2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Arkansas
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All 4 Arkansas seats to the United States House of Representatives | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Elections in Arkansas |
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The 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Arkansas were held on Tuesday, November 6, 2018, to elect the four U.S. representatives from the U.S. state of Arkansas; one from each of the state's four congressional districts. Primaries were held on May 22, 2018. The elections and primaries coincided with the elections and primaries of other federal and state offices. Polls were open from 7:30 AM to 7:30 PM CST.[1] This election marked the first time in eight years where the Democrats contested every seat.
Overview
[edit]District
[edit]Results of the 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Arkansas by district:[2]
District | Republican | Democratic | Others | Total | Result | ||||
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Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | ||
District 1 | 138,757 | 68.95% | 57,907 | 28.77% | 4,581 | 2.28% | 201,245 | 100.0% | Republican Hold |
District 2 | 132,125 | 52.13% | 116,135 | 45.82% | 5,193 | 2.05% | 253,453 | 100.0% | Republican Hold |
District 3 | 148,717 | 64.78% | 74,952 | 32.65% | 6,039 | 2.57% | 229,568 | 100.0% | Republican Hold |
District 4 | 136,740 | 66.74% | 63,984 | 31.23% | 4,168 | 2.03% | 204,892 | 100.0% | Republican Hold |
Total | 556,339 | 62.56% | 312,978 | 35.19% | 19,981 | 2.25% | 889,298 | 100.0% |
District 1
[edit]
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Results by county Crawford: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Desai: 50–60% 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||
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Incumbent Republican Rick Crawford, who had represented the district since 2011, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 76% of the vote in 206. The district had a PVI of R+16.
Republican primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Rick Crawford, incumbent U.S. Representative[3]
Democratic primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Chintan Desai, project manager for KIPP: Delta Public Schools and former Teach for America member[4]
Withdrawn
[edit]- Robert Butler
Libertarian primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Elvis D. Presley, Elvis impersonator, auto-mechanic, nominee for Arkansas Commissioner of State Lands in 2014 and for state senate in 2016
General election
[edit]Polling
[edit]Poll source | Dates administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Rick Crawford (R) |
Chintan Desai (D) |
Elvis Presley (L) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Hendrix College[5] | September 5–7, 2018 | 422 | ± 4.7% | 57% | 22% | 3% | 18% |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Rick Crawford (incumbent) | 138,757 | 68.9 | |
Democratic | Chintan Desai | 57,907 | 28.8 | |
Libertarian | Elvis Presley | 4,581 | 2.3 | |
Total votes | 201,245 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
District 2
[edit]
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Results by county Hill: 60–70% 70–80% Tucker: 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||
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Incumbent Republican French Hill, who had represented the district since 2015, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 58% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+7.
Republican primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- French Hill, incumbent U.S. Representative (R-Little Rock)[7]
Democratic primary
[edit]The 2nd district was included on the initial list of Republican held seats being targeted by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee in 2018.[8]
Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Gwendolynn Millen Combs, teacher and businesswoman[10]
- Jonathan Dunkley[11]
- Paul Spencer, teacher and activist[12]
Declined
[edit]- Win Thompson, former University of Central Arkansas President[13]
Primary results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Clarke Tucker | 23,325 | 57.8 | |
Democratic | Gwen Combs | 8,188 | 20.3 | |
Democratic | Paul Spencer | 5,063 | 12.6 | |
Democratic | Johnathan Dunkley | 3,768 | 9.3 | |
Total votes | 40,344 | 100.0 |
Libertarian primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Joe Swafford, residential appraiser
General election
[edit]Endorsements
[edit]Organizations
- Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee "Red to Blue" Program[15]
Debates
[edit]- Complete video of debate, October 8, 2016
Polling
[edit]Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
French Hill (R) |
Clarke Tucker (D) |
Joe Swafford (L) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Hendrix College[16] | October 17–18, 2018 | 590 | ± 4.0% | 51% | 40% | 2% | 7% |
Hendrix College[5] | September 5–7, 2018 | 428 | ± 4.7% | 50% | 40% | 2% | 8% |
Public Policy Polling (D)[17] | April 16–17, 2018 | 610 | ± 4.0% | 47% | 42% | — | 11% |
Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[18] | Likely R | November 5, 2018 |
Inside Elections[19] | Likely R | November 5, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[20] | Lean R | November 5, 2018 |
RCP[21] | Likely R | November 5, 2018 |
Daily Kos[22] | Likely R | November 5, 2018 |
538[23] | Likely R | November 7, 2018 |
CNN[24] | Lean R | October 31, 2018 |
Politico[25] | Lean R | November 2, 2018 |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | French Hill (incumbent) | 132,125 | 52.1 | |
Democratic | Clarke Tucker | 116,135 | 45.8 | |
Libertarian | Joe Swafford | 5,193 | 2.1 | |
Total votes | 253,453 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
District 3
[edit]
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Results by county Womack: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% | |||||||||||||||||
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Incumbent Republican Steve Womack, who had represented the district since 2011, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 77% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+19.
