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2018 Minnesota gubernatorial election

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See also: 2018 United States gubernatorial elections

2018 Minnesota gubernatorial election
← 2014 November 6, 2018 2022 →
Turnout2,587,287 (63.6%) [a]
 
Nominee Tim Walz Jeff Johnson
Party Democratic (DFL) Republican
Running mate Peggy Flanagan Donna Bergstrom
Popular vote 1,393,096 1,097,705
Percentage 53.84% 42.43%
Walz:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Johnson:      30–40%      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Tie:      40–50%      50%      No votes
Governor before election

Mark Dayton
Democratic (DFL)

Elected Governor

Tim Walz
Democratic (DFL)

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The 2018 Minnesota gubernatorial election took place on November 6, to elect the 41st Governor of Minnesota as incumbent Democratic (DFL) Governor Mark Dayton chose not to run for re-election for a third term. The Democratic nominee was U.S. Representative Tim Walz from Minnesota's 1st congressional district while the Republican Party nominated Hennepin County commissioner Jeff Johnson for a second consecutive time. The Independence Party of Minnesota did not field a candidate for the first time since 1994. Going into the election polls showed Walz ahead; the race was characterized as lean or likely DFL.

Walz went on to defeat Johnson by the largest margin for a DFL candidate since 1986, receiving more votes than any other gubernatorial candidate in Minnesota history. This was the first Minnesota gubernatorial election since 1958 in which any party won more than two consecutive elections, as well as the first time since 1998 where the party of the incumbent president lost.

Democratic–Farmer–Labor primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Nominated

[edit]

Eliminated in primary

[edit]

Withdrawn

[edit]

Declined

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Erin Murphy (DFL)

Labor unions

State elected officials

Local officials

National organizations

Rebecca Otto (DFL)

State officials

  • Tina Liebling, state representative, former 2018 gubernatorial candidate

Individuals

Lori Swanson (DFL)

Federal politicians

  • Rick Nolan, U.S. representative and candidate for lieutenant governor on the same ticket

State elected officials

Newspapers

Unions

Tim Walz (DFL)

Federal politicians

Mayors

State elected officials

Individuals

Tribal nations

Newspapers

Labor unions

Organizations

Polling

[edit]
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Erin
Murphy 		Lori
Swanson 		Tim
Walz 		Other Undecided
Emerson College[49] August 8–11, 2018 217 ± 6.9% 19% 29% 28% – 24%
Marist College[50] July 15–19, 2018 439 ± 5.6% 11% 28% 24% 1% 37%
GQR Research (D-Minnesota Victory PAC)[51] June 25–27, 2018 602 – 17% 37% 29% 1%[52] 16%
Hypothetical polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Tom
Bakk 		Chris
Coleman 		Amy
Klobuchar 		Erin
Murphy 		Rebecca
Otto 		R. T.
Rybak 		Tina
Smith 		Lori
Swanson 		Tim
Walz 		Undecided
SurveyUSA[53] November 17–19, 2016 – – 1% 3% 25% 0% 1% 6% 1% 3% 5% 54%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Chris
Coleman 		Tina
Liebling 		Erin
Murphy 		Rebecca
Otto 		Lori
Swanson 		Paul
Thissen 		Tim
Walz 		Undecided
Mason-Dixon[54] January 8–10, 2018 298 – 12% 2% 6% 9% 16% 4% 21% 30%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Erin
Murphy 		Rebecca
Otto 		Tim
Walz 		Other Undecided
Expedition Strategies (D-Walz)[55] April 23–26, 2018 600 ± 4.0% 3% 19% 27% 2% 49%

Straw poll

[edit]
Straw poll ballot at the Minnesota DFL February 2018 precinct caucuses

On February 6, 2018, the DFL conducted a statewide straw poll among registered Democrats in Minnesota. Caucus-goers were scheduled to elect delegates to their party's Senate district and county conventions, which in turn will elect state convention delegates who will endorse candidates for governor, two U.S. Senate seats, attorney general, state auditor and secretary of state. Congressional district delegates will endorse U.S. House candidates. Since the straw poll the three lowest performing candidates withdrew from the race (Paul Thissen, Chris Coleman, and Tina Liebling).

Congressional
Unit 		Total
attendance 		Chris Coleman Tina Liebling Erin Murphy Rebecca Otto Paul Thissen Tim
Walz 		Other Uncommitted
1 2,577 71 355 107 232 56 1,558 4 163
2 3,501 384 202 411 656 120 1,156 4 523
3 4,291 670 202 386 827 186 1,362 8 530
4 6,072 854 297 1,111 1,227 139 1,384 11 897
5 9,519 1,019 457 1,400 1,462 537 2,363 30 1,137
6 2,375 326 115 294 587 59 590 4 375
7 2,121 124 106 274 405 172 761 4 273
8 3,873 441 277 474 1,082 263 759 8 527
Statewide 34,329 3,889 2,011 4,457 6,478 1,532 9,933 73 4,425
Percent - 11.86% 6.13% 13.59% 19.75% 4.67% 30.29% 0.22% 13.49%

Results

[edit]
county
Results by county
  Walz
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  Murphy
  •   40–50%
  Swanson
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
congressional district
Results by congressional district
  Walz
  •   40–50%
  •   70–80%
  Murphy
  •   40–50%
  Swanson
  •   40–50%
Minnesota Democratic–Farmer–Labor Party primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic (DFL) Tim Walz 242,832 41.60%
Democratic (DFL) Erin Murphy 186,969 32.03%
Democratic (DFL) Lori Swanson 143,517 24.59%
Democratic (DFL) Tim Holden 6,398 1.10%
Democratic (DFL) Olé Savior 4,019 0.69%
Total votes 583,735 100.00%

