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2022 Maryland gubernatorial election

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2022 Maryland gubernatorial election
← 2018 November 8, 2022 (2022-11-08) 2026 →
Turnout49.26% Decrease 9.80%[1]
 
Nominee Wes Moore Dan Cox
Party Democratic Republican
Running mate Aruna Miller Gordana Schifanelli
Popular vote 1,293,944 644,000
Percentage 64.53% 32.12%
Moore:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Cox:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%
Governor before election

Larry Hogan
Republican

Elected Governor

Wes Moore
Democratic

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The 2022 Maryland gubernatorial election was held on November 8, 2022, to elect the next governor of Maryland. Incumbent Governor Larry Hogan was term-limited and could not seek a third consecutive term. This was the first gubernatorial election where both parties' nominees for lieutenant governor were women.[2]

The Democratic and Republican primaries were held on July 19,[3] with state delegate Dan Cox securing the Republican nomination, while author and former nonprofit CEO Wes Moore won the Democratic nomination. Political observers gave Moore a strong chance of defeating Cox in the general election, with Democrats outnumbering Republicans 2-to-1 in the state. Shortly after polls closed, several national news organizations called the election for Moore. Moore became the first African-American governor of Maryland after being sworn in on January 18, 2023.[4]

This race was one of six Republican-held governorships up for election in 2022 in a state Joe Biden won in the 2020 presidential election, and one of three that voted for Biden by double-digits. Moore flipped six counties Hogan won in 2018, and his electoral strength largely came from densely populated Prince George's County, Montgomery County, and Baltimore City, where he improved on the margins of 2018 Democratic nominee Ben Jealous by roughly 20 percent. Moore won more than twice as many votes as Cox, with his landslide margin of victory the highest of any gubernatorial candidate in the state since William Donald Schaefer in 1986.[5]

Republican primary

[edit]

Campaign

[edit]
Kelly Schulz, a former official in the administration of incumbent governor Larry Hogan, finished second in the primary.
Robin Ficker, who served as a state legislator in the 1980s, finished third.

Lieutenant Governor Boyd Rutherford, who was seen as the likely Republican frontrunner in the race, announced in April 2021 that he would not seek to succeed Governor Larry Hogan. Kelly Schulz, the Hogan administration's Secretary of Commerce and former Secretary of Labor, announced her candidacy just hours after Rutherford's announcement.[6]

State delegate Dan Cox entered the race in July 2021, and received the endorsement of former president Donald Trump in November.[7] Hogan endorsed Schulz in the primary soon after, setting up a proxy war between Trump and Hogan in the Republican primary.[8] Schulz outpaced Cox in fundraising and had outspent Cox 4–1, but polling showed that the two candidates were running neck-and-neck.[9]

In June 2022, the Democratic Governors Association spent $1.2 million for a television advertisement promoting Cox, hoping he would win the nomination and be easier for Democrats to defeat in November.[10][11][12] Schulz and Hogan accused Democrats of meddling in the Republican primary,[13] while Cox denied receiving any support from the DGA, saying that he had "nothing to do with the ad purchase".[14] Some observers, including strategist Jim Dornan, say that two factors — Trump's endorsement and the DGA ad blitz — allowed Cox to advance to the general election. Other observers, including former Maryland lieutenant governor and Republican National Committee chair Michael Steele, say the ads had little impact on voters, highlighting that far-right politician and neo-Confederate activist Michael Peroutka had won the Attorney General primary on the same ballot by an almost identical margin to Cox, even though the DGA did not run any ads on his behalf.[15]

Candidates

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Eliminated in primary

[edit]

Declined

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Dan Cox
Executive branch officials
State legislators
Individuals
Organizations
Kelly Schulz
State officials
State legislators
Local officials
Organizations
Newspapers
Declined to endorse
State legislators

Debates and forums

[edit]

The Legislative Black Caucus of Maryland hosted the first Republican gubernatorial candidate forum on October 15, 2021. Candidates Daniel Cox and Robin Ficker attended the event, where they informed voters of color about their policies surrounding the Black Agenda. Kelly Schulz missed the event due to a prior commitment.[51] At the end of the forum, Darryl Barnes asked all of the attending candidates to post a Black agenda to their campaign websites by November 1; none of the Republican candidates running for governor complied with this request.[52]

The Maryland Latino Legislative Caucus of Maryland hosted the second Republican gubernatorial candidate forum on November 8, 2021. Robin Ficker was the lone Republican candidate to attend the event, where he advocated for cutting the state sales tax, starting statewide English classes, and reopening schools.[53][54]

The Maryland State Bar Association hosted individual, hour-long conversations with all running candidates from December 6 to December 10, 2021. Daniel Cox, Robin Ficker, and Kelly Schulz were invited to attend the forum.[55] Cox was unable to attend the forum on December 10, 2021, due to the General Assembly's special session.

On December 10, 2021, the Committee for Montgomery annual legislative breakfast featured a forum with Republican and Democratic candidates for governor.[55] The forum was moderated by Ovetta Wiggins, and the only Republican candidate to attend was Robin Ficker.[56]

On March 8 and March 9, 2022, the Maryland League of Conservation Voters collaborated with Maryland Matters, the Baltimore County NAACP, the Maryland Sierra Club, and the Chesapeake Climate Action Network to host two gubernatorial forums that focused on the topic of climate change. Robin Ficker was the only Republican candidate to attend the forums, as candidates Dan Cox and Kelly Schulz declined invitations to attend. The first forum took place at the Riggs Alumni Center at the University of Maryland at College Park and was moderated by Josh Kurtz, Tonya Harrison-Edwards, and Rona Kobell, and the second forum took place at the Ungar Athenaeum at Goucher College and was moderated by Kurtz, Staci Hartwell, Sheilah Kast, and Stella Krajick.[57][58]

On March 30, 2022, Bowie State University and the Maryland Black Chamber of Commerce hosted a gubernatorial forum for candidates to share their vision and agenda on economic development in Maryland. Robin Ficker was the only Republican candidate to attend the forum, which was moderated by Micheal McGee.[59]

