User:Kahlores/Sandbox/Opinion polling for the 2019 Israeli legislative election
In the run up to the 2019 Israeli legislative election, various organisations carry out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Israel. Results of such polls are displayed in this article.
The date range for these opinion polls are from the previous legislative election, held on 17 March 2015, to the present day. The next legislative election will be held on 9 April 2019.[1]
Seat projections
[edit]Parties
[edit]Poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first. The highest figure in each survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. Israeli polls do not take the electoral threshold (currently 3.25%) into account in a uniform fashion. Some polls report the number of seats each party would win purely according to the percentages, as though there were no threshold; others eliminate parties that poll below the threshold and distribute the 120 available Knesset seats only among those who pass it. As a result, parties that poll at or near the threshold can show[2] inconsistent results, bouncing between 0 and the minimum 3 or 4 seats. Polls may not add up to 120 seats due to rounding or omitted parties that drop out or do not poll consistently.
2019
[edit]Arab | Leftist | Center-left | Center | Center-right | Right-wing | Nationalist | Religious | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Date | Poll | Joint List |
Meretz |
Labor | Hatnuah | Yesh Atid |
Hosen Yisrael |
Kulanu |
Gesher |
Likud |
Yisrael Beiteinu |
New Right |
Jewish Home |
Shas |
UTJ |
Lead |
2015 election results | 13 | 5 | 18 | 6 | 11 | — | 10 | — | 30 | 6 | — | 8 | 7 | 6 | 6 | |
2 Jan | Kan[3] | 12 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 13 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 28 | 5 | 9 | 0 | 6 | 7 | |
2 Jan | Midgam[4] | 12 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 31 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 7 | |
1 Jan | Labour decides to split the Zionist Union alliance with Tzipi Livni's Hatnuah party[5] |
2018
[edit]Date | Poll | Joint List |
Meretz |
Zionist Union |
Yesh Atid |
Hosen Yisrael |
Kulanu |
Gesher |
Likud |
Yisrael Beiteinu |
New Right |
Jewish Home |
Shas |
UTJ | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2015 election results | 13 | 5 | 24 | 11 | 10 | 30 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 6 | |||||
30 Dec | Sarid/Kan Channel[6] | 12 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 27 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 4 | 7 | |
30 Dec | Panel Project HaMidgam/Channel 10[7] | 13 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 30 | 5 | 8 | 3[fn 1] | 5 | 7 | |
30 Dec | Midgam/Channel 13[8] | 12 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 28 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 7 | |
30 Dec | Panels/Walla[9] | 13 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 28 | 4 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 7 | |
30 Dec | Direct Polls/Makor Rishon[10] | 12 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 5 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 7 | |
29 Dec | Ayelet Shaked and Naftali Bennett break away from Jewish Home to create a new party, New Right[11] | ||||||||||||||
27 Dec | Former chief of staff Benny Gantz registers a new party - Hosen Israel[12] | ||||||||||||||
27 Dec | Maagar Mochot/Israel Hayom[13][14] | 12 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 31 | 4 | — | 11 | 4 | 7 | |
27 Dec | Panels/Channel 12[15] | 11 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 31 | 4 | — | 11 | 4 | 7 | |
25 Dec | Midgam/News Company[16] | 12 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 5 | 4 | 29 | 6 | — | 9 | 5 | 7 | |
