2020 New Hampshire gubernatorial election
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Sununu: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Feltes: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% >90% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
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The 2020 New Hampshire gubernatorial election was held on November 3, 2020, to elect the governor of New Hampshire.[1] Incumbent Republican governor Chris Sununu was re-elected to a third two-year term in office, defeating his opponent Dan Feltes, the Majority Leader of the Senate.[2] Nine governors ran for re-election in this cycle and all nine were re-elected. Sununu's win marked the first time since 1986 that a Republican was elected to a third term as governor, in which year his father, John H. Sununu was reelected for his third and final term. The elder Sununu chose not to seek reelection in 1988, instead becoming George H. W. Bush's chief of staff in 1989.
Sununu became the first person to get more than half a million votes in a New Hampshire gubernatorial election, making him the top vote-getter in the history of statewide elections in the state.
Republican primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Chris Sununu, incumbent governor of New Hampshire[3]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]Declined
[edit]- Kelly Ayotte, former U.S. senator[6]
- Frank Edelblut, commissioner of the New Hampshire Department of Education and candidate for governor in 2016[7]
- Chuck Morse, minority leader of the New Hampshire Senate[7]
Polling
[edit]| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Chris Sununu |
Karen Testerman |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| University of New Hampshire[8] | August 28 – September 1, 2020 | 703 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 82% | 15% | 1%[b] | 2% |
| Robocent/Free Keene[9] | August 24, 2020 | 1,219 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 79% | 5% | – | 16%[c] |
| Saint Anselm College[10] | August 15–17, 2020 | 475 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 82% | 7% | 3%[d] | 8% |
Results
[edit]
Sununu—80–90%
Sununu—≥90%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Chris Sununu (incumbent) | 130,703 | 89.67% | |
| Republican | Karen Testerman | 13,589 | 9.32% | |
| Republican | Nobody | 1,239 | 0.85% | |
| Democratic | Dan Feltes (write-in) | 3 | 0.002% | |
| Democratic | Andru Volinsky (write-in) | 93 | 0.063% | |
| Total votes | 145,757 | 100.0% | ||
Democratic primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Dan Feltes, majority leader of the New Hampshire Senate[12]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Andru Volinsky, member of the Executive Council of New Hampshire[13]
Declined
[edit]- Joyce Craig, mayor of Manchester[14]
- Molly Kelly, former state senator and nominee for Governor of New Hampshire in 2018[14][15]
- Steve Marchand, former mayor of Portsmouth and candidate for Governor of New Hampshire in 2016 and 2018[14]
- Mindi Messmer, former state representative and candidate for New Hampshire's 1st congressional district in 2018 (running for Executive Council)[16]
Endorsements
[edit]Dan Feltes
Local and state politicians
- Michael Abbott, state representative[17]
- Susan Almy, state representative[17]
- Debra Altschiller, state representative[17]
- Bob Backus, state representative[17]
- Chris Balch, state representative[18]
- Paul Berch, state representative[17]
- Jennifer Bernet, state representative[18]
- Skip Berrien, state representative[17]
- Donald Buchard, state representative[17]
- Anita Burroughs, state representative[17]
- Polly Campion, state representative[17]
- Shannon Chandley, state senator[19]
- Clyde Carson, state representative[17]
- Wendy Chase, state representative[17]
- Jackie Chretien, state representative[17]
- Bruce Cohen, state representative[17]
- Patricia Cornell, state representative[17]
- Francesca Diggs, state representative[17]
- Karen Ebel, state representative[17]
- Mike Edgar, state representative[17]
- Timothy Egan, state representative[17]
- Susan M. Ford, state representative[17]
- Elaine French, state representative[17]
- Ken N. Gidge, state representative[17]
- Jeff Goley, state representative[17]
- Willis Griffith, state representative[17]
- Heidi Hamer, state representative[17]
- Linda Harriott-Gathright, state representative[17]
- Bill Hatch, state representative[17]
- Mary Heath, state representative[17]
- Martha Hennessey, state senator[19]
- David Huot, state representative[17]
- David Karrick, state representative[17]
