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2022 United States Senate election in North Carolina

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For related races, see 2022 United States Senate elections.
Not to be confused with 2022 North Carolina Senate election.

2022 United States Senate election in North Carolina
← 2016 November 8, 2022 2028 →
 
Nominee Ted Budd Cheri Beasley
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 1,905,786 1,784,049
Percentage 50.50% 47.27%
Budd:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Beasley:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Tie:      40–50%
U.S. senator before election

Richard Burr
Republican

Elected U.S. senator

Ted Budd
Republican

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The 2022 United States Senate election in North Carolina was held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of North Carolina. Republican congressman Ted Budd won his first term in office, defeating Democratic nominee Cheri Beasley. Primary elections were scheduled for March 8, 2022,[1] but were delayed by the North Carolina Supreme Court and rescheduled for May 17.

Incumbent three-term Republican U.S. senator Richard Burr announced in 2016 that he would not seek reelection in 2022.[2] Former chief justice of the North Carolina Supreme Court Cheri Beasley[3] and U.S. Representative Ted Budd won the Democratic and Republican primaries, respectively.[4][5][6][7] The race was considered competitive, with Budd narrowly leading in polls.[8][9] Budd ultimately won with 50.5% of the vote to Beasley's 47.3%—a margin of 3.2%.[10]

Despite Budd's win in the election, it marked the Class III seat's worst performance by a Republican since 1998.

Republican primary

[edit]
Former Governor Pat McCrory from Charlotte finished second in the primary.
Former U.S. Representative Mark Walker from Greensboro finished third in the primary.

With Burr's retirement, this primary was expected to be very competitive.[11] Former U.S. Representative Mark Walker was the first major candidate to announce his candidacy, on December 1, 2020.[12] Walker opted to retire from the House and not run for reelection in 2020 because his district was made much more favorable to the Democratic Party after redistricting. Former president Donald Trump's daughter-in-law Lara Trump was widely speculated as a possible candidate for this seat.[11] She received encouragement and support from U.S. Senator Lindsey Graham[13] and Kellyanne Conway,[11] a former Trump White House official. Early opinion polls suggested she would perform well against other prospective candidates in the primary.[14] On April 14, 2021, former governor Pat McCrory announced his candidacy.[15] U.S. Representative Ted Budd announced his candidacy on April 28, 2021.[4]

Opinion polls taken during April 2021 showed McCrory with a wide lead over Walker and Budd. McCrory was aided by a high degree of name recognition because of his several statewide campaigns.[16]

On June 5, 2021, the North Carolina Republican Party held a convention in Greenville. At the convention, former president Trump announced that he was endorsing Budd for the U.S. Senate seat.[17] Lara Trump announced that she would not be running, and joined her father-in-law in endorsing Budd. The former president also took a shot at McCrory, saying, "You can't pick people that have already lost two races, that do not stand for our values." McCrory lost both the 2008 and 2016 gubernatorial elections.[18] Budd was reportedly unaware of Trump's intentions until 15 minutes before he took the stage.[18] Both Walker and McCrory stated their intentions to stay in the race.[5]

Meanwhile, North Carolina redrew its congressional maps, making Walker's house seat more favorable to Republicans than it had been before 2020. After that, Trump met with Walker and promised to endorse him if he left the Senate race to instead run for his old House seat, newly numbered as the 7th district.[19] Walker filed to switch races, but later decided against it in favor of staying in the Senate race.[20]

The first primary debate was held on February 26 in Raleigh. It was sponsored by the John Locke Foundation, a conservative think tank based in North Carolina. McCrory, Walker and Eastman participated. Budd was invited, but did not attend, leaving an empty podium.[21][22] The first televised debate was held by WRAL-TV on April 14 and featured McCrory and Walker, with Budd once again declining to attend.[23] A third debate was held on April 20 on Spectrum News 1. McCrory, Walker, and Eastman participated.[24] A fourth debate, sponsored by Nexstar Media Group, was held on April 26 and aired on television stations across North Carolina, including WJZY, WNCN, WGHP, and WNCT-TV.[25] McCrory and Walker participated. Budd declined and Eastman was not invited.[26]

Budd won the primary overwhelmingly with over 58% of the vote. McCrory finished second with almost 25%, and Walker third with 9%. Budd won a plurality in every county in the state except for Mecklenburg, which McCrory won by under 100 votes. After the results were released, McCrory declared his political career over. He did not endorse Budd for the general election.[27]

Candidates

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Eliminated in primary

[edit]

Withdrawn

[edit]

Declined

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Ted Budd

Executive branch officials

U.S. senators

U.S. representatives

State officials

Organizations

Marjorie Eastman

U.S. senators

Pat McCrory

U.S. senators

U.S. governors

  • Jim Martin, 70th Governor of North Carolina (1985–1993) and former U.S. Representative for NC-09 (1973–1985)[67]
Mark Walker[68][37]

