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2012 United States House of Representatives elections in Florida

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2012 United States House of Representatives elections in Florida

← 2010 November 6, 2012 (2012-11-06) 2014 →

All 27 Florida seats to the United States House of Representatives
  Majority party Minority party
 
Party Republican Democratic
Last election 19 6
Seats won 17 10
Seat change Decrease 2 Increase 4
Popular vote 4,157,046 3,678,725
Percentage 51.61% 45.67%
Swing Decrease 4.00% Increase 7.63%

The 2012 United States House of Representatives elections in Florida were held on Tuesday, November 6, 2012, to elect the twenty-seven congressional representatives from the state, one from each of the state's twenty-seven congressional districts, a two-seat increase due to the 2010 United States census. The elections coincided with the elections of other federal and state offices, including a quadrennial presidential election, and a U.S. Senate election. The primary elections were held August 14, 2012.

Redistricting

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In November 2010, Florida voters passed two amendments to the Florida Constitution which would require congressional and state legislative districts to be compact and follow geographical boundaries, thereby preventing gerrymandering. Shortly after the amendments were passed, U.S. Representatives Corrine Brown and Mario Diaz-Balart filed a lawsuit asking that the amendment concerning congressional districts be declared invalid.[1] Brown and Diaz-Balart alleged that the power to change rules for congressional redistricting lies exclusively with the state legislature, and as such cannot be changed through a referendum; however, in January 2012 a three-judge panel of the 11th U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals rejected their arguments.[2]

Redistricting legislation which would create one new district each in North Florida and Central Florida was passed by a committee of the Florida House of Representatives on January 27,[3] by the full House of Representatives on February 3,[4] and by the Florida Senate on February 9. Shortly after, the Florida Democratic Party announced it would file a lawsuit, alleging that the map violated the Fair Districts provision, which requires that maps do not intentionally favor parties or incumbents. Separately, a coalition of groups including Common Cause, the League of Women Voters and the National Council of La Raza announced it would file its own challenge on the legislation's being signed into law.[5]

Overview

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The table below shows the total number and percentage of votes, as well as the number of seats gained and lost by each political party in the election for the United States House of Representatives in Florida. All vote totals come from the Florida Secretary of State's website along with the individual counties' election department websites.

United States House of Representatives elections in Florida, 2012
Party Votes Percentage Seats +/–
Republican 4,157,046 51.61% 17 -2
Democratic 3,678,725 45.67% 10 +4
Other Parties 219,374 2.72% 0 -
Totals 8,055,145 100% 27 +2

District 1

[edit]
2012 Florida's 1st congressional district election

← 2010
2014 →
 
Nominee Jeff Miller Jim Bryan
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 238,440 92,961
Percentage 69.6% 27.1%

County results
Miller:      60–70%      70–80%

U.S. Representative before election

Jeff Miller
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Jeff Miller
Republican

Florida's new 1st district voting age population is 77.6% White (single race), 12.9% Blacks (includes multirace), 4.3% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Blacks), 0.3% Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), and 5% other races [6] Republican incumbent Jeff Miller, who had represented Florida's 1st congressional district since 2001, ran for re-election and secured the Republican nomination unopposed.

Republican primary

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Candidates

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Nominee
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Democratic primary

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Candidates

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Nominee
[edit]
  • James Bryan, army veteran[7]

Libertarian primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]

Independents

[edit]

William Cleave Drummond, II ran for election as a write-in candidate.[7]

General election

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Endorsements

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Jeff Miller (R)

Organizations

Results

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Florida's 1st congressional district, 2012 [11]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Jeff Miller (incumbent) 238,440 69.6
Democratic Jim Bryan 92,961 27.1
Libertarian Calen Fretts 11,176 3.3
Independent William Cleave (write-in) 17 0.0
Total votes 342,594 100.0
Republican hold

District 2

[edit]
2012 Florida's 2nd congressional district election

← 2010
2014 →
 
Nominee Steve Southerland Al Lawson
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 175,856 157,634
Percentage 52.7% 47.2%

County results
Southerland:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%
Lawson:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%

U.S. Representative before election

Steve Southerland
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Steve Southerland
Republican

Florida's new 2nd district voting age population is 68.5% non-Hispanic Whites (single race), 23.5% non-Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), 4.4% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Blacks), 0.3% Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), and 3.3% other races (non-Hispanic).[6] Republican incumbent Steve Southerland was first elected to represent Florida's 2nd congressional district in 2010 and secured the Republican nomination unopposed.[7]

Republican primary

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Candidates

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Nominee
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Democratic primary

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Former Republican state senator Nancy Argenziano was being barred from running as a Democrat by state law, and tried to run on the Independent Party of Florida line, but ultimately withdrew.[12]

Candidates

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Nominee
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Eliminated in primary
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Withdrawn
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Primary results

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Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Al Lawson 46,900 54.6
Democratic Leonard Bembry 22,357 26.0
Democratic Alvin L. Peters 11,919 13.9
Democratic Mark Schlakman 4,653 5.4
Total votes 85,829 100.0

General election

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Endorsements

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Steve Southerland (R)
Al Lawson (D)

Organizations

Polling

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Poll
source
Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Steve
Southerland (R)
Al
Lawson (D)
Undecided
StPetePolls[19] October 3–5, 2012 450 ± 4.6% 46% 47% 8%
Lester (D-DCCC)[20] September 15–17, 2012 401 ± 4.9% 43% 43% 14%

Predictions

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Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[21] Lean R November 5, 2012
Rothenberg[22] Likely R November 2, 2012
Roll Call[23] Lean R November 17, 2012
Sabato's Crystal Ball[24] Lean R December 12, 2012
NY Times[25] Lean R November 4, 2012
RCP[26] Lean R November 4, 2012
The Hill[27] Likely R November 4, 2012

Results

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Southerland defeated Lawson for re-election to a second term, 53% to 47%, on November 6, 2012.

