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2016 Georgia Democratic presidential primary

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2016 Georgia Democratic presidential primary

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Candidate Hillary Clinton Bernie Sanders
Home state New York Vermont
Delegate count 73 29
Popular vote 545,674 215,797
Percentage 71.30% 28.20%

Results by county
Clinton:      40-50%      50-60%      60-70%      70-80%      80-90%      >90%
Sanders:      50-60%

The 2016 Georgia Democratic presidential primary took place on March 1 in the U.S. state of Georgia as one of the Democratic Party's primaries ahead of the 2016 presidential election. The primary was an open one.[1]

On the same day, dubbed "Super Tuesday," Democratic primaries were held in ten other states plus American Samoa, while the Republican Party held primaries in eleven states including their own Georgia primary.

Clinton won every county in the state except for Echols County. She easily won Georgia in the primary by a wide margin of victory 43.10%. In 2008, Clinton lost the Georgia primary to then-senator from Illinois Barack Obama.

Clinton's overwhelming win was attributed mostly to the African American vote, and her endorsement from Civil Rights icon Congressman John Lewis.[2]

Opinion polling

[edit]
Poll source Date 1st 2nd Other
Primary results[3] March 1, 2016 Hillary Clinton
71.3%
Bernie Sanders
28.2%
Other 0.5%
SurveyMonkey[4]

Margin of error: ± ?
Sample size: 961

February 22–29, 2016 Hillary Clinton
59%
Bernie Sanders
36%
Others / Undecided 5%
WSB-TV/Landmark[5]

Margin of error: ± 3.5
Sample size: 800

February 28, 2016 Hillary Clinton
70%
Bernie Sanders
23%
Others / Undecided 7%
WSB-TV/Landmark[6]

Margin of error: ± 3.5%
Sample size: 800

February 26, 2016 Hillary Clinton
68%
Bernie Sanders
22%
Others / Undecided
10%
YouGov/CBS News[7]

Margin of error: ± 8.6%
Sample size: 492

February 22–26, 2016 Hillary Clinton
63%
Bernie Sanders
35%
Others / Undecided 2%
WABE 90.1[8]

Margin of error: ± 4.1%
Sample size: 400

February 22–24, 2016 Hillary Clinton
62%
Bernie Sanders
29%
Others / Undecided 9%
TEGNA/SurveyUSA[9]

Margin of error: ± 4.2%
Sample size: 501

February 22–23, 2016 Hillary Clinton
66%
Bernie Sanders
27%
Others / Undecided 7%
FOX 5 Atlanta[10]

Margin of error: ± 4.4%
Sample size: 491

February 22–23, 2016 Hillary Clinton
57%
Bernie Sanders
29%
Others / Undecided 14%
NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl[11]

Margin of error: ± 4.6%
Sample size: 461

February 18–23, 2016 Hillary Clinton
64%
Bernie Sanders
30%
Others / Undecided 6%
WSB-TV/Landmark[12]

Margin of error: ± 3.7%
Sample size: 700

February 21, 2016 Hillary Clinton
72%
Bernie Sanders
20%
Others / Undecided 8%
Public Policy Polling[13]

Margin of error: ± 4.4%
Sample size: 500

February 14–16, 2016 Hillary Clinton
60%
Bernie Sanders
26%
Landmark/RosettaStone[14]

Margin of error: ± 4.0%
Sample size: 600

February 4, 2016 Hillary Clinton
63.3%
Bernie Sanders
21.5%
Undecided 15.2%
WXIA-TV/SurveyUSA[15]

Margin of error: ± 4.8%
Sample size: 2075

October 15–26, 2015 Hillary Clinton
73%
Bernie Sanders
16%
Martin O'Malley 4%
Undecided 5%
Opinion Savvy[16]

Margin of error: ± 4.8
Sample size: 413

Published September 3, 2015 Hillary Clinton
51%
Bernie Sanders
24%
Joe Biden 15%
Lincoln Chafee 5%
Martin O'Malley 0%
Jim Webb 0%
Someone else 1%
Undecided 5%

Results

[edit]

