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2014 Connecticut gubernatorial election

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2014 Connecticut gubernatorial election
← 2010 November 4, 2014 (2014-11-04) 2018 →
Turnout50.6% (Decrease 2.6%)
 
Nominee Dannel Malloy Thomas C. Foley
Party Democratic Republican
Alliance Working Families Independent
Running mate Nancy Wyman Heather Somers
Popular vote 554,314 526,295
Percentage 50.73% 48.16%
Malloy:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%
     80–90%
Foley:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%
Governor before election

Dannel Malloy
Democratic

Elected Governor

Dannel Malloy
Democratic

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Mayoral Elections

The 2014 Connecticut gubernatorial election took place on November 4, 2014, to elect the governor and lieutenant governor of Connecticut, concurrently with elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

Incumbent Democratic Governor Dannel Malloy won re-election to a second term in office. Connecticut, unlike most states, holds separate primary elections for governor and lieutenant governor, with the winners then running together on the same ticket.

Malloy and incumbent Lieutenant Governor Nancy Wyman were renominated unopposed. The Republicans nominated former U.S. Ambassador to Ireland and nominee for governor in 2010 Thomas C. Foley and Groton Town Councilor Heather Somers, making the contest a rematch of the 2010 election. Independent candidate Joe Visconti, a former West Hartford Town Councilor and the Republican nominee for Connecticut's 1st congressional district in 2008 was running with Chester Harris, a former Republican Haddam School Board Member. Visconti suspended his campaign on November 2 and endorsed Foley. However, due to the suspension coming only two days before the election, Visconti's name remained on the ballot. Former State Representative Jonathan Pelto (D-Mansfield) [1] explored a third-party candidacy through a petition drive but was disqualified due to an inadequate number of signatures.[2]

Democratic primary

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Governor

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Candidates

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Declared
[edit]

Withdrew

[edit]

Lieutenant governor

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Declared
[edit]

Results

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Malloy and Wyman ran unopposed for the Democratic nomination, so no primaries were held.

Republican primary

[edit]

Governor

[edit]

2010 nominee Thomas C. Foley won the endorsement of the state party at the Republican State Convention on May 17, winning 57.1% of the vote.[5] Danbury Mayor Mark Boughton and State Senate Minority Leader John McKinney took 22.3% and 17.72%, respectively, meeting the 15% vote threshold and thus also qualified for the primary ballot.[6] Shelton Mayor Mark Lauretti and former West Hartford Town Councilor Joe Visconti failed to get 15% of the vote at the convention, so neither automatically qualified for the ballot. Visconti began collecting signatures to petition his way onto the ballot. He needed the signatures of 8,190 registered Republican voters by June 10 in order to qualify and he started collecting signatures when primary petitions became available at the end of April.[7] Lauretti began to collect signatures a few days after the convention, but withdrew those petitions on May 22 to instead try to petition onto the ballot for lieutenant governor.[8]

On June 6, Visconti announced that he was short of the required number of signatures, and with the filing deadline only 4 days away, was withdrawing from the race to run as an Independent instead.[9] Boughton suspended his campaign on June 18, primarily because he did not think Lauretti, his unofficial running mate, would qualify for the ballot, which would have meant Boughton failing to qualify for public financing.[10] He called for "party unity behind the endorsed Republican candidate, Tom Foley."[11]

Candidates

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Declared
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Withdrew
[edit]
Declined
[edit]

Polling

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Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Toni
Boucher 		Mark
Boughton 		Lawrence F.
Cafero 		Martha
Dean 		Thomas C.
Foley 		Mark
Lauretti 		John P.
McKinney 		Joe
Visconti 		Other Undecided
Quinnipiac[26] May 1–6, 2014 443 ±4.7% — 9% — 5% 39% 3% 8% 4% 2% 30%
Quinnipiac[27] Feb. 26–March 2, 2014 477 ±4.5% 2% 11% — — 36% 6% 3% 3% 1% 37%
Quinnipiac[28] June 12–17, 2013 283 ±5.8% — 8% 4% — 36% — 11% — 1% 41%

Results

[edit]
Results by county:
  Foley—60–70%
  Foley—50–60%
  McKinney—50–60%
Republican primary results[29]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Thomas C. Foley 44,144 55.58
Republican John P. McKinney 35,282 44.42
Total votes 79,426 100.00

Lieutenant governor

[edit]