25 Dec | Sarid/Kan News[17] | 13 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 30 | 4 | — | 12 | 4 | 7 | |
25 Dec | Panel HaMidgam Project/Statnet/Ten News[18] | 12 | 7 | 12 | 15 | — | 6 | 8 | 30 | 7 | — | 10 | 6 | 7 | |
12 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 27 | 6 | — | 9 | 5 | 7 | |||
25 Dec | Panels Politics/Walla News[19] | 11 | 8 | 11 | 17 | — | 6 | 5 | 32 | 6 | — | 12 | 4 | 8 | |
11 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 31 | 5 | — | 11 | 4 | 7 | |||
24–25 Dec | Panels Politics/Maariv[20][21] | 11 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 30 | 5 | — | 11 | 4 | 7 | |
24 Dec | Prime Minister Netanyahu calls the election for 9 April 2019[22] | ||||||||||||||
16 Dec | Midgam/Channel 13[23] | 12 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 6 | — | 9 | 5 | 7 | |
21 Nov | Panels Politics/Walla News[24] | 13 | 6 | 12 | 17 | — | 6 | 5 | 30 | 6 | — | 13 | 4 | 8 | |
13 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 19 | 5 | 0 | 30 | 4 | — | 12 | 4 | 8 | |||
20 Nov | Midgam/Army Radio[25] | 12 | 4 | 12 | 18 | — | 8 | 6 | 30 | 8 | — | 9 | 6 | 7 | |
19 Nov | Panel HaMidgam Project/Statnet/Ten News[26] | 14 | 7 | 14 | 17 | — | 5 | 7 | 29 | 8 | — | 9 | 4 | 6 | |
14 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 15 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 8 | — | 9 | 4 | 6 | |||
17 Nov | Midgam/News Company[27] | 12 | 5 | 12 | 18 | — | 8 | 6 | 30 | 6 | — | 10 | 7 | 6 | |
14–15 Nov | Smith/Channel 20[28] | 12 | 6 | 11 | 16 | — | 8 | 6 | 29 | 8 | — | 11 | 5 | 8 | |
14 Nov | Panels Politics/Maariv[29] | 11 | 6 | 11 | 17 | — | 7 | 6 | 30 | 7 | — | 12 | 5 | 8 | |
14 Nov | Midgam/News Company[30] | 12 | 6 | 11 | 18 | — | 8 | 5 | 29 | 7 | — | 11 | 6 | 7 | |
12 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 24 | 7 | — | 10 | 6 | 7 | |||
25 Oct | Panel HaMidgam Project/Statnet/Ten News[31] | 14 | 8 | 12 | 19 | — | 7 | 5 | 30 | 5 | — | 10 | 4 | 6 | |
11 Oct | Panel HaMidgam Project/Statnet/Ten News[32] | 13 | 7 | 11 | 15 | — | 6 | 6 | 31 | 6 | — | 12 | 5 | 8 | |
7 Oct | Midgam/News Company[33] | 12 | 6 | 12 | 18 | — | 6 | 6 | 32 | 5 | — | 10 | 5 | 7 | |
2–3 Sep | Panels Politics/Keshet[34] | 11 | 5 | 11 | 18 | — | 6 | 5 | 36 | 6 | — | 11 | 4 | 7 | |
21 Aug | Panels Politics/Walla News[35] | 11 | 5 | 12 | 20 | — | 6 | 5 | 33 | 6 | — | 11 | 4 | 7 | |
30 Jul | Panels Politics/Walla News[36] | 11 | 5 | 12 | 19 | — | 6 | 6 | 33 | 6 | — | 10 | 4 | 8 | |
24 Jul | Midgam/News Company[37] | 12 | 5 | 15 | 19 | — | 7 | 5 | 30 | 7 | — | 8 | 5 | 7 | |
12 Jul | Maagar Mochot/Makor Rishon[38] | 11 | 5 | 11 | 20 | — | 7 | 6 | 33 | 6 | — | 10 | 4 | 7 | |
8 Jul | Panels Politics/Walla News[39][40] | 12 | 7 | 11 | 17 | — | 6 | 5 | 35 | 5 | — | 10 | 4 | 8 | |
4 Jul | Midgam/Yediot Ahronot[41] | 12 | 6 | 15 | 18 | — | 6 | 5 | 33 | 6 | — | 7 | 5 | 7 | |
25 Jun | Midgam/News Company[42] | 12 | 5 | 15 | 18 | — | 7 | 5 | 32 | 6 | — | 7 | 6 | 7 | |
8 Jun | Panel HaMidgam Project/Statnet/Ten News[43] | 12 | 7 | 13 | 18 | — | 6 | 5 | 31 | 6 | — | 11 | 5 | 6 | |
3 Jun | Panels Politics/Walla News[44] | 12 | 6 | 10 | 16 | — | 6 | 6 | 34 | 6 | — | 11 | 5 | 8 | |
1 Jun | Smith/Maariv[45] | 12 | 6 | 11 | 17 | — | 7 | 5 | 34 | 8 | — | 9 | 5 | 6 | |
11 May | Panels/Maariv[46] | 12 | 6 | 10 | 17 | — | 7 | 6 | 36 | 6 | — | 9 | 4 | 7 | |
9 May | Geocartography[fn 2] | ? | ? | 10 | 18 | — | ? | ? | 42 | ? | — | 8 | 5 | 9 | |
9 May | Midgam/News Company[48] | 12 | 5 | 14 | 18 | — | 6 | 5 | 35 | 6 | — | 8 | 4 | 7 | |
1 May | Smith/Channel 20[49] | 12 | 7 | 12 | 19 | — | 7 | 4 | 32 | 6 | — | 10 | 4 | 7 | |
29 Apr | Panels Politics/Walla News[50] | 12 | 7 | 11 | 19 | — | 7 | 4 | 29 | 6 | — | 12 | 5 | 8 | |
26 Apr | Geocartography/Israel Hayom[51] | 11 | 7 | 9 | 20 | — | 6 | 7 | 34 | 4 | — | 9 | 4 | 9 | |
