User:SandyGeorgia/ArbVotes2010/Guides

Guide writer's views

My (SandyGeorgia's) summary of the most helpful ArbCom election guides.

In the following chart:

• A Y means the guide writer supports the candidate,
• A N means they oppose the candidate.
• A grey dot means they stated no view, or were neutral.

So this table is a guide to the guidewriter's views

Candidate	Ealdgyth	. . Lar . .	MastCell	Ncm vocalist	Nuclear Warfare	Sandy Georgia	Short Brigade Harvester Boris	Wizard man	Number of Supports	Actual % Received
Casliber	Y	N	Y		Y	Y	Y	Y	6	78.73%
Chase me ladies, I'm the Cavalry	N	N	N			N	N	Y	1	60.61%
David Fuchs	Y	Y	Y		Y	Y	Y	Y	7	62.88%
Elen of the Roads	Y	Y	Y	Y	Y	Y	N		6	72.57%
FT2	N	N	N	N	Y	N	N	N	1	42.13%
Georgewilliamherbert	N	N	Y		Y	N		Y	3	44.26%
GiacomoReturned	Y	Y	Y	Y	N	Y	Y		6	40.77%
Harej	N	Y	N			N	N	Y	2	44.62%
Iridescent	Y	Y	Y	Y	Y	Y	Y	Y	8	74.04%
Jclemens		Y	N		N	Y	N	N	2	56.71%
John Vandenberg	N	N	N	Y	N	N	N		1	57.73%
Newyorkbrad	Y	N	Y	Y	Y	Y	Y	Y	7	89.01%
Off2riorob	N	N	N	N	N	N	N	N	0	16.87%
PhilKnight	Y	N	Y	Y	Y	N		Y	5	60.38%
Sandstein	N	N	Y	N	N	N	N	N	1	51.30%
Shell Kinney		N	Y	N	Y	N	N	N	2	56.70%
SirFozzie	Y	Y			Y	Y	N	Y	5	78.45%
Stephen Bain		N	N		N	N	N	N	0	45.54%
Xeno	N	Y		N	N	N	N	N	1	70.64%
Number of Supports	8	8	10	6	10	8	5	9	Avg 8 candidates supported	N/A

Guide writer's outcomes, neutral penalized

Next, an analysis by Lar.

In the following chart/analysis:

• A Y means that the guide writer supported a candidate who won, or opposed a candidate who lost
• A N means that the guide writer supported a candidate who lost, or opposed a candidate who won.
• A N is also given if the guide writer either had no opinion or was neutral

In THIS analysis, overall predictive capability is what is being measured, and hanging back is negative.

Candidate	Ealdgyth	. . Lar . .	MastCell	Ncm vocalist	Nuclear Warfare	Sandy Georgia	Short Brigade Harvester Boris	Wizard man	Number "correct" by cand	Actual % Received
Casliber	Y	N	Y	N	Y	Y	Y	Y	6	78.73%
Chase me ladies, I'm the Cavalry	N	N	N	N	N	N	N	Y	1	60.61%
David Fuchs	Y	Y	Y	N	Y	Y	Y	Y	7	62.88%
Elen of the Roads	Y	Y	Y	Y	Y	Y	N	N	6	72.57%
FT2	Y	Y	Y	Y	N	Y	Y	Y	7	42.13%
Georgewilliamherbert	Y	Y	N	N	N	Y	N	N	3	44.26%
GiacomoReturned	N	N	N	N	Y	N	N	N	1	40.77%
Harej	Y	N	Y	N	N	Y	Y	N	4	44.62%
Iridescent	Y	Y	Y	Y	Y	Y	Y	Y	8	74.04%
Jclemens	N	Y	N	N	N	Y	N	N	2	56.71%
John Vandenberg	N	N	N	Y	N	N	N	N	1	57.73%
Newyorkbrad	Y	N	Y	Y	Y	Y	Y	Y	7	89.01%
Off2riorob	Y	Y	Y	Y	Y	Y	Y	Y	8	16.87%
PhilKnight	Y	N	Y	Y	Y	N	N	Y	5	60.38%
Sandstein	Y	Y	N	Y	Y	Y	Y	Y	7	51.30%
Shell Kinney	N	N	Y	N	Y	N	N	N	2	56.70%
SirFozzie	Y	Y	N	N	Y	Y	N	Y	5	78.45%
Stephen Bain	N	Y	Y	N	Y	Y	Y	Y	6	45.54%
Xeno	N	Y	N	N	N	N	N	N	1	70.64%
Number "Correct" by writer	12	11	11	8	12	13	9	11	Avg 10.75 cand (by wr) correct	N/A

Guide writers outcomes, neutral discarded

Finally, an analysis by Ncmvocalist.

In this analysis/chart

• A Y means that the guide writer supported a candidate who won, or opposed a candidate who lost
• A N means that the guide writer supported a candidate who lost, or opposed a candidate who won.

HOWEVER, in this analysis, there is no penalty for hanging back or being neutral (denoted with a gray dot), and the calculations in this case only measure accuracy when an opinion was given.

Candidate	Ealdgyth	. . Lar . .	MastCell	Ncm vocalist	Nuclear Warfare	Sandy Georgia	Short Brigade Harvester Boris	Wizard man	Number "correct" by cand	Actual % Received
Casliber	Y	N	Y		Y	Y	Y	Y	6/7	78.73%
Chase me ladies, I'm the Cavalry	N	N	N			N	N	Y	1/6	60.61%
David Fuchs	Y	Y	Y		Y	Y	Y	Y	7/7	62.88%
Elen of the Roads	Y	Y	Y	Y	Y	Y	N		6/7	72.57%
FT2	Y	Y	Y	Y	N	Y	Y	Y	7/8	42.13%
Georgewilliamherbert	Y	Y	N		N	Y		N	3/6	44.26%
GiacomoReturned	N	N	N	N	Y	N	N		1/7	40.77%
Harej	Y	N	Y			Y	Y	N	4/6	44.62%
Iridescent	Y	Y	Y	Y	Y	Y	Y	Y	8/8	74.04%
Jclemens		Y	N		N	Y	N	N	2/6	56.71%
John Vandenberg	N	N	N	Y	N	N	N		1/7	57.73%
Newyorkbrad	Y	N	Y	Y	Y	Y	Y	Y	7/8	89.01%
Off2riorob	Y	Y	Y	Y	Y	Y	Y	Y	8/8	16.87%
PhilKnight	Y	N	Y	Y	Y	N		Y	5/7	60.38%
Sandstein	Y	Y	N	Y	Y	Y	Y	Y	7/8	51.30%
Shell Kinney		N	Y	N	Y	N	N	N	2/7	56.70%
SirFozzie	Y	Y			Y	Y	N	Y	5/6	78.45%
Stephen Bain		Y	Y		Y	Y	Y	Y	6/6	45.54%
Xeno	N	Y		N	N	N	N	N	1/7	70.64%
Number "Correct" by writer	12/16	11/19	11/17	8/11	12/17	13/19	9/17	11/16	Avg 10.75 cand (by wr) correct	N/A