Opinion polling for the 2024 Slovak presidential election
This page lists nationwide public opinion polls that have been conducted relating to the 2024 Slovak presidential election. Poll results are listed in the tables below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading candidate's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. Poll results use the date the survey's fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication; however, if such date is unknown, the date of publication will be given instead.
Opinion polls for the first round
[edit]Diagram
[edit]![](http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/b/b2/Opinion_polling_for_the_2024_Presidential_elections_in_Slovakia.svg/800px-Opinion_polling_for_the_2024_Presidential_elections_in_Slovakia.svg.png)
Since nominations were closed
[edit]![]() | This section needs expansion with: (Almost) exit poll. You can help by adding to it. (March 2024) |
Date | Agency | Ivan Korčok | Peter Pellegrini | Štefan Harabin | Krisztián Forró | Igor Matovič | Ján Kubiš | Patrik Dubovský | Marian Kotleba | Milan Náhlik | Andrej Danko | Róbert Švec |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
23 March 2024 | First round election[1] | 42.52% | 37.03% | 11.74% | 2.91% | 2.18% | 2.04% | 0.71% | 0.57% | 0.14% | 0.08% | 0.08% |
23 March 2024
(Exit Poll) |
RTVS + Median[2] | 34.9% | 34.3% | 15.0% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 0.5% | 2.8% | 0.5% | — | — |
20 March 2024 | Róbert Švec drops out and endorses Štefan Harabin (remains on ballot)[3] | |||||||||||
16–19 March 2024 | Ipsos[4] | 36.3% | 37.5% | 13.1% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | — | 0.8% |
18 March 2024 | Andrej Danko drops out and endorses Štefan Harabin (remains on ballot)[5] | |||||||||||
13–18 March 2024 | NMS[6] | 36.0% | 34.2% | 16.0% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% |
11–17 March 2024 | Sanep[7] | 33.1% | 35.6% | 12.0% | 2.6% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
12–16 March 2024 | Ipsos[4] | 36.6% | 37.4% | 11.3% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 2.4% | — | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | — |
7–13 March 2024 | Median[8] | 35.7% | 34.2% | 11.4% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 2.2% |
7–11 March 2024 | Focus[9] | 33.1% | 34.4% | 12.7% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 3.1% | 0.6% |
26–29 February 2024 | Sanep[10] | 32.7% | 38.3% | 10.2% | 2.8% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
23–27 February 2024 | Median[11] | 36.0% | 32.7% | 11.2% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.9% |
16–21 February 2024 | Ipsos[12] | 36.3% | 40.2% | 8.5% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 1.7% | — | 1.1% | — |
14–21 February 2024 | Focus[13] | 34.0% | 35.2% | 11% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 3.2% | — |
14–18 February 2024 | NMS[14] | 34.6% | 35.8% | 10% | 2.2% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 1.1% | 2% | 1.5% | 1.3% | — |
5–12 February 2024 | AKO[15] | 37.2% | 39.0% | 8.1% | 2.4% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 2.1% | — |
Before nominations were closed
[edit]Date | Agency | Peter Pellegrini | Ivan Korčok | Maroš Žilinka | Štefan Harabin | Peter Weiss | Robert Mistrík | Marian Kotleba | Ján Kubiš | Miriam Lexmann | Robert Fico | Ján Drgonec | Andrej Danko | Krisztián Forró | Ľudovít Ódor | Jozef Banáš | Milan Uhrík | Boris Kollár | Others |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 January 2024 | Focus[16] | 38.1% | 35.6% | — | 10.9% | — | — | — | 4.9% | — | — | — | 3.3% | 2.3% | — | — | — | — | — |
22–25 January 2024 | Ipsos[17] | 40.7% | 38.2% | — | 8.0% | — | — | 1.6% | 2.1% | — | — | — | 1.7% | 3.3% | — | — | — | — | 3.3% |