Florida's 2nd congressional district, 2012 [11]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Steve Southerland (incumbent) 175,856 52.7
Democratic Al Lawson 157,634 47.2
Independent Floyd Patrick Miller (write-in) 228 0.1
Total votes 333,718 100.0
Republican hold

District 3

[edit]
2012 Florida's 3rd congressional district election

← 2010
2014 →
 
Nominee Ted Yoho J. R. Gaillot
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 204,331 102,468
Percentage 64.7% 32.5%

County results
Yoho:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%

U.S. Representative before election

Cliff Stearns
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Ted Yoho
Republican

Florida's new 3rd district voting age population is 75.8% non-Hispanic Whites (single race), 12.9% non-Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), 6.7% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Blacks), 0.3% Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), and 4.3% other races (non-Hispanic).[6] Republican Cliff Stearns, who had represented the 6th District since 1989, had his home in Ocala drawn into the neighboring 11th District. However, he opted to seek reelection in the 3rd, which contained more than two-thirds of his former territory.

Republican primary

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Stearns was upset in the primary by Ted Yoho, a large-animal veterinarian from Gainesville.

Candidates

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Nominee
[edit]
Eliminated in primary
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Primary results

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Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Ted Yoho 22,273 34.4
Republican Cliff Stearns (incumbent) 21,398 33.0
Republican Steve Oelrich 12,329 19.0
Republican James Jett 8,769 13.5
Total votes 64,769 100.0

Democratic primary

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Candidates

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Nominee
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  • J.R. Gaillot, policy consultant

General election

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Endorsements

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Polling

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Poll
source
Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Ted
Yoho (R)
J. R.
Gaillot (D)
Undecided
StPetePolls[30] September 1–3, 2012 668 ± 5.0% 56% 31% 13%

Results

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Florida's 3rd congressional district, 2012 [11]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Ted Yoho 204,331 64.7
Democratic J. R. Gaillot 102,468 32.5
Independent Philip Dodds 8,870 2.8
Total votes 315,669 100.0
Republican hold

District 4

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Florida's new 4th district voting age population is 74.9% non-Hispanic Whites (single race), 12.5% non-Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), 6.3% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Blacks), 0.4% Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), and 5.9% other races (non-Hispanic).[6] Republican incumbent Ander Crenshaw, who had represented the 4th District since 2001, ran for re-election.[31]

Republican primary

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Candidates

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Nominee
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Eliminated in primary
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  • Bob Black
  • Deborah Pueschel

Primary results

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Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Ander Crenshaw (incumbent) 46,788 71.9
Republican Bob Black 11,816 18.1
Republican Deborah Katz Pueschel 6,505 10.0
Total votes 65,109 100.0

Democratic primary

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Candidates

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Withdrawn
[edit]
  • Gary Koniz

General election

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Endorsements

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Ander Crenshaw (R)

Organizations

Results

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Florida's 4th congressional district, 2012 [11]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Ander Crenshaw (incumbent) 239,988 76.1
Independent Jim Klauder 75,236 23.8
Independent Gary Koniz (write-in) 246 0.1
Total votes 315,470 100.0
Republican hold

District 5

[edit]
2012 Florida's 5th congressional district election

← 2010
2014 →
 
Nominee Corrine Brown LeAnne Kolb
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 190,472 70,700
Percentage 70.8% 26.3%

County results
Brown:      60–70%      70–80%
Kolb:      40–50%      50–60%      70–80%

U.S. Representative before election

Corrine Brown
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Corrine Brown
Democratic

Florida's new 5th district voting age population is 49% non-Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), 36.2% non-Hispanic Whites (single race), 10% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Blacks), 1.1% Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), and 3.7% other races (non-Hispanic).[6] It is the successor to the former 3rd district, which has been represented by Democrat Corrine Brown since 1993.[32]

Democratic primary

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Candidates

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Nominee
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Republican primary

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Candidates

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Nominee
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Withdrawn
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Libertarian primary

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Gerald Nyren announced plans to run as a Libertarian Party candidate.[34]

General election

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Endorsements

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Results

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Florida's 5th congressional district, 2012 [11]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Corrine Brown (incumbent) 190,472 70.8
Republican LeAnne Kolb 70,700 26.3
Independent Eileen Fleming 7,978 3.0
Independent Bruce Raey Riggs (write-in) 3 0.0
Total votes 269,153 100.0
Democratic hold

District 6

[edit]
2012 Florida's 6th congressional district election

2014 →
 
Nominee Ron DeSantis Heather Beaven
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 195,962 146,489
Percentage 57.2% 41.4%

County results
DeSantis:      50–60%      60–70%

U.S. Representative before election

John Mica
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Ron DeSantis
Republican

In redistricting, most of the old 7th district was renumbered as the new 6th district. John Mica, who had represented the 7th District since 1993, had his home drawn into the neighboring 7th District, and opted to seek re-election there.

