2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Florida
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All 27 Florida seats to the United States House of Representatives | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Elections in Florida |
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Government |
The 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Florida were held on November 3, 2020, to elect the 27 U.S. representatives from Florida, one from each of the state's 27 congressional districts. The elections coincided with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the U.S. Senate, and various state and local elections.
In what was considered an upset, the Republican Party retook the two seats that it lost to the Democrats in 2018, expanding its 14–13 majority to 16–11.[1][2]
Statewide
[edit]District 1
[edit]
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Gaetz: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Ehr: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 1st district encompasses the western Panhandle, and includes all of Escambia, Okaloosa, Santa Rosa, and Walton counties, as well as part of Holmes County. The district includes the cities of Pensacola, Fort Walton Beach, and Navarre. Republican Matt Gaetz, who had represented the district since 2017, was re-elected with 67% of the vote in 2018.[3]
Republican primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Matt Gaetz, incumbent U.S. representative
Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Greg Merk, retired United States Air Force officer[4]
- John Mills, retired United States Navy pilot and candidate for Florida's 1st congressional district in 2016 and 2018[4]
Primary results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Matt Gaetz (incumbent) | 87,457 | 80.9 | |
Republican | John Mills | 10,383 | 9.6 | |
Republican | Greg Merk | 10,227 | 9.5 | |
Total votes | 108,067 | 100.0 |
Democratic primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Phil Ehr, retired United States Navy commander and candidate for Florida's 1st congressional district in 2018[6]
Independent and third-party candidates
[edit]Independents
[edit]Declared
[edit]- Albert Oram, lawyer
General election
[edit]Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[7] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
FiveThirtyEight[8] | Safe R | October 15, 2020 |
Inside Elections[9] | Safe R | June 2, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
Politico[11] | Safe R | April 19, 2020 |
Daily Kos[12] | Safe R | June 3, 2020 |
RCP[13] | Safe R | June 9, 2020 |
Niskanen[14] | Safe R | June 7, 2020 |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Matt Gaetz (incumbent) | 283,352 | 64.61% | ||
Democratic | Phil Ehr | 149,172 | 34.01% | ||
Independent | Albert Oram | 6,038 | 1.38% | ||
Total votes | 438,532 | 100.0 | |||
Republican hold |
District 2
[edit]
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Dunn: 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% O'Connor: 60–70% 70–80% No data | |||||||||||||||||
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The 2nd district is located in northern Florida taking in portions of the Panhandle and the Big Bend, including all or parts of 19 counties. The district includes the cities of Panama City, Marianna, and Lake City. Republican Neal Dunn, who had represented the district since 2017, was re-elected with 67% of the vote in 2018.[3]
Republican primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Declared
[edit]- Neal Dunn, incumbent U.S. representative
Democratic primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Withdrawn
[edit]Independent and third-party candidates
[edit]Independents
[edit]Declared
[edit]- Kim O'Connor (write-in), candidate for Leon County commission in 2018[19]
General election
[edit]Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[7] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
FiveThirtyEight[20] | Safe R | October 15, 2020 |
Inside Elections[9] | Safe R | June 2, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
Politico[11] | Safe R | April 19, 2020 |
Daily Kos[12] | Safe R | June 3, 2020 |
RCP[13] | Safe R | June 9, 2020 |
Niskanen[14] | Safe R | June 7, 2020 |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Neal Dunn (incumbent) | 305,337 | 97.86% | ||
Independent | Kim O'Connor (write-in) | 6,662 | 2.14% | ||
Total votes | 311,999 | 100.0 | |||
Republican hold |
District 3
[edit]
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Precinct results Cammack: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Christensen: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 3rd district is located in North Central Florida, and includes Alachua, Clay, Putnam, Bradford, and Union counties, as well as most of Marion County. The district includes the cities of Gainesville, Palatka, and Ocala. Republican Ted Yoho, who had represented the district since 2013, was re-elected with 57% of the vote in 2018.[3] On December 10, 2019, Yoho announced he would not run for re-election, honoring his pledge that he would only serve four terms.[21]
Republican primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Kat Cammack, deputy chief of staff for U.S. representative Ted Yoho[22]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Ryan Chamberlin, author[23]
- Todd Chase, former Gainesville city commissioner[24]
- Bill Engelbrecht, healthcare executive[25]
- Joe Millado, businessman and former congressional aide[26]
- Gavin Rollins, Clay County commissioner[27]
- Judson Sapp, former actor and businessman and candidate for this district in 2018[28]
- James St. George, physician[29]
- David Theus, business consultant[25]
- Amy Pope Wells, businesswoman[30]
Withdrawn
[edit]Declined
[edit]- Rob Bradley, state senator[35]
- Keith Perry, state senator[35]
- Ted Yoho, incumbent U.S. representative[21]
Endorsements
[edit]Federal officials
State officials
- Denise Grimsley, former state senator (2012–2018) and state representative (2004–2012)[37]
Organizations
- Police Benevolent Association (PBA) North Central Florida Chapter[38]
- Republican Liberty Caucus[39]
- Tea Party Express[40]
- Tea Party Patriots Citizens Fund[41]
State officials
- Aaron Bean, state senator and former state representative (2000–2008)[42]
- Keith Perry, state senator and former state representative (2010–2016)[42]
State officials
- Anthony Sabatini, state representative[43]
Federal officials
- Vern Buchanan, U.S. representative (FL-16)[44]
- John Rutherford, U.S. representative (FL-04)[44]
- Cliff Stearns, former U.S. representative (FL-06) (1989–2013)[45]
State officials
- Chuck Brannan, state representative[46]
- Jennifer Carroll, former lieutenant governor (2011–2013)[47]
- Jason Fischer, state representative[48]
- Charlie Stone, state representative[47]
Individuals
- Dana Loesch, former National Rifle Association of America spokeswoman and Breitbart News editor[49]
- Roger Stone, political consultant and felon[50]
Polling
[edit]Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Kat Cammack |
Ryan Chamberlin |
Todd Chase |
James St. George |
Keith Perry |
Gavin Rollins |
Judson Sapp |
Amy Pope Wells |
Other | Undecided |
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Meer Research[52] | August 6–8, 2020 | 317 (RV) | ± 5.75% | 25% | 3% | 6% | 13% | – | 11% | 15% | 3% | 4%[b] | 20% |
WPA Intelligence[53][A] | June 16–17, 2020 | 405 (RV) | ± 4.9% | 10% | 1% | 5% | 4% | – | 1% | 12% | 1% | 5%[c] | 60% |
Americana Analytics/Judson Sapp[54][B] | Released April 20, 2020 | 400 (V) | ± 5% | 3% | – | – | – | – | 4% | 16% | – | –[d] | >70% |
Clearview Research[55] | December 16–17, 2019 | 401 (LV) | – | – | – | – | – | 35% | – | 9% | 2% | 6%[e] | 48% |
Hypothetical polling
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with Ted Yoho
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Primary results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Kat Cammack | 21,679 | 25.2 | |
Republican | Judson Sapp | 17,180 | 20.0 | |
Republican | Gavin Rollins | 13,118 | 15.3 | |
Republican | James St. George | 12,125 | 14.1 | |
Republican | Todd Chase | 8,165 | 9.5 | |
Republican | Ryan Chamberlin | 5,067 | 5.9 | |
Republican | Amy Pope Wells | 3,564 | 4.1 | |
Republican | Bill Engelbrecht | 2,001 | 2.3 | |
Republican | David Theus | 1,874 | 2.2 | |
Republican | Joe Millado | 1,168 | 1.4 | |
Total votes | 85,941 | 100.0 |
Democratic primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Adam Christensen, businessman[57]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Philip Dodds, sales manager and candidate for Florida's 3rd congressional district in 2012[57]
- Tom Wells, physicist[57]
Endorsements
[edit]Individuals
- Marianne Williamson, author, spiritual leader, and former 2020 Democratic presidential candidate[58]
- Andrew Yang, entrepreneur and former 2020 Democratic presidential candidate[59]
Primary results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | Adam Christensen | 21,073 | 34.5 | |
Democratic | Tom Wells | 20,290 | 33.2 | |
Democratic | Philip Dodds | 19,730 | 32.3 | |
Total votes | 61,093 | 100.0 |
General election
[edit]Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[7] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
FiveThirtyEight[60] | Safe R | October 15, 2020 |
Inside Elections[9] | Safe R | June 2, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
Politico[11] | Safe R | April 19, 2020 |
Daily Kos[12] | Safe R | June 3, 2020 |
RCP[13] | Safe R | June 9, 2020 |
Niskanen[14] | Safe R | June 7, 2020 |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
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Republican | Kat Cammack | 223,075 | 57.14% | ||
Democratic | Adam Christensen | 167,326 | 42.86% | ||
Total votes | 390,401 | 100.0 | |||
Republican hold |
District 4
[edit]
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Precinct results Rutherford: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Deegan: 50–60% 60–70% >90% Tie: 50% No data | |||||||||||||||||
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The 4th district is located in the First Coast region, and includes all of Nassau County, as well as parts of Duval and St. Johns counties. The district includes the cities of Jacksonville, St. Augustine, and Fernandina Beach. Republican John Rutherford, who had represented the district since 2017, was re-elected with 65% of the vote in 2018.[3]
Republican primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- John Rutherford, incumbent U.S. representative[61]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Erick Aguilar, professor and United States Navy veteran[62]
Primary results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | John Rutherford (incumbent) | 80,101 | 80.2 | |
Republican | Erick Aguilar | 19,798 | 19.8 | |
Total votes | 99,899 | 100.0 |
