (I) with 1%
  29. ^ "Someone else" with 2%
  30. ^ Leager (I) and Anderson (I) with 2%
  31. ^ Leager (I) and Anderson (I) with 2%
  32. ^ "Other" with 2%; "Neither" with 1%
  33. ^ Leager with 1%; Anderson with 1%; "Won't vote if these are the candidates" with 1%
  34. ^ a b c d With voters who lean towards a given candidate
  35. ^ a b Anderson with 2%; Leager with 2%
  36. ^ "Other" with 1%
  37. ^ "Other" with 1%
  38. ^ "Another candidate" with 8%
  39. ^ "Another candidate" with 7%
  40. ^ "Wouldn't vote" with 1%; "Refused" with 1%
  41. ^ "Someone else" with 3%
  42. ^ $20,000,000 of this total was self-funded by Hovde

Partisan clients

  1. ^ a b c d e f Poll sponsored by The Hill
  2. ^ a b c Poll conducted for The Times, Stanford University, Arizona State University, and Yale University
  3. ^ a b Poll sponsored by American Greatness
  4. ^ a b Poll sponsored by On Point Politics.
  5. ^ Poll sponsored by USA Today
  6. ^ Poll sponsored by RealClearWorld
  7. ^ Poll sponsored by Senate Opportunity Fund, a super PAC that primarily supports Republican candidates in U.S. Senate races
  8. ^ a b c d e Poll sponsored by The Daily Telegraph
  9. ^ Poll sponsored by The Napolitan Institute
  10. ^ a b c Poll sponsored by The Cook Political Report
  11. ^ a b Poll sponsored by American Fuel & Petrochemical Manufacturers, a group that supports Republicans.
  12. ^ Poll sponsored by Wisconsin Watch
  13. ^ a b Poll sponsored by AARP
  14. ^ Poll sponsored by Platform Communications
  15. ^ Poll sponsored by Pinpoint Policy Institute
  16. ^ Poll sponsored by The Independent Center
  17. ^ Poll sponsored by The Hill and Nexstar
  18. ^ Poll sponsored by the Progress Action Fund, which is a sponsor of the Democratic Party.
  19. ^ Poll sponsored by American Greatness, a conservative group
  20. ^ Poll conducted for Vapor Technology Association
  21. ^ a b c Poll sponsored by the National Republican Senatorial Committee, which supports Gallagher.

References

[edit]
  1. ^ a b Andrea, Lawrence (April 12, 2023). "Tammy Baldwin launches re-election bid, setting up 2024 Senate battle in Wisconsin". Milwaukee Journal Sentinel. Retrieved April 12, 2023.
  2. ^ "2024 State Primary Election Dates". www.ncsl.org. Retrieved May 13, 2023.
  3. ^ "The 10 Senate seats most likely to flip in 2024". CNN. July 20, 2024.
  4. ^ "Wisconsin". The New York Times. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved March 21, 2023.
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  7. ^ "Opinion | In Wisconsin, Tony Evers made a virtue of being dull". Washington Post. ISSN 0190-8286. Retrieved March 21, 2023.
  8. ^ Wells, Dylan (April 12, 2023). "Democratic Sen. Tammy Baldwin announces reelection bid in Wisconsin". Washington Post. Retrieved April 12, 2023.
  9. ^ a b "GIFFORDS PAC Endorses Tammy Baldwin for Reelection to the US Senate". Giffords. September 6, 2023. Retrieved September 7, 2023.
  10. ^ A. O. L. Staff (May 17, 2024). "Whitmer's Fight Like Hell PAC releases initial Senate endorsements". www.aol.com. Retrieved June 14, 2024.
  11. ^ Kurtz, Josh (July 10, 2024). "Dunn's new PAC backs 10 Democratic Senate candidates, including Alsobrooks". Maryland Matters. Maryland Matters. Retrieved July 11, 2024.
  12. ^ a b "NextGen PAC: Endorses Sen. Baldwin ahead of 2024 elections". Wispolitics.com. May 10, 2023. Retrieved May 10, 2023.
  13. ^ "Actors' Equity Association Endorses Tammy Baldwin for United States Senate". www.actorsequity.org. Actors' Equity Association. August 7, 2024. Retrieved September 11, 2024.
  14. ^ "AFA Endorsed Candidates for 2024 Election". Association of Flight Attendants-CWA. Retrieved April 29, 2024.
  15. ^ a b "Wisconsin AFL-CIO Endorses Tammy Baldwin in 2024 Senate Race". Wisconsin AFL-CIO. May 26, 2023. Retrieved May 28, 2023.
