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2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Missouri

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2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Missouri
← 2018 November 3, 2020 2022 →
All 8 Missouri seats to the United States House of Representatives
  Majority party Minority party
 
Party Republican Democratic
Last election 6 2
Seats won 6 2
Seat change Steady Steady
Popular vote 1,723,982 1,172,135
Percentage 57.98% 39.42%
Swing Increase 2.95% Decrease 3.09%
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The 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Missouri was held on November 3, 2020, to elect the eight U.S. representatives from the state of Missouri, one from each of the state's eight congressional districts. The elections coincided with the 2020 United States presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections.

The primaries were held on August 4.[1]

Overview

[edit]
District Republican Democratic Others Total Result
Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes %
District 1 59,940 18.96% 249,087 78.78% 7,144 2.26% 316,171 100.0% Democratic hold
District 2 233,157 51.89% 204,540 45.52% 11,651 2.59% 449,348 100.0% Republican hold
District 3 282,866 69.44% 116,095 28.50% 8,387 2.06% 407,348 100.0% Republican hold
District 4 245,247 67.59% 107,635 29.66% 9,954 2.74% 362,836 100.0% Republican hold
District 5 135,934 38.57% 207,180 58.79% 9,316 2.64% 352,430 100.0% Democratic hold
District 6 258,709 67.06% 118,926 30.83% 8,144 2.11% 385,779 100.0% Republican hold
District 7 254,318 68.87% 98,111 26.57% 16,854 4.56% 369,283 100.0% Republican hold
District 8 253,811 76.86% 70,561 21.37% 5,854 1.77% 330,226 100.0% Republican hold
Total 1,723,982 57.98% 1,172,135 39.42% 77,304 2.60% 2,973,421 100.0%
Popular Vote
Republican
 
 57.98%
Democratic
 
 39.42%
Other
 
 2.60%
House Seats
Republican
 
 75.00%
Democratic
 
 25.00%

District 1

[edit]
2020 Missouri's 1st congressional district election
← 2018
2022 →
 
Nominee Cori Bush Anthony Rogers
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 249,087 59,940
Percentage 78.8% 19.0%
U.S. Representative before election

Lacy Clay
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Cori Bush
Democratic

See also: Missouri's 1st congressional district

The 1st district is of the city of St. Louis and much of northern St. Louis County, including Florissant and University City. The incumbent is Democrat Lacy Clay, who was re-elected with 80.1% of the vote in 2018.[2]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Declared
[edit]
  • Katherine Bruckner, candidate for MO-91 in 2008[3]
  • Cori Bush, civil rights activist, candidate for Missouri's 1st congressional district in 2018, and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2016[4]
  • Lacy Clay, incumbent U.S. Representative

Endorsements

[edit]
Lacy Clay

Federal officials

Labor unions

Organizations

Newspapers and Media

Cori Bush

U.S. senators

State officials

Organizations

Individuals

Polling

[edit]
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Katherine
Bruckner 		Cori
Bush 		Lacy
Clay 		Undecided
Data for Progress[21][A] August 1–3, 2020 250 (LV) – 7% 42% 42% 9%

Primary results

[edit]
Democratic primary results[22]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Cori Bush 73,274 48.5
Democratic Lacy Clay (incumbent) 68,887 45.6
Democratic Katherine Bruckner 8,850 5.9
Total votes 151,011 100.0

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Declared
[edit]
  • Winnie Heartstrong, activist[23]
  • Anthony Rogers, radio show host[3]

Primary results

[edit]
Republican primary results[22]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Anthony Rogers 6,979 61.5
Republican Winnie Heartstrong 4,367 38.5
Total votes 11,346 100.0

Libertarian primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Declared
[edit]

Primary results

[edit]
Libertarian primary results[22]
Party Candidate Votes %
Libertarian Alex Furman 337 100.0
Total votes 337 100.0

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[26] Safe D July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[27] Safe D June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[28] Safe D July 2, 2020
Politico[29] Safe D April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[30] Safe D June 3, 2020
RCP[31] Safe D June 9, 2020
Niskanen[32] Safe D June 7, 2020

Polling

[edit]
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Cori
Bush (D) 		Anthony
Rodgers (R) 		Other Undecided
YouGov[33] September 24 – October 7, 2020 152 (LV) – 61% 26% 7% 7%

