Opinion polling for the September 2019 Israeli legislative election
Polling for the 17 September 2019 Israeli legislative election[1] began on 26 May 2019.[2]
Seat projections
Graphs
These graphs show the polling trends from the time Knesset dissolved until the election day. No polls may be published from the end of Friday before the election until the polling stations closing on election day at 22:00.[3]
If more than one poll was conducted on the same day, the graphs show the average of the polls for that date.
Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
Polls
Poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first. The highest figure in each survey is displayed in bold and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then both figures are shaded. Parties that fall below the threshold are denoted by the percentage of votes that they received (N%), instead of the seats they would have gotten. When a poll has no information on a certain party, that party is instead marked by a dash (–).
- Color key:
Date | Polling firm | Publisher | Likud | Blue & White |
Joint List |
Shas | UTJ | Yamina | Labor- Gesher |
Yisrael Beiteinu |
Dem. Union |
Zehut | Otzma Yehudit |
Gov.[a] | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Pre-election seats[4] | 38 | 35 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 4 | – | – | 60 | ||||
Election results[5][6] | 32 | 33 | 13 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 5 | N/A | (1.9%) | 55 | ||||
17 Sep | KANTAR | Kan 11[7] | 31 | 32 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 5 | — | – | 55 | ||
17 Sep | Midgam | Channel 12[8] | 32 | 32 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 5 | — | – | 55 | ||
17 Sep | Panel Project HaMidgam | Channel 13[9] | 30 | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 6 | — | – | 53 | ||
13 Sep | Election silence starting end of Friday before election day.[3] | |||||||||||||||
13 Sep | Panel Project HaMidgam | Channel 13[10] | 32 | 32 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 5 | — | 4 | 54 | ||
12–13 Sep | Midgam | Channel 12[11] | 32 | 32 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 6 | — | 4 | 55 | ||
10–13 Sep | Shvakim Panorama | HOT[12] | 33 | 32 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 5 | — | 4 | 55 | ||
12 Sep | Smith | Maariv[13] | 33 | 32 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 6 | — | (3.1%) | 57 | ||
12 Sep | Panels Politics | Knesset Channel[14] | 36 | 32 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 5 | — | – | 60 | ||
11–12 Sep | Smith | 103fm[15] | 33 | 32 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 6 | — | (2.9%) | 57 | ||
11–12 Sep | KANTAR | Kan 11[16] | 31 | 33 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 5 | — | 4 | 55 | ||
10–11 Sep | Maagar Mohot | Israel Hayom[17] | 33 | 31 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 4 | — | 4 | 54 | ||
10 Sep | Panel Project HaMidgam | Channel 13[18] | 31 | 32 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 6 | — | 4 | 53 | ||
9–10 Sep | Midgam | Channel 12[19] | 31 | 32 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 6 | — | 4 | 54 | ||
9 Sep | KANTAR | Kan 11[20] | 31 | 32 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 6 | — | 4 | 54 | ||
8–9 Sep | Midgam | Walla![21] | 32 | 33 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 6 | — | 4 | 54 | ||
5 Sep | Panel Project HaMidgam | Channel 13[22] | 32 | 32 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 6 | — | (2.76%) | 56 | ||
4–5 Sep | Maagar Mohot | Israel Hayom[23] | 31 | 30 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 4 | — | 4 | 54 | ||
4–5 Sep | Smith | 103fm & Maariv[24] | 32 | 32 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 7 | — | (2.5%) | 56 | ||
4–5 Sep | Midgam | Channel 12[25] | 32 | 32 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 7 | — | (2.5%) | 56 | ||
4 Sep | Panels Politics | Knesset Channel[26] | 31 | 31 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 5 | — | 4 | 56 | ||
1–2 Sep | Midgam | Walla![27] | 32 | 31 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 7 | — | (2.7%) | 56 | ||
1 Sep | Panel Project HaMidgam | Channel 13[28] | 31 | 32 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 7 | — | (2.8%) | 54 | ||
1 Sep | KANTAR | Kan 11[29] | 32 | 31 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 7 | — | (2.9%) | 56 | ||
29 Aug | Zehut announces withdrawal[30] | |||||||||||||||
27–29 Aug | Maagar Mohot | Israel Hayom[4] | 30 | 32 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 6 | – | – | 55 | ||
