2018 Texas gubernatorial election
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Turnout | 53.01% (of registered voters) 19.31pp 42.07% (of voting age population)[1] | ||||||||||||||||
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Abbott: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Valdez: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 40–50% 50% No data | |||||||||||||||||
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Elections in Texas |
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Government |
The 2018 Texas gubernatorial election took place on November 6, 2018, to elect the governor of Texas, concurrently with the election of Texas's Class I U.S. Senate seat, as well as other congressional, state and local elections throughout the United States and Texas. Incumbent Republican governor Greg Abbott won re-election to a second term in office[2] defeating Democratic nominee Lupe Valdez, the former sheriff of Dallas County, and Libertarian nominee Mark Tippetts, a former member of the Lago Vista city council.
The Republican and Democratic party primaries were held on March 6, 2018, making them the first primaries of the 2018 electoral season.[3] Abbott won the March 6 primary with 90% of the vote to receive the Republican nomination, while Democratic candidates Lupe Valdez and Andrew White advanced to a May 22 runoff.[4] Valdez defeated White in the runoff with 53.1% of the vote and faced Abbott in the general election as the Democratic nominee.[5]
Valdez's nomination made her the first openly gay person nominated for governor by a major party in the state.[6]
Tippetts was nominated at the Libertarian Party of Texas' state convention in Houston April 13–15, 2018. He defeated three challengers, as well as the None Of The Above option, on the first ballot and received more than 70% approval from Libertarian party delegates.
Despite considerably closer contests in other Texas state elections, Abbott handily won a second term with the highest margin of victory of any state official on the ballot, although Valdez also won the largest vote share for a Democratic gubernatorial candidate since Ann Richards in 1994.[7] Tippetts' showing exceeded the previous record for most votes for a Libertarian nominee for Texas governor; that record had been set in 1990.
The election also took place alongside a closer, higher-profile Senate race between Beto O'Rourke and Ted Cruz, which may have played a factor in making the Democratic gubernatorial candidate considerably more competitive than in 2014. Abbott won a majority among white voters (72% to 26%), while Valdez won majorities among African Americans (80% to 16%) and Latinos (63% to 35%).[8]
Republican primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominated
[edit]- Greg Abbott, incumbent governor and former Texas Attorney General[9]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Larry Kilgore, secession activist[10][11]
- Barbara Krueger, retired teacher[12]
Declined
[edit]- Dan Patrick, Lieutenant Governor of Texas (running for re-election)[13]
- Joe Straus, Speaker of the Texas House of Representatives[14][15]
Endorsements
[edit]U.S. executive branch officials
- Donald Trump, 45th President of the United States[16]
- Mike Pence, 48th Vice President of the United States[17]
U.S. senators
- John Cornyn, U.S. senator (R-TX)[17]
- Ted Cruz, U.S. senator (R-TX)[17]
Statewide officeholders
Organizations
Newspapers
Religious leaders
- Flip Benham, evangelist and leader of Operation Save America
- Bob Enyart, pastor of Denver Bible Church
- Matt Trewhella, evangelist[21]
Polling
[edit]Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Greg Abbott |
Barbara Krueger |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Dixie Strategies[22] | February 22–23, 2018 | – | ± 4.7% | 84% | 2% | 1%[23] | 13% |
University of Texas[24] | February 1–12, 2018 | 612 | ± 5.3% | 95% | 5% | 0%[25] | – |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Greg Abbott (incumbent) | 1,392,310 | 90.38% | −1.11% | |
Republican | Barbara Krueger | 127,549 | 8.28% | ||
Republican | Larry Kilgore | 20,504 | 1.33% | −0.09% | |
Total votes | 1,540,363 | 100% | +202,488 | ||
Turnout | 10.10%[27] | −0.26%'"`UNIQ−−ref−00000046−QINU`"' |
Democratic primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominated
[edit]- Lupe Valdez, former Dallas County Sheriff[28]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]- James Jolly Clark, businessman[29]
- Cedric Davis, former mayor of Balch Springs[30]
- Joe Mumbach, businessman[31]
- Adrian Ocegueda, financial analyst[32][33]
- Jeffrey Payne, businessman and 2009 International Mr. Leather[34][35][36]
- Demetria Smith, mortgage broker[29][37]
- Tom Wakely, hospice chaplain and nominee for TX-21 in 2016[38][33]
- Andrew White, entrepreneur and son of Governor Mark White[39]
- Grady Yarbrough, retired educator[32][33][40]
Withdrew
[edit]- Garry Brown, candidate for Travis County Commission in 2014[41][42]
- Lee Weaver[43][44]
Declined
[edit]- Rafael Anchia, state representative[45]
- Dwight Boykins, Houston City Councilman[46][47]
- Joaquín Castro, U.S. representative[48][49]
- Julian Castro, former United States Secretary of Housing and Urban Development and Mayor of San Antonio[50]
- Mike Collier, businessman and nominee for Comptroller in 2014 (running for Lieutenant Governor)[51][52]
- Wendy Davis, former state senator and nominee in 2014[53][54]
- Pete Gallego, former U.S. representative[55][56]
