Template:Party opinion polling for the April 2019 Spanish general election
Appearance
Voting preferences
[edit]The table below lists raw, unweighted voting preferences.
Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | PNV | Lead | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
April 2019 general election | 28 Apr 2019 | — | 12.5 | 21.5 | 10.7 | 11.9 | 2.9 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 7.7 | — | 24.2 | 9.0 |
CIS[1] | 21 Mar–23 Apr 2019 | 17,641 | 7.6 | 17.2 | 6.6 | 5.5 | 2.1 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.7 | – | 3.7 | 44.3 | 6.3 | 9.6 |
40dB/El País[2] | 15–18 Apr 2019 | 2,000 | 6.6 | 18.3 | 11.4 | 9.7 | 3.8 | 1.6 | 0.7 | 3.4 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 6.9 | 26.6 | 3.2 | 6.9 |
DYM/El Independiente[3] | 15–17 Apr 2019 | 1,025 | 9.1 | 17.7 | 7.6 | 11.5 | – | – | – | – | – | – | 6.1 | 28.1 | 5.1 | 6.2 |
Metroscopia/Henneo[4] | 11–16 Apr 2019 | 4,775 | 12.0 | 27.5 | 11.4 | 12.2 | – | – | – | – | – | – | 8.5 | – | – | 15.3 |
GAD3/La Vanguardia[5] | 9–11 Apr 2019 | 1,800 | 12.8 | 26.4 | 8.3 | 10.4 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.9 | – | 1.2 | – | 9.0 | – | – | 13.6 |
Simple Lógica[6] | 1–5 Apr 2019 | 1,054 | 7.5 | 21.8 | 10.0 | 9.3 | – | – | – | – | – | – | 5.4 | 22.3 | 14.9 | 11.8 |
GESOP/El Periódico[7] | 1–5 Apr 2019 | 1,500 | 10.1 | 20.3 | 7.9 | 8.9 | 3.3 | 0.7 | – | – | – | – | 6.8 | 30.4 | 11.5 | 10.2 |
Metroscopia/Henneo[8] | 18–25 Mar 2019 | 2,722 | 8.9 | 20.9 | 10.1 | 9.6 | – | – | – | – | – | – | 8.1 | 32.7 | 10.8 | |
40dB/El País[9] | 14–19 Mar 2019 | 1,500 | 7.6 | 17.0 | 7.8 | 9.9 | 4.1 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 5.0 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 5.9 | 28.1 | 2.7 | 7.1 |
CIS[10] | 1–18 Mar 2019 | 16,194 | 8.5 | 18.9 | 6.4 | 7.1 | 2.8 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 3.8 | 38.0 | 7.0 | 10.4 |
Simple Lógica[11] | 4–13 Mar 2019 | 1,092 | 7.7 | 21.9 | 7.6 | 11.1 | – | – | – | – | – | – | 5.3 | 20.5 | 14.9 | 10.8 |
SocioMétrica/El Español[12] | 5–8 Mar 2019 | 1,600 | 11.5 | 19.6 | 11.4 | 12.9 | 2.5 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 2.7 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 9.2 | 14.5 | 8.5 | 6.7 |
GAD3/ABC[13] | 4–8 Mar 2019 | 1,000 | 12.0 | 25.2 | 7.8 | 9.3 | 2.6 | 0.7 | 1.2 | – | 0.6 | – | 10.0 | – | – | 13.2 |
GAD3/ABC[14] | 18–22 Feb 2019 | 800 | 13.5 | 23.5 | 7.1 | 10.2 | 2.5 | 0.7 | 0.5 | – | 0.6 | – | 9.3 | – | – | 10.0 |
SocioMétrica/El Español[15] | 13–15 Feb 2019 | 1,000 | 10.7 | 15.0 | 10.8 | 13.3 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 2.2 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 9.3 | 18.1 | 12.1 | 1.7 |
GESOP/El Periódico[16] | 13–15 Feb 2019 | 1,000 | 11.5 | 21.3 | 7.8 | 9.5 | 4.4 | 0.6 | – | – | – | – | 8.8 | 25.1 | 5.6 | 9.8 |
GAD3/La Vanguardia[17] | 12–15 Feb 2019 | 1,200 | 12.1 | 23.2 | 7.2 | 12.6 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 1.1 | – | 0.7 | 0.4 | 5.7 | – | – | 11.1 |
