2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Arizona
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All 9 Arizona seats to the United States House of Representatives | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Elections in Arizona |
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The 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Arizona were held on November 3, 2020, to elect the nine U.S. representatives from the state of Arizona, one from each of the state's nine congressional districts. The elections coincided with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections. This election was the first time since 1990 in which no third-party candidates appeared on the ballot in the House of Representatives elections.[1]
Arizona was one of two states in which the party that won the state's popular vote did not win a majority of seats in 2020, the other state being North Carolina.
Overview
[edit]Statewide
[edit]Party | Candidates | Votes | Seats | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
No. | % | No. | +/– | % | |||
Republican | 9 | 1,638,516 | 50.13 | 4 | 44.44 | ||
Democratic | 9 | 1,629,318 | 49.85 | 5 | 55.56 | ||
Write-in | 5 | 415 | 0.01 | 0 | 0.0 | ||
Total | 23 | 3,268,249 | 100.0 | 9 | 100.0 |
By district
[edit]Results of the 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Arizona by district:[2]
District | Democratic | Republican | Others | Total | Result | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | ||
District 1 | 188,469 | 51.61% | 176,709 | 48.39% | 0 | 0.00% | 365,178 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 2 | 209,945 | 55.10% | 170,975 | 44.87% | 134 | 0.04% | 381,054 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 3 | 174,243 | 64.57% | 95,594 | 35.43% | 0 | 0.00% | 269,837 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 4 | 120,484 | 30.23% | 278,002 | 69.74% | 137 | 0.04% | 398,623 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
District 5 | 183,171 | 41.10% | 262,414 | 58.88% | 72 | 0.02% | 445,657 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
District 6 | 199,644 | 47.83% | 217,783 | 52.17% | 0 | 0.00% | 417,427 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
District 7 | 165,452 | 76.69% | 50,226 | 23.28% | 54 | 0.03% | 215,732 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 8 | 170,816 | 40.43% | 251,633 | 59.56% | 18 | 0.00% | 422,467 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
District 9 | 217,094 | 61.63% | 135,180 | 38.37% | 0 | 0.00% | 352,274 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
Total | 1,629,318 | 49.85% | 1,638,516 | 50.13% | 415 | 0.01% | 3,268,249 | 100.0% |
District 1
[edit]
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The 1st district is based in the northeastern part of the state, encompassing the Phoenix and Tucson metropolitan areas, taking in Casa Grande, Maricopa, Oro Valley, and Marana. The district also includes the Navajo Nation, Hopi Reservation, and Gila River Indian Community. Incumbent Democrat Tom O'Halleran, who had represented the district since 2017, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 53.8% of the vote in 2018.[3] The district had a PVI of R+2.
Democratic primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Tom O'Halleran, incumbent U.S. representative[4]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]Withdrawn
[edit]- Barbara McGuire, former state senator[6][7]
- Larry Williams, retail worker[8][9]
Endorsements
[edit]Organizations
- Brand New Congress[17]
- Climate Strike – Arizona[18]
- Friends of the Earth Action[19]
- National Women's Political Caucus (NWPC)[20]
- Our Revolution[18]
- Our Revolution Flagstaff Chapter[18]
- Peace Action[21]
- Progressive Democrats of America[22]
- Sunrise Movement – Flagstaff chapter[18]
Individuals
- Marianne Williamson, author and 2020 Democratic presidential candidate[23]
Primary results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Tom O'Halleran (incumbent) | 47,083 | 58.6 | |
Democratic | Eva Putzova | 33,248 | 41.4 | |
Total votes | 80,331 | 100.0 |
Republican primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Tiffany Shedd, attorney, small business owner, firearms instructor and candidate for this seat in 2018[25]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Nolan Reidhead, attorney[26]
Withdrawn
[edit]- John Moore, Mayor of Williams[27][28]
- Doyel Shamley, former Apache County supervisor[29]
- Chris Taylor, Safford city councilman[30][31] (endorsed Reidhead)[32]
Declined
[edit]- Curt Schilling, former Major League Baseball pitcher for Arizona Diamondbacks and Boston Red Sox[33]
Endorsements
[edit]Federal officials
- Jon Kyl, former U.S. Senator from Arizona (1995–2013, 2018)[34]
- Kevin McCarthy, Minority Leader of the United States House of Representatives[35]