23 Apr | Midgam/News Company[52] | 12 | 6 | 14 | 20 | — | 6 | 8 | 28 | 5 | — | 10 | 4 | 7 | |
15 Apr | Panel Politics/Knesset Channel[53] | 11 | 7 | 10 | 20 | — | 9 | 5 | 29 | 5 | — | 12 | 5 | 7 | |
3 Apr | Panel HaMidgam Project/Statnet/Ten News[54] | 13 | 7 | 12 | 21 | — | 7 | 4 | 32 | 5 | — | 10 | 4 | 5 | |
29 Mar | Smith/Channel 20[55] | 12 | 7 | 13 | 19 | — | 7 | 5 | 30 | 5 | — | 10 | 5 | 7 | |
22 Mar | Meretz leadership primary concludes with Tamar Zandberg's victory[56] | ||||||||||||||
16 Mar | Geocartography/Israel Hayom[57] | 10 | 7 | 10 | 20 | — | 5 | 7 | 39 | 5 | — | 8 | 0 | 9 | |
12 Mar | Panel HaMidgam Project/Statnet/Ten News[58] | 13 | 9 | 11 | 24 | — | 6 | — | 30 | 6 | — | 11 | 5 | 6 | |
12 Mar | Midgam/News Company[59] | 12 | 7 | 13 | 21 | — | 6 | 5 | 30 | 4 | — | 11 | 4 | 7 | |
11 Mar | Former defense minister Moshe Ya'alon announces his intention to form a new party and run in the next election[60] | ||||||||||||||
8 Mar | Panels Politics/Walla News[61] | 10 | 8 | 11 | 24 | — | 7 | — | 30 | 7 | — | 11 | 4 | 8 | |
8 Mar | Maagar Mochot/Israel Hayom[62] | 10 | 7 | 10 | 24 | — | 6 | — | 34 | 5 | — | 14 | 2 | 8 | |
6 Mar | Independent MK Orly Levy announces her intention to form a new party and run in the next election[63] | ||||||||||||||
4 Mar | Panel HaMidgam Project/Statnet/Ten News[64] | 12 | 8 | 12 | 24 | — | 7 | — | 29 | 7 | — | 10 | 5 | 6 | |
1 Mar | Panels Politics/Walla News[65] | 10 | 8 | 13 | 23 | — | 8 | — | 29 | 6 | — | 11 | 4 | 8 | |
28 Feb | Geocartography/Israel Hayom[66] | 10 | 6 | 10 | 23 | — | 5 | — | 36 | 5 | — | 11 | 4 | 10 | |
21–22 Feb | Midgam/News Company[67] | 12 | 6 | 15 | 24 | — | 7 | — | 28 | 7 | — | 9 | 5 | 7 | |
21 Feb | Panel HaMidgam Project/Statnet/Ten News[68] | 12 | 7 | 15 | 23 | — | 8 | — | 27 | 7 | — | 10 | 5 | 6 | |
19 Feb | Geocartography/Israel Hayom[69] | 12 | 6 | 12 | 20 | — | 7 | — | 34 | 6 | — | 14 | 0 | 9 | |
14 Feb | Maariv[70] | 12 | 6 | 15 | 22 | — | 7 | — | 28 | 7 | — | 11 | 5 | 7 | |
14 Feb | Panel HaMidgam Project/Ten News[71] | 11 | 7 | 16 | 25 | — | 5 | — | 27 | 6 | — | 11 | 5 | 7 | |
14 Feb | Midgam/News Company[72] | 12 | 7 | 15 | 22 | — | 9 | — | 26 | 6 | — | 11 | 5 | 7 | |
1 Feb | Geocartography[73] | 8 | 6 | 13 | 24 | — | 7 | — | 30 | 8 | — | 12 | 5 | 7 | |
21 Jan | Panels Politics/Walla News[74] | 11 | 7 | 15 | 25 | — | 8 | — | 24 | 5 | — | 13 | 4 | 8 | |
12 Jan | Maariv[75] | 11 | 7 | 14 | 27 | — | 9 | — | 22 | 5 | — | 13 | 4 | 8 | |
10–11 Jan | Midgam/News Company[76] | 12 | 5 | 16 | 24 | — | 7 | — | 25 | 7 | — | 11 | 6 | 7 | |
2017
[edit]Date | Poll | Joint List |
Meretz |
Zionist Union |
Yesh Atid |
Kulanu |
Likud |
Yisrael Beiteinu |
Jewish Home |
Shas |
UTJ |
Lead | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 Dec | Geocartography[77] | 9 | 6 | 13 | 26 | 8 | 31 | 4 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 5 | |||||
25–27 Dec | Maagar Mochot/Makor Rishon[78] | 11 | 7 | 12 | 25 | 11 | 24 | 5 | 14 | 4 | 7 | 1 | |||||
18–19 Dec | Geocartography[79] | 9 | 5 | 14 | 27 | 7 | 24 | 5 | 20 | 0 | 9 | 3 | |||||
8 Dec | Geocartography[80] | 13 | 4 | 12 | 16 | 7 | 33 | 6 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 17 | |||||
4 Dec | News Company[81] | 12 | 7 | 18 | 22 | 6 | 24 | 7 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 2 | |||||
1 Dec | Panels Politics/Maariv[82] | 11 | 6 | 17 | 25 | 7 | 25 | 5 | 12 | 4 | 8 | Tie | |||||
26 Nov | Ten News[83] | 11 | 7 | 17 | 24 | 9 | 24 | 5 | 12 | 4 | 7 | Tie | |||||
19 Nov | Walla News[84] | 11 | 7 | 19 | 21 | 7 | 27 | 7 | 10 | 3 | 8 | 6 | |||||
1 Nov | Ten News[85] | 12 | 8 | 19 | 22 | 7 | 26 | 5 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 4 | |||||
1 Nov | News Company[86] | 12 | 5 | 21 | 20 | 8 | 24 | 6 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 3 | |||||