Metroscopia/Henneo[18][19] | 11–13 Feb 2019 | 1,995 | 11.0 | 20.1 | 8.1 | 11.0 | – | – | – | – | – | – | 8.0 | 30.2 | 9.1 | |
CIS[20] | 1–10 Feb 2019 | 2,964 | 12.1 | 24.1 | 10.4 | 11.1 | 2.4 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 1.8 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 4.3 | 17.2 | 10.3 | 12.0 |
Simple Lógica[21] | 1–8 Feb 2019 | 1,017 | 8.9 | 18.6 | 7.8 | 12.1 | – | – | – | – | – | – | 6.6 | 18.9 | 17.9 | 6.5 |
GAD3/ABC[22] | 14–24 Dec 2018 | 1,800 | 16.2 | 20.1 | 7.0 | 10.3 | 2.3 | 0.9 | 0.7 | – | 0.6 | – | 7.5 | – | – | 3.9 |
Metroscopia/Henneo[23] | 9–15 Jan 2019 | 2,332 | 11.1 | 15.2 | 11.3 | 12.1 | – | – | – | – | – | – | 7.9 | 32.6 | 3.1 | |
CIS[24] | 1–13 Jan 2019 | 2,989 | 10.2 | 20.5 | 10.5 | 12.1 | 3.2 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 4.5 | 20.7 | 10.7 | 8.4 |
Simple Lógica[25] | 3–9 Jan 2019 | 1,042 | 9.2 | 16.3 | 7.9 | 11.5 | – | – | – | – | – | – | 7.0 | 19.9 | 19.4 | 4.8 |
SocioMétrica/El Español[26] | 22 Dec–5 Jan 2019 | 2,200 | 11.4 | 15.0 | 13.2 | 14.9 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 2.1 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 10.0 | 16.5 | 9.2 | 0.1 |
GAD3/ABC[27] | 10–14 Dec 2018 | 1,005 | 13.6 | 20.5 | 8.2 | 17.2 | 2.4 | 1.2 | 0.7 | – | 0.4 | – | 7.0 | – | – | 3.3 |
Simple Lógica[28] | 3–14 Dec 2018 | 1,204 | 9.1 | 16.9 | 10.1 | 12.9 | – | – | – | – | – | – | 4.6 | 20.0 | 19.9 | 4.0 |
Metroscopia/Henneo[29] | 10–12 Dec 2018 | 1,895 | 9.1 | 17.0 | 12.6 | 13.9 | – | – | – | – | – | – | 7.5 | 26.9 | 3.1 | |
CIS[30] | 1–12 Dec 2018 | 2,984 | 14.1 | 21.3 | 11.0 | 13.2 | 3.5 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 0.8 | – | 2.7 | 16.9 | 9.0 | 7.2 |
Simple Lógica[31] | 2–14 Nov 2018 | 1,019 | 7.4 | 15.3 | 11.4 | 13.4 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 20.6 | 21.1 | 1.9 |
CIS[32] | 1–11 Nov 2018 | 2,974 | 11.5 | 19.4 | 11.0 | 11.4 | 3.2 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 1.7 | 21.5 | 11.4 | 7.9 |
GAD3/La Vanguardia[33] | 2–7 Nov 2018 | 1,208 | 13.2 | 23.5 | 9.6 | 18.0 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 1.0 | – | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – | – | 5.5 |
GESOP/El Periódico[34][35] | 22–30 Oct 2018 | 911 | 11.4 | 19.7 | 12.9 | 14.1 | 3.2 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 3.1 | 19.2 | 7.0 | 5.6 |
Metroscopia/Henneo[36] | 16–18 Oct 2018 | 1,588 | 12.2 | 17.8 | 10.9 | 12.8 | – | – | – | – | – | – | 3.2 | – | – | 5.0 |
CIS[37] | 1–9 Oct 2018 | 2,973 | 12.6 | 21.7 | 12.1 | 15.3 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 15.6 | 10.3 | 6.4 |
Simple Lógica[38] | 1–5 Oct 2018 | 1,055 | 10.8 | 15.3 | 9.7 | 12.7 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 22.3 | 21.0 | 2.6 |
DYM/El Independiente[39] | 17–19 Sep 2018 | 1,017 | 11.1 | 15.2 | 10.0 | 14.3 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 23.4 | 9.5 | 0.9 |
Metroscopia/Henneo[40] | 17–19 Sep 2018 | 1,095 | 11.5 | 19.9 | 9.8 | 13.2 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 6.7 |
