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2022 United States House of Representatives election in South Dakota

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2022 United States House of Representatives election in South Dakota's at-large district

← 2020 November 8, 2022 2024 →
 
Nominee Dusty Johnson Collin Duprel
Party Republican Libertarian
Popular vote 253,821 74,020
Percentage 77.4% 22.6%

County results
Johnson:      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Duprel:      50–60%      60–70%

U.S. Representative before election

Dusty Johnson
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Dusty Johnson
Republican

The 2022 United States House of Representatives election in South Dakota was held on November 8, 2022, to elect the U.S. Representative from South Dakota's at-large congressional district. The election coincided with other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections.

Incumbent Republican Dusty Johnson was re-elected with 81.0% of the vote in 2020.[1] Johnson defeated state representative Taffy Howard in the Republican primary. No Democratic candidate appeared on the ballot, Johnson's only general election opponent was Libertarian Collin Duprel.[2]

Though Johnson won comfortably in a 55-point win, mainly due to competing against a candidate of a minor party, Durpel made a bit of a stronger performance than some had expected, with over 22% of the vote. Johnson himself received over 77% of the vote. It was the best performance by a Libertarian candidate in the state's history.

Republican primary

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Candidates

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Nominee

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Eliminated in primary

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Polling

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Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Dusty
Johnson
Taffy
Howard
Undecided
South Dakota State University[5] May 2–15, 2022 – (LV) ± 3.0% 53% 17% 30%

Primary results

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Results by county:
  Johnson
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  Howard
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
Republican primary results[6]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Dusty Johnson (incumbent) 70,728 59.25%
Republican Taffy Howard 48,645 40.75%
Total votes 119,373 100.0%

Libertarian convention

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Candidates

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Nominee

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  • Collin Duprel, cattle rancher[7]

Democratic primary

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Ryan Ryder dropped out of the race after past tweets of his were exposed, with subject matter including Ryder fantasizing about killing Johnson's family, and that he had masturbated to a photo of Governor Kristi Noem.[2]

Candidates

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Withdrew

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Declined

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General election

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Predictions

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Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[10] Solid R October 5, 2021
Inside Elections[11] Solid R October 11, 2021
Sabato's Crystal Ball[12] Safe R October 5, 2021
Politico[13] Solid R April 5, 2022
RCP[14] Safe R June 9, 2022
Fox News[15] Solid R July 11, 2022
DDHQ[16] Solid R July 20, 2022
538[17] Solid R June 30, 2022

Polling

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Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Dusty
Johnson (R)
Collin
Duprel (L)
Undecided
Emerson College[18] October 19–21, 2022 1,500 (LV) ± 2.4% 59% 16% 25%

Results

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2022 South Dakota's at-large congressional district election[19]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Dusty Johnson (incumbent) 253,821 77.42% –3.54%
Libertarian Collin Duprel 74,020 22.58% +3.54%
Total votes 327,841 100.0%
Republican hold

Notes

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  1. ^ a b Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear

References

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  1. ^ "General Election - November 3, 2020" (PDF). Secretary of State of South Dakota. November 10, 2020. Archived from the original (PDF) on December 18, 2020. Retrieved November 12, 2020.
  2. ^ a b c Larwence, Tom (March 3, 2022). "Ryan Ryder, South Dakota Democrat Who Tweeted About Masturbating to Kristi Noem, Drops Congressional Bid". www.thedailybeast.com. The Daily Beast. Retrieved March 5, 2022.
  3. ^ Lawrence, Tom (August 23, 2021). "2022 draws closer, and South Dakota Democrats still need to find and field candidates in state, national races". The South Dakota Standard. Archived from the original on August 24, 2021. Retrieved August 28, 2021.
  4. ^ Sneve, Joe. "South Dakota lawmaker kicks off primary challenge against Rep. Johnson". www.argusleader.com. Retrieved October 12, 2021.
  5. ^ South Dakota State University
  6. ^ "2022 Primary Election Official State Canvass Results" (PDF). Secretary of State of South Dakota. June 14, 2022. Retrieved August 4, 2022.
  7. ^ "2022 South Dakota Libertarian Party Candidates" (PDF). South Dakota Secretary of State. Retrieved June 4, 2022.
  8. ^ Heemstra, Jody. "Democrat Ryan Ryder announces challenge to Republican Congressman Dusty Johnson". Retrieved March 3, 2022.
  9. ^ "South Dakota Minority Leader Heinert passes on run for Governor, joining private sector after term". December 16, 2021.
  10. ^ "2022 House Race Ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved October 1, 2021.
  11. ^ "House Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 4, 2021.
  12. ^ "2022 House Ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. October 5, 2021. Retrieved October 5, 2021.
  13. ^ "2022 Election Forecast". Politico. April 5, 2022.
  14. ^ "Battle for the House 2022". RCP. June 9, 2022.
  15. ^ "2022 Election Forecast". Fox News. July 11, 2022. Retrieved July 11, 2022.
  16. ^ "2022 Election Forecast". DDHQ. July 20, 2022. Retrieved July 20, 2022.
  17. ^ "2022 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. June 30, 2022. Retrieved June 30, 2022.
  18. ^ Emerson College
  19. ^ "2022 General Election Official State Canvass Results" (PDF). sdsos.gov.
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Official campaign websites