Executive branch officials

U.S. governors

U.S. senators

U.S. representatives

Polling

[edit]

Graphical summary

[edit]

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation 		Dates
administered 		Dates
updated 		Ted
Budd 		Marjorie
Eastman 		Pat
McCrory 		Mark
Walker 		Other
[a] 		Margin
Real Clear Politics[73] April 1 – May 5, 2022 May 12, 2022 40.3% 2.8% 22.3% 8.5% 26.1% Budd +18.0
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[b] 		Margin
of error 		Ted
Budd 		Marjorie
Eastman 		Pat
McCrory 		Mark
Walker 		Other Undecided
Emerson College[74] May 7–9, 2022 467 (LV) ± 4.5% 43% 2% 16% 12% 12%[c] 16%
co/efficient (R)[75] May 4–5, 2022 1,089 (LV) ± 3.0% 48% 3% 20% 13% 5% 11%
Atlantic Polling Strategies (R)[76] April 25–28, 2022 534 (LV) ± 4.9% 45% 3% 21% 9% 2% 20%
Meredith College[77] April 25–27, 2022 588 (LV) ± 4.0% 33% 3% 26% 7% 6% 34%
WPA Intelligence (R)[78][A] April 24–26, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 43% 4% 23% 9% 1% 20%
The Trafalgar Group (R)[79] April 23–25, 2022 1,049 (LV) ± 3.0% 53% 6% 29% 8% – 4%
Spry Strategies (R)[80] April 6–10, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 40% 2% 27% 8% 3% 20%
SurveyUSA[81] April 6–10, 2022 593 (LV) ± 5.0% 33% 2% 23% 7% 2%[d] 33%
WPA Intelligence (R)[82][A] April 3–5, 2022 510 (LV) ± 4.4% 44% 3% 31% 11% 1% 11%
Emerson College[83] April 2–4, 2022 508 (LV) ± 4.3% 38% 1% 22% 9% 8%[e] 23%
Cygnal (R)[84] April 1–3, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 32% 1% 21% 7% 1%[f] 39%
34% 3% 24% 10% – 30%
Vitale & Associates (R)[85][B] March 22–23, 2022 504 (LV) ± 4.4% 32% 2% 29% 12% – 25%
Meeting Street Insights (R)[86][C] February 26 – March 1, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 25% 4% 31% 16% – 23%
Ingress Research Group (R)[87][D] February 27, 2022 864 (LV) ± 3.3% 18% 4% 29% 11% – 35%
Remington Research Group (R)[88][E] February 2022 – (LV) – 24% 3% 35% 17% – 21%
Cygnal (R)[89] January 7–9, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 19% 1% 24% 7% 1%[g] 49%
Strategic Partners Solutions (R)[90][F] January 5, 2022 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 21% 1% 30% 8% <1%[h] 41%
WPA Intelligence (R)[91][A] November 1–3, 2021 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 33% – 36% 13% – 18%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[92][F] October 16–19, 2021 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 25% – 40% 8% – –
WPA Intelligence (R)[93][A] June 22–24, 2021 509 (LV) ± 4.4% 21% – 45% 13% – 21%
Meeting Street Insights (R)[94][C] June 9–10, 2021 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 19% – 45% 12% – 23%
Spry Strategies (R)[95] April 21–24, 2021 700 (LV) ± 4.4% 5% – 40% 11% – 44%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[96][F] April 6–8, 2021 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 9% – 48% 13% – –
Hypothetical polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[b] 		Margin
of error 		Ted
Budd 		Dan
Forest 		George
Holding 		Pat
McCrory 		Tim
Moore 		Mark
Robinson 		Lara
Trump 		Mark
Walker 		Other Undecided
Spry Strategies (R)[80] April 6–10, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 50% – – 30% – – – – – 20%
Cygnal (R)[89] January 7–9, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 34% – – 33% – – – – – 33%
WPA Intelligence (R)[97][A] December 19–21, 2021 504 (LV) ± 4.4% 47% – – 43% – – – – – 10%
Cardinal Point Analytics (R)[98] April 20, 2021 500 (LV) ± 6.2% 2% – – 36% – – 36% 10% – 15%
Cygnal (R)[99] April 2021 500 (LV) ± 4.4% – 13% – 14% – 20% 32% 3% – –
Meredith College[100] March 12–15, 2021 217 (LV) ± 6.3% 6% – – 17% – – 27% 7% 4% 39%
UNLV Lee Business School[101] November 30 – December 2, 2020 221 (RV) ± 7.0% – – 3% 23% 2% – 24% 7% 3% 39%

Debates

[edit]
2022 North Carolina US Senate election Republican primary debates
No. Date Host Moderator Link Participants
Key:
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Non-invitee   I  Invitee  W  Withdrawn
Ted Budd Marjorie Eastman Pat McCrory Mark Walker
1 February 16, 2022 John Locke Foundation
Carolina Journal 		Jonah Kaplan Video A P P P
2 April 14, 2022 WRAL-TV Lena Tillett Video A N P P
3 April 20, 2022 Spectrum News 1 Tim Boyum Video A P P P
4 April 26, 2022 Nexstar Media Group Bob Buckley
Rod Carter 		Video A N P P