Florida's new 6th district voting age population is 82.8% non-Hispanic Whites (single race), 8.8% non-Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), 5.4% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Blacks), 0.3% Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), and 2.7% other races (non-Hispanic).[6]

Republican primary

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Candidates

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Nominee
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Eliminated in primary
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Declined
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Primary results

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Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Ron DeSantis 24,132 38.8
Republican Fred Costello 14,189 22.8
Republican Beverly Slough 8,229 13.2
Republican Craig Miller 8,113 13.1
Republican Richard Clark 6,090 9.8
Republican Alec Pueschel 739 1.2
Republican William Billy Kogut 628 1.0
Total votes 62,120 100.0

Democratic primary

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Candidates

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Nominee
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Eliminated in primary
[edit]
  • Vipin Verma, attorney[40]

Primary results

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Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Heather Beaven 29,909 80.5
Democratic Vipin Verma 7,253 19.5
Total votes 37,162 100.0

General election

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Endorsements

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Results

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Florida's 6th congressional district, 2012 [11]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Ron DeSantis 195,962 57.3
Democratic Heather Beaven 146,489 42.8
Total votes 342,451 100.0
Republican hold

District 7

[edit]
2012 Florida's 7th congressional district election

← 2010
2014 →
 
Nominee John Mica Jason Kendall
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 185,518 130,479
Percentage 58.7% 41.3%

County results
Mica:      50–60%      60–70%

U.S. Representative before election

John Mica (Republican)
Sandy Adams (Republican)

Elected U.S. Representative

John Mica
Republican

The new 7th District is the successor to the old 24th District, represented by Republican Sandy Adams since 2011. John Mica, who had represented the old 7th District since 1993, had his home drawn into the new 7th. The new district voting age population is 70.2% non-Hispanic Whites (single race), 8.1% non-Hispanic blacks (includes multirace), 8.1 percent Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Blacks), 0.9 percent Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace) and 4.7% other races (non-Hispanic).[6]

Republican primary

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Candidates

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Nominee
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  • John Mica, incumbent U.S. Representative from the 6th district
Eliminated in primary
[edit]
  • Sandy Adams, incumbent U.S. Representative from the 24th district

Endorsements

[edit]

Primary results

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Mica defeated Adams in the Republican primary with 61 percent of the vote.

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican John Mica (incumbent) 32,119 61.2
Republican Sandy Adams (incumbent) 20,404 38.8
Total votes 52,523 100.0

Democratic primary

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Candidates

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Nominee
[edit]
  • Jason Kendall, social media consultant and sales manager
Eliminated in primary
[edit]
  • Nicholas Ruiz

Primary results

[edit]
Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Jason H. Kendall 12,816 61.3
Democratic Nicholas Ruiz 8,088 38.7
Total votes 20,904 100.0

General election

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Endorsements

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John Mica (R)

Organizations

Results

[edit]
Florida's 7th congressional district, 2012 [11]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican John Mica (incumbent) 185,518 58.7
Democratic Jason H. Kenall 130,479 41.3
Independent Fred Marra (write-in) 13 0.0
Total votes 316,010 100.0
Republican hold

District 8

[edit]
2012 Florida's 8th congressional district election

← 2010
2014 →
 
Nominee Bill Posey Shannon Roberts
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 205,432 130,870
Percentage 58.9% 37.5%

County results
Posey:      50–60%

U.S. Representative before election

Bill Posey
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Bill Posey
Republican

The new 8th District was the successor to the 15th District, represented by Republican Bill Posey since 2009. The voting age population was 80.4% non-Hispanic Whites (single race), 8.7% non-Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), 7.3% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Blacks), 0.4% Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), and 3.2% other races (non-Hispanic).[6]

Republican primary

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Candidates

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Nominee
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Democratic primary

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Candidates

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Nominee
[edit]
  • Shannon Roberts, former NASA & federal official and Cape Canaveral City Council Member[44]

General election

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Bill Posey (R)

Organizations

Shannon Roberts (D)

Labor unions

Results

[edit]
Florida's 8th congressional district, 2012 [11]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Bill Posey (incumbent) 205,432 58.9
Democratic Shannon Roberts 130,870 37.5
Independent Richard Gillmor 12,607 3.6
Total votes 348,909 100.0
Republican hold

District 9

[edit]
2012 Florida's 9th congressional district election

2014 →
 
Nominee Alan Grayson Todd Long
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 164,891 98,856
Percentage 62.5% 37.5%

County results
Grayson:      60–70%

U.S. Representative before election

New seat

Elected U.S. Representative

Alan Grayson
Democratic

The new 9th district, an open seat located south of Orlando, is expected to favor Democrats.[45] It contains all of Osceola County, part of Orange County (including the Orlando International Airport), and part of Polk County. The district's inhabitants voted overwhelmingly for President Barack Obama, preferring him to John McCain 60-39%. In addition, the district will contain a plurality of whites, at 43%, followed by Hispanics and blacks, who will make up 41% and 12% of the population, respectively.[46][47][48] The new 9th district voting age population is 42.9% non-Hispanic Whites (single race), 39.1% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Blacks), 10.1% non-Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), 2.3% Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), and 5.6% other races (non-Hispanic).[6]

Democratic primary

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Candidates

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Nominee
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Republican primary

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Candidates

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Nominee
[edit]
  • Todd Long, attorney, conservative radio show host and candidate for the 8th District in 2008 & 2010
Eliminated in primary
[edit]
  • Julius Melendez
  • Mark Oxner, businessman
  • John Quinones

Primary results

[edit]
Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Todd Long 12,585 47.3
Republican John "Q" Quinones 7,514 28.3
Republican Julius Anthony Melendez 3,983 15.0
Republican Mark Oxner 2,510 9.4
Total votes 26,592 100.0

General election

[edit]

Endorsements

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Polling

[edit]
Poll
source
Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Alan
Grayson (D)
Todd
Long (R)
Undecided
Gravis Marketing (D-Grayson)[54] October 11–12, 2012 487 ± 4.5% 56% 41% 3%
StPetePolls[19] October 3–5, 2012 363 ± 5.1% 45% 42% 13%
Kitchens (D-Grayson)[55] September 18–21, 2012 507 ± 4.4% 48% 34% 19%
StPetePolls[30] September 1–3, 2012 629 ± 5.0% 46% 41% 13%