Democratic primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Donna Deegan, former news anchor for First Coast News[63]
Withdrawn
[edit]Endorsements
[edit]Independent and third-party candidates
[edit]Independents
[edit]Declared
[edit]- Gary Koniz (write-in), retired journalist and perennial candidate[68]
General election
[edit]Debate
[edit]No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Democratic |
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Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn |
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John Rutherford | Donna Deegan | |||||
1 | Oct. 14, 2020 | WJXT | Kent Justice | [69] | P | P |
Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[7] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
FiveThirtyEight[70] | Safe R | October 15, 2020 |
Inside Elections[9] | Safe R | June 2, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
Politico[11] | Safe R | April 19, 2020 |
Daily Kos[12] | Safe R | June 3, 2020 |
RCP[13] | Safe R | June 9, 2020 |
Niskanen[14] | Safe R | June 7, 2020 |
Polling
[edit]Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
John Rutherford (R) |
Donna Deegan (D) |
Other | Undecided |
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University of North Florida[71] | October 1–4, 2020 | 863 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 57% | 38% | 5%[f] | 0% |
St. Pete Polls/Florida Politics[72] | September 2, 2020 | 1,037 (LV) | – | 62% | 35% | – | 3% |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | John Rutherford (incumbent) | 308,497 | 61.10% | ||
Democratic | Donna Deegan | 196,423 | 38.90% | ||
Independent | Gary Koniz (write-in) | 20 | 0.00% | ||
Total votes | 504,940 | 100.0 | |||
Republican hold |
District 5
[edit]
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Precinct results Lawson: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Adler: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% No data | |||||||||||||||||
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The 5th district stretches along the northern border of Florida, and includes all of Baker, Gadsden, Hamilton and Madison counties, as well as parts of Columbia, Duval, Jefferson, and Leon counties. The district includes the city of Quincy, as well as parts of Tallahassee and Jacksonville. The district is majority-minority. Democrat Al Lawson, who had represented the district since 2017, was re-elected with 66% of the vote in 2018.[3]
Democratic primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Al Lawson, incumbent U.S. representative
Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Albert Chester, pharmacist[73]
- LaShonda "LJ" Holloway, former congressional aide and candidate for this district in 2016[74]
Endorsements
[edit]Organizations
Primary results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Al Lawson (incumbent) | 52,823 | 55.7 | |
Democratic | Albert Chester | 24,579 | 25.9 | |
Democratic | LaShonda "LJ" Holloway | 17,378 | 18.3 | |
Total votes | 94,780 | 100.0 |
Republican primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Gary Adler, community activist[77]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Roger Wagoner, businessman[74]
Primary results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Gary Adler | 17,433 | 52.1 | |
Republican | Roger Wagoner | 16,012 | 47.9 | |
Total votes | 33,445 | 100.0 |
General election
[edit]Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[7] | Safe D | July 2, 2020 |
FiveThirtyEight[78] | Safe D | October 15, 2020 |
Inside Elections[9] | Safe D | June 2, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Safe D | July 2, 2020 |
Politico[11] | Safe D | April 19, 2020 |
Daily Kos[12] | Safe D | June 3, 2020 |
RCP[13] | Safe D | June 9, 2020 |
Niskanen[14] | Safe D | June 7, 2020 |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Al Lawson (incumbent) | 219,463 | 65.13% | ||
Republican | Gary Adler | 117,510 | 34.87% | ||
Total votes | 336,973 | 100.0 | |||
Democratic hold |
District 6
[edit]
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Precinct results Waltz: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Curtis: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% No data | |||||||||||||||||
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The 6th district encompasses the Halifax area, including all of Flagler and Volusia counties, as well as parts of St. Johns and Lake counties. The district includes the cities of Daytona Beach, Palm Coast, and DeLand. Republican Michael Waltz, who had represented the district since 2019, was elected with 56% of the vote in 2018.[3]
Republican primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Michael Waltz, incumbent U.S. representative
Democratic primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Clint Curtis, lawyer and nominee for California's 4th congressional district in 2010[79]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Richard Thripp, professor[79]
Primary results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Clint Curtis | 30,449 | 51.5 | |
Democratic | Richard Thripp | 28,661 | 48.5 | |
Total votes | 59,110 | 100.0 |
Independent and third-party candidates
[edit]Independents
[edit]Declared
[edit]- Gerry Nolan (write-in), businessman[68]
Independent Democrats
[edit]Declared
[edit]- Alan Grayson (write-in), former U.S. representative for Florida's 9th congressional district and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2016[80]
General election
[edit]Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[7] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
FiveThirtyEight[81] | Safe R | October 15, 2020 |
Inside Elections[9] | Safe R | June 2, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
Politico[11] | Likely R | April 19, 2020 |
Daily Kos[12] | Safe R | June 3, 2020 |
RCP[13] | Safe R | June 9, 2020 |
Niskanen[14] | Safe R | June 7, 2020 |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
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Republican | Michael Waltz (incumbent) | 265,393 | 60.64% | ||
Democratic | Clint Curtis | 172,305 | 39.36% | ||
Independent | Gerry Nolan (write-in) | 112 | 0.01% | ||
Democratic | Alan Grayson (write-in) | 46 | 0.01% | ||
Total votes | 437,856 | 100.0 | |||
Republican hold |
District 7
[edit]
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Precinct results Murphy: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Valentín: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% No data | |||||||||||||||||
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The 7th district is located in Central Florida, and includes all of Seminole County and part of Orange County. The district includes the cities of Orlando, Sanford, and Winter Park. Democrat Stephanie Murphy, who had represented the district since 2017, was re-elected with 57% of the vote in 2018.[3]
This district was included on the list of Democratic-held seats the National Republican Congressional Committee targeted in 2020.[82]
Democratic primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Stephanie Murphy, incumbent U.S. representative[83]
Endorsements
[edit]Organizations
Republican primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Leo Valentín, radiologist[85]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]Withdrawn
[edit]- Jan Edwards, businesswoman[87]
Primary results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Leo Valentín | 19,841 | 38.6 | |
Republican | Richard Goble | 19,187 | 37.4 | |
Republican | Yukong Zhao | 12,330 | 24.0 | |
Total votes | 51,358 | 100.0 |
Independents and third-party candidates
[edit]Independents
[edit]Declared
[edit]- William Garlington, businessman and former actor[68]
General election
[edit]Debate
[edit]No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Democratic | Republican | Independent |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn |
|||||||
Stephanie Murphy | Leo Valentin | William Garlington | |||||
1 | Oct. 13, 2020 | WESH | Greg Fox | [88] | P | P | P |
Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[7] | Safe D | July 2, 2020 |
FiveThirtyEight[89] | Safe D | October 15, 2020 |
Inside Elections[9] | Safe D | June 2, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Safe D | July 2, 2020 |
Politico[11] | Likely D | April 19, 2020 |
Daily Kos[12] | Safe D | June 3, 2020 |
RCP[13] | Likely D | June 9, 2020 |
Niskanen[14] | Safe D | June 7, 2020 |
Polling
[edit]Hypothetical polling
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---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
with Richard Goble, Joel Greenberg (R), Stephanie Murphy and Leo Valentin
with Joel Greenberg and Stephanie Murphy
|
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Stephanie Murphy (incumbent) | 224,946 | 55.34% | ||
Republican | Leo Valentín | 175,750 | 43.24% | ||
Independent | William Garlington | 5,753 | 1.42% | ||
Total votes | 406,449 | 100.0 | |||
Democratic hold |
District 8
[edit]
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Precinct results Posey: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Kennedy: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% No data | |||||||||||||||||
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The 8th district encompasses the Space Coast, and includes all of Indian River and Brevard counties, as well as part of Orange County. The district includes the cities of Melbourne, Palm Bay, and Titusville. Republican Bill Posey, who had represented the district since 2009, was re-elected with 60% of the vote in 2018.[3]
Republican primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Bill Posey, incumbent U.S. representative
Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Scott Caine, retired U.S. Air Force colonel[91]
Disqualified
[edit]- Angela Walls-Windhauser, perennial candidate
Primary results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Bill Posey (incumbent) | 54,861 | 62.5 | |
Republican | Scott Caine | 32,952 | 37.5 | |
Total votes | 87,813 | 100.0 |
Democratic primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Jim Kennedy, electrical engineer[91]
Withdrawn
[edit]- Tiffany Patti, activist[92]
Disqualified
[edit]Endorsements
[edit]Organizations
Independent and third-party candidates
[edit]Independents
[edit]Withdrawn
[edit]General election
[edit]Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[7] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
FiveThirtyEight[93] | Safe R | October 15, 2020 |
Inside Elections[9] | Safe R | June 2, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
Politico[11] | Safe R | April 19, 2020 |
Daily Kos[12] | Safe R | June 3, 2020 |
RCP[13] | Safe R | June 9, 2020 |
Niskanen[14] | Safe R | June 7, 2020 |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Bill Posey (incumbent) | 282,093 | 61.36% | ||
Democratic | Jim Kennedy | 177,695 | 38.64% | ||