28 Aug | Smith | 103fm/Maariv[31] | 32 | 31 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 7 | (1.6%) | (2.5%) | 57 | ||
28 Aug | Midgam | Channel 12[32] | 31 | 30 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 7 | (1.2%) | (1.8%) | 56 | ||
22–25 Aug | KANTAR | Kan 11[33] | 32 | 31 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 6 | (1.7%) | (2.3%) | 56 | ||
22 Aug | Midgam | Channel 12[34] | 30 | 30 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 7 | (2.3%) | (1.9%) | 56 | ||
22 Aug | Smith | 103fm[35] | 32 | 30 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 7 | (1.4%) | (2.2%) | 57 | ||
20–22 Aug | Maagar Mohot | Israel Hayom[36] | 32 | 31 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 6 | (2%) | (2%) | 57 | ||
21 Aug | Midgam | Walla![37] | 31 | 30 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 7 | (2.8%) | (2.0%) | 57 | ||
18 Aug | Direct Polls | Makor Rishon[38] | 31 | 29 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 7 | (1.6%) | (2.3%) | 58 | ||
15 Aug | Smith | 103fm[39] | 32 | 30 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 7 | (2.3%) | (1.7%) | 56 | ||
15 Aug | Panel Project HaMidgam | Channel 13[40] | 31 | 31 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 8 | (1.4%) | (2.1%) | 56 | ||
13 Aug | Midgam | Channel 12[41] | 30 | 29 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 7 | (2.9%) | (2.7%) | 56 | ||
8 Aug | Smith | 103fm[42] | 32 | 30 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 8 | (1.8%) | (1.5%) | 57 | ||
5 Aug | Direct Polls | Channel 13[43] | 30 | 29 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 8 | (2.2%) | (1.9%) | 55 | ||
5 Aug | Midgam | Walla![44] | 31 | 29 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 7 | (1.9%) | (2.2%) | 57 | ||
4 Aug | KANTAR | Reshet Bet[45] | 29 | 30 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 8 | (1.9%) | (2.8%) | 54 | ||
2 Aug | Midgam | Channel 12[46] | 30 | 29 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 7 | (2.2%) | (1.9%) | 57 | ||
2 Aug | Smith | 103fm[47] | 31 | 29 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 8 | (1.2%) | (1.8%) | 57 | ||
1 Aug | Deadline for submitting the candidate lists[48] | |||||||||||||||
1 Aug | Panel Project HaMidgam | Channel 13[49] | 30 | 29 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 9 | – | – | 54 | ||
1 Aug | Maagar Mohot | Israel Hayom[50] | 30 | 28 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 9 | (2%) | (2%) | 55 | ||
31 Jul | Kulanu officially dissolves and its remaining members join Likud[51] | |||||||||||||||
30 Jul | Midgam | Channel 12[52] | 30 | 30 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 7 | (1.4%) | (1.2%) | 57 | ||
29 Jul | The URWP and the New Right agree to run together as Yamina[53][54] |
Date | Polling firm | Publisher | Likud– Kulanu |
Blue & White |
Joint List |
Shas | UTJ | Labor- Gesher |
Yisrael Beiteinu |
URWP | Dem. Union |
New Right |
Zehut | Gov.[a] | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Seats at dissolution | 39 | 35 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 4 | – | – | 60 | |||
26 Jul | Smith | 103fm/Maariv[55] | 30 | 28 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 7 | – | 57 | |
25 Jul | Panel Project HaMidgam | Channel 13[56] | 28 | 23 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 57 | |
25 Jul | Midgam | Channel 12[57] | 29 | 27 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 9 | (1.9%) | 57 | |
25 Jul | Maagar Mohot | Israel Hayom[58] | 31 | 30 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 6 | – | 57 | |
25 Jul | KANTAR | Kan 11[59] | 30 | 30 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 9 | (2.4%) | 58 | |
25 Jul | Meretz, IDP and the Green Movement agree to run together as the Democratic Union[60][61] |
Date | Polling firm | Publisher | Likud– Kulanu |
Blue & White |
Joint List |
Shas | UTJ | Labor- Gesher |
Yisrael Beiteinu |
URWP | Meretz | New Right |
Zehut | IDP | Gov.[a] | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Seats at dissolution | 39 | 35 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 4 | – | – | N/A | 60 | |||
25 Jul | Midgam & iPanel | Walla![62] | 29 | 29 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 8 | (1.9%) | (2.3%) | 56 | |
21 Jul | Ayelet Shaked becomes the leader of the New Right[63] | |||||||||||||||
21 Jul | KANTAR | Kan 11[64] | 30 | 30 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 8 | (1.2%) | (2.8%) | 57 | |
21 Jul | Midgam & iPanel | Channel 12[65] | 30 | 29 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 6 | (1.8%) | 4 | 56 | |