IMOP/El Confidencial[41][42] | 6–11 Sep 2018 | 1,012 | 12.9 | 23.4 | 14.3 | 22.7 | – | – | – | – | – | – | 2.6 | – | – | 0.7 |
CIS[43] | 1–11 Sep 2018 | 2,972 | 12.9 | 18.6 | 9.8 | 12.3 | 2.6 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 22.7 | 11.7 | 5.7 |
Simple Lógica[44] | 3–7 Sep 2018 | 1,029 | 9.8 | 16.0 | 10.5 | 13.7 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 20.1 | 19.7 | 2.3 |
SocioMétrica/El Español[45] | 22–30 Aug 2018 | 1,200 | 12.5 | 16.8 | 12.1 | 16.7 | 2.1 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 19.8 | 11.3 | 0.1 |
Simple Lógica[46] | 1–3 Aug 2018 | 1,029 | 10.2 | 14.8 | 8.3 | 13.2 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 21.7 | 24.0 | 1.6 |
GAD3/ABC[47] | 24–26 Jul 2018 | 804 | 14.8 | 20.7 | 7.6 | 16.2 | 2.9 | 0.9 | 0.3 | – | 0.5 | 0.1 | – | – | – | 4.5 |
Metroscopia/Henneo[48] | 16–25 Jul 2018 | 2,260 | 15.6 | 17.3 | 11.6 | 12.6 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 1.7 |
CIS[49] | 1–10 Jul 2018 | 2,485 | 10.2 | 23.9 | 8.9 | 11.3 | 3.1 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 19.9 | 13.9 | 12.6 |
Simple Lógica[50] | 2–6 Jul 2018 | 1,048 | 8.4 | 17.1 | 9.3 | 14.9 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 21.9 | 21.5 | 2.2 |
SocioMétrica/El Español[51] | 19–22 Jun 2018 | 1,700 | 13.8 | 17.9 | 12.9 | 19.7 | 2.1 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 13.6 | 9.6 | 1.8 |
GESOP/El Periódico[52][53] | 11–13 Jun 2018 | 800 | 10.3 | 22.3 | 11.4 | 17.1 | 2.4 | 1.6 | 1.5 | – | 0.9 | – | – | 17.2 | 6.1 | 5.2 |
DYM/El Independiente[54][55] | 11–12 Jun 2018 | 1,019 | 11.1 | 18.7 | 10.6 | 13.8 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 23.6 | 8.8 | 4.9 |
GAD3/ABC[56] | 7–8 Jun 2018 | 800 | 17.2 | 19.7 | 7.3 | 17.8 | 2.8 | 0.8 | 0.5 | – | 0.5 | 0.4 | – | – | – | 1.9 |
Simple Lógica[57] | 4–8 Jun 2018 | 1,030 | 9.7 | 16.0 | 11.0 | 15.8 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 23.1 | 16.6 | 0.2 |
IMOP/El Confidencial[58][42] | 23–28 May 2018 | 1,015 | 12.2 | 18.7 | 20.4 | 26.4 | – | – | – | – | – | – | 1.0 | 22.3 | 6.0 | |
SocioMétrica/El Español[59] | 17–26 May 2018 | 1,700 | 13.3 | 14.9 | 14.7 | 22.2 | 2.8 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 9.2 | 8.8 | 7.3 |
Simple Lógica[60] | 3–10 May 2018 | 1,067 | 8.9 | 11.1 | 11.7 | 17.7 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 21.4 | 21.3 | 6.0 |
Metroscopia/El País[61] | 7–9 May 2018 | 1,726 | 9.6 | 11.4 | 13.1 | 19.3 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 6.2 |
GESOP/El Periódico[62] | 12–18 Apr 2018 | 1,000 | 14.1 | 16.9 | 14.2 | 22.7 | 3.3 | 2.3 | – | – | – | – | – | 10.4 | 5.2 | 5.8 |
CIS[63] | 1–10 Apr 2018 | 2,466 | 12.1 | 13.5 | 11.3 | 16.1 | 3.2 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.0 | – | 21.3 | 12.9 | 2.6 |
Simple Lógica[64] | 2–9 Apr 2018 | 1,062 | 8.4 | 11.0 | 10.9 | 19.0 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 21.3 | 20.9 | 8.0 |
Metroscopia/El País[65] | 4–5 Apr 2018 | 1,278 | 10.7 | 12.5 | 11.3 | 17.6 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 5.1 |
