User:Twrobins/cfrdraft/sandbox2

Case Fatality Rate

Of critical note, Case Fatality Rates (CFR) will change as additional research and data are available.

China

As of February 24, the WHO has reported the CFR in China has reduced to 0.7% for patients with symptom onset after February 1st.

That leaves out a bunch of other stauff they say such as "5.8% in Wuhan vs. 0.7% in other areas in China" So this reflects mortality with a functional healthcare system versus mortality with a healthcare system verging on collapse. Doc James (talk · contribs · email) 14:23, 21 March 2020 (UTC)

IMAGE FROM PDF HERE

As of February 17, the Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention published a study of mainland China cases reported up to February 11th, 2020, of 72,314 people, 1023 died with an overall case fatality rate of 2.3%. Rates varied by age as follows:

Age	CFR
0-9	No deaths
10-19	.2%
20-29	.2%
30-39	.2%
40-49	.4%
50-59	1.3%
60-69	3.6%
70-79	8.0%
80+	14.8%

Rates varied by Comorbidity (Complicating Conditions) as follows:

Condition	CFR
No Comorbidity	0.9%
Cardiovascular Disease	10.5%
Diabetes	7.3%
Chronic Respiratory Disease	6.3%
Hypertension	6.0%
Cancer	5.6%

Italy

From my research the data is limited for Italy but what is available show high rates due to the large portion the population being older and having complicating conditions.

South Korea

Has low rates and this appears at first research due to the relatively young overall population.

Diamond Princess Cruise Ship

A small amount of research and data - but very interesting since it was a closed environment: https://www.mhlw.go.jp/stf/seisakunitsuite/bunya/newpage_00032.html

Mortality is greater than 1% already. Lots of people are still sick. Yes they were older but they were also richer, healthier than their peers, and had access to an unburdened health care system. Doc James (talk · contribs · email) 14:24, 21 March 2020 (UTC)

Germany

Widespread testing in Germany has yielded a much lower case fatality rate than that seen in other countries--0.5%: https://www.npr.org/2020/03/25/820595489/why-germanys-coronavirus-death-rate-is-far-lower-than-in-other-countries