19 Jul | Smith | 103fm/Maariv[66] | 32 | 29 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 6 | – | 4 | 57 | |
19 Jul | Direct Polls | Makor Rishon[67] | 32 | 29 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 5 | (1%) | 5 | 56 | |
18 Jul | Labor and Gesher agree to run on a joint list[68] |
Date | Polling firm | Publisher | Likud– Kulanu |
Blue & White |
Joint List |
Shas | UTJ | Labor | Yisrael Beiteinu |
URWP | Meretz | New Right |
Zehut | Gesher | IDP | Gov.[a] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Seats at dissolution | 39 | 35 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 4 | – | – | – | N/A | 60 | ||
17 Jul | Dialog | Arutz Sheva[69] | 31 | 28 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 4 | (1%) | – | 4 | 54 |
16 Jul | Midgam | Channel 12[70] | 31 | 30 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 5 | (1.7%) | – | 4 | 55 |
12 Jul | Smith | 103fm/Maariv[71] | 33 | 30 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 6 | – | – | 4 | 58 |
11 Jul | Midgam | Walla![72] | 30 | 30 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 5 | (2.7%) | – | 4 | 55 |
9 Jul | The Jewish Home and Tkuma agree to run together again as the URWP[73] | |||||||||||||||
4 Jul | Maagar Mohot | Israel Hayom[74] | 31 | 30 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 4 | (1%) | – | 4 | 56 |
3 Jul | Midgam | Channel 12[75] | 32 | 31 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 5 | (2.1%) | – | (3%) | 56 |
3 Jul | Statnet | Channel 13[75] | 31 | 29 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 4 | – | 6 | 57 |
2 Jul | Labor elects Amir Peretz as its leader[76] | |||||||||||||||
27 Jun | Meretz elects Nitzan Horowitz as its leader[77] | |||||||||||||||
26 Jun | Panel Project HaMidgam | Channel 13[78] | 32 | 32 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 4 | – | – | 6 | 52 |
26 Jun | Former PM Ehud Barak announces the founding of the Israel Democratic Party[79][80] | |||||||||||||||
25 Jun | Otzma Yehudit leaves the Union of the Right-Wing Parties[81] | |||||||||||||||
20 Jun | Hadash–Ta'al and Ra'am–Balad agree to re-establish the Joint List[82] |
Date | Polling firm | Publisher | Likud– Kulanu |
Blue & White |
Shas | UTJ | Labor | Hadash –Ta'al |
Yisrael Beiteinu |
URWP | Meretz | Ra'am –Balad |
New Right |
Zehut | Gesher | Gov.[a] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Seats at dissolution | 39 | 35 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 4 | – | – | – | 60 | ||
20 Jun | Maagar Mohot | 103fm[83] | 34 | 33 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 4 | – | – | 60 |
14 Jun | Maagar Mohot | 103fm[84] | 35 | 33 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 5 | – | – | 60 |
7 Jun | Panels Politics | Maariv[85] | 37 | 33 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 4 | (2.4%) | 6 | – | (2.2%) | 64 |
2 Jun | Maagar Mohot | Israel Hayom[86] | 36 | 34 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 5 | (2%) | – | 59 |
30 May | Panels Politics | Maariv[87] | 37 | 33 | 7 | 8 | (1.9%) | 5 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 5 | (1.4%) | – | 63 |
30 May | Panel Project HaMidgam & Statnet | Channel 13[88] | 36 | 33 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 4 | – | – | – | 57 |
30 May | KANTAR | Kan 11[89] | 35 | 34 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 4 | (3.1%) | (2.2%) | 58 |
30 May | The 21st Knesset is dissolved[1] | |||||||||||||||
28 May | Kulanu and Likud agree to run on a joint list[90] |
Date | Polling firm | Publisher | Likud | Blue & White |
Shas | UTJ | Labor | Hadash –Ta'al |
Yisrael Beiteinu |
URWP | Kulanu | Meretz | Ra'am –Balad |
New Right |
Zehut | Gesher | Gov.[a] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 May | Direct Polls | Makor Rishon[91] | 34 | 33 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 5 | (1.67%) | 5 | (2.3%) | 5 | (1.44%) | (0.96%) | 59 |
26 May | Panels Politics | Maariv[2] | 35 | 34 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 6 | – | 5 | – | 5 | – | – | 62 |
9 Apr | Election results[92] | 35 | 35 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 4 | (3.22%) | (2.74%) | (1.73%) | 60 |
Scenarios
- Zehut, Otzma Yehudit & Noam withdraw
Date | Polling firm | Publisher | Likud | Blue & White |
Joint List |
Shas | UTJ | Labor-Gesher | Yamina | Yisrael Beiteinu |
Dem. Union |
Oth. | Gov. |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
27–29 Aug | Maagar Mohot | Israel Hayom[4] | 31 | 31 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 12 | 11 | 5 | 62 | 58 |