Results

[edit]
Results by county
  Budd
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  McCrory
  •   40–50%
Republican primary results[102]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Ted Budd 448,128 58.61%
Republican Pat McCrory 188,135 24.60%
Republican Mark Walker 70,486 9.22%
Republican Marjorie Eastman 22,535 2.95%
Republican David Flaherty 7,265 0.95%
Republican Kenneth Harper Jr. 7,129 0.93%
Republican Jen Banwart 3,088 0.40%
Republican Charles Kenneth Moss 2,920 0.38%
Republican Leonard Bryant 2,906 0.38%
Republican Benjamin E. Griffiths 2,870 0.38%
Republican Debora Tshiovo 2,741 0.36%
Republican Lee A. Brian 2,232 0.29%
Republican Lichia Sibhatu 2,191 0.29%
Republican Drew Bulecza 2,022 0.26%
Total votes 764,648 100.0%

Democratic primary

[edit]

After losing the 2020 Democratic primary for U.S. Senate, Erica Smith teased a campaign for the other Senate seat in 2022. She officially launched her campaign in March 2021. Jeff Jackson, who has represented the 37th district in the North Carolina Senate since 2014, was widely speculated as a potential candidate for Senate in 2020, but he decided to run for reelection to the State Senate instead.[103][104] In fall 2020, Jackson said he would discuss a potential 2022 campaign with his family over the holiday season. In January 2021, Jackson officially launched his campaign, and began a tour of the state, holding town hall events in all 100 counties.[105] Cheri Beasley narrowly lost her election to a full term as Chief Justice in 2020.[106] In February 2021, it was reported that she had hired a campaign consultant and was preparing to enter the U.S. Senate race.[107] Beasley officially launched her campaign on April 27.[108]

In November 2021, Smith filed papers to run for North Carolina's 1st congressional district in 2022 after Representative G. K. Butterfield announced he would not seek reelection.[109] On November 23, Smith officially launched her House campaign and ended her Senate campaign.[110] She endorsed Beasley on November 30.[111]

On December 16, 2021, Jackson withdrew from the race and endorsed Beasley,[112] making Beasley the presumptive nominee.[113]

Beasley easily won the nomination with over 81% of the vote.[114]

Candidates

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Eliminated in primary

[edit]
  • Greg Antoine, physician[30]
  • Chrelle Booker, Tryon city councillor (2019–present)[116]
  • James L. Carr Jr.[30]
  • Robert Colon[30]
  • Alyssia Rose-Katherine Hammond[30]
  • Constance Johnson, perennial candidate[117]
  • Tobias LaGrone, business owner, pastor, and counselor[34]
  • B. K. Maginnis[30]
  • Rett Newton, former mayor of Beaufort (2017–2021)[118]
  • Marcus Williams, attorney and perennial candidate[30]

Withdrawn

[edit]

Declined

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Tobias LaGrone
Organizations
Cheri Beasley

U.S. senators

U.S. representatives

State officials

Local officials

Organizations

Newspapers and publications

Polling

[edit]

Graphical summary

[edit]
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[b] 		Margin
of error 		Cheri
Beasley 		Jeff
Jackson 		Rett
Newton 		Erica
Smith 		Richard
Watkins 		Other Undecided
Meredith College[77] April 25–27, 2022 392 (LV) ± 4.9% 49% – – – – 16%[i] 35%
SurveyUSA[81] April 6–10, 2022 523 (LV) ± 5.3% 37% – 2% – – 13%[j] 49%
December 16, 2021 Jackson withdraws from the race.
November 23, 2021 Smith withdraws from the race.
November 17, 2021 Watkins withdraws from the race.
Global Strategy Group (D)[157][G] November 1–7, 2021 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 39% 25% – – – – 36%
Public Policy Polling (D)[158][H] August 31 – September 1, 2021 700 (LV) ± 3.7% 33% 24% – – – – 43%
Cardinal Point Analytics (R)[98] April 20, 2021 500 (LV) ± 6.2% 32% 26% 8% 16% 3% – 14%
Meredith College[159] March 12–15, 2021 312 (LV) ± 5.3% 13% 13% – 11% 4% 3% 57%

Results

[edit]
Results by county
  Beasley
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
  •   90–100%
Democratic primary results[102]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Cheri Beasley 501,766 81.09%
Democratic James L. Carr Jr. 21,903 3.54%
Democratic Alyssia Rose-Katherine Hammond 21,005 3.39%
Democratic Marcus W. Williams 17,446 2.82%
Democratic Constance Johnson 12,500 2.02%
Democratic Rett Newton 10,043 1.62%
Democratic Chrelle Booker 9,937 1.61%
Democratic B. K. Maginnis 7,044 1.14%
Democratic Robert Colon 6,904 1.12%
Democratic Greg Antoine 5,179 0.84%
Democratic Tobias LaGrone 5,048 0.82%
Total votes 618,775 100.0%