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report Likely D (flip) November 5, 2012
Rothenberg[22] Safe D (flip) November 2, 2012
Roll Call[23] Safe D (flip) November 17, 2012
Sabato's Crystal Ball[24] Safe D (flip) December 12, 2012
NY Times[25] Lean D (flip) November 4, 2012
RCP[26] Likely D (flip) November 4, 2012
The Hill[27] Likely D (flip) November 4, 2012

Results

[edit]
Florida's 9th congressional district, 2012 [11]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Alan Grayson 164,891 62.5
Republican Todd Long 98,856 37.5
Total votes 263,747 100.0
Democratic win (new seat)

District 10

[edit]
2012 Florida's 10th congressional district election

← 2010
2014 →
 
Nominee Daniel Webster Val Demings
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 164,649 153,574
Percentage 51.7% 48.3%

County results
Webster:      50–60%
Demings:      50–60%

U.S. Representative before election

Daniel Webster
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Daniel Webster
Republican

In redistricting, the 8th district was renumbered as the 10th district. Republican Daniel Webster, who had represented the 8th district since January 2011, sort re-election.[45] The new 10th district voting age population is 69.9% non-Hispanic Whites (single race), 13.5% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Blacks), 10.4% non-Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), 0.7% Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), and 5.4% other races (non-Hispanic).[6]

Republican primary

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Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
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Democratic primary

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Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
Declined
[edit]

General election

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Endorsements

[edit]
Daniel Webster (R)

Polling

[edit]
Poll
source
Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Daniel
Webster (R)
Val
Demings (D)
Undecided
Global Strategy Group (D-DCCC)[59] October 11–14, 2012 401 ± 4.9% 43% 41% 16%
StPetePolls[19] October 3–5, 2012 498 ± 4.4% 51% 40% 9%
Global Strategy Group (D-DCCC)[60] September 22–25, 2012 402 ± % 46% 41% 13%

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report Lean R November 5, 2012
Rothenberg[22] Lean R November 2, 2012
Roll Call[23] Lean R November 17, 2012
Sabato's Crystal Ball[24] Lean R December 12, 2012
NY Times[25] Lean R November 4, 2012
RCP[26] Lean R November 4, 2012
The Hill[27] Tossup November 4, 2012

Results

[edit]
Florida's 10th congressional district, 2012 [11]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Daniel Webster (incumbent) 164,649 51.7
Democratic Val Demings 153,574 48.3
Independent Naipaul Seegolam (write-in) 46 0.0
Total votes 318,269 100.0
Republican hold

District 11

[edit]
2012 Florida's 11th congressional district election

← 2010
2014 →
 
Nominee Rich Nugent H. David Werder
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 218,360 120,303
Percentage 64.5% 35.5%

County results
Nugent:      50–60%      60–70%

U.S. Representative before election

Rich Nugent
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Rich Nugent
Republican

In redistricting, most of the old 5th District became the 11th District. Rich Nugent, who had represented the 5th since 2011, ran for re-election in the 11th.[61] The new 11th district voting age population is 83.1% non-Hispanic Whites (single race), 7.3% non-Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), 7% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Blacks), 0.4% Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), and 2.2% other races (non-Hispanic).[6]

Republican primary

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Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]

General election

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Rich Nugent (R)

Organizations

Results

[edit]
Florida's 11th congressional district, 2012 [11]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Rich Nugent (incumbent) 218,360 64.5
Democratic H. David Werder 120,303 35.5
Total votes 338,663 100.0
Republican hold

District 12

[edit]
2012 Florida's 12th congressional district election

← 2010
2014 →
 
Nominee Gus Bilirakis Jonathan Snow
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 209,604 108,770
Percentage 63.5% 32.9%

County results
Bilirakis :      60–70%

U.S. Representative before election

Gus Bilirakis
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Gus Bilirakis
Republican

In redistricting, most of the old 9th District became the 12th district. Republican Gus Bilirakis, who had represented the 9th District since 2007, ran for re-election in the 12th.[62] The new 12th district voting age population is 82.6% non-Hispanic Whites (single race), 9.6% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Blacks), 4% non-Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), 0.4% Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), and 3.5% other races (non-Hispanic).[6]

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
  • Jonathan Snow, photo specialist and former teacher[44]

Independents

[edit]

John Russell, an acute care nurse practitioner, had announced prior to redistricting that he would run as an independent in the 11th District.[63] However, after he was drawn into the 12th, he opted to seek election there.[44]

General election

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Gus Bilirakis (R)

Organizations

Polling

[edit]
Poll
source
Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Gus
Bilirakis (R)
Jonathan
Snow (D)
Paul
Elliott (I)
John
Russell (I)
Undecided
StPetePolls[30] September 1–3, 2012 668 ± 5.0% 57% 27% 2% 2% 12%

Results

[edit]
Florida's 12th congressional district, 2012 [11]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Gus Bilirakis (incumbent) 209,604 63.5
Democratic Jonathan Michael Snow 108,770 32.9
Independent John Russell 6,878 2.1
Independent Paul Siney Elliott 4,915 1.5
Total votes 330,167 100.0
Republican hold

District 13

[edit]

In redistricting, most of the old 10th District became the 13th District. Bill Young, who had represented the 10th and its predecessors since 1971, ran for re-election. The new 13th district voting age population is 83.5% non-Hispanic Whites (single race), 7% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Blacks), 5% non-Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), 0.3% Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), and 4.2% other races (non-Hispanic).[6]

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]
  • Darren Ayres
  • Madeline Vance

Primary results

[edit]
Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican C. W. Bill Young (incumbent) 39,395 69.1
Republican Darren Ayres 10,548 18.5
Republican Madeline Vance 7,049 12.4
Total votes 56,992 100.0

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
Withdrawn
[edit]
  • Nina Hayden
Declined
[edit]

Independent

[edit]

Declined

[edit]

General election

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]