- Left-Wing Union (including Democratic Union) and URWP + New Right
Date | Polling firm | Publisher | Likud | Blue & White |
Joint List |
Shas | UTJ | Labor+ Dem. Union |
Yisrael Beiteinu |
URWP+ New Right |
Oth. | Gov. |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
25 Jul | KANTAR | Kan 11[59] | 29 | 29 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 61 | 59 |
- Left-Wing Union (including Democratic Union)
Date | Polling firm | Publisher | Likud | Blue & White |
Joint List |
Shas | UTJ | Labor+ Dem. Union |
Yisrael Beiteinu |
URWP | New Right | Oth. | Gov. |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
25 Jul | Midgam | Channel 12[57] | 29 | 27 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 63 | 57 |
- Union of the Right-Wing Parties + New Right headed by Ayelet Shaked (including Democratic Union and Zehut)
Date | Polling firm | Publisher | Likud | Blue & White |
Joint List |
Shas | UTJ | Labor | Yisrael Beiteinu |
URWP+ New Right |
Dem. Union | Zehut | Oth. | Gov. |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
25 Jul | Panel Project HaMidgam & Statnet |
Channel 13[56] | 28 | 23 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 12 | 4 | 63 | 57 |
25 Jul | Midgam | Channel 12[57] | 28 | 27 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 10 | (1.9%) | 63 | 57 |
- Expanded Union of Right-Wing Parties headed by Ayelet Shaked (including Labor-Gesher)
Date | Polling firm | Publisher | Likud | Blue & White |
Joint List |
Shas | UTJ | Labor-Gesher | Yisrael Beiteinu |
URWP+ New Right+ Zehut+ Otzma Yehudit |
Meretz | IDP | Oth. | Gov. |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
25 Jul | Maagar Mohot | Israel Hayom[93] | 25 | 31 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 65 | 55 |
- Expanded Union of Right-Wing Parties headed by Ayelet Shaked
Date | Polling firm | Publisher | Likud | Blue & White |
Joint List |
Shas | UTJ | Labor | Yisrael Beiteinu |
URWP+ New Right+ Zehut+ Otzma Yehudit |
Meretz | Gesher | IDP | Oth. | Gov. |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
18 Jul | Dialog | Arutz Sheva[94] | 31 | 28 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 7 | – | 4 | 64 | 56 |
16 Jul | Midgam | Channel 12[70] | 28 | 30 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 4 | – | 4 | 65 | 55 |
- Expanded Union of Right-Wing Parties headed by Rafi Peretz (including Labor-Gesher)
Date | Polling firm | Publisher | Likud | Blue & White |
Joint List |
Shas | UTJ | Labor-Gesher | Yisrael Beiteinu |
URWP+ New Right+ Zehut+ Otzma Yehudit |
Meretz | IDP | Oth. | Gov. |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
25 Jul | Maagar Mohot | Israel Hayom[93] | 32 | 30 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 66 | 55 |
- Expanded Union of Right-Wing Parties headed by Rafi Peretz
Date | Polling firm | Publisher | Likud | Blue & White |
Joint List |
Shas | UTJ | Labor | Yisrael Beiteinu |
URWP+ New Right+ Zehut+ Otzma Yehudit |
Meretz | Gesher | IDP | Oth. | Gov. |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
18 Jul | Dialog | Arutz Sheva[94] | 32 | 29 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 7 | – | 4 | 67 | 53 |
10 Jul | Kantar | Saloona[95] | 28 | 29 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 6 | – | 5 | 62 | 58 |
4 Jul | Maagar Mohot | Israel Hayom[74] | 25 | 31 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 19 | 7 | – | 4 | 63 | 57 |
- Left-Wing Union
Date | Polling firm | Publisher | Likud | Blue & White |
Joint List |
Shas | UTJ | Labor+ IDP+ Meretz |
Yisrael Beiteinu |
URWP | New Right | Zehut | Gesher | Oth. | Gov. |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 Jul | Midgam | Channel 12[70] | 31 | 28 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 5 | – | – | 65 | 55 |
4 Jul | Maagar Mohot | Israel Hayom[74] | 31 | 26 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 8 | – | – | 60 | 60 |
- Likud+Ayelet Shaked, URWP+Naftali Bennett
Date | Polling firm | Publisher | Likud | Blue & White |
Shas | UTJ | Labor | Hadash –Ta'al |
Yisrael Beiteinu |
URWP | Meretz | Ra'am –Balad |
Zehut | Gesher | Oth. | Gov. |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 May | Panels Politics | Maariv[87] | 41 | 34 | 7 | 8 | – | 4 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 5 | – | – | 57 | 63 |
- Gabi Ashkenazi leading Blue & White
Date | Polling firm | Publisher | Likud | Blue & White |
Shas | UTJ | Labor | Hadash –Ta'al |
Yisrael Beiteinu |
URWP | Meretz | Ra'am –Balad |
New Right |