Independents and third-party candidates

[edit]

Libertarian Party

[edit]

Declared

[edit]

Green Party

[edit]

Declared

[edit]
  • Matthew Hoh, activist and veteran[161]

Independents

[edit]

Write-in candidates

[edit]
  • Michelle Lewis, activist[162]

Failed to make general election ballot

[edit]

General election

[edit]

Debates

[edit]
2022 North Carolina Senate general election debates[i]
No. Date Organizer Location Key:
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Non-invitee   I  Invitee  W  Withdrawn 		Source
Cheri Beasley Ted Budd
1 October 7, 2022 Spectrum News 1 North Carolina Raleigh P P [164]
  1. ^ Minor candidates that aren't invited to any of the debates are omitted.

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[165] Lean R February 25, 2022
Inside Elections[166] Tilt R October 7, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[167] Lean R August 2, 2022
Politico[168] Lean R April 1, 2022
RCP[169] Lean R October 26, 2022
Fox News[170] Lean R May 12, 2022
DDHQ[171] Lean R October 6, 2022
538[172] Likely R August 3, 2022
The Economist[173] Lean R September 7, 2022

Endorsements

[edit]
Ted Budd (R)

U.S. presidents

Executive branch officials

U.S. senators

U.S. representatives

State officials

State legislators

Local officials

Newspaper

Organizations

Cheri Beasley (D)

U.S. presidents

U.S. senators

U.S. representatives

State officials

Local officials

Individuals

Organizations

Newspapers

Michelle Lewis (write-in)
Political parties
Declined to endorse

State officials

Fundraising

[edit]

In the first quarter of 2022, Beasley raised $3.6 million.[215] In the second quarter of 2022, Beasley reported raising $7.42 million, narrowly beating a second quarter record set by Cal Cunningham in 2020.[216]

Polling

[edit]

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation 		Dates
administered 		Dates
updated 		Ted
Budd (R) 		Cheri
Beasley (D) 		Undecided
[k] 		Margin
Real Clear Politics[217] October 20 – November 6, 2022 November 7, 2022 51.0% 45.0% 4.0% Budd +6.0
FiveThirtyEight[218] November 10, 2021 – November 6, 2022 November 7, 2022 49.5% 45.2% 5.3% Budd +4.3
270toWin[219] November 2–7, 2022 November 7, 2022 50.5% 45.5% 4.0% Budd +5.0
Average 50.3% 45.2% 4.4% Budd +5.1

