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Next Croatian parliamentary election

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Next Croatian parliamentary election
Croatia
← 2024 By 2028
All 151 seats in the Croatian Parliament
76 seats needed for a majority
Party Leader Current seats
HDZ-led coalition Andrej Plenković 61
SDP Siniša Hajdaš Dončić 37
Možemo! Sandra Benčić & Tomislav Tomašević 10
DP Ivan Penava 9
Most Božo Petrov 7
Centar–NPS Ivica Puljak & Matija Posavec 4
HSS–GLAS–DO i SIP Dalija Orešković, Krešo Beljak & Anka Mrak Taritaš 3
IDS–PGS Dalibor Paus 2
DOMiNO Mario Radić 2
Independents – 6
Minority lists
SDSS Milorad Pupovac 3
DZMH Róbert Jankovics [hu] 1
Kali Sara Veljko Kajtazi [fr] 1
BZ Armin Hodžić 1
Independents –[a] 2
Incumbent Prime Minister
Andrej Plenković
HDZ
Politics of Croatia
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Political parties in Sabor
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Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Croatia by 2028.

Electoral system

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Main article: Elections in Croatia
Electoral districts in use from 2023

The 151 members of the Croatian Parliament are elected from ten geographical and two special constituencies.[1] 140 seats are elected from ten 14-seat constituencies (1st–10th constituencies) by open list proportional representation using a 5% electoral threshold, with seats allocated using the d'Hondt method. Voters can give their "preference vote" to a single candidate on the list, but only candidates who have received at least 10% of the party's votes take precedence over the other candidates on the list.[2] A further three seats are elected in a special electoral district (11th constituency) for Croatian citizens living abroad

Eight seats are elected from a constituency for national minorities (12th constituency), with three seats for Serbs and one each for Italians, Hungarian, Czechs and Slovaks, Albanians/Bosniaks/Macedonians/Montenegrins/Slovenes and Austrians/Bulgarians/Germans/Jews/Poles/Roma/Romanians/Rusyns/Russians/Turks/Ukrainians/Vlachs. Voters with the right to vote in the 12th constituency can choose to either vote for a candidate list on the ballot in the district they belong to according to their place of residence (one of the ten geographical districts) or for a candidate of their minority in the 12th constituency.[3]

Candidate lists may be proposed independently by one political party or by two or more political parties (coalition list) which are registered in Croatia on the day the decision to call the elections is announced, or by voters. Voters can propose independent candidate lists by collecting 500 signatures of residents of the constituency the list is running in.[4]

Opinion polls

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Surveys in Croatia are conducted by specialized companies in the field of public opinion polls, and their results are published in cooperation with national television or newspapers. The media that publish the results are listed in the table below according to which TV show they publish the results, with which poll company they cooperate, the size of the poll, the number of polls conducted so far and the time of publication of the results.

Media Presentation of the results Polling firm Poll size Conducted polls Time of publication of polls
HRT Dnevnik 2 at 19:00 Promocija plus 1,100-1,400 1 20th of the month (except in April 2022)
RTL RTL Danas at 18:30 1,300 7 Between 4th and 10th of the month, usually on Sunday
Nova TV Dnevnik Nove TV at 19:15 Ipsos 980–1,000 7 Between 23rd and 26th of the month[b]
Večernji list Internet publication 2x1 komunikacije 1,041 4 Between 24th and 30th of the month

Poll results published by major media are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first, and using the date of publication, name of polling firm with a link to the page of results and poll size. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's color. In the instance that there is a tie, then all tied parties cells would be shaded. The lead column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. When a specific poll does not show a data figure for a party or the support percentage is less than 1.0%, the party's cell corresponding to that poll is shown with a dash. Table also include other elections that are held between two parliamentary elections.