- Eva Longoria, actress and political activist[57]
- Jack Martin, CEO of Hill+Knowlton Strategies[58]
- Trey Martinez Fischer, former state representative[59][60][58]
- William McRaven, Chancellor of the University of Texas System, retired Navy Admiral and former Commander of the United States Special Operations Command[61][62]
- Michael Sorrell, president of Paul Quinn College[63][57][58][64]
- Allen Vaught, former state representative[59]
Endorsements
[edit]Newspapers
U.S. cabinet and cabinet-level officials
- Julián Castro, former United States Secretary of Housing and Urban Development and former mayor of San Antonio[66]
U.S. representatives
- Joaquín Castro, U.S. representative (D-TX 20th District)[67]
- Gabby Giffords, former U.S. representative (D-AZ 8th District) and gun control activist[68]
Texas state senators
- Sylvia Garcia, former state senator (D-6th District) and U.S. representative for Texas's 29th congressional district[69]
- José Menéndez, state senator (D-20th District)[70]
- José Rodríguez, state senator (D-29th District)[71]
- Leticia Van de Putte, former state senator (D-26th District), 2014 Democratic nominee for lieutenant governor, and 2015 candidate for mayor of San Antonio[72]
Texas state representatives
- Roberto Alonzo, state representative (D-104th District)[73]
- Carol Alvarado, state representative (D-145th District)[74]
- Rafael Anchia, state representative (D-103rd District)[75]
- Diana Arévalo, state representative (D-116th District)[73]
- Diego Bernal, state representative (D-123rd District)[73]
- César Blanco, state representative (D-76th District)[73]
- Terry Canales, state representative (D-40th District)[76]
- Nicole Collier, state representative (D-95th District)[73]
- Jessica Farrar, state representative (D-148th District)[73]
- Mary González, state representative (D-75th District)[73]
- Ryan Guillen, state representative (D-31st District)[73]
- Domingo García, former state representative (D-104th District)[77]
- Ana Hernandez, state representative (D-143rd District)[74]
- Gina Hinojosa, state representative (D-49th District)[78]
- Celia Israel, state representative (D-50th District)[73]
- Mando Martinez, state representative (D-39th District)[73]
- Ina Minjarez, state representative (D-124th District) [73]
- Sergio Muñoz, state representative (D-36th District)[73]
- Victoria Neave, state representative (D-107th District)[73]
- Poncho Nevárez, state representative (D-74th District)[73]
- Lina Ortega, state representative (D-77th District)[71]
- Ron Reynolds, state representative (D-27th District)[71]
- Eddie Rodriguez, state representative (D-51st District)[71]
- Justin Rodriguez, state representative (D-125th District)[71]
Local officeholders
- Sammy Casados, Pasadena City Council member[74]
- Theresa Daniel, Dallas County commissioner[79]
- Chris Diaz, Harris County constable[74]
- Robert Gallegos, Houston City Council member[74]
- Adrian Garcia, former Harris County sheriff[74]
- Elba Garcia, Dallas County commissioner[79]
- Gilbert Gonzales, mayor of Raymondville, Texas[80]
- Clay Jenkins, Dallas County judge[81]
- Omar Lucio, sheriff of Cameron County, Texas[82]
- John Wiley Price, Dallas County commissioner[79]
- Jeff Travillion, Travis County commissioner[71]
- Richard Wiles, sheriff of El Paso County, Texas[83]
Individuals
- John Leguizamo, actor[84]
- Diane Ravitch, former Assistant Secretary of Education, educational policy analyst and research professor at New York University[85]
- Cecile Richards, former president of Planned Parenthood and pro-choice activist[86]
Organizations
- AFL–CIO[87]
- Equality Texas[88]
- Houston Area Stonewall Democrats[89]
- Gay & Lesbian Victory Fund
- Planned Parenthood[90][91]
- Stonewall Democrats of Austin[92]
- Stonewall Democrats of Dallas[89]
- Stonewall Democrats of Denton County[89]
- Stonewall Democrats of San Antonio[93]
Newspapers
- Austin Chronicle (First primary round only, did not endorse a candidate in runoff)[94]
- Corpus Christi Caller-Times[95]
Texas state representatives
- Garnet Coleman, state representative (D-147th District)[96]
Local officeholders
- Cedric Davis, former mayor of Balch Springs and candidate for the 2018 gubernatorial Democratic nomination[97]
Individuals
- Michael Cooper, pastor and candidate for the 2018 Lieutenant Governor Democratic nomination[97]
Organizations
- Houston GLBT Political Caucus[98]
- Houston Stonewall Young Democrats[99]
- Harris County Young Democrats[100]
- Jolt Texas[101]
- Moms Demand Action[102]
- North East Bexar County Democrats[103]
Newspapers
First round
[edit]Polling
[edit]Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Adrian Ocegueda |
Jeffrey Payne |
Lupe Valdez |
Tom Wakely |
Andrew White |
Grady Yarbrough |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Dixie Strategies[22] | February 22–23, 2018 | – | ± 5.7% | 6% | 1% | 12% | 2% | 17% | 1% | 6%[109] | 54% |
University of Texas[24] | February 1–12, 2018 | 453 | ± 7.4% | 5% | 5% | 43% | 7% | 24% | 7% | 8%[110] | – |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Lupe Valdez | 436,666 | 42.89% | ||
Democratic | Andrew White | 278,708 | 27.37% | ||
Democratic | Cedric Davis Sr. | 83,938 | 8.24% | ||
Democratic | Grady Yarbrough | 54,660 | 5.36% | ||
Democratic | Jeffrey Payne | 48,407 | 4.75% | ||
Democratic | Adrian Ocegueda | 44,825 | 4.4% | ||
Democratic | Tom Wakely | 34,889 | 3.42% | ||
Democratic | James Clark | 21,945 | 2.15% | ||