Polling

[edit]
Poll
source
Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Bill
Young (R)
Jessica
Ehrlich (D)
Undecided
StPetePolls[19] October 3–5, 2012 533 ± 4.3% 49% 40% 11%
StPetePolls[30] September 1–3, 2012 1,691 ± 5.0% 50% 39% 11%
DCCC (D)[67] July 18, 2012 800 ± 3.5% 49% 35% 16%

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report Safe R November 5, 2012
Rothenberg[22] Safe R November 2, 2012
Roll Call[23] Safe R November 17, 2012
Sabato's Crystal Ball[24] Safe R December 12, 2012
NY Times[25] Safe R November 4, 2012
RCP[26] Likely R November 4, 2012
The Hill[27] Lean R November 4, 2012

Results

[edit]
Florida's 13th congressional district, 2012 [11]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Bill Young (incumbent) 189,605 57.6
Democratic Jessica Ehrlich 139,742 42.4
Total votes 329,347 100.0
Republican hold

District 14

[edit]
2012 Florida's 14th congressional district election

← 2010
2014 →
 
Nominee Kathy Castor EJ Otero
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 197,121 83,480
Percentage 70.2% 29.8%

County results
Castor:      60–70%      80-90%

U.S. Representative before election

Kathy Castor
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Kathy Castor
Democratic

In redistricting, the 11th District was renumbered as the 14th District. Democrat Kathy Castor, who has represented the 11th since 2007, ran for re-election here.[44] Florida's new 14th district voting age population is 46.5% non-Hispanic Whites (single race), 24% non-Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), 24% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Blacks), 1.6% Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), and 3.8% other races (non-Hispanic).[6]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
  • Evelio Otero, retired Air Force colonel
Eliminated in primary
[edit]
  • Eddie Adams, architect
Declined
[edit]

Primary results

[edit]
Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Evelio "EJ" Otero 12,084 60.3
Republican Eddie Adams 7,953 39.7
Total votes 20,037 100.0

General election

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]

Polling

[edit]
Poll
source
Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Kathy
Castor (D)
EJ
Otero (R)
Undecided
StPetePolls[30] September 1–3, 2012 1,459 ± 5.0% 59% 32% 9%

Results

[edit]
Florida's 14th congressional district, 2012 [11]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Kathy Castor (incumbent) 197,121 70.2
Republican EJ Otero 83,480 29.8
Total votes 280,601 100.0
Democratic hold

District 15

[edit]

In redistricting, the 12th district was renumbered as the 15th district. Dennis Ross, who had represented the 12th district since 2011, ran for re-election.[73] The new 15th district voting age population is 68.6% non-Hispanic Whites (single race), 14.2% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Blacks), 12% non-Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), 0.7% Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), and 4.5% other races (non-Hispanic).[6]

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]

General election

[edit]

No other party put up a candidate.

Endorsements

[edit]
Dennis Ross (R)

Organizations

Results

[edit]
Florida's 15th congressional district, 2012
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Dennis Ross (incumbent) Unopposed N/a
Total votes N/a
Republican hold

District 16

[edit]

In redistricting, the Florida's 13th congressional district was renumbered as the 16th district. Republican Vern Buchanan, who had represented the 13th since 2007, ran for re-election in the 16th after deciding against running for the U.S. Senate.[74][75] The new 16th district voting age population is 83.5% non-Hispanic Whites (single race), 8.5% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Blacks), 5.6% non-Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), 0.3% Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), and 2.2% other races (non-Hispanic).[6]

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Prior to redistricting, former state representative Keith Fitzgerald had announced he would seek the Democratic nomination to challenge Buchanan.[76]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]

General election

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]

Polling

[edit]
Poll
source
Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Vern
Buchanan (R)
Keith
Fitzgerald (D)
Undecided
StPetePolls[19] October 3–5, 2012 494 ± 4.4% 55% 38% 7%
StPetePolls[30] September 1–3, 2012 897 ± 5.0% 56% 37% 7%
Public Policy Polling (D-Fitzgerald)[77] July 18–19, 2012 586 ± 4.1% 44% 36% 19%
Public Opinion Strategies (R-Buchanan)[78] July 15–16, 2012 500 ± 4.9% 54% 32% 14%
Public Opinion Strategies (R-Buchanan)[79] March 20–21, 2012 400 ± 4.9% 58% 36% 6%
SEA Polling (D-Fitzgerald)[80] February 12–18, 2012 400 ± 4.9% 49% 38% 13%

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report Likely R November 5, 2012
Rothenberg[22] Likely R November 2, 2012
Roll Call[23] Likely R November 17, 2012
Sabato's Crystal Ball[24] Likely R December 12, 2012
NY Times[25] Lean R November 4, 2012
RCP[26] Likely R November 4, 2012
The Hill[27] Likely R November 4, 2012

Results

[edit]
Florida's 16th congressional district, 2012 [11]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Vern Buchanan (incumbent) 187,147 53.6
Democratic Keith Fitzgerald 161,929 46.4
Total votes 349,076 100.0
Republican hold

District 17

[edit]
2012 Florida's 17th congressional district election

← 2010
2014 →
 
Nominee Tom Rooney William Bronson
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 165,488 116,766
Percentage 58.6% 41.4%

County results
Rooney:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%

U.S. Representative before election

Tom Rooney
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Tom Rooney
Republican

The new 17th district, an open seat for a large district comprising parts of 10 South and Central Florida counties as well as parts of the Everglades watershed, is expected to favor Republicans.[45][81] Republican Tom Rooney, who had represented the 16th district since 2009, ran for re-election in the new 17th district.[82] The new 17th district voting age population is 75.4% non-Hispanic Whites (single race), 13.9% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Blacks), 7.9% non-Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), 0.4% Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), and 2.3% other races (non-Hispanic).[6]

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]
Withdrawn
[edit]
  • Karen Diebel, former Winter Park city commissioner and candidate for the 24th district in 2010[83]

Primary results

[edit]
Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Tom Rooney (incumbent) 37,881 73.2
Republican Joe Arnold 13,871 26.8
Total votes 51,752 100.0

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
  • William Bronson, retired Delta Air Lines pilot (formerly an unsuccessful Republican candidate in Massachusetts and Georgia)

Minor parties

[edit]

26-year-old Tom Baumann from Miami (who ran unsuccessful campaigns in Minnesota and in the Borough of Manhattan) ran as a write-in candidate for the Socialist Workers Party.