28 Oct | Channel 10[87] | 12 | 7 | 20 | 21 | 7 | 26 | 6 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 5 | |||||
17 Oct | Panels Politics[88] | 11 | 6 | 20 | 22 | 6 | 25 | 6 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 3 | |||||
21 Sep | Panels Politics[89] | 11 | 5 | 17 | 24 | 6 | 28 | 5 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 4 | |||||
22 Aug | Geocartography[90] | 10 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 10 | 34 | 6 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 20 | |||||
13 Aug | Panels[91] | 11 | 6 | 16 | 21 | 9 | 25 | 7 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 4 | |||||
6 Aug | Panel HaMidgam Project/Channel 10[92] | 11 | 5 | 20–22 | 16–18 | 7 | 27–31 | 8 | 9–10 | 5–6 | 7 | 5–11 | |||||
3 Aug | Maagar Mochot/Makor Rishon[93] | 13 | 5 | 16 | 20 | 9 | 30 | 5 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 10 | |||||
27 Jul | Panel HaMidgam Project/Channel 10[94] | 10 | 5 | 20 | 17 | 7 | 28 | 7 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |||||
23 Jul | Geocartography[95] | 10 | 5 | 18 | 17 | 6 | 32 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 14 | |||||
21 Jul | Panels/Maariv/Jerusalem Post[96] | 11 | 5 | 19 | 22 | 9 | 24 | 5 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 2 | |||||
12 Jul | Geocartography/Kol Brama[97] | 11 | 5 | 19 | 21 | 8 | 29 | 4 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 8 | |||||
12 Jul | Panels/Walla[97] | 12 | 5 | 19 | 21 | 7 | 25 | 6 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 4 | |||||
11 Jul | Panel HaMidgam Project/Channel 10[98] | 8 | 5 | 24 | 16 | 6 | 29 | 7 | 14 | 5 | 6 | 5 | |||||
11 Jul | Midgam/Channel 2[99] | 13 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 8 | 25 | 6 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 5 | |||||
10 Jul | Second round of Labor leadership election concludes with Avi Gabbay's victory[100] | ||||||||||||||||
7 Jul | Panels/Maariv[101] | 12 | 6–7 | 16–17 | 20–21 | 8–9 | 25–26 | 6 | 12 | 5–6 | 7 | 4–6 | |||||
5 Jul | Midgam/Channel 2 News[102] | 13 | 6 | 14–15 | 20–21 | 10–11 | 28–29 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 7–9 | |||||
5 Jul | Midgam Panel + Statnet/Walla News[103] | 13 | 5 | 18 | 23 | 9–10 | 21–22 | 5 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 1-2 | |||||
4 Jul | First round of Labor leadership election concludes with Avi Gabbay and Amir Peretz advancing to the second round[104] | ||||||||||||||||
26 May | Midgam/Channel 2[105] | 13 | 6 | 12 | 22 | 7 | 30 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 8 | |||||
26 May | Geocartography[106][107] | 13 | 8 | 11 | 24 | 6 | 26 | 8 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 2 | |||||
27 Apr | Jewish Home leadership primaries concludes with Naftali Bennett's victory[108] | ||||||||||||||||
27 Apr | Geocartography/Radio 103FM[109] | 13 | 6 | 11 | 25 | 7 | 23 | 7 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 2 | |||||
22 Apr | Channel 22[110] | 13 | 6 | 12 | 24 | 7 | 28 | 6 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 4 | |||||
5 Apr | Old Dialog/Channel 10[111] | 12 | 7 | 10 | 29 | 6 | 27 | 6 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 2 | |||||
29 Mar | Walla[112] | 12 | 6 | 10 | 28 | 7 | 24 | 7 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 4 | |||||
24 Mar | Panels/Maariv/Jerusalem Post[113] | 13 | 5 | 10 | 28 | 7 | 25 | 7 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 3 | |||||
17 Mar | Channel 10[114] | 13 | 7 | 10 | 25 | 6 | 26 | 7 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 1 | |||||
20 Jan | Panels[115] | 13 | 7 | 9 | 26 | 7 | 23 | 7 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 3 | |||||
