2022 United States Senate election in Utah
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Lee: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% McMullin: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% >80% Hansen: >90% Williams: >90% Tie: 30–40% 40–50% 50% No votes | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Elections in Utah |
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The 2022 United States Senate election in Utah was held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Utah. Incumbent senator Mike Lee, who was first elected in 2010, won re-election to a third term, defeating Evan McMullin, an independent candidate who was endorsed by the Utah Democratic Party.
This was the first Senate election in Utah's history in which there was no Democratic nominee. Lee's performance was the worst for a Republican in a Utah U.S. Senate election since 1974, while McMullin's was the best ever for an independent in a Utah U.S. Senate race and the best for a non-Republican since 1976.
Republican primary
[edit]Incumbent U.S. Senator Mike Lee won over 70% of the vote at the Utah Republican Party state convention on April 23, 2022. Though considered by the party to be its nominee, a primary was still held on June 28, 2022, after two other candidates garnered enough signatures to qualify.[1]
Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]![](http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/8/81/Ally_Isom_%2841162310741%29_%28cropped%29.jpg/118px-Ally_Isom_%2841162310741%29_%28cropped%29.jpg)
Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Becky Edwards, state representative (2009–2018)[4]
- Ally Isom, business executive, former director of institutional messaging for the Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-day Saints, and former deputy chief of staff and communications director to former governor Gary Herbert[5]
Eliminated at convention
[edit]- Evan Barlow, assistant professor at Weber State University[6]
- Loy Arlan Brunson, candidate for U.S. Senate in 2012 and 2018[7]
- Jeremy Friedbaum, candidate for U.S. Senate in 2010, 2012 and 2018[7]
- Laird Hamblin, biologist, children's songwriter[8] (running as write-in)
Did not file
[edit]- Tyrone Jensen, political podcaster, candidate for U.S. Senate in 2018 and Utah's 2nd congressional district in 2020[9][10]
- Benjamin Davis[9]
Withdrawn
[edit]- Brendan Wright, area planning manager for the Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-day Saints[11][12][13] (endorsed Edwards)
Declined
[edit]- Henry Eyring, assistant professor of accounting at London School of Economics and grandson of Henry B. Eyring[14]
- Erin Rider, attorney[15]
- Thomas Wright, real estate broker, chair of the Utah Republican Party (2011–2013) and candidate for Governor of Utah in 2020.[12]
Endorsements
[edit]- Executive Branch officials
- Donald Trump, 45th president of the United States (2017–2021)[16]
- Organizations
Polling
[edit]- Graphical summary
![]() | Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Evan Barlow |
Loy Brunson |
Becky Edwards |
Jeremy Friedbaum |
Laird Hamblin |
Ally Isom |
Tyrone Jensen |
Mike Lee |
Brendan Wright |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Dan Jones & Associates | May 7–13, 2022 | 503 (LV) | ± 4.3% | – | – | 19% | – | – | 6% | – | 49% | – | – | 26% |
Dan Jones & Associates | March 9–21, 2022 | 484 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 6% | 1% | 19% | 2% | 1% | 4% | – | 67% | – | – | – |
OH Predictive Insights | February 7–14, 2022 | 366 (RV) | ± 5.1% | – | – | 5% | – | – | 2% | 2% | 51% | 2% | – | 37% |
Dan Jones & Associates | October 14–21, 2021 | 469 (LV) | ± 4.5% | – | – | 7% | – | – | 2% | – | 53% | – | 6% | 32% |
OH Predictive Insights | August 2–8, 2021 | 337 (RV) | ± 5.3% | – | – | 3% | – | – | 2% | – | 45% | 3% | – | 48% |
RMG Research | June 24–25, 2021 | 587 (LV) | ± 4.0% | – | – | 11% | – | – | – | – | 47% | – | 8% | 33% |
Results
[edit]Convention
[edit]State Republican Convention results, 2022 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Candidate | First ballot | Pct. | ||
Mike Lee | 2,621 | 70.74% | ||
Becky Edwards | 436 | 11.77% | ||
Ally Isom | 358 | 9.66% | ||
Jeremy Friedbaum | 132 | 3.56% | ||
Evan Barlow | 75 | 2.02% | ||
Loy Brunson | 71 | 1.92% | ||
Laird Hamblin | 12 | 0.32% | ||
Total | 3,705 | 100.00% |
Primary
[edit]![](http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/9/96/2022_United_States_Senate_Republican_primary_election_in_Utah_results_map_by_county.svg/220px-2022_United_States_Senate_Republican_primary_election_in_Utah_results_map_by_county.svg.png)
- 50–60%
- 60–70%
- 70–80%
- 80–90%
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Mike Lee (incumbent) | 258,089 | 61.94% | |
Republican | Becky Edwards | 123,617 | 29.67% | |
Republican | Ally Isom | 34,997 | 8.40% | |
Total votes | 416,703 | 100.0% |
Democratic convention
[edit]The Utah Democratic Party state convention took place on April 23, 2022.[26] Kael Weston was the only Democrat still running; however, the party endorsed Evan McMullin's independent bid in lieu of nominating a candidate,[27] following encouragement from many prominent Democrats in the state, including former Rep. Ben McAdams and Salt Lake County Mayor Jenny Wilson, to back McMullin's campaign.