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Nominated

[edit]

Eliminated in primary

[edit]

Withdrew

[edit]

Declined

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Tim Pawlenty

State officials

Organizations

Newspapers and publications

Polling

[edit]
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Jeff
Johnson 		Matt
Kruse 		Tim
Pawlenty 		Other Undecided
Emerson College[96] August 8–11, 2018 156 ± 8.0% 34% – 43% – 23%
Marist College[50] July 15–19, 2018 340 ± 6.4% 32% – 51% 1% 16%
BK Strategies (R)[97] June 24–25, 2018 439 ± 4.7% 20% 3% 54% – 23%
Hypothetical polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Kurt
Daudt 		Keith
Downey 		Tom
Emmer 		Mike
McFadden 		Erik
Paulsen 		Tim
Pawlenty 		Rich
Stanek 		Undecided
SurveyUSA[53] November 17–19, 2016 – – 2% 1% 4% 2% 8% 19% 1% 64%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Kurt
Daudt 		Matt
Dean 		Keith
Downey 		Jeff
Johnson 		Julie
Rosen 		Mary G.
Stephens 		Undecided
Mason-Dixon[54] January 8–10, 2018 218 – 12% 2% 1% 24% 4% 1% 54%

Results

[edit]
county
Results by county
  Johnson
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  Pawlenty
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
congressional district
Results by congressional district
  Johnson
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  Pawlenty
  •   40–50%
Republican Party of Minnesota primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Jeff Johnson 168,841 52.61%
Republican Tim Pawlenty 140,743 43.86%
Republican Mathew Kruse 11,330 3.53%
Total votes 320,914 100.00%

Third parties and independents

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Declared

[edit]

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[100] Likely D October 26, 2018
The Washington Post[101] Lean D November 5, 2018
FiveThirtyEight[102] Likely D November 5, 2018
Rothenberg Political Report[103] Likely D November 1, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[104] Lean D November 5, 2018
RealClearPolitics[105] Lean D November 4, 2018
Daily Kos[106] Likely D November 5, 2018
Fox News[107][b] Lean D November 5, 2018
Politico[108] Likely D November 5, 2018
Governing[109] Lean D November 5, 2018
Notes
  1. ^ Based on an estimated number of 4,064,389 eligible voters[1]
  2. ^ The Fox News Midterm Power Rankings uniquely does not contain a category for Safe/Solid races

Debates

[edit]

The debate season began only three days after the primaries with Johnson and Walz participating in two debates on Friday, August 17. A third debate was held Friday, August 31.[110][111]

Host
network/sponsors 		Date Link(s) Participants
Tim
Walz (DFL) 		Jeff
Johnson (R)
MPR News August 31, 2018 [111] Invited Invited
KSTP-TV August 17, 2018 [112] Invited Invited
Twin Cities PBS (Almanac) August 17, 2018 [113] Invited Invited

Endorsements

[edit]
Jeff Johnson (R)

Federal officials

Statewide and local officials

Individuals

Organizations

Tim Walz (DFL)

Federal officials

Newspapers

Mayors

  • Eric Garcetti, mayor of Los Angeles[130]
  • Jacob Frey, mayor of Minneapolis[37]
  • Melvin Carter, mayor of St. Paul
  • Rita Albrecht, mayor of Bemidji
  • Emily Larson, mayor of Duluth
  • Rick Cannata, mayor of Hibbing
  • Bob Byrnes, mayor of Marshall
  • Molly Cummings, mayor of Hopkins
  • Mary Gaasch, mayor of Lauderdale
  • Kirsten Hagen-Kennedy, mayor of North Branch
  • Mike Kuhle, mayor of Worthington
  • Mike Maguire, mayor of Eagan
  • Rick Miller, mayor of Waite Park
  • Harold Peterson, mayor of Blooming Prairie
  • Sarah Schroeder, mayor of Spring Grove
  • John Tuorilla, mayor of Columet
  • Nancy Tyra-Lukens, mayor of Eden Prairie
  • Ardell Brede, mayor of Rochester
  • Nora Slawik, mayor of Maplewood
  • Ben Schierer, mayor of Fergus Falls
  • Jim Hovland, mayor of Edina
  • Shep Harris, mayor of Golden Valley
  • Gary Skalko, mayor of Mountain Iron
  • Roy Srp, mayor of Waseca
  • Myron Bailey, mayor of Cottage Grove
  • Pat Baustian, mayor of Luverne
  • Bob Broeder, mayor of Le Seur
  • Ted Kozlowski, mayor of Stillwater
  • Jack L'Heureux, mayor of Mora
  • Charles Novak, mayor of Ely
  • Mark Peterson, mayor of Winona
  • Dennis Phelps, mayor of Westbrook
  • Mike Poellinger, mayor of La Crescent
  • Gary Skalko, mayor of Mountain Iron
  • Dave Smiglewski, mayor of Granite Falls
  • Tom Stiehm, mayor of Austin
  • Robert Beussman, mayor of New Ulm
  • R. T. Rybak, former mayor of Minneapolis[35]
  • El Tinklenberg, former mayor of Blaine