17 Jan | Channel 2[116] | 13 | 6 | 11 | 26 | 7 | 24 | 7 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 2 | |||||
12 Jan | Walla[117] | 12 | 6 | 9 | 27 | 6 | 24 | 9 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 3 | |||||
9 Jan | Geocartography/Globes[118] | 13 | 7 | 13 | 27 | 6 | 22 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 5 | |||||
5 Jan | Teleseker/Channel 1[119] | 12 | 6 | 13 | 26 | 5 | 22 | 9 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 4 | |||||
1 Jan | Smith/Reshet Moreshet[120] | 12 | 6 | 13 | 22 | 7 | 28 | 7 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 6 | |||||
2016
[edit]Date | Poll | Joint List |
Meretz |
Zionist Union |
Yesh Atid |
Kulanu |
Likud |
Yisrael Beiteinu |
Jewish Home |
Shas |
UTJ |
Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 Dec | Statnet/Channel 10 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 27 | 7 | 23 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 4 |
2 Dec | Midgam/iPanel | 13 | 7 | 10 | 25 | 7 | 25 | 8 | 11 | 7 | 7 | Tie |
4 Nov | Smith/Reshet Bet | 13 | 6 | 13 | 21 | 7 | 26 | 8 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 5 |
2 Oct | Panels Politics/Maariv | 13 | 5 | 10 | 27 | 6 | 22 | 9 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 5 |
26 Sep | TNS/Channel 1 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 25 | 6 | 21 | 9 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 4 |
9 Sep | Geocartography/Channel 1 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 27 | 6 | 23 | 9 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 4 |
6 Sep | Midgam/iPanel | 13 | 6 | 13 | 24 | 6 | 22 | 10 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 2 |
11 Aug | Maagar Mochot | 13 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 6 | 27 | 9 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 6 |
7 Aug | Geocartography | 13 | 5 | 8 | 22 | 6 | 25 | 7 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 3 |
3 Jun | Jerusalem Post/Smith Poll | 13 | 6 | 15 | 19 | 7 | 27 | 8 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 8 |
29 May | Geocartography/Kol Chai | 13 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 7 | 27 | 8 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 6 |
27 May | Smith/Reshet Bet | 13 | 6 | 15 | 19 | 6 | 28 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
17 May | Geocartography/Channel 1 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 24 | 6 | 27 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 3 |
17 May | Panels Politics/Maariv | 11 | 7 | 13 | 18 | 6 | 26 | 11 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 8 |
16 May | Midgam/iPanel | 13 | 6 | 17 | 18 | 7 | 27 | 9 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 9 |
16 May | Midgam/Statnet | 14 | 6 | 13 | 20 | 9 | 25 | 9 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 5 |
25 Mar | Smith/Reshet Bet | 12 | 6 | 17 | 19 | 7 | 26 | 8 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 7 |
24 Mar | Dialog | 13 | 5 | 15 | 20 | 7 | 27 | 7 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 7 |
18 Mar | Maariv | 12 | 6 | 15 | 21 | 6 | 26 | 9 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 5 |
9 Mar | TNS/Channel 1 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 21 | 6 | 25 | 8 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 4 |
5 Mar | Midgam/Channel 2 | 13 | 5 | 18 | 19 | 7 | 26 | 8 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 7 |
26 Feb | Smith/Reshet Bet | 13 | 6 | 19 | 18 | 7 | 27 | 7 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 8 |
19 Feb | Panels Politics | 12 | 6 | 15 | 18 | 6 | 27 | 10 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 9 |
28 Jan | Maagar Mochot | 13 | 5 | 18 | 18 | 4 | 30 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 12 |