Candidates
[edit]Eliminated at convention
[edit]![](http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/1/17/Kael_Weston_2005_%28cropped%29.jpg/126px-Kael_Weston_2005_%28cropped%29.jpg)
- Kael Weston, former U.S. State Department official and nominee for Utah's 2nd congressional district in 2020[28]
Did not file
[edit]- Austin Searle, musician[29]
Withdrew
[edit]- Allen Glines, community activist and writer[30]
- Nicholas Mitchell, scientist and business owner[31] (running for Utah's 2nd congressional district)
Declined
[edit]- Ben McAdams, U.S. Representative for Utah's 4th congressional district (2019–2021)[32][33] (endorsed McMullin)
- Steve Schmidt, political commentator for MSNBC, founder of The Lincoln Project, and former Republican political strategist[34]
Endorsements
[edit]- Statewide official
- Paul Van Dam, Attorney General of Utah (1989–1993)[35]
Polling
[edit]Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Allen Glines |
Nicholas Mitchell |
Steve Schmidt |
Austin Searle |
Kael Weston |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
OH Predictive Insights | February 7–14, 2022 | 110 (RV) | ± 9.3% | 2% | 5% | 16% | 2% | 14% | 60% |
Convention vote
[edit]The Utah Democratic Party held a state convention on April 23, 2022, to endorse candidates for state offices.[36][37][38] Supporters of independent candidate Evan McMullin, led by Salt Lake County mayor Jenny Wilson, introduced a motion for the state party to forgo nominating a Democratic candidate for the U.S. Senate and to instead "join Evan McMullin's independent coalition to beat Mike Lee",[37] contending that not doing so would split the anti-Lee vote in the general election.[37][38] The motion was opposed by supporters of Kael Weston, the lone Democratic candidate for the seat who thus would have received the nomination had the motion failed.[38] The delegates passed the motion by a 57–43% margin.[37][38]
Choice | Votes | % |
---|---|---|
![]() |
782 | 56.83 |
Nominate Kael Weston | 594 | 43.17 |
Total votes | 1,376 | 100.00 |
Libertarian convention
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]Eliminated at convention
[edit]- Lucky Bovo[7]
Independent American convention
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Declared
[edit]- Tommy Williams, perennial candidate[41]
Independents
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Declared
[edit]- Evan McMullin, political activist, former CIA operations officer, and candidate for President of the United States in 2016[42] (endorsed by the Democratic Party, United Utah Party, and Forward Party)
Withdrawn
[edit]- Evan Barlow, assistant professor at Weber State University[43] (running as a Republican).[6]
General election
[edit]Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[44] | Likely R | August 18, 2022 |
Inside Elections[45] | Likely R | September 9, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[46] | Likely R | June 15, 2022 |
Politico[47] | Likely R | April 1, 2022 |
RCP[48] | Likely R | November 5, 2022 |
Fox News[49] | Likely R | September 20, 2022 |
DDHQ[50] | Solid R | July 20, 2022 |
538[51] | Solid R | September 22, 2022 |
The Economist[52] | Safe R | September 7, 2022 |
Endorsements
[edit]- U.S. Presidents
- Donald Trump, 45th president of the United States (2017–2021)[16]
- Executive Branch officials
- Nikki Haley, United States ambassador to the United Nations (2017–2018) and Governor of South Carolina (2011–2017)[53]
- Jon Huntsman Jr., United States ambassador to Russia (2017–2019) and Governor of Utah (2005–2009)[54]
- David M. McIntosh, Director of the Domestic Policy Council (1987–1988) and former U.S. Representative from IN-02 (1995–2001)[55]
- Robert C. O'Brien, United States National Security Advisor (2019–2021) and Special Envoy for Hostage Affairs (2018–2019)[56]
- Mike Pence, 48th vice president of the United States (2017-2021)[57]
- Matt Schlapp, White House Director of Political Affairs (2003–2005)[17]
- U.S. Senators
- John Barrasso, Wyoming (2007–present)[58]
- Marsha Blackburn, Tennessee (2019–present)[58]
- Roy Blunt, Missouri (2011–2023)[58]
- John Boozman, Arkansas (2011–present)[58]
- Mike Braun, Indiana (2019–present)[58]
- Richard Burr, North Carolina (2005–2023)[58]
- Shelley Moore Capito, West Virginia (2015–present)[58]
- Bill Cassidy, Louisiana (2015–present)[58]
- Susan Collins, Maine (1997–present)[58]
- John Cornyn, Texas (2002–present)[58]
- Tom Cotton, Arkansas (2015–present)[58]
- Kevin Cramer, North Dakota (2019–present)[58]
- Mike Crapo, Idaho (1999–present)[58]
- Ted Cruz, Texas (2013–present)[58]
- Steve Daines, Montana (2015–present)[58]
- Joni Ernst, Iowa (2015–present)[58]
- Deb Fischer, Nebraska (2013–present)[58]
- Lindsey Graham, South Carolina (2003–present)[58]
- Chuck Grassley, Iowa (1981–present)[58]
- Bill Hagerty, Tennessee (2021–present)[58]
- Josh Hawley, Missouri (2019–present)[58]
- John Hoeven, North Dakota (2011–present)[58]
- Cindy Hyde-Smith, Mississippi (2018–present)[58]
- Jim Inhofe, Oklahoma (1994–2023)[58]
- Ron Johnson, Wisconsin (2011–present)[58]
- John Kennedy, Louisiana (2017–present)[58]
- James Lankford, Oklahoma (2015–present)[58]
- Cynthia Lummis, Wyoming (2021–present)[58]
- Roger Marshall, Kansas (2021–present)[58]
