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2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Maine

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2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Maine
← 2020 November 8, 2022 2024 →
All 2 Maine seats to the United States House of Representatives
  Majority party Minority party
 
Party Democratic Republican
Last election 2 0
Seats won 2 0
Seat change Steady Steady
Popular vote 379,824 274,572
Percentage 57.99% 41.92%
Swing Increase 0.04% Decrease 0.12%
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The 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Maine were held on November 8, 2022, to elect the two U.S. representatives from the state of Maine, one from each of the state's two congressional districts. The elections coincided with other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections. The elections were conducted with ranked choice voting, as per the result of a referendum passed in 2016. These were the first House of Representatives elections held in Maine following the 2020 redistricting cycle.

Results summary

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Statewide

[edit]
Party Candi-
dates		 First round votes Second round votes Seats
No. % No. % No. +/– %
Democratic Party 2 371,704 55.98% 383,766 58.24% 2 Steady 100%
Republican Party 2 270,256 40.7% 275,138 41.76% 0 Steady 0%
Independent 1 22,048 3.32% 0 Steady 0%
Total 5 664,008 100% 658,904 100% 2 Steady 100%
Popular vote
Democratic
 
 58.24%
Republican
 
 41.76%
House seats
Democratic
 
 100%

District

[edit]

Results of the 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Maine by district:

District Democratic Republican Others First round total Second round total Result
First round votes First round % Second round votes Second round % First round votes First round % Second round votes Second round votes % First round votes First round % Second round votes Second round % Votes % Votes %
District 1 218,630 % 218,630 % 128,996 % 128,996 % 0 0% 0 0% 347,988 100.00% 347,988 100.00% Democratic hold
District 2 153,074 48.38% 165,136 53.05% 141,260 44.65% 146,142 46.95% 22,048 6.96% 0 0% 316,382 100.00% 311,278 100.00% Democratic hold
Total 371,704 55.98% 383,766 58.24% 270,256 40.7% 275,138 41.76% 22,048 3.32% 0 0% 664,008 100.00% 658,904 100.00%

District 1

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2022 Maine's 1st congressional district election
← 2020
2024 →
 
Nominee Chellie Pingree Ed Thelander
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 218,630 128,996
Percentage 62.9% 37.0%
Pingree:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%
Thelander:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%
Tie:      
No votes:      
U.S. Representative before election

Chellie Pingree
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Chellie Pingree
Democratic

See also: Maine's 1st congressional district

Before redistricting, the 1st district encompassed the southern coastal area of the state, taking in Portland, Augusta, Brunswick and Saco. The incumbent was Democrat Chellie Pingree, who was re-elected with 62.2% of the vote in 2020.[1]

Democratic primary

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Candidates

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Nominee
[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Chellie Pingree

Organizations

Results

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Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Chellie Pingree (incumbent) 43,007 100.0
Total votes 43,007 100.0

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]

Results

[edit]
Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Ed Thelander 22,346 100.0
Total votes 22,346 100.0

General election

[edit]

Debate

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2022 Maine's 1st congressional district debate
No. Date Host Moderator Link Democratic Republican
Key:
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Not invited   I  Invited  W  Withdrawn
Chellie Pingree Ed Thelander
1 Oct. 13, 2022 Maine Public
Broadcasting Network
Portland Press Herald 		[8] P P

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[9] Solid D October 5, 2021
Inside Elections[10] Solid D October 11, 2021
Sabato's Crystal Ball[11] Safe D October 5, 2021
Politico[12] Solid D April 5, 2022
RCP[13] Safe D June 9, 2022
Fox News[14] Solid D July 11, 2022
DDHQ[15] Solid D July 20, 2022
538[16] Solid D June 30, 2022
The Economist[17] Safe D September 28, 2022

Polling

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Graphical summary

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Chellie
Pingree (D) 		Ed
Thelander (R) 		Other Undecided
Pan Atlantic Research[18] October 7–15, 2022 400 (LV) ± 3.5% 62% 28% – 7%
University of New Hampshire[19] September 15–19, 2022 351 (LV) ± 3.6% 57% 32% – 10%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[20] May 10–13, 2022 263 (LV) ± 6.0% 57% 33% – 10%
Pan Atlantic Research[21] April 21 – May 5, 2022 ~420 (LV) ± 4.8% 51% 31% 5% 13%
Hypothetical polling

Generic Democrat vs. generic Republican

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Generic
Democrat 		Generic
Republican 		Other Undecided
Digital Research Inc.[22] March 14 – April 7, 2022 311 (RV) – 43% 26% 4%[b] 26%

Results

[edit]
2022 Maine's 1st congressional district election
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Chellie Pingree (incumbent) 219,753 62.9
Republican Ed Thelander 129,263 37.0
Write-in 160 0.0
Total votes 349,176 100
Democratic hold

District 2

[edit]
2022 Maine's 2nd congressional district election
← 2020
2024 →
 
Nominee Jared Golden Bruce Poliquin Tiffany Bond
Party Democratic Republican Independent
First round 153,074
48.4% 		141,260
44.7% 		21,555
6.9%
Maximum round 165,136
53.1% 		146,142
46.9% 		Eliminated
First round county results
Golden:     40–50%      50–60%
Poliquin:      40–50%      50–60%
U.S. Representative before election