Results

[edit]
Missouri's 1st congressional district, 2020[34]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Cori Bush 249,087 78.8
Republican Anthony Rogers 59,940 19.0
Libertarian Alex Furman 6,766 2.1
Independent Martin Baker (write-in) 378 0.1
Total votes 316,171 100.0
Democratic hold

District 2

[edit]
2020 Missouri's 2nd congressional district election
← 2018
2022 →
 
Nominee Ann Wagner Jill Schupp
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 233,157 204,540
Percentage 51.9% 45.5%
U.S. Representative before election

Ann Wagner
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Ann Wagner
Republican

See also: Missouri's 2nd congressional district

The 2nd district is based in eastern Missouri, and includes the southern and western suburbs of St. Louis, including Arnold, Town and Country, Wildwood, Chesterfield, and Oakville. The incumbent is Republican Ann Wagner, who was re-elected with 51.2% of the vote in 2018.[2]

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Declared
[edit]

Primary results

[edit]
Republican primary results[22]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Ann Wagner (incumbent) 63,686 100.0
Total votes 63,686 100.0

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Declared
[edit]
Declined
[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Jill Schupp

U.S. presidents

U.S. vice presidents

Newspapers

Organizations

Primary results

[edit]
Democratic primary results[22]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Jill Schupp 103,164 100.0
Total votes 103,164 100.0

Libertarian primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Declared
[edit]

Primary results

[edit]
Libertarian primary results[22]
Party Candidate Votes %
Libertarian Martin Schulte 737 100.0
Total votes 737 100.0

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[26] Tossup August 6, 2020
Inside Elections[48] Tilt D (flip) October 28, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[28] Lean R November 2, 2020
Politico[49] Tossup October 11, 2020
Daily Kos[50] Tossup August 31, 2020
RCP[51] Tossup June 9, 2020
Niskanen[32] Lean D (flip) June 7, 2020
538[52] Lean R October 30, 2020

Polling

[edit]
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Ann
Wagner (R) 		Jill
Schupp (D) 		Other Undecided
Change Research[53] October 29 – November 2, 2020 597 (LV) ± 4.3% 46% 46% 5%[b] 2%
YouGov[33] September 24 – October 7, 2020 115 (LV) – 42% 51% 3% 4%
Normington, Petts & Associates (D)[54] September 10–14, 2020 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 49% 49% <1% 2%
Public Policy Polling (D)[55][B] August 13–14, 2020 925 (V) – 42% 45% – 14%
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout[56] February 19–20, 2020 1,360 (LV) ± 2.6% 50% 40% – 10%
Hypothetical polling

with Generic Republican and Generic Democrat

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Generic
Republican 		Generic
Democrat 		Undecided
Normington, Petts & Associates (D)[57] September 10–14, 2020 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 47% 48% 5%

Results

[edit]
Missouri's 2nd congressional district, 2020[34]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Ann Wagner (incumbent) 233,157 51.9
Democratic Jill Schupp 204,540 45.5
Libertarian Martin Schulte 11,647 2.6
Write-in 4 0.0
Total votes 449,348 100.0
Republican hold

District 3

[edit]
2020 Missouri's 3rd congressional district election
← 2018
2022 →
 
Nominee Blaine Luetkemeyer Megan Rezabek
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 282,866 116,095
Percentage 69.4% 28.5%
U.S. Representative before election

Blaine Luetkemeyer
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Blaine Luetkemeyer
Republican

See also: Missouri's 3rd congressional district

The third district encompasses east-central Missouri, taking in Jefferson City, Troy, O'Fallon, and Washington. The incumbent is Republican Blaine Luetkemeyer, who was re-elected with 65.1% of the vote in 2018.[2]

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Declared
[edit]
  • Adela Wisdom, anti-prohibition activist[58]
  • Blaine Luetkemeyer, incumbent U.S. Representative
  • Jeffrey Nowak, former marine[58]
  • Lynette Trares, Missouri State Department of Health and Senior Services employee[58]
  • Brandon Wilkinson, truck driver[58][59]