State and local officials

Local officials

  • Noah Hobbs, Duluth City Council
  • Renee Van Nett, Duluth City Council
  • Andrew Johnson, Minneapolis City Council
  • Abdi Warsame, Minneapolis City Council
  • Linea Palmisano, Minneapolis City Council
  • Michael Herring, Robbinsdale School Board
  • David Boone, Robbinsdale School Board
  • Pam Lindberg, Robbinsdale School Board
  • Anne Casey, St. Louis Park School Board
  • Mary Tomback, St. Louis Park School Board
  • Karen Waters, St. Louis Park School Board
  • Ken Morrison, St. Louis Park School Board
  • Crystal Brakke, Richfield School Board
  • Chris LaTondresse, Hopkins School Board
  • Jen Bouchard, Hopkins School Board
  • Betsy Tate Anderson, former Hopkins School Board
  • Nancy Livingston, North St. Paul School Board
  • Todd Rengo, Esko School Board
  • Jim Grabowska, St. Clair School Board
  • Dan Hartman, former Duluth Council
  • Kevin Staunton, Edina City Council
  • Joanie Clausen, Golden Valley Council
  • Gillian Rosenquist, Golden Valley Council
  • Katy Campbell, Hopkins Council
  • Valerie Holthus, Andover City Council
  • Christian Torkelson, Little Canada Council
  • Mari Daily, Moorhead Council
  • Nevada Littlewolf, Virginia City Council
  • Randy Maluchnik, Carver County commissioner
  • Vance Stuehrenberg, Blue Earth County commissioner
  • Gordy Wagner, Pope County commissioner
  • Reed Olson, Beltrami County commissioner
  • Linda Higgins, Hennepin County commissioner

Individuals

Tribal nations

Unions

National organizations

Polling

[edit]
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Tim
Walz (DFL) 		Jeff
Johnson (R) 		Josh
Welter (L) 		Other Undecided
Change Research[133] November 2–4, 2018 953 – 53% 41% 2% 2%[134] –
Research Co.[135] November 1–3, 2018 450 ± 4.6% 48% 42% – 1% 9%
SurveyUSA[136] October 29–31, 2018 600 ± 5.3% 49% 41% – 2% 9%
St. Cloud State University[137] October 15–30, 2018 404 – 50% 34% – – –
Mason-Dixon[138] October 15–17, 2018 800 ± 3.5% 45% 39% 3% 2%[134] 12%
Change Research[139] October 12–13, 2018 1,413 – 47% 44% 3% 4%[140] 2%
Marist College[141] September 30 – October 4, 2018 637 LV ± 4.9% 51% 36% 6% <1% 6%
55% 38% – <1% 7%
860 RV ± 4.2% 49% 37% 7% <1% 7%
53% 39% – 1% 8%
Mason-Dixon[142] September 10–12, 2018 800 ± 3.5% 45% 36% 1% 2%[134] 16%
SurveyUSA[143] September 6–8, 2018 574 ± 4.9% 47% 40% – 3% 10%
Suffolk University[144] August 17–20, 2018 500 ± 4.4% 46% 41% 1% 1%[145] 12%
Emerson College[146] August 8–11, 2018 500 ± 4.6% 40% 33% – – 27%
Hypothetical polling

with Erin Murphy and Tim Pawlenty

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Erin
Murphy (D) 		Tim
Pawlenty (R) 		Other Undecided
Marist College[50] July 15–19, 2018 876 ± 4.0% 48% 40% 2% 9%

with Lori Swanson and Tim Pawlenty

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Lori
Swanson (D) 		Tim
Pawlenty (R) 		Other Undecided
Emerson College[147] August 8–11, 2018 500 ± 4.6% 44% 36% – 21%
Marist College[50] July 15–19, 2018 876 ± 4.0% 51% 40% 2% 7%
BK Strategies[148] June 24–25, 2018 1,574 ± 2.5% 46% 41% – 13%

with Tim Walz and Tim Pawlenty

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Tim
Walz (D) 		Tim
Pawlenty (R) 		Other Undecided
Emerson College[149] August 8–11, 2018 500 ± 4.6% 44% 33% – 23%
Marist College[50] July 15–19, 2018 876 ± 4.0% 51% 40% 1% 8%
BK Strategies[148] June 24–25, 2018 1,574 ± 2.5% 48% 41% – 11%

with Lori Swanson and Jeff Johnson

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Lori
Swanson (D) 		Jeff
Johnson (R) 		Undecided
Emerson College[150] August 8–11, 2018 500 ± 4.6% 37% 32% 31%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Generic
Democrat 		Generic
Republican 		Undecided
BK Strategies[148] June 24–25, 2018 1,574 ± 2.5% 48% 42% 10%
Public Policy Polling (D-A Better Minnesota)[151] June 15–16, 2018 717 – 46% 39% 16%

Results

[edit]
2018 Minnesota gubernatorial election[152]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic (DFL) Tim Walz 1,393,096 53.84% +3.77%
Republican Jeff Johnson 1,097,705 42.43% −2.08%
Grassroots—LC Chris Wright 68,667 2.65% +1.07%
Libertarian Josh Welter 26,735 1.03% +0.11%
Write-in 1,084 0.04% 0.00%
Total votes 2,587,287 100.00% N/A
Democratic (DFL) hold

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

[edit]

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

[edit]

By congressional district

[edit]

Walz won 5 of 8 congressional districts. Each candidate won a district won by the other party.[153]

