2012 United States presidential election in Montana
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| Elections in Montana |
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The 2012 United States presidential election in Montana took place on November 6, 2012, as part of the 2012 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Montana voters chose three electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote pitting incumbent Democratic President Barack Obama and his running mate, Vice President Joe Biden, against Republican challenger and former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney and his running mate, Congressman Paul Ryan.
Romney carried Montana with 55.30% of the vote to Obama's 41.66%, with a 13.64% margin of victory. Montana was the second-best state performance for Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson, carrying about 3% of the vote.
Romney performed much better than John McCain had in 2008, when he narrowly won over Obama with only a 2.38% margin of victory. Romney also won over five counties that voted for Obama in 2008. Most of the counties Obama won were either majority Native American (such as Big Horn, Blaine, Glacier, and Roosevelt) or have some of Montana's most populous cities and towns, such as Missoula County (containing its namesake city, the second largest in the state and home of the University of Montana) and Silver Bow County (home to Butte and Montana Tech). As of the 2024 presidential election, this is the last time that a Republican has won Gallatin County or that a Democrat has won Hill County or Roosevelt County.
Obama remains the only Democrat since statehood to win two terms in the White House without carrying Montana either time.[1]
Primary elections
[edit]Democratic primary
[edit]![[icon]](/wiki/File:Wiki_letter_w_cropped.svg){kind=small} | This section is empty. You can help by adding to it. (June 2022) |
Republican primary
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 Montana results by county
Mitt Romney
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The Republican caucuses took place on June 14 to 16, 2012 as the Montana state convention. Ten days before, the state delegates were selected by the central committee in each county[2][3][4] 23 delegates were to have been chosen, for a total of 26 delegates to go to the national convention. Prior to selecting delegates, a non-binding primary election was held June 5, 2012. Results were announced before the Republican National Convention in August.
| 2012 Montana Republican presidential primary[5] | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Delegates |
| Mitt Romney | 96,121 | 68.4% | |
| Ron Paul | 20,227 | 14.4% | |
| Rick Santorum | 12,546 | 8.9% | |
| Newt Gingrich | 6,107 | 4.3% | |
| No Preference | 5,456 | 3.9% | |
| Unpledged delegates: | 25 | ||
| Total: | 140,457 | 26 | |
| Key: | Withdrew prior to contest |
General election
[edit]Predictions
[edit]| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| Huffington Post[6] | Safe R | November 6, 2012 |
| CNN[7] | Safe R | November 6, 2012 |
| New York Times[8] | Safe R | November 6, 2012 |
| Washington Post[9] | Safe R | November 6, 2012 |
| RealClearPolitics[10] | Solid R | November 6, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[11] | Solid R | November 5, 2012 |
| FiveThirtyEight[12] | Solid R | November 6, 2012 |
Results
[edit]| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Mitt Romney | 267,928 | 55.30 | |
| Democratic | Barack Obama (incumbent) | 201,839 | 41.66 | |
| Libertarian | Gary Johnson | 14,165 | 2.93 | |