Total votes | 459,788 | 100.0 | |||
Republican hold |
District 9
[edit]
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Precinct results Soto: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Olson: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 50% No data | |||||||||||||||||
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The 9th district is located in Central Florida, and encompasses all of Osceola County, as well as parts of Orange and Polk counties. The district includes the cities of Kissimmee and St. Cloud, as well as eastern Orlando. Democrat Darren Soto, who had represented the district since 2017, was re-elected with 58% of the vote in 2018.[3]
Democratic primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Darren Soto, incumbent U.S. representative[94]
Withdrawn
[edit]Endorsements
[edit]- Planned Parenthood Action Fund[84]
Republican primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Jose Castillo, hospitality manager[98]
- Sergio E. Ortiz, mortgage banker[99]
- Christopher Wright, attorney[98]
Primary results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Bill Olson | 20,751 | 48.6 | |
Republican | Christopher Wright | 9,677 | 22.7 | |
Republican | Jose Castillo | 8,595 | 20.1 | |
Republican | Sergio E. Ortiz | 3,680 | 8.6 | |
Total votes | 42,703 | 100.0 |
Independent and third-party candidates
[edit]Independents
[edit]Declared
[edit]- Clay Hill (write-in), perennial candidate[68]
Withdrawn
[edit]- John Rallison, teacher and pastor[100]
General election
[edit]Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[7] | Safe D | July 2, 2020 |
FiveThirtyEight[101] | Safe D | October 15, 2020 |
Inside Elections[9] | Safe D | June 2, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Safe D | July 2, 2020 |
Politico[11] | Likely D | April 19, 2020 |
Daily Kos[12] | Safe D | June 3, 2020 |
RCP[13] | Safe D | June 9, 2020 |
Niskanen[14] | Safe D | June 7, 2020 |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Darren Soto (incumbent) | 240,724 | 56.02% | ||
Republican | Bill Olson | 188,889 | 43.96% | ||
Independent | Clay Hill (write-in) | 25 | 0.01% | ||
Total votes | 429,638 | 100.0 | |||
Democratic hold |
District 10
[edit]
| |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
Precinct results Demings: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Francois: 50–60% 60–70% No data | |||||||||||||||||
|
The 10th district is located in Central Florida, and includes part of Orange County. The district includes western Orlando and its surrounding suburbs, including Apopka, Ocoee, and Winter Garden. Democrat Val Demings, who had represented the district since 2017, was re-elected unopposed in 2018.[3]
Democratic primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Val Demings, incumbent U.S. representative[102]
Republican primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Vennia Francois, former U.S. Senate aide and candidate for Florida's 7th congressional district in 2018[103]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Willie Montague, pastor[103]
Primary results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Vennia Francois | 21,485 | 65.1 | |
Republican | Willie Montague | 11,498 | 34.9 | |
Total votes | 32,983 | 100.0 |
Independent and third-party candidates
[edit]Independents
[edit]Candidates
[edit]- Sufiyah Yasmine (write-in), artist[68]
Withdrawn
[edit]- Kristofer Lawson, writer[68]
General election
[edit]Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[7] | Safe D | July 2, 2020 |
FiveThirtyEight[104] | Safe D | October 15, 2020 |
Inside Elections[9] | Safe D | June 2, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Safe D | July 2, 2020 |
Politico[11] | Safe D | April 19, 2020 |
Daily Kos[12] | Safe D | June 3, 2020 |
RCP[13] | Safe D | June 9, 2020 |
Niskanen[14] | Safe D | June 7, 2020 |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Val Demings (incumbent) | 239,434 | 63.61% | ||
Republican | Vennia Francois | 136,889 | 36.36% | ||
Independent | Sufiyah Yasmine (write-in) | 74 | 0.01% | ||
Total votes | 376,397 | 100.0 | |||
Democratic hold |
District 11
[edit]
| |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
Precinct results Webster: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Cottrell: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% No data | |||||||||||||||||
|
The 11th district is located in North Central Florida, and includes all of Sumter, Citrus, and Hernando counties, as well as parts of Marion and Lake counties. The district includes the cities of Spring Hill, Inverness, and Leesburg, as well as the large retirement community of The Villages. Republican Daniel Webster, who had represented the district since 2011, was re-elected with 65% of the vote in 2018.[3]
Republican primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Daniel Webster, incumbent U.S. representative
Democratic primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]Withdrawn
[edit]- James Henry, former official in Greenfield, Massachusetts, and Hollis, Maine[106]
- Jeff Rabinowitz, author[107]
General election
[edit]Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[7] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
FiveThirtyEight[108] | Safe R | October 15, 2020 |
Inside Elections[9] | Safe R | June 2, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
Politico[11] | Safe R | April 19, 2020 |
Daily Kos[12] | Safe R | June 3, 2020 |
RCP[13] | Safe R | June 9, 2020 |
Niskanen[14] | Safe R | June 7, 2020 |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Daniel Webster (incumbent) | 316,979 | 66.72% | ||
Democratic | Dana Cottrell | 158,094 | 33.27% | ||
Total votes | 475,073 | 100.0 | |||
Republican hold |
District 12
[edit]
| |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
Precinct results Bilirakis: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Walker: 50–60% No data | |||||||||||||||||
|
The 12th district encompasses the northern Tampa Bay area, including all of Pasco County, as well as parts of Hillsborough and Pinellas counties. The district includes the cities of Palm Harbor, New Port Richey, and Zephyrhills. Republican Gus Bilirakis, who had represented the district since 2007, was re-elected with 58% of the vote in 2018.[3]
Republican primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Gus Bilirakis, incumbent U.S. representative
Democratic primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Kimberly Walker, businesswoman and U.S. Air Force veteran[109]
Endorsements
[edit]Independent and third-party candidates
[edit]Independents
[edit]Withdrawn
[edit]- Michael Knezevich, private investigator and former U.S. Customs Service pilot[111]
General election
[edit]Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[7] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
FiveThirtyEight[112] | Safe R | October 15, 2020 |
Inside Elections[9] | Safe R | June 2, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
Politico[11] | Safe R | April 19, 2020 |
Daily Kos[12] | Safe R | June 3, 2020 |
RCP[13] | Safe R | June 9, 2020 |
Niskanen[14] | Safe R | June 7, 2020 |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Gus Bilirakis (incumbent) | 284,941 | 62.88% | ||
Democratic | Kimberly Walker | 168,194 | 37.11% | ||
Total votes | 453,135 | 100.0 | |||
Republican hold |
District 13
[edit]
| |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
Precinct results Crist: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Luna: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 50% No data | |||||||||||||||||
|
The 13th district is located in the western Tampa Bay area and encompasses the northern Florida Suncoast, and includes part of Pinellas County. The district includes the cities of St. Petersburg, Clearwater, and Largo. Democrat Charlie Crist, who had represented the district since 2017, was re-elected with 57.6% of the vote in 2018.[3]
This district was included on the list of Democratic-held seats the National Republican Congressional Committee targeted in 2020.[82]
Democratic primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Charlie Crist, incumbent U.S. representative[113]
Endorsements
[edit]Republican primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Anna Paulina Luna, director of Hispanic Engagement for Turning Point USA and U.S. Air Force veteran[116]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]- George Buck, U.S. Army veteran and nominee for Florida's 13th congressional district in 2018[117]
- Sheila Griffin, attorney and candidate for St. Petersburg city council in 2015[118]
- Amanda Makki, lobbyist and former congressional aide[117]
Withdrawn
[edit]- Rick Baker, former mayor of St. Petersburg[119]
- Matt Becker, businessman and 2012 Republican National Convention executive[120][121]
- Sharon Newby, businesswoman[122] (endorsed Luna)[123]
Endorsements
[edit]Federal officials
- Matt Gaetz, U.S. representative (FL-01)[124]
- Elise Stefanik, U.S. representative (NY-21)[125]
- Donald Trump, President of the United States[126]
Local officials
- Bill Foster, former mayor of St. Petersburg (2010–2014)[127]
Organizations
Federal officials
- Michael Burgess, U.S. representative (TX-26)[129]
- Neal Dunn, U.S. representative (FL-02)[129]
- Joni Ernst, U.S. senator from Iowa[130]
- Kevin McCarthy, U.S. representative (CA-23), House Minority Leader, and former House Majority Leader (2014–2019) and House Majority Whip (2011–2014)[129]
- John Rutherford, U.S. representative (FL-04)[129]
- Steve Scalise, U.S. representative (LA-01), House Minority Whip, and former House Majority Whip (2014–2019)[129]
- Michael Waltz, U.S. representative (FL-06)[129]
State officials
- J. W. Grant, state representative[131]
Organizations
- Fraternal Order of Police Lodges 10 and 43[132]
- FreedomWorks[133]
- Maggie's List[134]
- Maverick PAC[135]
- National Emergency Medicine (NEM) PAC[136]
- National Republican Congressional Committee[137]
- Republican Main Street Partnership PAC[138]
- Value in Electing Women (VIEW) PAC[139]
Individuals
- Robert J. O'Neill, former U.S. Navy SEAL[140]
Polling
[edit]Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
George Buck |
Sheila Griffin |
Anna Paulina Luna |
Amanda Makki |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
St. Pete Polls[141] | August 15, 2020 | 626 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 26% | 6% | 29% | 20% | 1%[i] | – |
St. Pete Polls[142] | July 9, 2020 | 558 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 21% | 4% | 13% | 29% | 1%[j] | 32% |
Primary results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Anna Paulina Luna | 22,941 | 36.1 | |
Republican | Amanda Makki | 17,967 | 28.3 | |
Republican | George Buck | 16,371 | 25.8 | |
Republican | Sheila Griffin | 4,329 | 6.8 | |
Republican | Sharon Newby (withdrawn) | 1,866 | 2.9 | |
Total votes | 63,474 | 100.0 |