Zehut | Gesher | Oth. | Gov. |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
14 Jun | Maagar Mohot | 103fm[84] | 33 | 35 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 5 | – | – | 63 | 57 |
Date | Polling firm | Publisher | Likud | Blue & White |
Joint List |
Shas | UTJ | Labor | Yisrael Beiteinu |
Meretz | URWP | New Right –Zehut |
Gesher | IDP | Oth. | Gov. |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 Jul | Kantar | Saloona[95] | 30 | 29 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 6 | – | 4 | 64 | 56 |
9 Jul | Kantar | Kan 11[96] | 30 | 30 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 5 | – | 5 | 66 | 54 |
Date | Polling firm | Publisher | Likud | Blue & White |
Joint List |
Shas | UTJ | Labor+ IDP+ Meretz |
Yisrael Beiteinu |
URWP | New Right –Zehut |
Gesher | Oth. | Gov. |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 Jul | Kantar | Saloona[95] | 29 | 30 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | – | 65 | 55 |
Date | Polling firm | Publisher | Likud | Blue & White |
Joint List |
Shas | UTJ | Labor+ Meretz |
Yisrael Beiteinu |
URWP | New Right | Zehut | Gesher | IDP | Oth. | Gov. |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 Jul | Smith | 103fm/Maariv[66] | 32 | 27 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 6 | – | – | 4 | 63 | 57 |
- Labor and IDP merger without Gesher, Expanded Union of Right-Wing Parties headed by Ayelet Shaked
Date | Polling firm | Publisher | Likud | Blue & White |
Joint List |
Shas | UTJ | Labor+ IDP |
Yisrael Beiteinu |
URWP+ New Right+ Zehut+ Otzma Yehudit |
Meretz | Gesher | Oth. | Gov. |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 Jul | Direct Polls | Makor Rishon[67] | 30 | 28 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 5 | – | 63 | 57 |
- Labor and IDP merger without Gesher, Expanded Union of Right-Wing Parties headed by Rafi Peretz
Date | Polling firm | Publisher | Likud | Blue & White |
Joint List |
Shas | UTJ | Labor+ IDP |
Yisrael Beiteinu |
URWP+ New Right+ Zehut+ Otzma Yehudit |
Meretz | Gesher | Oth. | Gov. |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 Jul | Direct Polls | Makor Rishon[67] | 33 | 29 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 5 | – | 64 | 56 |
Date | Polling firm | Publisher | Likud | Blue & White |
Joint List |
Shas | UTJ | Labor-Gesher | Yisrael Beiteinu |
New Right+ URWP |
IDP+ Meretz |
Oth. | Gov. |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
21 Jul | KANTAR | Kan 11[64] | 28 | 29 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 9 | 65 | 55 |
- URWP, New Right, and Otzma Yehudit merger
Date | Polling firm | Publisher | Likud | Blue & White |
Joint List |
Shas | UTJ | Labor-Gesher | Yisrael Beiteinu |
URWP+ New Right+ Otzma Yehudit |
Meretz | Zehut | IDP | Oth. | Gov. |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
21 Jul | Midgam | Channel 12[65] | 28 | 29 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 13 | 4 | (1.9%) | 4 | 64 | 56 |
- Democratic Union & URWP, New Right, and Otzma Yehudit merger
Date | Polling firm | Publisher | Likud+ Kulanu |
Blue & White |
Joint List |
Shas | UTJ | Labor-Gesher | Yisrael Beiteinu |
UR+ Otzma |
Dem. Union |
Zehut | Oth. | Gov. |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 Aug | Maagar Mohot | Israel Hayom[97] | 29 | 28 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 13 | 8 | – | 64 | 56 |
30 Jul | Midgam | Channel 12[52] | 29 | 30 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 13 | 7 | (2.2%) | 63 | 57 |
- Democratic Union & URWP, New Right, Zehut, and Otzma Yehudit merger
Date | Polling firm | Publisher | Likud+ Kulanu |
Blue & White |
Joint List |
Shas | UTJ | Labor-Gesher | Yisrael Beiteinu |
UR+ Zehut+ Otzma |
Dem. Union |
Oth. | Gov. |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 Jul | Midgam | Channel 12[52] | 28 | 30 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 7 | 63 | 57 |
Preferred prime minister polls
Some opinion pollsters have asked voters which party leader they would prefer as Prime Minister. Their responses are given as percentages in the tables below.
- Netanyahu vs Gantz
Date | Polling firm | Publisher | Netanyahu | Gantz | Neither | Don't Know |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 Sep | Panel Project HaMidgam | Channel 13[98] | 46 | 31 | 14 | – |
12–13 Sep | Midgam | Channel 12[11] | 41 | 31 | 19 | 9 |
12 Sep | Panels Politics | Knesset Channel[14] | 39 | 29 | – | – |
9–10 Sep | Midgam | Channel 12[19] | 40 | 33 | – | – |
8–9 Sep | Midgam | Walla![21] | 39 | 30 | 19 | 8 |
4–5 Sep | Midgam | Channel 12[25] | 41 | 31 | – | 28 |