MyWord/Cadena SER[66] | 13–16 Mar 2018 | 1,002 | 7.9 | 8.7 | 14.5 | 20.2 | 5.3 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 3.5 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 1.1 | 21.8 | 5.0 | 5.7 |
GAD3/La Vanguardia[67] | 12–14 Mar 2018 | 1,008 | 16.0 | 17.5 | 14.1 | 24.6 | 2.3 | 1.1 | 1.5 | – | 0.5 | 0.3 | – | – | – | 7.1 |
Simple Lógica[68] | 1–7 Mar 2018 | 1,076 | 9.9 | 12.1 | 10.4 | 19.5 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 16.9 | 21.9 | 7.4 |
Metroscopia/El País[69] | 2–5 Mar 2018 | 1,175 | 12.6 | 11.2 | 11.9 | 20.0 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 25.6 | 7.4 | |
IMOP/El Confidencial[70][42] | 22–27 Feb 2018 | 1,402 | 12.5 | 16.6 | 15.7 | 26.6 | – | – | – | – | – | – | 0.6 | 28.6 | 10.0 | |
MyWord/Cadena SER[71] | 7–14 Feb 2018 | 1,000 | 7.9 | 10.4 | 15.5 | 19.5 | 4.7 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 2.3 | 0.6 | 0.1 | – | 20.6 | 7.7 | 4.0 |
Metroscopia/El País[72] | 5–8 Feb 2018 | 1,321 | 12.9 | 12.8 | 13.3 | 26.0 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 25.6 | 12.7 | |
Simple Lógica[73] | 1–7 Feb 2018 | 1,065 | 9.8 | 11.1 | 9.7 | 19.1 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 23.4 | 20.6 | 8.0 |
CIS[74] | 2–14 Jan 2018 | 2,477 | 15.5 | 15.9 | 10.6 | 15.7 | 3.6 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.2 | – | 19.2 | 11.3 | 0.2 |
Metroscopia/El País[75] | 9–11 Jan 2018 | 1,332 | 13.2 | 16.2 | 12.2 | 21.7 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 24.9 | 5.5 | |
Simple Lógica[76] | 2–8 Jan 2018 | 1,079 | 10.6 | 12.6 | 8.9 | 16.7 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 23.4 | 20.1 | 4.1 |
SocioMétrica/El Español[77][78] | 22–29 Dec 2017 | 1,000 | 17.8 | 15.1 | 10.9 | 20.1 | 2.8 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 10.2 | 14.3 | 2.3 |
Simple Lógica[79] | 5–13 Dec 2017 | 1,071 | 13.0 | 13.6 | 8.8 | 16.5 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 20.8 | 18.6 | 2.9 |
Metroscopia/El País[80] | 6–8 Nov 2017 | 1,730 | 17.5 | 18.4 | 11.3 | 18.8 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 23.6 | 0.4 | |
Simple Lógica[81] | 2–8 Nov 2017 | 1,071 | 13.8 | 14.8 | 9.3 | 17.3 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 18.7 | 18.8 | 2.5 |
CIS[82] | 2–11 Oct 2017 | 2,487 | 16.5 | 16.2 | 11.0 | 11.3 | 2.0 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.3 | – | 21.5 | 11.8 | 0.3 |
DYM/El Confidencial[83] | 26 Sep–11 Oct 2017 | 982 | 10.5 | 12.6 | 10.4 | 8.0 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 51.8 | 2.1 | |
Simple Lógica[84] | 2–10 Oct 2017 | 1,053 | 13.1 | 12.8 | 11.2 | 13.4 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 20.8 | 21.1 | 0.3 |
Simple Lógica[85] | 5–14 Sep 2017 | 1,078 | 16.2 | 15.3 | 12.4 | 9.7 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 17.9 | 21.9 | 0.9 |
GAD3/ABC[86] | 4–8 Sep 2017 | 1,000 | 18.5 | 15.2 | 12.8 | 10.6 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 1.1 | – | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – | – | 3.3 |