Although separate primary elections are held for governor and lieutenant governor, candidates for each office often join together to form unofficial "tickets". Heather Bond Somers had originally been running on such a "ticket" with Mark Boughton,[30] but she withdrew from the arrangement.[31][32] Boughton later announced Mark Lauretti as his new running mate.[33] This arrangement came to an end when Boughton withdrew, primarily because he did not think Lauretti would qualify for the ballot, which would have meant Boughton failing to qualify for public financing.[10] David M. Walker teamed up with John P. McKinney.[34] Bacchiochi did not join any "ticket".[35]

Bacchiochi won the endorsement of the state party at the Republican State Convention on May 17, winning 50.9% of the vote. Somers took 31.5% and Walker got 17.4%, meaning they both also qualified for the primary ballot.[31] Lauretti attempted to petition his way onto the ballot; he was unsuccessful, filing only 6,723 of the required 8,190 signatures.[36]

Candidates

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Declared
[edit]
Withdrew
[edit]

Results

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Republican primary results by county
  Somers
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  Bacchiochi
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  Walker
  •   30–40%
Republican primary results[29]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Heather Bond Somers 26,980 34.46
Republican Penny Bacchiochi 26,311 33.06
Republican David M. Walker 25,014 31.94
Total votes 78,305 100.00

Independents

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Candidates

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Withdrew

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Disqualified

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General election

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Debates

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Predictions

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Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[43] Tossup November 3, 2014
Sabato's Crystal Ball[44] Lean D November 3, 2014
Rothenberg Political Report[45] Tossup November 3, 2014
Real Clear Politics[46] Tossup November 3, 2014

Fundraising

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Campaign finance reports as of October 10, 2014
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Dannel Malloy (D) $6,501,239 $6,716,337 $2,326,904
Thomas C. Foley (R) $7,944,883 $8,230,236 $4,238,039
Source: Connecticut State Elections Enforcement Commission[47][48]

Polling

[edit]
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Dannel
Malloy (D) 		Thomas C.
Foley (R) 		Joe
Visconti (I) 		Other Undecided
Quinnipiac University[49] October 28 – November 2, 2014 926 ± 3.2% 43% 42% 8% 1% 6%
47% 44% — 1% 7%
Public Policy Polling[50] October 30 – November 1, 2014 931 ± 3.2% 44% 41% 6% — 8%
47% 44% — — 8%
Rasmussen Reports[51] October 29–30, 2014 977 ± 3% 48% 47% — 2% 4%
Quinnipiac University[52] October 22–27, 2014 838 ± 3.4% 43% 43% 7% 1% 6%
44% 46% — 1% 8%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov[53] October 16–23, 2014 1,267 ± 4% 40% 40% 3% 0% 17%
Quinnipiac University[54] October 14–20, 2014 1,010 ± 3.1% 43% 42% 9% 1% 6%
45% 45% — 2% 8%
Rasmussen Reports[51] October 14–16, 2014 980 ± 3.5% 43% 50% — 2% 4%
Quinnipiac University[55] October 1–6, 2014 1,085 ± 3% 43% 43% 9% — 5%
46% 46% — 1% 7%
Public Policy Polling[56] October 2–5, 2014 861 ± 3.3% 43% 35% 9% — 14%
45% 39% — — 16%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov[53] September 20 – October 1, 2014 1,284 ± 3% 41% 41% 3% 1% 14%
Quinnipiac University[57] September 3–8, 2014 1,304 ± 2.7% 40% 46% 7% 1% 6%
43% 49% — 1% 7%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov[58] August 18 – September 2, 2014 1,808 ± 3% 42% 41% — 3% 14%
Rasmussen Reports[51] August 18–19, 2014 750 ± 4% 38% 45% — 7% 10%
Gravis Marketing[59] August 4–7, 2014 440 ± 5% 38% 46% — — 16%
Anzalone Liszt Grove[60] July 28–29, 2014 900 ± ? 46% 46% — — 8%
Vox Populi Polling[61] July 27–28, 2014 550 ± 4.2% 35% 34% — 3%[62] 27%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov[63] July 5–24, 2014 1,177 ± ? 41% 48% — 4% 8%
Quinnipiac University[64] May 1–6, 2014 1,668 ± 2.4% 43% 43% — 1% 12%
Quinnipiac University[65] February 26 – March 2, 2014 1,878 ± 2.3% 42% 42% — 1% 14%
Quinnipiac University[66] June 12–17, 2013 1,154 ± 2.9% 40% 43% — 1% 16%
Hypothetical polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Dannel
Malloy (D) 		Toni
Boucher (R) 		Other Undecided
Quinnipiac University[65] February 26 – March 2, 2014 1,878 ± 2.3% 45% 34% 2% 19%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Dannel
Malloy (D) 		Mark
Boughton (R) 		Other Undecided
Quinnipiac University[64] May 1–6, 2014 1,668 ± 2.4% 44% 39% 1% 16%
Quinnipiac University[65] February 26 – March 2, 2014 1,878 ± 2.3% 44% 35% 2% 19%
Quinnipiac University[66] June 12–17, 2013 1,154 ± 2.9% 43% 36% 1% 19%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Dannel
Malloy (D) 		Lawrence F.
Cafero (R) 		Other Undecided
Quinnipiac University[66] June 12–17, 2013 1,154 ± 2.9% 44% 37% 2% 18%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Dannel
Malloy (D) 		Martha
Dean (R) 		Other Undecided
Quinnipiac University[64] May 1–6, 2014 1,668 ± 2.4% 46% 37% 1% 16%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Dannel
Malloy (D) 		Mark
Lauretti (R) 		Other Undecided
Quinnipiac University[64] May 1–6, 2014 1,668 ± 2.4% 45% 37% 1% 17%
Quinnipiac University[65] February 26 – March 2, 2014 1,878 ± 2.3% 44% 34% 2% 19%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Dannel
Malloy (D) 		John P.
McKinney (R) 		Other Undecided
Gravis Marketing[67] August 4–7, 2014 440 ± 5% 38% 45% — 17%
Quinnipiac University[64] May 1–6, 2014 1,668 ± 2.4% 44% 40% 1% 14%
Quinnipiac University[65] February 26 – March 2, 2014 1,878 ± 2.3% 43% 37% 1% 18%
Quinnipiac University[66] June 12–17, 2013 1,154 ± 2.9% 44% 37% 1% 18%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Dannel
Malloy (D) 		Generic
Republican 		Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[68] November 1–2, 2012 1,220 ± 2.8% 48% 37% — 15%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Dannel
Malloy (D) 		Joe
Visconti (R) 		Other Undecided
Quinnipiac University[64] May 1–6, 2014 1,668 ± 2.4% 46% 36% 1% 17%
Quinnipiac University[65] February 26 – March 2, 2014 1,878 ± 2.3% 45% 34% 2% 19%