Democratic | Joe Mumbach | 13,921 | 1.36% | ||
Total votes | 1,017,959 | 100% | +463,945 | ||
Turnout | 6.67%[27] | +2.6%'"`UNIQ−−ref−000000DC−QINU`"' |
Runoff
[edit]Lupe Valdez and Andrew White proceeded to a run-off on May 22 since neither received 50% of the vote in the first round of the primary.[4] Lupe Valdez won the runoff.[112]
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Lupe Valdez | 227,577 | 53.1 | ||
Democratic | Andrew White | 201,356 | 46.9 | ||
Total votes | 432,180 | 100 |
Libertarian nomination
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominated
[edit]- Mark Tippetts, former Lago Vista City Councilman[113]
Defeated at Convention
[edit]General election
[edit]Debates
[edit]- Complete video of debate, September 28, 2018
Endorsements
[edit]Federal officials
- Donald Trump, President of the United States[16]
- Mike Pence, Vice President of the United States[17]
U.S. senators
- John Cornyn, U.S. senator (R-TX)[17]
- Ted Cruz, U.S. senator (R-TX)[17]
Statewide officeholders
- Christi Craddick, Railroad Commissioner of Texas[116]
- Sid Miller, Agriculture Commissioner of Texas[117]
- Dan Patrick, Lieutenant Governor of Texas[18]
- Ken Paxton, Attorney General of Texas[118]
Texas state senators
- Konni Burton, state senator (R-10th District)[119]
- Bob Hall, state senator (R-2nd District)[119]
- Don Huffines, state senator (R-16th District)[120]
- Van Taylor, state senator (R-8th District) [121]
Texas state representatives
- Angie Chen Button, state representative (R-112nd District)[120]
- Jeff Leach, state representative (R-33rd District) [118]
- Linda Koop, state representative (R-102nd District)[120]
- Jeff Leach, state representative (R-67th District)[119]
- Matt Rinaldi, state representative (R-115th District)[120]
- Scott Sanford, state representative (R-70th District)[119]
- Matt Shaheen, state representative (R-66th District)[119]
- Valoree Swanson, state representative (R-150th District)
Local officeholders
- Diane Costa, former mayor of Highland Village, Texas[122]
- Faith Johnson, Dallas County District Attorney[120]
Individuals
- Glenn Beck, television/radio host and political commentator [123]
- Jerry Jones, businessman and owner of the Dallas Cowboys[119]
- Angela Paxton, wife of Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton and Republican candidate for Texas Senate, District 8.
Organizations
- Associated Plumbing, Heating, Cooling Contractors of Texas[124]
- Empower Texans[19]
- NRA Political Victory Fund[20]
- Rural Friends of Electric Cooperatives [125]
- Texas Agricultural Aviation Association [126]
- Texas Hospital Association [127]
- Texas Pyrotechnic Association [128]
- Combined Law Enforcement Associations of Texas[129]
- National Federation of Independent Business[130]
- Dallas County Sheriff's Association[131]
Newspapers
U.S. cabinet and cabinet-level officials
- Julián Castro, former United States Secretary of Housing and Urban Development and former mayor of San Antonio[66]
- Tom Perez, former United States Secretary of Labor and chairman of the Democratic National Committee[135]
U.S. representatives
- Joaquín Castro, U.S. representative (D-TX 20th District)[67]
- Gabby Giffords, former U.S. representative (D-AZ 8th District) and gun control activist[68]
- Seth Moulton, U.S. representative (D-MA 6th District)[136]
Texas state senators
- Wendy Davis, former state senator (D-District 10) and 2014 Democratic nominee for Governor of Texas[137]
- Sylvia Garcia, state senator (D-6th District) and Democratic nominee for Texas's 29th congressional district[69]
- José Menéndez, state senator (D-20th District)[70]
- José Rodríguez, state senator (D-29th District) [71]
- Leticia Van de Putte, former state senator (D-26th District), 2014 Democratic nominee for lieutenant governor, and 2015 candidate for mayor of San Antonio[72]
Texas state representatives
- Roberto Alonzo, state representative (D-104th District)[73]
- Carol Alvarado, state representative (D-145th District)[74]
- Rafael Anchia, state representative (D-103rd District)[75]
- Diana Arévalo, state representative (D-116th District)[73]
- Diego Bernal, state representative (D-123rd District)[73]
- César Blanco, state representative (D-76th District)[73]
- Terry Canales, state representative (D-40th District)[76]
- Nicole Collier, state representative (D-95th District)[73]
- Jessica Farrar, state representative (D-148th District)[73]
- Mary González, state representative (D-75th District)[73]
- Ryan Guillen, state representative (D-31st District)[73]
- Domingo García, former state representative (D-104th District)[77]
- Ana Hernandez, state representative (D-143rd District)[74]
- Gina Hinojosa, state representative (D-49th District)[78]
- Celia Israel, state representative (D-50th District)[73]
- Eric Johnson, state representative (D-100th District)[138]
- Mando Martinez, state representative (D-39th District)[73]
- Ina Minjarez, state representative (D-124th District) [73]
- Sergio Muñoz, state representative (D-36th District) [73]
- Victoria Neave, state representative (D-107th District) [73]
- Poncho Nevárez, state representative (D-74th District) [73]
- Lina Ortega, state representative (D-77th District) [71]
- Ron Reynolds, state representative (D-27th District) [71]
- Eddie Rodriguez, state representative (D-51st District) [71]
- Justin Rodriguez, state representative (D-125th District) [71]
- Chris Turner, state representative (D-101st District) and Chair of the Texas House Democratic Caucus [139]