| Others | Others | 116 | 0.02 | |
| Total votes | 484,048 | 100.0 | ||
By county
[edit]| County | Mitt Romney Republican |
Barack Obama Democratic |
Various candidates Other parties |
Margin | Total | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | ||
| Beaverhead | 3,289 | 68.35% | 1,371 | 28.49% | 152 | 3.16% | 1,918 | 39.86% | 4,812 |
| Big Horn | 1,667 | 36.04% | 2,882 | 62.30% | 77 | 1.66% | -1,215 | -26.26% | 4,626 |
| Blaine | 1,178 | 41.20% | 1,616 | 56.52% | 65 | 2.28% | -438 | -15.32% | 2,859 |
| Broadwater | 2,152 | 71.47% | 764 | 25.37% | 95 | 3.16% | 1,388 | 46.10% | 3,011 |
| Carbon | 3,533 | 60.42% | 2,146 | 36.70% | 168 | 2.88% | 1,387 | 23.72% | 5,847 |
| Carter | 678 | 85.18% | 96 | 12.06% | 22 | 2.76% | 582 | 73.12% | 796 |
| Cascade | 18,345 | 53.06% | 15,232 | 44.05% | 999 | 2.89% | 3,113 | 9.01% | 34,576 |
| Chouteau | 1,758 | 62.32% | 978 | 34.67% | 85 | 3.01% | 780 | 27.65% | 2,821 |
| Custer | 3,373 | 62.87% | 1,833 | 34.17% | 159 | 2.96% | 1,540 | 28.70% | 5,365 |
| Daniels | 740 | 73.49% | 237 | 23.54% | 30 | 2.97% | 503 | 49.95% | 1,007 |
| Dawson | 3,029 | 68.48% | 1,219 | 27.56% | 175 | 3.96% | 1,810 | 40.92% | 4,423 |
| Deer Lodge | 1,448 | 32.47% | 2,860 | 64.13% | 152 | 3.40% | -1,412 | -31.66% | 4,460 |
| Fallon | 1,128 | 80.23% | 237 | 16.86% | 41 | 2.91% | 891 | 63.37% | 1,406 |
| Fergus | 4,257 | 70.12% | 1,640 | 27.01% | 174 | 2.87% | 2,617 | 43.11% | 6,071 |
| Flathead | 28,309 | 64.47% | 13,892 | 31.64% | 1,708 | 3.89% | 14,417 | 32.83% | 43,909 |
| Gallatin | 24,358 | 50.84% | 21,961 | 45.84% | 1,589 | 3.32% | 2,397 | 5.00% | 47,908 |
| Garfield | 622 | 88.73% | 66 | 9.42% | 13 | 1.85% | 556 | 79.31% | 701 |
| Glacier | 1,415 | 31.76% | 2,924 | 65.63% | 116 | 2.61% | -1,509 | -33.87% | 4,455 |
| Golden Valley | 351 | 73.28% | 110 | 22.96% | 18 | 3.76% | 241 | 50.32% | 479 |
| Granite | 1,107 | 64.93% | 533 | 31.26% | 65 | 3.81% | 574 | 33.67% | 1,705 |
| Hill | 3,164 | 46.36% | 3,403 | 49.86% | 258 | 3.78% | -239 | -3.50% | 6,825 |
| Jefferson | 4,055 | 62.18% | 2,272 | 34.84% | 194 | 2.98% | 1,783 | 27.34% | 6,521 |
| Judith Basin | 854 | 70.29% | 337 | 27.74% | 24 | 1.97% | 517 | 42.55% | 1,215 |
| Lake | 7,135 | 53.63% | 5,805 | 43.63% | 364 | 2.74% | 1,330 | 10.00% | 13,304 |
| Lewis and Clark | 16,803 | 50.43% | 15,620 | 46.88% | 895 | 2.69% | 1,183 | 3.55% | 33,318 |
| Liberty | 702 | 70.34% | 257 | 25.75% | 39 | 3.91% | 445 | 44.59% | 998 |
| Lincoln | 6,057 | 68.13% | 2,552 | 28.71% | 281 | 3.16% | 3,505 | 39.42% | 8,890 |
| Madison | 3,130 | 69.06% | 1,289 | 28.44% | 113 | 2.50% | 1,841 | 40.62% | 4,532 |
| McCone | 745 | 75.03% | 223 | 22.46% | 25 | 2.51% | 522 | 52.57% | 993 |
| Meagher | 670 | 68.93% | 269 | 27.67% | 33 | 3.40% | 401 | 41.26% | 972 |
| Mineral | 1,216 | 60.17% | 700 | 34.64% | 105 | 5.19% | 516 | 25.53% | 2,021 |
| Missoula | 22,652 | 39.58% | 32,824 | 57.35% | 1,756 | 3.07% | -10,172 | -17.77% | 57,232 |
| Musselshell | 1,833 | 76.15% | 492 | 20.44% | 82 | 3.41% | 1,341 | 55.71% | 2,407 |
| Park | 4,709 | 53.71% | 3,783 | 43.15% | 276 | 3.14% | 926 | 10.56% | 8,768 |
| Petroleum | 240 | 80.54% | 49 | 16.44% | 9 | 3.02% | 191 | 64.10% | 298 |
| Phillips | 1,688 | 75.76% | 471 | 21.14% | 69 | 3.10% | 1,217 | 54.62% | 2,228 |
| Pondera | 1,673 | 61.53% | 975 | 35.86% | 71 | 2.61% | 698 | 25.67% | 2,719 |
| Powder River | 833 | 81.11% | 170 | 16.55% | 24 | 2.34% | 663 | 64.56% | 1,027 |
| Powell | 1,806 | 65.03% | 888 | 31.98% | 83 | 2.99% | 918 | 33.05% | 2,777 |
| Prairie | 520 | 73.97% | 167 | 23.76% | 16 | 2.27% | 353 | 50.21% | 703 |