On April 30, 2022, Frostburg State University, the Allegany College of Maryland, and Garrett College hosted a gubernatorial forum at Frostburg, which was attended by candidates Dan Cox and Robin Ficker. The forum was moderated by Amanda Mangan, and questions were asked by a group of students from the three hosting universities, Allegany High School, and Bishop Walsh School.[60]

2022 Maryland Republican gubernatorial primary debates
No. Date Host Moderator Link Participants
 P  Participant  A  Absent  N  Non-invitee  I  Invitee W  Withdrawn
Cox Ficker Schulz Werner
1[51] Oct 14, 2021 Legislative Black
Caucus of Maryland 		Darryl Barnes Facebook P P A N
2[53] Nov 8, 2021 Maryland Legislative
Latino Caucus 		Patricia Villone Facebook A P A N
3[55] Dec 6–10, 2021 Maryland State
Bar Association 		Robert Zirkin YouTube A A P N
4[55] Dec 10, 2021 Committee for
Montgomery 		Ovetta Wiggins YouTube A P A N
5[57] Mar 8, 2022 Maryland Matters
Maryland LCV
Maryland Sierra Club
Chesapeake CAN
Ed Hatcher
Angie Cannon
Baltimore County NAACP[a] 		Josh Kurtz
Tonya Harrison-Edwards
Rona Kobell 		YouTube
Facebook 		A P A N
6[57] Mar 9, 2022 Josh Kurtz
Sheilah Kast
Stella Krajick
Staci Hartwell 		YouTube
Facebook 		A P A N
7[59] Mar 30, 2022 Bowie State University
Maryland Black
Chamber of Commerce 		Micheal McGee Facebook A P A N
8[61] Apr 12, 2022 Bowie, Maryland Gary Allen
Sue Livera 		YouTube P A A N
9 Apr 18, 2022 Frederick County
Conservative Club 		Ryan Hedrick
Andrew Langer 		YouTube P P A A
10[62][63] Apr 21, 2022 Republican Women of
Carroll County 		Scott Ewart Facebook P P A N
11[64] Apr 30, 2022 Frostburg State University
Allegany College of Maryland
Garrett College 		Amanda Mangan Vimeo P P A N
12[65] May 7, 2022 Republican Women of
Cecil County 		Harold Philips YouTube P P A A
13[66] May 31, 2022 Maryland State
Bar Association 		Pamela Wood
Dick Uliano 		YouTube A A P A
14[67][68] June 8, 2022 Bethesda Magazine Anne Tallent YouTube P P P P

Fundraising

[edit]
Primary campaign finance activity through July 3, 2022
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Dan Cox $689,743 $500,473 $189,270
Robin Ficker $1,163,807 $949,438 $208,743
Kelly Schulz $2,633,586 $1,899,989 $733,597
Source: Maryland State Board of Elections[69]

Polling

[edit]
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[b] 		Margin
of error 		Daniel
Cox 		Robin
Ficker 		Kelly
Schulz 		Joe
Werner 		Other Undecided
Goucher College June 15–19, 2022 414 (LV) ± 4.8% 25% 2% 22% 3% 2% 45%
OpinionWorks May 27 – June 2, 2022 428 (LV) ± 4.7% 21% 5% 27% 4% 1% 42%
Remington Research Group (R)[A] May 1–3, 2022 1,047 (LV) ± 3.0% 76% – 13% – – 11%
Public Policy Polling (D)[B] January 28–29, 2022 565 (LV) ± 4.1% 20% – 12% – – 68%
Hypothetical polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[b] 		Margin
of error 		Boyd
Rutherford 		Steve Schuh Barry Glassman Allan Kittleman Kelly Schulz Other Undecided
Change Research (D)[C] September 29 – October 1, 2020 – (V)[c] ± 7.0% 19% 5% 3% 2% 2% — —

Results

[edit]
Results by county
  Cox
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  Schulz
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
Republican primary results[70]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican
153,423 52.00%
Republican
128,302 43.48%
Republican
8,268 2.80%
Republican
  • Joe Werner
  • Minh Thanh Luong
 5,075 1.72%
Total votes 295,068 100.0%

Democratic primary

[edit]
Former state delegate Aruna Miller was nominated for lieutenant governor.
Former U.S. Labor Secretary and DNC Chair Tom Perez finished second in the primary.
Maryland Comptroller Peter Franchot finished third.
Despite dropping out of the race, former Prince George's County Executive Rushern Baker finished fourth.
Former Maryland Attorney General Doug Gansler finished fifth.

Campaign

[edit]

The first two major Democratic candidates to announce were state Comptroller Peter Franchot and former Prince George's County executive Rushern Baker. Both Franchot and Baker were seen as the leading candidates in the race, but early polling showed that more than 40 percent of likely voters were still undecided.[71] With high name recognition and a big war-chest built up over years without primary challengers as Comptroller, Franchot entered the race as the nominal frontrunner.[72]

As the campaign progressed, more candidates began entering the race, with Franchot holding onto a solid lead in polling as the race expanded to a four-way battle between Franchot, Baker, author and former Robin Hood Foundation CEO Wes Moore, and former Democratic National Committee chairman Tom Perez.[73] On June 10, 2022, Baker suspended his campaign for governor, his campaign having suffered from financial challenges and decreasing party support, creating an opening in voter-rich Prince George's County.[74] Polling conducted later that month by Goucher College showed Franchot, Moore, and Perez in a statistical tie, with each of the three frontrunners having enough resources and endorsements to compete for undecided voters.[75]

In addition to Franchot, Baker, Moore, and Perez, six other candidates also ran for the Democratic nomination, including former nonprofit executive Jon Baron, former Maryland attorney general Doug Gansler, perennial candidate Ralph Jaffe, former Obama administration official Ashwani Jain, former Secretary of Education John King Jr., and former Bread and Roses Party founder Jerome Segal. Two other candidates, former Republican Anne Arundel County executive Laura Neuman and tech company founder Mike Rosenbaum, also declared their candidacy but had dropped out before the primaries.[76]

Moore won the Democratic primary on July 19, 2022, beating out Perez and Franchot with 32.4 percent of the vote and by a margin of 15,349 votes in Maryland's closest Democratic gubernatorial primary since 1966.[77]

Candidates

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Eliminated in primary

[edit]

Withdrawn

[edit]