Publication date Polling firm Votes HDZ SDP DP PiP Možemo Most HS Fokus IDS NPS RF Centar HSS HSU HNS Others Undecided Lead
25 Nov 2024 IPSOS PULS 986 29.4 21.5 4.9 - 10.7 7.1 - - - - - - - - - - 11.6 7.9
20 Nov 2024 Promocija plus 1,000 26.8 22.8 3.0 0.6 8.9 6.5 0.6 0.9 1.5 0.8 1.1 1.9 1.5 1.0 1.0 - 17.9 4.0
10 Nov 2024 Promocija plus 1,300 26.7 22.2 3.5 0.6 9.0 6.4 0.6 1.1 1.3 0.8 1.1 1.9 1.0 1.1 1.1 - 17.8 4.5
25 Oct 2024 IPSOS 980 29.8 21.6 3.0 - 9.4 7.3 - - - - - - - - - - 16.8 8.2
20 Oct 2024 Promocija plus 1,300 27.5 22.5 3.1 0.6 8.7 6.1 0.6 0.7 1.4 0.9 0.8 1.7 1.0 0.8 0.9 - 17.2 5.0
6 Oct 2024 Promocija plus 1,300 26.9 21.6 4.5 - 8.6 6.1 - - 1.7 - 1.6 1.1 - 1.1 - - 17.4 5.3
1 Oct 2024 2x1 komunikacije 1,041 30.1 20.9 4.9 - 7.1 6.2 1.2 - 1.8 - - 2.0 - 1.8 - 4.8 17.5 9.2
25 Sep 2024 Ipsos 991 30.3 20.4 5.4 - 10.4 6.7 - - - - - - - - - - 14.5 9.9
8 Sep 2024 Promocija Plus 1,300 27.3 21.2 4.6 - 8.4 7.0 0.9 1.0 1.3 0.6 0.8 1.3 1.1 0.8 1.0 - 17.4 6.1
29 Aug 2024 2x1 komunikacije 984 30.3 20.8 7.0 - 6.9 6.2 1.2 0.9 1.8 - - 2.0 - 1.4 - - 17.7 9.5
23 Aug 2024 Ipsos 984 29.9 19.6 6.4 - 10.2 7.1 - - - - - - - - - - 13.1 10.3
4 Aug 2024 Promocija plus 1,300 28.5 22.2 6.7 1.0 9.1 6.0 0.7 1.0 1.5 - 1.2 0.8 0.9 0.5 0.6 - 15.7 6.3
31 Jul 2024 2x1 komunikacije 1,041 30.3 20.6 7.5 - 7.1 6.0 1.1 1.4 1.6 - - 2.1 - 1.4 - - 18.1 9.7
25 Jul 2024 Ipsos 984 30.2 19.0 7.5 - 8.5 7.0 - - - - - - - - - - 14.8 11.2
7 Jul 2024 Promocija plus 1,300 30.7 25.9 7.1 0.8 10.3 6.6 0.3 1.4 1.3 0.5 0.8 0.3 0.6 0.5 0.8 0.9 10.4 4.8
1 Jul 2024 2x1 komunikacije 1,041 30.0 21.1 7.6 - 7.4 5.9 1.1 1.2 1.5 - - 2.1 - 1.3 - - 12.9 8.9
25 Jun 2024 Ipsos 1,000 31.5 20.5 7.8 - 9.1 7.7 - - - - - - - - - - 12.9 11.0
9 Jun 2024 European Parliament election
7 Jun 2024 Promocija plus 1,300 29.8 22.3 8.4 1.2 9.2 6.7 0.5 1.4 2.0 - 0.8 1.0 1.0 0.6 0.7 - 10.7 7.5
24 May 2024 Ipsos 990 30.5 20.2 7.4 - 11.1 8.6 - - - - - - - - - 10.6[c] 11.6 10.3
12 May 2024 Promocija plus 1,000 29.5 23.2 8.3 1.2 9.3 5.6 0.7 1.3 1.1 1.0 1.0 1.1 1.4 1.2 0.8 - 9.5 6.3
25 Apr 2024 Ipsos 1,000 28.5 22.2 10.1 - 12.3 8.3 - - - - - - - - - -[d] 6.7 6.3
17 Apr 2024 2024 election results N/A 34.4 25.4 9.6 9.1 8.0 2.3 2.3 1.2 0.8 -[e] -[e] -[f] -[f] 6.98 - 9.0

Notes

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  1. ^ Vladimir Bilek (Czech and Slovak seat) and Furio Radin (Italian seat)
  2. ^ Ipsos polls are published on 25th of the month when it is a weekday which is not a (non-working) public holiday and on a nearby working day otherwise. One exception was the first poll after the election, which was published on 25 July 2020, which was a Saturday.
  3. ^ each under 2%
  4. ^ each under 2.5%
  5. ^ a b with SDP
  6. ^ a b with HDZ

References

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  1. ^ Electoral system Archived 13 January 2016 at the Wayback Machine IPU
  2. ^ "Zakon o izborima zastupnika u Hrvatski sabor (Act on Election of Representatives to the Croatian Parliament)" (in Croatian). Archived from the original on 28 August 2018. Retrieved 27 August 2018.
  3. ^ "Zakon o izborima zastupnika u Hrvatski sabor (pročišćeni tekst)". Zakon. Archived from the original on 28 August 2018. Retrieved 2 April 2024.
  4. ^ "Elections of representatives to the Croatian Parliament". State Electoral Commission of the Republic of Croatia. Archived from the original on 2 April 2024. Retrieved 2 April 2024.
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