Local officeholders
- Sammy Casados, Pasadena City Council member[74]
- Theresa Daniel, Dallas County commissioner[79]
- Chris Diaz, Harris County constable[74]
- Robert Gallegos, Houston City Council member[74]
- Adrian Garcia, former Harris County sheriff[74]
- Elba Garcia, Dallas County commissioner [79]
- Gilbert Gonzales, mayor of Raymondville, Texas[80]
- Clay Jenkins, Dallas County Judge[81]
- Omar Lucio, sheriff of Cameron County, Texas[82]
- John Wiley Price, Dallas County commissioner[79]
- Jeff Travillion, Travis County commissioner[71]
- Richard Wiles, Sheriff of El Paso County, Texas[83]
Individuals
- John Leguizamo, actor[84]
- Mike Collier, businessman and 2018 Democratic nominee for Lieutenant Governor of Texas[140]
- Diane Ravitch, former assistant U.S. secretary of education, educational policy analyst and research professor at New York University[85]
- Joy-Ann Reid, MSNBC national correspondent and television host[141]
- Cecile Richards, former president of Planned Parenthood and pro-choice activist[86]
- George Takei, actor[142]
- Andrew White, businessman, son of former Texas Governor Mark White and candidate for the 2018 Texas gubernatorial Democratic nomination[143]
Organizations
Governors
- Gary Johnson, former governor of New Mexico and Libertarian nominee for President of the United States in the 2012 and 2016 elections.[146]
- William Weld, former governor of Massachusetts and Libertarian nominee for Vice-President of the United States in the 2016 election.[147]
Individuals
- Christian Ehmling, political activist, Editor in Chief of East County Liberty Talk, former Republican candidate for Texas House of Representatives District 16[148]
- Kinky Friedman, singer, songwriter, humorist, novelist, former candidate for governor, and former columnist for Texas Monthly[149]
- Rob Kampia, co-founder and former Executive Director of the Marijuana Policy Project[150]
- Mary Ruwart, biomedical researcher and Libertarian activist [150]
- Nicholas Sarwark, Chairman of the Libertarian National Committee[151]
Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[152] | Safe R | October 26, 2018 |
The Washington Post[153] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
FiveThirtyEight[154] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
Rothenberg Political Report[155] | Safe R | November 1, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[156] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
RealClearPolitics[157] | Safe R | November 4, 2018 |
Daily Kos[158] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
Fox News[159][a] | Likely R | November 5, 2018 |
Politico[160] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
Governing[161] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
- Notes
- ^ The Fox News Midterm Power Rankings uniquely does not contain a category for Safe/Solid races
Polling
[edit]Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Greg Abbott (R) |
Lupe Valdez (D) |
Mark Tippetts (L) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College[162] | October 28–30, 2018 | 781 | ± 3.7% | 51% | 43% | 2% | – | 4% |
Quinnipiac University[163] | October 22–28, 2018 | 1,078 | ± 3.5% | 54% | 40% | – | 1% | 6% |
University of Texas Tyler[164] | October 15–28, 2018 | 1,033 | ± 3.0% | 53% | 32% | – | 5% | 10% |
Dixie Strategies[165] | October 25–26, 2018 | 588 | ± 4.0% | 59% | 33% | – | – | 7% |
University of Texas/YouGov[166] | October 15–21, 2018 | 927 | ± 3.2% | 56% | 37% | 3% | 4% | – |
Ipsos[167] | October 12–18, 2018 | 1,298 | ± 3.2% | 53% | 38% | – | 3% | 6% |
CNN/SSRS[168] | October 9–13, 2018 | 716 LV | ± 4.5% | 57% | 39% | – | 0% | 3% |
862 RV | ± 4.1% | 56% | 38% | – | 0% | 4% | ||
NYT Upshot/Siena College[169] | October 8–11, 2018 | 800 | ± 3.6% | 57% | 35% | – | – | 8% |
Quinnipiac University[170] | October 3–9, 2018 | 730 | ± 4.4% | 58% | 38% | – | 0% | 4% |
Emerson College[171] | October 1–5, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 53% | 33% | – | 3% | 11% |
Epstein Group[172] | September 15–24, 2018 | 1,200 | ± 2.9% | 58% | 29% | 3% | – | 10% |
Vox Populi Polling[173] | September 16–18, 2018 | 508 | ± 4.4% | 55% | 45% | – | – | – |
Quinnipiac University[174] | September 11–17, 2018 | 807 | ± 4.1% | 58% | 39% | – | 0% | 3% |
Ipsos[175] | September 6–14, 2018 | 992 | ± 4.0% | 50% | 41% | – | 2% | 6% |
Crosswind Media & Public Relations[176] | September 6–9, 2018 | 800 | ± 4.0% | 52% | 39% | – | – | – |
Dixie Strategies[177] | September 6–7, 2018 | 519 | ± 4.3% | 53% | 34% | 1% | – | 12% |
Emerson College[178] | August 22–25, 2018 | 550 | ± 4.4% | 48% | 28% | – | 3% | 20% |
Marist College[179] | August 12–16, 2018 | 759 | ± 3.8% | 56% | 37% | – | <1% | 6% |
Quinnipiac University[180] | July 26–31, 2018 | 1,118 | ± 3.5% | 51% | 38% | – | 1% | 9% |
Texas Lyceum[181] | July 9–26, 2018 | 441 LV | ± 4.7% | 47% | 31% | 1% | – | 22% |
806 RV | ± 3.5% | 44% | 25% | 3% | – | 28% | ||
Gravis Marketing[182] | July 3–7, 2018 | 602 | ± 4.0% | 51% | 41% | – | – | 8% |
University of Texas/YouGov[183] | June 8–17, 2018 | 1,200 | ± 2.8% | 44% | 32% | 4% | 4% | 16% |
Quinnipiac University[184] | May 23–29, 2018 | 961 | ± 3.8% | 53% | 34% | – | 1% | 9% |
JMC Analytics (R-Red Metrics Group)[185] | May 19–21, 2018 | 575 | ± 4.1% | 48% | 36% | – | – | 16% |
Quinnipiac University[186] | April 12–17, 2018 | 1,029 | ± 3.6% | 49% | 40% | – | 0% | 9% |
with Andrew White