Declined

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Peter Franchot
U.S. Senator
U.S. representatives
State officials
State legislators
Local officials
Labor unions
Doug Gansler
State officials
State legislators
Organizations
John King Jr.
U.S. Senator
State legislators
Organizations
Wes Moore
U.S. representatives
State officials
State legislators
Local officials
Party officials
Individuals
Labor unions
Organizations
Newspapers
Tom Perez
U.S. senators
U.S. representatives
State officials
State legislators
Local officials
Party officials
Labor unions
Organizations
Newspapers
Rushern Baker (withdrawn)
State legislator
Local officials
Declined to endorse
U.S. senators
Local officials

Debates and forums

[edit]

The Montgomery County Renters Alliance hosted the first Democratic gubernatorial primary forum on September 21, 2021. Candidates who attended included Peter Franchot, Doug Gansler, Ashwani Jain, John King Jr., Wes Moore, and Tom Perez. Rushern Baker was also due to attend, but withdrew following the death of his wife, Christa Beverly Baker, on September 18, 2021. Jon Baron, who, along with Mike Rosenbaum, was not invited to the forum, attended a town hall hosted by the Renters Alliance on September 29, 2021.[181]

A second gubernatorial candidate forum was hosted on October 7, 2021, by the Anne Arundel County Democratic Party. Candidates Rushern Baker, Jon Baron, Peter Franchot, Ashwani Jain, John King Jr., and Mike Rosenbaum all attended the forum, where they discussed their stances on education, criminal reform, healthcare, and economic reform policy.[182] Tom Perez was also invited, but could not attend because of a schedule conflict.[183]

The third gubernatorial candidate forum was hosted by the Legislative Black Caucus of Maryland on October 14, 2021. All nine declared Democratic candidates attended the forum, where they informed voters of color about their policies surrounding the Black Agenda.[51] At the end of the forum, Darryl Barnes asked all of the attending candidates to post a Black agenda on their websites by November 1; candidates Peter Franchot, Wes Moore, John King Jr., Tom Perez, Jon Baron, Doug Gansler, and Mike Rosenbaum complied with Barnes' request, with Franchot being the first candidate to present a cohesive plan. Ashwani Jain did not release a specific Black agenda, saying that part of his campaign platform already includes a Black agenda. Rushern Baker said at the reception that he would also produce a plan in the following weeks, but added that one was unnecessary because of previous elected Black leaders' plans.[52] Baker would end up posting his Black agenda on November 4, three days after Barnes' deadline.[184]

The fourth gubernatorial candidate forum was hosted by the Climate X-Change Maryland and the Rebuild Maryland Coalition in partnership with the Chesapeake Climate Action Network on November 1, 2021. Candidates Jon Baron, Doug Gansler, John King Jr., Ashwani Jain, Tom Perez, and Mike Rosenbaum attended the forum, where they informed voters about the policies they would enact to fight climate change and reduce greenhouse gas emissions.[185] Candidates Rushern Baker, Peter Franchot, and Wes Moore were also invited, but did not attend the forum.[186]

The fifth gubernatorial candidate forum was hosted by the Prince George's County NAACP on November 4, 2021, with Jon Baron, Doug Gansler, and Tom Perez, and on November 8, 2021, with Wes Moore, Mike Rosenbaum, Rushern Baker, and Ashwani Jain.[187] Peter Franchot was due to attend the first forum, but could not attend due to technical difficulties. Several topics, including police brutality, environmental injustice, and transparency among state agencies, were discussed at the forums.[188] John King Jr. did not participate in this forum because he teaches an undergraduate course on education policy at the University of Maryland in College Park.[189]

The sixth gubernatorial candidate forum was hosted by the Maryland Latino Legislative Caucus on November 8, 2021. Candidates Jon Baron, Peter Franchot, Doug Gansler, John King Jr., and Tom Perez attended the forum[53] where they answered questions about expanding healthcare access, economic opportunities, education, and cabinet diversity.[54]

The seventh gubernatorial candidate forum was hosted by the St. Ignatius Justice and Peace Committee at the St. Ignatius Church on November 16, 2021. All candidates who received more than 1% support in available opinion polls were invited to the forum. Candidates Rushern Baker, Peter Franchot, Doug Gansler, John King Jr., Wes Moore, Tom Perez, and Mike Rosenbaum confirmed their availability for the conversation,[190] but only Gansler, Moore, Perez, and Rosenbaum attended. Attending candidates answered questions about cleaning the Chesapeake Bay, tackling climate change, homelessness, poverty, white supremacy, immigration, the defund the police movement, critical race theory, abortion, and death with dignity.[191]

The eighth gubernatorial candidate forum was hosted by the Maryland Democratic Party on November 22, 2021. All Democratic candidates were invited to attend the forum, where they discussed economic issues, such as the state's $2.5 billion budget surplus, inflation, vaccine and mask mandates, and unions.[55] Candidates Rushern Baker, Jon Baron, Doug Gansler, Ashwani Jain, John King, Wes Moore, and Tom Perez attended the forum.[192]

The Maryland State Bar Association hosted individual, hour-long conversations with all running candidates from December 6 to December 10, 2021. All Democratic candidates attended the forum.[55] Mike Rosenbaum intended on attending the forum on December 7, but withdrew from the debate after suspending his campaign on November 30, 2021.[193][105]

On December 10, 2021, the Committee for Montgomery annual legislative breakfast featured a forum with Republican and Democratic candidates for governor.[55] Candidates Rushern Baker, Jon Baron, Doug Gansler, Ashwani Jain, John King Jr., Wes Moore, and Tom Perez attended the forum, which was moderated by Ovetta Wiggins.[56] Peter Franchot did not attend the forum because of a commitment he made several months prior to the debate to attend a minority business event in Anne Arundel County.[194]

On January 5, 2022, the Maryland Democratic Party hosted a gubernatorial candidate forum that focused on the topic of education. Candidates Rushern Baker, Jon Baron, Doug Gansler, Ashwani Jain, John King Jr., Wes Moore, and Tom Perez attended the event, which was moderated by Maryland Matters editor Danielle Gaines.[195] Peter Franchot did not attend the forum because he attended a campaign fundraiser in Cecil County.[196]