21 Jan | Channel 10 | 14 | 4 | 15 | 16 | 7 | 27 | 10 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 11 |
1 Jan | Midgam/Yediot Achranot | 13 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 7 | 25 | 8 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 7 |
2015
[edit]Date | Poll | Joint List |
Meretz |
Zionist Union |
Yesh Atid |
Kulanu |
Likud |
Yisrael Beiteinu |
Jewish Home |
Shas |
UTJ |
Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 Nov | Maagar Mochot[121] | 13 | 5 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 31 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 11 |
17 Mar | Election results | 13 | 5 | 24 | 11 | 10 | 30 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 6 |
Scenario polls
[edit]Benny Gantz with Zionist Union
[edit]Benny Gantz has reportedly turned down Avi Gabbay's offer to replace him as leader of the Zionist Union.[122] Nevertheless some polls check this scenario.
Date | Poll | Joint List |
Meretz |
Zionist Union with Benny Gantz |
Yesh Atid |
Kulanu |
Gesher | Likud |
Yisrael Beiteinu |
Jewish Home |
Shas |
UTJ |
Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
27 Dec 2018 | Maagar Mochot/Israel Hayom[13] | 12 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 32 | 4 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 16 |
25 Dec 2018 | Midgam/News Company[16][123] | 12 | 4 | 25 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 31 | 6 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 6 |
21 Nov 2018 | Panels Politics/Walla News[24] | 13 | 5 | 26 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 30 | 5 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 4 |
17 Nov 2018 | Midgam/News Company[27] | 12 | 4 | 24 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 26 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 2 |
Benny Gantz with Yesh Atid
[edit]Date | Poll | Joint List |
Meretz |
Zionist Union |
Yesh Atid with Benny Gantz |
Kulanu |
Gesher | Likud |
Yisrael Beiteinu |
Jewish Home |
Shas |
UTJ |
Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
27 Dec 2018 | Maagar Mochot/Israel Hayom[13] | 12 | 5 | 8 | 25 | 6 | 6 | 30 | 5 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 5 |
27 Dec 2018 | Panels/Channel 12[15] | 11 | 5 | 8 | 30 | 5 | 4 | 31 | 4 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 1 |
25 Dec 2018 | Panel HaMidgam Project/Statnet/Ten News[18] | 12 | 6 | 9 | 26 | 7 | 6 | 27 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 1 |
25 Dec 2018 | Panels Politics/Walla News[19] | 11 | 6 | 9 | 26 | 5 | 5 | 31 | 6 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 5 |
16 Dec 2018 | Midgam/Channel 13[23] | 12 | 5 | 10 | 26 | 5 | 5 | 29 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 3 |
Blocs
[edit]The table below shows the overall seats of the parties making up the 2016 coalition and its opposition in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first, based on the individual performance of each party in the opinion polls listed in the table above. The table takes into account only parties that are currently represented in the Knesset, and thus may show totals that fall below 120 seats. The table is based on the current composition of the 2016 Coalition (Likud + Kulanu + Jewish Home + Shas + Israel Beiteinu + UTJ) and Opposition (Zionist Union + Yesh Atid + Joint List + Meretz). The highest figure in each survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading bloc's colour. The Overall Seats section reflects the seats of every party that participates in the survey and is currently represented in the Knesset, while the Overall Seats above Threshold section only shows the seats of parties that pass the electoral threshold (3.25%) and are currently represented in the Knesset.