District Walz Johnson Representative
1st 49.54% 47.18% Jim Hagedorn
2nd 51.52% 44.58% Angie Craig
3rd 54.44% 42.37% Dean Phillips
4th 65.72% 30.56% Betty McCollum
5th 77.91% 18.17% Ilhan Omar
6th 40.53% 55.49% Tom Emmer
7th 39.56% 56.86% Collin Peterson
8th 47.14% 48.93% Pete Stauber

Voter demographics

[edit]
Edison Research exit poll
Demographic subgroup Walz Johnson No
Answer 		% of
Voters
Gender
Men 48 49 3 46
Women 59 37 4 54
Age
18–24 years old 71 25 4 6
25–29 years old 63 34 3 5
30–39 years old 60 38 2 12
40–49 years old 51 46 3 13
50–64 years old 54 45 1 29
65 and older 52 46 2 35
Race
White 53 46 1 89
Black 84 14 2 5
Latino N/A N/A N/A 3
Asian N/A N/A N/A 2
Other N/A N/A N/A 2
Race by gender
White men 46 53 1 41
White women 59 39 2 48
Black men N/A N/A N/A 3
Black women N/A N/A N/A 2
Latino men N/A N/A N/A 1
Latino women N/A N/A N/A 1
Others N/A N/A N/A 3
Education
High school or less 52 45 3 17
Some college education 48 49 3 24
Associate degree 48 49 3 17
Bachelor's degree 56 40 4 26
Advanced degree 70 28 2 16
Education and race
White college graduates 61 35 4 38
White no college degree 46 51 3 51
Non-white college graduates 70 26 4 4
Non-white no college degree 74 23 3 7
Whites by education and gender
White women with college degrees 68 29 3 21
White women without college degrees 51 45 4 28
White men with college degrees 54 43 3 17
White men without college degrees 40 58 2 23
Non-whites 73 24 3 11
Income
Under $30,000 63 34 3 14
$30,000–49,999 54 43 3 21
$50,000–99,999 48 51 1 36
$100,000–199,999 55 42 3 23
Over $200,000 N/A N/A N/A 7
Party ID
Democrats 95 5 N/A 39
Republicans 10 90 N/A 32
Independents 51 42 7 28
Party by gender
Democratic men 94 5 1 14
Democratic women 95 4 1 25
Republican men 8 92 N/A 16
Republican women 12 88 N/A 17
Independent men 47 48 5 16
Independent women 58 34 8 13
Ideology
Liberals 94 2 4 27
Moderates 65 32 3 39
Conservatives 10 87 3 33
Marital status
Married 47 49 4 68
Unmarried 63 33 4 32
Gender by marital status
Married men 43 54 3 31
Married women 51 45 4 36
Unmarried men 52 43 5 15
Unmarried women 72 24 4 18
First-time midterm election voter
Yes 52 44 4 12
No 55 42 3 88
Most important issue facing the country
Health care 74 24 2 50
Immigration 20 79 1 22
Economy 30 67 3 18
Gun policy N/A N/A N/A 8
Area type
Urban 67 30 3 40
Suburban 50 46 4 32
Rural 41 56 3 28
Source: CNN[154]

See also

[edit]

Notes

[edit]