MyWord/Cadena SER[87] | 4–7 Sep 2017 | 1,003 | 14.8 | 15.1 | 15.0 | 11.0 | 4.8 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 3.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | 19.5 | 4.5 | 0.1 |
Metroscopia/El País[88] | 14–18 Jul 2017 | 1,700 | 18.4 | 16.1 | 14.9 | 13.6 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 27.2 | 2.3 | |
MyWord/Cadena SER[89] | 7–12 Jul 2017 | 1,003 | 12.4 | 10.4 | 17.0 | 11.9 | 4.2 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 3.5 | 0.4 | 0.8 | – | 21.3 | 4.8 | 4.6 |
Simple Lógica[90] | 3–10 Jul 2017 | 1,003 | 12.8 | 14.8 | 14.4 | 11.8 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 18.0 | 20.5 | 0.4 |
CIS[91] | 1–10 Jul 2017 | 2,490 | 17.1 | 19.1 | 14.2 | 9.2 | 2.6 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.2 | – | 17.1 | 12.3 | 2.0 |
Metroscopia/El País[92][93] | 27–28 Jun 2017 | 1,017 | 17.2 | 15.7 | 17.7 | 15.3 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 23.4 | 0.5 | |
DYM/El Confidencial[94] | 22–28 Jun 2017 | 1,219 | 12.4 | 15.3 | 12.3 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 2.9 |
Simple Lógica[95] | 5–9 Jun 2017 | 1,004 | 15.2 | 15.3 | 12.0 | 11.7 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 17.5 | 21.5 | 0.1 |
MyWord/Cadena SER[96] | 30 May–1 Jun 2017 | 1,008 | 11.1 | 14.8 | 17.9 | 14.6 | 4.9 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 2.8 | 0.9 | 0.2 | – | 15.5 | 6.9 | 3.1 |
Metroscopia/El País[97] | 29 May–1 Jun 2017 | 1,768 | 16.4 | 17.1 | 16.2 | 14.7 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 24.5 | 0.7 | |
Simple Lógica[98] | 3–12 May 2017 | 1,002 | 14.8 | 13.6 | 15.2 | 9.7 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 17.5 | 21.8 | 0.4 |
SocioMétrica/El Español[99] | 5–12 Apr 2017 | 800 | 20.5 | 14.6 | 14.4 | 12.1 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 0.8 | – | 0.8 | 0.4 | – | 16.7 | 15.4 | 5.9 |
Simple Lógica[100] | 3–10 Apr 2017 | 1,008 | 15.4 | 14.1 | 12.9 | 10.4 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 17.8 | 21.3 | 1.3 |
CIS[101] | 1–8 Apr 2017 | 2,492 | 18.5 | 13.4 | 14.1 | 9.2 | 2.3 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 0.3 | – | 20.0 | 13.6 | 4.4 |
Metroscopia/El País[102] | 30 Mar–6 Apr 2017 | 3,166 | 20.2 | 12.6 | 17.3 | 13.6 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 24.2 | 2.9 | |
MyWord/Cadena SER[103] | 21–26 Mar 2017 | 1,055 | 12.4 | 10.0 | 19.1 | 12.3 | 4.5 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 3.5 | 0.4 | – | – | 19.0 | 6.9 | 6.7 |
Metroscopia/El País[104] | 6–9 Mar 2017 | 1,230 | 20.2 | 12.7 | 17.9 | 14.0 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 23.9 | 2.3 | |
Simple Lógica[105] | 1–9 Mar 2017 | 1,006 | 16.3 | 12.0 | 13.2 | 9.0 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 17.1 | 23.8 | 3.1 |
GESOP/El Periódico[106] | 19–22 Feb 2017 | 1,000 | 17.0 | 13.2 | 19.0 | 8.2 | 2.7 | 0.8 | 0.9 | – | 0.7 | – | – | 23.5 | 8.5 | 2.0 |
Simple Lógica[107] | 6–10 Feb 2017 | 1,005 | 16.8 | 13.0 | 14.4 | 7.8 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 16.3 | 24.7 | 2.4 |