Organizations
Primary results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Tiffany Shedd | 40,310 | 54.7 | |
Republican | Nolan Reidhead | 33,418 | 45.3 | |
Total votes | 73,728 | 100.0 |
General election
[edit]Debate
[edit]No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Democratic | Republican |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn |
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Tom O'Halleran | Tiffany Shedd | |||||
1 | Oct. 8, 2020 | KAET KJZZ (FM) The Arizona Republic |
Steve Goldstein Yvonne Wingett Sanchez Ted Simons |
[37] | P | P |
Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[38] | Lean D | November 2, 2020 |
Inside Elections[39] | Likely D | October 28, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[40] | Likely D | November 2, 2020 |
Daily Kos[41] | Lean D | November 2, 2020 |
RCP[42] | Lean D | November 2, 2020 |
Decision Desk HQ[43] | Likely D | November 3, 2020 |
538[44] | Likely D | November 3, 2020 |
Elections Daily[45] | Likely D | November 1, 2020 |
CNN[46] | Likely D | November 1, 2020 |
Politico[47] | Lean D | November 2, 2020 |
Niskanen[48] | Safe D | June 7, 2020 |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Tom O'Halleran (incumbent) | 188,469 | 51.6 | |
Republican | Tiffany Shedd | 176,709 | 48.4 | |
Total votes | 365,178 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
District 2
[edit]
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The 2nd district is located in southeastern Arizona, encompassing the eastern Tucson area. Incumbent Democrat Ann Kirkpatrick, who had represented the district since, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 54.7% of the vote in 2018.[3] The district had a PVI of R+1.
Democratic primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Ann Kirkpatrick, incumbent U.S. representative[50]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Peter Quilter, national security professional[51]
Endorsements
[edit]Labor unions
- AFL–CIO[52]
- American Federation of State, County and Municipal Employees[52]
- American Physical Therapy Association[52]
- American Society of Anesthesiologists[52]
- International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers[52]
- International Brotherhood of Teamsters – Joint Council 25[52]
- UNITE HERE[52]
- United Food and Commercial Workers[52]
Organizations
- American Association for Justice[52]
- American Crystal Sugar Company[52]
- EMILY's List[52]
- End Citizens United[52]
- Giffords Law Center to Prevent Gun Violence[52]
- Human Rights Campaign[52]
- NARAL Pro-Choice America[52]
- National Committee to Preserve Social Security and Medicare[52]
- Planned Parenthood[52]
Newspapers
Primary results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Ann Kirkpatrick (incumbent) | 77,517 | 76.3 | |
Democratic | Peter Quilter | 24,035 | 23.7 | |
Total votes | 101,552 | 100.0 |
Republican primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]Eliminated in primary
[edit]Withdrawn
[edit]- Mike Ligon, author[55]
- Shay Stautz, former lobbyist for University of Arizona[56][57]
- Justine Wadsack, realtor and small business owner[58][59] (running for State Senate)
Primary results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Brandon Martin | 31,730 | 42.5 | |
Republican | Noran Ruden | 25,049 | 33.6 | |
Republican | Joseph Morgan | 17,802 | 23.8 | |
Republican | Jordan Flayer (write-in) | 52 | 0.1 | |
Total votes | 74,633 | 100.0 |
General election
[edit]Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[38] | Safe D | November 2, 2020 |
Inside Elections[39] | Safe D | October 28, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[40] | Safe D | November 2, 2020 |
Daily Kos[41] | Safe D | November 2, 2020 |
RCP[42] | Likely D | November 2, 2020 |
Decision Desk HQ[43] | Safe D | November 3, 2020 |
538[44] | Safe D | November 3, 2020 |
Elections Daily[45] | Safe D | November 1, 2020 |
CNN[46] | Safe D | November 1, 2020 |
Politico[47] | Likely D | November 2, 2020 |
Niskanen[48] | Safe D | June 7, 2020 |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Ann Kirkpatrick (incumbent) | 209,945 | 55.1 | |
Republican | Brandon Martin | 170,975 | 44.9 | |
Write-in | 134 | 0.0 | ||
Total votes | 381,054 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
District 3
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The 3rd district encompasses southwestern Arizona, taking in Yuma, western Tucson, as well as stretching into the western suburbs of Phoenix, including Goodyear, Avondale, southern Buckeye, and a small portion of West Phoenix. Incumbent Democrat Raúl Grijalva, who was first elected to Congress in 2002, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 63.9% of the vote in 2018.[3] The district had a PVI of D+13.