- Mitch McConnell, Senate Minority Leader (2021–present, 2007–2015) and Senate Majority Leader (2015–2021) from Kentucky (1985–present)[58]
- Jerry Moran, Kansas (2011–present)[58]
- Lisa Murkowski, Alaska (2002–present)[58]
- Rand Paul, Kentucky (2011–present)[58]
- Rob Portman, Ohio (2011–2023)[58]
- Jim Risch, Idaho (2009–present)[58]
- Mike Rounds, South Dakota (2015–present)[58]
- Marco Rubio, Florida (2011–present)[58]
- Ben Sasse, Nebraska (2015–2023)[58]
- Rick Scott, Florida (2019–present)[58]
- Tim Scott, South Carolina (2013–present)[58]
- Richard Shelby, Alabama (1987–2023)[58]
- Dan Sullivan, Alaska (2015–present)[58]
- John Thune, South Dakota (2005–present)[58]
- Thom Tillis, North Carolina (2015–present)[58]
- Pat Toomey, Pennsylvania (2011–2023)[58]
- Tommy Tuberville, Alabama (2021–present)[58]
- Roger Wicker, Mississippi (2007–present)[58]
- Todd Young, Indiana (2017–present)[58]
- U.S. Representatives
- Tulsi Gabbard, U.S. Representative from Hawaii's 2nd congressional district (2013–2021) and former vice chair of the DNC (Independent)[59]
- State officials
- Spencer Cox, Governor of Utah (2021–present)[60]
- Ron DeSantis, Governor of Florida (2019–present)[61]
- Casey Snider, state representative from the 5th district (2019–present)[62]
- Organizations
- American Conservative Union[17]
- American Israel Public Affairs Committee[63]
- Americans for Prosperity[63]
- Campaign for Working Families[64]
- Club for Growth[18]
- Eagle Forum[19]
- FreedomWorks[20]
- Gun Owners of America[21]
- National Federation of Independent Business[65]
- National Rifle Association - Political Victory Fund[66][63]
- Republican Liberty Caucus[22]
- Susan B. Anthony List[63]
- Tea Party Express[67]
- Turning Point Action[23]
- Utah Republican Party[1]
- Executive Branch officials
- Charles A. Blanchard, former General Counsel of the Army (1991–2001) and former General Counsel of the Air Force (2009–2013)[68]
- Charles Bolden, former Administrator of the National Aeronautics and Space Administration (2009–2017)[68]
- Amy L. Bondurant, U.S. Ambassador to the OECD (1997–2001) (Democratic)[68]
- Aurelia E. Brazeal, former U.S. Ambassador to Ethiopia (2002–2005), Kenya (1993–1996) and the Federated States of Micronesia (1990–1993)[68]
- Louis Caldera, former Director of the White House Military Office (2009) and former U.S. Secretary of the Army (1998–2001) (Democratic)[68]
- Patrick G. Carrick, former director of the HSARPA[68]
- Phillip Carter III, former U.S. Ambassador to Ivory Coast (2010–2013) and Guinea (2007–2008)[68]
- Judith Beth Cefkin, former U.S. Ambassador to Fiji, Kiribati, Nauru, Tonga, and Tuvalu (2015–2018)[68]
- Richard A. Clarke, former Assistant Secretary of State for Political-Military Affairs (1989–1992)[68]
- Thomas M. Countryman, former Acting Under Secretary of State for International Security Affairs (2016–2017) and former Assistant Secretary of State for International Security and Nonproliferation (2011–2017) (Democratic)[68]
- Cindy Courville, former U.S. Ambassador to the African Union (2006–2008)[68]
- Richard Danzig, former U.S. Secretary of the Navy (1998–2001) (Democratic)[68]
- Greg Delawie, former U.S. Ambassador to Kosovo (2015–2018)[68]
- Gregory W. Engle, former U.S. Ambassador to Togo (2003–2005)[68]
- James M. Galloway, former Regional Health Administrator for the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services[68]
- Sherri Goodman, former Deputy Undersecretary of Defense for Environmental Security (2001–2003)[68]
- Rose Gottemoeller, former Deputy Secretary General of NATO (2016–2019) and Under Secretary of State for Arms Control and International Security Affairs (2012–2016)[68]
- S. Fitzgerald Haney, former U.S. Ambassador to Costa Rica (2015–2017)[68]
- Bruce Heyman, former U.S. Ambassador to Canada (2014–2017) (Democratic)[68]
- Janet Napolitano, former U.S. Secretary of Homeland Security (2009–2013) and former governor of Arizona (2003–2009) (Democratic)[68]
- Edward Angus Powell Jr., former president of the United Service Organizations (2002–2009) and former acting United States Deputy Secretary of Veterans Affairs (2000–2001)[68]
- Charles A. Ray, former U.S. Ambassador to Zimbabwe (2009–2012) and Cambodia (2003–2005) and former Deputy Assistant Secretary of Defense (2006–2009)[68]
- John C. Rogers, former deputy assistant secretary in the office of Secretary of Defense Les Aspin[68]
- Leslie V. Rowe, former U.S. Ambassador to Mozambique (2010–2012), Papua New Guinea (2006–2009), Solomon Islands (2006–2009) and Vanuatu (2006–2009)[68]
- Theodore Sedgwick, former U.S. Ambassador to Slovakia (2010–2015)[68]
- Emil Skodon, former U.S. Ambassador to Brunei (2005–2008)[68]
- Elizabeth Tamposi, former U.S. Assistant Secretary of State for Consular Affairs (1989–1992) and former New Hampshire state representative (1979–1986) (Republican)[68]
- Michelle Thoren Bond, former Assistant Secretary of State for Consular Affairs (2015–2017) and U.S. Ambassador to Lesotho (2010–2012)[68]
- Gregory Treverton, former chair of the U.S. National Intelligence Council (2014–2017) (Democratic)[68]
- Alexander Vershbow, former Deputy Secretary General of NATO (2012–2016), former Assistant Secretary of Defense for International Security Affairs (2009–2012), former U.S. Ambassador to South Korea (2005–2008), Russia (2001–2005) and NATO (1997–2001)[68]
