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Yatinuwara Polling Division

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Yatinuwara
Location of Yatinuwara
Coordinates: 7°16′57″N 80°32′44″E / 7.282388°N 80.545506°E / 7.282388; 80.545506
CountrySri Lanka
ProvinceCentral Province, Sri Lanka
Electoral DistrictKandy Electoral District
Area
 • Total
70.75 km2 (27.32 sq mi)
Population
 (2012)[1]
 • Total
106,027
 • Density1,499/km2 (3,880/sq mi)
ISO 3166 codeEC-04J

The Yatinuwara Polling Division is a Polling Division in the Kandy Electoral District, in the Central Province, Sri Lanka.

Presidential election results

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Summary

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The winner of Yatinuwara has matched the final country result 6 out of 8 times. Hence, Yatinuwara is a weak bellwether for presidential elections.

Year Yatinuwara Kandy MAE%[2] Sri Lanka MAE%[3]
2019 SLPP SLPP 7.64% SLPP 5.49%
2015 NDF NDF 3.44% NDF 0.18%
2010 SLFP SLFP 3.77% SLFP 0.20%
2005 UNP UNP 4.62% SLFP 1.24%
1999 SLFP SLFP 0.53% SLFP 2.01%
1994 SLFP SLFP 1.12% SLFP 4.46%
1988 SLFP UNP 7.51% UNP 4.57%
1982 UNP UNP 7.06% UNP 2.40%
Matches/Mean MAE 6/8 7/8 4.46% 8/8 2.57%

2019 Sri Lankan presidential election

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Party Yatinuwara[4] Kandy Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLPP 38,765 58.32% 471,502 50.43% 6,924,255 52.25%
NDF 24,244 36.48% 417,355 44.64% 5,564,239 41.99%
NPP 2,021 3.04% 23,539 2.52% 418,553 3.16%
Others 1,434 2.16% 22,479 2.40% 345,452 2.61%
Valid Votes 66,464 99.13% 934,875 99.04% 13,252,499 98.99%
Rejected Votes 584 0.87% 9,020 0.96% 135,452 1.01%
Total Polled 67,048 84.37% 943,895 84.89% 13,387,951 83.71%
Registered Electors 79,471 1,111,860 15,992,568

2015 Sri Lankan presidential election

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Party Yatinuwara[5] Kandy Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
NDF 32,298 51.19% 466,994 54.56% 6,217,162 51.28%
UPFA 30,194 47.86% 378,585 44.23% 5,768,090 47.58%
Others 597 0.95% 10,329 1.21% 138,200 1.14%
Valid Votes 63,089 98.83% 855,908 98.73% 12,123,452 98.85%
Rejected Votes 748 1.17% 10,993 1.27% 140,925 1.15%
Total Polled 63,837 79.38% 866,901 79.71% 12,264,377 78.69%
Registered Electors 80,420 1,087,542 15,585,942

2010 Sri Lankan presidential election

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Party Yatinuwara[6] Kandy Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 33,664 58.16% 406,636 54.16% 6,015,934 57.88%
NDF 23,290 40.24% 329,492 43.89% 4,173,185 40.15%
Others 927 1.60% 14,658 1.95% 204,494 1.97%
Valid Votes 57,881 99.13% 750,786 98.85% 10,393,613 99.03%
Rejected Votes 506 0.87% 8,700 1.15% 101,838 0.97%
Total Polled 58,387 75.83% 759,486 75.87% 10,495,451 66.70%
Registered Electors 76,996 1,001,074 15,734,587

2005 Sri Lankan presidential election

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Party Yatinuwara[7] Kandy Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 27,791 49.69% 387,150 54.33% 4,706,366 48.43%
UPFA 27,428 49.04% 315,672 44.30% 4,887,152 50.29%
Others 715 1.28% 9,798 1.37% 123,521 1.27%
Valid Votes 55,934 98.95% 712,620 98.64% 9,717,039 98.88%
Rejected Votes 594 1.05% 9,817 1.36% 109,869 1.12%
Total Polled 56,528 78.15% 722,437 77.37% 9,826,908 69.51%
Registered Electors 72,329 933,754 14,136,979

1999 Sri Lankan presidential election

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Party Yatinuwara[8] Kandy Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 23,135 49.65% 308,187 50.29% 4,312,157 51.12%
UNP 21,219 45.54% 276,360 45.10% 3,602,748 42.71%
JVP 1,293 2.78% 15,512 2.53% 343,927 4.08%
Others 945 2.03% 12,752 2.08% 176,679 2.09%
Valid Votes 46,592 96.95% 612,811 97.29% 8,435,754 97.69%
Rejected Votes 1,464 3.05% 17,060 2.71% 199,536 2.31%
Total Polled 48,056 76.59% 629,871 77.61% 8,635,290 72.17%
Registered Electors 62,747 811,606 11,965,536