Primary date: March 1, 2016
National delegates: 60


e • d 2016 Democratic Party's presidential nominating process in Georgia
– Summary of results –
Candidate Popular vote Estimated delegates
Count Percentage Pledged Unpledged Total
Hillary Clinton 545,674 71.30% 73 11 84
Bernie Sanders 215,797 28.20% 29 0 29
Martin O'Malley (withdrawn) 2,129 0.28%
Michael Steinberg 1,766 0.23%
Uncommitted 0 4 4
Total 765,366 100% 102 15 117
Source: [17]
Georgia Democratic primary, March 1, 2016
District Delegates available Votes Delegates
Clinton Sanders O'Malley Steinberg Total Qualified total Clinton Sanders
1 5 32,408 12,343 180 166 45,097 44,751 4 1
2 5 48,705 8,817 185 168 57,875 57,522 4 1
3 4 30,311 11,691 160 135 42,297 42,002 3 1
4 6 73,739 23,827 148 105 97,819 97,566 5 1
5 7 81,636 32,474 176 89 114,375 114,110 5 2
6 5 34,287 22,632 133 60 57,112 56,919 3 2
7 4 27,483 15,461 106 63 43,113 42,944 3 1
8 4 27,632 8,539 168 153 36,492 36,171 3 1
9 4 14,263 9,727 146 130 24,266 23,990 2 2
10 4 33,303 15,274 142 169 48,888 48,577 3 1
11 4 26,137 17,511 123 89 43,860 43,648 2 2
12 5 33,308 9,361 176 151 42,996 42,669 4 1
13 6 68,652 19,128 152 114 88,046 87,780 5 1
14 4 13,810 9,012 134 174 23,130 22,822 2 2
Total 67 545,674 215,797 2,129 1,766 765,366 761,471 48 19
PLEO 13 9 4
At Large 22 16 6
Gr. Total 102 73 29
Total vote 71.30% 28.20% 0.28% 0.23% 100.00% 99,49%
Source: Georgia Secretary of State Presidential Preference Primary Congressional District Results (Democrat)

