Opinion polling for the 2021 Peruvian general election
Since the previous elections in 2016, polling companies have published surveys tracking voting intention for the 2021 Peruvian general election. The results of these surveys are listed below in reverse chronological order. The first round of the election was held on 11 April, and the run-off between Keiko Fujimori and Pedro Castillo was held on 6 June 2021.
Analysis
[edit]The primary candidates in Peruvian elections typically become apparent two months prior to elections.[1] In the first wave of support, Yonhy Lescano saw initial support, though he was surpassed by Rafael López Aliaga, a far-right businessman whose speech was similar to Catholic extremism.[2] López Aliaga's support waned following his poor debate performance, leading to neoliberal economist and advisor to Alberto Fujimori, Hernando de Soto, receiving additional support from the recently emerged middle class, though critics believed de Soto would continue Fujimori's controversial policies.[2]
Two weeks before the election, Keiko Fujimori, who was initially discounted due to corruption allegations and brief imprisonment, became among the most popular among poll respondents following her performance in debates.[2] However, during the election silence period that prevented the publishing of opinion polls, Pedro Castillo saw a dramatic jump in approval, though this support was not permitted to be documented.[2]
Presidential election (run-off)
[edit]The following graph shows the weighted polls and does not count voting simulations
Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. Updates on reimplementing the Graph extension, which will be known as the Chart extension, can be found on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
Voting simulations
[edit]Pollster | Date | Sample size | Pedro Castillo |
Keiko Fujimori |
Blank / None | ||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Election results | 6 June 2021 | N/A | 50.13 | 49.87 | N/A | ||||||||||||||||
Ipsos Perú/El Comercio[3] (Valid votes) |
28 May 2021 | 1,517 | 50.1 | 49.9 | N/A | ||||||||||||||||
Ipsos Perú/El Comercio[4] (Cast votes) |
45.1 | 43.1 | 11.8 | ||||||||||||||||||
CIT/Expreso[5] (Valid votes) |
27–28 May 2021 | 2,400 | 49.3 | 50.7 | N/A | ||||||||||||||||
CIT/Expreso[5] (Cast votes) |
40.6 | 41.7 | 17.7 | ||||||||||||||||||
CPI/América[6] (Valid votes) |
26–28 May 2021 | 1,400 | 50.5 | 49.5 | N/A | ||||||||||||||||
CPI/América[6] (Cast votes) |
41.0 | 40.2 | 18.8 | ||||||||||||||||||
Datum/Gestión/Perú 21[7] (Valid votes) |
25–27 May 2021 | 1,201 | 50.5 | 49.5 | N/A | ||||||||||||||||
Datum/Gestión/Perú 21[7] (Cast votes) |
42.6 | 41.7 | 15.7 | ||||||||||||||||||
CIT/Expreso[8] (Valid votes) |
21–22 May 2021 | 1,600 | 51.1 | 48.9 | N/A | ||||||||||||||||
CIT/Expreso[8] (Cast votes) |
41.9 | 40.0 | 18.1 | ||||||||||||||||||
Ipsos Perú/El Comercio[9] (Valid votes) |
21 May 2021 | 1,200 | 52.6 | 47.4 | N/A | ||||||||||||||||
Ipsos Perú/El Comercio[9] (Cast votes) |
45.0 | 40.7 | 14.3 | ||||||||||||||||||
Datum/Gestión/Perú 21[10] (Valid votes) |
18–20 May 2021 | 1,201 | 53.2 | 46.8 | N/A | ||||||||||||||||
Datum/Gestión/Perú 21[10] (Cast votes) |
45.5 | 40.1 | 14.4 | ||||||||||||||||||
Ipsos Perú/El Comercio[11] (Valid votes) |
13–14 May 2021 | 1,205 | 51.1 | 48.9 | N/A | ||||||||||||||||
Ipsos Perú/El Comercio[11] (Cast votes) |
43.6 | 41.7 | 14.7 | ||||||||||||||||||
Datum/Gestión/Perú 21[12] (Valid votes) |
12–13 May 2021 | 1,201 | 51 | 49 | N/A | ||||||||||||||||
Datum/Gestión/Perú 21[12] (Cast votes) |
44 | 41 | 15 |
Electoral polls
[edit]Pollster | Date | Sample size | Pedro Castillo |
Keiko Fujimori |
Blank / None | Undecided | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Election results | 6 June 2021 | N/A | 50.1 | 49.9 | |||
Ipsos[13] | 5 June 2021 | 5,117 | 44.1 | 44.8 | 11.1 | ||
IEP[14] | 2–4 June 2021 | 2,057 | 40.8 | 40.9 | 11.5 | 6.8 | |
IDICE/La Razón[15] | 28–29 May 2021 | 1,200 | 43.9 | 47.8 | 6.0 | 2.3 | |
Ipsos Perú/El Comercio[4] | 28 May 2021 | 1,526 | 42 | 40 | 10 | 8 | |
IEP/La Republica[16] | 27–28 May 2021 | 1,227 | 40.3 | 38.3 | 13.0 | 8.3 | |
Datum/Gestión/Perú 21[7] | 25–27 May 2021 | 1,201 | 41.6 | 41.5 | 10.9 | 6.0 | |
IEP/La Republica[17] | 20–21 May 2021 | 1,208 | 44.8 | 34.4 | 12.8 | 5.8 | |
Datum/Gestión/Perú 21[10] | 18–20 May 2021 | 1,201 | 44.9 | 40.1 | 9.2 | 5.8 | |
IDICE/La Razón[18] | 18–19 May 2021 | 1,200 | 42.0 | 45.4 | 7.7 | 4.9 | |
IEP/La Republica[19] | 13–15 May 2021 | 1,246 | 36.5 | 29.6 | 23.6 | 10.3 | |
Ipsos Perú/El Comercio[11] | 13–14 May 2021 | 1,205 | 40 | 37 | 14 | 19 | |
CPI/América[20] | 12–14 May 2021 | 1,600 | 34.2 | 32.0 | 18.0 | 15.0 | |
Datum/Gestión/Perú 21[12] | 12–13 May 2021 | 1,201 | 42 | 40 | 11 | 7 | |
CIT/Expreso[21] | 7–8 May 2021 | 2,400 | 38.2 | 37.3 | 12.6 | 11.9 | |
CPI/RPP[22] | 6–8 May 2021 | 1,600 | 34.2 | 32.0 | 18.5 | 15.3 | |
IEP/La Republica[23] | 3–6 May 2021 | 1,367 | 36.2 | 30.0 | 21.3 | 12.4 | |
Datum/Gestión/Perú 21[24] | 5–6 May 2021 | 1,203 | 41 | 36 | 11 | 12 | |
CIT/Expreso[25] | 28–30 April 2021 | 1,600 | 37.6 | 34.5 | 8.8 | 19.1 | |
Ipsos Perú/América[25] | 30 April 2021 | 1,204 | 43 | 34 | 13 | 10 | |
Datum/Gestión/Perú 21[26] | 27–29 April 2021 | 1,200 | 44 | 34 | 11 | 11 | |
IDICE/La Razón[27] | 22–23 April 2021 | 1,200 | 41.3 | 34.8 | 11.7 | 12.2 | |
CPI/Panamericana[28] | 18–21 April 2021 | 1,200 | 35.5 | 23.1 | 23.7 | 17.7 | |
IEP/La Republica[29] | 17–21 April 2021 | 1,367 | 41.5 | 21.5 | 23.5 | 13.5 | |
Datum/Gestión/Perú 21[30] | 16–20 April 2021 | 1,205 | 41 | 26 | 15 | 18 | |
Ipsos Perú/América[31] | 15–16 April 2021 | 1,204 | 42 | 31 | 16 | 11 |
Presidential election (first round)
[edit]The following graph shows the weighted polls, and does not include voting simulations.
Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. Updates on reimplementing the Graph extension, which will be known as the Chart extension, can be found on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
Voting simulations
[edit]Pollster | Date | Sample size | Pedro Castillo |
Keiko Fujimori |
Rafael López Aliaga |
Hernando de Soto Go on Country – Social Integration Party |
Yonhy Lescano |
Verónika Mendoza |
César Acuña |
George Forsyth |
Daniel Urresti |
Julio Guzmán |
Alberto Beingolea |
Daniel Salaverry |
Ollanta Humala |
José Vega |
Ciro Gálvez |
Marco Arana |
Rafael Santos |
Andrés Alcántara |
Blank / None |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Election results | 11 April 2021 | N/A | 18.9 | 13.4 | 11.8 | 11.6 | 9.1 | 7.9 | 6.0 | 5.7 | 5.6 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.4 | N/A |
CPI/Latina[32] (Valid votes) |
30 March–1 April 2021 | 1,600 | 9 | 11.5 | 10.2 | 11.4 | 16.2 | 10.6 | 7 | 9.9 | 4.2 | 2 | 3.6 | 2 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | N/A |
CPI/Latina[33] (Cast votes) |
6.2 | 7.9 | 7 | 7.8 | 11.1 | 7.3 | 4.8 | 6.8 | 2.9 | 1.4 | 2.5 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 31.5 | ||
Ipsos Perú/El Comercio[34] (Valid votes) |
31 March 2021 | 1,526 | 7.9 | 11.2 | 8.2 | 13.9 | 14.7 | 12.4 | 4.2 | 11.9 | 4.7 | 1.8 | 2.7 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 1 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.4 | N/A |
Ipsos Perú/El Comercio[35] (Cast votes) |
6.5 | 9.3 | 6.8 | 11.5 | 12.1 | 10.2 | 3.5 | 9.8 | 3.9 | 1.4 | 2.2 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 17.3 | ||
CIT/Expreso[36] (Valid votes) |
30 March–1 April 2021 | 1,600 | 3.4 | 9.8 | 17 | 12.9 | 11.9 | 7.7 | 7.7 | 10.4 | 6.7 | 2.1 | 1.4 | 3.1 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 1.9 | 0.5 | N/A |
CIT/Expreso[37] (Cast votes) |
2.7 | 7.7 | 13.4 | 10.2 | 9.4 | 6.1 | 6.1 | 8.2 | 5.3 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 2.4 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 21 | ||
Datum/Perú 21/Gestión[38] (Valid votes) |
27–29 March 2021 | 1,206 | 5.9 | 12.6 | 11.4 | 10.3 | 19.1 | 9 | 3.9 | 11.8 | 5.6 | 2.4 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 0.3 | N/A |
Datum/Perú 21/Gestión[38] (Cast votes) |
3.7 | 7.9 | 7.2 | 6.5 | 12.1 | 5.7 | 2.5 | 7.4 | 3.5 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 36.9 | ||
CIT/Expreso[39] (Valid votes) |
18–22 March 2021 | 1,600 | 2.9 | 9.7 | 17 | 9.7 | 15.6 | 6.8 | 6.8 | 12.8 | 5.8 | 3.5 | 0.8 | 3.8 | 1.1 | 1.7 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.4 | N/A |
CIT/Expreso[40] (Cast votes) |
2.4 | 8.1 | 14 | 8.1 | 13 | 5.6 | 5.9 | 10.7 | 4.8 | 2.9 | 0.6 | 3.2 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 16.5 | ||
Ipsos Perú/El Comercio[41] (Valid votes) |
10–11 March 2021 | 1,206 | 3.7 | 10.6 | 11.6 | 5.9 | 21 | 10.4 | 3.3 | 13.9 | 6.4 | 3.8 | 1.5 | 2.3 | 2.8 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.3 | N/A |
Ipsos Perú/El Comercio[41] (Cast votes) |
3 | 8.6 | 9.3 | 4.8 | 16.8 | 8.4 | 2.6 | 11.2 | 5.1 | 3.1 | 1.2 | 1.9 | 2.2 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 19.6 |
Electoral polls
[edit]Pollster | Date | Sample size | Pedro Castillo |
Keiko Fujimori |
Rafael López Aliaga |
Hernando de Soto Go on Country – Social Integration Party |
Yonhy Lescano |
Verónika Mendoza |
César Acuña |
George Forsyth |
Daniel Urresti |
Julio Guzmán |
Alberto Beingolea |
Daniel Salaverry |
Ollanta Humala |
Other | Blank / None |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Election results | 11 April 2021 | N/A | 18.9 | 13.4 | 11.8 | 11.7 | 9.1 | 7.9 | 6.0 | 5.7 | 5.6 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 2.6 | N/A | N/A |
IEP/La República[42][a] | 1–2 April 2021 | 1,212 | 6.6 | 9.8 | 8.4 | 9.8 | 8.2 | 7.3 | 4.1 | 5.7 | 3.5 | 2.3 | 2 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 18.3 | 9.3 |
IDICE/La Razón[43] | 1–2 April 2021 | 1,200 | 4.4 | 7.8 | 7.2 | 8 | 10.8 | 7.3 | 7.4 | 7.3 | 3.5 | 1.9 | 3.3 | 1 | 1.6 | 4 | 16.7 | 8.6 |
Ipsos Perú/El Comercio[44] | 31 March 2021 | 1,505 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 14 |
IEP/La República[45][a] | 22–25 March 2021 | 1,212 | 4.3 | 7.9 | 9.7 | 8.5 | 11.4 | 9.6 | 3.2 | 8.2 | 4.3 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 2 | 1.2 | 20.2 | 6.3 |