General election

[edit]

Campaign

[edit]

As of the September FEC financial reporting deadline Rooney had collected $930,248 in campaign contributions and had $564,716 on hand; the FEC had no reports on Bronson or Baumann.[81][84][85]

Endorsements

[edit]
Tom Rooney (R)

Organizations

Results

[edit]
Florida's 17th congressional district, 2012 [11]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Tom Rooney (incumbent) 165,488 58.6
Democratic William Bronson 116,766 41.4
Socialist Workers Tom Baumann (write-in) 12 0.0
Total votes 282,266 100.0
Republican win (new seat)

District 18

[edit]
2012 Florida's 18th congressional district election

2014 →
 
Nominee Patrick Murphy Allen West
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 166,257 164,353
Percentage 50.3% 49.7%

County results
Murphy:      50–60%
West:      50–60%

U.S. Representative before election

New seat

Elected U.S. Representative

Patrick Murphy
Democratic

Allen West, who was first elected to represent Florida's 22nd congressional district in 2010, ran for re-election in the new 18th district.[86] The new 18th district voting age population is 74.7% non-Hispanic Whites (single race), 11.6% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Blacks), 10.6% non-Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), 0.4% Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), and 2.7% other races (non-Hispanic).[6]

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]

Primary results

[edit]
Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Allen B. West (incumbent) 45,790 74.4
Republican Robert L. Crowder 15,758 25.6
Total votes 61,548 100.0

Democratic primary

[edit]

Patrick Murphy, an environmental services executive, had planned to seek the Democratic nomination in the 22nd district,[88] but announced in February 2012 that he would continue to challenge West in the 18th district.[89]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]
  • Jerry Buechler
  • Jim Horn

Primary results

[edit]
Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Patrick Murphy 26,791 79.7
Democratic Jim Horn 3,843 11.4
Democratic Jerry Lee Buechler 2,984 8.9
Total votes 33,618 100.0

Independents

[edit]

Marilyn Davis Holloman qualified to run as a write-in.[90] Everett Wilkinson, the chair of the South Florida Tea Party and registered to vote with no party affiliation, decided not to run.[91]

General election

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Allen West (R)

Debates

[edit]

Polling

[edit]
Poll
source
Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Allen
West (R)
Patrick
Murphy (D)
Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[93] October 25–26, 2012 631 ± ?% 47% 48% 5%
Frederick Polls (D-Murphy)[94] October 16–17, 2012 333 ± 5.3% 47% 47% 6%
Sunshine State News/VSS[95] October 16–17, 2012 752 ± 3.6% 49% 48% 3%
Public Policy Polling (D)[96] October 15–16, 2012 500 ± 4.0% 51% 42% 8%
StPetePolls[19] October 3–5, 2012 902 ± 3.3% 53% 41% 7%
Kimball Political Consulting (R)[97] September 28, 2012 408 ± 4.8% 45% 49% 6%
Garin-Hart-Yang (D-House Majority PAC)[98] September 26–27, 2012 401 ± 4.9% 43% 52% 5%
Public Opinion Strategies (R-West)[99] September 24–25, 2012 400 ± 4.9% 52% 41% 7%
StPetePolls[30] September 1–3, 2012 535 ± 5.0% 49% 43% 9%
Grove Insight (D-DCCC)[100] August 21–24, 2012 400 ± 4.9% 46% 47% 7%
Frederick Polls (D-Murphy)[101] May 6–8, 2012 500 ± 4.3% 45% 45% 10%

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report Tossup November 5, 2012
Rothenberg[22] Tilts R November 2, 2012
Roll Call[23] Lean R November 17, 2012
Sabato's Crystal Ball[24] Lean R December 12, 2012
NY Times[25] Tossup November 4, 2012
RCP[26] Tossup November 4, 2012
The Hill[27] Tossup November 4, 2012

Results

[edit]
Florida's 18th congressional district, 2012 [11]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Patrick Murphy 166,257 50.3
Republican Allen West (incumbent) 164,353 49.7
Independent Marilyn Davis Holloman (write-in) 55 0.0
Total votes 330,665 100.0
Democratic gain from Republican

District 19

[edit]

In redistricting, the 14th district was renumbered as the 19th district.[45] Connie Mack IV, who had represented the 14th district since 2005, will run for the U.S. Senate rather than for re-election.[102] The new 19th district voting age population is 77.1% non-Hispanic Whites (single race), 14.4% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Blacks), 6% non-Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), 0.5% Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), and 2.1% other races (non-Hispanic).[6]

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]
Withdrawn
[edit]
  • Timothy John Rossano[108]
Declined
[edit]

Primary results

[edit]
Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Trey Radel 22,304 30.0
Republican Chauncey Porter Goss 16,005 21.5
Republican Paige Kreegel 13,167 17.7
Republican Gary Aubuchon 11,498 15.5
Republican Byron Donalds 10,389 14.0
Republican Joe Davidow 1,028 1.4
Total votes 74,391 100.0

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
  • James Roach, retired GM research engineer, decorated Vietnam combat veteran and nominee for the 14th district in 2010[113]

Independents

[edit]

Brandon Smith was on the general election ballot as an independent candidate.