1–2 Sep | Midgam | Walla![27] | 39 | 30 | 17 | 9 |
28 Aug | Midgam | Channel 12[32] | 43 | 29 | 19 | 9 |
22 Aug | Midgam | Channel 12[34] | 42 | 29 | 21 | 8 |
12 Aug | Midgam | Channel 12[41] | 41 | 32 | 21 | 6 |
5 Aug | Midgam | Walla![44] | 43 | 30 | 17 | 6 |
1 Aug | Panel Project HaMidgam | Channel 13[49] | 43 | 32 | 17 | – |
30 Jul | Midgam | Channel 12[52] | 42 | 32 | 18 | 8 |
25 Jul | Panel Project HaMidgam | Channel 13[56] | 40 | 33 | 17 | 10 |
25 Jul | Midgam | Channel 12[57] | 42 | 30 | – | – |
25 Jul | Midgam & iPanel | Walla![62] | 41 | 30 | 22 | 5 |
21 Jul | Midgam | Channel 12[65] | 39 | 29 | 22 | 10 |
16 Jul | Midgam | Channel 12[70] | 40 | 28 | 22 | 10 |
3 Jul | Midgam | Channel 12[75] | 40 | 30 | 21 | 9 |
30 May | KANTAR | Kan 11[89] | 44 | 38 | – | – |
- Netanyahu vs Barak
Date | Polling firm | Publisher | Netanyahu | Barak | Neither | Don't Know |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 Jul | Midgam | Channel 12[75] | 41 | 16 | 34 | 9 |
- General
Date | Polling firm | Publisher | Netanyahu | Gantz | Lapid | Ashkenazi | Gabbay | Peretz | Lieberman | Bennett | Shaked | Barak |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
10–11 Sep | Maagar Mohot | Israel Hayom[17] | 42 | 28 | 2 | – | – | 3 | 3 | – | 4 | 3 |
4–5 Sep | Maagar Mohot | Israel Hayom[23] | 40 | 23 | 3 | – | – | 4 | 3 | – | 5 | 3 |
4 Sep | Panels Politics | Knesset Channel[26] | 34 | 24 | 2 | 6 | – | – | 2 | – | – | – |
27–29 Aug | Maagar Mohot | Israel Hayom[4] | 40 | 24 | 4 | – | – | 2 | 4 | – | 6 | 4 |
20–22 Aug | Maagar Mohot | Israel Hayom[36] | 39 | 23 | 5 | – | – | 3 | 3 | – | 5 | 4 |
1 Aug | Maagar Mohot | Israel Hayom[50] | 35 | 24 | – | – | – | 5 | 6 | – | 10 | 7 |
11 Jul | Midgam | Walla![72] | 42 | 22 | – | – | – | – | 6 | – | – | 7 |
4 Jul | Maagar Mohot | Israel Hayom[74] | 35 | 22 | – | – | – | 4 | 3 | – | – | 12 |
3 Jul | Statnet | Channel 13[75] | 46 | 22 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 10 |
2 Jun | Maagar Mohot | Israel Hayom[86] | 39 | 27 | 3 | 3 | 2 | – | 5 | 3 | – | – |
Potential bias
Direct Polls institute, which conducts some of the polls, is owned by Shlomo Filber, the former director general of the Ministry of Communications and Likud campaign manager in the 2015 Israeli legislative election. Filber turned state's evidence in Case 4000, in which Prime Minister of Israel Benjamin Netanyahu has been indicted for bribery. In the April 2019 Israeli legislative election, Filber advised the New Right campaign, potentially compromising his objectivity. Filber's polling method is controversial and is based on SMS.[99]
See also
Notes
References
- ^ a b Gil Hoffman; Lahav Harkov (30 May 2019). "Israel goes back to elections as Netanyahu fails to form coalition". The Jerusalem Post.
- ^ a b Arik Bender (27 May 2019). "New Israeli elections would give Netanyahu an easy win - poll". The Jerusalem Post. Retrieved 28 May 2019.
- ^ a b s:he:חוק הבחירות (דרכי תעמולה)#סעיף 16ה (ח) (in Hebrew)
- ^ a b c d "Yisrael Hayom & I24NEWS Poll: Blue & White 32, Likud 30, Joint List 11, Yisrael Beitenu 11, Yamina 10; Scenario Poll w/o Otzma/Noam/Zehut: Likud 31, Blue & White 32, Yamina 12". Jeremy's Knesset Insider. 30 August 2019. Retrieved 30 August 2019.
- ^ "Final Results: Israel Election 2019". Haaretz. 19 September 2019. Retrieved 19 September 2019.
- ^ "i24NEWS". i24 News. 24 September 2019.
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- ^ "Channel 13 Poll: Likud 32, Blue & White 32, Joint List 12, Yamina 9, Yisrael Beitenu 9". Jeremy's Knesset Insider. 14 September 2019. Retrieved 15 September 2019.
- ^ a b "Channel 12 Poll: Likud 32, Blue & White 32, Joint List 10, Yamina 8, UTJ 8, Yisrael Beitenu 8". Jeremy's Knesset Insider. 14 September 2019. Retrieved 15 September 2019.
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- ^ a b Mati Tuchfeld (13 September 2019). "Poll predicts 62 seats for left-wing coalition with Lieberman". Israel Hayom.
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- ^ a b עמית סגל (10 September 2019). "סקר חדשות 12: כחול לבן מובילה, אך גוש הימין מתחזק". mako (in Hebrew). Retrieved 10 September 2019.
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- ^ "Channel 13 Poll: Likud 32, Blue & White 32, Yisrael Beitenu 11, Yamina 10, Joint List 10". Jeremy's Knesset Insider. 5 September 2019. Retrieved 5 September 2019.
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- ^ "103 FM & Maariv Poll: Likud 32, Blue & White 32, Yisrael Beitenu 10, Yamina 9, Joint List 9". Jeremy's Knesset Insider. 6 September 2019. Retrieved 6 September 2019.