Primary results

[edit]
Republican primary results[22]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Blaine Luetkemeyer (incumbent) 80,627 74.8
Republican Brandon Wilkinson 15,901 14.8
Republican Lynette Trares 4,197 3.9
Republican Jeffrey Nowak 3,517 3.3
Republican Adela Wisdom 3,485 3.2
Total votes 107,727 100.0

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Declared
[edit]

Primary results

[edit]
Democratic primary results[22]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Megan Rezabek 27,826 66.8
Democratic Dennis Oglesby 13,801 33.2
Total votes 41,627 100.0

Libertarian primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Declared
[edit]

Primary results

[edit]
Libertarian primary results[22]
Party Candidate Votes %
Libertarian Leonard J. Steinman II 627 100.0
Total votes 627 100.0

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[26] Safe R July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[27] Safe R June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[28] Safe R July 2, 2020
Politico[29] Safe R April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[30] Safe R June 3, 2020
RCP[31] Safe R June 9, 2020
Niskanen[32] Safe R June 7, 2020

Polling

[edit]
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Blaine
Luetkemeyer (R) 		Megan
Rezabek (D) 		Other Undecided
YouGov[33] September 24 – October 7, 2020 106 (LV) – 64% 29% 1% 6%

Results

[edit]
Missouri's 3rd congressional district, 2020[34]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Blaine Luetkemeyer (incumbent) 282,866 69.4
Democratic Megan Rezabek 116,095 28.5
Libertarian Leonard J. Steinman II 8,344 2.1
Write-in 43 0.0
Total votes 407,348 100.0
Republican hold

District 4

[edit]
2020 Missouri's 4th congressional district election
← 2018
2022 →
 
Nominee Vicky Hartzler Lindsey Simmons
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 245,247 107,635
Percentage 67.6% 29.7%
U.S. Representative before election

Vicky Hartzler
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Vicky Hartzler
Republican

See also: Missouri's 4th congressional district

The 4th district is based in predominantly rural west-central Missouri, taking in Columbia, Sedalia, Warrensburg, and Lebanon. The incumbent is Republican Vicky Hartzler, who was re-elected with 64.8% of the vote in 2018.[2]

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Declared
[edit]

Primary results

[edit]
Republican primary results[22]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Vicky Hartzler (incumbent) 80,652 76.6
Republican Neal Gist 24,646 23.4
Total votes 105,298 100.0

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Declared
[edit]
  • Lindsey Simmons, attorney[64]

Primary results

[edit]
Democratic primary results[22]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Lindsey Simmons 38,339 100.0
Total votes 38,339 100.0

Libertarian primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Declared
[edit]
  • Steven K. Koonse, retiree and Libertarian candidate for Missouri's 4th congressional district in 2018[65]
  • Robert Smith, small business owner[65]

Primary results

[edit]
Libertarian primary results[22]
Party Candidate Votes %
Libertarian Steven K. Koonse 357 53.0
Libertarian Robert E. Smith 316 47.0
Total votes 673 100.0

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[26] Safe R July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[27] Safe R June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[28] Safe R July 2, 2020
Politico[29] Safe R April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[30] Safe R June 3, 2020
RCP[31] Safe R June 9, 2020
Niskanen[32] Safe R June 7, 2020

Polling

[edit]

Polls with a sample size of <100 have their sample size entries marked in red to indicate a lack of reliability.

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Vicky
Hartzler (R) 		Lindsey
Simmons (D) 		Other Undecided
YouGov[33] September 24 – October 7, 2020 92 (LV) – 53% 37% 6% 5%

Results

[edit]
Missouri's 4th congressional district, 2020[34]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Vicky Hartzler (incumbent) 245,247 67.6
Democratic Lindsey Simmons 107,635 29.7
Libertarian Steven K. Koonse 9,954 2.7
Total votes 362,836 100.0
Republican hold

District 5

[edit]
2020 Missouri's 5th congressional district election
← 2018
2022 →
 
Nominee Emanuel Cleaver Ryan Derks
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 207,180 135,934
Percentage 58.8% 38.6%
U.S. Representative before election

Emanuel Cleaver
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Emanuel Cleaver
Democratic