MyWord/Cadena SER[108] | 31 Jan–6 Feb 2017 | 1,000 | 14.4 | 9.5 | 20.5 | 10.9 | 3.9 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 3.2 | 0.6 | 0.1 | – | 18.7 | 7.3 | 6.1 |
Metroscopia/El País[109][110] | 10–12 Jan 2017 | 1,578 | 19.2 | 12.8 | 18.4 | 12.3 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 27.6 | 0.8 | |
CIS[111] | 2–12 Jan 2017 | 2,490 | 20.7 | 12.7 | 15.0 | 8.0 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.1 | – | 18.1 | 14.5 | 5.7 |
Simple Lógica[112] | 1–7 Dec 2016 | 1,000 | 16.1 | 12.1 | 14.8 | 10.1 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 18.0 | 22.4 | 1.3 |
Metroscopia/El País[113] | 23–30 Nov 2016 | 2,650 | 21.5 | 12.3 | 19.1 | 11.3 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 25.3 | 2.4 | |
MyWord/Cadena SER[114] | 17–22 Nov 2016 | 1,000 | 16.3 | 8.3 | 23.2 | 10.6 | 3.8 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 3.8 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – | 13.0 | 8.1 | 6.9 |
Metroscopia/El País[115] | 7–11 Nov 2016 | 1,302 | 23.1 | 13.5 | 20.5 | 13.1 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 20.6 | 2.6 | |
Simple Lógica[116] | 2–8 Nov 2016 | 1,003 | 19.1 | 9.4 | 16.2 | 8.9 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 17.0 | 23.4 | 2.9 |
JJD/La Información[117] | 18–20 Oct 2016 | 1,800 | 16.0 | 9.0 | 19.0 | 10.0 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 3.0 |
Simple Lógica[118] | 3–11 Oct 2016 | 1,002 | 16.7 | 9.7 | 16.5 | 8.2 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 18.1 | 24.0 | 0.2 |
CIS[119] | 1–10 Oct 2016 | 2,491 | 19.6 | 12.3 | 15.8 | 8.2 | 2.4 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.2 | – | 19.5 | 14.5 | 3.8 |
DYM/El Confidencial[120] | 27 Sep–6 Oct 2016 | 1,132 | 15.9 | 7.1 | 17.2 | 7.1 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 15.2 | 15.6 | 1.3 |
SocioMétrica/El Español[121][122] | 26–30 Sep 2016 | 1,000 | 20.4 | 13.3 | 12.5 | 8.5 | 2.6 | 1.2 | 1.4 | – | 0.6 | 0.4 | – | 5.8 | 29.1 | 7.1 |
MyWord/Cadena SER[123] | 9–14 Sep 2016 | 995 | 17.3 | 10.4 | 20.6 | 10.9 | 3.8 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 2.7 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – | 15.4 | 10.2 | 3.3 |
Simple Lógica[124] | 1–14 Sep 2016 | 1,046 | 16.8 | 15.1 | 13.3 | 8.7 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 17.6 | 22.7 | 1.7 |
Simple Lógica[125] | 1–10 Aug 2016 | 1,049 | 19.0 | 12.4 | 13.6 | 7.5 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 19.0 | 23.1 | 6.4 |
Simple Lógica[126] | 1–15 Jul 2016 | 1,033 | 16.1 | 14.3 | 16.0 | 8.4 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 16.8 | 22.2 | 0.1 |
CIS[127] | 1–11 Jul 2016 | 2,479 | 19.4 | 16.7 | 15.9 | 8.1 | 2.3 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.0 | – | 15.8 | 13.4 | 2.7 |
2016 general election | 26 Jun 2016 | — | 22.9 | 15.7 | 14.6 | 9.0 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | — | 30.2 | 7.2 |
Victory preferences
[edit]The table below lists opinion polling on the victory preferences for each party in the event of a general election taking place.
Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Other/ None |
Lead | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Metroscopia/Henneo[8] | 18–25 Mar 2019 | 2,722 | 15.0 | 31.0 | 11.0 | 16.0 | 7.0 | 10.0 | 10.0 | 15.0 |
CIS[10] | 1–18 Mar 2019 | 16,194 | 12.4 | 29.2 | 9.9 | 11.8 | 3.9 | 12.8 | 20.0 | 16.8 |
GAD3/La Vanguardia[128] | 12–15 Feb 2019 | 1,200 | 15.7 | 28.4 | 8.2 | 15.2 | 5.0 | 10.6 | 16.9 | 12.7 |
GAD3/La Vanguardia[129] | 2–7 Nov 2018 | 1,208 | 17.1 | 27.4 | 9.8 | 19.2 | – | 17.5 | 9.0 | 8.2 |
Metroscopia/Henneo[130] | 16–25 Jul 2018 | 2,260 | 18.0 | 29.0 | 13.0 | 18.0 | – | 22.0 | 11.0 | |
GAD3/La Vanguardia[67] | 12–14 Mar 2018 | 1,008 | 13.7 | 18.0 | 14.5 | 27.6 | – | 13.3 | 12.9 | 9.6 |
Victory likelihood
[edit]The table below lists opinion polling on the perceived likelihood of victory for each party in the event of a general election taking place.
Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Other/ None |
Lead | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Metroscopia/Henneo[4] | 11–16 Apr 2019 | 4,775 | 13.0 | 59.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | – | – | 46.0 |
GAD3/La Vanguardia[5] | 9–11 Apr 2019 | 1,800 | 15.6 | 54.5 | 1.2 | 3.4 | 3.0 | 0.9 | 21.4 | 38.9 |
Metroscopia/Henneo[8] | 18–25 Mar 2019 | 2,722 | 19.0 | 48.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 21.0 | 29.0 |
IMOP/El Confidencial[131] | 17–23 Mar 2019 | 1,399 | 18.1 | 42.4 | – | 3.8 | – | – | – | 24.3 |
CIS[10] | 1–18 Mar 2019 | 16,194 | 20.9 | 40.8 | 0.5 | 3.9 | 1.3 | 2.6 | 30.0 | 19.9 |
GAD3/ABC[132] | 14–24 Jan 2019 | 1,800 | 39.2 | 28.2 | 1.0 | 6.9 | 3.6 | 0.7 | 20.4 | 11.0 |
Metroscopia/Henneo[133] | 16–25 Jul 2018 | 2,260 | 35.0 | 29.0 | 1.0 | 15.0 | – | 20.0 | 6.0 | |
GESOP/El Periódico[62][134] | 12–18 Apr 2018 | 1,000 | 45.7 | 6.2 | 1.1 | 30.6 | – | 16.4 | 17.1 |
- ^ "Macrobarómetro de abril 2019. Preelectoral elecciones al Parlamento Europeo, autonómicas y municipales 2019 (Estudio nº 3245. Marzo-abril 2019)" (PDF). CIS (in Spanish). 9 May 2019.
- ^ Cite error: The named reference
40dBApr19
was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ "El PSOE ganaría las elecciones generales, pero sin una mayoría clara de Gobierno". Faro de Vigo (in Spanish). 20 April 2019.
- ^ a b "Los partidos minoritarios decidirán el Gobierno". Menorca.info (in Spanish). 22 April 2019.
- ^ a b "El PSC ganaría en Catalunya, seguido de cerca por ERC". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 14 April 2019.
- ^ Cite error: The named reference
SLApr19
was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
GESOPApr19
was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ a b c Cite error: The named reference
MetrosMar19
was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
40dBMar19
was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ a b c Cite error: The named reference
CISMar19
was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
SLMar19
was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ "PSOE y Cs tendrían por primera vez mayoría absoluta, pero el centro sigue huérfano". El Español (in Spanish). 11 March 2019.
- ^ Cite error: The named reference
GAD3Mar19
was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
GAD3Feb19-2
was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
SMFeb19a
was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
GESOPFeb19
was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
GAD3Feb19-1b
was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
MetrosFeb19
was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ "Cs, en los dos pactos que más apoyos obtienen". Canarias7 (in Spanish). 18 February 2019.
- ^ Cite error: The named reference
CISFeb19
was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
SLFeb19
was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
GAD3Jan19b
was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
MetrosJan19a
was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
CISJan19
was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
SLJan19
was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
SMJan19
was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
GAD3Dec18
was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
SLDec18
was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ "Clima social Metroscopia-Henneo: Cuarta oleada (Diciembre 2018). "España hacia el pentapartidismo"" (PDF). Metroscopia (in Spanish). 19 December 2018.