References

[edit]
  1. ^ "Minnesota Secretary of State - Historical Voter Turnout Statistics".
  2. ^ Carlson, Heather J. (March 27, 2017). "Democrat Walz to run for governor". Post-Bulletin. Archived from the original on March 27, 2017. Retrieved March 27, 2017.
  3. ^ Coolican, J. Patrick (October 5, 2017). "DFL candidate for governor Tim Walz picks Peggy Flanagan, state representative from Twin Cities, as running mate". Star Tribune. Retrieved October 5, 2017.
  4. ^ a b c d "Candidate Filings". candidates.sos.state.mn.us. Retrieved August 18, 2018.
  5. ^ "Investor says he's selling St. Paul properties to run for mayor". Twin Cities. 2017-03-22. Retrieved 2018-06-19.
  6. ^ Stassen-Berger, Rachel E. (November 17, 2016). "St. Paul Rep. Erin Murphy announces run for MN governor". St. Paul Pioneer Press. Retrieved November 17, 2016.
  7. ^ "Erin Murphy taps Erin Maye Quade as running mate in race for governor". WCCO-TV. June 3, 2018. Retrieved June 3, 2018.
  8. ^ Coolican, J. Patrick; Golden, Erin (June 4, 2017). "Attorney General Lori Swanson joins governor's race". Star Tribune. Retrieved June 4, 2018.
  9. ^ Van Berkel, Jessie (February 7, 2018). "State Rep. Paul Thissen drops out of Minnesota governor's race". Minneapolis Star Tribune. Retrieved 2018-02-07.
  10. ^ Coolican, J. Patrick (June 14, 2017). "Former Minnesota DFL House Speaker Paul Thissen to run for governor". Minneapolis Star Tribune. Archived from the original on June 15, 2017. Retrieved June 15, 2017.
  11. ^ "St. Paul Mayor Chris Coleman to run for governor in 2018 – Twin Cities". December 13, 2016. Retrieved 2016-12-13.
  12. ^ "Coleman withdraws from governor's race". February 12, 2018. Retrieved 2018-02-12.
  13. ^ Stassen-Berger, Rachel E. (April 2, 2017). "With detailed policy focus, Democrat Tina Liebling to run for governor". St. Paul Pioneer Press. Retrieved April 2, 2017.
  14. ^ Magan, Christopher (March 12, 2018). "DFL Rep. Tina Liebling drops out of governor's race". St. Paul Pioneer Press. Retrieved March 12, 2018.
  15. ^ "State Auditor Rebecca Otto Withdraws Campaign For Governor". CBS Minnesota. June 4, 2018. Archived from the original on June 15, 2018. Retrieved June 5, 2018.
  16. ^ a b Condon, Patrick (November 22, 2014). "Handicapping the next race for governor: the DFLers". Star Tribune. Retrieved March 6, 2015.
  17. ^ Hanna, Bill (January 23, 2016). "Sen. Bakk Holds Caucus Together, While Also Reaching Across Political Aisle". Mesabi Daily News. Retrieved June 21, 2016.
  18. ^ The Timberjay. Quote: "Bakk said he had been considering his own bid for governor had the party failed to endorse a candidate, but he said the recent announcement by Republican Sen. Michelle Fischbach to resign her Senate seat to run with Tim Pawlenty helped to clarify his priorities."
  19. ^ "Minnesota governor 2018: A who's who of possible candidates". Minnesota Public Radio. Associated Press. November 21, 2016. Retrieved February 20, 2018. ...as both parties aim to replace Gov. Mark Dayton, who has said he won't seek a third term.
  20. ^ Shepard, Steven (February 9, 2018). "Minnesota Rep. Nolan won't run for reelection". Politico. Retrieved February 20, 2018. Gov. Mark Dayton — himself a former senator — isn't seeking a third term.
  21. ^ Kayser, Zach (May 1, 2017). "Crow Wing County DFL convenes, thinks 2018". Brainerd Dispatch. Archived from the original on July 1, 2017. Retrieved May 1, 2017.
  22. ^ "DFL Rep. Debra Hilstrom joins Minn. attorney general race". Star Tribune. Retrieved 2017-12-29.
  23. ^ Sherry, Allison (December 25, 2016). "Klobuchar will run again for Senate, rules herself out for governor's race". Star Tribune. Retrieved December 26, 2016.
  24. ^ Coolican, J. Patrick (June 2, 2017). "U.S. Rep. Rick Nolan running for re-election, not for governor". Star Tribune. Retrieved June 2, 2017.
  25. ^ Melo, Frederick (September 18, 2015). "Is a gubernatorial run next for St. Paul Mayor Chris Coleman?". St. Paul Pioneer Press. Retrieved September 19, 2016.
  26. ^ Kimball, Joe (May 4, 2016). "Q&A: R.T. Rybak on his new gig at the Minneapolis Foundation — and whether or not he'll run for governor". MinnPost. Retrieved September 19, 2016.
  27. ^ Ode, Kim (May 18, 2016). "R.T. Rybak says he's here to stay, in a city he loves like a middle-schooler's crush". Star Tribune. Retrieved September 19, 2016.
  28. ^ a b c d e f Stassen-Berger, Rachel E. (September 1, 2015). "It's really not too early to think about 2018. Is it?". St. Paul Pioneer Press. Retrieved June 21, 2016.
  29. ^ Lopez, Ricardo (March 17, 2017). "Lt. Gov. Tina Smith will not run for Minnesota governor in 2018". Star Tribune. Retrieved March 17, 2017.
  30. ^ Coolican, J. Patrick (September 20, 2017). "Minnesota Nurses Association endorses Rep. Erin Murphy for governor". StarTribune.com. Minneapolis Star Tribune.
  31. ^ "Erin Murphy". facebook.com. Retrieved August 18, 2018.
  32. ^ a b c "Marco Rubio Endorses Jeff Johnson For Minnesota Gov". October 24, 2017. Retrieved October 24, 2017.
  33. ^ LBTQ Victory Fund endorsed Erin Maye Quade for Lieutenant Governor "Victory Fund Endorses 16 More LGBTQ Candidates for 2018, Including Two Historic Statewide Candidates". Victory Fund. 2018-07-24. Retrieved 2018-07-25.