See also: Missouri's 5th congressional district

The 5th district primarily consists of the inner ring of the Kansas City metropolitan area, including nearly all of Kansas City south of the Missouri River. The incumbent is Democrat Emanuel Cleaver, who was re-elected with 61.7% of the vote in 2018.[2]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Declared
[edit]

Primary results

[edit]
Democratic primary results[22]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Emanuel Cleaver (incumbent) 75,040 85.3
Democratic Maite Salazar 12,923 14.7
Total votes 87,963 100.0

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Declared
[edit]

Primary results

[edit]
Republican primary results[22]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Ryan Derks 13,832 34.0
Republican Jerry W. Barham 12,880 31.7
Republican Clay Chastain 7,519 18.5
Republican Weldon "Wilbur" Woodward 2,381 5.8
Republican R.H. Hess 2,207 5.4
Republican Richonda Oaks 1,872 4.6
Total votes 40,691 100.0

Libertarian primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Declared
[edit]

Primary results

[edit]
Libertarian primary results[22]
Party Candidate Votes %
Libertarian Robin Dominick 542 100.0
Total votes 542 100.0

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[26] Safe D July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[27] Safe D June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[28] Safe D July 2, 2020
Politico[29] Safe D April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[30] Safe D June 3, 2020
RCP[31] Safe D June 9, 2020
Niskanen[32] Safe D June 7, 2020

Polling

[edit]
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Emmanuel
Cleaver (D) 		Ryan
Derks (R) 		Other Undecided
YouGov[33] September 24 – October 7, 2020 135 (LV) – 59% 26% 1% 7%

Results

[edit]
Missouri's 5th congressional district, 2020[34]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Emanuel Cleaver (incumbent) 207,180 58.8
Republican Ryan Derks 135,934 38.6
Libertarian Robin Dominick 9,272 2.6
Write-in 44 0.0
Total votes 352,430 100.0
Democratic hold

District 6

[edit]
2020 Missouri's 6th congressional district election
← 2018
2022 →
 
Nominee Sam Graves Gena Ross
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 258,709 118,926
Percentage 67.1% 30.8%
U.S. Representative before election

Sam Graves
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Sam Graves
Republican

See also: Missouri's 6th congressional district

The 6th district encompasses rural northern Missouri, St. Joseph and much of Kansas City north of the Missouri River. The incumbent is Republican Sam Graves, who was re-elected with 65.4% of the vote in 2018.[2]

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Declared
[edit]
  • Sam Graves, incumbent U.S. Representative
  • Chris Ryan, perennial candidate[75]

Primary results

[edit]
Republican primary results[22]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Sam Graves (incumbent) 81,584 79.7
Republican Chris Ryan 20,826 20.3
Total votes 102,410 100.0

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Declared
[edit]
  • Henry Martin, U.S. Army veteran[75]
  • Gena L. Ross, college professor[75]
  • Donald Robert Sartain[75]
  • Charles West, Clark County school board member[75]
  • Ramona Farris, consultant[75]

Primary results

[edit]
Democratic primary results[22]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Gena L. Ross 14,503 32.8
Democratic Ramona Farris 11,882 26.9
Democratic Henry Martin 9,393 21.3
Democratic Charles West 6,951 15.7
Democratic Donald Robert Sartain 1,447 3.3
Total votes 44,176 100.0

Libertarian primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Declared
[edit]

Primary results

[edit]
Libertarian primary results[22]
Party Candidate Votes %
Libertarian Jim Higgins 431 100.0
Total votes 431 100.0

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[26] Safe R July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[27] Safe R June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[28] Safe R July 2, 2020
Politico[29] Safe R April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[30] Safe R June 3, 2020
RCP[31] Safe R June 9, 2020
Niskanen[32] Safe R June 7, 2020

Polling

[edit]

Polls with a sample size of <100 have their sample size entries marked in red to indicate a lack of reliability.