On January 26, 2022, the Maryland State Education Association hosted a gubernatorial forum that focused on the topic of education. All candidates who said that they would pursue the group's endorsement were invited to the event, which was moderated by Cheryl Bost, the group's president. Jerome Segal was the only candidate not to attend the forum.[197]

On March 8 and March 9, 2022, the Maryland League of Conservation Voters collaborated with Maryland Matters, the Baltimore County NAACP, the Maryland Sierra Club, and the Chesapeake Climate Action Network to host two gubernatorial forums that focused on the topic of climate change. Candidates Jon Baron, Doug Gansler, Ashwani Jain, John King, Laura Neuman and Jerome Segal attended both forums, while Wes Moore and Tom Perez only attended the first event. Peter Franchot initially intended on attending the second forum, but withdrew due to an "unexpected personal matter". Rushern Baker initially confirmed he would attend both events, but later withdrew from both. The first forum took place at the Riggs Alumni Center at the University of Maryland at College Park and was moderated by Josh Kurtz, Tonya Harrison-Edwards, and Rona Kobell, and the second forum took place at the Ungar Athenaeum at Goucher College and was moderated by Kurtz, Sheilah Kast, and Stella Krajick.[57][58]

On March 15, 2022, the Maryland Democratic Party hosted its second Burgers & Brews Gubernatorial Candidate Forum in Frederick, Maryland. Candidates Jon Baron, Doug Gansler, Ashwani Jain, John King Jr., Laura Neuman, and Jerome Segal attended the event, which was moderated by Maryland Matters editor Danielle Gaines.[198]

On March 30, 2022, Bowie State University and the Maryland Black Chamber of Commerce hosted a gubernatorial forum for candidates to share their vision and agenda on economic development in Maryland. Candidates Jon Baron, Rushern Baker, Peter Franchot, Doug Gansler, Ashwani Jain, John King Jr., Wes Moore, and Tom Perez attended the forum, which was moderated by Micheal McGee.[59]

On April 3, 2022, the Eleanor and Franklin Roosevelt Democratic Club hosted a gubernatorial forum in Greenbelt, Maryland, which was moderated by Dave Zahren and attended by candidates Jon Baron, Doug Gansler, Ashwani Jain, Tom Perez, and Jerome Segal.[199]

On April 20, 2022, Bikemore and The Real News Network hosted a gubernatorial forum focused on the topic of transportation. Candidates who received more than 10 percent in recent polling and completed a written questionnaire prior to the event were invited to attend. Candidates Rushern Baker, John King Jr., Peter Franchot, and Tom Perez participated in the forum, while Wes Moore opted out of the debate.[200]

On April 26, 2022, Coppin State University hosted a gubernatorial forum focused on the topics of economic development, crime, and education. Candidates Rushern Baker, Jon Baron, Peter Franchot, Doug Gansler, Wes Moore, Tom Perez, and Jerome Segal attended the forum, which was moderated by WMAR-TV news anchor Kelly Swoope.[201]

On April 30, 2022, Frostburg State University, the Allegany College of Maryland, and Garrett College hosted a gubernatorial forum at Frostburg, which was attended by candidates Rushern Baker, Ashwani Jain, and John King Jr. The forum was moderated by Amanda Mangan, and questions were asked by a group of students from the three hosting universities, Allegany High School, and Bishop Walsh School.[60]

2022 Maryland Democratic gubernatorial primary debates
No. Date Host Moderator Link Participants
 P  Participant  A  Absent  N  Non-invitee  I  Invitee W  Withdrawn O  Not yet entered race
Baker Baron Franchot Gansler Jaffe Jain King Moore Neuman Perez Rosenbaum Segal
1[181] Sep 21, 2021 Montgomery County
Renters Alliance 		Josh Kurtz
Pamela Wood
Kyle Swenson 		YouTube A N P P O P P P O P N O
2[182][183] Oct 7, 2021 Anne Arundel County
Democratic Party 		Antonio Palmer
Jenese Jones Oden 		Facebook P P P A P P A A P
3[51] Oct 14, 2021 Legislative Black
Caucus of Maryland 		Darryl Barnes Facebook P P P P P P P P P
4[185][186] Nov 1, 2021 Climate X-Change MD
Rebuild MD Coalition
Chesapeake CAN 		Brooke Harper Vimeo A P A P P P A P P
5[187] Nov 4, 2021
Nov 8, 2021 		Prince George's
County NAACP 		Ebony McMorris YouTube I
YouTube II 		P P A P P A P P P
6[53] Nov 8, 2021 Maryland Legislative
Latino Caucus 		Patricia Villone Facebook A P P P A P A P A
7[190][202] Nov 16, 2021 St. Ignatius Justice
Peace Committee 		Kate Walsh
Glendora Hughes 		YouTube A N A P N A P P P
8[55][203] Nov 22, 2021 Maryland
Democratic Party 		Tracee Wilkins Facebook P P A P P P P P A
9[55] Dec 6–10, 2021 Maryland State
Bar Association 		Robert Zirkin YouTube P P P P P P P P W
10[55] Dec 10, 2021 Committee for
Montgomery 		Ovetta Wiggins YouTube P P A P P P P P
11[204] Dec 10, 2021 Our Black Party Candace
Hollingsworth 		YouTube P P A P P P A P
12[195] Jan 5, 2022 Maryland
Democratic Party 		Danielle Gaines Facebook P P A P P P P P N
13[197] Jan 26, 2022 Maryland State
Education Association 		Cheryl Bost Facebook P P P P P P P P P A
14[57] Mar 8, 2022 Maryland Matters
Maryland LCV
Maryland Sierra Club
Chesapeake CAN
Ed Hatcher
Angie Cannon
Baltimore County NAACP[a] 		Josh Kurtz
Tonya Harrison-Edwards
Rona Kobell 		YouTube
Facebook 		A P A P P P P P P P
15[57] Mar 9, 2022 Josh Kurtz
Sheilah Kast
Stella Krajick
Staci Hartwell 		YouTube
Facebook 		A P A P P P A P A P
16[198] Mar 15, 2022 Maryland
Democratic Party 		Danielle Gaines Facebook A P A P P P A P A P
17[59] Mar 30, 2022 Bowie State University
Maryland Black
Chamber of Commerce 		Micheal McGee Facebook P P P P P P P A P A
18[199] Apr 3, 2022 Eleanor and Franklin
Roosevelt Democratic Club 		Dave Zahren YouTube A P A P P A A A P P
19[61] Apr 12, 2022 Bowie, Maryland Gary Allen
Sue Livera 		YouTube A P A P A A A A A P
20 Apr 14, 2022 Maryland
Democratic Party 		Kimi Yoshino Facebook A P A P P A A W A P
21[205][200] Apr 20, 2022 Bikemore
The Real News Network 		Jaisal Noor Facebook
YouTube 		P N P N N N P A P N
22[206][201] Apr 26, 2022 Coppin State University Kelly Swoope YouTube
Facebook 		P P P P N N N P P P
23 Apr 30, 2022 Our Revolution Maryland Chrissy Holt YouTube P A P A N P P A P A
24[64] Apr 30, 2022 Frostburg State University
Allegany College of Maryland
Garrett College 		Amanda Mangan Vimeo P A A A N P P A A A
25[207] May 31, 2022 Maryland
Democratic Party 		Pamela Wood Facebook P P A P N P P P P P
26[66] June 1, 2022 Maryland State
Bar Association 		Pamela Wood
Dick Uliano 		YouTube P P A P N A P A A P
27[208] June 2, 2022 Leisure World Democratic Club Danielle Gaines N/A P N P P N N P P P N
28[209][210][211] June 6, 2022 Maryland Public Television
WBAL-TV 		Jeff Salkin YouTube P P P P N P P P P N
29[67][68] June 8, 2022 Bethesda Magazine Anne Tallent YouTube A P A P P P P P P P
30[212] July 1, 2022 WYPR Tom Hall Radio W N A N N N N P P N