General election

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]

Results

[edit]
Florida's 19th congressional district, 2012 [11]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Trey Radel 189,833 62.0
Democratic Jim Roach 109,746 35.8
Independent Brandon M. Smith 6,637 2.2
Total votes 306,216 100.0
Republican hold

District 20

[edit]
2012 Florida's 20th congressional district election

← 2010
2014 →
 
Nominee Alcee Hastings Randall Terry
Party Democratic Independent
Popular vote 214,727 29,553
Percentage 87.9% 12.1%

County results
Hastings:      70–80%      80–90%

U.S. Representative before election

Alcee Hastings
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Alcee Hastings
Democratic

In redistricting, the 23rd District was renumbered as the 20th District. Democrat Alcee Hastings, who had represented the 23rd since 1993, ran for reelection—in effect, trading district numbers with fellow Democrat Debbie Wasserman Schultz. The new 20th district voting age population is 49.2% non-Hispanic Whites (single race), 35.5% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Blacks), 9.8% non-Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), 1.2% Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), and 4.3% other races (non-Hispanic).[6]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Withdrawn
[edit]

Independents

[edit]

General election

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]

Results

[edit]
Florida's 20th congressional district, 2012 [11]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Alcee Hastings (incumbent) 214,727 87.9
Independent Randall Terry 29,553 12.1
Independent Anthony M. Dutrow (write-in) 5 0.0
Total votes 244,285 100.0
Democratic hold

District 21

[edit]

In redistricting, most of the old 19th District became the 21st District. Ted Deutch, who had represented the 19th district since April 2010, ran for re-election[115] The new 21st district voting age population is 66.6% non-Hispanic Whites (single race), 17.6% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Blacks), 10.6% non-Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), 0.6% Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), and 4.5% other races (non-Hispanic).[6]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]

Independents

[edit]

Cesar Augusto Henao Cañas was an independent candidate.[116]

General election

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Ted Deutch (D)

Labor unions

Results

[edit]
Florida's 21st congressional district, 2012[11]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Ted Deutch (incumbent) 221,263 77.8
Independent W. Michael (Mike) Trout 37,776 13.3
Independent Cesar Henao 25,361 8.9
Total votes 284,400 100.0
Democratic hold

District 22

[edit]
2012 Florida's 22nd congressional district election

← 2010
2014 →
 
Nominee Lois Frankel Adam Hasner
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 171,021 142,050
Percentage 54.6% 45.4%

County results
Frankel:      50–60%

U.S. Representative before election

Allen West
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Lois Frankel
Democratic

Republican Allen West, who was first elected to represent Florida's 22nd congressional district in 2010, sought re-election in the new 18th district.[86] The new 22nd district voting age population is 69.4% non-Hispanic Whites (single race), 17.2% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Blacks), 9.8% non-Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), 0.6% Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), and 3.1% other races (non-Hispanic).[6]

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
Declined
[edit]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]
Declined
[edit]

Primary results

[edit]
Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Lois Frankel 18,483 61.4
Democratic Kristin Jacobs 11,644 38.6
Total votes 30,127 100.0

General election

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]

Polling

[edit]
Poll
source
Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Adam
Hasner (R)
Lois
Frankel (D)
Undecided
Anzalone-Liszt (D-Frankel)[121] October 18–21, 2012 501 ± 4.4% 37% 47% 16%
Public Policy Polling (D)[122] October 15–16, 2012 500 ± 4.4% 44% 47% 9%
Sunshine State News/VSS[123] October 14–16, 2012 750 ± 3.6% 47% 47% 6%
DCCC (D)[124] October 10, 2012 450 ± 4.6% 39% 49% 13%
StPetePolls[19] October 3–5, 2012 407 ± 4.9% 45% 44% 11%
StPetePolls[30] September 1–3, 2012 1,054 ± 5.0% 41% 47% 12%

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report Likely D (flip) November 5, 2012
Rothenberg[22] Likely D (flip) November 2, 2012
Roll Call[23] Likely D (flip) November 17, 2012
Sabato's Crystal Ball[24] Lean D (flip) December 12, 2012
NY Times[25] Lean D (flip) November 4, 2012
RCP[26] Lean D (flip) November 4, 2012
The Hill[27] Tossup November 4, 2012

Results

[edit]
Florida's 22nd congressional district, 2012[11]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Lois Frankel 171,021 54.6
Republican Adam Hasner 142,050 45.4
Total votes 313,071 100.0
Democratic gain from Republican

District 23

[edit]

In redistricting, the 20th District was renumbered as the 23rd District. DNC Chairwoman Debbie Wasserman Schultz who had represented the 20th since 2005, ran for re-election. The new 23rd district voting age population is 48.9% non-Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), 29.5% non-Hispanic Whites (single race), 17.4% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Blacks), 1.2% Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), and 3.1% other races (non-Hispanic).[6]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
  • Karen Harrington, businesswoman and nominee for this seat in 2010[125]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]
  • Gineen Bresso
  • Ozzie deFaria, businessman[126]
  • Juan Eliel Garcia
  • Joseph Kaufman, Americans Against Hate founder[127]

Primary results

[edit]
Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Karen Harrington 8,043 47.8
Republican Joe Kaufman 3,383 20.1
Republican Ozzie deFaria 2,356 14.0
Republican Juan Eliel Garcia 1,674 9.9
Republican Gineen Bresso 1,380 8.2
Total votes 16,836 100.0

General election

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]

Results

[edit]
Florida's 23rd congressional district, 2012 [11]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Debbie Wasserman Schultz (incumbent) 174,205 63.2
Republican Karen Harrington 98,096 35.6
Independent Ilya Katz 3,129 1.1
Total votes 275,430 100.0
Democratic hold

District 24

[edit]

In redistricting, most of the old 17th District was renumbered as the 24th District. Democrat Frederica Wilson, who had represented the 17th since 2011, sought reelection. The new 24th district voting age population was 51.7% non-Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), 29.9% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Blacks), 12.6% non-Hispanic Whites (single race), 3.2% Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), and 2.5% other races (non-Hispanic).[6]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]

Primary results

[edit]
Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Frederica Wilson (incumbent) 42,807 66.4
Democratic Rudolph Moise 21,680 33.6
Total votes 64,487 100.0

General election

[edit]

Wilson was unopposed in the general election.