IDICE/La Razón[46] | 23–25 March 2021 | 1,200 | 4.3 | 7.9 | 10 | 6.9 | 10.8 | 5.9 | 8.9 | 7.6 | 3.8 | 1.9 | 0.4 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 13.4 | 13.8 |
CPI/Exitosa[47] | 19–23 March 2021 | 1,600 | 4.3 | 7.1 | 5.2 | 4.5 | 11 | 5.4 | 4 | 8.1 | 3.8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2.1 | 0.5 | 15.2 | 24.8 |
Datum/Perú 21/Gestión[48] | 18–21 March 2021 | 1,201 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 17 |
Radio Latina[49] | 17–19 March 2021 | 22,700 | 6 | 6.5 | 9.5 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 6.5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4.5 | 12 | 21 |
IDICE/La Razón[50] | 16–18 March 2021 | 1,200 | 3.9 | 7.2 | 11.4 | 5.4 | 11.3 | 6 | 7.1 | 6.8 | 3.4 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 1 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 11.9 | 18.8 |
CELAG[51] | 23 February–16 March 2021 | 2,006 | 5 | 7 | 5.1 | 8.6 | 15.6 | 11.2 | 3 | 13.1 | 1.3 | 5 | - | 1.5 | 4.4 | 6.9 | 5 | 7.4 |
CPI/Latina[52] | 6–11 March 2021 | 1,300 | 2.5 | 6.5 | 7.2 | 4.5 | 12.2 | 5.9 | 4 | 8 | 3.8 | 2 | 1.2 | 1 | 1.5 | 1 | 15.6 | 23.2 |
Ipsos Perú/El Comercio[41] | 10–11 March 2021 | 1,206 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 12 |
IEP/La República[53][a] | 4–8 March 2021 | 1,220 | 3.5 | 7.2 | 9.5 | 5.7 | 13.9 | 7 | 3.4 | 6.8 | 4.5 | 2.3 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 2.5 | 1.1 | 20.1 | 10.5 |
CIT/Expreso[54] | 4–7 March 2021 | 1,220 | 1 | 5.1 | 12 | 8 | 7.1 | 8.6 | 5 | 5.7 | 8.6 | 2.6 | 0.9 | 2.6 | 1.6 | 3.5 | 27.6 | N/A |
Datum/Perú 21/Gestión[55] | 5–7 March 2021 | 1,200 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 21 |
IDICE/La Razón[56] | 3–5 March 2021 | 1,200 | 1.3 | 8.9 | 10.8 | 3.3 | 9.4 | 8.4 | 5.7 | 7.2 | 5 | 4.3 | 1.4 | 1 | 1.7 | 4.3 | 10 | 18.7 |
IEP/La República[57][a] | 19–23 February 2021 | 1,220 | 2.4 | 8.1 | 7.6 | 4.2 | 11.3 | 8.9 | 3.8 | 8.1 | 4.8 | 3.1 | 0.6 | 2.4 | 2.2 | 2 | 2.5 | 28.1 |
CPI/Correo[58] | 17-19 February 2021 | 1,200 | 1.7 | 6.4 | 3 | 2.9 | 8 | 4.7 | 3.1 | 8.9 | 4.7 | 2.4 | 0.7 | 2.6 | 1 | 2 | 18.8 | 30.1 |
CIT/Expreso[59] | 12-14 February 2021 | 1,220 | 0.4 | 7.6 | 7.6 | 5.4 | 5.6 | 5 | 2.3 | 8.7 | 7 | 1.6 | 1 | 2 | 1.6 | 4 | 21.9 | 18.3 |
Datum/Perú 21/Gestión[60] | 9–12 February 2021 | 1,200 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 18 |
Ipsos Perú/El Comercio[61] | 10–11 February 2021 | 1,219 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 8 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 14 |
IDICE/La Razón[62] | 9–11 February 2021 | 1,200 | 1 | 9.2 | 6.8 | 4 | 4.9 | 8.4 | 4.6 | 14.1 | 5.5 | 5.7 | 1.2 | 3.9 | 1.9 | 1.2 | 8.4 | 19.3 |
IEP/La República[63][a] | 21–27 January 2021 | 1,205 | 2.3 | 6.7 | 2.4 | 5.6 | 7.1 | 8.2 | 2 | 13.3 | 5.6 | 4.6 | 1.7 | 2.5 | 2.8 | 2.4 | 25.2 | 7.5 |
IEP/La República[64][b] | 21–27 January 2021 | 1,205 | 0.5 | 2.9 | 1.2 | 2.5 | 3.1 | 2.8 | 0.4 | 6.5 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 0.1 | 1 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 31.9 | 42.5 |
CPI/Correo[65] | 23–25 January 2021 | 1,200 | 2.4 | 5.6 | 1.1 | 2.8 | 5 | 4.7 | 3.7 | 10.1 | 4.3 | 4.1 | 1.1 | 3.2 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 19.3 | 30.5 |
Ipsos Perú/El Comercio[66] | 13–15 January 2021 | 1,210 | 1 | 8 | 0.5 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 11 |
Datum/Perú 21/Gestión[67] | 8–12 January 2021 | 1,206 | 1 | 6 | 0.5 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 30 | 19 |
CIT/Expreso[68] | 11–13 January 2021 | 1,200 | 0.5 | 8.1 | 5.1 | 9.6 | 4.6 | 7.2 | 4.3 | 11.8 | 7.8 | 5 | - | 3.3 | 3.8 | 3.5 | 11.5 | 13.9 |
IDICE/La Razón[69] | 2–8 January 2021 | 1,200 | 1 | 8.8 | 4.6 | 4.4 | 3.6 | 7.9 | 3.2 | 14.7 | 6.6 | 7.8 | - | 5.2 | 2.3 | 1.7 | 5.8 | 22.1 |
Ipsos Perú/El Comercio[70] | 10–11 December 2020 | 1,200 | 1 | 7 | 0.3 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 18 | 10 |
IEP/La República[71][a] | 1–8 December 2020 | 1,225 | 0.8 | 7.7 | 0.2 | 4.1 | 4.5 | 9.1 | 2 | 14.7 | 6.3 | 9.1 | 1.1 | 3.1 | 2.9 | 5 | 24.1 | 5.3 |
IEP/La República[71][b] | 1–8 December 2020 | 1,225 | 0.2 | 2.3 | 0.2 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 2.4 | 0.3 | 5.5 | 1.2 | 5.2 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 15.3 | 22.5 | 39.6 |
CIT/Expreso[72] | 11-13 December 2020 | 1,200 | 0.2 | 7.5 | 2.3 | 10.4 | 3.2 | 6.4 | 3.7 | 9.8 | 7.7 | 5.2 | - | 1.9 | 2 | 12.7 | 13.3 | 14 |