Democratic primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Raúl Grijalva, incumbent U.S. representative[60]
Primary results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Raúl Grijalva (incumbent) | 63,282 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 63,282 | 100.0 |
Republican primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Daniel Wood, U.S. Marine Corps veteran[61]
Withdrawn
[edit]Primary results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Daniel Wood | 29,260 | 99.8 | |
Republican | Richard Jolley (write-in) | 44 | 0.2 | |
Total votes | 29,304 | 100.0 |
General election
[edit]Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[38] | Safe D | November 2, 2020 |
Inside Elections[39] | Safe D | October 28, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[40] | Safe D | November 2, 2020 |
Daily Kos[41] | Safe D | November 2, 2020 |
RCP[42] | Safe D | November 2, 2020 |
Decision Desk HQ[43] | Safe D | November 3, 2020 |
538[44] | Safe D | November 3, 2020 |
Elections Daily[45] | Safe D | November 1, 2020 |
CNN[46] | Safe D | November 1, 2020 |
Politico[47] | Safe D | November 2, 2020 |
Niskanen[48] | Safe D | June 7, 2020 |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Raúl Grijalva (incumbent) | 174,243 | 64.6 | |
Republican | Daniel Wood | 95,594 | 35.4 | |
Total votes | 269,837 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
District 4
[edit]
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The 4th district is located in north-central Arizona, taking in Lake Havasu City, Prescott, and the Phoenix exurbs, including San Tan Valley, Apache Junction, and northern Buckeye. The incumbent was Republican Paul Gosar, who was re-elected with 68.2% of the vote in 2018.[3]
Republican primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Paul Gosar, incumbent U.S. representative[64]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Anne Marie Ward, former business consultant and former staffer to U.S. Senator Martha McSally[65]
Primary results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Paul Gosar (incumbent) | 82,370 | 63.1 | |
Republican | Anne Marie Ward | 48,116 | 36.9 | |
Total votes | 130,486 | 100.0 |
Democratic primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Stuart "Stu" Starky, nominee for U.S. Senate in 2004 and former school principal[67]
Primary results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Delina DiSanto | 34,345 | 74.3 | |
Democratic | Stu Starky | 11,852 | 25.7 | |
Total votes | 46,197 | 100.0 |
General election
[edit]Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[38] | Safe R | November 2, 2020 |
Inside Elections[39] | Safe R | October 28, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[40] | Safe R | November 2, 2020 |
Daily Kos[41] | Safe R | November 2, 2020 |
RCP[42] | Safe R | November 2, 2020 |
Decision Desk HQ[43] | Safe R | November 3, 2020 |
538[44] | Safe R | November 3, 2020 |
Elections Daily[45] | Safe R | November 1, 2020 |
CNN[46] | Safe R | November 1, 2020 |
Politico[47] | Safe R | November 2, 2020 |
Niskanen[48] | Safe R | June 7, 2020 |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Paul Gosar (incumbent) | 278,002 | 69.7 | |
Democratic | Delina DiSanto | 120,484 | 30.2 | |
Write-in | 137 | 0.0 | ||
Total votes | 398,623 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
District 5
[edit]
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Precinct results Biggs: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% Greene: 50–60% 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 5th district is centered around the eastern suburbs of Phoenix, including Gilbert, Queen Creek, southern and eastern Chandler, and eastern Mesa. The incumbent was Republican Andy Biggs, who was re-elected with 59.4% of the vote in 2018.[3]
Republican primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Declared
[edit]- Andy Biggs, incumbent U.S. representative[68]
Primary results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Andy Biggs (incumbent) | 104,888 | 99.6 | |
Republican | Joe Vess (write-in) | 465 | 0.4 | |