Results

[edit]
2014 Connecticut gubernatorial election[69]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic Dannel Malloy 529,552 48.46% +1.25%
Working Families Dannel Malloy 24,762 2.27% −0.03%
Total Dannel Malloy (incumbent) 554,314 50.73% +1.22%
Republican Thomas C. Foley 503,998 46.12% −2.83%
Independent Party Thomas C. Foley 22,297 2.04% N/A
Total Thomas C. Foley 526,295 48.16% −0.79%
Independent Joe Visconti 11,456 1.05% N/A
Write-in 708 0.06% N/A
Total votes 1,092,773 100.00% N/A
Democratic hold

By county

[edit]
County Dannel Malloy

Democratic

Thomas Foley

Republican

Various candidates

Other parties

Total votes cast
Fairfield 128,714 49.72% 128,629 49.69% 1,530 0.59% 258,873
Hartford 148,096 53.51% 125,722 45.43% 2,947 1.06% 276,765
Litchfield 27,282 39.40% 40,992 59.20% 974 1.41% 69,248
Middlesex 31,478 49.45% 31,342 49.24% 833 1.31% 63,653
New Haven 135,973 53.37% 116,068 45.56% 2,713 1.06% 254,754
New London 42,983 51.30% 39,666 47.34% 1,132 1.35% 83,781
Tolland 23,887 45.99% 27,315 52.59% 738 1.42% 66,450
Windham 15,901 48.11% 16,561 50.11% 589 1.78% 33,051
Total 554,314 50.73% 526,295 48.16% 12,164 1.11% 1,092,773

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

By congressional district

[edit]

Despite his win, and managing to flip back 3 counties, Malloy only won 2 of the 5 congressional districts, while Foley won the other 3, all of which were held by Democrats. This result exactly replicated the previous election for governor in 2010 by congressional district between Malloy and Foley.[70]