Fundraising

[edit]
Primary campaign finance activity through July 3, 2022
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Rushern Baker $1,115,659 $1,107,375 $8,039
Jon Baron $2,338,134 $2,026,351 $311,784
Peter Franchot $3,242,746 $8,359,508 $632,402
Doug Gansler $1,663,991 $1,542,344 $549,889
Ralph Jaffe <$1,000 <$1,000 N/A
Ashwani Jain $148,306 $130,307 $17,999
John King Jr. $3,272,439 $3,863,757 $208,917
Wes Moore $7,878,705 $7,097,775 $780,930
Laura Neuman $131,679 $128,795 $2,884
Tom Perez $4,404,379 $3,852,255 $644,900
Mike Rosenbaum $1,749,682 $1,749,682 $0
Jerome Segal $42,808 $37,930 $4,878
Source: Maryland State Board of Elections[69]

Polling

[edit]
Graphical summary
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[b] 		Margin
of error 		Rushern
Baker 		Peter
Franchot 		Doug
Gansler 		John
King Jr. 		Wes
Moore 		Tom
Perez 		Other Undecided
20/20 Insight, LLC (D)[D] June 28–30, 2022 410 (LV) ± 4.8% – 15% 4% 17% 18% 22% 2%[k] 23%
Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group (D)[E] June 25–27, 2022 601 (LV) ± 4.1% – 21% 4% 5% 20% 16% 1%[l] 33%
Goucher College June 15–19, 2022 403 (LV) ± 4.9% – 16% 5% 4% 14% 14% 9%[m] 37%
June 10, 2022 Baker suspends his campaign
Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group (D)[E] June 6–9, 2022 601 (LV) ± 4.1% 8% 22% 3% 4% 13% 13% 1%[n] 36%
OpinionWorks May 27 – June 2, 2022 562 (LV) ± 4.1% 7% 20% 4% 4% 15% 12% 8%[o] 31%
20/20 Insight, LLC (D)[D] May 19–22, 2022 430 (LV) ± 4.7% 5% 17% 6% 16% 16% 12% – 27%
Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group (D)[E] May 5–9, 2022 601 (LV) ± 4.1% 11% 19% 3% 4% 13% 6% – 42%
Change Research (D)[F] April 2–5, 2022 886 (LV) ± 3.7% 10% 20% 5% 3% 13% 7% – 40%
GQR Research (D)[G] March 8–14, 2022 807 (LV) ± 3.5% 15% 23% 5% 3% 10% 11% 8% 25%
Tidemore Public Affairs (D)[H] January 6–10, 2022 580 (LV) ± 4.0% 16% 23% 7% 6% 12% 10% 1% 24%
November 30, 2021 Rosenbaum withdraws from the race
GQR Research (D)[G] November 2021 – (LV) – 15% 25% – – 7% 9% – –
Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group (D)[E] August 30 – September 2, 2021 500 (LV) ± 4.5% 12% 17% 4% 1% 7% 6% 2%[p] 52%
Gonzales Research (D)[I] May 17–22, 2021 301 (LV) ± 5.8% 22% 18% 4% 1% 2% 10% 2%[q] 41%
Hypothetical polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[b] 		Margin
of error 		Angela
Alsobrooks 		Anthony
Brown 		Peter
Franchot 		Ben
Jealous 		John
King Jr. 		Tom
Perez 		Steuart
Pittman 		Johnny
Olszewski Jr. 		David
Trone 		Undecided
Change Research (D)[C] September 29 – October 1, 2020 – (V)[r] ± 5.0% 13% 10% 9% 15% 2% 3% 2% 5% 6% 28%

Results

[edit]
Results by county
  Moore
  •   20–30%
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  Perez
  •   20–30%
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  Franchot
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
Democratic primary results[70]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic
217,524 32.41%
Democratic
202,175 30.12%
Democratic
141,586 21.10%
Democratic
26,594 3.96%
Democratic
25,481 3.80%
Democratic
24,882 3.71%
Democratic
  • Ashwani Jain
  • LaTrece Hawkins Lytes
 13,784 2.05%
Democratic
  • Jon Baron
  • Natalie Williams
 11,880 1.77%
Democratic
4,276 0.64%
Democratic
  • Ralph Jaffe
  • Mark Greben
 2,978 0.44%
Total votes 671,160 100.0%

Independent and third-party candidates

[edit]
David Lashar, the Libertarian nominee
Nancy Wallace, the Green Party nominee

Candidates

[edit]

Declared

[edit]