- Alexander Vindman, former Director for European Affairs for the United States National Security Council (2018–2020) and witness during the first impeachment trial of Donald Trump[68]
- James Donald Walsh, former U.S. Ambassador to Argentina (2000–2003)[68]
- Jack Watson Jr., former White House Chief of Staff (1980–1981) (Democratic)[68]
- Sheila Widnall, former U.S. Secretary of the Air Force (1993–1997) (Democratic)[68]
- U.S. Representatives
- William Enyart, U.S. Representative from Illinois's 12th congressional district (2013–2015) (Democratic)[68]
- Adam Kinzinger, U.S. Representative from Illinois's 16th congressional district (2013–present) and Illinois's 11th congressional district (2011–2013) (Republican)[69]
- Ben McAdams, U.S. Representative from Utah's 4th congressional district (2019–2021) and Mayor of Salt Lake County (2013–2019) (Democratic)[33]
- Karen Shepherd, U.S. Representative from Utah's 2nd congressional district (1993–1995) (Democratic)[70]
- Joe Walsh, U.S. Representative from Illinois's 8th congressional district (2011–2013) (Independent, formerly Republican)
- State officials
- Howard Dean, Governor of Vermont (1991–2003) and Chair of the Democratic National Committee (2005–2009) (Democratic)[71]
- Michael Steele, Lieutenant Governor of Maryland (2003–2007) and Chair of the Republican National Committee (2009–2011) (Republican)[71]
- Local officials
- Jenny Wilson, Mayor of Salt Lake County (2019–present) and nominee for U.S. Senate in 2018 (Democratic)[72]
- Individuals
- Clara Leach Adams-Ender, former chief of the United States Army Nurse Corps (1987–1991)[68]
- William D. Baumgartner, former Judge Advocate General and former Chief Counsel of the United States Coast Guard[68]
- Ronald R. Blanck, former Surgeon General of the United States Army (1996–2000)[68]
- Jonia Broderick, author and nominee for Utah's 4th congressional district in 2020 (United Utah)[33]
- Donald M. Campbell Jr., former commanding general of United States Army Europe[68]
- Peter Cooke, retired Army Reservist and nominee for Governor of Utah in 2012 (Democratic)[68]
- Mark Hamill, actor and writer[73]
- Gale Pollock, former Deputy Surgeon General of the United States Army (2006–2007) and former Acting Surgeon General of the United States Army (2007)[68]
- Clyde Robbins, retired U.S. Coast Guard vice admiral[68]
- Clayne Robison, singer and Professor Emeritus of Voice at Southern Virginia University (Republican)[74]
- Ann Tutwiler, former deputy director-general of the United Nations Food and Agriculture Organization (2011–2012)[68]
- Juan Williams, journalist and political analyst for Fox News (Democratic)[75]
- Daniel P. Woodward, former director of regional affairs in the Office of the Deputy Under Secretary of the Air Force for International Affairs[68]
- Andrew Yang, entrepreneur, founder of Venture for America, Democratic candidate for president in 2020 and mayor of New York City in 2021 (Independent, Forward)[76]
- Labor unions
- Organizations
- Country First PAC[80]
- League of Conservation Voters[81]
- Renew America Movement[82]
- Political parties
- U.S. Senators
- Mitt Romney, U.S. Senator from Utah (2019–present), Governor of Massachusetts (2003–2007) and nominee for president in 2012 (Republican)[88]
Polling
[edit]- Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Mike Lee (R) |
Evan McMullin (I) |
Undecided [b] |
Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FiveThirtyEight | June 15 – November 8, 2022 | November 8, 2022 | 48.5% | 38.7% | 12.8% | Lee +9.8 |
270towin | October 31 – November 1, 2022 | November 8, 2022 | 48.0% | 36.7% | 15.3% | Lee +11.3 |
Average | 48.2% | 37.7% | 14.1% | Lee +10.5 |
- Graphical summary
![]() | Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Mike Lee (R) |
Evan McMullin (I) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Hill Research Consultants (I)[A] | October 29–30, 2022 | 500 (LV) | – | 47% | 46% | – | – |
Emerson College | October 25–28, 2022 | 825 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 49% | 39% | 9%[c] | 4% |
50% | 40% | 11%[d] | – | ||||
OH Predictive Insights | October 25–27, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 53% | 34% | 4%[e] | 9% |
Hill Research Consultants (I)[A] | October 8–11, 2022 | 500 (LV) | – | 43%[f] | 49% | 4%[g] | 4% |
42% | 46% | 4%[h] | 8% | ||||
Kurt Jetta (I)[B] | October 4–11, 2022 | 406 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 38% | 37% | – | 26% |
239 (LV) | 50% | 38% | – | 12% | |||
OH Predictive Insights | October 5–6, 2022 | 483 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 47% | 32% | 5%[i] | 16% |
Dan Jones & Associates | October 3–6, 2022 | 801 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 41% | 37% | 8%[j] | 12% |
773 (LV) | 42% | 37% | 8%[j] | 12% | |||
Dan Jones & Associates | September 3–21, 2022 | 815 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 36% | 34% | 13%[k] | 16% |
786 (LV) | 37% | 34% | 13%[k] | 16% | |||
Lighthouse Research | August 30 – September 13, 2022 | 509 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 48% | 37% | 10%[l] | 5% |
Kurt Jetta (I)[B] | September 1–8, 2022 | 474 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 40% | 37% | – | 23% |
239 (LV) | 43% | 39% | – | 18% | |||