Republican primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Steve Womack, incumbent U.S. Representative (R-Rogers)[26]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Robb Ryerse, pastor and a "progressive Republican"[27]
Primary results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Steve Womack (incumbent) | 47,757 | 84.2 | |
Republican | Robb Ryerse | 8,988 | 15.8 | |
Total votes | 56,745 | 100.0 |
Democratic primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Joshua Mahony, president of the Arkansas Single Parent Scholarship Fund and former chairman of the Fayetteville Airport Commission (D-Fayetteville)[28]
Libertarian primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Michael Kalagias, retired teacher and volunteer firefighter (L-Rogers)
General election
[edit]Campaign
[edit]This was the first time since he was first elected in 2010 that Womack had faced a Democrat in the general election, having only had opposition from minor parties since.
Polling
[edit]Poll source | Dates administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Steve Womack (R) |
Josh Mahony (D) |
Michael Kalagias (L) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Hendrix College[5] | September 5–7, 2018 | 428 | ± 4.7% | 53% | 31% | 5% | 11% |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Steve Womack (incumbent) | 148,717 | 64.7 | |
Democratic | Joshua Mahony | 74,952 | 32.6 | |
Libertarian | Michael Kalagias | 5,899 | 2.6 | |
Write-in | 140 | 0.1 | ||
Total votes | 229,708 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
District 4
[edit]
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Results by county Westerman: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Shamel: 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||
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Incumbent Republican Bruce Westerman, who had represented the district since 2015, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 75% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+17.
Republican primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Bruce Westerman, incumbent U.S. Representative (R-Hot Springs)[29]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Randy Caldwell, preacher[30]
Primary results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Bruce Westerman (incumbent) | 40,201 | 79.8 | |
Republican | Randy Caldwell | 10,151 | 20.2 | |
Total votes | 50,352 | 100.0 |
Democratic primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Hayden Shamel, teacher (D-Hot Springs)[31]
Libertarian primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Tom Canada, manufacturing lead
General election
[edit]Debate
[edit]No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Democratic | Libertarian |
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Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn |
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Bruce Westerman | Hayden Shamel | Tom Canada | |||||
1 | Oct. 8, 2018 | AETN | Steve Barnes | [32] | P | P | A |
Polling
[edit]Poll source | Dates administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Bruce Westerman (R) |
Hayden Shamel (D) |
Tom Canada (L) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Hendrix College[5] | September 5–7, 2018 | 423 | ± 4.7% | 54% | 24% | 5% | 17% |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Bruce Westerman (incumbent) | 136,740 | 66.8 | |
Democratic | Hayden Shamel | 63,984 | 31.2 | |
Libertarian | Tom Canada | 3,952 | 1.9 | |
Write-in | 216 | 0.1 | ||
Total votes | 204,892 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
References
[edit]- ^ "2016 Arkansas Code: Title 7, Chapter 5, Subchapter 3; § 7-5-304 - Opening and closing polls -- Time". Justia; US law. Archived from the original on March 9, 2018. Retrieved March 9, 2018.