1994 Sri Lankan presidential election

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Party Yatinuwara[9] Kandy Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 25,099 57.83% 320,110 56.64% 4,709,205 62.28%
UNP 17,621 40.60% 235,519 41.68% 2,715,283 35.91%
Others 679 1.56% 9,488 1.68% 137,040 1.81%
Valid Votes 43,399 97.89% 565,117 97.55% 7,561,526 98.03%
Rejected Votes 934 2.11% 14,179 2.45% 151,706 1.97%
Total Polled 44,333 75.84% 579,296 77.85% 7,713,232 69.12%
Registered Electors 58,455 744,151 11,158,880

1988 Sri Lankan presidential election

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Party Yatinuwara[10] Kandy Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLFP 15,699 51.15% 186,187 43.65% 2,289,857 44.95%
UNP 14,478 47.17% 234,124 54.88% 2,569,199 50.43%
SLMP 515 1.68% 6,266 1.47% 235,701 4.63%
Valid Votes 30,692 98.83% 426,577 98.57% 5,094,754 98.24%
Rejected Votes 362 1.17% 6,167 1.43% 91,499 1.76%
Total Polled 31,054 59.51% 432,744 68.36% 5,186,256 55.87%
Registered Electors 52,182 633,030 9,283,143

1982 Sri Lankan presidential election

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Party Yatinuwara[11] Kandy Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 20,848 52.66% 289,621 59.80% 3,450,815 52.93%
SLFP 17,596 44.45% 178,647 36.89% 2,546,348 39.05%
JVP 964 2.43% 12,493 2.58% 273,428 4.19%
Others 182 0.46% 3,536 0.73% 249,460 3.83%
Valid Votes 39,590 99.19% 484,297 99.07% 6,520,156 98.78%
Rejected Votes 325 0.81% 4,548 0.93% 80,470 1.22%
Total Polled 39,915 85.41% 488,845 89.44% 6,600,626 80.15%
Registered Electors 46,731 546,565 8,235,358

Parliamentary Election Results

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Summary

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The winner of Yatinuwara has matched the final country result 7 out of 7 times. Hence, Yatinuwara is a Perfect Bellwether for Parliamentary Elections.