Datum/Perú 21/Gestión[73] | 3–6 December 2020 | 1,244 | 0.3 | 4 | 0.4 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 0.7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 32 | 24 |
CPI/Correo[74] | 23–25 November 2020 | 1,200 | 1.2 | 4.2 | 0.2 | 2.9 | 2.3 | 3.4 | 1.1 | 8.1 | 2.8 | 5 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4.7 | 37.7 | 23.3 |
Ipsos Perú/El Comercio[75] | 16 November 2020 | 1,207 | 2 | 5 | 0.1 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 16 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 17 |
CIT/Expreso[76] | 20-22 November 2020 | 1,200 | - | 6.8 | 2 | 11.3 | 2.9 | 5.8 | 4.8 | 12.5 | 7.8 | 5.1 | - | 0.8 | 1.4 | 14.3 | - | 24.8 |
Ipsos Perú/El Comercio[77] | 21–23 October 2020 | 1,193 | - | 7 | 0.3 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 14 | 16 |
IEP/La República[78][a] | 13–19 October 2020 | 1,212 | - | 8 | 0.4 | 5.4 | 4.9 | 9.1 | 3.9 | 23 | 7.3 | 3.9 | - | 2 | 2.7 | 3.1 | 21.1 | 5.5 |
IEP/La República[78][b] | 13–19 October 2020 | 1,212 | - | 2.6 | 0.1 | 1.9 | 1 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 9.6 | 2.3 | 1 | - | 0.2 | 0.2 | 16.8[c][d] | 23.2 | 38.6 |
Datum/Perú 21/Gestión[79] | 2–5 October 2020 | 1,224 | - | 5 | 0.2 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 20 | 4 | 3 | - | - | - | 12 | 25 | 18 |
CIT/Expreso[80] | 14-16 October 2020 | 1,025 | - | 8.5 | 0.9 | 14.6 | 1.5 | 2 | 4.4 | 11 | 5 | 2.2 | - | 0.8 | - | 16.3 | - | 32.9 |
Ipsos Perú/El Comercio[81] | 9–10 September 2020 | 1,204 | - | 7 | 0.2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 19 | 13 |
CIT/Expreso[82] | 9-11 September 2020 | 1,025 | - | - | 1 | 16.8 | - | 1.2 | 2.4 | 9.3 | 3.4 | 1.2 | - | 1.2 | - | 34.5 | - | 27.8 |
Ipsos Perú/El Comercio[83] | 21–22 August 2020 | 1,010 | - | 7 | - | - | 3 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 31 | 3 |
Pre-electoral polls
[edit]Pollster | Date | Sample size | George Forsyth | Salvador del Solar | Daniel Urresti |
Keiko Fujimori |
Verónika Mendoza |
Julio Guzmán |
Alfredo Barnechea |
Yonhy Lescano |
César Acuña |
Kenji Fujimori |
Jorge Muñoz |
Daniel Salaverry |
Alberto Beingolea |
Other | Blank / None | Undecided | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ipsos Perú/El Comercio[84] | 9–10 July 2020 | 1,019 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 4 | - | 2 | - | - | - | 1 | N/A | 1 | 28 | 4 |
Ipsos Perú/El Comercio[85] | 11–12 June 2020 | 1,015 | 23 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - | 2 | - | - | - | 1 | N/A | 8 | 26 | 2 |
Ipsos Perú/El Comercio[86] | 14–15 May 2020 | 1,022 | 23 | 16 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | - | 2 | - | 3 | - | 1 | N/A | 2 | 26 | 3 |
Ipsos Perú/El Comercio[86] | 15–16 April 2020 | 1,055 | 22 | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | - | 7 | - | 1 | N/A | 9 | 20 | 3 |
Ipsos Perú/El Comercio[86] | 11–12 March 2020 | 1,173 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - | 4 | - | 1 | N/A | 3 | 34 | 1 |
Datum/Perú 21/Gestión[87] | 29 February–3 March 2020 | 1,210 | 11 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 5 | - | 4 | - | - | - | - | N/A | 6 | 29 | 10 |
Ipsos Perú/El Comercio[86] | 11–13 February 2020 | 1,190 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 3 | - | 1 | N/A | 10 | 34 | 3 |
Ipsos Perú/El Comercio[86] | 15–17 January 2020 | 1,218 | 10 | 13 | - | 9 | 5 | 6 | 2 | - | 6 | - | 3 | - | 1 | N/A | 7 | 35 | 3 |
Datum/Perú 21/Gestión[88] | 11–13 January 2020 | 1,208 | 9 | 19 | - | 6 | 7 | 7 | 5 | - | 4 | - | - | - | 1 | N/A | 6 | 20 | 16 |
Ipsos Perú/El Comercio[89] | 11–13 December 2019 | 1,209 | 13 | 13 | - | 10 | 6 | 6 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 4 | 2 | - | N/A | 7 | 30 | 3 |
Datum/Perú 21/Gestión[90] | 30 November–3 December 2019 | 1,204 | 9 | 16 | - | 8 | 4 | 8 | 3 | - | 5 | - | - | 0.4 | 1 | N/A | 10.6 | 26 | 11 |
Ipsos Perú/El Comercio[89] | 13–15 November 2019 | 1,199 | 13 | 15 | - | 10 | 4 | 6 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 4 | 3 | - | N/A | 9 | 28 | 2 |
Datum/Perú 21/Gestión[91] | 1–4 November 2019 | 1,224 | 9 | 18 | - | 6 | 4 | 9 | 2 | - | 4 | - | - | 1 | 1 | N/A | 8 | 26 | 14 |
Ipsos Perú/El Comercio[92] | 9–11 October 2019 | 1,203 | 11 | 16 | - | 8 | 5 | 5 | 1 | - | 4 | - | 5 | 2 | 2 | N/A | 10 | 29 | 2 |
Datum/Perú 21/Gestión[93] | 5–7 October 2019 | 1,212 | 9 | 21 | - | 5 | 7 | 9 | 2 | - | 3 | - | - | 1 | 0.5 | N/A | 6.5 | 22 | 14 |