Independent and third-party candidates
[edit]Independent Republicans
[edit]Declared
[edit]General election
[edit]Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[7] | Safe D | July 2, 2020 |
FiveThirtyEight[144] | Safe D | October 15, 2020 |
Inside Elections[9] | Safe D | June 2, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Safe D | October 1, 2020 |
Politico[11] | Lean D | April 19, 2020 |
Daily Kos[12] | Safe D | November 2, 2020 |
RCP[13] | Likely D | June 9, 2020 |
Niskanen[14] | Safe D | June 7, 2020 |
Polling
[edit]Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Charlie Crist (D) |
Anna Paulina Luna (R) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
St. Pete Polls[145] | October 28, 2020 | 1,280 (LV) | ± 2.7% | 55% | 39% | 7% |
St. Pete Polls[145] | August 29–30, 2020 | 2,160 (LV) | ± 2.1% | 55% | 39% | 7% |
Hypothetical polling
| ||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Charlie Crist (incumbent) | 215,405 | 53.03% | ||
Republican | Anna Paulina Luna | 190,713 | 46.95% | ||
Republican | Jacob Curnow (write-in) | 7 | 0.01% | ||
Total votes | 406,125 | 100.0 | |||
Democratic hold |
District 14
[edit]
| |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
Precinct results Castor: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Quinn: 50–60% 60–70% Tie: 50% No data | |||||||||||||||||
|
The 14th district is located in the northern Tampa Bay area, and includes part of Hillsborough County. The district includes the cities of Tampa, Carrollwood, and Northdale. Democrat Kathy Castor, who had represented the district since 2007, was re-elected unopposed in 2018.[3]
Democratic primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Kathy Castor, incumbent U.S. representative
Withdrawn
[edit]Republican primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Paul Elliott, former Hillsborough County judge[148]
Primary results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Christine Quinn | 24,077 | 64.5 | |
Republican | Paul Elliott | 13,257 | 35.5 | |
Total votes | 37,334 | 100.0 |
Independent and third-party candidates
[edit]Independents
[edit]Withdrawn
[edit]- Robert Wunderlich, attorney and former Green Beret[149]
General election
[edit]Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[7] | Safe D | July 2, 2020 |
FiveThirtyEight[150] | Safe D | October 15, 2020 |
Inside Elections[9] | Safe D | June 2, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Safe D | July 2, 2020 |
Politico[11] | Safe D | April 19, 2020 |
Daily Kos[12] | Safe D | June 3, 2020 |
RCP[13] | Safe D | June 9, 2020 |
Niskanen[14] | Safe D | June 7, 2020 |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Kathy Castor (incumbent) | 224,240 | 60.25% | ||
Republican | Christine Quinn | 147,896 | 39.74% | ||
Total votes | 372,136 | 100.0 | |||
Democratic hold |
District 15
[edit]
| |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
Precinct results Franklin: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Cohn: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% No data | |||||||||||||||||
|
The 15th district is located in the northeastern Tampa Bay area and extends along the I-4 corridor into Central Florida, and includes parts of Hillsborough, Polk, and Lake counties. The district includes the cities of Lakeland, Brandon, and Bartow. Republican Ross Spano, who had represented the district since 2019, was elected with 53% of the vote in 2018. Spano lost renomination in the Republican primary.[3]
This district was included on the list of Republican-held seats the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee targeted in 2020.[151]
Republican primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Scott Franklin, Lakeland city commissioner[152]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Ross Spano, incumbent U.S. representative[153]
Declined
[edit]- Neil Combee, former state representative and candidate for Florida's 15th congressional district in 2018[154]
- Sean Harper, contractor and candidate for Florida's 15th congressional district in 2018[154]
- Danny Kushmer, non-profit executive and candidate for Florida's 15th congressional district in 2018[154] (running for Florida House of Representatives, District 59)
- Ed Shoemaker, conservative activist and candidate for Florida's 15th congressional district in 2018[154] (running for Polk County School Board)
Endorsements
[edit]Federal officials
Local officials
- Grady Judd, Sheriff of Polk County, Florida (2005–present)[156] (Independent)
U.S. senators
- Marco Rubio, U.S. senator from Florida (2011–present); Chair of the Senate Small Business Committee (2019–present); candidate for President in 2016[157]
U.S. representatives
- Gus Bilirakis, U.S. representative from FL-12 (2013–present) and FL-09 (2007–2013)[158]
- Vern Buchanan, U.S. representative from FL-16 (2013–present) and FL-13 (2007–2013)[158]
- Liz Cheney, U.S. representative from WY-00 (2017–present); Chair of the House Republican Conference (2019–present); candidate for U.S. Senate from Wyoming in 2014[159]
- Mario Díaz-Balart, U.S. representative from FL-25 (2003–2011 and 2013–present) and FL-21 (2011–2013)[159]
- Tom Emmer, U.S. representative from MN-06 (2015–present); Chair of the National Republican Congressional Committee (2019–present)[159]
- Kevin McCarthy, U.S. representative from CA-23 (2013–present) and CA-22 (2007–2013); House Minority Leader (2019–present); Leader of the House Republican Conference (2019–present)[159]
- Steve Scalise, U.S. representative from LA-01 (2008–present); House Minority Whip (2019–present)[159]
- Greg Steube, U.S. representative from FL-17 (2019–present)[154]
- Michael Waltz, U.S. representative from FL-06 (2019–present)[159]
- Daniel Webster, U.S. representative from FL-11 (2017–present), FL-10 (2013–2017), and FL-08 (2011–2013); candidate for U.S. Senate from Florida in 2004[158]
State legislators
- Kelli Stargel, Florida state senator from District 22 (2016–present) and District 15 (2012–2016)[159]
Local officials
- Carey Baker, property appraiser of Lake County, Florida (2012–present)[159]
Organizations
Polling
[edit]Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of Error |
Scott Franklin |
Ross Spano |
Other |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
St. Pete Polls[161] | August 12, 2020 | 594 (LV) | ± 4% | 41% | 42% | 18%[k] |
Primary results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Scott Franklin | 30,736 | 51.2 | |
Republican | Ross Spano (incumbent) | 29,265 | 48.8 | |
Total votes | 60,001 | 100.0 |
Democratic primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Alan Cohn, Peabody and Emmy award-winning journalist and nominee for Florida's 15th congressional district in 2014[162]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Adam Hattersley, state representative[163]
- Jesse Philippe, U.S. Marine Corps veteran[164]
Withdrawn
[edit]- Kel Britvec, former Defense Intelligence Agency officer[165]
- Andrew Learned, U.S. Naval Reserve officer and candidate for Florida's 15th congressional district in 2018[166] (running for Florida House of Representatives, District 59)
- Loretta Miller, radio host and Republican candidate for Florida's 15th congressional district in 2018[167][168] (died on April 13, 2020)
Declined
[edit]- Kristen Carlson, attorney and nominee for Florida's 15th congressional district in 2018[169] (endorsed Adam Hattersley)[170]
Endorsements
[edit]U.S. presidents
- Barack Obama, 44th president of the United States (2009–2017), U.S. senator from Illinois (2005–2008)[171]
U.S. senators
- Kent Conrad, U.S. senator from North Dakota (1987–2013)[172]
- Bob Graham, U.S. senator from Florida (1987–2005); Governor of Florida (1979–1987); candidate for President in 2004[173]
U.S. representatives
- Charlie Crist, U.S. representative from FL-13, Governor of Florida (2007–2011), Attorney General of Florida (2003–2007) (former Republican)[174]
- Ted Deutch, U.S. representative from FL-22, U.S. representative from FL-21 (2013–2017), U.S. representative from FL-19 (2010–2013[174]
- Lois Frankel, U.S. representative from FL-22, U.S. representative from FL-21 (2017–present)[174]
- Gwen Graham, U.S. representative from FL-02 (2015–2017); candidate for Governor of Florida in 2018[173]
- Patrick J. Kennedy, U.S. representative from RI-1, son of Ted Kennedy[172]
- Darren Soto, U.S. representative from FL-09 (2017–present)[174]
State executives
- Nikki Fried, Florida Commissioner of Agriculture (2019–present)[174]
Municipal officials
- Philip Levine, Mayor of Miami Beach, Florida (2013–2017); candidate for governor of Florida in 2018[175]
Individuals
- Randy Bryce, political activist[172]
- Cenk Uygur, political commentator, media host, journalist, and attorney; candidate for U.S. representative from CA-25 in 2020[176]
Labor unions
- American Federation of Government Employees[174]
- American Postal Workers Union[172]
- Communication Workers of America[174]
- International Brotherhood of Teamsters[177]
- International Union of Operating Engineers[178]
- SEIU[174]
- United Association[177]
- United Food and Commercial Workers[177]
Organizations
U.S. representatives
- Kathy Castor, U.S. representative from FL-14 (2013–present) and FL-11 (2007–2013)[180]
- Stephanie Murphy, U.S. representative from FL-07 (2017–present)[170]
State officials
- Betty Castor, education commissioner of Florida (1987–1994); Democratic nominee for U.S. Senate from Florida in 2004[170]
State legislators
- Janet Cruz, Florida state senator from District 18 (2018–present)[170]
- Ben Diamond, Florida state representative from District 68 (2016–present)[170]
- Fentrice Driskell, Florida state representative from District 63 (2018–present)[170]
- Javier Fernandez, Florida state representative from District 114 (2018–present)[181]
- Dianne Hart, Florida state representative from District 61 (2018–present)[170]
- Evan Jenne, Florida state representative from District 99 (2014–present); Florida state representative from District 100 (2006–2012)[170]
- Kionne McGhee, Florida state representative from District 117 (2012–present); Minority Leader of the Florida House of Representatives (2018–present)[170]
- Wengay Newton, Florida state representative from District 70 (2016–present)[181]
- Sean Shaw, Florida state representative from District 61 (2016–2018); Democratic nominee for Attorney General of Florida in 2018[170]
- Carlos Guillermo Smith, Florida state representative from District 49 (2016–present)[170]
- Susan Valdes, Florida state representative from District 62 (2018–present)[181]
- Jennifer Webb, Florida state representative from District 69 (2018–present)[170]
Municipal officials
- Sandra Freedman, mayor of Tampa, Florida (1986–1995)[170]
- Rick Kriseman, mayor of St. Petersburg, Florida (2014–present)[170]
Individuals
- Kristen Carlson, attorney, Democratic nominee for U.S. representative from FL-15 in 2018[170]