Failed to qualify, write-in campaign

[edit]
  • Kyle Sefcik (independent), MMA fighter and small business owner[215][216]
    • Running mate: Katie Lee, personal trainer[17]

Debates and forums

[edit]

David Lashar attended the gubernatorial candidate forum hosted by the Legislative Black Caucus of Maryland on October 14, 2021.[51] At the end of the forum, Darryl Barnes challenged all of the attending candidates to post a Black agenda on their campaign websites by November 1; in response, Lashar posted a "Libertarian Black Agenda" plan on his campaign website.[52]

The Maryland State Bar Association hosted individual, hour-long conversations with all running candidates from December 6 to December 10, 2021. Lashar attended the forum on December 8, 2021.[55]

Lashar attended the Committee for Montgomery Legislative Breakfast gubernatorial forum on December 10, 2021.[56]

Lashar attended both of the gubernatorial forums on climate change on March 8 and 9, 2022.[57]

Fundraising

[edit]
Primary campaign finance activity through July 3, 2022
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
David Harding $1,200 $1,090 $110
David Lashar $17,530 $8,340 $9,190
Kyle Sefcik $5,120 $3,661 $1,459
Source: Maryland State Board of Elections[69]

General election

[edit]

Campaign

[edit]
President Biden campaigning for Moore and other Maryland Democrats

Moore's campaign framed Cox as someone who would be "dangerous" in the governor's office,[217] highlighting his role in spreading falsehoods about the 2020 presidential election and the January 6 United States Capitol attack.[218][219] After the primary, Cox removed references to his role in challenging the 2020 presidential election results from his campaign website and deactivated his account on Gab, a website that has been described as a social media haven for white supremacists and neo-Nazis and was used by the perpetrator of the Pittsburgh synagogue shooting.[220][221] He later described himself as a candidate with a "middle temperament approach" that was willing to work across the aisle.[222]

Cox's campaign sought to tie Moore to the national Democratic party and President Joe Biden. He also sought to paint Moore as a communist, citing Moore's requirement that people attending fundraisers and campaign rallies be vaccinated against COVID-19.[223][224] Moore countered that his service in the military and work on Wall Street and in finance would make calling him a communist a "bad stretch".[225]

Cox was critical of Moore's refusal to debate him.[226][227][228] In response to these criticisms, Moore said that he was "excited" to debate Cox.[229][230] However, Moore's team initially declined to participate in debates with Cox, saying that they would "not otherwise share the stage with him and participate in anything that amplifies his dangerous and decisive rhetoric".[231][232] On August 31, 2022, Moore agreed to a televised debate by Maryland Public Television with Cox on October 12.[233] Moore, when asked if he wished to share the stage with Cox again following the debate, said, "I think I'm good."[234]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[235] Solid D (flip) July 26, 2022
Inside Elections[236] Solid D (flip) July 22, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[237] Safe D (flip) August 18, 2022
Politico[238] Solid D (flip) October 19, 2022
RCP[239] Safe D (flip) July 20, 2022
Fox News[240] Solid D (flip) October 25, 2022
538[241] Solid D (flip) August 10, 2022
Elections Daily[242] Safe D (flip) November 7, 2022

Post-primary endorsements

[edit]
Dan Cox (R)
Executive branch officials
U.S. representatives
State officials
State legislators
Local officials
Individuals
Organizations
Wes Moore (D)
Executive branch officials
U.S. senators
U.S. representatives
State officials
State legislators
Local officials
Party officials
Individuals
Labor unions
Organizations
Newspapers
Declined to endorse
State officials
State legislators
Local officials

Debates and forums

[edit]
2022 Maryland gubernatorial debates
No. Date Host Moderator Link Republican Democratic Libertarian Green Working Class
 P  Participant  A  Absent  N  Non-invitee  I  Invitee  W  Withdrawn
Dan Cox Wes Moore David Lashar Nancy Wallace David Harding
1[312][313][314] August 20, 2022 Maryland Association
of Counties 		Mileah Kromer
Pamela Wood 		N/A P A N N N
2[315][226][316] September 14, 2022 Maryland Family Network Beth Morrow N/A P P N N N
3[231][227][317] September 27, 2022 The MSU Spokesman Antonia Hylton Facebook P A N N N
4[318] October 3, 2022 Maryland League
of Women Voters 		Tonaeya Moore YouTube A P P P P
5[319][320][321] October 12, 2022 Maryland Public Television Jason Newton YouTube P P N N N
6[322] October 13, 2022 Maryland League
of Women Voters 		Josh Kurtz
Len Lazarick 		YouTube P A P P P
7[323][324] October 16, 2022 Baltimoreans United in
Leadership Development 		Daryl Kearney Facebook A P N N N
8[325] October 19, 2022 Fox 5 DC Tom Fitzgerald YouTube P P N N N

Fundraising

[edit]
Primary campaign finance activity through November 15, 2022
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand Votes Cost per vote
Dan Cox $1,624,608 $1,404,031 ($67,372) 644,000 $2.18
Wes Moore $16,606,408 $13,928,533 $2,021,409 1,293,944 $10.76
David Lashar $30,825 $23,432 $7,418 30,101 $1.02
Nancy Wallace $22,214 $17,208 $5,006 14,580 $1.18
David Harding $1,200 $1,200 $0 17,154 $0.07
Source: Maryland State Board of Elections[69]

Polling

[edit]
Graphical summary
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[b] 		Margin
of error 		Dan
Cox (R) 		Wes
Moore (D) 		Other Undecided
OpinionWorks October 20–23, 2022 982 (LV) ± 3.1% 27% 58% 8%[v] 6%
University of Maryland September 22–27, 2022 810 (RV) ± 4.0% 28% 60% 3%[w] 9%
Goucher College September 8–12, 2022 748 (LV) ± 3.6% 31% 53% 7%[x] 10%

Results

[edit]
2022 Maryland gubernatorial election[326]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic
1,293,944 64.53% +21.02%
Republican
644,000 32.12% −24.23%
Libertarian
  • David Lashar
  • Christiana Logansmith
 30,101 1.50% +0.93%
Working Class
  • David Harding
  • Cathy White
 17,154 0.86% N/A
Green
  • Nancy Wallace
  • Patrick Elder
 14,580 0.73% +0.25%
Write-in 5,444 0.27% +0.19%
Total votes 2,005,223 100.0% N/A
Turnout 2,031,635 49.26% −9.80%
Registered electors 4,124,156
Democratic gain from Republican