Graphical summary

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[b] 		Margin
of error 		Ted
Budd (R) 		Cheri
Beasley (D) 		Other Undecided
The Trafalgar Group (R)[220] November 4–6, 2022 1,098 (LV) ± 2.9% 51% 45% 2% 1%
Data for Progress (D)[221] November 2–6, 2022 1,322 (LV) ± 2.0% 51% 45% 3%[l] –
East Carolina University[222] November 1–3, 2022 1,183 (LV) ± 3.3% 52% 47% 1%[m] –
ActiVote[223] August 5 – November 3, 2022 250 (LV) ± 6.0% 48% 47% 5%[n] –
Remington Research Group (R)[224] November 1–2, 2022 1,140 (LV) ± 2.9% 50% 43% 2%[o] 5%
Civiqs[225] October 29 – November 2, 2022 674 (LV) ± 4.9% 49% 49% 2%[p] 1%
Meredith College[226] October 27–30, 2022 724 (RV) ± 3.4% 44% 43% 7%[q] 7%
Emerson College[227] October 27–29, 2022 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 50% 45% 3%[r] 2%
51% 46% 4%[s] –
Cygnal (R)[228][I] October 20–22, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 47% 43% 2%[t] 7%
Marist College[229] October 17–20, 2022 1,130 (RV) ± 3.8% 44% 44% 2%[u] 10%
899 (LV) ± 4.2% 49% 45% 1%[v] 5%
The Trafalgar Group (R)[230] October 16–19, 2022 1,081 (LV) ± 2.9% 48% 44% 3%[w] 5%
East Carolina University[231] October 10–13, 2022 902 (LV) ± 3.8% 50% 44% 2%[x] 5%
Wick Insights[232] October 8–13, 2022 1,009 (LV) ± 3.1% 49% 44% 2%[y] 5%
Public Policy Polling (D)[233][J] October 7–8, 2022 606 (LV) ± 4.0% 46% 45% – 9%
SurveyUSA[234] September 28 – October 2, 2022 677 (LV) ± 4.4% 43% 42% 2%[z] 13%
Cygnal (R)[235][I] September 24–26, 2022 650 (LV) ± 3.79% 44% 44% 2%[aa] 10%
Meredith College[236] September 20–23, 2022 731 (LV) ± 3.3% 41% 41% 4%[ab] 14%
Civiqs[237] September 17–20, 2022 586 (LV) ± 5.5% 48% 49% 1%[ac] 2%
Global Strategy Group (D)[238][G] September 12–20, 2022 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 46% 46% – –
Emerson College[239] September 15–16, 2022 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 46% 43% 3%[ad] 9%
East Carolina University[240] September 7–10, 2022 1,020 (LV) ± 3.6% 49% 46% 1%[ae] 4%
The Trafalgar Group (R)[241] September 1–4, 2022 1,079 (LV) ± 2.9% 47% 44% 4%[af] 6%
Public Policy Polling (D)[242] August 29–30, 2022 601 (V) ± 4.0% 41% 42% 6%[ag] 12%
Cygnal (R)[243] August 13–15, 2022 615 (LV) ± 3.9% 42% 42% 3%[ah] 13%
Blueprint Polling (D)[244] August 4–6, 2022 656 (LV) ± 3.8% 42% 46% – 12%
PEM Management Corporation (R)[245][K] July 22–24, 2022 300 (LV) ± 5.7% 40% 43% 2% 15%
The Trafalgar Group (R)[246] June 29 – July 1, 2022 1,068 (LV) ± 2.9% 48% 45% 4%[ai] 3%
Cygnal (R)[247] June 17–19, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 45% 40% 4%[aj] 11%
SurveyUSA[248] June 8–12, 2022 650 (LV) ± 5.1% 40% 44% 2%[ak] 14%
Cygnal (R)[249] May 21–22, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 44% 42% 3%[al] 12%
East Carolina University[250] May 19–20, 2022 635 (RV) ± 4.5% 49% 42% 2% 7%
Meeting Street Insights (R)[251][L] May 12–16, 2022 500 (RV) ± 4.4% 46% 45% – 10%
Emerson College[74] May 7–9, 2022 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 48% 41% – 10%
Global Strategy Group (D)[252][G] April 28 – May 4, 2022 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 45% 45% – 10%
Emerson College[83] April 2–4, 2022 1,047 (RV) ± 3.0% 50% 43% – 8%
Cygnal (R)[253] March 30–31, 2022 513 (LV) ± 4.3% 45% 43% – 12%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[254] November 10, 2021 777 (RV) ± 3.5% 37% 36% 3% 18%
757 (LV) ± 3.6% 40% 39% 3% 16%
Hypothetical polling

Marjorie Eastman vs. Cheri Beasley

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[b] 		Margin
of error 		Marjorie
Eastman (R) 		Cheri
Beasley (D) 		Undecided
Emerson College[83] April 2–4, 2022 1,047 (RV) ± 3.0% 44% 44% 12%

Pat McCrory vs. Cheri Beasley

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[b] 		Margin
of error 		Pat
McCrory (R) 		Cheri
Beasley (D) 		Other Undecided
Emerson College[74] May 7–9, 2022 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 39% 44% – 17%
Global Strategy Group (D)[252][G] April 28 – May 4, 2022 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 45% 44% – 11%
Emerson College[83] April 2–4, 2022 1,047 (RV) ± 3.0% 41% 43% – 17%
Cygnal (R)[253] March 30–31, 2022 513 (LV) ± 4.3% 41% 41% – 18%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[254] November 10, 2021 777 (RV) ± 3.5% 39% 37% 3% 15%
757 (LV) ± 3.6% 42% 40% 3% 13%

Mark Walker vs. Cheri Beasley

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[b] 		Margin
of error 		Mark
Walker (R) 		Cheri
Beasley (D) 		Undecided
Emerson College[83] April 2–4, 2022 1,047 (RV) ± 3.0% 47% 42% 11%

Generic Republican vs. generic Democrat

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[b] 		Margin
of error 		Generic
Republican 		Generic
Democrat 		Other Undecided
Cygnal (R)[253] March 30–31, 2022 513 (LV) ± 4.3% 50% 44% – 7%
Spry Strategies (R)[255] August 17, 2021 303 (LV) ± 5.6% 46% 34% 5% 15%
Cygnal (R)[256] May 6–8, 2021 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 47% 46% – 6%
Cygnal (R)[256] March 2021 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 47% 46% – 7%

Results

[edit]
2022 United States Senate election in North Carolina[257]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Ted Budd 1,905,786 50.50% −0.56%
Democratic Cheri Beasley 1,784,049 47.27% +1.90%
Libertarian Shannon W. Bray 51,640 1.37% −2.20%
Green Matthew Hoh 29,934 0.79% N/A
Write-in 2,515 0.07% N/A
Total votes 3,773,924 100.0%
Republican hold

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

[edit]

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

[edit]

By congressional district

[edit]

Budd and Beasley each won 7 of 14 congressional districts.[258]