| Ravalli | 14,307 | 64.41% | 7,285 | 32.80% | 620 | 2.79% | 7,022 | 31.61% | 22,212 |
| Richland | 3,510 | 75.52% | 1,002 | 21.56% | 136 | 2.92% | 2,508 | 53.96% | 4,648 |
| Roosevelt | 1,514 | 41.23% | 2,086 | 56.81% | 72 | 1.96% | -572 | -15.58% | 3,672 |
| Rosebud | 2,004 | 56.88% | 1,422 | 40.36% | 152 | 2.76% | 582 | 16.52% | 3,523 |
| Sanders | 3,980 | 67.45% | 1,720 | 29.15% | 201 | 3.40% | 2,260 | 38.30% | 5,901 |
| Sheridan | 1,207 | 62.60% | 665 | 34.49% | 56 | 2.91% | 542 | 28.11% | 1,928 |
| Silver Bow | 5,430 | 32.41% | 10,857 | 64.79% | 469 | 2.80% | -5,427 | -32.38% | 16,756 |
| Stillwater | 3,337 | 70.97% | 1,248 | 26.54% | 117 | 2.49% | 2,089 | 44.43% | 4,702 |
| Sweet Grass | 1,594 | 75.30% | 475 | 22.44% | 48 | 2.26% | 1,119 | 52.86% | 2,117 |
| Teton | 2,113 | 64.40% | 1,082 | 32.98% | 86 | 2.62% | 1,031 | 31.42% | 3,281 |
| Toole | 1,440 | 68.51% | 582 | 27.69% | 80 | 3.80% | 858 | 40.82% | 2,102 |
| Treasure | 319 | 70.11% | 114 | 25.05% | 22 | 4.84% | 205 | 45.06% | 455 |
| Valley | 2,337 | 60.56% | 1,385 | 35.89% | 137 | 3.55% | 952 | 24.67% | 3,859 |
| Wheatland | 693 | 69.86% | 272 | 27.42% | 27 | 2.72% | 421 | 42.44% | 992 |
| Wibaux | 421 | 77.39% | 98 | 18.01% | 25 | 4.60% | 323 | 59.38% | 544 |
| Yellowstone | 40,500 | 58.86% | 26,403 | 38.37% | 1,904 | 2.77% | 14,097 | 20.49% | 68,807 |
| Totals | 267,928 | 55.30% | 201,839 | 41.66% | 14,717 | 3.04% | 66,089 | 13.64% | 484,484 |
| Democratic Hold | Republican Hold Gain from Democratic |
- Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
- Cascade (largest city: Great Falls)
- Gallatin (largest city: Bozeman)
- Lake (largest city: Polson)
- Lewis and Clark (largest city: Helena)
- Rosebud (largest city: Colstrip)
By congressional district
[edit]Due to the state's low population, only one congressional district is allocated, the At-Large District. This district covers the entire state, and thus is equivalent to the statewide election results.
| District | Romney | Obama | Representative |
|---|---|---|---|
| At-large | 55.35% | 41.7% | Steve Daines |
See also
[edit]- United States presidential elections in Montana
- 2012 Republican Party presidential debates and forums
- 2012 Republican Party presidential primaries
- Results of the 2012 Republican Party presidential primaries
- Montana Republican Party
References
[edit]- ^ Leip, Dave. "Montana Election Results". US Election Atlas. Retrieved October 2, 2022.
- ^ "Primary and Caucus Printable Calendar". CNN. Retrieved January 11, 2012.
- ^ "Presidential Primary Dates" (PDF). Federal Election Commission. Retrieved January 23, 2012.
- ^ "Montana Republican Delegation 2012".
- ^ unofficial election results Archived 2014-10-21 at the Wayback Machine. Secretary of State. June 22, 2012. Retrieved July 2, 2012.
- ^ "Huffington Post Election Dashboard". HuffPost. Archived from the original on August 13, 2013.
- ^ "America's Choice 2012 Election Center: CNN Electoral Map". CNN. Archived from the original on January 19, 2013.
- ^ "Election 2012 - The Electoral Map: Building a Path to Victory". The New York Times. Archived from the original on July 8, 2012.
- ^ "2012 Presidential Election Results". The Washington Post. Archived from the original on July 26, 2012.
- ^ "RealClearPolitics - 2012 Election Maps - Battle for White House". Archived from the original on June 8, 2011.
- ^ "PROJECTION: OBAMA WILL LIKELY WIN SECOND TERM".
- ^ "Nate Silver's political calculations predict 2012 election outcome".
- ^ Election results
External links
[edit]- The Green Papers: for Montana
- The Green Papers: Major state elections in chronological order