Date | Poll | Overall Seats | Overall Seats above Threshold | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2016 coalition | 2016 opposition | Lead | 2016 coalition | 2016 opposition | Lead | |||
2015 election results | 67 | 53 | 14 | 67 | 53 | 14 | ||
2018 | ||||||||
2–3 Sep | Panels Politics/Keshet[34] | 70 | 50 | 20 | 70 | 50 | 20 | |
3 Jun | Panels Politics/Walla News[44] | 70 | 50 | 20 | 70 | 50 | 20 | |
9 May | Midgam/News Company[48] | 66 | 54 | 12 | 66 | 54 | 12 | |
23 Apr | Midgam/News Company[52] | 60 | 60 | Tie | 60 | 60 | Tie | |
15 Apr | Panel Politics/Knesset Channel[53] | 67 | 53 | 14 | 67 | 53 | 14 | |
3 Apr | Panel HaMidgam Project/Statnet/Ten News[54] | 62 | 58 | 4 | 62 | 58 | 4 | |
12 Mar | Panel HaMidgam Project/Statnet/Ten News[58] | 64 | 56 | 8 | 64 | 56 | 8 | |
12 Mar | Midgam/News Company[59] | 62 | 58 | 4 | 62 | 58 | 4 | |
8 Mar | Panels Politics/Walla! News[61] | 67 | 53 | 14 | 67 | 53 | 14 | |
8 Mar | Maagar Mochot/Israel Hayom[62] | 69 | 51 | 18 | 67 | 51 | 16 | |
4 Mar | Panel HaMidgam Project/Statnet/Ten News[84] | 64 | 56 | 8 | 64 | 56 | 8 | |
2017 | ||||||||
19 Nov | Hamidgam Project Panel/Walla! News[64] | 62 | 58 | 4 | 59 | 58 | 1 | |
1 Nov | Hamidgam Project Panel/Channel 10[85] | 59 | 61 | 2 | 59 | 61 | 2 | |
1 Nov | Midgam/Channel 2[86] | 62 | 58 | 4 | 62 | 58 | 4 | |
28 Oct | Hamidgam Project Panel/Channel 10[87] | 58 | 60 | 2 | 55 | 60 | 5 | |
17 Oct | Panels Politics/Walla! News[88] | 61 | 59 | 2 | 61 | 59 | 2 | |
21 Sep | Panels Politics/Mako[89] | 63 | 57 | 6 | 63 | 57 | 6 | |
22 Aug | Geocartography/Maariv[90] | 76 | 44 | 32 | 76 | 44 | 32 | |
13 Aug | Panels Politics/Maariv[91] | 66 | 54 | 12 | 66 | 54 | 12 | |
6 Aug | Hamidgam Project Panel/ Channel 10[92] | 64 | 56 | 8 | 64 | 56 | 8 | |
3 Aug | Maagar Mochot/Makor Rishon[93] | 66 | 54 | 12 | 66 | 54 | 12 | |
27 Jul | Hamidgam Project Panel/ Channel 10[94] | 68 | 52 | 16 | 68 | 52 | 16 | |
23 Jul | Geocartography/ Haredim 10[95] | 70 | 50 | 20 | 70 | 50 | 20 | |
21 Jul | Panels Politics/Maariv[96] | 63 | 57 | 6 | 63 | 57 | 6 | |
12 Jul | Geocartography/Kol Brama[97] | 64 | 56 | 8 | 64 | 56 | 8 | |
12 Jul | Panels Politics /Walla! News[97] | 63 | 57 | 6 | 63 | 57 | 6 | |
11 Jul | Hamidgam Project Panel/ Channel 10[98] | 67 | 53 | 14 | 67 | 53 | 14 | |
11 Jul | Midgam/Channel 2[99] | 64 | 56 | 8 | 64 | 56 | 8 | |
2015 election results | 67 | 53 | 14 | 67 | 53 | 14 |
Preferred Prime Minister polling
[edit]Some opinion pollsters have asked voters which party leader they would prefer as Prime Minister.