11–16 January 2024 | AKO[18] | 40.6% | 37.7% | — | 8.0% | — | — | — | 3.1% | — | — | 2.2% | — | 2.4% | — | — | — | — | — |
16 January 2024 | NMS[19] | 32.4% | 33.0% | — | 11.0% | — | — | — | 4.3% | — | — | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.9% | — | — | — | — | 4.1% |
2 January 2024 | SANEP[20] | 43.9% | 32.3% | — | 9.8% | — | — | — | 9.9% | — | — | — | 3.5% | 0.6% | — | — | — | — | — |
13–18 December 2023 | Ipsos[21] | 25% | 16% | — | 7% | — | — | — | 2% | 2% | — | — | — | 2% | — | — | — | — | — |
13 November-17 December 2023 | Median SK[22] | 30.3% | 23.3% | 2.1% | — | — | 3.2% | — | — | 2.5% | 15.2% | — | — | — | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.1% |
7–14 November 2023 | AKO[23] | 40.0% | 30.4% | — | 8.9% | — | 3.6% | — | 5.8% | 1.9% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 9.5% |
10 November 2023 | Ipsos[24] | 19% | 14% | 8% | 8% | — | 3% | — | 2% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
July 2023 | Ipsos[25] | 12% | 11% | 8% | 7% | — | 3% | — | 3% | 3% | 13% | — | — | 4% | — | — | — | — | — |
21–28 June 2023 | Focus[26] | 13% | 10% | 8% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Polls with Čaputová
[edit]Date | Agency | Zuzana Čaputová | Peter Pellegrini | Robert Fico | Štefan Harabin | Milan Uhrík | Maroš Žilinka | Marian Kotleba | Maroš Šefčovič | Mikuláš Dzurinda | Iveta Radičová | Jozef Banáš | Eduard Chmelár | Andrej Kiska | Boris Kollár | Ivan Korčok | Miroslav Lajčák | Peter Weiss | Robert Mistrík | Others |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
26-29 February 2024 | Sanep[10] | 14% | 20% | 4.0% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 9.0% | — | — | — | 22.0% |
14 March 2023 | Ipsos[27] | 30.0% | — | — | 7.0% | — | 7.0% | 3.0% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 6.0% | — | 3.0% | 2.0% | — |
1–8 February 2023 | Focus[28] | 18.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | — | — | 52.7% |
Opinion polls for the second round
[edit]Diagram
![](http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/8/8f/Opinion_polling_for_the_2024_Presidential_elections_in_Slovakia_%282nd_round%29.svg/800px-Opinion_polling_for_the_2024_Presidential_elections_in_Slovakia_%282nd_round%29.svg.png)
Pellegrini vs Korčok
Date | Agency | Peter Pellegrini | Ivan Korčok |
---|---|---|---|
6 April 2024 | Second round election | 53.1 | 46.9 |
6 April 2024 (Exit poll) |
Median SK[29] | 48.9 |
51.1 |
30 March–2 April 2024 | Ipsos[30] | 49.9 |
50.1 |
28 March–2 April 2024 | NMS[31] | 48.3 |
51.7 |
28 March–2 April 2024 | Focus[32] | 50.8 | 49.2 |
28–31 March 2024 | Median SK[33] | 51.1 | 48.9 |
25–2 April 2024 | SCIO[33] | 45.01 |
54.99 |
23 March 2024 | 1st round of election | ||
16–19 March 2024 | Ipsos[4] | 54.5 | 45.5 |
13–18 March 2024 | NMS[6] | 50.9 | 49.1 |
11–17 March 2024 | Sanep[7] | 54.9 | 45.1 |
12–16 March 2024 | Ipsos[4] | 53.4 | 46.6 |
7–13 March 2024 | Median[8] | 52.9 | 47.1 |
7–11 March 2024 | Focus[9] | 56 | 44 |
26-29 February 2024 | Sanep[10] | 54.1 | 45.9 |
23–27 February 2024 | Median[11] | 51.7 | 48.3 |
16–21 February 2024 | Ipsos[12] | 53.8 | 46.2 |
14–21 February 2024 | Focus[13] | 54.9 | 45.1 |
14–18 February 2024 | NMS[14] | 52.3 | 47.7 |
5–12 February 2024 | AKO[15] | 53.7 | 46.3 |
28 January 2024 | Focus[16] | 54.2 | 45.8 |
22–25 January 2024 | Ipsos[17] | 54.7 | 45.3 |
16 January 2024 | NMS[19] | 51.5 | 48.5 |
2 January 2024 | Sanep[20] | 58.1 | 41.9 |
15–22 November 2023 | Focus[34] | 60 | 40 |
13–18 December 2023 | Ipsos[24] | 48 | 27 |
10 November 2023 | Ipsos[24] | 40 | 26 |
6–13 September 2023 | Focus[35] | 58 | 42 |
Hypothetical polling
[edit]The polls listed below include candidates who decided not to run, withdrawn from election or failed to advance to second round.