- John Hutson, United States Navy officer, attorney, and Judge Advocate General of the Navy[170]
- Nancy Soderberg, foreign policy strategist; Democratic nominee for U.S. representative from FL-06 in 2018[170]
Labor unions
- International Association of Fire Fighters – Local 2294[170]
- International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers – Local 824[170]
Organizations
- 314 Action[170]
- Blue Dog Coalition[182]
- College Democrats of America – Florida chapter[183]
- Florida Democratic Party – Disabilities Issues Caucus[170]
- Florida Democratic Party – LGBT+ Caucus[170]
Primary results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Alan Cohn | 21,079 | 41.0 | |
Democratic | Adam Hattersley | 16,978 | 33.0 | |
Democratic | Jesse Philippe | 13,384 | 26.0 | |
Total votes | 51,441 | 100.0 |
General election
[edit]Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[7] | Lean R | July 16, 2020 |
FiveThirtyEight[185] | Likely R | October 15, 2020 |
Inside Elections[9] | Lean R | August 7, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Lean R | July 2, 2020 |
Politico[11] | Lean R | July 6, 2020 |
Daily Kos[12] | Likely R | April 30, 2020 |
RCP[13] | Tossup | October 15, 2020 |
Niskanen[14] | Lean R | June 7, 2020 |
Polling
[edit]Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of Error |
Scott Franklin (R) |
Alan Cohn (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Change Research (D)[186][C] | October 22–24, 2020 | 530 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 46% | 44% | – |
St. Pete Polls[187] | October 15, 2020 | 943 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 49% | 41% | 11% |
DCCC Targeting & Analytics Department (D)[188][D] | September 30 – October 4, 2020 | 390 (LV) | ± 5% | 42% | 39% | 19% |
GQR Research (D)[189][E] | September 4–6, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 49% | 42% | – |
Hypothetical polling
| ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Scott Franklin | 216,374 | 55.38% | ||
Democratic | Alan Cohn | 174,297 | 44.61% | ||
Total votes | 390,671 | 100.0 | |||
Republican hold |
District 16
[edit]
| |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
Precinct results Buchanan: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Good: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% >90% No data | |||||||||||||||||
|
The 16th district encompasses the southern Tampa Bay area and southern Florida Suncoast, and includes all of Manatee County, as well as parts of Hillsborough and Sarasota counties. The district includes the cities of Sarasota, Bradenton, and Sun City Center. Republican Vern Buchanan, who had represented the district since 2007, was reelected with 54% of the vote in 2018.[3]
This district was included on the list of Republican-held seats the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee targeted in 2020.[151]
Republican primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Vern Buchanan, incumbent U.S. representative[113]
Democratic primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Margaret Good, state representative[190]
Endorsements
[edit]U.S. presidents
- Barack Obama, 44th president of the United States (2009–2017), U.S. senator from Illinois (2005–2008)[191]
Organizations
General election
[edit]Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[7] | Likely R | July 2, 2020 |
FiveThirtyEight[196] | Likely R | October 15, 2020 |
Inside Elections[9] | Likely R | August 7, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Likely R | July 2, 2020 |
Politico[11] | Likely R | April 19, 2020 |
Daily Kos[12] | Likely R | June 3, 2020 |
RCP[13] | Lean R | October 15, 2020 |
Niskanen[14] | Likely R | June 7, 2020 |
Polling
[edit]Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Vern Buchanan (R) |
Margaret Good (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Data Targeting (R)[197][F] | October 19–21, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 53% | 38% | – | – |
Data Targeting (R)[198][F] | October 6–8, 2020 | 403 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 52% | 37% | 1%[l] | 9% |
Change Research (D)[199][G] | October 5–8, 2020 | 527 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 48% | 45% | – | 7% |
Data Targeting (R)[200][F] | September 29 – October 1, 2020 | 400 (LV) | – | 53% | 37% | – | – |
Global Strategy Group (D)[201] | September 24–27, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 49% | 43% | – | – |
Data Targeting (R)[202][F] | August 27–29, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 51% | 35% | – | – |
Global Strategy Group (D)[203] | July 7–12, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 47% | 41% | – | – |
Data Targeting (R)[204][F] | January 14–16, 2020 | 400 (RV) | ± 4.9% | 53% | 33% | – | 14% |
Hypothetical polling
| ||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
with Generic Republican and Generic Democrat
|
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Vern Buchanan (incumbent) | 269,001 | 55.50% | ||
Democratic | Margaret Good | 215,683 | 44.49% | ||
Total votes | 484,684 | 100.0 | |||
Republican hold |
District 17
[edit]
| |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
Precinct results Steube: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Ellison: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% >90% No data | |||||||||||||||||
|
The 17th district encompasses part of Southwest Florida and most of the Florida Heartland, and includes all or part of 10 counties. The district includes the cities of North Port, Port Charlotte, and Sebring. Republican Greg Steube, who had represented the district since 2019, was elected with 62% of the vote in 2018.[3]
Republican primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Greg Steube, incumbent U.S. Representative
Democratic primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]Independent and third-party candidates
[edit]Independents
[edit]Declared
[edit]General election
[edit]Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[7] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
FiveThirtyEight[207] | Safe R | October 15, 2020 |
Inside Elections[9] | Safe R | June 2, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
Politico[11] | Safe R | April 19, 2020 |
Daily Kos[12] | Safe R | June 3, 2020 |
RCP[13] | Safe R | June 9, 2020 |
Niskanen[14] | Safe R | June 7, 2020 |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Greg Steube (incumbent) | 266,514 | 64.62% | ||
Democratic | Allen Ellison | 140,487 | 34.06% | ||
Independent | Theodore Murray | 5,396 | 1.30% | ||
Total votes | 412,397 | 100.0 | |||
Republican hold |
District 18
[edit]
| |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
Precinct results Mast: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Keith: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 50% No data | |||||||||||||||||
|
The 18th district encompasses the Treasure Coast region, and includes all of St. Lucie and Martin counties, as well as part of Palm Beach County. The district includes the cities of Port St. Lucie, Fort Pierce, and Jupiter. Republican Brian Mast, who had represented the district since 2017, was re-elected with 54% of the vote in 2018.[3]
This district was included on the list of Republican-held seats the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee targeted in 2020.[151]
Republican primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Brian Mast, incumbent U.S. representative[208]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Nick Vessio, retired police sergeant[209]
Primary results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Brian Mast (incumbent) | 62,121 | 86.0 | |
Republican | Nick Vessio | 10,081 | 14.0 | |
Total votes | 72,202 | 100.0 |
Democratic primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Pam Keith, attorney and candidate for Florida's 18th congressional district in 2018 and U.S. Senate in 2016[210]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Oz Vazquez, former Florida deputy solicitor general[211]
Endorsements
[edit]U.S. senators
- Elizabeth Warren, U.S. senator from Massachusetts[212]
Individuals
- Cori Bush, Democratic nominee for Missouri's 1st congressional district[213]
Organizations
- Patrick Murphy, former U.S. representative from this district (2013–2017) and Democratic nominee for U.S. Senate in 2016[216]
State officials
- Nikki Fried, state Agriculture Commissioner[217]
Organizations
- Congressional Hispanic Caucus Bold PAC[216]
- Florida AFL-CIO[218]
- Latino Victory[216]
- Planned Parenthood Action Fund[216]
Primary results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Pam Keith | 52,921 | 79.8 | |
Democratic | Oz Vazquez | 13,385 | 20.2 | |
Total votes | 66,306 | 100.0 |
Independent and third-party candidates
[edit]Independents
[edit]Declared
[edit]- K. W. Miller, international energy and infrastructure executive[219]
General election
[edit]Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[7] | Likely R | July 2, 2020 |
FiveThirtyEight[220] | Likely R | October 19, 2020 |
Inside Elections[9] | Likely R | October 16, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Likely R | October 20, 2020 |
Politico[11] | Lean R | November 2, 2020 |
Daily Kos[12] | Likely R | October 19, 2020 |
RCP[13] | Safe R | June 9, 2020 |
Niskanen[14] | Tossup | July 26, 2020 |
Polling
[edit]Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Brian Mast (R) |
Pam Keith (D) |
K. W. Miller (I) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Clearview Research (D)[221][H] | October 7–9, 2020 | 301 (LV) | – | 43% | 45% | 4% | – |
St. Pete Polls[222] | September 18, 2020 | 1,149 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 50% | 42% | 2% | 5% |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Brian Mast (incumbent) | 253,286 | 56.32% | ||
Democratic | Pam Keith | 186,674 | 41.50% | ||
Independent | K. W. Miller | 9,760 | 2.17% | ||
Total votes | 449,720 | 100.0 | |||
Republican hold |
District 19
[edit]
| |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
Precinct results Donalds: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% Banyai: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% | |||||||||||||||||
|
The 19th district includes most of Southwest Florida, and includes parts of Lee and Collier counties. The district includes the cities of Cape Coral, Fort Myers, Estero, Bonita Springs and Naples. Republican Francis Rooney, who had represented the district since 2017, was reelected with 62% of the vote in 2018.[3] On October 19, 2019, Rooney announced he would not seek re-election.[223]
Republican primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Byron Donalds, state representative[224]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Darren Aquino, disabilities activist and actor[225]
- Casey Askar, businessman and U.S. Marine Corps veteran[226]