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Greg Abbott (R) |
Andrew White (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
JMC Analytics (R-Red Metrics Group)[185] | May 19–21, 2018 | 575 | ± 4.1% | 50% | 39% | – | 10% |
Quinnipiac University[186] | April 12–17, 2018 | 1,029 | ± 3.6% | 48% | 41% | 0% | 9% |
with Julian Castro
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Greg Abbott (R) |
Julian Castro (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling[187] | August 12–14, 2016 | 944 | ± 3.2% | 57% | 28% | – | 15% |
with Wendy Davis
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Greg Abbott (R) |
Wendy Davis (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling[187] | August 12–14, 2016 | 944 | ± 3.2% | 57% | 32% | – | 11% |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Greg Abbott (incumbent) | 4,656,196 | 55.81% | −3.46% | |
Democratic | Lupe Valdez | 3,546,615 | 42.51% | +3.61% | |
Libertarian | Mark Tippetts | 140,632 | 1.69% | +0.28% | |
Total votes | 8,343,443 | 100.00% | N/A | ||
Republican hold |
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic
[edit]- Bexar (largest municipality: San Antonio)
- Culberson (largest municipality: Van Horn)
- Harris (largest municipality: Houston)
- Hays (largest municipality: San Marcos)
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
[edit]- Frio (largest municipality: Pearsall)
- Jim Wells (largest municipality: Alice)
- Val Verde (largest municipality: Del Rio)
By congressional district
[edit]Abbott won 25 of 36 congressional districts, including two that elected Democrats.[189]
Analysis
[edit]Voter demographics
[edit]Voter demographic data was collected by CNN. The voter survey is based on exit polls.[190]
Demographic subgroup | Abbott | Valdez | % of total vote |
---|---|---|---|
Ideology | |||
Liberals | 11 | 83 | 22 |
Moderates | 43 | 55 | 35 |
Conservatives | 88 | 11 | 43 |
Party | |||
Democrats | 11 | 87 | 34 |
Republicans | 93 | 4 | 39 |
Independents | 55 | 40 | 27 |
Age | |||
18–24 years old | 34 | 53 | 8 |
25–29 years old | 31 | 68 | 7 |
30–39 years old | 53 | 44 | 15 |
40–49 years old | 58 | 41 | 17 |
50–64 years old | 60 | 36 | 26 |
65 and older | 62 | 37 | 27 |
Gender | |||
Men | 60 | 36 | 49 |
Women | 50 | 47 | 51 |
Marital status | |||
Married | 60 | 37 | 66 |
Unmarried | 45 | 53 | 34 |
Marital status by gender | |||
Married men | 63 | 35 | 34 |
Married women | 55 | 40 | 31 |
Unmarried men | 48 | 50 | 15 |
Unmarried women | 43 | 56 | 20 |
Race | |||
White | 69 | 29 | 57 |
Non-white | 36 | 60 | 43 |
Race/ethnicity | |||
White | 69 | 29 | 57 |
Black | 15 | 82 | 12 |
Latino | 42 | 53 | 26 |
Asian | N/A | N/A | 3 |
Other | N/A | N/A | 3 |
Gender by race | |||
White men | 75 | 23 | 27 |
White women | 65 | 34 | 29 |
Black men | 24 | 75 | 6 |
Black women | 8 | 89 | 6 |
Latino men | 42 | 49 | 12 |
Latino women | 42 | 56 | 13 |
Other racial/ethnic groups | 53 | 46 | 6 |
Education | |||
Never attended college | 57 | 41 | 21 |
Some college education | 57 | 37 | 26 |
Associate degree | 53 | 44 | 14 |
Bachelor's degree | 58 | 40 | 25 |
Advanced degree | 46 | 53 | 15 |
Education by race | |||
White college graduates | 61 | 37 | 26 |
White no college degree | 76 | 22 | 31 |
Non-white college graduates | 38 | 61 | 14 |
Non-white no college degree | 35 | 60 | 29 |
Education by gender/race | |||
White women with college degrees | 56 | 42 | 13 |
White women without college degrees | 72 | 28 | 17 |
White men with college degrees | 67 | 32 | 13 |
White men without college degrees | 81 | 15 | 14 |
Non-white | 36 | 60 | 43 |
Income | |||
Under $50K | 48 | 50 | 35 |
$50K-$100K | 57 | 43 | 31 |
$100K or more | 69 | 34 | 34 |
2016 presidential vote | |||
Trump | 94 | 3 | 46 |
Clinton | 14 | 85 | 37 |
Other | N/A | N/A | 5 |
Did not vote | N/A | N/A | 11 |
Issue regarded as most important | |||
Immigration | 74 | 16 | 34 |
Economy | 61 | 36 | 21 |
Healthcare | 36 | 62 | 36 |
Gun policy | N/A | N/A | 6 |
Area type | |||
Urban | 45 | 51 | 41 |
Suburban | 59 | 38 | 46 |
Rural | 73 | 26 | 13 |
References
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- ^ a b @LupeValdez (May 10, 2018). ".Honored to have your support, @JulianCastro! This year we have an opportunity to find a path for all Texans to succeed, invest in our public schools, and push back against hate! #VamosValdez" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
- ^ a b @Castro4Congress (February 24, 2018). ".@LupeValdez has spent her entire life fighting for Texans. That's what we need and deserve from our next Texas Governor" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
- ^ a b @GiffordsCourage (May 8, 2018). ".As the former Dallas County Sheriff, @LupeValdez knows the danger of letting guns fall into the wrong hands. She will be a Governor who protects 2nd amendment rights while fighting for gun safety laws, and we are proud to endorse her. https://giffords.org/2018/05/valdez/ #VoteCourage" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
- ^ a b @LupeValdez (March 20, 2018). "Thank you @SenatorSylvia for your support! Grateful for the endorsement, amiga. #txlege" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
- ^ a b @Menendez4Texas (February 26, 2018). "Please take a minute to watch my friend's and Gubernatorial candidate, Lupe Valdez's, video narrated by @JohnLeguizamo" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l "My Endorsements". Lupe Valdez for Governor. Archived from the original on May 11, 2018. Retrieved May 10, 2018.