Jared Golden
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Jared Golden
Democratic

See also: Maine's 2nd congressional district

Before redistricting, the 2nd district covered most of northern rural Maine, including the cities of Lewiston, Bangor, Auburn and Presque Isle. The incumbent was Democrat Jared Golden, who was re-elected with 53.0% of the vote in 2020.[1] Donald Trump won the district in the concurrent presidential election with 52.3% of the vote.[23]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

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Nominee
[edit]
Did not file
[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Jared Golden

Organizations

Results

[edit]
Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Jared Golden (incumbent) 25,684 100.0
Total votes 25,684 100.0

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]
Withdrew
[edit]
Declined
[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Bruce Poliquin

State legislators

Organizations

Results

[edit]
Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Bruce Poliquin 22,149 60.1
Republican Liz Caruso 14,699 39.9
Total votes 36,848 100.0

Independents

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Declared
[edit]
  • Tiffany Bond, family attorney, candidate for this district in 2018, and write-in candidate for U.S. Senate in 2020[45]
Disqualified/withdrawn
[edit]
  • Jordan Borrowman, janitor[46]

General election

[edit]

Debate

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2022 Maine U.S. House of Representatives debate
No. Date Host Moderator Link Democratic Republican Independent
Key:
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Not invited   I  Invited  W  Withdrawn
Jared Golden Bruce Poliquin Tiffany Bond
1 Sep. 26, 2022 Maine Public
Broadcasting Network
Portland Press Herald
Lewiston Sun Journal 		Jennifer Rooks [47] A A P
2 Sep. 30, 2022 WCSH Pat Callaghan [48] P P P

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[9] Tossup October 5, 2021
Inside Elections[10] Tilt D October 21, 2021
Sabato's Crystal Ball[11] Lean D November 7, 2022
Politico[12] Tossup April 5, 2022
RCP[13] Tossup June 9, 2022
Fox News[14] Tossup October 11, 2022
DDHQ[15] Lean R (flip) November 8, 2022
538[16] Lean D September 4, 2022
The Economist[17] Tossup November 1, 2022

Polling

[edit]

Graphical summary

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Jared
Golden (D) 		Bruce
Poliquin (R) 		Tiffany
Bond (I) 		Other Undecided
SurveyUSA[49] October 28 – November 2, 2022 544 (LV) ± 4.9% 43% 40% 8% – 9%
Pan Atlantic Research[18] October 7–15, 2022 400 (LV) ± 3.5% 47% 39% 8% – 6%
University of New Hampshire[19] September 15–19, 2022 333 (LV) ± 3.6% 44% 33% – 10% 13%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[20] May 10–13, 2022 237 (LV) ± 6.4% 50% 43% – – 7%
Pan Atlantic Research[21] April 21 – May 5, 2022 ~404 (LV) ± 4.9% 45% 36% 8% 2% 8%
Hypothetical polling

Generic Democrat vs. generic Republican

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Generic
Democrat 		Generic
Republican 		Other Undecided
Digital Research Inc.[22] March 14 – April 7, 2022 311 (RV) – 24% 42% 7%[c] 28%

Results

[edit]
Maine's 2nd congressional district, 2022 results[50]
Party Candidate Round 1 Round 2
Votes % Transfer Votes %
Democratic Jared Golden
(incumbent) 		153,074 48.38% + 12,062 165,136 53.05%
Republican Bruce Poliquin 141,260 44.65% + 4,882 146,142 46.95%
Independent Tiffany Bond 21,655 6.84% - 21,655 Eliminated
Write-in 393 0.12% - 393 Eliminated
Continuing ballots 316,382 100%
311,278
Exhausted ballots - + 5,104 5,104 1.61%
Total votes 316,382 100%
316,382
Democratic hold

See also

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Notes

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  1. ^ a b c d Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ^ "Independent candidate" with 4%
  3. ^ "Independent candidate" with 7%