Endorsements

[edit]

Results

[edit]
Florida's 24th congressional district, 2012
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Frederica Wilson (incumbent) Unopposed N/a
Total votes N/a
Democratic hold

District 25

[edit]
2012 Florida's 25th congressional district election

← 2010
2014 →
 
Nominee Mario Diaz-Balart Stanley Blumenthal VoteForEddie.com
Party Republican Independent Independent
Popular vote 151,466 31,664 17,099
Percentage 75.6% 15.8% 8.5%

County results
Diaz-Balart:      60–70%      70–80%

U.S. Representative before election

Mario Diaz-Balart
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Mario Diaz-Balart
Republican

In redistricting, the 21st district was renumbered as the 25th district. Republican Mario Diaz-Balart, who had represented the 21st district since 2011, ran for re-election.[45] The new 25th district voting age population is 68.9% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Blacks), 21.2% non-Hispanic Whites (single race), 6% non-Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), 1.7% Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), and 2.1% other races (non-Hispanic).[6]

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]

General election

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]

Results

[edit]
Florida's 25th congressional district, 2012 [11]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Mario Diaz-Balart (incumbent) 151,466 75.6
Independent Stanley Blumenthal 31,664 15.8
Independent VoteForEddie.com[129] 17,099 8.5
Total votes 200,229 100.0
Republican hold

District 26

[edit]
2012 Florida's 26th congressional district election

← 2010
2014 →
 
Nominee Joe Garcia David Rivera
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 135,694 108,820
Percentage 53.6% 43.0%

County results
Garcia:      50–60%

U.S. Representative before election

David Rivera
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Joe Garcia
Democratic

In redistricting, the old 25th District was renumbered as the 26th district. Republican David Rivera, who had represented the 25th since 2011, ran for reelection.[45] The new 26th district voting age population is 67.4% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Blacks), 20.2% non-Hispanic Whites (single race), 8.6% non-Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), 1.5% Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), and 2.4% other races (non-Hispanic).[6]

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
Declined
[edit]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]
  • Gustavo Marin, nonprofit consultant, university professor, and political analyst
  • Gloria Romero Roses, managing partner at Nexus Homes
  • Lamar Sternad, hotel auditor
Declined
[edit]

Primary results

[edit]
Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Joe Garcia 13,927 53.4
Democratic Gloria Romero Roses 8,027 30.8
Democratic Lamar Sternad 2,856 10.9
Democratic Gustavo Marin 1,286 4.9
Total votes 26,096 100.0

General election

[edit]

Campaign

[edit]

Due to redistricting and constitutional amendments passed in 2010 restricting gerrymandering, the race was considered a toss-up. While the old 25th leaned Republican, the new district was split narrowly in half between Republicans and Democrats.

Endorsements

[edit]

Polling

[edit]
Poll
source
Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
David
Rivera (R)
Joe
Garcia (D)
Angel
Fernandez (I)
José
Peixoto (I)
Undecided
Benenson (D-DCCC)[133] October 9–11, 2012 400 ± 4.9% 35% 46% 2% 1% 15%
StPetePolls[19] October 3–5, 2012 473 ± 4.5% 43% 41% 2% 3% 12%
NORS (R-Rivera)[134] September 13–19, 2012 422 ± ?% 44% 38% 19%
Public Policy Polling (D-Democracy for America)[135] September 12–13, 2012 578 ± 4.1% 39% 46% 16%
GBA Strategies (D-House Majority PAC/SEIU)[136] September 8–13, 2012 400 ± 4.9% 41% 50% 9%
Benenson (D-Garcia)[137] August 20–22, 2012 400 ± 4.9% 40% 49% 11%

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report Lean D (flip) November 5, 2012
Rothenberg[22] Lean D (flip) November 2, 2012
Roll Call[23] Lean D (flip) November 17, 2012
Sabato's Crystal Ball[24] Lean D (flip) December 12, 2012
NY Times[25] Tossup November 4, 2012
RCP[26] Lean D (flip) November 4, 2012
The Hill[27] Likely D (flip) November 4, 2012

Results

[edit]
Florida's 26th congressional district, 2012 [11]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Joe Garcia 135,694 53.6
Republican David Rivera (incumbent) 108,820 43.0
Independent Angel Fernandez 5,726 2.3
Independent José Peixoto 2,717 1.1
Total votes 252,957 100.0
Democratic gain from Republican

District 27

[edit]

In redistricting, the old 18th District was renumbered as the 27th District. Republican Ileana Ros-Lehtinen, who had represented the 18th since 1989, will run for re-election. The new 27th district voting age population is 72.8% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Blacks), 17.5% non-Hispanic Whites (single race), 5.5% non-Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), 2.2% Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), and 2% other races (non-Hispanic).[6]

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
Withdrawn
[edit]
  • Patrick Post

General election

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]

Results

[edit]
Florida's 27th congressional district, 2012 [11]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Ileana Ros-Lehtinen (incumbent) 138,488 60.2
Democratic Manny Yevancey 85,020 36.9
Independent Thomas Joe Cruz-Wiggins 6,663 2.9
Total votes 230,171 100.0
Republican hold

References

[edit]
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[edit]