- ^ a b Tuma, Mary (March 2, 2018). "Election Notes More news from the campaign trail". Retrieved March 1, 2018.
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z aa ab @LupeValdez (March 28, 2018). "I am thrilled to have earned the support from such a diverse and inspiring group of leaders from across our incredible state. Our movement is bringing together Texans of all backgrounds to fight for a new vision for Texas. #txlege" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l @PatrickSvitek (April 25, 2018). ".@LupeValdez rolls out Harris County endorsements ahead of Houston forum this evening with @randrewwhite. #txgov" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
- ^ a b "Lupe Valdez Grassroots Fundraiser hosted by Anchia and Friends". January 11, 2018. Archived from the original on January 16, 2018. Retrieved January 14, 2018.
- ^ a b "Cooking pan de campo with my friend and supporter, State Rep. Terry Canales, in Edinburg tonight. It's great to be back in the Rio Grande Valley for a few days". February 12, 2018. Retrieved February 12, 2018.
- ^ a b Young, Stephen (January 16, 2018). "Initial Fundraising Numbers Show Lupe Valdez Campaign Way Behind". Retrieved January 20, 2018.
- ^ a b @GinaForAustin (February 27, 2018). "If you have a moment, this short video about Sheriff Lupe Valdez who is running for Governor is worth the watch. I am proud to be supporting a candidate who represents the best of who we are" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
- ^ a b c d e f @PatrickSvitek (March 2, 2018). "With four days until primary, @LupeValdez rolls out endorsements from all Democrats on the Dallas County Commissioners Court:" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
- ^ a b "Enjoyed meeting with elected officials and community leaders in Willacy County. Thanks to Raymondville Mayor Gilbert Gonzales for being a wonderful host today!". February 20, 2018. Retrieved March 1, 2018.
- ^ a b Fikac, Peggy (February 11, 2018). "Dallas County judge backing Lupe Valdez for governor". Retrieved February 12, 2018.
- ^ a b "With my good friend Sheriff Omar Lucio on a beautiful South Texas Sunday afternoon. Glad to have his support in Cameron County as we bring back common sense to Texas". January 14, 2018. Retrieved January 14, 2018.
- ^ a b "Wonderful turnout at our meet-and-greet in El Paso last night. Thanks to Sheriff Richard Wiles for hosting us!". February 19, 2018. Retrieved March 1, 2018.
- ^ a b @JohnLeguizamo (March 11, 2018). "Flip it blue #Texas! I know you can! @LupeValdez @MALDEF @LULAC @HispChamberCCC @HispanicArts @HispanicCaucus @LatinosMatter @Latina @NBCLatino @latinovictoryus @RockTheVote" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
- ^ a b @DianeRavitch (March 8, 2018). "I support Lupe Valdez. Since I can't vote for (I live in NY, but born in Texas), I sent money. Time to change Texas!" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
- ^ a b W. Gardner Selby (May 15, 2018). "Did Cecile Richards say there's room in 'her movement' for people who think abortion is wrong?". PolitiFact. Retrieved May 16, 2018.
- ^ a b Ward, Mike (January 22, 2018). "AFL-CIO political arm endorses Lupe Valdez". Retrieved January 30, 2018.
- ^ a b @TexasEquityPAC (April 10, 2018). "The @TexasEquityPAC, the political action committee of @EqualityTexas endorses Democratic Gubernatorial Candidate @LupeValdez for the May 22, 2018 runoff elections. http://www.texasequitypac.org" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
- ^ a b c "Honored to receive the endorsement of the Texas Tejano Democrats. Our grassroots campaign is proud of the many Democratic endorsements we've received including Planned Parenthood Texas Votes, the Texas AFL-CIO, Stonewall chapters in Houston, Dallas, San Antonio, and Denton, and numerous other progressive organizations across our state". February 5, 2018. Retrieved February 5, 2018.
- ^ a b Tilove, Jonathan (February 5, 2018). "Knocked for a Lupe". Archived from the original on February 5, 2018. Retrieved February 5, 2018.
- ^ a b "For decades, millions of Texans, including women and their families, have come to rely on Planned Parenthood for critical healthcare services. Planned Parenthood has stood strong defending Texas women's rights. I'm honored to stand with them and have their endorsement". February 5, 2018. Retrieved February 5, 2018.
- ^ "Stonewall Endorsed Candidates for March 6 Primaries - Stonewall Democrats of Austin". Stonewallaustin.org. Retrieved May 22, 2018.