Impact Research (I)[C] | August 29 – September 1, 2022 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 46% | 47% | – | 7% |
WPA Intelligence (R)[D] | August 4–5, 2022 | 500 (LV) | – | 50% | 32% | 6% | 12% |
Dan Jones & Associates | July 13–18, 2022 | 801 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 41% | 36% | 14% | 8% |
WPA Intelligence (R)[D] | July 12–14, 2022 | 529 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 49% | 35% | 10% | 5% |
Kurt Jetta (I)[B] | July 12, 2022 | 561 (A) | ± 4.1% | 43% | 32% | – | 26% |
434 (RV) | ± 4.7% | 44% | 34% | – | 22% | ||
213 (LV) | ± 6.7% | 50% | 36% | – | 15% | ||
WPA Intelligence (R)[D] | June 14–16, 2022 | 300 (LV) | ± 5.7% | 52% | 33% | – | 15% |
Dan Jones & Associates | May 24 – June 15, 2022 | 803 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 41% | 35% | 4% | 20% |
Dan Jones & Associates | May 24 – June 4, 2022 | 810 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 41% | 37% | 4% | 19% |
Kurt Jetta (I)[B] | March 5, 2022 | 683 (A) | ± 3.7% | 31% | 26% | – | 44% |
– (RV) | – | 33% | 27% | – | 40% | ||
– (LV) | – | 38% | 30% | – | 32% |
- Becky Edwards vs. Evan McMullin
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Becky Edwards (R) |
Evan McMullin (I) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Dan Jones & Associates | May 24 – June 15, 2022 | 803 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 31% | 29% | 7% | 34% |
Dan Jones & Associates | May 24 – June 4, 2022 | 810 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 29% | 28% | 6% | 37% |
- Ally Isom vs. Evan McMullin
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Ally Isom (R) |
Evan McMullin (I) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Dan Jones & Associates | May 24 – June 15, 2022 | 803 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 24% | 34% | 7% | 36% |
Dan Jones & Associates | May 24 – June 4, 2022 | 810 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 23% | 34% | 7% | 36% |
- Mike Lee vs. Kael Weston vs. Evan McMullin
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Mike Lee (R) |
Kael Weston (D) |
Evan McMullin (I) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Moore Information Group (R) | March 20–24, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 49% | 13% | 25% | 1% | 12% |
Dan Jones & Associates | March 9–21, 2022 | 804 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 43% | 11% | 19% | 3% | 24% |
OH Predictive Insights | February 7–14, 2022 | 739 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 34% | 12% | 24% | – | 30% |
- Mike Lee vs. Steve Schmidt vs. Evan McMullin
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Mike Lee (R) |
Steve Schmidt (D) |
Evan McMullin (I) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
OH Predictive Insights | February 7–14, 2022 | 739 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 36% | 11% | 23% | 30% |
- Mike Lee vs. Steve Schmidt
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Mike Lee (R) |
Steve Schmidt (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
OH Predictive Insights | February 7–14, 2022 | 739 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 45% | 25% | 30% |
- Mike Lee vs. Kael Weston
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Mike Lee (R) |
Kael Weston (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
OH Predictive Insights | February 7–14, 2022 | 739 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 45% | 25% | 30% |
Debates
[edit]No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Independent |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Key: P Participant A Absent N Non-invitee I Invitee W Withdrawn |
||||||
Mike Lee | Evan McMullin | |||||
1 | Oct. 18, 2022 | Utah Debate Commission | Doug Wright | YouTube | P | P |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Mike Lee (incumbent) | 571,974 | 53.15% | –15.00 | |
Independent | Evan McMullin | 459,958 | 42.74% | N/A | |
Libertarian | James Hansen | 31,784 | 2.95% | N/A | |
Independent American | Tommy Williams | 12,103 | 1.12% | –1.33 | |
Write-in | 242 | 0.02% | N/A | ||
Total votes | 1,076,061 | 100.0% | |||
Republican hold |
By county
[edit]By county
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By congressional district
[edit]Lee won all 4 congressional districts.[90]
District | Lee | McMullin | Representative |
---|---|---|---|
1st | 52% | 44% | Blake Moore |
2nd | 53% | 42% | Chris Stewart |
3rd | 52% | 44% | John Curtis |
4th | 56% | 40% | Burgess Owens |
See also
[edit]Notes
[edit]- ^ a b c d e f g h i Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
- ^ Hansen (L) with 4%; Williams (IA) with 3%; "Someone else" with 2%
- ^ Hansen (L) with 5%; Williams (IA) with 3%; "Someone else" with 3%
- ^ Hansen (L) with 3%; Williams (IA) with 1%
- ^ With voters who lean towards a given candidate
- ^ Hansen (L) with 4%
- ^ Hansen (L) with 4%
- ^ Hansen (L) with 3%; Williams (IA) with 2%
- ^ a b Williams (IA) with 2%; Hansen (L) with 1%; "Other" with 5%
- ^ a b Williams (IA) with 3%; Hansen (L) with 2%; "Other" with 8%
- ^ Hansen (L) and Williams (IA) with 5%
- Partisan clients
References
[edit]- ^ a b c Romboy, Dennis (April 23, 2022). "Utah GOP overwhelmingly chooses Sen. Mike Lee as nominee, but he still faces primary". Deseret News. Retrieved May 7, 2022.