Pellegrini vs Harabin
Date | Agency | Peter Pellegrini | Štefan Harabin |
---|---|---|---|
7–11 March 2024 | Focus[9] | 72.9 | 27.1 |
14–21 February 2024 | Focus[13] | 76.1 | 23.9 |
14–18 February 2024 | NMS[36] | 71.0 | 29.0 |
5–12 February 2024 | AKO[15] | 68.6 | 31.4 |
15–22 November 2023 | Focus[34] | 84 | 16 |
10 November 2023 | Ipsos[24] | 45 | 13 |
Korčok vs Harabin
Date | Agency | Ivan Korčok | Štefan Harabin |
---|---|---|---|
7–11 March 2024 | Focus[9] | 56.1 | 43.9 |
14–21 February 2024 | Focus[13] | 62.8 | 37.2 |
14–18 February 2024 | NMS[36] | 59.8 | 40.2 |
5–12 February 2024 | AKO[15] | 63.1 | 36.9 |
15–22 November 2023 | Focus[34] | 67 | 33 |
6–13 September 2023 | Focus[35] | 63 | 37 |
Pellegrini vs Kubiš
Date | Agency | Peter Pellegrini | Ján Kubiš |
---|---|---|---|
14–21 February 2024 | Focus[13] | 71.2 | 28.8 |
15–22 November 2023 | Focus[34] | 74 | 26 |
10 November 2023 | Ipsos[24] | 49 | 19 |
Korčok vs Kubiš
Date | Agency | Ivan Korčok | Ján Kubiš |
---|---|---|---|
5–12 February 2024 | AKO[15] | 64.3 | 35.7 |
15–22 November 2023 | Focus[34] | 62 | 38 |
6–13 September 2023 | Focus[35] | 58 | 42 |
Kubiš vs Harabin
Date | Agency | Ján Kubiš | Štefan Harabin |
---|---|---|---|
15–22 November 2023 | Focus[34] | 67 | 33 |
6–13 September 2023 | Focus[35] | 66 | 34 |
Pellegrini vs Matovič
Date | Agency | Peter Pellegrini | Igor Matovič |
---|---|---|---|
16–21 February 2024 | Ipsos[12] | 80.6 | 19.4 |
Pellegrini vs Danko
Date | Agency | Peter Pellegrini | Andrej Danko |
---|---|---|---|
16–21 February 2024 | Ipsos[12] | 83.6 | 16.4 |
Pellegrini vs Kotleba
Date | Agency | Peter Pellegrini | Marian Kotleba |
---|---|---|---|
16–21 February 2024 | Ipsos[12] | 88.5 | 11.5 |
Korčok vs Matovič
Date | Agency | Ivan Korčok | Igor Matovič |
---|---|---|---|
16–21 February 2024 | Ipsos[12] | 86.5 | 13.5 |
Korčok vs Danko
Date | Agency | Ivan Korčok | Andrej Danko |
---|---|---|---|
16–21 February 2024 | Ipsos[12] | 66.9 | 33.1 |
Korčok vs Kotleba
Date | Agency | Ivan Korčok | Marian Kotleba |
---|---|---|---|
16–21 February 2024 | Ipsos[12] | 79.9 | 20.1 |
Pellegrini vs Fico
Date | Agency | Peter Pellegrini | Robert Fico |
---|---|---|---|
6–13 September 2023 | Focus[35] | 65 | 35 |
Pellegrini vs Mistrík
Date | Agency | Peter Pellegrini | Robert Mistrík |
---|---|---|---|
10 November 2023 | Ipsos[24] | 42 | 18 |
6–13 September 2023 | Focus[35] | 68 | 32 |
Pellegrini vs Žilinka
Date | Agency | Peter Pellegrini | Maroš Žilinka |
---|---|---|---|
10 November 2023 | Ipsos[24] | 51 | 18 |
Korčok vs Fico
Date | Agency | Ivan Korčok | Robert Fico |
---|---|---|---|
6–13 September 2023 | Focus[35] | 50 | 50 |
Čaputová vs Fico
Date | Agency | Zuzana Čaputová | Robert Fico |
---|---|---|---|
20 April 2023 | Ipsos[37] | 41 | 27 |
Čaputová vs Harabin
Date | Agency | Zuzana Čaputová | Štefan Harabin |
---|---|---|---|
20 April 2023 | Ipsos[37] | 42 | 21 |
Čaputová vs Mistrík
Date | Agency | Zuzana Čaputová | Robert Mistrík |
---|---|---|---|
20 April 2023 | Ipsos[37] | 36 | 13 |
Čaputová vs Pellegrini
Date | Agency | Zuzana Čaputová | Peter Pellegrini |
---|---|---|---|
20 April 2023 | Ipsos[37] | 37 | 28 |