- Patricia Klee, state representative[17]
- Diane Langley, state representative[17]
- Tamara Le, state representative[17]
- Cassandra Levesque, state representative[17]
- Melanie Levesque, state senator[19]
- Douglas Ley, state House Majority Leader and state representative[17]
- Pat Long, state representative[17]
- Tom Loughman, state representative[17]
- Patricia Lovejoy, state representative[17]
- David Luneau, state representative[17]
- Jim MacKay, state representative[17]
- Latha Mangipudi, state representative[17]
- John Mann, state representative[17]
- Joelle Martin, state representative[17]
- Liz McConnell, state representative[17]
- Howard Moffett, state representative[17]
- Mary Jane Mulligan, state representative[17]
- Nancy Murphy, state representative[17]
- Megan Murray, state representative[17]
- Garrett Muscatel, state representative[17]
- Mel Myler, state representative[20]
- Sue Newman, state representative[17]
- Ray Newman, state representative[17]
- Sharon Nordgren, state representative[17]
- Fran Nutter-Upham, state representative[17]
- Laura Pantelakos, state representative[17]
- Marjorie Porter, state representative[17]
- Julie Radhakrishnan, state representative[17]
- Beth Richards, state representative[17]
- Beth Rodd, state representative[17]
- Cindy Rosenwald, state senator[19]
- Charlie St. Clair, state representative[17]
- Tom Sherman, state senator[19]
- Ken Snow, state representative[17]
- Timothy Soucy, state representative[17]
- Tom Southworth, state representative[17]
- Brian Sullivan, state representative[17]
- Bruce Tatro, state representative[17]
- Laura Telerski, state representative[17]
- Edith Tucker, state representative[17]
- Suzanne Vail, state representative[17]
- Ken Vincent, state representative[17]
- Mary Beth Walz, state representative[17]
- Gerald Ward, state representative[17]
- David H. Watters, state senator[19]
- Ken Wells, state representative[17]
- Kermit Williams, state representative[17]
- Matt Wilhelm, state representative[17]
- David Woodbury, state representative[17]
Labor unions
- Laborer's Union Locals 668, 976[21]
Polling
[edit]| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Dan Feltes |
Andru Volinsky |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| University of New Hampshire[8] | August 28 – September 1, 2020 | 839 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 36% | 38% | 4%[e] | 22% |
| Saint Anselm College[10] | August 15–17, 2020 | 498 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 22% | 19% | 13%[f] | 46% |
Results
[edit]
Feltes—50–60%
Volinsky—50–60%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Dan Feltes | 72,318 | 50.90% | |
| Democratic | Andru Volinsky | 65,455 | 46.06% | |
| Republican | Chris Sununu (write-in) | 4,276 | 3.00% | |
| Republican | Karen Testerman (write-in) | 39 | 0.03% | |
| Republican | Nobody (write-in) | 6 | 0.01% | |
| Total votes | 142,094 | 100.0% | ||
Other candidates
[edit]Libertarian Party
[edit]Nominee
[edit]Independent
[edit]Did not qualify for the ballot
[edit]- Bill Fortune[25]
General election
[edit]Predictions
[edit]| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[26] | Safe R | October 23, 2020 |
| Inside Elections[27] | Likely R | October 28, 2020 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[28] | Likely R | November 2, 2020 |
| Politico[29] | Likely R | November 2, 2020 |
| Daily Kos[30] | Safe R | October 28, 2020 |
| RCP[31] | Likely R | November 2, 2020 |
| 270towin[32] | Likely R | November 2, 2020 |
Endorsements
[edit]Dan Feltes (D)
Local and state politicians
- Michael Abbott, state representative[17]
- Susan Almy, state representative[17]
- Debra Altschiller, state representative[17]
- Bob Backus, state representative[17]
- Chris Balch, state representative[18]
- Paul Berch, state representative[17]
- Jennifer Bernet, state representative[18]
- Skip Berrien, state representative[17]
- Donald Buchard, state representative[17]
- Anita Burroughs, state representative[17]
- Polly Campion, state representative[17]
- Clyde Carson, state representative[17]
- Shannon Chandley, state senator[19]
- Wendy Chase, state representative[17]
- Jackie Chretien, state representative[17]
- Bruce Cohen, state representative[17]
- Patricia Cornell, state representative[17]
- Francesca Diggs, state representative[17]
- Karen Ebel, state representative[17]
- Mike Edgar, state representative[17]
- Timothy Egan, state representative[17]
- Susan M. Ford, state representative[17]
- Elaine French, state representative[17]
- Ken N. Gidge, state representative[17]
