2016 Delaware gubernatorial election
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  Carney: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Bonini: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
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| Elections in Delaware |
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The 2016 Delaware gubernatorial election took place on November 8, 2016, to elect the governor of Delaware, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.
Incumbent Democratic governor Jack Markell was term-limited and could not run for re-election to a third term in office. Democratic congressman John Carney defeated Republican state senator Colin Bonini in a landslide.
Democratic primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- John Carney, U.S. representative, former lieutenant governor of Delaware and candidate for governor in 2008[1]
Deceased
[edit]- Beau Biden, former Delaware Attorney General and son of Delaware senator, vice president, and future president Joe Biden[2] (died May 30, 2015)
Withdrew
[edit]- Kevin Tinsley[3]
Declined
[edit]- Matthew Denn, Delaware Attorney General and former lieutenant governor of Delaware[4][5][6]
- Thomas P. Gordon, county executive of New Castle County[7]
- John Kowalko, state representative[8]
- Peter Schwartzkopf, Speaker of the Delaware House of Representatives[8]
- Bryan Townsend, state senator (running for Delaware's at-large seat in Congress)[8]
Polling
[edit]| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
John Carney |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fairleigh Dickinson/Delaware News Journal[9] | July 20–24, 2016 | 344 | ± 5.3% | 67% | 9% | 23% |
Republican primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Colin Bonini, state senator and nominee for State Treasurer in 2010[7]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Lacey Lafferty, retired state trooper[10]
Declined
[edit]- Greg Lavelle, state senator and Minority Whip of the Delaware Senate[4][10]
- Alan Levin, director of the Delaware Economic Development Office and former president and CEO of Happy Harry's[4]
- Michael Ramone, state representative[11]
- Daniel Short, Minority Leader of the Delaware House of Representatives[8]
- Ken Simpler, State Treasurer of Delaware[4][7][12]
Polling
[edit]| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Colin Bonini |
Lacey Lafferty |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fairleigh Dickinson/Delaware News Journal[9] | July 20–24, 2016 | 224 | ± 6.6% | 29% | 22% | 3% | 42% |
Results
[edit]
Bonini—70–80%
Bonini—60–70%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Colin Bonini | 21,150 | 69.88 | |
| Republican | Lacey Lafferty | 9,115 | 30.12 | |
| Total votes | 30,265 | 100.00 | ||
Libertarian Party
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Declared
[edit]- Sean Louis Goward[14]
General election
[edit]Debates
[edit]- Complete video of debate, October 19, 2016 - C-SPAN
Predictions
[edit]| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[15] | Safe D | August 12, 2016 |
| Daily Kos[16] | Safe D | November 8, 2016 |
| Rothenberg Political Report[17] | Safe D | November 3, 2016 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[18] | Safe D | November 7, 2016 |
| Real Clear Politics[19] | Safe D | November 1, 2016 |
| Governing[20] | Safe D | October 27, 2016 |
Polling
[edit]| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
John Carney (D) |
Colin Bonini (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SurveyMonkey[21] | November 1–7, 2016 | 367 | ± 4.6% | 56% | 40% | — | 4% |
| SurveyMonkey[22] | October 31–November 6, 2016 | 383 | ± 4.6% | 54% | 42% | — | 4% |
| SurveyMonkey[23] | October 28–November 3, 2016 | 405 | ± 4.6% | 56% | 40% | — | 4% |
| SurveyMonkey[24] | October 27–November 2, 2016 | 397 | ± 4.6% | 56% | 39% | — | 5% |
| SurveyMonkey[25] | October 26–November 1, 2016 | 413 | ± 4.6% | 58% | 37% | — | 5% |
| SurveyMonkey[26] | October 25–31, 2016 | 458 | ± 4.6% | 60% | 36% | — | 4% |
| University of Delaware[27] | September 16–28, 2016 | 900 | ± 3.8% | 57% | 25% | 7% | 11% |
Results
[edit]| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | John Carney | 248,404 | 58.34% | −10.99% | |
| Republican | Colin Bonini | 166,852 | 39.18% | +10.59% | |
| Green | Andrew Groff | 5,951 | 1.39% | +0.24% | |
| Libertarian | Sean Louis Goward | 4,577 | 1.09% | +0.17% | |
| Total votes | 425,784 | 100.00% | N/A | ||
| Democratic hold | |||||
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
[edit]References
[edit]- ^ Bruggeman, Karyn; Railey, Kimberly (September 16, 2015). "Rep. John Carney to Run for Governor of Delaware". National Journal. Retrieved September 16, 2015.
- ^ "Beau Biden says he plans to run for governor in Delaware". CNN. April 17, 2014. Archived from the original on January 18, 2016. Retrieved April 17, 2014.
- ^ Bittle, Matt (July 23, 2016). "Can Carney be topped in Delaware governor race?". Delaware State News. Retrieved August 14, 2016.
- ^ a b c d "Delaware's 2016 speculation all about Biden". Delaware Online. November 8, 2014. Retrieved November 9, 2014.
- ^ Jonathan Starkey (April 21, 2014). "Denn enters AG's race; primary still possible". DelawareOnline. Retrieved March 3, 2013.
- ^ Matt Bittle (February 21, 2015). "Levy Court's Eaby pursuing a run for lieutenant governor". DelawareNewszap. Archived from the original on February 24, 2015. Retrieved February 24, 2015.
- ^ a b c "Bonini declares for governor's race". Delaware Online. November 6, 2014. Retrieved November 9, 2014.
- ^ a b c d Dawson, James (November 6, 2014). "Talk of 2016 rears its head at Return Day". WDDE. Archived from the original on February 25, 2015. Retrieved February 24, 2015.
- ^ a b Fairleigh Dickinson/Delaware News Journal
- ^ a b Starkey, Jonathan (February 23, 2015). "Sen. Lavelle opts out of 2016 governor race". The News Journal. Retrieved February 24, 2015.
- ^ McPike, Erin (September 11, 2012). "Is Beau Biden Democrats' Next Emerging Star?". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved March 3, 2013.
- ^ "GOP may eye Simpler for governor in 2016". Delaware Online. November 6, 2014. Retrieved November 9, 2014.
- ^ "Delaware Election Results 2016: Governor Live Map by County, Real-Time Voting Updates". Politico. Retrieved September 14, 2016.
- ^ Shannon, Josh (July 14, 2016). "Candidate slate set for fall election". Newark Post. Retrieved September 2, 2016.
- ^ "2016 Governor Race ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved October 15, 2018.
- ^ "Elections 2015-16". Daily Kos. Retrieved October 15, 2018.[permanent dead link]
- ^ "Gubernatorial Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 15, 2018.
- ^ "Our Final 2016 picks". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Archived from the original on October 15, 2018. Retrieved October 15, 2018.
- ^ "2016 Election Maps - 2016 Governor Races". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved October 15, 2018.
- ^ "2016 Governors Races Ratings & News". Governing Magazine. Archived from the original on October 27, 2016. Retrieved October 28, 2016.
- ^ SurveyMonkey
- ^ SurveyMonkey
- ^ SurveyMonkey
- ^ SurveyMonkey
- ^ SurveyMonkey
- ^ SurveyMonkey
- ^ University of Delaware
- ^ "State of Delaware General Election (Official Results)". State of Delaware Election Commissioner. Archived from the original on October 28, 2018. Retrieved November 16, 2016.
External links
[edit]Official campaign websites (Archived)