Ipsos Perú/El Comercio[94] | 11–13 September 2019 | 1,208 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 7 | - | - | 4 | 8 | - | 7 | 2 | - | N/A | 13 | 28 | 1 |
Datum/Perú 21/Gestión[95] | 30 August–2 September 2019 | 1,221 | 7 | 5 | - | 7 | 6 | 8 | 4 | - | 4 | - | - | - | 1 | N/A | 8 | 35 | 15 |
IEP/La República[96][a] | 17–21 August 2019 | 1,224 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 4 | 0.4 | 4 | 3 | - | - | 0.3 | N/A | 9.3 | 28 | 5 |
IEP/La República[96][b] | 17–21 August 2019 | 1,224 | 10 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 3 | 0.4 | 3 | 3 | - | - | - | N/A | 6.7 | 35 | 15 |
Ipsos Perú/El Comercio[97] | 14–15 August 2019 | 1,205 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 6 | 3 | - | N/A | 10 | 28 | 2 |
Datum/Perú 21/Gestión[98] | 2–4 August 2019 | 1,219 | 10 | 4 | - | 5 | 6 | 11 | 5 | - | 3 | - | 4 | - | 1 | N/A | 10 | 29 | 12 |
Ipsos Perú/El Comercio[97] | 17–19 July 2019 | 1,221 | 13 | 6 | - | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 5 | 2 | - | N/A | 16 | 33 | 3 |
Ipsos Perú/El Comercio[99] | 12–14 June 2019 | 1,210 | 12 | 5 | - | 9 | 4 | 4 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 4 | 2 | - | N/A | 21 | 31 | 2 |
Ipsos Perú/El Comercio[99] | 15–17 May 2019 | 1,222 | 18 | 4 | - | 9 | 4 | 5 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 4 | - | - | N/A | 20 | 30 | 1 |
Ipsos Perú/El Comercio[99] | 10–12 April 2019 | 1,212 | 17 | 4 | - | 8 | 4 | 6 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 5 | - | - | 4 | 17 | 32 | 2 |
Ipsos Perú/El Comercio[99] | 13–15 March 2019 | 1,218 | 13 | - | - | 9 | 5 | 8 | 3 | - | 3 | - | 7 | - | - | 4 | 16 | 31 | 1 |
Ipsos Perú/El Comercio[99] | 13–15 February 2019 | 1,199 | - | - | - | 11 | 8 | 7 | 4 | - | 3 | - | - | - | - | 4 | 24 | 48 | 1 |
Ipsos Perú/El Comercio[99] | 16–18 January 2019 | 1,213 | - | 2 | - | 9 | 6 | 8 | 4 | - | 4 | - | - | - | - | 4 | 18 | 44 | 1 |
Ipsos Perú/El Comercio[99] | 12–14 December 2018 | 1,316 | - | 2 | - | 10 | 7 | 9 | 5 | - | 3 | - | - | - | - | 3 | 16 | 44 | 1 |
Ipsos Perú/El Comercio[99] | 14–16 November 2018 | 1,284 | - | 3 | - | 11 | 8 | 8 | 5 | - | 4 | - | - | - | - | 3 | 21 | 35 | 2 |
Ipsos Perú/El Comercio[100] | 10–11 October 2018 | 1,253 | - | 4 | - | 10 | 7 | 10 | 5 | - | 6 | - | - | - | - | 5 | 17 | 34 | 2 |
Ipsos Perú/El Comercio[99] | 15–16 August 2018 | 1,266 | - | 3 | - | 13 | 8 | 11 | 5 | - | 4 | - | - | - | - | 5 | 14 | 35 | 2 |
CPI/Exitosa[101] | 3–7 August 2018 | 1,400 | - | - | - | 8.4 | 6.4 | 12.5 | 6.8 | - | 3.9 | 1.4 | - | - | - | 1.5 | 8.5 | 43.8 | 6.8 |
Ipsos Perú/El Comercio[102] | 11–13 July 2018 | 1,278 | - | 3 | - | 17 | 8 | 12 | 6 | - | 4 | - | - | - | - | 4 | 17 | 26 | 3 |
CPI/Exitosa[103] | 1–5 July 2018 | 1,400 | - | - | - | 11.9 | 6.3 | 10.8 | 7.4 | - | 4.2 | 2.5 | - | - | - | 1.4 | 7.8 | 40.0 | 7.7 |
Ipsos Perú/El Comercio[104] | 6–8 June 2018 | 1,290 | - | 2 | - | 15 | 8 | 12 | 5 | - | 6 | 5 | - | - | - | 3 | 12 | 31 | 1 |
CPI/Exitosa[105] | 19–23 May 2018 | 1,400 | - | - | - | 14.8 | 6.1 | 12.3 | 7.5 | - | 3.9 | 2.3 | - | - | - | 2.7 | 8.1 | 35.6 | 6.7 |
Ipsos Perú/El Comercio[106] | 9–11 May 2018 | 1,279 | - | 4 | - | 18 | 6 | 9 | 5 | - | 4 | 4 | - | - | - | 5 | 14 | 30 | 1 |
Ipsos Perú/El Comercio[107] | 10–12 April 2018 | 1,289 | - | - | - | 15 | 11 | 14 | 8 | - | 6 | 5 | - | - | - | 3 | 8 | 25 | 5 |
CPI/Exitosa[108] | 27–31 March 2018 | 1,400 | - | - | - | 15.8 | 6.0 | 13.1 | 9.8 | - | 4.9 | 5.8 | - | - | - | 1.4 | 7.3 | 29.6 | 6.3 |
Ipsos Perú/El Comercio[109] | 7–9 March 2018 | 1,264 | - | - | - | 17 | 9 | 16 | 6 | - | 3 | 10 | - | - | - | 2 | 7 | 25 | 5 |
Ipsos Perú/El Comercio[110] | 7–9 February 2018 | 1,263 | - | - | - | 21 | 8 | 13 | 5 | - | 4 | 11 | - | - | - | 3 | 6 | 17 | 12 |
CPI/Exitosa[111] | 4–9 February 2018 | 1,500 | - | - | - | 21.3 | 6.8 | 11.5 | 6.3 | - | 4.6 | 10.4 | - | - | - | 2.4 | 6.9 | 24.8 | 5.0 |
Ipsos Perú/El Comercio[112] | 10–12 January 2018 | 1,271 | - | - | - | 20 | 8 | 13 | 5 | - | 5 | 12 | - | - | - | 3 | 6 | 25 | 3 |
Datum/Perú 21/Gestión[113] | 5–9 January 2018 | 1,200 | - | - | - | 24 | 8 | 15 | 8 | - | 2 | - | - | - | - | 3 | 4 | 26 | 10 |
Ipsos Perú/El Comercio[114] | 13–15 December 2017 | 1,287 | - | - | - | 27 | 9 | 10 | 5 | - | 3 | 7 | - | - | - | 3 | 6 | 27 | 3 |
Congressional election
[edit]The following graph shows the weighted polls, and does not include voting simulations.
Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. Updates on reimplementing the Graph extension, which will be known as the Chart extension, can be found on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
Voting simulations
[edit]Pollster | Date | Sample size | PL |
FP |
RP |
AP |
APP |
Go on Country – Social Integration Party AvP |
JPP |
PDSP |
PP |
PM |
VN |
Agricultural People's Front of Peru FREPAP |
UPP |
PPC |
PNP |
FA |
DD |
RUNA |
PPS |
Contigo |
Blank / None |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Election results | 11 April 2021 | N/A | 13.4 | 11.3 | 9.3 | 9.0 | 7.5 | 7.5 | 6.6 | 6.1 | 5.8 | 5.4 | 5.0 | 4.6 | 2.1 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.1 | N/A |
CPI/Latina[115] (Valid votes) |
30 March–1 April 2021 | 1,600 | 7 | 8.4 | 5.7 | 17.8 | 6.1 | 6.4 | 7.8 | 8 | 3.7 | 5.2 | 5.7 | 9.3 | 2.2 | 2.1 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.0 | N/A |
CPI/Latina[116] (Cast votes) |
30 March–1 April 2021 | 1,600 | 3.9 | 4.7 | 3.2 | 10 | 3.4 | 3.6 | 4.4 | 4.5 | 2.1 | 2.9 | 3.2 | 5.2 | 1.2 | 1 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 43.9 |
Ipsos Perú/El Comercio[117] (Valid votes) |
31 March 2021 | 1,526 | 5.9 | 10.5 | 6 | 13.2 | 5.5 | 9.3 | 9.3 | 5.9 | 5.2 | 5.7 | 8.3 | 5 | 1.7 | 1.9 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.0 | N/A |
Ipsos Perú/El Comercio[118] (Cast votes) |
31 March 2021 | 1,526 | 4.1 | 7.2 | 4.1 | 10.7 | 3.8 | 6.4 | 6.4 | 4.1 | 3.6 | 3.9 | 5.7 | 3.4 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 1 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 31.4 |
CIT/Expreso[119] (Valid votes) |
30 March–1 April 2021 | 1,600 | 4 | 7.9 | 10.8 | 13.3 | 6.5 | 9.3 | 6.3 | 8.9 | 5.3 | 6.7 | 9.7 | 3.6 | 0.7 | 1.4 | 2.4 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 0.0 | N/A |
CIT/Expreso[120] (Cast votes) |
30 March–1 April 2021 | 1,600 | 2 | 4 | 5.4 | 6.7 | 3.3 | 4.7 | 3.2 | 4.5 | 2.7 | 3.4 | 4.9 | 1.8 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 49.6 |
Datum/Perú 21/Gestión[121] (Valid votes) |
27–29 March 2021 | 1,206 | 4.2 | 12.1 | 7.8 | 18.6 | 5.8 | 5.9 | 9.5 | 6.5 | 6.9 | 6.2 | 7.1 | 1.6 | 2 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.0 | N/A |
Datum/Perú 21/Gestión[121] (Cast votes) |
27–29 March 2021 | 1,206 | 1.8 | 5.2 | 3.3 | 8 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 4.4 | 2.8 | 2.9 | 2.6 | 3 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 57.3 |
Ipsos Perú/El Comercio[41] (Valid votes) |
10–11 March 2021 | 1,206 | 3.1 | 8.8 | 9.5 | 20.8 | 4.4 | 3.7 | 6.2 | 7.4 | 6.7 | 5.3 | 9.9 | 6.3 | 0.8 | 2.3 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 0.0 | N/A |
Ipsos Perú/El Comercio[41] (Cast votes) |
10–11 March 2021 | 1,206 | 1.9 | 5.6 | 6 | 13.2 | 2.8 | 2.4 | 3.9 | 4.7 | 4.3 | 3.3 | 6.3 | 4 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 1 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 36.5 |
Electoral polls
[edit]Pollster | Date | Sample size | PL |
FP |
RP |
AP |
APP |
Go on Country – Social Integration Party AvP |
JPP |
PDSP |
PP |
PM |
VN |
Agricultural People's Front of Peru FREPAP |
PPC |
PNP |
FA |
Other | Blank / None | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Election results | 11 April 2021 | N/A | 13.4 | 11.3 | 9.3 | 9.0 | 7.5 | 7.5 | 6.6 | 6.1 | 5.8 | 5.4 | 5.0 | 4.6 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 4.1 | N/A | N/A |
IEP/La República[122][a] | 1–2 April 2021 | 1,215 | 3.9 | 6.4 | 5.2 | 9.1 | 5 | 5.2 | 4 | 6.7 | 3.8 | 5.5 | 3.3 | 6.5 | 1.9 | 1 | 0.9 | 2.3 | 22.7 | 6.5 |
Ipsos Perú/El Comercio[123] | 31 March 2021 | 1,206 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 15 |
IEP/La República[124][a] | 22–25 March 2021 | 1,220 | 2.4 | 7.2 | 5.7 | 13.5 | 4.3 | 5.4 | 5.5 | 10.4 | 4.4 | 4.6 | 4 | 7.5 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 1.5 | 2.7 | 11.9 | 7 |
Datum/Perú 21/Gestión[125] | 18–21 March 2021 | 1,201 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 17 |
CPI/Latina[126] | 6–11 March 2021 | 1,300 | 2.7 | 4.7 | 2.4 | 8.6 | 3.2 | 1.3 | 3.6 | 8 | 2.3 | 2.1 | 2.9 | 6.6 | 1 | 1 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 19.5 | 28.7 |
Ipsos Perú/El Comercio[41] | 10–11 March 2021 | 1,206 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 13 |
IEP/La República[127][a] | 4–8 March 2021 | 1,220 | 1.8 | 7.6 | 6 | 13.2 | 5.5 | 3.3 | 4.2 | 8.4 | 3.8 | 5.5 | 2.6 | 7 | 1 | 0.5 | 2 | 4.9 | 0.8 | 23.7 |
Datum/Perú 21/Gestión[128] | 5–7 March 2021 | 1,200 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 26 |
