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2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Hawaii

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2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Hawaii
← 2020 November 8, 2022 2024 →
Both Hawaii seats in the United States House of Representatives
Turnout46.4% Decrease 16.9 pp
  Majority party Minority party
 
Party Democratic Republican
Last election 2 0
Seats won 2 0
Seat change Steady Steady
Popular vote 271,953 124,091
Percentage 67.79% 30.93%
Swing Increase 0.41% Increase 1.45%
Democratic
  60–70%
  70–80%

Elections in Hawaii
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The 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Hawaii were held on November 8, 2022, to elect the two U.S. representatives from the state of Hawaii, one from each of the state's two congressional districts. The elections coincided with other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections.

There was a small swing towards both the Democratic and Republican party candidates as a result of a decreased field of third-party candidates. The only third-party candidate successfully nominated was Michelle Tippens of the Libertarian Party (United States).[1] The Aloha ʻĀina Party focused instead on their campaign for Dan Decker for the 2022 United States' Senate Election. John Giuffre's American Shopping Party was not on the ballot following the State of Hawaii Office of Elections' proclamation to disqualify the party for not receiving the prerequisite support in the 2020 elections. While Giuffre nominated as an independent candidate, he did not receive sufficient support to appear on the ballot.

Overview

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District

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Results of the 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Hawaii by district:[1]

District Democratic Republican Others Total Result
Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes %
District 1 143,546 70.9% 51,217 25.3% 7,615 3.8% 202,378 100.00% Democratic hold
District 2 128,407 59.2% 72,874 33.6% 15,704 7.2% 216,985 100.00% Democratic hold
Total 271,953 64.8% 124,091 29.6% 23,319 5.6% 419,363 100.00%
Popular vote
Democratic
 
 64.8%
Republican
 
 29.6%
Other
 
 5.6%
House seats
Democratic
 
 100.00%

District 1

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2022 Hawaii's 1st congressional district election
← 2020
2024 →
 
Nominee Ed Case Conrad Kress
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 143,546 51,217
Percentage 73.7% 26.3%
Precinct results
Case:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%
     No votes
U.S. Representative before election

Ed Case
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Ed Case
Democratic

See also: Hawaii's 1st congressional district

The 1st district is located entirely on the island of Oahu, centering on Honolulu and the towns of Aiea, Mililani, Pearl City, Waipahu and Waimalu. The incumbent was Democrat Ed Case, who was re-elected with 72.0% of the vote in 2020.[2]

Democratic primary

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Candidates

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Nominee
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Eliminated in primary
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Endorsements

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Sergio Alcubilla

State legislators

Individuals

Ed Case

Editorial boards

Organization

Polling

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Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Ed
Case 		Sergio
Alcubilla 		Undecided
MRG Research[8] June 28–30, 2022 390 (LV) ± 5.0% 65% 8% 27%

Results

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Democratic primary results[9]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Ed Case (incumbent) 100,667 83.2
Democratic Sergio Alcubilla 20,364 16.8
Total votes 121,031 100.0

Republican primary

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Candidates

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Nominee
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Eliminated in primary
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  • Patrick Largey, activist[11]
  • Arturo Reyes, perennial candidate[11]

Results

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Republican primary results[9]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Conrad Kress 13,449 50.4
Republican Arturo Reyes 7,465 28.0
Republican Patrick Largey 5,785 21.7
Total votes 26,699 100.0

Nonpartisan primary

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Candidates

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Eliminated in primary
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  • Steven Abkin, construction manager and engineer (also running as Democrat)
  • Calvin Griffin, perennial candidate

Failed to qualify

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  • Joseph Gilmore (write-in)[12]

Results

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Nonpartisan primary results[9]
Party Candidate Votes %
Nonpartisan Calvin Griffin 270 53.6
Nonpartisan Steven Abkin 234 46.4
Total votes 504 100.0

General election

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Predictions

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Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[13] Solid D February 7, 2022
Inside Elections[14] Solid D March 18, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[15] Safe D February 2, 2022
Politico[16] Solid D April 5, 2022
RCP[17] Safe D June 9, 2022
Fox News[18] Solid D July 11, 2022
DDHQ[19] Solid D July 20, 2022
538[20] Solid D June 30, 2022

Results

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2022 Hawaii's 1st congressional district election[1]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Ed Case (incumbent) 143,546 73.7
Republican Conrad Kress 51,217 26.3
Total votes 194,763 100.0
Democratic hold

District 2

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2022 Hawaii's 2nd congressional district election
← 2020
2024 →
 
Nominee Jill Tokuda Joe Akana
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 128,407 72,874
Percentage 62.2% 35.3%
Tokuda:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Akana:      40–50%      50–60%      70–80%      >90%
Tie:      50%
     No votes
U.S. Representative before election

Kai Kahele
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Jill Tokuda
Democratic

See also: Hawaii's 2nd congressional district

The 2nd district takes in rural and suburban Oahu, including Waimanalo Beach, Kailua, Kaneohe, Kahuku, Makaha, Nanakuli, as well as encompassing all the other islands of Hawaii, taking in Maui and Hilo. The incumbent was Democrat Kai Kahele, who was elected with 63.0% of the vote in 2020.[2] He announced that he would run for Hawaii governor.