District Dannel Malloy
Democratic 		Thomas Foley
Republican 		Various candidates
Independent 		Total votes cast Representative
# % # % # %
1st 122,097 54.33% 100,031 44.51% 2,610 1.16% 224,738 John B. Larson
2nd 111,560 47.96% 117,788 50.64% 3,246 1.40% 232,594 Joe Courtney
3rd 120,938 56.17% 92,107 42.79% 2,244 1.04% 215,289 Rosa DeLauro
4th 100,667 49.60% 100,711 49.62% 1,586 0.78% 202,964 Jim Himes
5th 99,052 45.60% 115,658 53.26% 2,478 1.14% 217,188 Elizabeth Esty
Totals 554,314 50.73% 526,295 48.16% 12,164 1.11% 1,092,773

See also

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References

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  1. ^ "Jonathan Pelto Announces Candidacy for Governor". June 12, 2014.
  2. ^ "Pelto falls 3,200 signatures short of spot on CT gubernatorial ballot". August 29, 2014.
  3. ^ "Yes, Dan Malloy is running in 2014". Ctmirror.org. March 28, 2014. Retrieved March 30, 2014.
  4. ^ Vigdor, Neil (March 17, 2014). "Whitnum says she's running for governor". Greenwich Time. Retrieved March 19, 2014.
  5. ^ a b c d e f Vigdor, Neil (May 18, 2014). "Foley gets GOP nod, but Boughton and McKinney to primary". Connecticut Post. Retrieved May 19, 2014.
  6. ^ "GOP Nominates Foley For Governor; Boughton, McKinney Qualify For Primary". The Courant. May 17, 2014. Retrieved May 20, 2014.
  7. ^ Stuart, Christine (April 24, 2014). "Visconti To Petition His Way Onto Primary Ballot". CT News Junkie. Retrieved May 25, 2014.
  8. ^ a b c Staff Report (May 22, 2014). "Lauretti Drops Down To Lieutenant Governor Race". CT News Junkie. Retrieved May 25, 2014.
  9. ^ a b c Pazniokas, Mark (June 6, 2014). "Visconti ends GOP campaign to run as independent". The Connecticut Mirror. Retrieved June 19, 2014.
  10. ^ a b "Lauretti fails to qualify for lieutenant governor primary". The Weston Forum. June 26, 2014. Archived from the original on September 3, 2014. Retrieved August 28, 2014.
  11. ^ a b "Mark Boughton Calls Off Campaign for Governor". NBC Connecticut. June 18, 2014. Retrieved July 1, 2014.
  12. ^ Swift, Jennifer (September 9, 2013). "Tom Foley Likely to Announce He's Exploring Run for Governor Tuesday". Connecticut Magazine. Retrieved May 19, 2014.
  13. ^ "Tom Foley to Run for Governor". NBC Connecticut. January 29, 2014. Retrieved May 19, 2014.
  14. ^ Dixon, Ken (July 23, 2013). "McKinney announces run for governor". CTPost. Retrieved July 24, 2013.
  15. ^ a b Keating, Christopher (27 August 2013). "Sen. Toni Boucher of Wilton Exploring Run For Governor; Facing Better-Known Opponents in 2014 Race". Hartford Courant. Archived from the original on 28 August 2013. Retrieved 28 August 2013.
  16. ^ David Gurliacci (March 11, 2014). "Sen. Boucher Gives up Governor Bid, to Run for Re-election". Berlin Patch. Archived from the original on March 12, 2014. Retrieved March 11, 2014.
  17. ^ Duplantier, Wes (August 14, 2013). "A Third Republican Eyes the Governor's Mansion". Hartford Courant. Archived from the original on August 15, 2013. Retrieved August 15, 2013.
  18. ^ Pazniokas, Mark (March 11, 2014). "Martha Dean enters Connecticut race for governor". The Connecticut Mirror. Retrieved March 11, 2014.
  19. ^ "Republican Martha Dean withdraws from Connecticut governor's race". The Register Citizen. May 9, 2014. Retrieved May 19, 2014.
  20. ^ Durrell, Brad (January 4, 2014). "Mayor Mark Lauretti of Shelton enters race for governor". Shelton Herald. Retrieved March 8, 2014.
  21. ^ "Republican John McKinney Officially Announces Candidacy for Connecticut Governor". County Times. July 23, 2013. Retrieved January 9, 2014.
  22. ^ McQuaid, Hugh (June 27, 2013). "Count Cafero Out". CT News Junkie. Retrieved June 28, 2013.
  23. ^ a b Vigdor, Neil (August 29, 2012). "CT Republicans already eying gov's race". Connecticut Post. Retrieved August 30, 2012.