- ^ Cite error: The named reference
CISDec18
was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
SLNov18
was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
CISNov18
was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ "El votante no miente". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 11 November 2018.
- ^ Cite error: The named reference
GESOPOct18a
was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ "Encuesta Política en España. Octubre de 2018" (PDF). GESOP (in Spanish). 14 November 2018.
- ^ Cite error: The named reference
MetrosOct18a
was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
CISOct18
was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
SLOct18
was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
DYMSep18
was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
MetrosSep18a
was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
IMOPSep18a
was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ a b c "Vox irrumpe en el Congreso superando la barrera del 3% al 'robar' 500.000 votos al PP". El Confidencial (in Spanish). 15 September 2018.
- ^ Cite error: The named reference
CISSep18
was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
SLSep18
was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
SMAug18
was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
SLAug18
was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
GAD3Jul18
was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
MetrosJul18
was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
CISJul18
was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
SLJul18
was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
SMJun18
was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
GESOPJun18a
was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ "Encuesta Política en España. Junio de 2018" (PDF). GESOP (in Spanish). 24 June 2018.
- ^ Cite error: The named reference
DYMJun18
was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ "Voto estimado". Levante-EMV (in Spanish). 18 June 2018.
- ^ Cite error: The named reference
GAD3Jun18
was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
SLJun18
was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
IMOPMay18
was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
SMMay18
was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
SLMay18
was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
MetrosMay18
was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ a b Cite error: The named reference
GESOPApr18
was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
CISApr18
was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
SLApr18
was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
MetrosApr18
was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
MyWordMar18
was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ a b Cite error: The named reference
GAD3Mar18
was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
SLMar18
was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
MetrosMar18
was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
IMOPFeb18
was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
MyWordFeb18
was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
MetrosFeb18
was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
SLFeb18
was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
CISJan18
was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
MetrosJan18a
was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
SLJan18
was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
SMDec17
was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ "Ene18. Perfiles de voto por edad, situación laboral, ideología y estudios". SocioMétrica (in Spanish). 8 January 2018.
- ^ Cite error: The named reference
SLDec17
was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
MetrosNov17
was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
SLNov17
was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
CISOct17
was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
DYMOct17
was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
SLOct17
was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
SLSep17
was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
GAD3Sep17
was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
MyWordSep17
was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
MetrosJul17
was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
MyWordJul17
was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
SLJul17
was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
CISJul17
was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
MetrosJun17-2a
was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
MetrosJun17-2b
was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
DYMJun17
was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
SLJun17
was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
MyWordJun17
was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
MetrosJun17-1a
was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
SLMay17
was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ "Transferencia de voto Abr17". SocioMétrica (in Spanish). 16 April 2017.
- ^ Cite error: The named reference
SLApr17
was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
CISApr17
was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
MetrosApr17
was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
MyWordMar17
was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
MetrosMar17
was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
SLMar17
was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ "Barómetro Político de España. Febrero de 2017" (PDF). GESOP (in Spanish). 25 February 2017.
- ^ Cite error: The named reference
SLFeb17
was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
MyWordFeb17
was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
MetrosJan17a
was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
MetrosJan17b
was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
CISJan17
was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
SLDec16
was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
MetrosNov16-2
was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
MyWordNov16
was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
MetrosNov16-1
was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
SLNov16
was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
JJDOct16
was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
SLOct16
was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
CISOct16
was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
DYMOct16
was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
SMSep16a
was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
SMSep16b
was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
MyWordSep16
was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
SLSep16
was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
SLAug16
was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
SLJul16
was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
CISJul16
was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
GAD3Feb19-1a
was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
GAD3Nov18
was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ "¿Qué partido le gustaría que ganase ahora las elecciones?". Metroscopia (in Spanish). 30 July 2018.
- ^ "Sánchez, el líder preferido como presidente, seguido de Rivera, Iglesias... y Casado". El Confidencial (in Spanish). 25 March 2019.
- ^ Cite error: The named reference
GAD3Jan19a
was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ "¿Quién cree que ganaría ahora las elecciones?". Metroscopia (in Spanish). 30 July 2018.
- ^ "Expectativas de ganador". GESOP (in Spanish). 23 April 2018.