  16. ^ "Wisconsin". UAW Endorsements. Retrieved February 14, 2024.
  17. ^ "Baldwin Campaign: United Steelworkers District 7 endorses Tammy Baldwin for U.S. Senate". Wis Politics. November 8, 2024. Retrieved February 27, 2024.
  18. ^ "314 Action Fund Endorses Wisconsin Senator Tammy Baldwin for Re-Election. - 3.14 Action".
  19. ^ "Bend the Arc Jewish Action PAC". Bend the Arc: Jewish Action. Retrieved March 1, 2024.
  20. ^ "Senate Candidates". Council for a Livable World. Retrieved August 24, 2023.
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  22. ^ "Fair Wisconsin Political Action Committee (PAC)". Fair Wisconsin PAC. May 22, 2023. Retrieved June 27, 2023.
  23. ^ "2024 – Feminist Majority PAC". feministmajoritypac.org. Retrieved April 11, 2023.
  24. ^ "Human Rights Campaign Endorses Wisconsin Senator Tammy Baldwin for Re-election". Human Rights Campaign. December 13, 2023. Retrieved December 14, 2023.
  25. ^ "Tammy Baldwin". JStreetPAC. Retrieved August 26, 2023.
  26. ^ "JDCA Announces First Round of 2024 Senate Endorsements". Jewish Democratic Council of America. Retrieved August 25, 2023.
  27. ^ "Meet JAC's 2024 Candidates | Joint Action Committee for Political Affairs". jacpac.org. Archived from the original on September 1, 2023. Retrieved September 1, 2023.
  28. ^ "LCV Action Fund Announces First Round of Congressional Endorsements". League of Conservation Voters. Retrieved July 27, 2023.
  29. ^ Fujii, Albert (April 24, 2023). "LGBTQ+ Victory Fund Endorses Tammy Baldwin for U.S. Senate". LGBTQ+ Victory Fund. Retrieved May 10, 2023.
  30. ^ "LPAC Announces April 2023 Endorsement Slate". LPAC. April 18, 2023. Retrieved April 24, 2023.
  31. ^ Communications (July 20, 2023). "NARAL Pro-Choice America Endorses Sen. Tammy Baldwin for Reelection to the U.S. Senate for Wisconsin". NARAL Pro-Choice America. Archived from the original on July 20, 2023. Retrieved July 20, 2023.
  32. ^ Engst, Kodie (March 18, 2024). "Baldwin campaign: National Committee to Preserve Social Security and Medicare PAC endorses Tammy Baldwin for U.S. Senate". WisPolitics. Retrieved March 25, 2024.
  33. ^ "Endorsed Candidates". National Women's Political Caucus. Retrieved September 29, 2023.
  34. ^ Dison, Denis (September 20, 2023). "NRDC Action Fund Endorses 51 House, Senate Incumbents". NRDC Action Fund. Retrieved September 20, 2023.
  35. ^ "People For Endorses Seven New and Incumbent Senate Candidates in "Defend the Senate" Campaign". People for the American Way (Press release). July 29, 2024. Retrieved July 29, 2024.
  36. ^ "Planned Parenthood Action Fund Endorses Reproductive Rights Champions Baldwin, Brown, Gillibrand, Rosen, Tester for Re-Election in 2024". www.plannedparenthoodaction.org. Retrieved July 31, 2023.
  37. ^ "2024 Endorsements". Population Connection Action Fund. Retrieved August 25, 2023.
  38. ^ "2023 - 2024 Stonewall Endorsed Candidates". Stonewall Democratic Club. Archived from the original on October 17, 2023. Retrieved October 17, 2023.
  39. ^ "Make a high-impact donation—without all the usual drama". Swing Left.
  40. ^ a b "2024 Election United States Senate - Wisconsin". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission. Retrieved August 11, 2023.
  41. ^ a b "WEC Canvass - 2024 Partisan Primary" (PDF). Wisconsin Elections Commission.
  42. ^ Edelman, Adam (February 20, 2024). "Republican Eric Hovde officially enters Wisconsin Senate race against Tammy Baldwin". NBC News. Retrieved February 20, 2024.
  43. ^ Candidate Tracking by Office - 2024 General Election - 11/5/2024 (Report). Wisconsin Elections Commission. May 29, 2024. Retrieved May 30, 2024.
  44. ^ Bauer, Scott (August 8, 2023). "A longshot Republican is entering the US Senate race in Wisconsin against Sen. Tammy Baldwin". Town and Country Today.
  45. ^ a b "Klein dropping U.S. Senate bid". WisPolitics. March 28, 2024. Retrieved March 28, 2024.