District Budd Beasley Representative
1st 48.8% 49.3% G. K. Butterfield (117th Congress)
Don Davis (118th Congress)
2nd 34% 63% Deborah Ross
3rd 64% 34% Greg Murphy
4th 31% 67% David Price (117th Congress)
Valerie Foushee (118th Congress)
5th 60% 37% Virginia Foxx
6th 45% 53% Kathy Manning
7th 56% 42% David Rouzer
8th 68% 30% Dan Bishop
9th 54% 44% Richard Hudson
10th 70% 28% Patrick McHenry
11th 53% 45% Madison Cawthorn (117th Congress)
Chuck Edwards (118th Congress)
12th 36% 62% Alma Adams
13th 48% 50% Wiley Nickel
14th 41% 57% Jeff Jackson

See also

[edit]

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  2. ^ a b c d e f g h Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  3. ^ Harper with 3%; Flaherty and Bulecza with 2%; Banwart, Bryant, Griffiths, Sibhatu, and Tshiovo with 1%; Brian and Moss with 0%
  4. ^ Brian and Moss with 1%; Banwart, Bryant, Bulecza, Flaherty, Griffiths, Harper, Sibhatu, and Tshiovo with 0%
  5. ^ Griffiths with 2%; Brian, Bulecza, Flaherty, Harper, Moss, and Sibhatu with 1%; Banwart with 0%
  6. ^ Banwart, Brian, Bryant, Bulecza, Flaherty, Griffiths, Harper, Moss, Sibhatu, and Tshiovo with 0%
  7. ^ Bishop with 1%, Banwart with 0%
  8. ^ Cooke with <1%; Banwart and Harper with 0%
  9. ^ Williams with 9%, "Someone else" with 6%
  10. ^ Williams with 4%; Booker, Carr, and Hammond with 2%; Antoine, Johnson, and LaGrone with 1%; Colon and Maginnis with 0%
  11. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  12. ^ Bray (L) with 2%; Hoh (G) with 1%
  13. ^ Bray (L) with 1%; Hoh (G) with <1%; "Write-in candidate" with <1%
  14. ^ Hoh (G) with 4%; Bray (L) with 1%
  15. ^ Bray (L) with 1%; Hoh (G) with 1%
  16. ^ "Someone else" with 2%
  17. ^ Bray (L) with 4%; Hoh (G) with 1%; "Someone else" with 2%
  18. ^ Bray (L) with 1%; Hoh (G) with 1%; "Someone else" with 1%
  19. ^ Bray (L) with 2%; Hoh (G) with 1%; "Someone else" with 1%
  20. ^ Bray (L) with 2%; Hoh (G) with <1%
  21. ^ "Another party's candidate" with 2%
  22. ^ "Another party's candidate" with 1%
  23. ^ Bray (L) with 2%; Hoh (G) with 1%
  24. ^ Bray (L) with 1%; Hoh (G) with 1%; "Write-in candidate" with <1%
  25. ^ "Someone else" with 2%
  26. ^ Bray (L) with 2%; Hoh (G) with <1%
  27. ^ Bray (L) with 1%; Hoh (G) with 1%
  28. ^ Bray (L) with 2%; Hoh (G) with 2%
  29. ^ "Someone else" with 1%
  30. ^ Bray (L) with 1%; Hoh (G) with 1%, "Someone else" with 1%
  31. ^ Hoh (G) with 1%; Bray (L) with <1%
  32. ^ Bray (L) with 2%; Hoh (G) with 1%; "Other" with 1%
  33. ^ Bray (L) with 5%; Hoh (G) with 1%
  34. ^ Bray (L) with 2%; Hoh (G) with 1%
  35. ^ Bray (L) with 2%; "Other" with 2%
  36. ^ Bray (L) with 3%; Hoh (G) with 1%
  37. ^ Bray (L) with 2%
  38. ^ Bray (L) with 2%; Hoh (G) with 1%

Partisan clients

  1. ^ a b c d e Poll conducted for Club for Growth Action, which has endorsed Budd's campaign.
  2. ^ Poll conducted for the North Carolina Values Coalition
  3. ^ a b Poll conducted for Budd's campaign
  4. ^ Poll conducted for Awake Carolina, which supports Walker
  5. ^ Poll conducted for Walker's campaign
  6. ^ a b c Poll conducted for McCrory's campaign committee
  7. ^ a b c d Poll conducted for Beasley's campaign
  8. ^ Poll conducted for EMILY's List which endorsed Beasley prior to the poll's sampling period
  9. ^ a b Poll conducted for the John Locke Foundation, a conservative think tank.
  10. ^ This poll was sponsored by Carolina Forward, which supports Beasley
  11. ^ This poll was conducted for John Bolton Super PAC
  12. ^ This poll was sponsored by the Carolina Partnership for Reform