Total votes | 105,353 | 100.0 |
Democratic primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Declared
[edit]- Joan Greene, businesswoman and nominee for Arizona's 5th congressional district in 2018[50]
- Jonathan Ireland, educator and musician[69]
- Javier Ramos, attorney[70]
Primary results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Joan Greene | 34,070 | 50.0 | |
Democratic | Javier Ramos | 26,818 | 39.4 | |
Democratic | Jonathan Ireland | 7,209 | 10.6 | |
Total votes | 68,097 | 100.0 |
General election
[edit]Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[38] | Safe R | November 2, 2020 |
Inside Elections[39] | Safe R | October 28, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[40] | Safe R | November 2, 2020 |
Daily Kos[41] | Safe R | November 2, 2020 |
RCP[42] | Safe R | November 2, 2020 |
Decision Desk HQ[43] | Safe R | November 3, 2020 |
538[44] | Safe R | November 3, 2020 |
Elections Daily[45] | Safe R | November 1, 2020 |
CNN[46] | Safe R | November 1, 2020 |
Politico[47] | Safe R | November 2, 2020 |
Niskanen[48] | Safe R | June 7, 2020 |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Andy Biggs (incumbent) | 262,414 | 58.9 | |
Democratic | Joan Greene | 183,171 | 41.1 | |
Write-in | 72 | 0.0 | ||
Total votes | 445,657 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
District 6
[edit]
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Precinct results Schweikert: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% Tipirneni: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
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The 6th district covers parts of the northeastern suburbs of Phoenix, containing Scottsdale, Paradise Valley, Cave Creek, Fountain Hills, as well as a portion of North Phoenix, including Deer Valley and Desert View. The incumbent was Republican David Schweikert, who was re-elected with 55.2% of the vote in 2018.[3]
Republican primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Declared
[edit]- David Schweikert, incumbent U.S. representative[71]
Endorsements
[edit]Organizations
Primary results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | David Schweikert (incumbent) | 94,434 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 94,434 | 100.0 |
Democratic primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Declared
[edit]- Karl Gentles, businessman[73]
- Anita Malik, businesswoman, entrepreneur, and nominee for Arizona's 6th congressional district in 2018[74]
- Stephanie Rimmer, businesswoman[75]
- Hiral Tipirneni, emergency room physician and nominee for Arizona's 8th congressional district in the 2018 special and general elections[76]
Endorsements
[edit]Organizations
Federal officials
- Ann Kirkpatrick, U.S. representative (AZ-02)[77]
- Barack Obama, 44th president Of The United States[78]
- Tom O'Halleran, U.S. representative (AZ-01)[77]
State officials
- Lela Alston, state senator and former state representative (2011–2019)[79]
- Rich Andrade, state representative[79]
- Charlene Fernandez, state representative and state House minority leader[79]
- Randy Friese, state representative[79]
- Robert Meza, state representative and former state senator state senator (2011–2019) and state representative (2003–2011)[79]
- Jamescita Peshlakai, state senator and former state representative (2013–2015)[79]
- Martín Quezada, state senator and former state representative (2013–2015)[79]
- Rebecca Rios, state senator and former state House minority leader (2017–2019), state representative (2015–2019), and state senator (2005–2011)[79]
- Victoria Steele, state senator and former state representative (2013–2016)[79]
Labor unions
- AFT Arizona[80]
- Amalgamated Transit Union Local 1433[80]
- Communication Workers of America Arizona State Council[80]
- International Association of Sheet Metal, Air, Rail and Transportation Workers (SMART) Local 359[80]
- International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers Local 640[80]
- International Brotherhood of Teamsters Local 104[80]
- International Union of Painters and Allied Trades[80]