Democratic primary

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Candidates

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Nominee
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Eliminated in primary
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Declined
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Endorsements

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Patrick Branco

Organizations

Jill Tokuda

U.S. senators

U.S. representatives

State legislators

Editorial boards

Labor unions

Organizations

Polling

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Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Patrick
Branco 		Jill
Tokuda 		Undecided
MRG Research[8] June 28–30, 2022 391 (LV) ± 5.0% 6% 31% 63%
OmniTrak (D)[44][A] May 9–25, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.0% 7% 36% 57%

Results

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Democratic primary results[9]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Jill Tokuda 62,275 57.6
Democratic Patrick Branco 27,057 25.0
Democratic Kyle Yoshida 6,624 6.1
Democratic Brendan Schultz 6,115 5.7
Democratic Nicole Gi 3,937 3.6
Democratic Steven Sparks 2,137 2.0
Total votes 108,145 100.0

Republican primary

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Candidates

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Nominee
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  • Joe Akana, business development professional and nominee for this district in 2020[25][26]
Eliminated in primary
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Results

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Republican primary results[9]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Joe Akana 28,200 83.9
Republican Joe Webster 5,403 16.1
Total votes 33,603 100.0

Libertarian Party

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Nominee

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Results

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Libertarian primary results[9]
Party Candidate Votes %
Libertarian Michelle Rose Tippens 343 100.0
Total votes 343 100.0

Independents

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Declared

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  • John "Raghu" Giuffre[11]

Declined

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  • Charles Djou, former Republican U.S. representative for Hawaii's 1st congressional district (2010–2011) and candidate for Mayor of Honolulu in 2016[45]

General election

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Predictions

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Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[13] Solid D February 7, 2022
Inside Elections[14] Solid D March 18, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[15] Safe D February 2, 2022
Politico[16] Solid D April 5, 2022
RCP[17] Safe D June 9, 2022
Fox News[18] Solid D July 11, 2022
DDHQ[19] Solid D July 20, 2022
538[20] Solid D June 30, 2022

Results

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2022 Hawaii's 2nd congressional district election[1]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Jill Tokuda 128,407 62.2
Republican Joe Akana 72,874 35.3
Libertarian Michelle Tippens 5,130 2.5
Total votes 206,411 100.0
Democratic hold

Notes

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  1. ^ a b Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear

Partisan clients

  1. ^ This poll was sponsored by Tokuda's campaign.