By county

[edit]
By county
County Moore/Miller Cox/Schifanelli Others Margin Total Votes
# % # % # % # %
Allegany 6,796 31.32% 14,145 65.19% 756 3.48% -7,349 -33.87% 21,697
Anne Arundel 123,929 57.37% 83,823 38.80% 8,271 3.83% 40106 18.57% 216,023
Baltimore 172,494 63.40% 88,971 32.70% 10,589 3.89% 83,523 30.70% 272,054
Baltimore City 126,768 88.11% 12,309 8.56% 4,790 3.33% 114,459 79.55% 143,867
Calvert 16,757 44.59% 19,668 52.34% 1,152 3.07% -2,911 -7.75% 37,577
Caroline 3,447 32.13% 6,869 64.02% 413 3.85% -3,422 -31.89% 10,729
Carroll 28,117 39.11% 40,683 56.59% 3,087 4.29% -12,566 -17.48% 71,887
Cecil 11,992 36.27% 19,873 60.10% 1,202 3.64% -7,881 -23.83% 33,067
Charles 37,367 68.55% 15,830 29.04% 1,313 2.41% 21,537 39.51% 54,510
Dorchester 4,715 41.02% 6,377 55.49% 401 3.49% -1,662 -14.47% 11,493
Frederick 56,992 53.46% 46,040 43.19% 3,576 3.35% 10,952 10.27% 106,608
Garrett 2,507 22.18% 8,381 74.14% 417 3.69% -5,874 -51.96% 11,305
Harford 45,222 43.76% 53,962 52.21% 4,162 4.03% -8,740 -8.45% 103,346
Howard 91,031 69.87% 34,514 26.49% 4,746 3.64% 56,517 43.38% 130,291
Kent 4,394 51.92% 3,791 44.79% 278 3.28% 603 7.13% 8,463
Montgomery 269,072 78.36% 64,507 18.79% 9,792 2.85% 204,565 59.57% 343,369
Prince George's 214,971 89.23% 20,045 8.32% 5,892 2.45% 194,926 80.91% 240,908
Queen Anne's 8,913 38.92% 13,123 57.31% 863 3.77% -4,210 -18.39% 22,899
St. Mary's 15,057 39.94% 21,150 56.10% 1,496 3.97% -6,093 -16.16% 37,703
Somerset 2,491 36.48% 4,128 60.45% 210 3.08% -1,637 -23.97% 6,829
Talbot 9,116 51.66% 7,935 44.97% 595 3.37% 1,181 6.69% 17,646
Washington 18,727 38.33% 28,547 58.43% 1,579 3.23% -9,820 -20.10% 48,853
Wicomico 13,873 45.79% 15,362 50.71% 1,061 3.50% -1,489 -4.92% 30,296
Worcester 9,196 38.64% 13,967 58.68% 638 2.68% -4,771 -20.04% 23,801
Total 1,293,944 64.53% 644,000 32.12% 67,279 3.36% 649,944 32.41% 2,005,223
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

By congressional district

[edit]

Moore won 7 of 8 congressional districts.[327]

District Moore Cox Representative
1st 42.2% 54.1% Andy Harris
2nd 60.4% 35.6% Dutch Ruppersberger
3rd 61.9% 34.3% John Sarbanes
4th 88.8% 8.4% Anthony Brown (117th Congress)
Glenn Ivey (118th Congress)
5th 66.0% 31.2% Steny Hoyer
6th 52.4% 44.3% David Trone
7th 81.3% 15.2% Kweisi Mfume
8th 79.8% 17.4% Jamie Raskin

See also

[edit]

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^ a b The Baltimore County NAACP only sponsored the gubernatorial forum that took place on March 9, 2022
  2. ^ a b c d e Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  3. ^ Republican primary voter subsample of full sample of 650 voters
  4. ^ Baltimore-Washington Laborers District Council, West Virginia and Appalachian Laborers' District Council, and locals 11, 202R, 572, 616, and 710
  5. ^ International and locals 689 and 1300
  6. ^ Councils 3, 67, and 2250
  7. ^ Maryland/DC State Council and locals 2100, 2105, 2106, 2107, 2108, and 2336
  8. ^ Locals 24, 70, and 410
  9. ^ Locals 32BJ 500, and 1199
  10. ^ Locals 27, 400, and MCGEO 1994
  11. ^ Baron with 2%
  12. ^ Baron with 1%
  13. ^ "Some other candidate" (volunteered response) with 5%; Baron and Jain with 2%; Jaffe and Segal with <1%
  14. ^ Baron with 1%
  15. ^ "Someone else" with 3%; Jain with 2%; Baron, Segal, and Jaffe with 1%
  16. ^ Rosenbaum with 2%
  17. ^ Baron and Rosenbaum with 1%; Jain with 0%
  18. ^ Democratic primary voter subsample of full sample of 650 voters
  19. ^ Locals 32BJ 400 PG, 500, and 1199
  20. ^ Locals 27, 400, and MCGEO 1994
  21. ^ Locals 7, 23, and 25
  22. ^ Lashar (L) with 3%, Wallace (G) with 2%, Harding (WC) with 1%, and "Prefer not to say" with 2%
  23. ^ "Neither" with 2%, "Wouldn't vote" with 1%, and "Another candidate" with 0%
  24. ^ Lashar (L) with 4%, Wallace (G) with 2%, and "Some other candidate" (volunteered response) with 1%
Partisan clients
  1. ^ Poll was sponsored by Cox's campaign
  2. ^ Poll was sponsored by the Democratic Governors Association
  3. ^ a b This poll was sponsored by Our Voice Maryland
  4. ^ a b This poll was sponsored by John King's campaign
  5. ^ a b c d This poll was sponsored by Wes Moore's campaign
  6. ^ This poll was sponsored by For The People MD, a PAC supporting John King
  7. ^ a b This poll was sponsored by Rushern Baker's campaign
  8. ^ This poll was sponsored by Peter Franchot's campaign
  9. ^ This poll was sponsored by Douglas J. J. Peters

