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Opinion polling for the 2015 Croatian parliamentary election

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Opinion polling for the 2015 Croatian parliamentary election started immediately after the 2011 general election. Monthly party ratings are conducted by Ipsos Puls, Mediana and Promocija Plus.

The poll results below are listed by category and ordered in reverse chronological order. Major political events are indicated chronologically between individual polls.

Opinion polling

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Exit polls

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Date Polling Organisation/Client Sample size Croatia is Growing Patriotic Coalition Most IDS Human Blockade Milan Bandić 365 HDSSB ORaH Successful Croatia
8 November 2015 Ipsos puls 34,353 56 57 17 3 3 2 2 0 0

Graphical summary

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15-day average trend line of poll results from December 2011 to present, with each line corresponding to a political party.

If the Elections Were Held Today?

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Date Polling Firm Croatia is Growing HDZ coalition LAB ORaH NF SzH Most MB 365 ŽZ Others Undecided Lead
27 Oct telegram.hr 30.1 30.9 (Kuk) - - - - - - - - 0.8
21 Oct Promocija Plus 30.1 32.9 (Kuk) 2.5 - - 6.2 2.7 3.8 8.9 12.9 2.8
04 Oct Promocija plus 31.9 32.9 (Kuk) 4.4 - - 4.7 1.6 3.4 7.3 13.9 1.0
25 Sep IPSOS PULS 29.1 33.0 (Kuk) 4.1 - - 3.4 4.5 7.3 10.2 8.4 3.9
04 Sep Promocija plus 31.1 32.8 (Kuk) 4.4 - - 3.4 1.8 4.0 7.8 14.6 1.7
25 Aug IPSOS PULS 28.2 34.0 - 3.0 - - 2.9 3.8 7.1 10.6 10.4 5.8
22 Aug Mediana 31.7 30.3 - 7.8 - - - 2.9 3.4 - - 1.4
03 Aug Promocija plus 30.1 32.7 (Kuk) 5.4 - - 1.8 2.4 5.7 8.4 13.5 2.6
24 Jul IPSOS PULS 28.0 32.3 - 3.4 - - 2.8 3.0 8.5 5.3 11.8 4.3
Jul Mediana 28.9 28.6 - 6.6 - - - 4.0 4.8 - - 0.3
04 Jul Promocija plus 28.3 30.7 1.6 5.7 - - 3.1 2.7 5.3 8.8 13.7 2.4
24 Jun IPSOS PULS 30.5 29.8 - 5.1 - - 3.3 3.1 7.4 9.7 11.1 0.7
05 Jun Promocija plus 27.1 31.2 1.4 4.8 - - 3.7 2.5 5.5 10.3 13.5 4.1
25 May IPSOS PULS 26.0 30.1 - 6.9 - - 3.5 4.2 8.5 8.5 12.3 4.1