- ^ a b "Channel 12 Poll: Likud 32, Blue & White 32, Joint List 10, Yamina 9, Yisrael Beitenu 9". Jeremy's Knesset Insider. 5 September 2019. Retrieved 5 September 2019.
- ^ a b "Knesset Channel Poll: Likud 31, Blue & White 31, Yamina 10, Joint List 10, Yisrael Beitenu 9; Otzma 4; Right Bloc 60". Jeremy's Knesset Insider. 5 September 2019. Retrieved 6 September 2019.
- ^ a b טל שלו (3 September 2019). "סקר וואלה! NEWS: גוש הימין רחוק מ-61, המפלגות הגדולות מתחזקות". Walla! (in Hebrew). Retrieved 3 September 2019.
- ^ Raviv Drucker (1 September 2019). "סקר חדשות 13: כחול לבן עוקפת את הליכוד; ימינה נחלשת". Channel 13 (in Hebrew). Retrieved 1 September 2019.
- ^ מואב ורדי (1 September 2019). "סקר כאן חדשות: ימינה מזנקת ל-10 מנדטים, עוצמה יהודית על סף אחוז החסימה". Kan (in Hebrew). Retrieved 1 September 2019.
- ^ Gil Hoffman (29 August 2019). "Netanyahu promises Feiglin ministry so that Zehut Party ends race". jpost.com. Retrieved 30 August 2019.
- ^ Arik Bender (30 August 2019). "סקר "מעריב": חלק גדול בציבור סבור שיש לצרף את גנץ, אשכנזי ויעלון לקבינט חירום". Maariv (in Hebrew). Retrieved 30 August 2019.
- ^ a b עמית סגל (29 August 2019). "סקר חדשות 12: איך משפיעה פרישת זהות על חלוקת המנדטים ומפת הגושים?". mako. Retrieved 30 August 2019.
- ^ מואב ורדי (26 August 2019). "סקר כאן חדשות: סדר היום הביטחוני משרת פוליטית את המפלגות הגדולות". Kan (in Hebrew). Retrieved 27 August 2019.
- ^ a b "Channel 12 Poll: Likud 30, Blue & White 30, Yamina 11, Joint List 11, Yisrael Beitenu 10". Jeremy's Knesset Insider. 25 August 2019. Retrieved 30 August 2019.
- ^ Staff writer (22 August 2019). "Poll: 32 seats for Likud, 10 for Yamina". Arutz Sheva. Retrieved 22 August 2019.
- ^ a b Mati Tuchfeld (23 August 2019). "Poll: Majority of Israelis plan on repeating April election vote". Israel Hayom. Retrieved 23 August 2019.
- ^ "Poll: Liberman loses seat after vote-sharing agreement". Arutz Sheva. 21 August 2019.
- ^ Jeremy Saltan (19 August 2019). "Makor Rishon Poll: Likud 31, Blue & White 29, Yamina 11, Joint List 10, Yisrael Beitenu 9". Jeremy's Knesset Insider.
- ^ Staff writer (15 August 2019). "Poll: 56 seats for the right without Liberman". Arutz Sheva. Retrieved 15 August 2019.
- ^ Staff writer (15 August 2019). "Poll: Blue & White 31, Likud 31, Yamina 12". Arutz Sheva. Retrieved 15 August 2019.
- ^ a b Jeremy Saltan (13 August 2019). "Channel 12 Poll: Likud 30, Blue & White 29, Yamina 11, Joint List 11, Yisrael Beitenu 10". Jeremy's Knesset Insider. Retrieved 13 August 2019.
- ^ "103FM Poll: Likud - 32, Blue and White - 30". Arutz Sheva. 8 August 2019. Retrieved 8 August 2019.
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- ^ a b טל שלו (5 August 2019). "סקר וואלה! NEWS: רוב הציבור מתנגד לממשלת אחדות בראשות נתניהו". Walla! (in Hebrew). Retrieved 5 August 2019.
- ^ "Reshet Bet Poll: Blue & White 30, Likud 29, United Right 11, Yisrael Beitenu 11, Joint List 11". Jeremy's Knesset Insider. 4 August 2019. Retrieved 5 August 2019.
- ^ "אחרי הגשת הרשימות: לאף אחד אין איך להרכיב ממשלה". Mako (in Hebrew). 3 August 2019. Retrieved 3 August 2019.
- ^ "103 FM Radio Poll: Likud 31, Blue & White 29, United Right 11, Joint List 11, Yisrael Beitenu 10". Jeremy's Knesset Insider. 4 August 2019. Retrieved 5 August 2019.
- ^ "Committee Timetable". Central Elections Committee. Retrieved 31 July 2019.
- ^ a b Jeremy Saltan (1 August 2019). "Channel 13 Poll: Likud 30, Blue & White 29, United Right 11, Yisrael Beitenu 11, Joint List 11". Jeremy's Knesset Insider. Retrieved 1 August 2019.