- ^ Schott, Bryan (February 9, 2021). "In fundraising appeal, Sen. Mike Lee claims the anti-Trump Lincoln Project is gunning for him next year". The Salt Lake Tribune. Archived from the original on March 9, 2021. Retrieved March 14, 2021.
- ^ "Archived copy" (PDF). Archived (PDF) from the original on July 15, 2021. Retrieved February 24, 2021.
{{cite web}}
: CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link) - ^ "Edwards to challenge Lee for U.S. Senate seat". Fox 13 News. May 27, 2021. Archived from the original on May 27, 2021. Retrieved May 27, 2021.
- ^ "Meet Ally Isom, the latest Republican seeking to defeat Utah Sen. Mike Lee in 2022". The Salt Lake Tribune. Archived from the original on July 15, 2021. Retrieved July 15, 2021.
- ^ a b Vandenack, Tim (February 10, 2022). "WSU prof vying for US Senate switches to GOP, cites McMullin entry". Standard-Examiner.
- ^ a b c d "A stampede of candidates running for office as Utah's filing period ends". The Salt Lake Tribune. Retrieved March 9, 2022.
- ^ Vandenack, Tim (March 1, 2022). "US Senate hopeful Kael Weston says his candidacy gives voters a choice". Standard-Examiner.
- ^ a b "US Senate candidate Becky Edwards visits Southern Utah during campaign to unseat Mike Lee". St George News. November 24, 2021.
- ^ "Ty Jensen Pledges to Support Term Limits on Congress". U.S. Term Limits. November 10, 2021. Retrieved January 18, 2022.
- ^ Richards, Connor (March 8, 2021). "Utah County Republican announces 2022 U.S. Senate run". Daily Herald. Archived from the original on March 16, 2021. Retrieved May 16, 2021.
Brendan Wright, of Lehi, announced on Saturday, March 6 that he is running in 2022 for the U.S. Senate seat currently filled by Sen. Mike Lee, R-Utah.
- ^ a b Schott, Bryan (April 5, 2021). "A way too early look at the 2022 U.S. Senate race in Utah and Sen. Mike Lee's possible challengers". The Salt Lake Tribune. Archived from the original on April 19, 2021. Retrieved May 16, 2021.
- ^ Epstein, Harrison (January 31, 2022). "Edwards campaign gathering signatures across state for Senate run". Standard-Examiner. Daily Herald. Archived from the original on January 31, 2022. Retrieved February 9, 2022.
- ^ Webb, LaVarr (March 8, 2021). "Analysis: GOP hopefuls are testing the water against Mike Lee in 2022". Utah Policy. Archived from the original on March 8, 2021. Retrieved March 8, 2021.
- ^ Webb, LaVarr (March 12, 2021). "Opinion briefs: Senate race attracts a crowd . . . National monuments battle . . . federalism & minimum wage". Utah Policy. Archived from the original on March 14, 2021. Retrieved March 15, 2021.
- ^ a b Romboy, Dennis (April 1, 2022). "Donald Trump endorses Mike Lee, goes after Evan 'McMuffin' and Mitt Romney at the same time". Deseret News. Archived from the original on April 2, 2022. Retrieved April 2, 2022.
- ^ a b c Walters, Ian (August 3, 2021). "The American Conservative Union (ACU) today announced its endorsement of Senator Mike Lee for re-election, the leading conservative in Upper Chamber of Congress". American Conservative Union. Retrieved June 26, 2022.
- ^ a b "Club for Growth - PAC Endorsed Candidates". Club for Growth - PAC Endorsed Candidates. Retrieved January 28, 2022.
- ^ a b "Eagle Forum PAC Endorses Senator Mike Lee for U.S. Senate in Utah". April 21, 2022. Retrieved May 16, 2022.
- ^ a b "FreedomWorks for America Endorses Mike Lee in the Utah U.S. Senate Race". www.freedomworksforamerica.org. August 17, 2021. Retrieved January 10, 2022.
- ^ a b "Mike Lee Endorsement". June 20, 2022. Retrieved June 27, 2022.
- ^ a b "2022 National Endorsements". Republican Liberty Caucus. February 28, 2022. Retrieved May 16, 2022.
- ^ a b "Turning Point Action". Turning Point Action - Endorsements. Retrieved January 28, 2022.