- United Food and Commercial Workers Local 99[80]
Organizations
- 314 Action Fund[81]
- AAPI Victory Fund[80]
- Arizona Stonewall Democrats[82]
- ASPIRE PAC[83]
- Brady Campaign[84]
- Congressional Hispanic Caucus (CHC) Bold PAC[80]
- Elect AAPI[80]
- EMILY's List[85]
- End Citizens United[86]
- Equality PAC[80]
- Everytown for Gun Safety Action Fund[87]
- High School Democrats of America[11]
- Human Rights Campaign[88]
- League of Conservation Voters Action Fund[89]
- NARAL Pro-Choice America[90]
- NewDem Action Fund[91]
- Off the Sidelines PAC[80]
- Planned Parenthood Action Fund[16]
- Sierra Club[92]
Polling
[edit]Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Karl Gentles |
Anita Malik |
Stephanie Rimmer |
Hiral Tipirneni |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
OH Predictive Insights[93] | August 3, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 3% | 30% | 2% | 53% | 12% |
Zogby Strategies (D)[94][A] | August 28–30, 2019 | 400 (LV) | – | – | 20% | 12% | 13% | 55% |
Primary results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Hiral Tipirneni | 42,538 | 53.2 | |
Democratic | Anita Malik | 29,218 | 36.5 | |
Democratic | Stephanie Rimmer | 4,592 | 5.7 | |
Democratic | Karl Gentles | 3,651 | 4.6 | |
Total votes | 79,999 | 100.0 |
General election
[edit]Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[38] | Tossup | November 2, 2020 |
Inside Elections[39] | Tossup | October 28, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[40] | Lean D (flip) | November 2, 2020 |
Daily Kos[41] | Tossup | November 2, 2020 |
RCP[42] | Lean R | November 2, 2020 |
Decision Desk HQ[43] | Tossup | November 3, 2020 |
538[44] | Tossup | November 3, 2020 |
Elections Daily[45] | Lean R | November 1, 2020 |
CNN[46] | Tossup | November 1, 2020 |
Politico[47] | Tossup | November 2, 2020 |
Niskanen[48] | Lean R | June 7, 2020 |
Polling
[edit]Graphical summary
Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. Updates on reimplementing the Graph extension, which will be known as the Chart extension, can be found on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
David Schweikert (R) |
Hiral Tipirneni (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling (D)[95][B] | October 26–27, 2020 | 582 (LV) | – | 41% | 45% | – |
OH Predictive Insights[96] | September 23–27, 2020 | 531 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 49% | 46% | 5% |
GQR Research (D)[97][C] | September 23–26, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 45% | 49% | 6% |
Public Policy Polling (D)[98][D] | September 22–23, 2020 | 527 (V) | – | 45% | 43% | 12% |
GQR Research (D)[99][C] | August 6–12, 2020 | 548 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 45% | 48% | – |
DCCC Targeting & Analytics Department (D)[100][E] | July 29 – August 1, 2020 | 586 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 43% | – |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | David Schweikert (incumbent) | 217,783 | 52.2 | |
Democratic | Hiral Tipirneni | 199,644 | 47.8 | |
Total votes | 417,427 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
District 7
[edit]
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Precinct results Gallego: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Barnett: 50–60% Tie: 50% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
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The 7th district encompasses Downtown Phoenix and western Phoenix, including the urban villages of Maryvale, Estrella, Laveen, South Mountain, Central City, Encanto, and Alhambra, as well as Tolleson and southern Glendale. The incumbent was Democrat Ruben Gallego, who was re-elected with 85.6% of the vote in 2018 without major-party opposition.[3]
Democratic primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Declared
[edit]- Ruben Gallego, incumbent U.S. representative[102]
Primary results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Ruben Gallego (incumbent) | 56,037 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 56,037 | 100.0 |