- Jeff Goley, state representative[17]
- Willis Griffith, state representative[17]
- Heidi Hamer, state representative[17]
- Linda Harriott-Gathright, state representative[17]
- Bill Hatch, state representative[17]
- Mary Heath, state representative[17]
- Martha Hennessey, state senator[19]
- David Huot, state representative[17]
- David Karrick, state representative[17]
- Patricia Klee, state representative[17]
- Diane Langley, state representative[17]
- Tamara Le, state representative[17]
- Cassandra Levesque, state representative[17]
- Melanie Levesque, state senator[19]
- Douglas Ley, state House Majority Leader and state representative[17]
- Pat Long, state representative[17]
- Tom Loughman, state representative[17]
- Patricia Lovejoy, state representative[17]
- David Luneau, state representative[17]
- Jim MacKay, state representative[17]
- Latha Mangipudi, state representative[17]
- John Mann, state representative[17]
- Joelle Martin, state representative[17]
- Liz McConnell, state representative[17]
- Howard Moffett, state representative[17]
- Mary Jane Mulligan, state representative[17]
- Nancy Murphy, state representative[17]
- Megan Murray, state representative[17]
- Garrett Muscatel, state representative[17]
- Mel Myler, state representative[20]
- Sue Newman, state representative[17]
- Ray Newman, state representative[17]
- Sharon Nordgren, state representative[17]
- Fran Nutter-Upham, state representative[17]
- Laura Pantelakos, state representative[17]
- Marjorie Porter, state representative[17]
- Julie Radhakrishnan, state representative[17]
- Beth Richards, state representative[17]
- Beth Rodd, state representative[17]
- Cindy Rosenwald, state senator[19]
- Charlie St. Clair, state representative[17]
- Tom Sherman, state senator[19]
- Ken Snow, state representative[17]
- Timothy Soucy, state representative[17]
- Tom Southworth, state representative[17]
- Brian Sullivan, state representative[17]
- Bruce Tatro, state representative[17]
- Laura Telerski, state representative[17]
- Edith Tucker, state representative[17]
- Suzanne Vail, state representative[17]
- Ken Vincent, state representative[17]
- Mary Beth Walz, state representative[17]
- Gerald Ward, state representative[17]
- David H. Watters, state senator[19]
- Ken Wells, state representative[17]
- Matt Wilhelm, state representative[17]
- Kermit Williams, state representative[17]
- David Woodbury, state representative[17]
Darryl W. Perry (L)
Politicians
- Ken Armstrong, 2020 Libertarian candidate for president/vice president[33]
- Caleb Q. Dyer, former state representative and House Libertarian Caucus leader[33]
Polling
[edit] | Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. Updates on reimplementing the Graph extension, which will be known as the Chart extension, can be found on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Chris Sununu (R) |
Dan Feltes (D) |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| American Research Group[34] | October 26–28, 2020 | 864 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 51% | 46% | 3%[g] |
| University of New Hampshire[8] | October 24–28, 2020 | 1,889 (LV) | ± 2.3% | 60% | 36% | 3%[h] |
| Saint Anselm College[35] | October 23–26, 2020 | 1,018 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 60% | 35% | 6%[i] |
| YouGov/UMass Amherst[36] | October 16–26, 2020 | 757 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 59% | 36% | 5%[j] |
| University of New Hampshire[37] | October 9–12, 2020 | 899 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 62% | 37% | 1%[k] |
| Suffolk University[38] | October 8–12, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 55% | 31% | 14%[l] |
| Saint Anselm College[39] | October 1–4, 2020 | 1,147 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 58% | 35% | 7%[m] |
| Emerson College[40] | September 30 – October 1, 2020 | 700 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 55% | 40% | 5%[n] |
| American Research Group[41] | September 25–28, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 52% | 44% | 4%[o] |
| University of New Hampshire[37] | September 24–28, 2020 | 972 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 55% | 37% | 5%[j] |
| YouGov/UMass Lowell[42] | September 17–25, 2020 | 657 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 60% | 34% | 7%[p] |
| University of New Hampshire[8] | August 28 – September 1, 2020 | 1,889 (LV) | ± 2.3% | 57% | 33% | 9%[q] |
| University of New Hampshire[43] | July 16–28, 2020 | 1,893 (LV) | ± 2.2% | 59% | 28% | 13%[r] |
| University of New Hampshire[43] | June 18–22, 2020 | 932 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 62% | 23% | 15%[s] |