- ^ "2022 Candidate Filings". Office of the Lieutenant Governor of Utah. Archived from the original on May 13, 2022. Retrieved February 28, 2022.
- ^ "2022 Regular Primary Election Canvass" (PDF). State of Utah.
- ^ "County Conventions". Utah Democratic Party. Archived from the original on March 24, 2022. Retrieved March 31, 2022.
- ^ McKellar, Katie [@KatieMcKellar1] (April 23, 2022). "@UtahDemocrats BREAKING: Option 1, to nominate @KaelWeston got 595 votes. Option 2, to join @EvanMcMullin got over 700 votes. @UtahDemocrats delegates have voted to NOT put forth own candidate #utpol" (Tweet). Archived from the original on April 24, 2022. Retrieved May 15, 2022 – via Twitter.
- ^ "Kael Weston: Utah's people and land deserve better protections". The Salt Lake Tribune. January 27, 2022.
- ^ "Austin Searle isn't challenging Sen. Mike Lee and says viral tweet wasn't 'grifting'". The Salt Lake Tribune. March 10, 2022.
- ^ Glines, Allen [@AllenBGlines] (March 8, 2022). "Today I ended my campaign because I needed to attend to a family matter. I appreciate everyone's support. My website is now down and my ActBlue account is discontinued. Once I'm able, I'll be back to continue to fight for the causes I believe in. I hope you'll join me" (Tweet). Archived from the original on March 10, 2022. Retrieved May 15, 2022 – via Twitter.
- ^ "He's Black. He's a returned missionary. He's LGBTQ. And he's challenging Utah Sen. Mike Lee". Desert News. October 6, 2021. Archived from the original on October 7, 2021. Retrieved October 7, 2021.
- ^ "Utah Rep. Ben McAdams warns Democrats not to move too far to the left". The Salt Lake Tribune. Archived from the original on January 21, 2021. Retrieved January 25, 2021.
- ^ a b c "Opinion: Why we support Evan McMullin for the U.S. Senate". Deseret News. November 7, 2021.
- ^ "Founder of anti-Trump Lincoln Project registers as a Utah Democrat". The Salt Lake Tribune. Archived from the original on January 22, 2021. Retrieved January 25, 2021.
- ^ "Paul Van Dam & Lisa Rutherford: Democrats should stand by their own U.S. Senate candidate". The Salt Lake Tribune. March 31, 2021.
- ^ Whitehurst, Lindsay (April 23, 2022). "Utah Democrats back independent as US Senate candidate". Associated Press. Archived from the original on April 24, 2022. Retrieved April 24, 2022.
- ^ a b c d Bojórquez, Kim (April 23, 2022). "Utah Democrats back independent Evan McMullin for U.S. Senate in a historic vote". The Salt Lake Tribune. Archived from the original on April 24, 2022. Retrieved April 24, 2022.
- ^ a b c d e McKellar, Katie (April 23, 2022). "How bad do Utah Democrats want Mike Lee out? Bad enough to ditch their own nominee and back Evan McMullin instead". Deseret News. Archived from the original on April 24, 2022. Retrieved April 24, 2022.
- ^ Hansen, James [@JamesArtHansen] (April 9, 2022). "Happy to accept the Utah Libertarian Party nomination for the US Senate! #libertarianutah #utpol #jimmyforutah https://t.co/XQkYFdgPxP" (Tweet). Archived from the original on April 26, 2022. Retrieved May 15, 2022 – via Twitter.
- ^ "Our Campaigns - UT US Senate - LBT Convention Race - Apr 09, 2022". www.ourcampaigns.com. Retrieved April 26, 2022.
- ^ "2022 Candidate Filings - Lieutenant Governor's Office: Elections". elections.utah.gov. Archived from the original on May 13, 2022. Retrieved March 17, 2022.
- ^ Forgey, Quint (October 5, 2021). "Evan McMullin announces Utah Senate bid". Politico. Archived from the original on October 5, 2021. Retrieved October 5, 2021.
- ^ Vandenack, Tim (August 23, 2021). "Weber State professor launches U.S. Senate bid to unseat Lee". Standard-Examiner. Archived from the original on August 26, 2021. Retrieved September 15, 2021.
- ^ "2022 Senate Race ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved January 14, 2021.
- ^ "Senate ratings". Inside Elections. Retrieved January 18, 2021.
- ^ "2022 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved January 28, 2021.
- ^ "Utah Senate Race 2022". Politico. April 1, 2022.
- ^ "Battle for the Senate 2022". RCP. January 10, 2022.
- ^ "2022 Election Forecast". Fox News. September 20, 2022. Retrieved September 20, 2022.
- ^ "2022 Election Forecast". DDHQ. July 20, 2022. Retrieved July 20, 2022.
- ^ "2022 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. June 30, 2022. Retrieved June 30, 2022.
- ^ "Economist's 2022 Senate forecast". The Economist. September 7, 2022. Retrieved September 7, 2022.
- ^ Romboy, Dennis (August 25, 2022). "Another potential GOP presidential candidate endorses Mike Lee; challenger Evan McMullin gets nonpartisan boost". Deseret News.
- ^ "Why a former Utah governor endorsed Mike Lee in a Club for Growth ad this week".
- ^ "CLUB FOR GROWTH PAC ENDORSES SENATOR MIKE LEE (R-UT)". The Club for Growth. February 12, 2021. Retrieved September 22, 2022.