References

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  1. ^ a b c d "GENERAL ELECTION 2022 - Statewide - November 8, 2022" (PDF). Hawaii Office of Elections. November 9, 2022. Retrieved November 13, 2022.
  2. ^ a b Johnson, Cheryl L. (February 28, 2019). "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 3, 2020". Clerk of the U.S. House of Representatives.
  3. ^ a b Blair, Chad (October 11, 2021). "Chad Blair: Ed Case Draws A Challenger From The Left". Honolulu Civil Beat. Retrieved November 1, 2021.
  4. ^ Blair, Chad (October 11, 2021). "Ed Case Draws A Challenger From The Left". Honolulu Civil Beat. Retrieved April 28, 2022.
  5. ^ "Marianne Williamson's Candidate Summit". Candidate Summit. Retrieved December 12, 2021.
  6. ^ a b "Editorial: Brian Schatz, Jill Tokuda, Ed Case for Congress". Honolulu Star-Advertiser. October 24, 2022. Retrieved March 29, 2023.
  7. ^ "Planned Parenthood Action Fund Endorsed Candidates". www.plannedparenthoodaction.org. Retrieved December 22, 2021.
  8. ^ a b MRG Research
  9. ^ a b c d e f "Primary Election 2022 – State of Hawaii – Statewide August 13, 2022 Summary Report" (PDF). State of Hawaii Office of Elections. August 14, 2022. Retrieved August 16, 2022.
  10. ^ Grube, Nick (April 19, 2022). "Hardly Anyone Is Raising Money To Run Against Kahele, Case Or Schatz". Honolulu Civil Beat. Retrieved May 14, 2022.
  11. ^ a b c "State of Hawaii : Office of Elections Online Voter Registration". olvr.hawaii.gov. Retrieved July 8, 2022.
  12. ^ "Joseph Gilmore FEC Statement of Candidacy" (PDF). Retrieved October 25, 2021.
  13. ^ a b "2022 House Race Ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved February 7, 2022.
  14. ^ a b "House Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved March 18, 2022.
  15. ^ a b "2022 House Ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. February 2, 2022. Retrieved February 2, 2022.
  16. ^ a b "2022 Election Forecast". Politico. April 5, 2022.
  17. ^ a b "Battle for the House 2022". RCP. June 9, 2022.
  18. ^ a b "2022 Election Forecast". Fox News. July 11, 2022. Retrieved July 11, 2022.
  19. ^ a b "2022 Election Forecast". DDHQ. July 20, 2022. Retrieved July 20, 2022.
  20. ^ a b "2022 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. June 30, 2022. Retrieved June 30, 2022.
  21. ^ Staff, H. N. N. "Former State Sen. Jill Tokuda announces run for Kahele's seat in Congress". www.hawaiinewsnow.com. Retrieved December 20, 2022.
  22. ^ a b "Chad Blair: A Line Forms To Replace Kai Kahele In Congress". Honolulu Civil Beat. April 7, 2022. Retrieved April 7, 2022.
  23. ^ Nakaso, Dan (May 5, 2022). "State Rep. Patrick Branco announces run for Kai Kahele's Congressional seat". Retrieved May 7, 2022.
  24. ^ "Nicole Gi, 2nd Congressional District: Democrat in Name Only". June 17, 2022.
  25. ^ a b c d e f "Nearly 400 Candidates File for Hawaii's Primary Election". June 8, 2022.
  26. ^ a b c d "Politics1 - Online Guide to Hawaii Elections, Candidates & Politics".
  27. ^ Annie Grayer and Alex Rogers (April 28, 2022). "Democratic Rep. Kai Kahele will retire from Congress, source says". CNN. Retrieved April 29, 2022.
  28. ^ Blair, Chad (April 27, 2022). "Chad Blair: A Jill Tokuda Candidacy Could Upend A Race For Congress". www.civilbeat.org. Honolulu Civil Beat. Retrieved April 28, 2022.
  29. ^ a b c d e Grube, Nick (July 6, 2022). "Hawaii's Congressional District 2 Race: Veteran Tokuda Vs. Newcomer Branco". Honolulu Civil Beat. Retrieved July 6, 2022.
  30. ^ "LGBTQ Victory Fund Endorses 23 LGBTQ Candidates, Including Patrick Branco in Hawaii and Erick Russell in Connecticut". LGBTQ Victory Fund. June 22, 2022. Retrieved August 11, 2022.
  31. ^ Marans, Daniel (August 12, 2022). "How A Surge Of Super PAC Money Upended A Hawaii Congressional Primary". HuffPost. Retrieved March 29, 2023.
  32. ^ a b c d "Election, campaign line-up: McKelvey endorsed by HSTA; Bissen and Tokuda endorsed by HGEA; Schwartz announces candidacy". Maui Now. June 10, 2022. Retrieved March 29, 2023.
  33. ^ a b c d e Grube, Nick (October 16, 2022). "Jill Tokuda Looks Like A Shoo-In For Congress. What Would She Do?". Honolulu Civil Beat. Retrieved March 29, 2023.
  34. ^ a b c Yang, Mary (November 9, 2022). "Hawai'i voters put Democrat Jill Tokuda on glide path to Congress". The Yappie via Asian American Journalists Association. Retrieved March 29, 2023.
  35. ^ a b c d "Congressional Progressive Caucus PAC Endorses Jill Tokuda in HI-02". Congressional Progressive Caucus. June 22, 2022. Retrieved July 6, 2022.
  36. ^ "THE FACTS: Hawaii State AFL-CIO 2022 Endorsements". Vote Smart. Retrieved March 29, 2023.
  37. ^ "HSTA recommends Jill Tokuda for Hawaii's Second Congressional District". Hawaii State Teachers Association. July 18, 2022. Retrieved March 29, 2023.
  38. ^ "United Public Workers 2022 General Election". United Public Workers Hawaii. Retrieved March 29, 2023.
  39. ^ "AAAFund Endorses Former State Senator Jill Tokuda for Congress". Asian American Action Fund. August 12, 2022. Retrieved March 29, 2023.
  40. ^ Bowman, Bridget; Kamisar, Ben (June 6, 2022). "Midterm Roundup: Last minute spending in California". NBC News. Retrieved July 6, 2022.
  41. ^ "Jill Tokuda Earns LCV Action Fund Endorsement to Continue Fighting for Environmental Justice In Congress". League of Conservation Voters. September 14, 2022.
  42. ^ "NARAL Pro-Choice Endorses Nine Candidates for Election to the U.S. House". NARAL Pro-Choice America. September 28, 2022. Retrieved March 29, 2023.
  43. ^ "Hawai'i Candidate Endorsements and Federal Endorsements by Planned Parenthood Action Fund". Planned Parenthood Action Fund. Retrieved March 29, 2023.
  44. ^ OmniTrak (D)
  45. ^ "Chad Blair: A Line Forms to Replace Kai Kahele in Congress". April 6, 2022.
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Official campaign websites for 1st district candidates

Official campaign websites for 2nd district candidates

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