| We Ask America[44] | June 13–15, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 59% | 20% | 21%[t] |
| University of New Hampshire[43] | May 14–18, 2020 | 788 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 61% | 21% | 18%[u] |
| University of New Hampshire[45] | February 19–25, 2020 | 576 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 56% | 27% | 18%[v] |
| Emerson College[46] | September 6–9, 2019 | 1,041 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 53% | 37% | 10%[w] |
Hypothetical polling
with Andru Volinsky
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Chris Sununu (R) |
Andru Volinsky (D) |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| University of New Hampshire[8] | August 28 – September 1, 2020 | 1,889 (LV) | ± 2.3% | 58% | 32% | 8%[x] |
| University of New Hampshire[43] | July 16–28, 2020 | 1,893 (LV) | ± 2.2% | 58% | 29% | 13%[r] |
| University of New Hampshire[43] | June 18–22, 2020 | 932 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 62% | 22% | 16%[y] |
| University of New Hampshire[43] | May 14–18, 2020 | 788 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 61% | 20% | 19%[z] |
| University of New Hampshire[45] | February 19–25, 2020 | 576 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 54% | 29% | 16%[aa] |
Results
[edit]| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Chris Sununu (incumbent) | 516,609 | 65.12% | +12.34% | |
| Democratic | Dan Feltes | 264,639 | 33.36% | −12.38% | |
| Libertarian | Darryl W. Perry | 11,329 | 1.43% | 0.00% | |
| Write-in | 683 | 0.09% | +0.04% | ||
| Total votes | 793,260 | 100.0% | |||
| Turnout | 814,449 | 68.16% | |||
| Registered electors | 1,194,843 | ||||
| Republican hold | |||||
By county
[edit]By county
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Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
By congressional district
[edit]Sununu won both congressional districts, which both elected Democrats.[48]
| District | Sununu | Feltes | Representative |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 66.8% | 31.81% | Chris Pappas |
| 2nd | 63.51% | 35.03% | Annie Kuster |
See also
[edit]Notes
[edit]- ^ a b c d Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - ^ "Another candidate" with 1%
- ^ Listed as "Nobody" - the answer respondents gave when asked towards which candidate they leaned
- ^ "Someone else" with 3%
- ^ "Another candidate" with 4%
- ^ "Someone else" with 13%
- ^ Perry (L) with 1%; Undecided with 2%
- ^ Perry (L) with 2%; "Another candidate" with <1%; Undecided with 1%
- ^ Perry (L) and "Someone else" with 1%; Undecided with 4%
- ^ a b "Another candidate" with 1%; Undecided with 4%
- ^ Perry (L) with <1%; Undecided with 1%
- ^ Perry (L) with 4%; "Refused" with 2%; "Other" with no voters; Undecided with 8%
- ^ Perry (L) with 2%; "Someone else" with 1%; Undecided with 5%
- ^ "Someone else" with 3%; Undecided with 2%
- ^ Perry (L) with 0%; Undecided with 3%
- ^ "Another candidate" with 1%; Undecided with 6%
- ^ Perry (L) with 1%; Undecided with 8%
- ^ a b "Another candidate" with 1%; Undecided with 12%
- ^ "Another candidate" with 2%; Undecided with 13%
- ^ Undecided with 21%
- ^ "Another candidate" with 0%; Undecided with 18%
- ^ "Another candidate" with 4%; Undecided with 14%
- ^ Undecided with 10%
- ^ Perry (L) with 1%; Undecided with 7%
- ^ "Another candidate" with 2%; Undecided with 14%
- ^ "Another candidate" with 0%; Undecided with 19%
- ^ "Another candidate" with 3%; Undecided with 13%
References
[edit]- ^ "New Hampshire gubernatorial election, 2020 (September 8 Republican primary)". Ballotpedia. Retrieved June 22, 2020.
- ^ "Sununu: 'We're coming out of winter, we're coming out of COVID'". March 13, 2021.
- ^ DiStaso, John [@jdistaso] (May 14, 2019). "BREAKING: .@GovChrisSununu announces he's seeking a third term as #nhgov - #nhpolitics #WMUR" (Tweet). Retrieved May 14, 2019 – via Twitter.
- ^ "Nobody". Ballotpedia. Retrieved August 24, 2020.
- ^ "Conservative Activist Testerman To Primary Gov. Sununu". Concord, NH Patch. June 9, 2020.
- ^ Steinhauser, Paul (April 4, 2019). "Choices loom for Sununu, Ayotte ahead of 2020 election". Concord Monitor. Retrieved April 8, 2019.
- ^ a b Pisani, Madelaine (April 8, 2019). "Republicans Await Sununu's 2020 Decision". National Journal. Retrieved April 9, 2019.
- ^ a b c d e University of New Hampshire
- ^ Robocent/Free Keene
- ^ a b Saint Anselm College
- ^ "2020 State Primary Republican State Primary". New Hampshire Department of State. Retrieved September 16, 2020.