- ^ Johnson, Cheryl L. (February 28, 2019). "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 6, 2018". Clerk of the U.S. House of Representatives. Retrieved April 27, 2019.
- ^ "FEC Form 2 Statement of Candidacy" (PDF). Retrieved July 1, 2019.
- ^ "Chintan Desai Announces Race for AR 1st District Congress Seat". ARKANSASMATTERS. November 17, 2017. Retrieved May 12, 2018.
- ^ a b c d Hendrix College
- ^ a b c d "2018 Arkansas general election results". Arkansas Secretary of State. Retrieved June 9, 2019.
- ^ "FEC Form 2 Statement of Candidacy" (PDF). Retrieved July 1, 2019.
- ^ Cheney, Kyle (January 30, 2017). "Amid Democratic doldrums, DCCC identifies 2018 targets". Politico. Retrieved March 23, 2017.
- ^ Brantley, Max. "Rep. Clarke Tucker announces race for French Hill's 2nd District congressional seat". Arkansas Times. Retrieved May 12, 2018.
- ^ "FEC Form 2 Statement of Candidacy" (PDF). Retrieved July 1, 2019.
- ^ Brantley, Max. "A 4th Democratic candidate for 2nd District Congress". Arkansas Times. Retrieved April 15, 2018.
- ^ THV11 Digital Team (July 13, 2017). "Paul Spencer officially announces campaign to challenge Rep. French Hill". Retrieved July 13, 2017.
{{cite web}}
: CS1 maint: numeric names: authors list (link) - ^ Max Brantley (April 28, 2017). "Political speculation: A Democrat to run for 2nd District Congress". arktimes.com. Arkansas Times. Archived from the original on August 10, 2019. Retrieved August 3, 2023.
- ^ a b c "2018 Arkansas primary election results". Retrieved June 9, 2019.
- ^ "Red to Blue". dccc.org/. DCCC. Archived from the original on October 31, 2018. Retrieved July 20, 2023.
- ^ Hendrix College
- ^ Public Policy Polling (D)
- ^ "2018 House Race Ratings". Cook Political Report. Retrieved October 30, 2018.
- ^ "2018 House Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved November 5, 2018.
- ^ "2018 House". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved November 5, 2018.
- ^ "Battle for the House 2018". RCP. Retrieved November 5, 2018.
- ^ "Daily Kos Elections 2018 race ratings". Daily Kos. Retrieved November 5, 2018.[permanent dead link]
- ^ Silver, Nate (August 16, 2018). "2018 House Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved November 6, 2018.
- ^ "CNN's 2018 Race Ratings". cnn.com. Turner Broadcasting System. Archived from the original on October 31, 2018. Retrieved July 30, 2023.
- ^ "Who wins 2018? Predictions for Every House & Senate Election". POLITICO. Retrieved September 7, 2018.
- ^ "FEC Form 2 Statement of Candidacy" (PDF). Retrieved July 1, 2019.
- ^ Jilani, Zaid (May 19, 2017). "MEET THE PASTOR RUNNING AS A PROGRESSIVE REPUBLICAN TO GET BIG MONEY OUT OF POLITICS". The Intercept. Retrieved September 2, 2017.
- ^ DeMillo, Andrew (May 8, 2017). "Arkansas Scholarship Fund Head Says He'll Run for Congress". U.S. News & World Report. Retrieved May 8, 2017.
- ^ "FEC Form 2 Statement of Candidacy" (PDF). Retrieved July 1, 2019.
- ^ "Forms lacking for 2 Arkansas congressional candidates, FEC says". NWADG.com. Retrieved April 15, 2018.
- ^ "FEC Form 2 Statement of Candidacy" (PDF). Retrieved July 1, 2019.
- ^ YouTube
External links
[edit]- Candidates at Vote Smart
- Candidates at Ballotpedia
- Campaign finance at FEC
- Campaign finance at OpenSecrets
Official campaign websites for first district candidates
Official campaign websites for second district candidates
Official campaign websites for third district candidates
Official campaign websites for fourth district candidates