13 May Mediana 26.5 32.3 - 2.9 - - 1.2 0.3 3.3 16.7 16.7 5.8
5 May Promocija plus 26.4 32.5 1.5 6.2 - - 3.1 2.6 5.5 6.7 15.5 6.1
24 Apr IPSOS PULS 22.3 33.8 - 6.6 - - 3.7 2.8 15.9 7.8 7.1 11.5
03 Apr Promocija plus 27.8 33.5 2.0 6.8 - - - 1.2 7.7 6.8 14.3 5.7
25 Mar IPSOS PULS 25.6 31.3 2.2 9.4 - - - 3.0 12.1 7.4 9.0 5.7
05 Mar Promocija plus 27.8 33.7 1.0 6.9 - - - 1.5 7.2 6.3 15.6 5.9
25 Feb IPSOS PULS 24.8 31.9 1.5 10.4 - 1.8 - 2.1 14.9 3.9 8.7 7.1
05 Feb Promocija plus 27.2 32.7 1.3 10.8 - 3.6 - 1.5 8.6 2.3 12.1 5.5
26 Jan IPSOS PULS 25.1 31.0 - 13.0 - 2.1 - 2.9 11.7 6.1 8.0 5.9
07 Jan Promocija plus 25.9 33.0 1.7 11.4 - 3.9 - 1.2 7.8 2.3 12.3 7.1
2015
18 Dec IPSOS PULS 23.5 33.5 4.7 16.1 - 5.9 - 3.2 - 4.3 8.7 10.0
05 Dec Promocija plus 24.8 31.2 2.5 15.0 - 7.1 - 1.9 - - - 6.4
25 Nov IPSOS PULS 20.5 30.3 3.5 19.4 - 4.2 - 3.0 - 7.4 11.6 9.8
07 Nov Promocija plus 25.0 31.0 2.0 15.7 - 5.9 - 2.3 - - - 6.0
24 Oct IPSOS PULS 22.5 31.7 2.4 18.9 - 4.0 - 4.7 - 4.1 11.3 9.2
7 Oct Promocija plus 23.3 30.5 2.4 17.4 - 6.4 - 2.4 - - - 7.2
25 Sep IPSOS PULS 21.9 31.7 4.2 19.9 - 5.2 - 3.9 - 4.5 8.1 9.8
5 Sep Promocija plus 24.9 30.5 2.8 15.4 0.7 6.3 - 2.0 - 1.9 14.6 5.6
25 Aug IPSOS PULS 21.6 29.7 5.8 15.7 - 3.6 - 6.1 - 5.7 11.8 8.1
5 Aug Promocija plus 24.1 28.8 3.1 13.6 1.7 5.5 - 2.4 - 3.8 17.0 4.7
24 Jul IPSOS PULS 23.2 30.4 5.2 15.3 - 6.1 - 4.8 - 5.1 9.9 7.2
4 Jul Promocija plus 23.3 28.3 2.5 13.4 - 5.6 - - - - - 5.0
25 Jun IPSOS PULS 23.4 32.5 4.5 13.6 2.6 6.4 - 4.7 - 2.3 10.0 9.1
7 Jun Promocija plus 24.6 28.2 4.2 12.9 - 7.0 - - - - - 3.6
16 May IPSOS PULS 22.0 27.0 9.8 12.7 3.5 6.1 - 2.9 - 4.7 11.3 5.0
4 May Promocija plus 25.4 26.1 8.1 10.0 5.1 6.8 - - - - - 0.7
25 Apr IPSOS PULS 23.7 25.1 10.0 10.2 4.5 6.1 - 4.0 - 3.3 13.1 1.4
5 Apr Promocija plus 26.5 23.9 8.5 9.3 6.9 7.0 - 1.5 - 2.0 12.6 2.6
25 Mar IPSOS PULS 26.0 24.0 10.2 8.5 5.4 7.4 - 4.5 - 3.3 11.4 2.0
6 Mar Promocija plus 27.9 23.2 7.2 6.8 6.3 5.9 - 1.8 - 2.1 18.9 4.7
25 Feb IPSOS PULS 27.1 25.4 9.7 5.3 2.8 6.3 - 3.5 - 4.9 13.5 1.7
8 Feb Promocija plus 28.0 23.4 6.8 2.9 3.7 - - 1.6 - 7.7 24.7 4.6
6 Jan Promocija plus 29.1 24.2 6.9 2.5 2.4 - - 2.3 - 7.7 24.1 4.9
2014