Partisan clients

References

[edit]
  1. ^ a b "November 3, 2020 General Election". Maine Department of Secretary of State. Retrieved November 24, 2020.
  2. ^ a b c d Piper, Jessica (March 15, 2022). "Bruce Poliquin primary challenger makes Maine ballot ahead of key deadline". Bangor Daily News.
  3. ^ "2022 Feminist Majority PAC Endorsements". feministmajoritypac.org. Retrieved April 9, 2022.
  4. ^ "LCV Action Fund Announces Second Round of Incumbent House Endorsements". www.lcv.org. March 3, 2022.
  5. ^ a b "Planned Parenthood Action Fund Endorsed Candidates". www.plannedparenthoodaction.org. Retrieved December 22, 2021.
  6. ^ "Sierra Club 2022 Endorsements".
  7. ^ "Republican announces 1st District campaign against Rep. Pingree". August 30, 2021.
  8. ^ YouTube
  9. ^ a b "2022 House Race Ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved October 1, 2021.
  10. ^ a b "House Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 11, 2021.
  11. ^ a b "2022 House Ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. October 5, 2021. Retrieved October 5, 2021.
  12. ^ a b "2022 Election Forecast". Politico. April 5, 2022.
  13. ^ a b "Battle for the House 2022". RCP. June 9, 2022.
  14. ^ a b "2022 Election Forecast". Fox News. July 11, 2022. Retrieved July 11, 2022.
  15. ^ a b "2022 Election Forecast". DDHQ. July 20, 2022. Retrieved July 20, 2022.
  16. ^ a b "2022 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. June 30, 2022. Retrieved June 30, 2022.
  17. ^ a b "The Economist's 2022 House Election forecast". The Economist. Retrieved September 28, 2022.
  18. ^ a b Pan Atlantic Research
  19. ^ a b University of New Hampshire
  20. ^ a b Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)
  21. ^ a b Pan Atlantic Research
  22. ^ a b Digital Research Inc.
  23. ^ Ferris, Sarah (May 11, 2021). "The former Marine who holds Democrats' Trumpiest district". POLITICO.
  24. ^ Collins, Steve (March 15, 2021). "Bangor Democrat seeks to challenge Jared Golden in a primary". Retrieved March 26, 2021.
  25. ^ Collins, Steve (November 22, 2021). "A Bangor Democrat takes aim at Jared Golden in potential primary". Sun Journal. Archived from the original on December 4, 2021. Retrieved December 4, 2021. Sutton had filed to run last spring but then declared he wouldn't follow through on it. But he filed again last week and insisted he's in it for the duration.
  26. ^ "AIPAC PAC Featured Candidates". AIPAC PAC.
  27. ^ "DMFI PAC releases second slate of endorsements of pro-Israel Democrats". Jewish News Syndicate. March 14, 2022. Retrieved March 25, 2022.
  28. ^ "End Citizens United - Candidates". End Citizens United. Retrieved January 28, 2022.
  29. ^ Sheperd, Michael (July 25, 2022). "What a rare swing endorsement says about Maine's big congressional race". Bangor Daily News. Retrieved August 18, 2022.
  30. ^ Manchester, Julia (November 16, 2021). "Abortion rights group endorsing 12 House Democrats". The Hill. Retrieved November 16, 2021.
  31. ^ "Our Candidates". www.newpolitics.org. New Politics. Retrieved May 31, 2022.
  32. ^ "Endorsed Candidates". proisraelamerica.org. Archived from the original on December 20, 2021. Retrieved January 22, 2022.
  33. ^ Axelrod, Tal (October 14, 2021). "Anti-Trump Republicans endorsing vulnerable Democrats to prevent GOP takeover". The Hill.
  34. ^ "Endorsed Candidates - VoteVets". votevets.org.
  35. ^ a b c Collins, Steve (June 2, 2021). "Oakland Republican jumps into 2nd Congressional District race". Kennebec Journal and Morning Sentinel. Archived from the original on June 3, 2021. Retrieved June 4, 2021. Peggy Sheriff and Michael Sutton, both of Bangor, entered the contest but later said they won't run after all.
  36. ^ Shepherd, Michael (August 4, 2021). "Former US Rep. Bruce Poliquin will run for rematch with Jared Golden in 2022". Bangor Daily News.
  37. ^ Collins, Steve (November 15, 2021). "Caratunk woman enters race against Bruce Poliquin for election to Maine's 2nd District". www.sunjournal.com. Sun Journal. Retrieved November 26, 2021.
  38. ^ Shepherd, Michael (December 20, 2021). "Republican leaves 2nd District primary but still says he could have beaten Bruce Poliquin". www.bangordailynews.com. Bangor Daily News. Retrieved December 20, 2021.
  39. ^ "Don't start writing Golden's political obituary just yet". The Ellsworth American. April 30, 2021.
  40. ^ "Caratunk official and CMP critic joins GOP race for Maine's 2nd District". November 15, 2021.
  41. ^ "Bangor FD looking for violations in 500 apartment buildings". NEWS CENTER.[permanent dead link‍]
  42. ^ "FEC Form 2 for Report FEC-1504446". docquery.fec.gov.
  43. ^ a b Andrews, Caitlin (August 19, 2021). "Presque Isle lawmaker leaves Maine's 2nd District race to endorse Bruce Poliquin". www.observer-me.com. The Piscataquis Observer. Retrieved August 19, 2021.
  44. ^ Axelrod, Tal (January 5, 2022). "GOP-aligned Congressional Leadership Fund unveils first midterm endorsements". www.thehill.com. The Hill. Retrieved January 5, 2022.
  45. ^ Collins, Steve (January 3, 2022). "Maine's 2nd Congressional District race looking a lot like 2018 election". www.centralmaine.com. Kennebec Journal. Retrieved January 3, 2022.
  46. ^ Collins, Steve (June 25, 2021). "Lewiston conservative jumps into 2nd District congressional race". Sun Journal.
  47. ^ YouTube
  48. ^ YouTube
  49. ^ SurveyUSA
  50. ^ MaineSOS [@MESecOfState] (November 16, 2022). "Full Summary report here" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
[edit]

Official campaign websites for 1st district candidates

Official campaign websites for 2nd district candidates

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