Opinion polling for the next Serbian parliamentary election
In the run-up to the next Serbian parliamentary election, various organisations carry out opinion polling to gauge voting intentions in Serbia. The results of such polls are displayed in this list. The date range for these opinion polls is from the previous election, held on 17 December 2023, to the present day.[1]
Analysis
[edit]Analyst Dejan Bursać of the Institute for Political Studies argued that the rating SNS received in opinion polls mostly came from Vučić's popularity, citing the high trust in the office of president of Serbia in opinion polls and voters perception of Vučić still being the president of the party. Bojan Vranić, a professor at the Faculty of Political Sciences of University of Belgrade, criticised the lack of turnout numbers in opinion polls and the presentation of party ratings.[2]
Graphical summary
[edit]
Poll results
[edit]2024
[edit]| Polling firm | Date of publication | Sample size | SNS–led coalition |
SPS–JS | SSP | NPS | ZLF | SRCE | DS | NADA | KP | MI–SN | Others | Lead | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NDSS | POKS | ||||||||||||||
| Ipsos[3] | 25 December[a] | – | 48.3 | 6.4 | 5.8 | 2.4 | 2.1 | 1.8 | 3.0 | 3.5 | 0.8 | 5.2 | 4.7 | 16.2[b] | 43.3 |
| Faktor Plus[4] | 25 December | 1,180 | 51.1 | 7.6 | 7.8 | 4.1 | 3.0 | 2.7 | 2.1 | 3.8 | 5.7 | 5.6 | 5.0[c] | 43.3 | |
| Faktor Plus[5] | 27 September | 2,000 | 54.0 | 8.9 | 8.0 | 4.6 | 2.7 | 2.5 | – | 4.3 | – | 5.4 | 4.6 | 5.0[d] | 39.1 |
| 2023 election | 17 December | – | 48.1 | 6.7 | 24.3 | 5.2 | – | – | 22.4 | 23.8 | |||||
Notes
[edit]- ^ The opinion poll was conducted in October 2024.
- ^ Others: SRS: 2.0%, VMSZ: 1.6%, EU: 1.6%, PSG: 1.5%, NLS: 1.2%, SDPS: 1.1%, DJB: 0.7%, MI–GiN: 0.6%, SDS: 0.6%, SPP: 0.5%, Dveri: 0.5%, SSZ: 0.4%, PS: 0.4%, Together: 0.4%, SDAS: 0.3%, LSV: 0.2%, Narodna: 0.2%, PUPS: 0.2%, Others: 2.0%
- ^ Others: 6.1%, Undecided (excluded): 6.7%
- ^ Others: 5.0%, Undecided (excluded): 13.3%
References
[edit]- ^ "Serbia: National Assembly". Inter-Parliamentary Union. Archived from the original on 31 December 2022. Retrieved 31 December 2022.
- ^ Ilić, Mladen (1 October 2024). "Šta nam govori poslednje istraživanje rejtinga stranaka?" [What does the latest party rating survey tell us?]. Danas (in Serbian). Retrieved 5 October 2024.
- ^ "Novo istraživanje Ipsos stratedžik marketinga: SNS na 48 odsto, Vučiću se najviše veruje, značajno raste podrška ulasku u EU" [New survey by Ipsos strategic marketing: SNS at 48 percent, Vučić is the most trusted, support for joining the EU is growing significantly]. Blic (in Serbian). 25 December 2024. Retrieved 2 January 2025.
- ^ "Aktuelno – Decembar 2024" [Currently - December 2024]. Faktor Plus (in Serbian). 25 December 2024. Retrieved 2 January 2025.
- ^ "Ekskluzivno Ovo su najnoviji rejtinzi političkih stranaka u Srbiji" [Exclusive These are the latest ratings of political parties in Serbia]. Blic (in Serbian). 27 September 2024. Retrieved 28 September 2024.