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Sam
Graves (R) 		Gena
Ross (D) 		Other Undecided
YouGov[33] September 24 – October 7, 2020 98 (LV) – 58% 36% 1% 6%

Results

[edit]
Missouri's 6th congressional district, 2020[34]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Sam Graves (incumbent) 258,709 67.1
Democratic Gena Ross 118,926 30.8
Libertarian Jim Higgins 8,144 2.1
Total votes 385,779 100.0
Republican hold

District 7

[edit]
2020 Missouri's 7th congressional district election
← 2018
2022 →
 
Nominee Billy Long Teresa Montseny
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 254,318 98,111
Percentage 68.9% 26.6%
U.S. Representative before election

Billy Long
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Billy Long
Republican

See also: Missouri's 7th congressional district

The 7th district is located in southwestern Missouri, taking in Springfield, Joplin, Branson, and Nixa. The incumbent is Republican Billy Long, who was re-elected with 66.2% of the vote in 2018.[2]

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Declared
[edit]
  • Steve Chetnik, manufacturing worker[77][78]
  • Eric Harleman, businessman[77]
  • Camille Lombardi-Olive, perennial candidate[77]
  • Billy Long, incumbent U.S. representative[77]
  • Kevin VanStory, real estate broker[77]

Primary results

[edit]
Republican primary results[22]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Billy Long (incumbent) 69,407 66.1
Republican Eric Harleman 11,696 11.1
Republican Kevin VanStory 10,486 10.0
Republican Steve Chetnik 7,407 7.1
Republican Camille Lombardi-Olive 5,969 5.7
Total votes 104,965 100.0

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Declared
[edit]
  • Teresa Montseny, historian (Dropped out)[77][79]

Primary results

[edit]
Democratic primary results[22]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Teresa Montseny 30,568 100.0
Total votes 30,568 100.0

Libertarian primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Declared
[edit]

Primary results

[edit]
Libertarian primary results[22]
Party Candidate Votes %
Libertarian Kevin Craig 508 100.0
Total votes 508 100.0

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[26] Safe R July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[27] Safe R June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[28] Safe R July 2, 2020
Politico[29] Safe R April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[30] Safe R June 3, 2020
RCP[31] Safe R June 9, 2020
Niskanen[32] Safe R June 7, 2020

Polling

[edit]
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Billy
Long (R) 		Teresa
Montseny (D) 		Other Undecided
YouGov[33] September 24 – October 7, 2020 142 (LV) – 57% 32% 2% 10%

Results

[edit]
Missouri's 7th congressional district, 2020[34]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Billy Long (incumbent) 254,318 68.9
Democratic Teresa Montseny 98,111 26.6
Libertarian Kevin Craig 15,573 4.2
Independent Audrey Richards (write-in) 1,279 0.3
Write-in 2 0.0
Total votes 369,283 100.0
Republican hold

District 8

[edit]
2020 Missouri's 8th congressional district election
← 2018
2022 →
 
Nominee Jason Smith Kathy Ellis
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 253,811 70,561
Percentage 76.9% 21.4%
U.S. Representative before election

Jason Smith
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Jason Smith
Republican

See also: Missouri's 8th congressional district

The 8th district is the most rural district of Missouri, taking in rural southeastern Missouri, including the Missouri Bootheel, as well as the cities of Cape Girardeau and Poplar Bluff. The incumbent is Republican Jason Smith, who was re-elected with 73.4% of the vote in 2018.[2]

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Declared
[edit]

Primary results

[edit]
Republican primary results[22]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Jason Smith (incumbent) 114,074 100.0
Total votes 114,074 100.0

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Declared
[edit]

Primary results

[edit]
Democratic primary results[22]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Kathryn Ellis 20,354 100.0
Total votes 20,354 100.0

Libertarian primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Declared
[edit]

Primary results

[edit]
Libertarian primary results[22]
Party Candidate Votes %
Libertarian Tom Schmitz 265 100.0
Total votes 265 100.0

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[26] Safe R July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[27] Safe R June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[28] Safe R July 2, 2020
Politico[29] Safe R April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[30] Safe R June 3, 2020
RCP[31] Safe R June 9, 2020
Niskanen[32] Safe R June 7, 2020

Polling

[edit]

Polls with a sample size of <100 have their sample size entries marked in red to indicate a lack of reliability.

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Jason
Smith (R) 		Kathy
Ellis (D) 		Other Undecided
YouGov[33] September 24 – October 7, 2020 96 (LV) – 72% 22% 5% 2%

Results

[edit]
Missouri's 8th congressional district, 2020[34]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Jason Smith (incumbent) 253,811 76.9
Democratic Kathy Ellis 70,561 21.4
Libertarian Tom Schmitz 5,854 1.8
Total votes 330,226 100.0
Republican hold

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^ a b c d e f g h i j Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ^ "Don't recall" and Schulte (L) with 2%; Did not vote with 1%; Would not vote with 0%

Partisan clients

  1. ^ Poll released after the primary in August
  2. ^ Poll conducted for the House Majority Pac.