IDICE/La Razón[56] | 3–5 March 2021 | 1,200 | 1.8 | 9.6 | 6.2 | 9.8 | 8.6 | 3 | 3.8 | 4.8 | 3 | 3.4 | 4.4 | 7.8 | 1 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 8.2 | 20.7 |
IEP/La República[57][a] | 19–23 February 2021 | 1,220 | 2.1 | 5.5 | 3.5 | 12.5 | 3.9 | 3.6 | 4 | 9.5 | 4.7 | 8.4 | 2 | 8.3 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 4.2 | 1.1 | 22.3 |
CPI/Correo[129] | 17–19 February 2021 | 1,200 | 0.6 | 4.8 | 1 | 4.7 | 2.5 | 1.2 | 2.7 | 4.4 | 2.5 | 2.4 | 3.3 | 2.2 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 1 | 20.6 | 44.2 |
Datum/Perú 21/Gestión[130] | 9–12 February 2021 | 1,200 | 1.2 | 6 | 1.2 | 15 | 5 | 1.1 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 1.5 | 6 | 2 | 0.8 | 1 | 9.9 | 10 | 24 |
Ipsos Perú/El Comercio[61] | 10–11 February 2021 | 1,219 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 18 |
IEP/La República[131][b] | 21–27 January 2021 | 1,205 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 0.8 | 3.3 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 1 | 4.9 | 1.9 | 5.7 | 0.9 | 2.4 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 2.3 | 30.2 | 39.8 |
CPI/Correo[132] | 21–25 January 2021 | 1,200 | 0.3 | 3.7 | 0.4 | 4.6 | 2.3 | 1.6 | 3 | 5.5 | 3 | 3.6 | 2.6 | 4.1 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 3.4 | 22.3 | 38.6 |
Ipsos Perú/El Comercio[66] | 13–15 January 2021 | 1,210 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 14 | 20 |
Datum/Perú 21/Gestión[133] | 8–12 January 2021 | 1,206 | 0.9 | 6 | 1 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 0.5 | 4 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 2 | 3.5 | 25 | 26 |
Ipsos Perú/El Comercio[70] | 10–11 December 2020 | 1,200 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 16 | 17 |
IEP/La República[71][b] | 1–8 December 2020 | 1,225 | 0.3 | 3.3 | 0.2 | 4.1 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 8.3 | 1.2 | 12.9 | 0.8 | 2.9 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 4.1 | 24.8 | 33 |
Notes
[edit]- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l Answer with card/options.
- ^ a b c d e f Spontaneous response.
- ^ The poll includes Martín Vizcarra (President of Peru) as a candidate. However, he is not allowed to contest the election because an immediate re-election is forbidden in Peru. An intention to vote for him is included here under "Other".
- ^ The poll includes Antauro Humala as a candidate. However, he is not allowed to contest the election because of his detention for homicide. An intention to vote for him is included here under "Other".
References
[edit]- ^ Asensio, Raúl; Camacho, Gabriela; González, Natalia; Grompone, Romeo; Pajuelo Teves, Ramón; Peña Jimenez, Omayra; Moscoso, Macarena; Vásquez, Yerel; Sosa Villagarcia, Paolo (August 2021). El Profe: Cómo Pedro Castillo se convirtió en presidente del Perú y qué pasará a continuación (in Spanish) (1 ed.). Lima, Peru: Institute of Peruvian Studies. pp. 27–71. ISBN 978-612-326-084-2. Retrieved 17 November 2021.
- ^ a b c d Asensio, Raúl; Camacho, Gabriela; González, Natalia; Grompone, Romeo; Pajuelo Teves, Ramón; Peña Jimenez, Omayra; Moscoso, Macarena; Vásquez, Yerel; Sosa Villagarcia, Paolo (August 2021). El Profe: Cómo Pedro Castillo se convirtió en presidente del Perú y qué pasará a continuación (in Spanish) (1 ed.). Lima, Peru: Institute of Peruvian Studies. pp. 27–71. ISBN 978-612-326-084-2. Retrieved 17 November 2021.
- ^ "Último simulacro publicable El Comercio-Ipsos: Pedro Castillo obtiene 49,1% y Keiko Fujimori 51,9%". elcomercio.pe (in Spanish). Retrieved 30 May 2021.
- ^ a b "Último simulacro publicable El Comercio-Ipsos: Pedro Castillo obtiene 51,1% y Keiko Fujimori 48,9%". elcomercio.pe (in Spanish). Retrieved 30 May 2021.
- ^ a b "Keiko Fujimori supera a Castillo". expreso.com.pe (in Spanish). Retrieved 30 May 2021.
- ^ a b "CPI: Pedro Castillo obtiene el 41% y Keiko Fujimori le sigue con el 40.2% a una semana de las elecciones". elcomercio.pe (in Spanish). Retrieved 30 May 2021.
- ^ a b c "Datum: Pedro Castillo cae a 42.6%, mientras que Keiko Fujimori sube a 41.7% en tercer simulacro". peru21.pe. 28 May 2021.
- ^ a b "Encuesta CIT: Keiko con 40% y Castillo con 41.9%". expreso.com.pe (in Spanish). Retrieved 27 May 2021.
- ^ a b "Simulacro Ipsos: Pedro Castillo obtiene 52,6% y Keiko Fujimori 47,4% de votos válidos". elcomercio.pe (in Spanish). Retrieved 23 May 2021.
- ^ a b c "Simulacro Datum: Pedro Castillo sube punto y medio, Keiko Fujimori baja uno y voto blanco crece uno". peru21.pe. 21 May 2021.
- ^ a b c "Simulacro El Comercio–Ipsos: Empate estadístico entre Pedro Castillo (51,1%) y Keiko Fujimori (48,9%)". elcomercio.pe (in Spanish). Retrieved 16 May 2021.