  46. ^ "Klein campaign: Transitions campaign from U.S. Senate to Wisconsin state Senate District 32". Wispolitics. April 9, 2024. Retrieved April 9, 2024.
  47. ^ Andrea, Lawrence (June 9, 2023). "Wisconsin Rep. Mike Gallagher says he will not run for Senate in 2024, leaving an open GOP field". Milwaukee Journal Sentinel. Retrieved June 9, 2023.
  48. ^ Andrea, Lawrence (March 19, 2024). "Scott Mayer won't enter Republican field to challenge Tammy Baldwin". Milwaukee Journal Sentinel. Retrieved March 19, 2024.
  49. ^ Lieffring, Christina (May 24, 2023). "Website names purchased, big cash raised, but Steil 'not running,' Gallagher mum on running against 'popular' Baldwin". The Badger Project. Retrieved May 25, 2023.
  50. ^ Glauber, Bill; Andrea, Lawrence (February 13, 2023). "Wisconsin Republicans Who Could Challenge Sen. Tammy Baldwin in 2024". Milwaukee Journal Sentinel. Retrieved February 13, 2023.
  51. ^ a b c d e f g Singer, Jeff (April 2, 2024). "Daily Kos Elections Live Digest: 4/2". Daily Kos. Retrieved April 2, 2024. WI-Sen: Wealthy businessman Eric Hovde on Monday publicized endorsements from all five members of Wisconsin's GOP House delegation.
  52. ^ Andrea, Lawrence (August 1, 2023). "U.S. Rep. Tiffany says he will not run for Senate in 2024". Milwaukee Journal Sentinel. Retrieved August 1, 2023.
  53. ^ Glauber, Bill (March 20, 2023). "Scott Walker won't challenge Democratic U.S. Sen. Tammy Baldwin in 2024: 'I would be bored as a senator'". Milwaukee Journal Sentinel. Retrieved March 20, 2023.
  54. ^ a b Singer, Jeff (February 16, 2024). "Daily Kos Elections Live Digest: 2/16". Daily Kos. Retrieved February 16, 2024. WI-Sen: Former GOP Gov. Scott Walker has endorsed wealthy businessman Eric Hovde
  55. ^ Vakil, Caroline (April 2, 2024). "Trump endorses Eric Hovde in Wisconsin Senate race". The Hill. Retrieved April 2, 2024.
  56. ^ Staff, WHSV News (July 16, 2024). "Sen. Ron Johnson talks about US Senate candidate Hovde". WHSV-TV. Retrieved October 22, 2024.
  57. ^ Action, A. F. P. (February 21, 2024). "Americans for Prosperity Action Endorses Eric Hovde for U.S. Senate". AFP Action. Retrieved February 21, 2024.
  58. ^ Valentine, Jesse (February 26, 2024). "Republican Eric Hovde makes inconsistent statements about family history". American Journal News. Retrieved March 2, 2024.
  59. ^ Action, F.C.R. (February 21, 2024). "University of Wisconsin-Madison College Republicans Endorse Eric Hovde for U.S. Senate". Twitter. Retrieved February 25, 2024.
  60. ^ "Wisconsin Federation of College Republicans Endorsements". March 11, 2024. Retrieved March 11, 2024.
  61. ^ "2024 Election United States Senate - Wisconsin". FEC.gov. Retrieved September 7, 2024.
  62. ^ Public Policy Polling (D)
  63. ^ Public Policy Polling (D)
  64. ^ Frisk, Garrett (March 28, 2023). "First Declared Challenger to Tammy Baldwin is a Libertarian". Diamond Eye Candidate Report.
  65. ^ Candidate Tracking by Office - 2024 General Election - 11/5/2024 (Report). Wisconsin Elections Commission. May 23, 2024. pp. 1–2. Retrieved May 24, 2024.
  66. ^ Bice, Daniel (August 5, 2024). "Thomas Leager is running for U.S. Senate in Wisconsin. He claims ties to Whitmer plot". Milwaukee Journal Sentinel. Archived from the original on August 13, 2024. Retrieved September 1, 2024.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: bot: original URL status unknown (link)
  67. ^ "2024 Senate Race ratings". Cook Political Report. Retrieved January 25, 2023.
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  71. ^ "Election Ratings". Elections Daily. August 1, 2023. Retrieved August 2, 2023.
  72. ^ "'24 Senate Forecast". CNalysis. Retrieved November 21, 2023.
  73. ^ "Battle for the Senate 2024". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved August 5, 2024.
  74. ^ "2024 Senate Forecast". Split Ticket. Retrieved October 23, 2024.
