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2026 Arizona gubernatorial election

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2026 Arizona gubernatorial election

← 2022 November 3, 2026 2030 →
 
Party Democratic Republican

Incumbent Governor

Katie Hobbs
Democratic



The 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place on November 3, 2026, to elect the governor of Arizona. Incumbent Democratic governor Katie Hobbs is eligible to seek re-election to a second term, but has not yet stated whether she will do so.

Following the passage of proposition 131 in the 2022 elections, this will be the first gubernatorial election in Arizona in which candidates will be required to nominate a running mate for the newly-established position of Lieutenant Governor.[1]

This will be one of five Democratic-held governorships up for election in 2026 in a state that Donald Trump won in the 2024 presidential election.

Democratic primary

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Candidates

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Publicly expressed interest

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Declined

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Republican primary

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Candidates

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Declared

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Filed paperwork

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  • Christopher Ames[6]
  • Christian Grey[7]
  • Scott Neely, concrete pumping contractor and candidate for governor in 2022[8]
  • George Nicholson[8]

Publicly expressed interest

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Potential

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Declined

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Endorsements

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Andy Biggs
State legislators
Karrin Taylor Robson (undeclared)
Federal officials

Polling

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Hypothetical polling
Andy Biggs vs. Karrin Taylor-Robson vs. Kimberly Yee
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Andy
Biggs
Karrin
Taylor-Robson
Kimberly
Yee
Other Undecided
NicoPAC[17] January 24–26, 2025 512 (RV) ± 4.33% 59% 9% 11% 3%[b] 19%
Data Orbital[18][A] January 18–20, 2025 500 (LV) ± 4.47% 32% 12% 7% 4%[c] 45%
Andy Biggs vs. Karrin Taylor-Robson
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Andy
Biggs
Karrin
Taylor-Robson
Undecided
NicoPAC[17] January 24–26, 2025 512 (RV) ± 4.33% 71% 14% 15%
Andy Biggs vs. Kimberly Yee
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Andy
Biggs
Kimberly
Yee
Undecided
NicoPAC[17] January 24–26, 2025 512 (RV) ± 4.33% 67% 19% 14%
Karrin Taylor-Robson vs. Kimberly Yee
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Karrin
Taylor-Robson
Kimberly
Yee
Undecided
NicoPAC[17] January 24–26, 2025 512 (RV) ± 4.33% 15% 41% 43%

Libertarian primary

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Candidates

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Filed paperwork

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  • Barry Hess, businessman and perennial candidate[d][19]

Green primary

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Candidates

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Filed paperwork

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  • Lisa Castillo[20]
  • William Pounds, streamer/recording artist and candidate for governor in 2022[21]

General election

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Predictions

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Source Ranking As of
270toWin[22] Tossup January 5, 2025
The Cook Political Report[23] Tossup January 23, 2025

See also

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Notes

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  1. ^ a b c d Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ^ Tom Hatten with 2%; Scott Neely with 1%
  3. ^ "Refused" with 4%
  4. ^ Nominee for Governor of Arizona in 2002, 2006, 2010, and 2014, 2018, and 2022; nominee for U.S. Senate in 2000, and write-in candidate in 2018 and 2020