- ^ DiStaso, John; Sexton, Adam (September 3, 2019). "Promising to put working-class families first, Democrat Dan Feltes announces run for governor". WMUR 9. Retrieved September 3, 2019.
- ^ Landrigan, Kevin (October 23, 2019). "Volinsky makes official his 2020 Democratic bid for governor". New Hampshire Union Leader. Retrieved October 24, 2019.
- ^ a b c Steinhauser, Paul (January 23, 2019). "Andru Volinsky considering 2020 run for governor". Concord Monitor. Retrieved January 25, 2019.
- ^ Lahut, Jake (October 1, 2019). "Molly Kelly to sit out 2020 NH governor's race". The Keene Sentinel. Retrieved October 1, 2019.
- ^ DiStaso, John (June 20, 2019). "NH Primary Source: Democrat Mindi Messmer says, 'I'm running' for Executive Council". WMUR. Retrieved June 20, 2019.
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z aa ab ac ad ae af ag ah ai aj ak al am an ao ap aq ar as at au av aw ax ay az ba bb bc bd be bf bg bh bi bj bk bl bm bn bo bp bq br bs bt bu bv bw bx by bz ca cb cc cd ce cf cg ch ci cj ck cl cm cn co cp cq cr cs ct cu cv cw cx cy cz da db dc dd de df dg dh di dj dk dl dm dn do dp dq dr ds dt du dv dw dx dy dz ea eb ec ed ee ef eg eh ei ej ek el em en eo ep "Senator Feltes Endorsed By Over 75 State Representatives". nhlabornews.com.
- ^ a b c d John DiStaso (October 31, 2019). "NH Primary Source: Energy, environmental leaders, activists endorse Feltes for governor". wmur.com.
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l John DiStaso (September 30, 2019). "NH Primary Source: Amherst's Chandley becomes sixth state senator to endorse Feltes for governor". wmur.com.
- ^ a b Dan Feltes. "Thank you, Sen. Kahn and Rep. Myler for all you do as Chairs of the House and Senate Education Committees". facebook.com.
- ^ John DiStaso (May 7, 2020). "NH Primary Source: Two Laborers union locals endorse Feltes for governor". wmur.com.
- ^ "2020 State Primary Democratic State Primary". New Hampshire Department of State. Retrieved September 16, 2020.
- ^ Lahut, Jake (December 5, 2019). "Keene Libertarian announces run for governor". The Keene Sentinel. Retrieved December 5, 2019.
- ^ DiStaso, John (September 3, 2020). "NH Primary Source: It's official: Libertarian Party candidates to be on general election ballot". WMUR. Archived from the original on November 26, 2020. Retrieved April 28, 2021.
- ^ "2020 Election Information - NHSOS". sos.nh.gov.
- ^ "2020 Governor Race Ratings for October 23, 2020". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved March 11, 2021.
- ^ "2020 Gubernatorial Ratings". insideelections.com. Retrieved March 11, 2021.
- ^ "2020 Gubernatorial race ratings". Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball. November 2, 2020. Retrieved March 13, 2021.
- ^ "We rated every gubernatorial race in 2020. Here's who we think will win". Politico. Retrieved November 19, 2019.
- ^ "2020 Governor Race Ratings". Daily Kos. June 1, 2020. Retrieved June 5, 2020.
- ^ "2020 Governor Races". RealClearPolitics. June 13, 2020. Retrieved June 14, 2020.
- ^ "2020 Gubernatorial Elections Map". 270towin.
- ^ a b "Endorsements". February 16, 2020.
- ^ American Research Group
- ^ Saint Anselm College
- ^ YouGov/UMass Amherst
- ^ a b University of New Hampshire
- ^ Suffolk University
- ^ Saint Anselm College
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ American Research Group
- ^ YouGov/UMass Lowell
- ^ a b c d e f University of New Hampshire
- ^ We Ask America
- ^ a b University of New Hampshire
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ "2020 General Election". New Hampshire Department of State. Retrieved November 6, 2020.
- ^ "Daily Kos Elections' statewide election results by congressional and legislative districts". Daily Kos. Retrieved August 11, 2020.
External links
[edit]- Government Documents Round Table of the American Library Association, "New Hampshire", Voting & Elections Toolkits
- "New Hampshire: Election Tools, Deadlines, Dates, Rules, and Links", Vote.org, Oakland, CA
- "League of Women Voters of New Hampshire". (State affiliate of the U.S. League of Women Voters)
- New Hampshire at Ballotpedia
Official campaign websites
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