Republican primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Declared
[edit]- Josh Barnett, entrepreneur[70]
Primary results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Josh Barnett | 15,223 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 15,223 | 100.0 |
General election
[edit]Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[38] | Safe D | November 2, 2020 |
Inside Elections[39] | Safe D | October 28, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[40] | Safe D | November 2, 2020 |
Daily Kos[41] | Safe D | November 2, 2020 |
RCP[42] | Safe D | November 2, 2020 |
Decision Desk HQ[43] | Safe D | November 3, 2020 |
538[44] | Safe D | November 3, 2020 |
Elections Daily[45] | Safe D | November 1, 2020 |
CNN[46] | Safe D | November 1, 2020 |
Politico[47] | Safe D | November 2, 2020 |
Niskanen[48] | Safe D | June 7, 2020 |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Ruben Gallego (incumbent) | 165,452 | 76.7 | |
Republican | Josh Barnett | 50,226 | 23.3 | |
Write-in | 54 | 0.0 | ||
Total votes | 215,732 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
District 8
[edit]
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Precinct results Lesko: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% Muscato: 50–60% 60–70% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
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The 8th district encompasses the western and northwestern suburbs of Phoenix, taking in Surprise, Peoria, Litchfield Park, Anthem, northern Glendale, and parts of North Phoenix, including North Gateway and Rio Vista. The incumbent was Republican Debbie Lesko, who was re-elected with 55.5% of the vote in 2018.[3]
Republican primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Declared
[edit]- Debbie Lesko, incumbent U.S. Representative
Endorsements
[edit]Organizations
- 60 Plus Association[103]
- American Conservative Union[103]
- Center for Arizona Policy[103]
- Concerned Women for America[103]
- Freedom Caucus[103]
- Maggie's List[103]
- National Federation of Independent Business[103]
- National Right to Life Committee[103]
- RightNOW Women[103]
- Susan B. Anthony List[103]
- United States Chamber of Commerce[103]
Primary results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Debbie Lesko (incumbent) | 105,630 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 105,630 | 100.0 |
Democratic primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Declared
[edit]- Michael Muscato, gym owner[104]
- Bob Musselwhite, former Litchfield Park city manager and councilman[105]
- Bob Olsen, attorney[106]
Declined
[edit]- Hiral Tipirneni, physician and nominee for Arizona's 8th congressional district in 2018 (running for Arizona's 6th congressional district)[76]
Endorsements
[edit]Organizations
Labor unions
Organizations
Labor unions
- American Federation of State, County and Municipal Employees – Locals 2384 and 3282[108]
- International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers – Local 266[108]
Primary results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Michael Muscato | 35,898 | 54.3 | |
Democratic | Bob Olsen | 20,534 | 31.1 | |
Democratic | Bob Musselwhite | 9,575 | 14.5 | |
Democratic | Kyle Martin (write-in) | 45 | 0.1 | |
Total votes | 66,052 | 100.0 |
General election
[edit]Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[38] | Safe R | November 2, 2020 |
Inside Elections[39] | Safe R | October 28, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[40] | Safe R | November 2, 2020 |
Daily Kos[41] | Safe R | November 2, 2020 |
RCP[42] | Safe R | November 2, 2020 |
Decision Desk HQ[43] | Safe R | November 3, 2020 |
538[44] | Safe R | November 3, 2020 |
Elections Daily[45] | Safe R | November 1, 2020 |
CNN[46] | Safe R | November 1, 2020 |
Politico[47] | Likely R | November 2, 2020 |
Niskanen[48] | Safe R | June 7, 2020 |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Debbie Lesko (incumbent) | 251,633 | 59.6 | |
Democratic | Michael Muscato | 170,816 | 40.4 | |
Write-in | 18 | 0.0 | ||
Total votes | 422,467 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