Partisan clients

  1. ^ Poll sponsored by AZ Free News

References

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  1. ^ Barchenger, Stacey (September 21, 2023). "Arizona will elect its first lieutenant governor in 2026. What to know about the role". The Arizona Republic. Retrieved October 14, 2024.
  2. ^ Barchenger, Stacey (February 2, 2024). "Why Arizonans can't see Gov. Katie Hobbs' fundraising numbers, but can see others". The Arizona Republic. Retrieved September 13, 2024. "I'm actively raising funds for reelection," Hobbs said.
  3. ^ Wingett Sanchez, Yvonne; Marley, Patrick (December 17, 2024). "Top Arizona election official accuses predecessors of ignoring proof-of-citizenship problem". The Washington Post. Retrieved December 19, 2024. Fontes told The Post this week that he is running for reelection and is no longer considering challenging Hobbs in the Democratic primary for governor.
  4. ^ Gilger, Lauren (November 20, 2024). "How the field is shaping up for the 2026 Arizona governor race". KJZZ. Retrieved December 14, 2024. There's also been talk from the Democratic side of Attorney General Kris Mayes challenging [Katie Hobbs]...She says as of right now she's planning on running for reelection.
  5. ^ Schutsky, Wayne (January 27, 2025). "Congressman Andy Biggs officially enters 2026 Arizona governor's race". KJZZ-TV. Retrieved January 28, 2025.{{cite news}}: CS1 maint: url-status (link)
  6. ^ /https://apps.arizona.vote/electioninfo/assets/68/0/StatementsOfInterest/ames-christopher-23250-26814.pdf
  7. ^ https://apps.arizona.vote/electioninfo/assets/68/0/StatementsOfInterest/grey-christian-23302-26877.pdf
  8. ^ a b c d e Gersony, Laura (January 21, 2024). "US Rep. Andy Biggs signals he is considering run for Arizona governor in 2026". The Arizona Republic. Retrieved January 21, 2023.
  9. ^ a b Barchenger, Stacey (January 2, 2024). "Who's running in 2026? 5 Arizona Republicans with big political aspirations". The Arizona Republic. Retrieved January 2, 2024.
  10. ^ a b Nir, David; Singer, Jeff (November 20, 2024). "Morning Digest: In stunning turnaround, Democrat takes lead in North Carolina Supreme Court race". The Downballot. Retrieved November 20, 2024.
  11. ^ Fischer, Howard (December 23, 2024). "Trump endorsement of Robson draws flak, praise from GOP". The Daily Independent. Retrieved January 6, 2025.
  12. ^ Nir, David (December 2, 2024). "Morning Digest: The Downballot's early guide to the top races for governor this cycle". The Downballot. Retrieved December 2, 2024.
  13. ^ Solender, Andrew (December 12, 2024). "GOP Rep. Ciscomani passes on run for Arizona governor". Axios. Retrieved December 12, 2024. Rep. Juan Ciscomani (R-Ariz.) will run for reelection to Congress rather than mount a bid for governor in 2026, his campaign spokesperson told Axios.
  14. ^ Roberts, Laurie (November 19, 2024). "Republican goal for 2026 election: Kari Lake types need not apply | Opinion". The Arizona Republic. Retrieved November 20, 2024. A smattering of prominent and not-so-prominent Republicans are being mentioned as possibilities for making a run at Democratic Gov. Katie Hobbs in 2026...some are floating Sen. Jake Hoffman as a possibility.
  15. ^ Gersony, Laura (December 27, 2024). "'I don't want to run again': Kari Lake shrugs off political future at Turning Point event". The Arizona Republic. Retrieved December 27, 2024.
  16. ^ Arcand, Cameron (December 22, 2024). "Trump endorses Robson in 2026 Arizona gubernatorial race". The Center Square. Retrieved December 22, 2024.
  17. ^ a b c d "Andy Biggs Leads Field in RV Arizona Primary Poll from NicoPAC". NicoPAC. January 27, 2025. Retrieved January 27, 2025.
  18. ^ Holloway, Matthew (January 24, 2025). "Exclusive AZ Free News Poll: Biggs Ahead In 2026 Republican Primary For Governor - AZ FREE NEWS". azfreenews.com. Retrieved January 24, 2025.
  19. ^ https://apps.arizona.vote/electioninfo/assets/68/0/StatementsOfInterest/hess-barry-23021-26552.pdf
  20. ^ https://apps.arizona.vote/electioninfo/assets/68/0/StatementsOfInterest/castillo-lisa-23279-26849.pdf
  21. ^ "SeeTheMoney". seethemoney.az.gov.
  22. ^ "2025-26 Gubernatorial Elections Map". 270toWin. Retrieved January 22, 2025.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: url-status (link)
  23. ^ "2026 CPR Governor Race ratings". Cook Political Report. Retrieved January 23, 2025.