References

[edit]
  1. ^ "United States House of Representatives elections in Missouri, 2020". Ballotpedia.
  2. ^ a b c d e f g h Wasserman, David; Flinn, Ally (November 7, 2018). "2018 House Popular Vote Tracker". Cook Political Report. Archived from the original on April 3, 2019. Retrieved February 15, 2019.
  3. ^ a b Rosenbaum, Jason (July 28, 2020). "Insurgency Vs. Staying Power: Bush-Clay Rematch Latest Bout In National Democratic Conflict". St. Louis Public Radio. Retrieved July 31, 2020.
  4. ^ Holleman, Joe (February 1, 2019). "Congressional hopeful Cori Bush featured in Sundance documentary". St. Louis Post-Dispatch. Retrieved March 22, 2019.
  5. ^ Schlinkmann, Matt (March 18, 2019). "Pelosi promotes House election law package, Clay's re-election bid in St. Louis area visit". St Louis Post-Dispatch.
  6. ^ "Kamala Harris Endorsements". May 9, 2020.
  7. ^ "Retiree Group Endorses Representative Lacy Clay". Alliance for Retired Americans. July 28, 2020.
  8. ^ "Congressional Progressive Caucus Announces Second Round Of Endorsements For The 2020 Election Cycle". We Are Progressives. September 23, 2019.
  9. ^ "2020 Endorsements". Planned Parenthood Action Fund. 2020. Archived from the original on November 15, 2019. Retrieved November 8, 2019.
  10. ^ a b c "Sierra Club #ClimateVoter Guide: Endorsements". Sierra Club.
  11. ^ "The St. Louis American endorses …". St Louis American. July 23, 2020.
  12. ^ The Editorial Board (July 23, 2020). "Editorial: We recommend Rep. Lacy Clay in the U.S. House District 1 Democratic primary". St Louis Post-Dispatch.
  13. ^ Axelrod, Tal (January 29, 2020). "Sanders endorses 9 progressive House candidates". The Hill. Retrieved January 30, 2020.
  14. ^ Feller, Madison (October 29, 2020). "The Comeback Candidates". Elle. Retrieved February 28, 2021.
  15. ^ "Cori Bush". Brand New Congress. October 21, 2019. Archived from the original on November 14, 2020. Retrieved October 23, 2019.
  16. ^ "Past endorsements". Democratic Socialists of America.
  17. ^ "Justice Democrats | It's #OurTime". Justice D.
  18. ^ "Endorsed candidates". NWPC. Retrieved July 26, 2020.
  19. ^ a b "Endorsements". Cori Bush for Congress. Archived from the original on November 14, 2020. Retrieved August 5, 2020.
  20. ^ Krieg, Gregory (July 23, 2020). "Jamaal Bowman endorses Missouri progressive Cori Bush in primary challenge to Lacy Clay". CNN.
  21. ^ Data for Progress
  22. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x "State of Missouri - State of Missouri - Primary Election, August 04, 2020". Missouri Secretary of State.
  23. ^ Sommer, Will (June 24, 2020). "GOP House Candidate Insists George Floyd Killing Was Staged". Daily Beast. Retrieved July 31, 2020.
  24. ^ Reigner, Chris (August 5, 2020). "Stunning wins and losses in Missouri's August primary election". FOX 2. Retrieved August 8, 2020.
  25. ^ Wicentowski, Danny (September 15, 2020). "He Was a Drug Smuggler. Now He's a Proud Boy Running Against Cori Bush". Riverfront Times. Archived from the original on September 17, 2020. Retrieved September 19, 2020.
  26. ^ a b c d e f g h "2020 Senate Race Ratings for April 19, 2019". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved September 20, 2019.
  27. ^ a b c d e f g "2020 Senate Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 3, 2019.
  28. ^ a b c d e f g h "2020 Senate race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Archived from the original on August 22, 2019. Retrieved August 28, 2019.
  29. ^ a b c d e f g "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.
  30. ^ a b c d e f g "Daily Kos Elections releases initial Senate race ratings for 2020". Daily Kos Elections. Retrieved February 28, 2020.