- ^ a b "Yisrael Hayom Poll: Likud 30, Blue & White 28, Joint List 12, United Right 11, Yisrael Beitenu 10". Jeremy's Knesset Insider. 4 August 2019. Retrieved 5 August 2019.
- ^ "6 שנים מאז שהקים את מפלגת כולנו: כחלון התפקד לליכוד". www.hidabroot.org (in Hebrew). 31 July 2019.
- ^ a b c d "Channel 12 Poll: Likud 30, Blue & White 30, United Right 12, Joint List 11, Yisrael Beitenu 10". Jeremy's Knesset Insider. 30 July 2019. Retrieved 31 July 2019.
- ^ Staff writer (29 July 2019). "New Right, United Right reach final agreement on joint run". Arutz Sheva. Retrieved 29 July 2019.
- ^ Staff writer (12 August 2019). "United Right to run under name 'Yemina'". Arutz Sheva.
- ^ Jeremy Saltan (26 July 2019). "103 FM Radio Poll: Likud 30, Blue & White 28, Joint List 11, Yisrael Beitenu 9, Democratic Union 9". Jeremy's Knesset Insider. Retrieved 26 July 2019.
- ^ a b c Jeremy Saltan (25 July 2019). "Channel 13 Poll: Likud 28, Blue & White 23, Democratic Union 12, Joint List 11, YB 10, Shaked 10; Scenario Poll: United Right List 14". Jeremy's Knesset Insider. Retrieved 25 July 2019.
- ^ a b c d Jeremy Saltan (25 July 2019). "Channel 12 Poll: Likud 29, Blue & White 28, Joint List 11, YB 10, Democratic Union 10, Shaked 9; Scenario Polls: United Left List 15, United Right List 14". Jeremy's Knesset Insider. Retrieved 25 July 2019.
- ^ Jeremy Saltan (25 July 2019). "I24 News & Yisrael Hayom Poll: Likud 31, Blue & White 30, Joint List 12, Democratic Union 9, 3 tied at 7". Jeremy's Knesset Insider. Retrieved 25 July 2019.
- ^ a b Jeremy Saltan (25 July 2019). "Channel 11 Poll: Likud 30, Blue & White 30, Joint List 10, YB 9, Shaked 9; Scenario Poll: United Right 15, United Left 14". Jeremy's Knesset Insider. Retrieved 25 July 2019.
- ^ Raoul Wootliff (25 July 2019). "Meretz, former PM Barak, Labor defector Shaffir announce joint Knesset run". The Times of Israel. Retrieved 25 July 2019.
- ^ @YaelCohenParan (25 July 2019). "המפלגה הירוקה שמחה להיות חלק מהמחנה הדמוקרטי שיעשה מהפך במפה הפוליטית בישראל" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
- ^ a b שלו, טל (25 July 2019). "סקר וואלה! NEWS: שקד מתחזקת, ומה התמיכה באיחוד כולל בשמאל?". Walla! (in Hebrew). Retrieved 25 July 2019.
- ^ Jacob Magid (21 July 2019). "Taking reins from Bennett, Shaked urges right-wing slates to unite beneath her". The Times of Israel. Retrieved 21 July 2019.
- ^ a b מיכאל שמש (21 July 2019). "סקר כאן חדשות: השוויון בצמרת נמשך – ברק מתחת לאחוז החסימה". Kan 11 (in Hebrew). Retrieved 21 July 2019.
- ^ a b c עמית סגל (21 July 2019). "כמה שווה החיבור בין פרץ ללוי? סקר מנדטים של החדשות". mako (in Hebrew). Retrieved 21 July 2019.
- ^ a b "Maariv/103 FM Radio Poll: Likud 32, Blue & White 29, Joint List 10; Scenario Poll: Labor+Meretz 13". Jeremy's Knesset Insider. 19 July 2019. Retrieved 19 July 2019.
- ^ a b c Jeremy Saltan (19 July 2019). "Makor Rishon Poll: Likud 32, Blue & White 29, Joint List 11; Scenario Polls on Shaked vs A.Peretz united right list & Barak vs R.Peretz united left list". Jeremy's Knesset Insider. Retrieved 19 July 2019.
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- ^ a b c d Raoul Wootliff (5 July 2019). "Poll shows separate unions of small right, left-wing parties each surging". The Times of Israel.
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- ^ a b Staff writer (14 June 2019). "Poll: Right-wing bloc leads with 68 seats". Arutz Sheva. Retrieved 14 June 2019.
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- ^ a b מטי טוכפלד (2 June 2019). "סקר "ישראל היום": 59 מנדטים לגוש הימין בלי ליברמן - איש לא יכול להרכיב ממשלה". Israel Hayom (in Hebrew). Retrieved 2 June 2019.
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- ^ a b David Rosenberg (26 July 2019). "Poll: United Right wins 16 seats with Shaked at the helm". Arutz Sheva. Retrieved 27 July 2019.
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