- ^ Sanchez, Sam (January 29, 2018). "Stonewall Democrats Announce Endorsements for March Primary". Retrieved January 30, 2018.
- ^ Chronicle Editorial Board (February 16, 2018). "Chronicle Endorsements". Retrieved February 20, 2018.
- ^ Editorial Board (February 19, 2018). "Texas Primary Election 2018: Corpus Christi Caller-Times Endorsements". Retrieved February 20, 2018.
- ^ Svitek, Patrick (December 7, 2017). "Democrat Andrew White, son of late Gov. Mark White, announces gubernatorial bid". Retrieved January 17, 2018.
- ^ a b @PatrickSvitek (March 11, 2018). "Missed this -- @randrewwhite endorsed by Cedric Davis, who finished 3rd out of 9 in #txgov primary Tuesday (8%), and Michael Cooper, runner-up in lite gov primary who got 48% against @CollierForTexas" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
- ^ "Endorsements". February 4, 2018. Retrieved February 4, 2018.
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- ^ @jolt_texas (April 29, 2018). "We're proud to announce that Jolt endorses @BetoORourke for U.S. Senate & @randrewwhite for Texas Governor" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
- ^ @randrewwhite (April 19, 2018). "Honored to receive the Gun-Sense Candidate distinction from @MomsDemand. I believe, as they do, that we can fully support the 2nd Amendment while supporting common-sense gun legislation that reduces death & injury from gun violence in our state & country. #GunReformNow #DoRightTX" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
- ^ @PatrickSvitek (April 16, 2018). "Inbox: North East Bexar County Democrats endorse @randrewwhite in #txgov runoff against @LupeValdez. White spoke to the group Saturday morning" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
- ^ Sean Collins Walsh (February 3, 2018). "For Governor:Andrew White is the Democratic Party's George W. Bush in 2018". Retrieved February 4, 2018.
- ^ Dallas Morning News Editorial (February 4, 2018). "We recommend Andrew White in the Democratic primary for Texas Governor". Retrieved February 4, 2018.
- ^ "Abbott and White in governor's races - San Antonio Express-News". M.mysanantonio.com. February 19, 2018. Retrieved February 27, 2018.
- ^ "Andrew White is the best gubernatorial candidate for students | The Daily Texan". Dailytexanonline.com. February 20, 2018. Archived from the original on February 22, 2018. Retrieved February 27, 2018.
- ^ "Andrew White is the best Democrat to face Greg Abbott in the fall". Star-telegram.com. Retrieved May 12, 2018.
- ^ James Clark 4%, Cedric Davis 2%, Joe Mumbach 0%
- ^ Cedric Davis 4%, Joe Mumbach 3%, James Clark 1%
- ^ a b "2018 Democratic Party Primary Election - RESULTS". March 10, 2018. Archived from the original on March 10, 2018. Retrieved May 22, 2018.
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- ^ Craddick, Christi [@ChristiCraddick] (March 16, 2018). "Calling all Texas Republican women. #KeepTexasRed @TexasGOP @TFRW" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
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- ^ a b @MattShaheen (September 3, 2018). "WHuge Collin County GOP Labor Day Rally! So many fired up about Keeping Texas Red to continue our growing prosperity and high quality of life!! #VoteGOP #HD66 @GregAbbott_TX @VanTaylorTX @KenPaxtonTX @AngelaPaxtonTX @candynoble @Scott_SanfordTX @leachfortexas @justinaholland" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
- ^ a b c d e f @AngelaPaxtonTX (March 20, 2018). "What a wonderful event today in Frisco hosted by Jerry Jones for @GregAbbott_TX. So good to see so many friends. Thank you Bobby and Phyllis Ray for inviting me as your guest. @leachfortexas @MattShaheen @candynoble @Scott_SanfordTX @SenBobHall @KonniBurton" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
- ^ a b c d e @MattRinaldiTX (May 5, 2018). "What enthusiasm gap? Great crowd at @DallasGOP block walk w/ @GregAbbott_TX @DonHuffines @LindaKoopHD102 @AngieChenButton @lisalubyryan. #txlege #KeepTexasRed" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
- ^ @VanTaylorTX (September 5, 2018). "America as #1. Republican policies are driving economic success. Proud to work w @GregAbbott_TX @leachfortexas @Scott_SanfordTX @CandyNobleHD89 forTexas and Collin County" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
- ^ Crossroads Today (May 5, 2018). "Gov. Greg Abbott to kick off statewide Block Walking Event". Retrieved May 5, 2018.
- ^ @glennbeck (May 27, 2018). "@GregAbbott_TX is the best governor I have ever had the honor to watch. Soro's is pouring millions into Texas to turn it blue. Only TWO counties are keeping Texas Red. It is that close. #wakeuptexans I pray for the Gov to remain strong, decent and in office" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
- ^ @AbbottCampaign (April 11, 2018). ".@GregAbbott_TX: ".@GregAbbott_TX: "I am proud to receive the endorsement of the Associated Plumbing-Heating-Cooling Contractors of Texas PAC. They understand the importance of fostering successful small businesses & economic achievements through low taxes & reasonable regulations."" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
- ^ @AbbottCampaign (April 6, 2018). ".@GregAbbott_TX: .@GregAbbott_TX: "I am proud to receive the endorsement of the Rural Friends of Electric Cooperatives PAC, an organization that works diligently to provide energy resources to rural Texans and businesses."" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
- ^ @AbbottCampaign (April 18, 2018). ".@GregAbbott_TX: "I look forward to working with the Texas Agricultural Aviation Association and others over the next four years as we bring even more innovation to Texas' thriving agricultural industry."" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
- ^ @AbbottCampaign (May 3, 2018). ".@GregAbbott_TX: ".@GregAbbott_TX: "I am honored to receive the endorsement of the Texas Hospital Association's political action committee, and I am excited to work with them to strengthen our hospitals and health systems and provide even greater care to the people of Texas.""" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
- ^ @AbbottCampaign (April 25, 2018). ".@GregAbbott_TX: ".@GregAbbott_TX: "I am honored to receive the endorsement of the Texas Pyrotechnic Association PAC, an organization that epitomizes the powerful force of small businesses in our great state."" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
- ^ McGaughy, Lauren (July 27, 2018). "Largest police group in Texas endorses Greg Abbott over former Dallas County Sheriff Lupe Valdez". The Dallas Morning News.