Results by county

[edit]
County[18] Clinton Votes Sanders Votes
Appling 75.6% 490 21.9% 142
Atkinson 79.8% 201 19.4% 49
Bacon 63.8% 113 32.8% 58
Baker 85.1% 303 13.5% 48
Baldwin 79.4% 3,034 19.9% 762
Banks 49.0% 172 48.1% 169
Barrow 61.7% 1,457 37.2% 879
Bartow 59.0% 2,216 39.7% 1,490
Ben Hill 80.2% 779 18.4% 179
Berrien 66.7% 325 30.0% 146
Bibb 82.8% 12,944 16.8% 2,632
Bleckley 77.7% 370 20.6% 98
Brantley 49.1% 137 44.1% 123
Brooks 77.6% 714 21.5% 198
Bryan 63.3% 893 35.5% 501
Bulloch 60.7% 1,910 38.8% 1,221
Burke 89.5% 1,659 9.9% 184
Butts 81.7% 922 16.9% 191
Calhoun 88.9% 499 10.9% 61
Camden 66.6% 1,405 32.6% 688
Candler 78.3% 434 19.9% 110
Carroll 61.7% 3,173 37.6% 1,933
Catoosa 50.8% 1,082 48.1% 1,026
Charlton 73.7% 275 22.5% 84
Chatham 72.3% 19,898 27.2% 7,496
Chattahoochee 81.3% 182 17.9% 40
Chattooga 63.7% 566 34.0% 302
Cherokee 51.8% 4,837 47.6% 4,438
Clarke 50.7% 7,089 49.0% 6,845
Clay 85.8% 297 12.7% 44
Clayton 81.6% 25,130 18.0% 5,551
Clinch 79.5% 167 18.1% 38
Cobb 63.5% 39,277 36.2% 22,390
Coffee 77.0% 1,094 21.7% 309
Colquitt 76.1% 1,035 22.2% 302
Columbia 66.9% 4,805 32.5% 2,333
Cook 76.2% 580 22.5% 171
Coweta 66.5% 4,536 32.7% 2,233
Crawford 79.1% 493 19.3% 120
Crisp 80.1% 729 18.9% 172
Dade 50.3% 241 48.0% 230
Dawson 53.0% 312 45.5% 268
Decatur 79.0% 1,316 20.0% 333
DeKalb 71.5% 82,348 28.3% 32,572
Dodge 79.5% 579 19.4% 141
Dooly 88.4% 737 10.9% 91
Dougherty 85.7% 8,891 13.8% 1,435
Douglas 74.6% 9,375 25.0% 3,139
Early 89.2% 671 10.1% 76
Echols 45.7% 32 51.4% 36
Effingham 64.5% 1,178 33.9% 620
Elbert 75.0% 805 24.0% 257
Emanuel 83.1% 755 15.9% 144
Evans 78.5% 347 19.2% 85
Fannin 59.9% 545 39.1% 356
Fayette 71.1% 7,257 28.6% 2,918
Floyd 64.5% 2,555 34.2% 1,356
Forsyth 53.8% 3,701 45.7% 3,142
Franklin 62.7% 352 36.2% 203
Fulton 71.1% 82,576 28.7% 33,320
Gilmer 53.0% 489 45.7% 421
Glascock 62.3% 38 31.1% 19
Glynn 68.7% 2,870 30.6% 1,277
Gordon 57.5% 776 41.0% 553
Grady 75.9% 887 22.3% 261
Greene 85.8% 37,465 33.4% 18,883
Gwinnett 66.2% 1,076 13.5% 169
Habersham 52.0% 608 47.3% 553
Hall 60.3% 3,482 38.9% 2,245
Hancock 87.4% 1,112 11.4% 145
Haralson 55.1% 413 41.5% 311
Harris 75.0% 1,372 24.5% 448
Hart 72.3% 740 27.0% 276
Heard 70.1% 276 28.2% 111
Henry 77.7% 15,639 21.9% 4,406
Houston 76.0% 6,274 23.6% 1,946
Irwin 79.9% 326 18.1% 74
Jackson 61.4% 1,193 37.5% 729
Jasper 81.4% 632 17.1% 133
Jeff Davis 76.6% 400 20.3% 106
Jefferson 88.5% 1,519 11.0% 189
Jenkins 84.1% 355 15.2% 64
Johnson 85.1% 388 14.0% 64
Jones 80.2% 1,585 18.8% 371
Lamar 79.9% 868 19.1% 208
Lanier 76.5% 234 22.5% 69
Laurens 82.2% 2,294 16.2% 453
Lee 74.2% 1,009 24.6% 335
Liberty 79.7% 2,783 19.4% 678
Lincoln 84.5% 538 14.6% 93
Long 68.5% 261 29.1% 111
Lowndes 68.0% 3,891 31.3% 1,791
Lumpkin 50.6% 560 48.1% 532
Macon 89.9% 977 9.7% 105
Madison 55.7% 656 42.9% 505
Marion 76.3% 431 21.2% 120
McDuffie 84.7% 1,274 14.8% 223
McIntosh 84.4% 863 14.6% 149
Meriwether 85.4% 1,463 13.8% 237
Miller 77.6% 159 18.0% 37
Mitchell 85.8% 1,338 13.0% 203
Monroe 80.1% 1,250 19.2% 300
Montgomery 78.2% 287 19.6% 72
Morgan 77.5% 910 22.1% 259
Murray 51.2% 444 46.9% 407
Muscogee 79.1% 12,801 20.5% 3,319
Newton 78.0% 7,269 21.5% 2,001
Oconee 52.5% 1,223 47.1% 1,098
Oglethorpe 60.5% 561 38.6% 358
Paulding 65.6% 4,095 33.8% 2,111
Peach 83.7% 1,675 15.8% 316
Pickens 53.1% 431 45.6% 370
Pierce 67.0% 219 31.8% 104
Pike 68.4% 417 30.7% 187
Polk 68.6% 944 29.3% 403
Pulaski 86.0% 376 13.7% 60
Putnam 80.2% 871 19.0% 206
Quitman 91.0% 193 7.1% 15
Rabun 54.1% 397 44.4% 326
Randolph 89.5% 690 9.2% 71
Richmond 81.7% 16,269 18.0% 3,578
Rockdale 78.0% 7,930 21.8% 2,212
Schley 83.4% 146 14.3% 25
Screven 81.1% 771 17.5% 166
Seminole 84.4% 470 14.5% 81
Spalding 78.6% 3,129 20.6% 820
Stephens 60.7% 460 9.0% 284
Stewart 90.0% 460 9.0% 46
Sumter 82.4% 1,960 17.0% 404
Talbot 86.7% 852 12.2% 120
Taliaferro 86.4% 236 12.8% 35
Tattnall 76.1% 518 22.5% 153
Taylor 87.7% 476 11.4% 62
Telfair 81.1% 426 17.3% 91
Terrell 88.1% 804 11.5% 105
Thomas 78.2% 2,053 21.0% 551
Tift 75.9% 1,151 22.7% 344
Toombs 76.2% 562 22.5% 166
Towns 52.9% 312 45.1% 266
Treutlen 82.2% 300 15.9% 58
Troup 78.9% 3,357 20.0% 850
Turner 78.9% 330 19.4% 81
Twiggs 86.4% 818 12.5% 118
Union 56.3% 573 41.0% 417
Upson 80.8% 1,236 18.3% 280
Walker 53.0% 1,009 45.5% 867
Walton 69.9% 2,309 29.4% 969
Ware 75.0% 919 23.2% 284
Warren 89.5% 468 9.4% 49
Washington 86.4% 1,741 12.7% 256
Wayne 73.2% 700 24.7% 236
Webster 89.5% 170 9.5% 18
Wheeler 85.9% 177 12.6% 26
White 52.4% 498 46.3% 440
Whitfield 53.3% 1,536 45.4% 1,307
Wilcox 86.8% 302 11.8% 41
Wilkes 82.1% 702 16.5% 141
Wilkinson 83.3% 832 15.5% 155
Worth 79.4% 684 19.3% 166
Total 71.3% 543,008 28.2% 214,332