Čaputová vs Weiss
Date | Agency | Zuzana Čaputová | Peter Weiss |
---|---|---|---|
20 April 2023 | Ipsos[37] | 39 | 16 |
Čaputová vs Žilinka
Date | Agency | Zuzana Čaputová | Maroš Žilinka |
---|---|---|---|
20 April 2023 | Ipsos[37] | 39 | 21 |
Other polls
[edit]Polling firm |
Fieldwork date |
Sample size |
Question | Answer | Lead | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Certainly yes |
Maybe | Certainly no |
Don't know | |||||
Focus[38] | 25–31 May 2022 |
1,008 | Would you vote for Zuzana Čaputová in the presidential election? |
15% | 31% | 46% | 8% | 15% |
Polling firm |
Fieldwork date |
Sample size |
Question | Answer | Lead | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Certainly yes |
Probably yes |
Probably no |
Certainly no | |||||
AKO[39] | 20–23 Nov 2021 |
1,000 | Would you vote for Zuzana Čaputová in the presidential election? |
44.9% | 15.9% | 8.4% | 30.8% | 14.1% |
References
[edit]- ^ "Voľby prezidenta SR - Voľby prezidenta Slovenskej republiky 2024". www.volbysr.sk. Retrieved 2024-03-24.
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- ^ a b Belej, Martin (2 January 2024). "PRIESKUM: Kto bude naším novým prezidentom? Z vlády má šancu len jeden, veľkú časť hlasov ukradol kandidát z vonku". ta3. Retrieved 4 January 2024.
- ^ "Podpora Pellegriniho rastie, aj keď neohlásil prezidentskú kandidatúru. Teraz by ho Korčok neporazil". dennikn.sk (in Slovak). 21 December 2023. Retrieved 21 December 2023.
- ^ "Prezidentský volebný model". median.sk (in Slovak). Retrieved 4 January 2023.
- ^ "Prezidentský prieskum AKO: Pellegrini by zbieral hlasy aj medzi voličmi opozície, pred Korčokom vedie". Denník N (in Slovak). 23 November 2023. Retrieved 25 November 2023.
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- ^ Mikušovič, Dušan (3 August 2023). "Korčok po rozhodnutí prezidentky nekandidovať získava nových voličov. V druhom kole by porazil Fica, Pellegriniho nie". Denník N (in Slovak). Retrieved 4 August 2023.
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- ^ Mikušovič, Dušan (14 March 2023). "Čaputová má šancu na znovuzvolenie, určite by ju volilo 30 % ľudí. Žilinka má podporu ako Harabin (prieskum Ipsosu)". Denník N (in Slovak). Retrieved 14 March 2023.
- ^ Mikušovič, Dušan (5 March 2023). "Čaputovú by chcelo za prezidentku 18 percent ľudí, s odstupom nasledujú Pellegrini a Fico". Denník N (in Slovak). Retrieved 8 March 2023.
- ^ https://twitter.com/ForeignpolicyWB/status/1776705606671274235
- ^ Muradajová, Alex. "Prieskum IPSOS: Tesnejšie to medzi Korčokom a Pellegrinim ani nemôže byť". TV Noviny (in Slovak). Retrieved 3 April 2024.
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- ^ a b c d e f "Čaputová by vo voľbách porazila Fica, Pellegriniho aj Harabina. Prieskum ukázal, ako by si s nimi poradila". news.refresher.sk (in Slovak). Retrieved 9 May 2023.
- ^ "Prieskum: Čaputovú by za prezidentku nevolila takmer polovica opýtaných". domov.sme.sk (in Slovak). Retrieved 2022-06-19.
- ^ "Exkluzívny prieskum pre HN: Čaputová by voľby vyhrala aj dnes. Jedna otázka odhalila jej slabinu". slovensko.hnonline.sk (in Slovak). 25 November 2021. Retrieved 2022-01-23.