  34. ^ a b hcarlson@postbulletin.com, Heather J. Carlson (September 25, 2017). "Political Notebook: Nelson decision coming soon?". Retrieved May 22, 2018.
  35. ^ a b c d "Congressman Collin Peterson and R.T. Rybak Support Tim!". Tim Walz for Governor. April 4, 2017. Archived from the original on May 11, 2017. Retrieved May 10, 2017.
  36. ^ a b "Tim Walz". facebook.com. Retrieved May 22, 2018.
  37. ^ a b Jacob Frey. "After I sat down with @Tim_Walz & @peggyflanagan months ago to talk about the election, I knew who I wanted to lead Minnesota. I'm THRILLED that they're leading our ticket. I can't wait for them to win in November & I can't wait to have such strong allies in the Governor's office". Twitter.
  38. ^ a b Fue Lee. "Kicking off the Weekend of Action for the @Tim_Walz-@peggyflanagan Campaign at the @MinnesotaDFL North Minneapolis Office. Thank you @MNSteveSimon for the opening #OneMinnesota #MNVotesEarly #BeAVoter". Twitter.
  39. ^ a b "Twitter". twitter.com. Retrieved May 22, 2018.
  40. ^ "Our View / Endorsement: DFLers have a leader in Walz". Duluth News Tribune. August 2, 2018.
  41. ^ "Star Tribune endorsement for governor in DFL Primary: Tim Walz". Star Tribune. August 3, 2018.[permanent dead link‍]
  42. ^ a b "Education Minnesota Endorses Tim Walz For Governor". Tim Walz for Governor. May 19, 2018. Archived from the original on May 23, 2018. Retrieved May 21, 2018.
  43. ^ a b "Operating Engineers Local 49 Endorses Tim Walz For Governor!". Tim Walz for Governor. February 6, 2018. Retrieved April 10, 2018.
  44. ^ a b "LiUNA! Minnesota and North Dakota Endorses Tim Walz For Governor!". Tim Walz for Governor. February 8, 2018. Retrieved April 10, 2018.
  45. ^ a b "Sheet Metal Workers Local 10 Union Endorses Tim Walz For Governor & Peggy Flanagan for Lt. Governor". Tim Walz for Governor. February 12, 2018. Retrieved April 10, 2018.
  46. ^ a b "Teamsters Joint Council 32 Endorses Tim Walz For Minnesota Governor!". Tim Walz for Governor. February 28, 2018. Archived from the original on April 11, 2018. Retrieved April 10, 2018.
  47. ^ a b "MAPE Endorses Tim Walz For Governor!". Tim Walz for Governor. April 3, 2018. Archived from the original on April 11, 2018. Retrieved April 10, 2018.
  48. ^ a b "AFGE Endorses Minnesota's Tim Walz for Governor". Tim Walz for Governor. June 18, 2018. Retrieved June 18, 2018.
  49. ^ Emerson College Archived 2018-08-15 at the Wayback Machine
  50. ^ a b c d e Marist College
  51. ^ GQR Research (D-Minnesota Victory PAC)
  52. ^ Tim Holden and Olé Savior with 0%, other 1%
  53. ^ a b SurveyUSA Archived 2017-11-16 at the Wayback Machine
  54. ^ a b Mason-Dixon
  55. ^ Expedition Strategies (D-Walz)
  56. ^ Stassen-Berger, Rachel E. (May 10, 2017). "Echoing Trump's populist message, Jeff Johnson enters race for governor". St. Paul Pioneer Press. Retrieved May 10, 2017.
  57. ^ Van Berkel, Jessie (May 14, 2018). "Jeff Johnson picks Donna Bergstrom as running mate in governor's race". Star Tribune. Retrieved May 14, 2018.
  58. ^ Coolican, J. Patrick (April 5, 2018). "Tim Pawlenty makes it official: He's running for governor again". Star Tribune. Retrieved April 5, 2018.
  59. ^ Coolican, J Patrick (May 31, 2018). "Pawlenty picks Fischbach as running mate". Star Tribune. Retrieved May 31, 2018.
  60. ^ Morris, William (March 21, 2017). "Former Medford man launches run for governor". Owatonna People's Press. Retrieved August 22, 2017.
  61. ^ "Woodbury mayor files to run for governor as Republican". Minneapolis Star Tribune. Archived from the original on 2017-11-30. Retrieved 2017-11-29.
  62. ^ "GOP endorses Jeff Johnson for Governor". Kare 11. June 2, 2018.
  63. ^ "Giuliani Stephens names Backer to ticket in GOP governor bid". Star Tribune. May 2, 2018. Archived from the original on May 5, 2018. Retrieved May 4, 2018.
  64. ^ Lease, Lawrence (December 31, 2016). "MN native Christopher Chamberlin running for governor in 2018". News Record. Retrieved December 31, 2016.
  65. ^ Pugmire, Tim (December 7, 2017). "As Dayton weighs Franken replacement, who may run in 2018?". Minnesota Public Radio. Retrieved December 7, 2017.
  66. ^ The Associated Press, "Republican Matt Dean Is No Longer Running For Governor", WCCO, January 25, 2018. Retrieved January 25, 2018.
  67. ^ Stassen-Berger, Rachel E. (July 24, 2017). "Keith Downey, former GOP chair, is running for governor with the message: 'I believe in you.'". St. Paul Pioneer Press. Retrieved August 22, 2017.
  68. ^ Salisbury, Bill (April 18, 2018). "Keith Downey, former MN GOP chairman, drops out of governor's race". St. Paul Pioneer Press. Retrieved April 18, 2018.
  69. ^ "Ramsey County Commissioner Blake Huffman to run for governor". St. Paul Pioneer Press. April 18, 2017. Retrieved April 19, 2017.
  70. ^ Stassen-Berger, Rachel E. (September 3, 2017). "Ramsey County's Blake Huffman withdraws from race for MN governor". St. Paul Pioneer Press. Retrieved September 5, 2017.
  71. ^ The Associated Press (January 8, 2018). "David Osmek says his campaign for Minnesota governor is over". twincities.com. Retrieved January 8, 2018.