- Dane Eagle, majority leader of the Florida House of Representatives[227] (endorsed Donalds after primary loss)[228]
- William Figlesthaler, urologist[229]
- Randy Henderson, mayor of Fort Myers[230]
- Daniel Kowal, Collier County Sheriff's deputy[231]
- Christy McLaughlin, activist[232]
- Dan Severson, former Minnesota state representative and nominee for Minnesota Secretary of State in 2014[233]
Withdrawn
[edit]- Heather Fitzenhagen, state representative[234][235] (ran for state senate)
Declined
[edit]- Gary Aubuchon, former state representative (endorsed Eagle)[236]
- Lizbeth Benacquisto, state senator[237]
- Matt Caldwell, former state representative (endorsed Eagle)[238]
- Chauncey Goss, son of former U.S. representative Porter Goss and candidate for Florida's 19th congressional district in 2016[239]
- Brian Hamman, Lee County commissioner[238]
- Matt Hudson, former state representative[239]
- Steve Martin, attorney[240]
- Jim Oberweis, Illinois state senator and nominee for U.S. Senate in Illinois in 2014[241] (running for IL-14)
- Kathleen Passidomo, state senator[238]
- Cecil Pendergrass, Lee County commissioner[229]
- Spencer Roach, state representative (endorsed Eagle)[242]
- Bob Rommel, state representative[243]
- Francis Rooney, incumbent U.S. representative[223]
- Mike Scott, former Lee County sheriff[229]
- Drew Steele, local Fox News Radio host[238]
Endorsements
[edit]Organizations
Federal officials
- Gus Bilirakis, U.S. representative (FL-12)[246]
State officials
- Gary Aubuchon, former state representative (2007–2013)[236]
- Lizbeth Benacquisto, state senator and former state Senate majority leader (2012–2014) and Republican candidate in 2014 FL-19 special election[247]
- Matt Caldwell, former state representative (2010–2018)[236]
- Jeff Kottkamp, former lieutenant governor (2007–2011)[236]
- Spencer Roach, state representative[236]
- Ray Rodrigues, state representative[236]
Organizations
Individuals
- Michael Johns, former White House speechwriter to George H. W. Bush[248]
- Tim Pawlenty, 2012 Republican presidential candidate and former governor of Minnesota (2003–2011)[249]
Polling
[edit]Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Casey Askar |
Byron Donalds |
Dane Eagle |
William Figlesthaler |
Randy Henderson |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
St. Pete Polls[250] | August 16, 2020 | 439 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 22% | 23% | 16% | 16% | 11% | 8%[m] | 4% |
St. Pete Polls[251] | August 3, 2020 | 525 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 16% | 22% | 20% | 21% | 8% | 6%[m] | 14% |
Data Targeting/Dane Eagle[252][I] | July 23, 2020 | 282 (LV) | ± 5.7% | 15% | 21% | 23% | 19% | 6% | 3%[n] | 8% |
St. Pete Polls[253] | July 6, 2020 | 503 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 30% | 26% | 7% | 16% | 5% | 4%[o] | 12% |
Primary results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Byron Donalds | 23,492 | 22.6 | |
Republican | Dane Eagle | 22,715 | 21.9 | |
Republican | Casey Askar | 20,774 | 20.0 | |
Republican | William Figlesthaler | 19,075 | 18.3 | |
Republican | Randy Henderson | 7,858 | 7.6 | |
Republican | Christy McLaughlin | 4,245 | 4.1 | |
Republican | Dan Severson | 3,197 | 3.1 | |
Republican | Darren Aquino | 1,466 | 1.4 | |
Republican | Daniel Kowal | 1,135 | 1.1 | |
Total votes | 103,957 | 100.0 |
Democratic primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Cindy Banyai, political science professor at Florida Gulf Coast University[254]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]Endorsements
[edit]Primary results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Cindy Banyai | 28,765 | 57.6 | |
Democratic | David Holden | 21,212 | 42.4 | |
Total votes | 49,977 | 100.0 |
Independent and third-party candidates
[edit]Independents
[edit]Declared
[edit]- Patrick Post (write-in), president of Sustainable Planet USA[256]
Withdrawn
[edit]- Antonio Dumornay, housing activist[257]
General election
[edit]Debate
[edit]No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Democratic |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn |
||||||
Byron Donalds | Cindy Banyai | |||||
1 | Sep. 30, 2020 | WGCU (TV) | [258] | P | P |
Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[7] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
FiveThirtyEight[259] | Safe R | October 15, 2020 |
Inside Elections[9] | Safe R | June 2, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
Politico[11] | Safe R | April 19, 2020 |
Daily Kos[12] | Safe R | June 3, 2020 |
RCP[13] | Safe R | June 9, 2020 |
Niskanen[14] | Safe R | June 7, 2020 |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Byron Donalds | 272,440 | 61.27% | ||
Democratic | Cindy Banyai | 172,146 | 38.72% | ||
Independent | Patrick Post (write-in) | 3 | 0.01% | ||
Total votes | 444,589 | 100.0 | |||
Republican hold |
District 20
[edit]
| |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
County results Hastings: 70–80% 80–90% | |||||||||||||||||
Precinct results Hastings: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Musselwhite: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 50% No data | |||||||||||||||||
|
The 20th district is located in South Florida, and includes parts of Broward and Palm Beach counties. The district includes the cities of Fort Lauderdale, Pompano Beach, and Belle Glade. Democrat Alcee Hastings, who had represented the district since 1993, was re-elected unopposed in 2018.[3]
Democratic primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Alcee Hastings, incumbent U.S. representative[260]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick, attorney and candidate for Florida's 20th congressional district in 2018[261]
Withdrawn
[edit]- Roshan Mody, co-founder of Plus1 Vote[262]
- Emmanuel Morel, former federal investigator for the U.S. Department of Labor and candidate for Florida's 21st congressional district in 2014[263][264]
Primary results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Alcee Hastings (incumbent) | 62,759 | 69.3 | |
Democratic | Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick | 27,831 | 30.7 | |
Total votes | 90,590 | 100.0 |
Republican primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Declared
[edit]Primary results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Greg Musselwhite | 5,394 | 52.0 | |
Republican | Vic DeGrammont | 4,975 | 48.0 | |
Total votes | 10,369 | 100.0 |
General election
[edit]Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[7] | Safe D | July 2, 2020 |
FiveThirtyEight[267] | Safe D | October 15, 2020 |
Inside Elections[9] | Safe D | June 2, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Safe D | July 2, 2020 |
Politico[11] | Safe D | April 19, 2020 |
Daily Kos[12] | Safe D | June 3, 2020 |
RCP[13] | Safe D | June 9, 2020 |
Niskanen[14] | Safe D | June 7, 2020 |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Alcee Hastings (incumbent) | 253,661 | 78.67% | ||
Republican | Greg Musselwhite | 68,748 | 21.32% | ||
Total votes | 322,409 | 100.0 | |||
Democratic hold |
District 21
[edit]
| |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
Precinct results Frankel: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Loomer: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 50% No data | |||||||||||||||||
|
The 21st district is located in South Florida, and includes part of Palm Beach County. The district includes the cities of West Palm Beach, Boynton Beach, and Wellington. Democrat Lois Frankel, who had represented the district since 2013, was re-elected unopposed in 2018.[3]
Democratic primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Lois Frankel, incumbent U.S. representative[113]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Guido Weiss, former advisor to U.S. Representative Tulsi Gabbard[268]
Withdrawn
[edit]- Adam Aarons, film producer and actor[269]
Endorsements
[edit]Organizations
Primary results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Lois Frankel (incumbent) | 75,504 | 86.0 | |
Democratic | Guido Weiss | 12,308 | 14.0 | |
Total votes | 87,812 | 100.0 |
Republican primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Laura Loomer, reporter for InfoWars, conspiracy theorist, and far-right activist[270]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Christian Acosta, nuclear engineer and Palm Beach State College professor[271]
- Elizabeth Felton, animal rights activist[272]
- Aaron Scanlan, U.S. Air Force veteran[273]
- Reba Sherrill, health activist[274]
- Michael Vilardi, retired Internal Revenue Service agent[275]
Disqualified
[edit]Endorsements
[edit]U.S. presidents
- Donald Trump, President of the United States (2017–2021)[279]
U.S. representatives
- Matt Gaetz, U.S. representative (FL-01) (2017–present)[280]
- Paul Gosar, U.S. representative from (AZ-04) (2013–present), (AZ-01) (2011–2013)[281]
Local officials
- Jeanine Pirro, District Attorney of Westchester County (1994–2005), Chair of the New York State Commission on Domestic Violence Fatalities (1994–1997), Judge of the Westchester County Court (1991–1993)[281]
Individuals
- Roseanne Barr, actress[282]
- Juanita Broaddrick, political activist, Bill Clinton accuser, and former nursing home administrator[281]
- Marjorie Taylor Greene, businesswoman, conspiracy theorist and Republican nominee for Georgia's 14th congressional district in the 2020 elections[279]
- Alex Jones, far-right radio show host, political extremist and conspiracy theorist[279]
- Michelle Malkin, conservative columnist[281]
- Gavin McInnes, far-right political commentator and founder of the Proud Boys[283]
- Wayne Allyn Root, conservative author, radio host, conspiracy theorist, and Libertarian nominee for Vice President of the United States in 2008[284]
- Bo Snerdley, call screener, producer, and engineer for The Rush Limbaugh Show[281]
- Roger Stone, political consultant[285]
- Milo Yiannopoulos, far-right political commentator[283]
Polling
[edit]Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Laura Loomer |
Other |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Washington Sentinel[286][J] | Released June 20, 2020 | –[p] | – | 51% | ≥4%[q] |
Primary results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Laura Loomer | 14,526 | 42.5 | |
Republican | Christian Acosta | 8,724 | 25.5 | |
Republican | Michael Vilardi | 4,194 | 12.3 | |
Republican | Aaron Scanlan | 3,221 | 9.4 | |
Republican | Elizabeth Felton | 2,421 | 7.1 | |
Republican | Reba Sherrill | 1,070 | 3.1 | |
Total votes | 34,156 | 100.0 |
Independent and third-party candidates
[edit]Independents
[edit]Declared
[edit]- Sylvia Caravetta (write-in), activist[68]
- Charleston Malkemus, technology executive and U.S. Marine Corps veteran[287]
Independent Republicans
[edit]Declared
[edit]- Piotr Blass (write-in), former professor and perennial candidate[68]
General election
[edit]Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[7] | Safe D | July 2, 2020 |