Date | Polling Firm | Benjamin Netanyahu | Yair Lapid | Avi Gabbay | Naftali Bennett | Avigdor Liberman | Moshe Kahlon | Moshe Ya'alon | Ehud Barak | Gideon Sa'ar | Tzipi Livni | Benny Gantz | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2018 | ||||||||||||||||||
30 Dec | Midgam/Channel 13[8] | 36 | 29 | |||||||||||||||
27 Dec | Maagar Mochot/Israel Hayom[13] | 35 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 14 | ||||||||||
25 Dec | Sarid/Kan News[17] | 37 | 13 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 13 | |||||||||||
25 Dec | Panels Politics/Walla![19] | 40 | 9 | 6 | 12 | |||||||||||||
21 Nov | Panels Politics/Walla! | 36 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 11 | |||||||||
14-15 Nov | Smith/News 20 | 30 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 15 | |||||||||||
7 Oct | Midgam/News company | 38 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 12 | |||||||||||
25 Jun | Midgam/News company | 34 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 13 | |||||||||||
8 Jun | Channel 10 | 39 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 4 | ||||||||||||
12 Mar | Knesset Channel | 35 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 9 | ||||||||||
12 Mar | Midgam/News company | 36 | 12 | 8 | 6 | |||||||||||||
8 Mar | Panels Politics/Walla! News | 39 | 16 | 11 | ||||||||||||||
1 Mar | Walla/Panels Politics | 37 | 20 | 9 | ||||||||||||||
21 Jan | Walla/Panels Politics | 33 | 18 | 11 | ||||||||||||||
10-11 Jan | Midgam/iPanel | 35 | 23 | |||||||||||||||
2017 | ||||||||||||||||||
27-29 Dec | Maagar Mochot/Makor Rishon | 24 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 17 | |||||||||||
4 Dec | News Company | 35/39 | 20 | 19 | ||||||||||||||
1 Dec | Panels Politics/Maariv | 26 | 18 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 5 | |||||||||||
19 Nov | News Walla | 31 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 7 | ||||||||||||
9 Nov | Panels Politics/Maariv | 36 | 11 | 14 | 5 | 3 | 4 | |||||||||||
28 Oct | Channel 10 | 28 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 6 | |||||||||||
17 Oct | Panels Politics | 33 | 16 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 4 | |||||||||||
21 Sep | Panels Politics | 23 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 15 | ||||||||||
27 Jul | Panel HaMidgam Project/Channel 10 | 32 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 7 | ||||||||||||
21 Jul | Panels/Maariv/Jerusalem Post | 26 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 8 | |||||||||||
12 Jul | Panels/Walla | 35 | 16 | 16 | 7 | 3 | 7 | |||||||||||
11 Jul | Panel HaMidgam Project/Channel 10 | 37 | 12 | 14 | 8 | 7 | ||||||||||||
11 Jul | Midgam/Channel 2 | 34 | 12 | 13 | 6 |
Date | Polling Firm | Benjamin Netanyahu | Yair Lapid | Isaac Herzog | Naftali Bennett | Avigdor Liberman | Gabi Ashkenazi | Moshe Ya'alon | Ehud Barak | Gideon Sa'ar | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2017 | ||||||||||||||||||
26 May | Midgam/Channel 2 | 35 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 9 | |||||||||||
5 Apr | Old Dialog/Channel 10 | 23 | 18 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 11 | |||||||||||
12 Jan | Walla | 37 | 33 | |||||||||||||||
5 Jan | Teleseker/Channel 1 | 23 | 21 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 4 | ||||||||||
2016 | ||||||||||||||||||
30 Dec | Statnet/Channel 10 | 27 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 9 | ||||||||||||
21 Jan | Channel 10 | 35 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 9 |
Notes
[edit]- ^ under threshold
- ^ Survey partially released by Army Radio.[47]
References
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- ^ https://www.maariv.co.il/news/politics/Article-670961
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- ^ "Former IDF chief Benny Gantz might change power balance". Ynet. 4 July 2018.
- ^ "Midgam Poll: Likud 32, Yesh Atid 18, Zionist Union 15, Joint List 12". Jeremy's Knesset Insider. 25 June 2018.
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- ^ a b "Poll: 'Likud Beytenu' joint list would net 36 seats". Israel National News. 3 June 2018.
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- ^ "Poll: Likud 36, Yesh Atid 17". Israel National News. 11 May 2018.
- ^ "2 polls indicate big surge for Netanyahu's Likud after Trump's Iran announcement". The Times of Israel. 9 May 2018.
- ^ a b "Poll: Likud, Netanyahu Shoot Up to 35 Seats After Iran Deal Announcement". Hamodia. 10 May 2018.
- ^ "Poll: Likud gaining strength, Levi-Abekasis weakening". Israel National News. 2 May 2018.
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- ^ Drucker, Raviv (26 November 2017). "סקר חדשות עשר: שוויון בין "הליכוד" ל"יש עתיד", המחנ"צ נחלשת". Ten News (in Hebrew).
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