2027 Ceuta Assembly election

2027 Ceuta Assembly election

23 May 2027
All 25 seats in the Assembly of Ceuta 13 seats needed for a majority
Leader Juan Jesús Vivas Manuel Hernández Peinado Juan Sergio Redondo Party PP PSOE Vox Leader since October 1999 25 July 2015 22 April 2019 Last election 9 seats, 34.3% 6 seats, 21.0% 5 seats, 20.6% Current seats 9 6 5 Seats needed 4 7 8   Leader Fatima Hamed Mohamed Mustafa Party MDyC Ceuta Ya! Leader since 27 October 2014 15 October 2021 Last election 3 seats, 11.2% 2 seats, 10.0% Current seats 3 2 Seats needed 10 11
Incumbent Mayor-President Juan Jesús Vivas PP

The 2027 Ceuta Assembly election will be held on Sunday, 23 May 2027, to elect the 9th Assembly of the autonomous city of Ceuta. All 25 seats in the Assembly will be up for election. The election will be held simultaneously with regional elections in at least eight autonomous communities and local elections all throughout Spain.

Electoral system

The Assembly of Ceuta is the top-tier administrative and governing body of the autonomous city of Ceuta. Voting for the Assembly is on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprises all nationals over eighteen, registered and residing in the municipality of Ceuta and in full enjoyment of their political rights, as well as resident non-national European citizens and those whose country of origin allows Spanish nationals to vote in their own elections by virtue of a treaty.

The 25 members of the Assembly of Ceuta are elected using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional representation, with a threshold of five percent of valid votes—which includes blank ballots—being applied.

The Mayor-President is indirectly elected by the plenary assembly. A legal clause requires that mayoral candidates earn the vote of an absolute majority of councillors, or else the candidate of the most-voted party in the assembly shall be automatically appointed to the post. In the event of a tie, the appointee will be determined by lot.

The electoral law provides that parties, federations, coalitions and groupings of electors are allowed to present lists of candidates. However, groupings of electors are required to secure the signature of a determined amount of the electors registered in Ceuta. Concurrently, parties and federations intending to enter in coalition to take part jointly at an election are required to inform the relevant Electoral Commission within ten days of the election being called.

Opinion polls

The tables below list opinion polling results in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll.

Voting intention estimates

The table below lists weighted voting intention estimates. Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between polling organisations. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 13 seats are required for an absolute majority in the Assembly of Ceuta.

Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Turnout				MDyC	CY!			Lead
SyM Consulting	10–13 Sep 2024	692	57.2	31.8 9	19.9 5	24.4 6/7	13.0 3	6.5 1/2	0.3 0	0.2 0	7.4
SyM Consulting	6–9 May 2024	558	56.7	30.4 8	20.7 5/6	27.5 7/8	12.0 3	6.0 1	0.5 0	–	2.9
2023 Assembly election	28 May 2023	—	54.8	34.3 9	21.0 6	20.6 5	11.2 3	10.0 2	0.7 0	0.6 0	13.3

References

Opinion poll sources

Other