  24. ^ Buzzeo, Anthony (April 20, 2013). "Former Lt. Gov Michael Fedele Starts Stamford Mayoral Run". Stamford Daily Voice. Retrieved July 24, 2013.
  25. ^ Altimari, Daniela (November 7, 2012). "Murphy Wins Bitter Connecticut Senate Race". The Hartford Courant. Retrieved November 7, 2012.
  26. ^ Quinnipiac
  27. ^ Quinnipiac
  28. ^ Quinnipiac
  29. ^ a b "Unofficial primary results" (PDF). Connecticut Secretary of State. August 12, 2014. Archived from the original (PDF) on September 3, 2014. Retrieved August 28, 2014.
  30. ^ Jennifer Swift (January 28, 2014). "Mark Boughton Taps Heather Bond Somers as Running Mate". Connecticut Mag. Retrieved May 27, 2014.
  31. ^ a b Mary E. O’Leary (May 22, 2014). "Somers dumps Boughton as running mate in Republican race". New Haven Register. Retrieved May 27, 2014.
  32. ^ Neil Vigdor (May 22, 2014). "Unfriendly split for Somers, Boughton". The News-Times. Retrieved May 27, 2014.
  33. ^ Bill Cummings (May 24, 2014). "Boughton and Lauretti team up". The News-Times. Retrieved May 27, 2014.
  34. ^ Mark Pazniokas (May 17, 2014). "McKinney, Walker form ticket, then each finishes third". CT Mirror. Retrieved May 27, 2014.
  35. ^ "Bacchiochi Wins GOP Lt. Gov. Nomination". CT News Junkie. May 17, 2014. Retrieved May 27, 2014.
  36. ^ a b "Shelton Mayor Mark Lauretti Falls Short in Bid for Lieutenant Governor". NBC Connecticut. June 24, 2014. Retrieved July 1, 2014.
  37. ^ "Visconti Endorses Foley for Governor". nbcconnecticut.com. November 2, 2014. Retrieved November 2, 2014.
  38. ^ "Haddam School Board Member Rejects Evolution". Hartford Courant. November 1, 2014. Retrieved March 15, 2010.
  39. ^ Jon Lender (May 13, 2014). "Pelto Could Upend Gubernatorial Race As 3rd-Party Candidate". Hartford Courant. Archived from the original on May 17, 2014. Retrieved May 19, 2014.
  40. ^ Mary E. O’Leary (May 20, 2014). "Former state Rep. Jonathan Pelto explores third-party run for governor". New Haven Register. Retrieved May 28, 2014.
  41. ^ Neil Vigdor (June 13, 2014). "Spoiler alert: Pelto to challenge Malloy as 3rd-party candidate". Connecticut Post. Retrieved June 19, 2014.
  42. ^ Schoenfield, Samantha (August 29, 2014). "Jonathan Pelto Won't Appear On Ballot For Governor". FOX CT. Retrieved September 3, 2014.
  43. ^ "2014 Governor Race Ratings for November 3, 2014". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved September 3, 2018.
  44. ^ "The Crystal Ball's Final 2014 Picks". Sabato's Crystal Ball. November 3, 2014. Retrieved September 3, 2018.
  45. ^ "2014 Gubernatorial Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved September 3, 2018.
  46. ^ "2014 Elections Map - 2014 Governors Races". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved September 3, 2018.
  47. ^ "Itemized Campaign Finance Disclosure Statement" (PDF). CT.gov.
  48. ^ "Itemized Campaign Finance Disclosure Statement" (PDF). CT.gov.
  49. ^ Quinnipiac University
  50. ^ Public Policy Polling
  51. ^ a b c Rasmussen Reports
  52. ^ Quinnipiac University
  53. ^ a b CBS News/NYT/YouGov
  54. ^ Quinnipiac University
  55. ^ Quinnipiac University
  56. ^ Public Policy Polling
  57. ^ Quinnipiac University
  58. ^ CBS News/NYT/YouGov
  59. ^ Gravis Marketing
  60. ^ Anzalone Liszt Grove
  61. ^ Vox Populi Polling
  62. ^ Jonathan Pelto (I)
  63. ^ CBS News/NYT/YouGov
  64. ^ a b c d e f Quinnipiac University
  65. ^ a b c d e f Quinnipiac University
  66. ^ a b c d Quinnipiac University
  67. ^ Gravis Marketing
  68. ^ Public Policy Polling
  69. ^ "Statement of Vote, General Election November 4, 2014" (PDF). State of Connecticut Secretary of State.
  70. ^ "Statement of The Vote" (PDF). CT.gov.
[edit]

Official campaign websites (Archived)

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