  75. ^ "2024 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved October 23, 2024.
  76. ^ Mutnick, Ally (October 15, 2024). "John Thune doles out the money as he runs for Senate GOP leader". Politico. Retrieved October 17, 2024.
  77. ^ Mutnick, Ally (October 15, 2024). "John Thune doles out the money as he runs for Senate GOP leader". Politico. Retrieved October 17, 2024.
  78. ^ "Remarks by Vice President Harris at a Campaign Event". The White House. Madison, Wisconsin. Retrieved October 9, 2024.
  79. ^ @tammybaldwin (November 2, 2024). "Cardi B x Tammy B" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  80. ^ "Baldwin, Tiffany and Van Orden Among Federal Candidates Endorsed by WFBF Board". Wisconsin Farm Bureau Federation.
  81. ^ FiveThirtyEight
  82. ^ Real Clear Politics
  83. ^ 270toWin
  84. ^ TheHill/DDHQ
  85. ^ AtlasIntel
  86. ^ Research Co.
  87. ^ Patriot Polling (R)
  88. ^ The Trafalgar Group (R)
  89. ^ InsiderAdvantage (R)
  90. ^ AtlasIntel
  91. ^ Emerson College
  92. ^ NYT/Siena College
  93. ^ Mainstreet Research/FAU
  94. ^ a b c Morning Consult
  95. ^ AtlasIntel
  96. ^ YouGov
  97. ^ OnMessage (R)
  98. ^ ActiVote
  99. ^ TIPP Insights (R)
  100. ^ Marist College
  101. ^ Echelon Insights
  102. ^ SoCal Research (R)
  103. ^ AtlasIntel
  104. ^ CNN/SSRS
  105. ^ InsiderAdvantage (R)
  106. ^ Marquette University
  107. ^ Suffolk University
  108. ^ Emerson College
  109. ^ OnMessage Inc. (R)
  110. ^ Quinnipiac University
  111. ^ The Trafalgar Group (R)
  112. ^ Redfield & Wilton Strategies
  113. ^ The Bullfinch Group
  114. ^ AtlasIntel
  115. ^ RMG Research
  116. ^ Patriot Polling (R)
  117. ^ InsiderAdvantage (R)
  118. ^ Emerson College
  119. ^ Research Co.
  120. ^ Quinnipiac University
  121. ^ Redfield & Wilton Strategies
  122. ^ The Trafalgar Group (R)
  123. ^ ActiVote
  124. ^ NYT/Siena College
  125. ^ a b Marquette University
  126. ^ AtlasIntel
  127. ^ BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)
  128. ^ RMG Research
  129. ^ Remington Research Group (R)
  130. ^ Redfield & Wilton Strategies
  131. ^ Emerson College
  132. ^ MassINC Polling Group
  133. ^ Marist College
  134. ^ Quinnipiac University
  135. ^ Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)/
    Impact Research (D)
  136. ^ Redfield & Wilton Strategies
  137. ^ Morning Consult
  138. ^ co/efficient
  139. ^ CBS News/YouGov
  140. ^ YouGov
  141. ^ The Trafalgar Group (R)
  142. ^ CNN/SRSS
  143. ^ Redfield & Wilton Strategies
  144. ^ Emerson College
  145. ^ BK Strategies
  146. ^ Fabrizio Ward
  147. ^ TIPP Insights (R)
  148. ^ The Bullfinch Group
  149. ^ NYT/Siena College
  150. ^ BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)
  151. ^ Marquette University
  152. ^ Fox News
  153. ^ Emerson College
  154. ^ YouGov
  155. ^ Public Policy Polling (D)
  156. ^ North Star Opinion Research
  157. ^ SoCal Research (R)
  158. ^ Fabrizio Ward (R)/
    Impact Research (D)
  159. ^ Remington Research Group (R)
  160. ^ Marquette University
  161. ^ Emerson College
  162. ^ Mainstreet Research/FAU
  163. ^ KAConsulting (R)
  164. ^ BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)
  165. ^ NYT/Siena College
  166. ^ Quinnipiac University
  167. ^ Emerson College
  168. ^ CBS News/YouGov
  169. ^ Marquette University
  170. ^ Emerson College
  171. ^ Emerson College
  172. ^ a b c Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)
  173. ^ "2024 General Election Results - US Senate" (PDF). Wisconsin Elections Commission.
  174. ^ https://elections.wi.gov/sites/default/files/documents/Ward%20by%20Ward%20Report%20by%20Congressional%20District_November%205%202024%20General%20Election_Federal%20and%20State%20Contests.xlsx
[edit]

Official campaign websites

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