  31. ^ a b c d e f g "Battle for White House". RCP. April 19, 2019.
  32. ^ a b c d e f g h "2020 Negative Partisanship and the 2020 Congressional Elections". Niskanen Center. April 28, 2020. Archived from the original on June 21, 2020. Retrieved May 1, 2020.
  33. ^ a b c d e f g h YouGov
  34. ^ a b c d e f g h "All Results State of Missouri - State of Missouri - General Election, November 03, 2020". Missouri Secretary of State. Retrieved December 9, 2020.
  35. ^ Clancy, Sam (December 3, 2019). "State Sen. Jill Schupp to challenge U.S. Rep. Ann Wagner for congressional seat representing west, south St. Louis County". KSDK - 5NBC. Retrieved December 4, 2019.
  36. ^ Yokley, Eli (June 25, 2019). "Missouri Democrats Said to Expect Gun Control Activist to Challenge Ann Wagner". Morning Consult. Retrieved June 25, 2019.
  37. ^ Clearfield, Alex [@AlexClearfield] (January 3, 2019). "A minor update on #MO02: Cort VanOstran @cortvo told me yesterday he is undecided on challenging Ann Wagner again and doesn't have a timeline to decide. He came within 4 points of beating her in a suburban St. Louis district" (Tweet). Retrieved February 15, 2019 – via Twitter.
  38. ^ "Second Wave of 2020 Endorsements". Medium. September 25, 2020.
  39. ^ Olmos, Dori (September 15, 2020). "Presidential candidate Joe Biden endorses Jill Schupp in Missouri's second congressional district race". KSDK. Retrieved February 28, 2021.
  40. ^ "The St. Louis American endorses Jill Schupp for Congress". St. Louis American. October 8, 2020.
  41. ^ The Editorial Board (September 27, 2020). "Editorial: We recommend Jill Schupp for Missouri's 2nd Congressional District". STLtoday.com.
  42. ^ a b c "Jill Schupp". Jill Schupp. Archived from the original on August 16, 2020. Retrieved August 5, 2020.
  43. ^ Riley, John (June 9, 2020). "Human Rights Campaign makes congressional endorsements ahead of November's election". www.metroweekly.com. Metro Weekly. Retrieved May 30, 2022.
  44. ^ "Lcv Action Fund endorses Jill Schupp for Congress". lcv.org.
  45. ^ "Planned Parenthood Action Fund Endorsements for 2020". plannedparenthoodaction.org. Archived from the original on April 12, 2020. Retrieved May 22, 2020.
  46. ^ "Candidate for Missouri's 2nd Congressional District Earns Endorsement from Nation's Leading Pro-Choice Advocacy Group". prochoiceamerica.org. February 28, 2020.
  47. ^ Suntrup, Jack (July 16, 2020). "Schupp raises more money than Wagner in St. Louis-area congressional race". St. Louis Post-Dispatch. Retrieved August 8, 2020.
  48. ^ "House Ratings". > House Ratings. Inside Elections with Nathan Gonzalez. Retrieved October 3, 2019.
  49. ^ "We think the race for U.S. House in Missouri's District 2 is a toss-up". Politico. Retrieved October 25, 2020.
  50. ^ "As the GOP's downballot woes continue, all our race ratings changes once again favor Democrats". Daily Kos Elections. Retrieved August 31, 2020.
  51. ^ "Missouri 2nd District - Wagner vs. Schupp". RCP. Retrieved October 25, 2020.
  52. ^ "Forecasting the Race for the House". 538. August 12, 2020. Retrieved October 30, 2020.
  53. ^ Change Research
  54. ^ Normington, Petts & Associates (D) Archived October 13, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
  55. ^ Public Policy Polling (D) Archived August 19, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
  56. ^ Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout
  57. ^ Normington, Petts & Associates (D) Archived October 13, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
  58. ^ a b c d Stracener, Layne (July 14, 2020). "4 take on incumbent for US Congress GOP bid". News Tribune. Retrieved July 31, 2020.
  59. ^ "Brandon Wilkinson". Ballotpedia. Retrieved August 6, 2020.