- ^ a b c "Datum: Castillo tiene 44% y Keiko alcanza 41% en primer simulacro de votación". gestion.pe. 14 May 2021.
- ^ Marco Aquino and Marcelo Rochabrun (5 June 2021). [reuters.com/world/americas/ipsos-poll-shows-tie-eve-perus-election-with-fujimori-slightly-ahead-2021-06-05/ "Ipsos poll shows tie on eve of Peru's election, with Fujimori slightly ahead"]. Reuters. Retrieved 6 June 2021.
{{cite web}}
: Check|url=
value (help) - ^ "Encuestas en Perú pronostican empate técnico de cara a segunda vuelta electoral". wradio.com.co. 5 June 2021.
- ^ "Keiko sobrepasó a Pedro Castillo por cuatro puntos". larazon.pe. Retrieved 31 May 2021.
- ^ "Encuesta IEP: Pedro Castillo supera a Keiko Fujimori por más de 10 puntos". larepublica.pe (in Spanish). 23 May 2021.
- ^ "Encuesta IEP: Pedro Castillo supera a Keiko Fujimori por más de 10 puntos". larepublica.pe (in Spanish). 23 May 2021.
- ^ "Keiko confirma la tendencia y logra superar a Castillo". larazon.pe (in Spanish). 20 May 2021.
- ^ "Encuesta IEP: Pedro Castillo baja y Keiko Fujimori se le acerca en las preferencias". larepublica.pe (in Spanish). 16 May 2021.
- ^ "Encuesta Nacional del 12 al 14 de Mayo Perú Urbano-Rural - Elecciones Generales 2021" (PDF). cpi.pe (in Spanish). 17 May 2021.
- ^ "Encuesta 2da Vuelta, CIT – 11 Mayo 2021". encuetas.com.pe (in Spanish). 11 May 2021. Retrieved 11 May 2021.
- ^ "CPI: Pedro Castillo obtiene 34.2 % de intención de voto y Keiko Fujimori acorta distancia al tener 32 %". rpp.pe (in Spanish). 10 May 2021.
- ^ "Encuesta IEP: Pedro Castillo baja y Keiko Fujimori se le acerca en las preferencias". larepublica.pe (in Spanish). 25 April 2021.
- ^ "Datum: Pedro Castillo lidera intención de voto, pero diferencia con Keiko Fujimori se acorta a cinco puntos". rpp.pe (in Spanish). 7 May 2021.
- ^ a b "Encuesta Ipsos en Cuarto Poder: Pedro Castillo lidera las preferencias con 43 % y Keiko alcanza 34 %". elcomercio.pe (in Spanish). 2 May 2021. Retrieved 2 May 2021.
- ^ "Keiko Fujimori crece 8 puntos y acorta la distancia con Pedro Castillo". rpp.pe (in Spanish). 22 April 2021.
- ^ "Keiko Fujimori se acerca a izquierdista Pedro Castillo". larazon.pe (in Spanish). 24 April 2021.
- ^ "CPI: Pedro Castillo lidera la intención de voto con el 35.5% y Keiko Fujimori obtiene el 23.1%". rpp.pe (in Spanish). 26 April 2021.
- ^ "IEP: IEP: Pedro Castillo gana por casi el doble a Keiko Fujimori en segunda vuelta". larepublica.pe (in Spanish). 25 April 2021.
- ^ "Datum: Pedro Castillo obtiene 41% de intención de voto y Keiko Fujimori alcanza 26%". rpp.pe (in Spanish). 22 April 2021.
- ^ "Encuesta Ipsos en Cuarto Poder: Pedro Castillo lidera las preferencias con 42% y Fujimori alcanza 31%". elcomercio.pe (in Spanish). 18 April 2021. Retrieved 18 April 2021.
- ^ CPI (4 April 2021). "Simulación de votación con uso de cédula y ánfora: Elecciones Generales 2021" (PDF). cpi.pe.
- ^ CPI (4 April 2021). "Simulación de votación con uso de cédula y ánfora: Elecciones Generales 2021" (PDF). cpi.pe.
- ^ El Comercio, Jonathan Castro (4 April 2021). "Elecciones 2021: De Soto escala al segundo lugar en la recta final". elcomercio.pe.
- ^ El Comercio, Jonathan Castro (4 April 2021). "Elecciones 2021: De Soto escala al segundo lugar en la recta final". elcomercio.pe.
- ^ "Encuesta Presidencial, CIT – 03 Abril 2021". encuestas.com.pe. 3 April 2021.
- ^ "Encuesta Presidencial, CIT – 03 Abril 2021". encuestas.com.pe. 3 April 2021.
- ^ a b Gestión, Raúl Castro (1 April 2021). "Cinco candidatos en dura disputa por pasar a segunda vuelta". gestion.pe.
- ^ "Encuesta Presidencial, CIT – 25 Marzo 2021". encuestas.com.pe. 26 March 2021.
- ^ "Encuesta Presidencial, CIT – 25 Marzo 2021". encuestas.com.pe. 26 March 2021.
- ^ a b c d e f El Comercio, Jonathan Castro (14 March 2021). "Primer simulacro de votación de El Comercio-Ipsos muestra una reñida disputa por el segundo lugar". elcomercio.pe.
- ^ "IEP: empate quíntuple en primer lugar de intención de voto presidencial". larepublica.pe. 4 April 2021. Retrieved 4 April 2021.
- ^ "Encuesta Presidencial, IDICE – 03 Abril 2021". encuestas.com.pe. 3 April 2021.
- ^ El Comercio, Jonathan Castro (4 April 2021). "Elecciones 2021: De Soto escala al segundo lugar en la recta final". elcomercio.pe.
- ^ "Encuesta IEP: Lescano pierde impulso y hay pugna por la segunda vuelta". larepublica.pe. 28 March 2021. Retrieved 28 March 2021.
- ^ "Encuesta Presidencial, IDICE – 27 de Marzo". encuestas.com.pe. 27 March 2021.
- ^ "Encuesta Presidencial, CPI – 26 Marzo 2021". encuestas.com.pe. 26 March 2021.
- ^ "Lescano mantiene la punta y crece lucha por el segundo lugar". gestion.pe. 23 March 2021.
- ^ "Encuesta por Radio Latina a Nivel Nacional - Noticias". radiolatina.com.pe. 20 March 2021.
- ^ "Encuesta Presidencial, IDICE – 19 de Marzo". encuestas.com.pe. 19 March 2021.
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