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  156. ^ "2022 Endorsements: Federal & State". Indy Week. October 19, 2022. Retrieved October 20, 2022.
  157. ^ Global Strategy Group (D)
  158. ^ Public Policy Polling (D)
  159. ^ Meredith College
  160. ^ "1-on-1 with Pat McCrory: His senate run, his stance on HB2 now". WCNC. April 15, 2021. Archived from the original on April 20, 2021. Retrieved April 20, 2021.
  161. ^ "Matthew Hoh for Senate". Matthew Hoh for Senate.
  162. ^ Jurkowitz, Mark. "'Partisan politics are tearing us up' – Manteo's Michelle Lewis to launch unaffiliated U.S. Senate bid". The Outer Banks Voice.
  163. ^ "Ex-Republican Rhinehardt seeks NC Senate bid as independent". The Telegraph. Associated Press. March 9, 2021. Archived from the original on March 11, 2021. Retrieved May 2, 2021.
  164. ^ "NC Senate hopefuls Budd, Beasley agree to October debate". WUNC. Associated Press. September 15, 2022. Archived from the original on September 15, 2022. Retrieved September 16, 2022.
  165. ^ "2022 Senate Race ratings". The Cook Political Report. Archived from the original on January 5, 2021. Retrieved July 22, 2021.
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  170. ^ "2022 Election Forecast". Fox News. May 12, 2022. Retrieved May 12, 2022.
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  173. ^ "Economist's 2022 Senate forecast". The Economist. September 7, 2022. Retrieved September 7, 2022.
  174. ^ Curto, Christian (September 30, 2022). "Ambassador John Bolton Endorses Ted Budd for U.S. Senate". John Bolton PAC | BoltonPAC.com. Retrieved September 7, 2023.
  175. ^ Mercer, Matt (July 15, 2022). "Nikki Haley endorses Ted Budd in US Senate race". North State Journal. Retrieved September 27, 2022.
  176. ^ a b Fain, Travis (August 12, 2022). "In NC Senate race, GOP's Budd steps up public appearances to tout law enforcement support". WRAL. Retrieved August 12, 2022.
  177. ^ Battagalia, Danielle (November 1, 2022). "Former VP Mike Pence to visit North Carolina for Budd campaign". The News & Observer. Retrieved November 2, 2022.
  178. ^ Deatherage, Stan (August 10, 2022). "Secretary Pompeo Endorses Ted Budd For Senate" (Press release). Mike Pompeo. Retrieved September 27, 2022 – via Beaufort County Now.
  179. ^ Brand, Hayley (October 11, 2022). "Ted Budd Speaks at Rally Ahead of Midterm Election". WCCB.
  180. ^ @votetimscott (July 17, 2022). "I'm endorsing Ted Budd because he fights hard to protect North Carolina families every single day. I firmly believe @TedBuddNC will work to make North Carolina and our country a better place to live."" (Tweet). Retrieved July 20, 2022 – via Twitter.
  181. ^ Deatherage, Stan (July 3, 2021). "Congressman Brian Mast Endorses Ted Budd for US Senate" (Press release). Brian Mast. Retrieved September 27, 2022 – via Beaufort County Now.
  182. ^ Deatherage, Stan (October 11, 2022). "NC Farmers Fact-Check Beasley Pre-Debate!" (Press release). Steve Troxler. Retrieved November 1, 2022 – via Beaufort County Now.
  183. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r Deatherage, Stan (April 6, 2022). "Conservative NC Lawmakers Endorse Ted Budd Never-Trumper Hosts McCrory!" (Press release). Jay Adams. Retrieved September 27, 2022 – via Beaufort County Now.
  184. ^ Battaglia, Danielle (August 5, 2022). "Trump Adviser Who Tried To Overturn Election Hosts NC fundraiser For US Senate Candidate". The Charlotte Observer. Retrieved September 27, 2022.
  185. ^ Hammer, Josh (October 24, 2022). "Rhino Times Midterm Election Endorsements". Rhino Times. Retrieved November 2, 2022.
  186. ^ "APP Congratulates Ted Budd on Victory in N.C. GOP Senate Primary". American Principles Project. May 18, 2022. Retrieved September 27, 2022.
  187. ^ "Endorsed Candidates". Campaign for Working Families. Retrieved September 27, 2022.
  188. ^ "Why You and Other North Carolinians should vote for Ted Budd". The Conservative Caucus. Archived from the original on September 27, 2022. Retrieved September 27, 2022.
  189. ^ "FRC Action PAC Endorses Ted Budd for U.S. Senate in North Carolina". August 9, 2022. Retrieved August 13, 2022.
  190. ^ "Home". HSLDA Action PAC.
  191. ^ "North Carolina". HUCK PAC.
  192. ^ "North Carolina's Small Business Community Endorses Ted Budd". nfib.com. August 23, 2022. Retrieved August 25, 2022.