Analysis

[edit]

After losing in Georgia by 36 points to Barack Obama in 2008, Hillary Clinton bounced back with a lopsided 43-point win against rival Bernie Sanders. The victory was fueled primarily by African American voters, who comprised 51% of the electorate and backed Clinton by a margin of 85-14, compared to white voters who backed Clinton by a margin of 58-41. Clinton won across all income levels and educational attainment levels in Georgia.

Clinton performed extremely well throughout the state of Georgia and won all of its counties but one. She ran particularly strongly in Atlanta where she won 74 percent of the vote as well as its suburbs which backed her 66-34. Central Georgia, particularly the region known as the Cotton Belt which has a large African American population, also strongly favored Clinton by a margin of 79-19. Clinton also performed well in North Georgia, mostly in the more rural, white and conservative parts of the state which are considered to be an extreme part of Appalachia where she defeated Sanders by a margin of 64-36.[19]

After his landslide defeat, the Sanders campaign reported that Hillary Clinton had notched wins in southern states including Georgia because Bernie Sanders did not compete with her, although this claim was disputed.[6]

References

[edit]
  1. ^ "STATE PRIMARY ELECTION TYPES". NCSL. Retrieved May 17, 2017.
  2. ^ Temple-West, Patrick (February 15, 2016). "Hillary Clinton's secret weapon: John Lewis". POLITICO. Retrieved May 3, 2019.
  3. ^ Primary results
  4. ^ "Trump's Lead Looks Steady in Run-Up to Super Tuesday".
  5. ^ "POLL: Trump, Clinton widen leads ahead of Super Tuesday".
  6. ^ "Landmark/RosettaStone Poll 800 Likely Georgia Democratic Voters" (PDF).
  7. ^ "CBS News 2016 Battleground TrackerGeorgia".
  8. ^ "WABE Poll: Hillary Clinton Has Commanding Support Among Ga. Democratic Voters".
  9. ^ "Poll: Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #22709" (PDF).
  10. ^ "Poll: Georgia Democratic Presidential Primary Poll" (PDF).
  11. ^ "NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll" (PDF).
  12. ^ "Poll: Cruz, Rubio in fight for second, Clinton with huge primary lead".
  13. ^ "Subject: Clinton leads in 10 of 12 Early March Primaries; Benefits From Overwhelming Black Support" (PDF).
  14. ^ Landmark/RosettaStone
  15. ^ "EXCLUSIVE POLL: Georgia wants Trump as president". 11Alive. November 2, 2015.
  16. ^ "Trump, Clinton still in lead in Georgia, but leads are shrinking, poll shows". The Florida Times-Union. Retrieved September 4, 2015.
  17. ^ The Green Papers
  18. ^ "2016 Election Center". CNN. Retrieved June 5, 2018.
  19. ^ "2016 Election Center". CNN. Retrieved September 25, 2016.