- ^ O'Brien, Robert C. (May 14, 2022). "Opinion: When I was national security advisor, I could count on Mike Lee for help and guidance. So can Utahns". Deseret News. Retrieved September 23, 2022.
- ^ Page, Jared (September 27, 2022). "Former Vice President Mike Pence endorses Mike Lee in tight U.S. Senate race". Gephardt Daily. Retrieved September 28, 2022.
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z aa ab ac ad ae af ag ah ai aj ak al am an ao ap aq ar as at au av Romboy, Dennis (September 10, 2022). "Sen. Mike Lee has support of all Republican senators — except one". Deseret News.
- ^ Mondeaux, Cami (October 27, 2022). "Evan McMullin slams Tulsi Gabbard as 'Putin apologist' ahead of appearance at Mike Lee campaign rally". The Washington Examiner. Retrieved October 27, 2022.
- ^ "Is the Mike Lee-Evan McMullin Senate race the most expensive ever in Utah?".
- ^ "Trump re-endorses Mike Lee after DeSantis shoots ad backing the Utah senator, as simmering 2024 rivalry spills into public view". Business Insider.
- ^ Marchant, Brock (October 5, 2022). "Sen. Mike Lee makes visit to Cache Valley". The Herald Journal. Retrieved October 11, 2022.
- ^ a b c d "Mike Lee's Ratings and Endorsements". justfacts.votesmart.org. Retrieved October 25, 2022.
- ^ "Endorsed Candidates". Campaign for Working Families. Retrieved September 24, 2022.
- ^ "Utah Small Businesses Endorse Senator Mike Lee for Re-election". NFIB. June 2, 2022. Retrieved September 22, 2022.
- ^ "NRA-PVF - Grades - Utah". nrapvf.org. NRA-PVF. Archived from the original on November 8, 2022.
{{cite web}}
: CS1 maint: unfit URL (link) - ^ "ELECTION ALERT: Tea Party Express Endorses Mike Lee for Senate in Utah". Tea Party Express. March 16, 2022. Retrieved September 22, 2022.
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z aa ab ac ad ae af ag ah ai aj ak al am an ao ap aq ar "Opinion: More than 200 national security leaders endorse Evan McMullin". Deseret News. November 3, 2022.
- ^ "'The Rundown': Ken Ivory wants to return to the Utah Legislature". The Salt Lake Tribune. November 1, 2021.
- ^ "How do polls rank Mike Lee against Evan McMullin for Senate?". Deseret News. March 30, 2022.
- ^ a b Benson, Samuel (July 29, 2022). "Evan McMullin Thinks He Knows How to Defeat Trumpism". Politico.
- ^ "Why another high-profile Utah Democrat is backing an independent in U.S. Senate race". Deseret News. March 7, 2022.
- ^ "'Star Wars' actor endorses Evan McMullin as a 'force for change'".
- ^ "Who is really funding Evan McMullin?". Deseret News. September 24, 2022. Retrieved September 29, 2022.
- ^ "Juan Williams: An odd race in Utah gives hope to the nation". The Hill. September 26, 2022. Retrieved September 29, 2022.
- ^ "Will Andrew Yang run for president in 2024?". Deseret News. June 10, 2022.
- ^ "Our Recommended Candidates". educationvotes.nea.org. Retrieved October 25, 2022.
- ^ "Utah - COMPAC Endorsements". UMWA. Retrieved November 1, 2022.
- ^ "Political Endorsements". Retrieved April 5, 2023.
- ^ "Endorsements - Country First". www.country1st.com. Retrieved October 18, 2022.
- ^ "LCV Action Fund Endorses Evan McMullin for Senate". September 6, 2022.
- ^ "Anti-Trump Republicans endorsing vulnerable Democrats to prevent GOP takeover". The Hill. October 14, 2021.
- ^ "2022 Endorsements". Forward Party. Retrieved April 5, 2023.
- ^ Hackmer, Michael (October 31, 2022). "Reform Party Endorses Evan McMullin for US Senate in Utah". Reform Party National Committee. Retrieved November 1, 2022.
- ^ "United Utah Party endorses Evan McMullin for US Senate". KSL. April 16, 2022.
- ^ "How bad do Utah Democrats want Mike Lee out? Bad enough to ditch their own nominee and back Evan McMullin instead". Deseret News. April 23, 2022.
- ^ "Utah Solidarity Party Endorses Evan McMullin for U.S. Senate". April 19, 2022.
- ^ "Don't expect Mitt Romney to take sides in U.S. Senate race". The Salt Lake Tribune. March 10, 2022. Retrieved July 6, 2022.
- ^ "2022 General Election State Canvass" (PDF).
- ^ @AGavulic17 (March 24, 2023). "Last November, incumbent R Mike Lee defeated Dem-endorsed Independent Evan McMullin by just over 10 points in the Utah Senate race. In a show of how effective the GOP crack of SLC is, Lee won all 4 CDs by roughly equal margins, despite McMullin winning SL County by 19 points" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
External links
[edit]- Official campaign websites
- James Hansen (L) for Senate Archived April 24, 2022, at the Wayback Machine
- Mike Lee (R) for Senate
- Evan McMullin (I) for Senate Archived October 24, 2021, at the Wayback Machine
- Tommy Williams (Independent American) for Senate