  72. ^ Coolican, J. Patrick (February 18, 2017). "Rep. Sarah Anderson: A name for the 2018 statewide mix?". Star Tribune. Retrieved February 24, 2017.
  73. ^ Montgomery, David (July 19, 2017). "Michele Bachmann warns about 'radical Islam'". St. Paul Pioneer Press. Retrieved July 20, 2017.
  74. ^ a b c d e f Lopez, Ricardo (November 29, 2014). "Handicapping the next race for governor: The Republicans". Star Tribune. Retrieved March 6, 2015.
  75. ^ Montgomery, David (December 5, 2016). "GOP hopefuls for governor seek support from party". Austin Daily Herald. Retrieved December 6, 2016.
  76. ^ Dillon, Nora (May 25, 2018). "Emmer Files For Reelection". emmerforcongress.com. Retrieved June 1, 2018.
  77. ^ "Karin Housley pulls in $514K for Senate race; businessman Jerry Trooien to enter fray". April 13, 2018. Retrieved June 1, 2018.
  78. ^ "Morning Digest: GOP poll gives Tammy Baldwin an early double-digit lead in Wisconsin Senate race". Daily Kos Elections. February 23, 2017. Retrieved February 24, 2017.
  79. ^ a b Golden, Erin (September 9, 2017). "Republican women consider runs for Minnesota office — but so far, few pulling trigger". Star Tribune. Retrieved 2017-09-19.
  80. ^ "Pillow mogul Mike Lindell denies report he is considering run for governor". Star Tribune. January 17, 2017. Retrieved May 22, 2018.
  81. ^ Carlson, Heather J. (June 7, 2017). "Miller out, but plenty of other GOPers mull 1st District bids". Post-Bulletin. Retrieved June 13, 2017.
  82. ^ Carlson, Heather J. (October 2, 2017). "Nelson running for Congress". Post-Bulletin. Archived from the original on October 3, 2017. Retrieved October 2, 2017.
  83. ^ "Talking Points: Erik Paulsen & The 2018 Election". September 24, 2017. Retrieved June 1, 2018.
  84. ^ Coolican, J. Patrick (May 21, 2017). "Sheriff Rich Stanek running for re-election, not governor, in 2018". Minneapolis Star-Tribune. Archived from the original on May 21, 2017. Retrieved May 22, 2017.
  85. ^ "State Rep. Josh Heintzeman endorses Pawlenty-Fischbach for Governor/Lt. Governor". Tim Pawlenty for Governor. June 25, 2018.[permanent dead link‍]
  86. ^ Tim Pawlenty for Governor. "It's great to see one of our supporters, @SenatorJasinski, out promoting the Pawlenty-Fischbach ticket in Faribault! Don't forget to vote on Tuesday, August 14th! 🇺🇸 #mngov". Twitter.
  87. ^ a b "Two former GOP Speakers of the Minnesota House endorse Pawlenty and Fischbach". Tim Pawlenty for Governor. June 11, 2018.[permanent dead link‍]
  88. ^ "Housing First Minnesota Endorses Tim Pawlenty for Governor". Housing First Minnesota. May 31, 2018.[permanent dead link‍]
  89. ^ "Associated Builders and Contractors Endorses Tim Pawlenty for Governor". Tim Pawlenty for Governor. June 28, 2018.[permanent dead link‍]
  90. ^ "Minnesota Chamber Leadership Fund PAC endorses Pawlenty for governor". Tim Pawlenty for Governor. July 2, 2018.[permanent dead link‍]
  91. ^ Minnesota College Republicans. "MNCRs endorse @TPaw2018 for Governor!". Twitter.
  92. ^ "Police Officers Federation of Minneapolis endorses Pawlenty-Fischbach for Governor/Lt. Governor". Tim Pawlenty for Governor. July 18, 2018. Archived from the original on July 22, 2018. Retrieved July 19, 2018.
  93. ^ "Our View / Endorsement: Pawlenty gives Republicans best shot". Duluth News Tribune. August 1, 2018.
  94. ^ "Star Tribune endorsement for governor in GOP primary: Tim Pawlenty". Star Tribune. August 4, 2018.
  95. ^ "ENDORSEMENT: PAWLENTY IS GOP'S TICKET BACK TO THE GOVERNOR'S MANSION". Mesabi Daily News. August 9, 2018.
  96. ^ Emerson College Archived 2018-08-15 at the Wayback Machine
  97. ^ BK Strategies (R) Archived 2018-06-29 at the Wayback Machine
  98. ^ Dickson, Janiese (May 10, 2017). "Politicians and citizens implore Minnesotans to legalize marijuana at 4/20 rally". City College News.
  99. ^ Golden, Erin (June 16, 2018). "Legal pot advocates join Minnesota races for state, federal offices". Star Tribune. Retrieved June 17, 2018.
  100. ^ "2018 Governor Race Ratings for October 26, 2018". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved 2021-04-10.
  101. ^ "The Washington Post's gubernatorial race ratings". The Washington Post. October 16, 2018.
  102. ^ "2018 Governor Forecast | FiveThirtyEight". FiveThirtyEight. October 17, 2018. Retrieved October 17, 2018.
  103. ^ "2018 Gubernatorial Ratings". Inside Elections. Retrieved 2017-11-15.
  104. ^ "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2018 Governor". www.centerforpolitics.org. Retrieved 2017-11-15.
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  106. ^ "2018 Governor Race Ratings". Daily Kos. June 5, 2018.[permanent dead link‍]
  107. ^ "2018 Midterm Power Ranking". Fox News. October 10, 2021.
  108. ^ "Politico Race Ratings". Politico.
  109. ^ "2018 Governor Elections: As November Nears, More Governors' Races Become Tossups". www.governing.com. Archived from the original on October 21, 2018. Retrieved 2018-07-18.
  110. ^ "Debates get race for Minnesota governor off to a roaring start". Star Tribune. August 18, 2018.
  111. ^ a b "Johnson, Walz spar at State Fair governor's debate". August 31, 2018.