  60. ^ Stracener, Layne (July 14, 2020). "2 Democrats vying for shot at Congressional seat". News Tribune. Retrieved July 31, 2020.
  61. ^ "U.S. REPRESENTATIVE DISTRICT 3: Five Republicans, two Democrats in race". My Leader Paper. July 16, 2020. Retrieved July 31, 2020.
  62. ^ Keller, Rudi (March 7, 2020). "Jefferson City couple takes on Biden, Sanders in primary". Columbia Daily Tribune. Archived from the original on September 13, 2020. Retrieved August 8, 2020.
  63. ^ Crowley, Brendan (July 30, 2019). "Hartzler challenger backs expanding Medicare, reforming farm subsidies". Boonville Daily News. Archived from the original on August 21, 2019. Retrieved August 21, 2019.
  64. ^ Hornbostel, Austin (July 22, 2020). "Incumbent District 4 US rep, GOP challenger stress individual liberties amid pandemic". California Democrat. Retrieved July 31, 2020.
  65. ^ a b Gao, Larissa (July 27, 2020). "Five candidates compete for 4th District congressional seat". Columbia Missourian. Retrieved August 8, 2020.
  66. ^ Woods, A. (January 12, 2020). "Kansas City Congressional Candidate Thinks Bill Cosby And Al Jarreau Are The Same Person". News One. Retrieved July 31, 2020.
  67. ^ a b c d e "August 4 Candidate Guide". Northeast News. July 29, 2020. Retrieved July 31, 2020.
  68. ^ "Meet Jerry". Barham for Congress. Archived from the original on August 17, 2020. Retrieved August 5, 2020.
  69. ^ "Clay Chastain". Ballotpedia. Retrieved August 5, 2020.
  70. ^ "Ryan Derks to challenge longtime incumbent for Kansas City-based congressional district". The Missouri Times. February 13, 2020. Retrieved August 6, 2020.
  71. ^ "R.H. Hess". Ballotpedia. Retrieved August 6, 2020.
  72. ^ "Candidate Profile: Richonda Oaks". iVoter Guide. Retrieved August 6, 2020.
  73. ^ "Weldon Woodward". Ballotpedia. Retrieved August 6, 2020.
  74. ^ "Saline County Election Results | Missouri voters pass Amendment 2". The Marshall Democrat-News. August 5, 2020. Archived from the original on September 13, 2020. Retrieved August 8, 2020.
  75. ^ a b c d e f Newton, Ken (July 18, 2020). "Candidates line up to try to unseat congressman". News-Press Now. Retrieved July 31, 2020.
  76. ^ Newton, Ken (August 6, 2020). "Democratic House nominee plans 'People First' message". News-Press Now. Retrieved August 8, 2020.
  77. ^ a b c d e f Talley, David (July 29, 2020). "Primary election next week". Bolivar Herald-Free Press. Retrieved July 31, 2020.
  78. ^ "About". Steve Chetnik 2020. Archived from the original on August 17, 2020. Retrieved August 6, 2020.
  79. ^ Staff Reports (September 29, 2020). "Democrat drops out of Dist. 7 U.S. Congressional race". Branson Tri-Lakes News. Retrieved October 2, 2020.
  80. ^ Woodin, Debby (August 2, 2020). "Four challenge 7th District GOP incumbent U.S. lawmaker". The Joplin Globe. Retrieved August 8, 2020.
  81. ^ Bliss, Mark (June 14, 2019). "Democrat Kathy Ellis to challenge U.S. Rep. Jason Smith in 8th again". Southeast Missourian. Retrieved June 15, 2019.[permanent dead link]
  82. ^ Jenkins, David (August 4, 2020). "Rehder narrowly defeats Swan to win Republican primary for State Senate District 27". Standard Democrat. Retrieved August 8, 2020.
[edit]

Official campaign websites for 1st district candidates

Official campaign websites for 2nd district candidates

Official campaign websites for 3rd district candidates

Official campaign websites for 4th district candidates

Official campaign websites for 5th district candidates

Official campaign websites for 6th district candidates

Official campaign websites for 7th district candidates

Official campaign websites for 8th district candidates

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