References

[edit]
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  260. ^ Wood, Pamela (August 9, 2022). "Black candidates have never won a statewide office in Maryland. Is 2022 the year for a breakthrough win?". Baltimore Banner. Retrieved August 9, 2022.
  261. ^ a b Ford, William (September 16, 2022). "Political Notes: Cummings portrait unveiled, Conway speaking at GOP dinner, Dems hosting BBQ, and more". Maryland Matters. Retrieved September 17, 2022.
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  263. ^ Janesch, Sam (July 22, 2022). "Peter Franchot concedes in Maryland Democratic governor primary, leaving Moore and Perez as counting continues". The Baltimore Sun. Retrieved July 22, 2022.
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  270. ^ Kelleher, Colleen; Umana, Jose (August 7, 2022). "Blair to request recount in tight race for Montgomery County executive". WTOP-FM. Retrieved August 7, 2022.
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  274. ^ "Political Organizing". atulocal689.org. Amalgamated Transit Union Local 689. Retrieved October 10, 2022.
  275. ^ "Elections 2022: Volunteer with AFSCME MD!". afscmemd.org. American Federation of State, County and Municipal Employees Council 3. June 10, 2022. Retrieved October 5, 2022.
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  278. ^ Cox, Erin; Wiggins, Ovetta (August 17, 2022). "Police union endorses Democrat Wes Moore in Maryland governor's race". The Washington Post. Retrieved August 17, 2022.
  279. ^ Gaines, Danielle; Kurtz, Josh (August 26, 2022). "Political Notes: Raskin's going for Oversight gavel, candidates for governor and comptroller gain endorsements, and more". Retrieved August 26, 2022.
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  281. ^ "Endorsements - Teamsters Vote, Workers Win!". teamstersvote.com. International Brotherhood of Teamsters. Retrieved October 27, 2022.
  282. ^ "Maryland UFCW Locals 27, 400, 1994 MCGEO Jointly Endorse Wes Moore for Governor of Maryland". ufcw400.org. Maryland: UFCW Local 400. September 12, 2022. Retrieved September 13, 2022.
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  285. ^ "AAPI Victory Fund Endorses Maryland Gubernatorial Candidate Wes Moore and Maryland Lieutenant Governor Candidate Aruna Miller". aapivictoryfund.com. AAPI Victory Fund. September 30, 2022. Archived from the original on September 30, 2022. Retrieved September 30, 2022.
  286. ^ "Black Economic Alliance PAC Endorses U.S. Senate, Gubernatorial, and Down-ballot Candidates in Michigan, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, and Maryland". pac.blackeconomicalliance.org. Black Economic Alliance. August 12, 2022. Retrieved August 19, 2022.
  287. ^ "Who To Vote For". casainaction.org. CASA in Action. November 23, 2020. Retrieved September 17, 2022.
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  289. ^ "Updates to 2022 Clean Water Action Endorsements". cleanwater.org. Clean Water Action. September 27, 2022. Retrieved October 10, 2022.
  290. ^ Democratic Governors Association [@DemsGov] (July 22, 2022). "Congratulations @iamwesmoore on becoming the Democratic nominee for #MDGov! As a veteran, small business owner, and former CEO of one of the nation's largest anti-poverty orgs, Moore knows how to overcome hardships and deliver results. We couldn't be prouder to support him" (Tweet). Retrieved July 22, 2022 – via Twitter.
  291. ^ "EMILY's List Endorses Aruna Miller for Maryland Lieutenant Governor". emilyslist.org. EMILY's List. October 4, 2022. Retrieved October 6, 2022.
  292. ^ a b "ECU // LAV Endorses Wes Moore for Maryland Governor". endcitizensunited.org. End Citizens United. October 13, 2022. Retrieved October 13, 2022.
  293. ^ "Everytown for Gun Safety Action Fund Announces New Gubernatorial and Statewide Endorsements". everytown.org. Everytown for Gun Safety. July 26, 2022. Retrieved July 26, 2022.
  294. ^ "Giffords PAC Endorses Wes Moore for Governor of Maryland". giffords.org. Giffords. October 20, 2022. Retrieved October 20, 2022.
  295. ^ "Human Rights Campaign Endorses Wes Moore for Maryland Governor". hrc.org. Human Rights Campaign. October 5, 2022. Retrieved October 5, 2022.
  296. ^ "New Jewish Dems Ads Warn Against GOP Extremism". jewishdems.org. Jewish Democratic Council of America. September 7, 2022. Retrieved September 7, 2022.
  297. ^ National Wildlife Federation Action Fund [@wildlifeaction] (October 19, 2022). ".@iamwesmoore has a plan to cut emissions in #Maryland and preserve #ChesapeakeBay. "Wes Moore is the leader Maryland needs, and we are proud to endorse him to be the next governor of the Old Line State," said Karla Raettig, executive director of the NWF Action Fund" (Tweet). Retrieved October 20, 2022 – via Twitter.
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  300. ^ "AFRO Ballot". Baltimore Afro-American. October 23, 2022. Retrieved October 27, 2022.
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  307. ^ Hogan, Jack (September 9, 2022). "Hough looks to restrict development, slow growth if elected county executive". Frederick News-Post. Retrieved September 10, 2022.
  308. ^ Janesch, Sam (September 6, 2022). "Maryland Senate GOP leader declines to endorse gubernatorial nominee Dan Cox during election push". The Baltimore Sun. Retrieved September 6, 2022.
  309. ^ Cox, Erin; Wiggins, Ovetta (July 23, 2022). "Wes Moore vs. Dan Cox: A fight for Md. governor that will echo downballot". The Washington Post. Retrieved July 23, 2022.
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  321. ^ "Md. Matters to co-sponsor forums for statewide candidates". Maryland Matters. September 20, 2022. Retrieved September 20, 2022.
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  324. ^ "Maryland gubernatorial candidates face off in FOX 5 forum". Fox 5 DC. Bethesda, Maryland. October 19, 2022. Retrieved October 19, 2022.
  325. ^ "Official 2022 Gubernatorial General Election Results for Governor / Lt. Governor". Maryland State Board of Elections.
  326. ^ "Maryland State Board of Elections".
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Official campaign websites


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