District 9
[edit]
| |||||||||||||||||
Precinct results Stanton: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Giles: 50–60% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
|
The 9th district is based in the Phoenix metro, and includes Tempe, southern Scottsdale, western Mesa, northwestern Chandler, and southern Phoenix, containing Ahwatukee and Camelback East. The incumbent was Democrat Greg Stanton, who was elected with 61.1% of the vote in 2018.[3]
Democratic primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Declared
[edit]- Greg Stanton, incumbent U.S. Representative
Primary results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Greg Stanton (incumbent) | 83,443 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 83,443 | 100.0 |
Republican primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Declared
[edit]- Dave Giles, businessman, candidate for Arizona's 9th congressional district in 2018 and nominee in 2016[109]
- Sam Huang, Chandler city councilman[110]
- Nicholas Tutora, pharmacist[111]
Primary results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Dave Giles | 28,461 | 53.7 | |
Republican | Sam Huang | 12,527 | 23.6 | |
Republican | Nicholas Tutora | 12,053 | 22.7 | |
Total votes | 53,041 | 100.0 |
Independents
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Withdrawn
[edit]- Irina Baroness von Behr, Republican candidate for Arizona's 9th congressional district in 2018[110][112]
General election
[edit]Debate
[edit]No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Democratic | Republican |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn |
||||||
Greg Stanton | Dave Giles | |||||
1 | Oct. 13, 2020 | Arizona PBS KJZZ The Arizona Republic |
Steve Goldstein Richard Ruelas Ted Simons |
YouTube | P | P |
Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[38] | Safe D | November 2, 2020 |
Inside Elections[39] | Safe D | October 28, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[40] | Safe D | November 2, 2020 |
Daily Kos[41] | Safe D | November 2, 2020 |
RCP[42] | Safe D | November 2, 2020 |
Decision Desk HQ[43] | Safe D | November 3, 2020 |
538[44] | Safe D | November 3, 2020 |
Elections Daily[45] | Safe D | November 1, 2020 |
CNN[46] | Safe D | November 1, 2020 |
Politico[47] | Safe D | November 2, 2020 |
Niskanen[48] | Safe D | June 7, 2020 |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Greg Stanton (incumbent) | 217,094 | 61.6 | |
Republican | Dave Giles | 135,180 | 38.4 | |
Total votes | 352,274 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
See also
[edit]Notes
[edit]Partisan clients
General notes
References
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Democrat Stephanie Rimmer, a business owner, said she is running in AZ-06.
- ^ a b "Democrat Hiral Tipirneni to run for Congress in new district". KGUN. Associated Press. April 2, 2019. Retrieved April 2, 2019.
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- ^ Hogue, Ilyse (December 9, 2019). "NARAL Pro-Choice America Endorses Hiral Tipirneni for Congress". NARAL Pro-Choice America.
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- ^ GQR Research (D)
- ^ Public Policy Polling (D) Archived March 7, 2021, at the Wayback Machine
- ^ GQR Research (D)
- ^ DCCC Targeting & Analytics Department (D)
- ^ PPP Archived March 7, 2021, at the Wayback Machine
- ^ Sanchez, Yvonne Wingett (March 25, 2019). "Rep. Ruben Gallego, averting primary brawl, won't run for the Senate". azcentral.com. Retrieved March 26, 2019.
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- ^ a b c d "Home". bobolsen2020.com. Retrieved August 1, 2020.[permanent dead link ]
- ^ @Politics1com (December 19, 2018). "AZ CD-9: Business consultant & '16/'18 candidate Dave Giles (R) launches 2020 run vs Cong-elect Greg Stanton (D)" (Tweet). Retrieved March 22, 2019 – via Twitter.
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External links
[edit]- National Institute on Money in Politics; Campaign Finance Institute, "Arizona 2019 & 2020 Elections", OpenSecrets
Official campaign websites
|