  112. ^ "Johnson, Walz Participate in First Debate in Nisswa | KSTP.com". Archived from the original on 2018-08-19. Retrieved 2018-08-18.
  113. ^ "Almanac | Jeff Johnson + Tim Walz in the first post-primary TV debate | Season 2018 | Episode 48".
  114. ^ Donald J. Trump. "Jeff Johnson of Minnesota had a big night in winning the Republican nomination for Governor against a very strong and well known opponent! Thanks for all of the support you showed me. You have my complete and total Endorsement. You will win in November!". Twitter.
  115. ^ Michael R. Pence. "CONGRATS to @MNJeffJohnson & @PeteStauber on their primary victories in Minnesota last night. They are the kind of strong leaders we need supporting @realDonaldTrump's agenda!". Twitter.
  116. ^ Tom Emmer. "Congratulations to @MNJeffJohnson and @doug_wardlow on their primary wins. Look forward to working with the entire @mngop ticket to #TurnMNRed this November". Twitter.
  117. ^ "Former Lt. Gov. snubs old boss Tim Pawlenty, endorses Jeff Johnson". May 4, 2018. Retrieved August 18, 2018.
  118. ^ "Republican race for governor: Matt Dean drops out, throws support behind Jeff Johnson", Twin Cities Pioneer Press, January 25, 2018. Retrieved January 25, 2018.
  119. ^ Tim Pawlenty. "Although the primary results were not what I had hoped, I have no regrets about the run. Am so grateful for Mary, my campaign team, supporters and friends for the great help and support. I wish @MNJeffJohnson the best as he strives to become MN's next Governor. Support him!". Twitter.
  120. ^ Jeff Johnson. "I'm so proud to have the support of my friend, Gov. Al Quie. He just turned 95, is sharp as a tack and wears his button with pride wherever he goes. God bless you, Al". Twitter.
  121. ^ Michelle Benson. "Update on @Tim_Walz government health care plan. @MNJeffJohnson is correct, it is not good for hospitals. #MNGov". Twitter.
  122. ^ Mike Lindell. ".@MNJeffJohnson for MN Governor! #voteAugust14th". Twitter.
  123. ^ Jeff Johnson. "FARMER ENDORSED. Our campaign is proud to have the endorsement of @MNFarmBureau MN Farmers are the people who move our state forward & help nourish our entire country. We're beyond excited to represent them come November! #OverthrowTheStatusQuo #MNGov". Twitter.
  124. ^ "Job Creators Strongly Support Jeff Johnson for Minnesota Governor". NFIB. September 25, 2018.
  125. ^ Smith, Kelly (October 16, 2018). "Minneapolis police union endorses Republican Jeff Johnson for Minnesota governor". Star Tribune.
  126. ^ Barack Obama. "Today, I'm proud to endorse even more Democratic candidates who aren't just running against something, but for something—to expand opportunity for all of us and to restore dignity, honor, and compassion to public service. They deserve your vote". Twitter.
  127. ^ Amy Klobuchar. "Great event at @HoopsBrewing in Duluth for my friend @Tim_Walz with a big crowd of supporters. Tim is standing up for Minnesota values and for our future. Looking forward to seeing him and @peggyflanagan win in November!". Twitter.
  128. ^ Tina Smith. "I am SO excited to see the incredible turnout everywhere @Tim_Walz and I go. We are hopeful. We have the momentum. And we are not taking ANYTHING for granted over the next 38 days. #OneMinnesota". Twitter.
  129. ^ News Tribune (March 12, 2018). "Nolan endorses Walz for Minnesota governor". Duluth News Tribune.
  130. ^ Eric Garcetti. "Kicking off #EGinMN at the @MinnesotaDFL Founders' Day Dinner listening to @Tim_Walz -- a teacher and coach, veteran and congressman. Fired up by his speech, inspired by the leader he'll be for Minnesota". Twitter.
  131. ^ Jennifer Shultz. "Looking good, Duluth! TY @amyklobuchar, @Tim_Walz & @TonyLourey for visiting with us". Twitter.
  132. ^ "IFO Endorses Tim Walz For Governor!". Tim Walz for Governor. September 28, 2017. Retrieved April 10, 2018.
  133. ^ Change Research
  134. ^ a b c Chris Wright (GLC) with 2%
  135. ^ Research Co.
  136. ^ SurveyUSA
  137. ^ St. Cloud State University
  138. ^ Mason-Dixon Archived 2018-10-21 at the Wayback Machine
  139. ^ Change Research
  140. ^ Chris Wright (GLC) with 4%
  141. ^ Marist College
  142. ^ Mason-Dixon
  143. ^ SurveyUSA
  144. ^ Suffolk University Archived 2018-12-08 at the Wayback Machine
  145. ^ Chris Wright (GLC) with 1%
  146. ^ Emerson College Archived 2018-08-15 at the Wayback Machine
  147. ^ Emerson College Archived 2018-08-15 at the Wayback Machine
  148. ^ a b c BK Strategies Archived 2018-06-29 at the Wayback Machine
  149. ^ Emerson College Archived 2018-08-15 at the Wayback Machine
  150. ^ Emerson College Archived 2018-08-15 at the Wayback Machine
  151. ^ Public Policy Polling (D-A Better Minnesota)
  152. ^ "Minnesota Secretary of State - 2018 General Election Results". Archived from the original on 2020-04-10. Retrieved 2018-12-12.
  153. ^ "Daily Kos Elections' statewide election results by congressional and legislative districts". Daily Kos. Retrieved August 11, 2020.
  154. ^ "Minnesota gubernatorial election exit poll". CNN. Retrieved November 20, 2018.
[edit]

Official campaign websites

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