Year Yatinuwara Kandy Electoral District MAE[12] % Sri Lanka MAE[13] %
2015 UNP UNP 4.39% UNP 2.69%
2010 UPFA UPFA 0.47% UPFA 1.88%
2004 UPFA UNP 3.80% UPFA 3.00%
2001 UNP UNP 2.06% UNP 3.79%
2000 PA PA 1.62% PA 1.58%
1994 PA UNP 4.56% PA 2.55%
1989 UNP UNP 8.29% UNP 4.79%
Matches/Mean MAE 7/7 5/7 3.60% 7/7 2.90%
Party Yatinuwara[14] Kandy Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 29,310 50.84% 440,761 55.61% 5,098,916 45.77%
UPFA 24,986 43.34% 309,152 39.00% 4,732,664 42.48%
JVP 2,823 4.90% 30,669 3.87% 544,154 4.88%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 534 0.93% 12,055 1.52% 100,088 0.90%
Valid Votes 57,653 96.49% 792,637 95.48% 11,140,333 95.35%
Rejected Votes 2,067 3.46% 37,065 4.46% 516,926 4.42%
Total Polled 59,753 74.30% 830,165 79.13% 11,684,111 77.66%
Registered Electors 80,420 1,049,160 15,044,490
Party Yatinuwara[15] Kandy Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 26,419 61.21% 339,819 60.81% 4,846,388 60.38%
UNP 14,621 33.88% 192,798 34.50% 2,357,057 29.37%
DNA 1,983 4.59% 23,728 4.25% 441,251 5.50%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 137 0.32% 2,459 0.44% 30,354 0.38%
Valid Votes 43,160 91.75% 558,804 90.49% 8,026,322 96.03%
Rejected Votes 3,862 8.21% 58,333 9.45% 581,465 6.96%
Total Polled 47,041 61.10% 617,559 61.70% 8,358,246 59.29%
Registered Electors 76,996 1,000,861 14,097,690
Party Yatinuwara[16] Kandy Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 22,887 45.60% 268,131 42.71% 4,223,126 45.70%
UNP 22,647 45.12% 313,859 49.99% 3,486,792 37.73%
JHU 4,376 8.72% 42,192 6.72% 552,723 5.98%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 282 0.56% 3,684 0.59% 64,227 0.69%
Valid Votes 50,192 95.32% 627,866 93.24% 9,241,931 94.52%
Rejected Votes 2,465 4.68% 45,484 6.75% 534,452 5.47%
Total Polled 52,657 75.23% 673,380 76.47% 9,777,821 75.74%
Registered Electors 69,992 880,634 12,909,631
Party Yatinuwara[17] Kandy Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 24,871 50.27% 314,297 52.77% 4,086,026 45.62%
PA 20,318 41.06% 233,637 39.23% 3,330,815 37.19%
JVP 3,243 6.55% 37,146 6.24% 815,353 9.10%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 539 1.09% 6,456 1.08% 78,682 0.88%
SU 508 1.03% 4,040 0.68% 50,665 0.57%
Valid Votes 49,479 95.17% 595,576 93.40% 8,955,844 94.77%
Rejected Votes 2,512 4.83% 42,103 6.60% 494,009 5.23%
Total Polled 51,991 78.16% 637,679 76.03% 9,449,878 76.03%
Registered Electors 66,518 838,687 12,428,762
Party Yatinuwara[18] Kandy Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 21,793 45.95% 282,282 46.66% 3,899,329 45.33%
UNP 20,405 43.02% 243,623 40.27% 3,451,765 40.12%
JVP 2,082 4.39% 21,565 3.56% 518,725 6.03%
NUA 1,341 2.83% 32,023 5.29% 185,593 2.16%
SU 1,208 2.55% 10,999 1.82% 127,859 1.49%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 598 1.26% 14,436 2.39% 161,809 1.88%
Valid Votes 47,427 N/A 604,928 N/A 8,602,617 N/A
Party Yatinuwara[19] Kandy Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 23,096 50.91% 267,683 46.43% 3,887,805 48.94%
UNP 21,602 47.62% 301,824 52.35% 3,498,370 44.04%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 668 1.47% 7,045 1.22% 175,576 2.21%
Valid Votes 45,366 95.53% 576,552 94.89% 7,943,688 95.20%
Rejected Votes 2,122 4.47% 31,019 5.11% 400,395 4.80%
Total Polled 47,488 81.24% 607,571 81.67% 8,344,095 74.75%
Registered Electors 58,455 743,939 11,163,064
Party Yatinuwara[20] Kandy Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 11,064 53.66% 204,973 61.72% 2,838,005 50.71%
SLFP 8,661 42.00% 105,977 31.91% 1,785,369 31.90%
SLMC 500 2.42% 14,697 4.43% 202,016 3.61%
USA 334 1.62% 5,147 1.55% 141,983 2.54%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 61 0.30% 1,315 0.40% 67,723 1.21%
Valid Votes 20,620 95.10% 332,109 93.69% 5,596,468 93.87%
Rejected Votes 1,062 4.90% 22,374 6.31% 365,563 6.13%
Total Polled 21,682 42.85% 354,483 56.42% 5,962,031 63.60%
Registered Electors 50,598 628,317 9,374,164

Demographics

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Ethnicity

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The Yatinuwara Polling Division has a Sinhalese majority (89.9%) . In comparison, the Kandy Electoral District (which contains the Yatinuwara Polling Division) has a Sinhalese majority (74.4%) and a significant Moor population (13.9%) [1]

Ethnicity in Yatinuwara[1]

  Sinhalese (89.9%)
  Moor (7.1%)
  Sri Lankan Tamil (2.4%)
  Other (0.6%)

Religion

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The Yatinuwara Polling Division has a Buddhist majority (88.8%) . In comparison, the Kandy Electoral District (which contains the Yatinuwara Polling Division) has a Buddhist majority (73.4%) and a significant Muslim population (14.3%) [1]

Religion in Yatinuwara[1]

  Buddhist (88.8%)
  Muslim (7.3%)
  Hindu (2.2%)
  Other (1.7%)

References

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  1. ^ a b c d e "Census of Population and Housing 2012". statistics.gov.lk. Department of Census and Statistics, Sri Lanka. 2012.
  2. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Yatinuwara and the Kandy Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  3. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Yatinuwara and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  4. ^ "2019 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2019.
  5. ^ "2015 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015.
  6. ^ "2010 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010.
  7. ^ "2005 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2005.
  8. ^ "1999 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1999.
  9. ^ "1994 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994.
  10. ^ "1988 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1988.
  11. ^ "1982 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1982.
  12. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Yatinuwara and the Kandy Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  13. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Yatinuwara and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  14. ^ "2015 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015.
  15. ^ "2010 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010.
  16. ^ "2004 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2004.
  17. ^ "2001 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2001.
  18. ^ "2000 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2000.
  19. ^ "1994 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994.
  20. ^ "1989 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1989.