FiveThirtyEight[288] | Safe D | October 15, 2020 |
Inside Elections[9] | Safe D | June 2, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Safe D | July 2, 2020 |
Politico[11] | Safe D | April 19, 2020 |
Daily Kos[12] | Safe D | June 3, 2020 |
RCP[13] | Safe D | June 9, 2020 |
Niskanen[14] | Safe D | June 7, 2020 |
Polling
[edit]Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Lois Frankel (D) |
Laura Loomer (R) |
Charleston Malkemus (I) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
St. Pete Polls/Florida Politics[289] | October 2, 2020 | 1,015 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 61% | 33% | 2% | 5% |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Lois Frankel (incumbent) | 237,925 | 59.02% | ||
Republican | Laura Loomer | 157,612 | 39.10% | ||
Independent | Charleston Malkemus | 7,544 | 1.87% | ||
Independent | Sylvia Caravetta (write-in) | 8 | 0.01% | ||
Republican | Piotr Blass (write-in) | 4 | 0.01% | ||
Total votes | 403,093 | 100.0 | |||
Democratic hold |
District 22
[edit]
| |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
Precinct results Deutch: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Pruden: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% Tie: 50% No data | |||||||||||||||||
|
The 22nd district is located in South Florida, and includes parts of Broward and Palm Beach counties. The district includes the cities of Boca Raton, Deerfield Beach, and Coral Springs. Democrat Ted Deutch, who had represented the district since 2010, was re-elected with 62% of the vote in 2018.[3]
Democratic primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Ted Deutch, incumbent U.S. Representative
Republican primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- James Pruden, attorney[290]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Fran Flynn, businesswoman[291]
- Jessi Melton, president of Paragon Wireless Group[290]
- Darlene Swaffar, insurance agent[292]
Endorsements
[edit]Newspapers
Primary results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | James Pruden | 11,840 | 35.6 | |
Republican | Jessica Melton | 9,969 | 30.0 | |
Republican | Fran Flynn | 8,667 | 26.1 | |
Republican | Darlene Swaffar | 2,763 | 8.3 | |
Total votes | 33,239 | 100.0 |
General election
[edit]Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[7] | Safe D | July 2, 2020 |
FiveThirtyEight[294] | Safe D | October 15, 2020 |
Inside Elections[9] | Safe D | June 2, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Safe D | July 2, 2020 |
Politico[11] | Safe D | April 19, 2020 |
Daily Kos[12] | Safe D | June 3, 2020 |
RCP[13] | Safe D | June 9, 2020 |
Niskanen[14] | Safe D | June 7, 2020 |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Ted Deutch (incumbent) | 235,764 | 58.60% | ||
Republican | James Pruden | 166,553 | 41.39% | ||
Total votes | 402,317 | 100.0 | |||
Democratic hold |
District 23
[edit]
| |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
Precinct results Schultz: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Spalding: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% No data | |||||||||||||||||
|
The 23rd district is located in South Florida, and includes parts of Broward and Miami-Dade counties. The district includes the cities of Pembroke Pines, Davie, and Aventura. Democrat Debbie Wasserman Schultz, who had represented the district since 2005, was re-elected with 58% of the vote in 2018.[3]
Democratic primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Debbie Wasserman Schultz, incumbent U.S. representative[295]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Jen Perelman, attorney[296]
Endorsements
[edit]Individuals
- Marianne Williamson, author and 2020 Democratic presidential candidate[297]
- Andrew Yang, non-profit leader, 2020 Democratic presidential candidate and Ambassador for Entrepreneurship under President Obama[297]
Organizations
- 350 Action[298]
- American Progressives in STEM[299]
- Brand New Congress[300]
- Our Revolution – Broward chapter[301]
Organizations
Newspapers
Primary results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Debbie Wasserman Schultz (incumbent) | 55,729 | 72.0 | |
Democratic | Jen Perelman | 21,631 | 28.0 | |
Total votes | 77,360 | 100.0 |
Republican primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Carla Spalding, nurse, independent candidate for Florida's 18th congressional district in 2016, and candidate for Florida's 23rd congressional district in 2018[304]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Michael Kroske, businessman[304]
Withdrew
[edit]- Richard Mendelson, former teacher at Marjory Stoneman Douglas High School[305]
Primary results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Carla Spalding | 12,751 | 51.3 | |
Republican | Michael Kroske | 12,116 | 48.7 | |
Total votes | 24,867 | 100.0 |
Independent and third-party candidates
[edit]Independent Republicans
[edit]Declared
[edit]- D. B. Fugate (write-in), entrepreneur and U.S. Air Force veteran[68]
- Jeff Olson (write-in), real estate agent[68]
General election
[edit]Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[7] | Safe D | July 2, 2020 |
FiveThirtyEight[306] | Safe D | October 15, 2020 |
Inside Elections[9] | Safe D | June 2, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Safe D | July 2, 2020 |
Politico[11] | Safe D | April 19, 2020 |
Daily Kos[12] | Safe D | June 3, 2020 |
Niskanen[14] | Safe D | June 7, 2020 |
RCP[13] | Safe D | June 9, 2020 |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Debbie Wasserman Schultz (incumbent) | 221,239 | 58.19% | ||
Republican | Carla Spalding | 158,874 | 41.78% | ||
Republican | Jeff Olson (write-in) | 46 | 0.01% | ||
Republican | D. B. Fugate (write-in) | 37 | 0.01% | ||
Total votes | 381,196 | 100.0 | |||
Democratic hold |
District 24
[edit]
| |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
Precinct results Wilson: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Spicer: 40–50% 50–60% >90% Tie: 40–50% 50% No data | |||||||||||||||||
|
The 24th district is located in South Florida, and includes parts of Broward and Miami-Dade counties. The district includes the cities of Miami, Miami Gardens, and Hollywood. Democrat Frederica Wilson, who had represented the district since 2011, was re-elected unopposed in 2018.[3]
Democratic primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Frederica Wilson, incumbent U.S. Representative
Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Ricardo de La Fuente, perennial candidate and son of Rocky De La Fuente[307]
- Sakinah Lehtola, progressive activist[308]
Endorsements
[edit]Primary results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Frederica Wilson (incumbent) | 68,505 | 84.7 | |
Democratic | Sakinah Lehtola | 6,267 | 7.7 | |
Democratic | Ricardo de La Fuente | 6,134 | 7.6 | |
Total votes | 80,906 | 100.0 |
Republican primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Lavern Spicer, nonprofit executive[310]
Independent and third-party candidates
[edit]Libertarians
[edit]Withdrawn
[edit]- Courtney Omega-Turner, Coconut Grove village councilwoman[311]
Independent Republicans
[edit]Declared
[edit]- Howard Knepper (write-in), businessman and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2010, 2016, and 2018[68][312]
Independents
[edit]Declared
[edit]General election
[edit]Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[7] | Safe D | July 2, 2020 |
FiveThirtyEight[314] | Safe D | October 15, 2020 |
Inside Elections[9] | Safe D | June 2, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Safe D | July 2, 2020 |
Politico[11] | Safe D | April 19, 2020 |
Daily Kos[12] | Safe D | June 3, 2020 |
RCP[13] | Safe D | June 9, 2020 |
Niskanen[14] | Safe D | June 7, 2020 |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Frederica Wilson (incumbent) | 218,825 | 75.55% | ||
Republican | Lavern Spicer | 59,084 | 20.39% | ||
Independent | Christine Olivo | 11,703 | 4.04% | ||
Republican | Howard Knepper (write-in) | 17 | 0.01% | ||
Independent | Hector Rivera (write-in) | 9 | 0.01% | ||
Total votes | 289,638 | 100.0 | |||
Democratic hold |
District 25
[edit]
| |||||||||||
| |||||||||||
Precinct results Díaz-Balart: >90% | |||||||||||
|
The 25th district is located in South Florida and stretches into parts of Southwest Florida and the Florida Heartland, and includes all of Hendry County, as well as parts of Miami-Dade and Collier counties. The district includes the cities of Hialeah, Doral, and Clewiston. Republican Mario Díaz-Balart, who had represented the district since 2003, was re-elected with 60% of the vote in 2018.[3]
Republican primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Mario Díaz-Balart, incumbent U.S. representative
Democratic primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Disqualified
[edit]General election
[edit]Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[7] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
FiveThirtyEight[317] | Safe R | October 15, 2020 |
Inside Elections[9] | Safe R | June 2, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
Politico[11] | Safe R | September 9, 2020 |
Daily Kos[12] | Safe R | June 3, 2020 |
RCP[13] | Safe R | October 15, 2020 |
Niskanen[14] | Safe R | June 7, 2020 |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Mario Díaz-Balart (incumbent) | — | Uncontested | |
Total votes | — | — | ||
Republican hold |
District 26
[edit]
| |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
Precinct results Giménez: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% >90% Mucarsel-Powell: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Tie: 50% No data | |||||||||||||||||
|
The 26th district is located in South Florida and the Florida Keys, and includes all of Monroe County and part of Miami-Dade County. The district includes the cities of Homestead, Kendale Lakes, and Key West. Democrat Debbie Mucarsel-Powell, who had represented the district since 2019, flipped the district and was elected with 50% of the vote in 2018.[3]
This district was included on the list of Democratic-held seats the National Republican Congressional Committee targeted in 2020.[82]
Democratic primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Debbie Mucarsel-Powell, incumbent U.S. representative[318]
Republican primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Omar Blanco, former president of the Metro-Dade Firefighters Local 1403[320]
Withdrew
[edit]- José Peixoto, engineer and candidate for Florida's 26th congressional district in 2012 and 2016[321]
- Irina Vilariño, restaurateur[322][323]
Declined
[edit]- Carlos Curbelo, former U.S. representative[324]
- Louis Sola, Federal Maritime Commissioner and candidate for Florida's 24th congressional district in 2018[325]
Endorsements
[edit]Federal officials
- Donald Trump, 45th president of the United States (2017–2021)[326]
Polling