  193. ^ "North Carolina". National Republican Senatorial Committee.
  194. ^ "National Right to Life Endorses Ted Budd in North Carolina Senate Race" (Press release). National Right to Life Committee. May 24, 2022. Retrieved September 27, 2022.
  195. ^ "NRA-PVF - Grades - North Carolina". nrapvf.org. NRA-PVF. Archived from the original on November 8, 2022.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: unfit URL (link)
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  198. ^ "Election Alert: Tea Party Express Endorses Ted Budd for Senate in North Carolina" (Press release). Tea Party Express. Retrieved September 27, 2022.
  199. ^ "U.S. Chamber of Commerce endorses Budd as Planned Parenthood drops millions in N.C. for Democrats". The Carolina Journal. John Locke Foundation. October 12, 2022. Retrieved November 2, 2022.
  200. ^ Schoenbaum, Hannah (October 25, 2022). "Obama endorses North Carolina candidate in crucial Senate race for Democrats". The Virginian-Pilot. Associated Press. Archived from the original on October 31, 2022.
  201. ^ Levine, Marianne (October 4, 2022). "Dems agonize over N.C. spending debacle as Senate race tightens". Politico. Archived from the original on October 29, 2022.
  202. ^ "Cheri Beasley's For the People: Get Out the Vote Tour -- Chapel Hill with Senator Jon Ossoff". Mobilize. September 8, 2022.
  203. ^ a b "Clyburn, Stabenow to campaign for Beasley in North Carolina Senate race". The Hill. October 18, 2022.
  204. ^ "U.S. Senate hopeful Beasley rallies supporters in Greenville". October 28, 2022.
  205. ^ Shapero, Julia (November 3, 2022). "Oprah Winfrey backs Fetterman". The Hill.
  206. ^ "Equality NC PAC2022 Endorsements". Equality NC PAC.
  207. ^ Saccone, Mike (July 28, 2022). "National Wildlife Federation Action Fund Endorses Cheri Beasley for U.S. Senate" (Press release). National Wildlife Federation.
  208. ^ "NWPC 2022 Endorsed Candidates". National Women's Political Caucus.
  209. ^ "NC Labor 2022 - Endorsements". Retrieved July 2, 2022.
  210. ^ "Endorsement: The Editorial Board's choice in North Carolina's U.S. Senate race". The Charlotte Observer (editorial). October 28, 2022. Archived from the original on November 14, 2022.
  211. ^ "Editorial: Our endorsements for the 2022 midterm elections".
  212. ^ "2022 Endorsements: Federal & State". INDY Week. October 19, 2022. Retrieved October 21, 2022.
  213. ^ Hackmer, Michael (November 1, 2022). "Reform Party Endorses Michelle Lewis for US Senate in North Carolina" (Press release). Reform Party National Committee. Retrieved November 1, 2022.
  214. ^ "Pat McCrory refuses endorse Ted Budd after losing GOP primary in North Carolina" (video). NBC News.
  215. ^ "Beasley makes largest quarterly fundraising in Senate bid". Associated Press. April 7, 2022. Retrieved July 14, 2022.
  216. ^ Wright, Will (July 13, 2022). "Beasley campaign beats second-quarter fundraising record in North Carolina Senate bid". The News & Observer. Retrieved July 14, 2022.
  217. ^ Real Clear Politics
  218. ^ FiveThirtyEight
  219. ^ 270toWin
  220. ^ The Trafalgar Group (R)
  221. ^ Data for Progress (D)
  222. ^ East Carolina University
  223. ^ ActiVote
  224. ^ Remington Research Group (R)
  225. ^ Civiqs
  226. ^ Meredith College
  227. ^ Emerson College
  228. ^ Cygnal (R)
  229. ^ Marist College
  230. ^ The Trafalgar Group (R)
  231. ^ East Carolina University
  232. ^ Wick Insights
  233. ^ Public Policy Polling (D)
  234. ^ SurveyUSA
  235. ^ Cygnal (R)
  236. ^ Meredith College
  237. ^ Civiqs
  238. ^ Global Strategy Group (D)
  239. ^ Emerson College
  240. ^ East Carolina University
  241. ^ The Trafalgar Group (R)
  242. ^ Public Policy Polling (D)
  243. ^ Cygnal (R)
  244. ^ Blueprint Polling (D)
  245. ^ PEM Management Corporation (R)
  246. ^ The Trafalgar Group (R)
  247. ^ Cygnal (R)
  248. ^ SurveyUSA
  249. ^ Cygnal (R)
  250. ^ East Carolina University
  251. ^ Meeting Street Insights (R) Archived May 18, 2022, at the Wayback Machine
  252. ^ a b Global Strategy Group (D)
  253. ^ a b c Cygnal (R)
  254. ^ a b Redfield & Wilton Strategies
  255. ^ Spry Strategies (R)
  256. ^ a b Cygnal (R)
  257. ^ "11/08/2022 OFFICIAL LOCAL ELECTION RESULTS - STATEWIDE". North Carolina State Board of Elections.
  258. ^ Results. docs.google.com (Report).
[edit]

Official campaign websites

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