- ^ "WATCH: NFIB Texas PAC Endorses Governor Abbott for Second Term". NFIB. July 12, 2018.
- ^ Tarrant, David (September 20, 2018). "Dallas sheriff's association endorses Gov. Greg Abbott over their former boss, Lupe Valdez". DallasNews.com.
- ^ "We recommend Greg Abbott for governor". Dallas Morning News. October 18, 2018.
- ^ "Gov. Abbott for a second term". San Antonio Express-News. October 18, 2018.
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- ^ @TomPerez (May 24, 2018). ".Representation matters and we are working hard to elect Democratic candidates in every ZIP code and up and down the ballot who look like the people they serve. ¡Adelante, @LupeValdez!" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
- ^ @sethmoulton (September 20, 2018). "I am proud to endorse a new group of @serve_america candidates who will put public service before personal gain. They are ready to bring a new generation of leadership to Washington and to state capitals across the country! I hope you will join me in supporting their campaigns" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
- ^ @WendyDavis (May 22, 2018). "Congratulations @LupeValdez!" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
- ^ @JohnsonforTexas (May 31, 2018). "Great to spend time with my fellow @dallasdemocrats, especially my wife @FemmeNakita and the next Governor of Texas, @LupeValdez! #JohnsonJordan18 #txlege" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
- ^ @ChrisGTurner (May 22, 2018). "Congratulations to @LupeValdez on winning the Democratic nomination for #TXgov. And thank you to @randrewwhite for the race you ran. Onward to November! #txlege" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
- ^ @CollierforTexas (May 22, 2018). "Congratulations to @LupeValdez for winning the Democratic nomination for Governor of Texas. I look forward to working with Sheriff Valdez to help make a better state for ALL Texans" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
- ^ "Lupe Valdez Speaks to Her Win as Democratic Nominee for Texas Governor". MSNBC. May 28, 2018. Retrieved May 28, 2018.
- ^ @GeorgeTakei (May 23, 2018). "Congratulations to @LupeValdez, who won her primary for governor of Texas and is pretty much Trump's worst nightmare: a lesbian, Latina former sheriff—in short, the progressive answer to bigot and pardoned felon Joe Arpaio. Give her a follow, friends. #BlueWave" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
- ^ @randrewwhite (May 22, 2018). "Congratulations to @LupeValdez for winning the Democratic nomination for Governor of Texas. She has my endorsement and my support. Let's #DoRightTX and win in November!" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
- ^ @AnniesListTX (May 23, 2018). "Annie's List is pleased to announce our endorsement of @LupeValdez for Governor, @joifortexas for Comptroller and @KimOlson4TxAg for Commissioner of Agriculture. We are excited for their campaigns and believe these women truly represent the future of Texas!" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
- ^ @HRC (September 7, 2018). ".@HRC is proud to endorse @LupeValdez for governor of Texas. She is the first out #LGBTQ Latina candidate in the nation to win a major party's nomination for governor. #VamosValdez #TXGov #TXLege http://www.hrc.org/blog/hrc-endorses-lupe-valdez-in-her-historic-bid-for-governor-of-texas …" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
- ^ @Mark4Gov (May 24, 2018). "It was great to receive an endorsement from @GovGaryJohnson recently. He has also agreed to serve as a policy adviser on my campaign – thank you Gary! Check out the rest of my team at https://mark4gov.com/?page_id=12" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
- ^ @GovBillWeld (August 25, 2018). "Mark Tippetts is a business leader, father of four, and understands the issues facing Texans today. He knows what it takes to create jobs, keep government out of the way, and defend our freedoms. He will make a great Governor. I proudly endorse @Mark4Gov for Governor of Texas" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
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- ^ @Mark4Gov (July 13, 2018). "IWith @nsarwark, the chair of the Libertarian National Party. #LetMarkDebate #EndTwoPartyRule" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
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- ^ Vox Populi Polling
- ^ Quinnipiac University
- ^ Ipsos Archived September 20, 2018, at the Wayback Machine
- ^ Crosswind Media & Public Relations
- ^ Dixie Strategies
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ Marist College
- ^ Quinnipiac University
- ^ Texas Lyceum
- ^ Gravis Marketing
- ^ University of Texas/YouGov
- ^ Quinnipiac University
- ^ a b JMC Analytics (R-Red Metrics Group)
- ^ a b Quinnipiac University
- ^ a b Public Policy Polling
- ^ "2018 General Election". Texas Secretary of State. Retrieved December 5, 2018.
- ^ "Texas 2018 Senate and governor by Congressional District".
- ^ a b "2018 Texas Exit Polls". CNN Politics. Retrieved August 21, 2024.
External links
[edit]Debates
Official campaign websites