[edit]Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Omar Blanco |
Carlos Giménez |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Unspecified national Republican organisation[327] | October 13–15, 2019 | ≈136 (LV)[r] | – | 6% | 51% | 2%[s] | 39% |
Primary results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Carlos A. Giménez | 29,480 | 59.9 | |
Republican | Omar Blanco | 19,721 | 40.1 | |
Total votes | 49,201 | 100.0 |
Endorsements
[edit]U.S. presidents
- Barack Obama, 44th president of the United States (2009–2017), U.S. senator from Illinois (2005–2008)[191]
Organizations
General election
[edit]Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[7] | Lean D | October 21, 2020 |
FiveThirtyEight[335] | Likely D | October 19, 2020 |
Inside Elections[336] | Tilt D | October 16, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Lean D | November 2, 2020 |
Politico[11] | Lean D | November 2, 2020 |
Daily Kos[12] | Tossup | June 3, 2020 |
RCP[13] | Tossup | October 15, 2020 |
Niskanen[14] | Safe D | June 7, 2020 |
Polling
[edit]Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Debbie Murcasel-Powell (D) |
Carlos Giménez (R) |
Other/ Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Meeting Street Insights (R)[337][K] | July 14–18, 2020 | 400 (RV) | ± 4.9% | 42% | 47% | 11% |
Unspecified national Republican organisation[327] | October 13–15, 2019 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 42% | 45% | – |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Carlos A. Giménez | 177,223 | 51.72% | ||
Democratic | Debbie Mucarsel-Powell (incumbent) | 165,407 | 48.27% | ||
Total votes | 342,630 | 100.0 | |||
Republican gain from Democratic |
District 27
[edit]
| |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
Precinct results Salazar: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Shalala: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% No data | |||||||||||||||||
|
The 27th district is located in South Florida, and includes part of Miami-Dade County. The district includes the cities of Coral Gables, Kendall, and Miami Beach, as well as the neighborhood of Little Havana in Miami. Democrat Donna Shalala, who had represented the district since 2019, flipped the district and was elected with 52% of the vote in 2018.[3]
This district was included on the list of Democratic-held seats the National Republican Congressional Committee targeted in 2020.[82]
Democratic primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Donna Shalala, incumbent U.S. representative[338]
Withdrawn
[edit]- Michael Hepburn, University of Miami academic adviser[339]
Endorsements
[edit]U.S. presidents
- Barack Obama, 44th president of the United States (2009–2017), U.S. senator from Illinois (2005–2008)[191]
Organizations
Republican primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Maria Elvira Salazar, journalist and nominee for Florida's 27th congressional district in 2018[343]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Juan Fiol, real estate agent[344]
- Raymond Molina, banker and Brigade 2506 veteran[68][345]
Endorsements
[edit]U.S. presidents
- Donald Trump, 45th president of the United States (2017–2021)[346]
U.S. representatives
- Ileana Ros-Lehtinen, former U.S. representative from Florida[347]
Organizations
Primary results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Maria Elvira Salazar | 39,687 | 79.1 | |
Republican | Raymond Molina | 5,497 | 10.9 | |
Republican | Juan Fiol | 5,018 | 10.0 | |
Total votes | 50,202 | 100.0 |
Independent and third-party candidates
[edit]Independent Republicans
[edit]Declared
[edit]- Frank Polo (write-in), businessman
General election
[edit]Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[7] | Likely D | July 2, 2020 |
FiveThirtyEight[350] | Likely D | October 15, 2020 |
Inside Elections[9] | Safe D | June 2, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Likely D | July 2, 2020 |
Politico[11] | Likely D | April 19, 2020 |
Daily Kos[12] | Lean D | June 3, 2020 |
RCP[13] | Likely D | October 15, 2020 |
Niskanen[14] | Safe D | June 7, 2020 |
Polling
[edit]Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Donna Shalala (D) |
Maria Salazar (R) |
Other/ Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bendixen & Amandi Research (D)[351][L] | October 9–13, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 50% | 43% | 7% |
1892 Polling (R)[352][M] | September 2–6, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 43% | 46% | – |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Maria Elvira Salazar | 176,141 | 51.35% | ||
Democratic | Donna Shalala (incumbent) | 166,758 | 48.62% | ||
Republican | Frank Polo (write-in) | 76 | 0.01% | ||
Total votes | 342,975 | 100.0 | |||
Republican gain from Democratic |
See also
[edit]Notes
[edit]- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - ^ Bill Engelbrecht with 2%, David Theus with 1%, and Joseph Millado with 1%
- ^ "someone else" with 5%
- ^ No other candidate exceeds 1%
- ^ Kent Guinn with 4%; Joseph Milado with 2%; Matthew Raines with no voters
- ^ "Someone else" with 3%; would not vote with 2%
- ^ Standard VI response
- ^ Response after pollster provided respondents with talking points about Greenberg
- ^ Sharon Newby with 1%
- ^ Newby with 1%
- ^ "Undecided/won't say" with 18%
- ^ "Refused" with 1%
- ^ a b Aquino with 3%; Severson with 2%; Kowal and McLaughlin with 1%
- ^ Aquino, McLaughlin and Severson with 1%; Kowal with 0%
- ^ Aquino and McLaughlin with 2%; Kowal and Severson with 0%
- ^ Not yet released
- ^ "Nearest competitor to Laura Loomer" with 4%
- ^ 34% of a sample of 400 likely voters
- ^ Irina Vilariño with 2%
Partisan clients
- ^ Poll sponsored by Cammack's cmampaign
- ^ Poll sponsored by Sapp's campaign
- ^ Poll sponsored by the Florida Democratic Party, which endorsed Cohn prior to the sampling period.
- ^ a b Poll conducted by the DCCC.
- ^ Poll sponsored by Cohn's campaign.
- ^ a b c d e Poll conducted for Buchanan's campaign.
- ^ Poll conducted for Good's campaign.
- ^ Poll sponsored by Keith's campaign
- ^ Poll conducted by Eagle's campaign
- ^ Poll conducted by Loomer's campaign
- ^ Poll conducted for the Congressional Leadership Fund.
- ^ Poll sponsored by Shalala's campaign
- ^ Poll sponsored by Salazar's campaign
References
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External links
[edit]- National Institute on Money in Politics; Campaign Finance Institute, "Florida 2019 & 2020 Elections", OpenSecrets
Candidate links
[edit]Official campaign websites for 1st district candidates
- Phil Ehr (D) for Congress Archived August 17, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
- Matt Gaetz (R) for Congress
Official campaign websites for 2nd district candidates
Official campaign websites for 3rd district candidates
- Kat Cammack (R) for Congress
- Adam Christensen (D) for Congress Archived August 21, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
Official campaign websites for 4th district candidates
- Donna Deegan (D) for Congress Archived August 19, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
- John Rutherford (R) for Congress
Official campaign websites for 5th district candidates
Official campaign websites for 6th district candidates
- Clint Curtis (D) for Congress
- Alan Grayson (D) for Congress
- Gerry Nolan (I) for Congress
- Michael Waltz (R) for Congress Archived July 13, 2018, at the Wayback Machine
Official campaign websites for 7th district candidates
- William Garlington (I) for Congress
- Stephanie Murphy (D) for Congress Archived November 18, 2016, at the Wayback Machine
- Leo Valentin (R) for Congress
Official campaign websites for 8th district candidates
- Jim Kennedy (D) for Congress Archived August 16, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
- Bill Posey (R) for Congress
Official campaign websites for 9th district candidates
Official campaign websites for 10th district candidates
- Val Demings (D) for Congress
- Vennia Francois (R) for Congress Archived August 16, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
- Kristofer Lawson (I) for Congress Archived August 12, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
Official campaign websites for 11th district candidates
- Dana Cottrell (D) for Congress Archived August 16, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
- Daniel Webster (R) for Congress
Official campaign websites for 12th district candidates
- Gus Bilirakis (R) for Congress
- Michael Knezevich (I) for Congress
- Kimberly Walker (D) for Congress Archived August 16, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
Official campaign websites for 13th district candidates
- Charlie Crist (D) for Congress Archived March 11, 2023, at the Wayback Machine
- Anna Paulina Luna (R) for Congress
Official campaign websites for 14th district candidates
- Kathy Castor (D) for Congress
- Christine Quinn (R) for Congress Archived August 21, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
- Robert Wunderlich Sr. (I) for Congress Archived August 14, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
Official campaign websites for 15th district candidates
- Alan Cohn (D) for Congress Archived August 3, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
- Scott Franklin (R) for Congress
Official campaign websites for 16th district candidates
Official campaign websites for 17th district candidates
- Allen Ellison (D) for Congress Archived August 22, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
- Greg Steube (R) for Congress
Official campaign websites for 18th district candidates
- Pam Keith (D) for Congress Archived June 22, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
- Brian Mast (R) for Congress
- KW Miller (I) for Congress Archived August 16, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
Official campaign websites for 19th district candidates
- Cindy Banyai (D) for Congress
- Byron Donalds (R) for Congress
- Antonio Dumornay (I) for Congress Archived October 22, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
Official campaign websites for 20th district candidates
- Alcee Hastings (D) for Congress
- Greg Musselwhite (R) for Congress Archived August 16, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
Official campaign websites for 21st district candidates
Official campaign websites for 22nd district candidates
- Ted Deutch (D) for Congress Archived August 16, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
- James Pruden (R) for Congress
Official campaign websites for 23rd district candidates
Official campaign websites for 24th district candidates
- Lavern Spicer (R) for Congress Archived August 17, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
- Frederica Wilson (D) for Congress
Official campaign websites for 25th district candidates
Official campaign websites for 26th district candidates
Official campaign websites for 27th district candidates