Seats projections (76 needed for majority)

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Date Polling Organisation/Client Croatia is Growing HDZ coalition Labour ORaH HDSSB Most Milan Bandić 365 IDS Human Blockade Successful Croatia Partnership of Croatian Center Alliance for Croatia Others
2 November 2015 Ipsos puls 60 57 (Croatia is Growing) 0 2 12 3 3 3 0 - - 0
3–21 October 2015 Promocija Plus 60 63 (Croatia is Growing) 1 3 5 3 3 1 1 - - 0
September 2015 Ipsos puls 53 (35,1%) 51 (33,8%) (Kukuriku) 12 (8%) 4 (2,7%) 6 4 2 8 0 - - 0
27 Mar 2014 Politika 43 (29.4%) 40 (27.1%) 16 (11.5%) 14 (9.6%) (Alliance for Croatia) - - (Kukuriku) - - 8 (6.1%) 12 (8.3%) 0
4 Dec 2011 Results of the 2011 Croatian parliamentary election 81 49 6 - 6 - - (Kukuriku) - - - - 9

2014

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Date Polling Organisation/Client Sample size Kukuriku coalition HDZ coalition Alliance for Croatia Labour Grubišić et al HSLS ORaH NF IL MB Other Undecided
SDP HNS-LD HSU IDS HDZ HSS HSP-AS BUZ HDSSB HSP HRAST Hrvatska Zora
4 Jul CRO Demoskop [1] 1,300 23.3% 28.3% 5.6% 2.5% 0.8% 1.1% 12.6% 0.8% 2.3% 2.3% 17.9%
19.1% 3.0% 0.7% 1.2% 23.1% 2.9% 2.2% 0.5% 2.0% 1.5% 1.8% 1.5%
25 Jun Ipsos Puls for Nova TV [2] 1,300 23.4% 32.5% 6.4% 4.5% - - 13.8% - 3.3% 7.7% 10.7%
17.4% 2.3% - - 25.5% 3.6% 2.5% 3.7% 2.7% - 2.7% -
7 Jun CRO Demoskop [3] 1,300 24.6% 28.2% 7.0% 4.2% - - 12.3% - - 3.0% 14.5%
19.6% 2.9% - - 22.9% 2.9% - - - - - -
25 May Major opposition party HDZ in coalition with HSS and HSP-AS received 41.4% of votes on European Parliament election May 2014.The Kukuriku coalition gathered around the main ruling party SDP won 30% of votes.[4]
16 May Ipsos Puls [5] 1,000 22.0% 27.0% 6.1% 7.3% 1.3% <1.0% 11.9% 2.5% 2.2% 2.9% 11.7%
18.9% 1.2% 1.9% 1.5% 23.3% 1.9% 1.6% 2.1% 2.4% 1.6% 1.7% <1.0%
4 May CRO Demoskop [6] 1,300 25.4% 26.1% 6.8% 7.4% 0.8% 1.4% 9.9% 3.3% 1.6% 3.0% 14.5%
19.7% 3.4% 0.8% 1.2% 20.2% 3.3% 1.8% - 2.4% 1.4% 2.0% 2.0%
25 Apr Ipsos Puls for NovaTV [7] 1,000 23.7% 25.1% 6.1% 8.8% 1.3% 1.2% 10.8% 2.0% 2.8% 4.8% 13.8%
19.7% 1.5% 1.5% 0.8% 19.8% 2.6% 2.0% 1.6% 3.0% 2.1% 2.0% 1.4%
5 Apr CRO Demoskop [8] 1,300 26.5% 23.9% 7.0% 7.4% 0.7% 1.5% 7.8% 4.0% 1.5% 1.3% 12.6%
20.7% 4.0% 1.2% 1.3% 20.2% 2.6% 1.9% <1.0% 2.3% 1.6% 1.3% <1.0%
25 Mar Ipsos Puls for NovaTV [9] 1,000 26.0% 24.0% 7.4% 8.7% 0.8% 2.0% 7.5% 3.3% 3.6% 1.4% 12.7%
20.3% 2.3% 1.3% 1.4% 20.4% 1.1% 2.2% 3.6% 3.3% 1.7% 1.3% 0.9%
11 Mar Major opposition party Croatian Democratic Union (HDZ) and former Prime Minister and leader of HDZ Ivo Sanader were found guilty of corruption.[4]
5 Mar CRO Demoskop [10] 1,300 27.9% 23.2% 5.9% 7.2% <1.0%% 1.2% 6.8% 4.4% 1.7% 1.7% 18.5%
22.5% 4.9% 1.7% 1.2% 20.2% 2.3% <1.0% 2.1% 1.6% 1.2% 0.7%
1 Mar NF and the HSLS signed an agreement on joint participation in the elections for the European Parliament and formed partnership of Croatian center. Alliance of Primorje-Gorski Kotar (PGS) announced to join this coalition.[11]
25 Feb Ipsos Puls for NovaTV [12] 1,000 27.1% 25.4% 6.3% 9.7% 1.9% 1.0% 5.3% 3.2% 3.5% 6.4% 13.5%
22.2% 4.0% 2.1% 2.2% 20.7% 2.2% 3.0% 1.8% 3.7% 1.6% 0.8%
20 Feb Member of Croatian Parliament Natalija Martinčević and former CEO of HEP were expelled from HNS-LD.[13]
8 Feb CRO Demoskop [14] 1,300 28.0% 23.4% 5.7% 6.8% 1.0% 1.2% 2.9% 3.7% 1.6% 1.5% 20.8%
23.4% 4.0% 1.2% 1.1% 20.5% 2.7% 2.2% <1% 2.1% 1.7% 1.4% 0.5%
5 Feb Leaders of eight right-wing parties formed the Alliance for Croatia, the Alliance consists of HDSSB, HSP, HRAST, Hrvatska Zora, A-HSS and other minor right wing parties.[15]
25 Jan Ipsos Puls for NovaTV [16] 1,000 29.4% 29.6% 4.4% 10.5% 3.7% 1.8% 3.7% 15.8%
22.7% 3.4% 1.8% 1.5% 21.0% 3.4% 3.7% 1.5% 2.2% 2.2%
15 Jan Former President of the HNS-LD, and First Deputy Prime Minister Radimir Čačić was expelled from the party.[17]
6 Jan CRO Demoskop [18] 1,300 29.1% 24.2% 5.7% 6.9% 1.1% 1.4% 2.5% 2.4% 2.3% 1.3% 19.5%
23.9% 4.9% 1.3% 1.3% 20.8% 2.9% 2.0% <1.0% 2.3% 2.1% 1.3% <1.0%

2013

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Date Polling Organisation/Client Sample size Kukuriku coalition HDZ coalition Labour HDSSB Grubišić et al HSP HSLS ORaH NF IL MB HRAST Other Undecided
SDP HNS-LD HSU IDS HDZ HSS HSP-AS BUZ
26 Dec Ipsos Puls for NovaTV [19] 1,000 30.7% 29.5% 10.0% 4.0% 3.3% 2.2% 2.2% 2.6% 16.0%
24.0% 4.0% 1.2% 1.5% 21.0% 2.7% 3.3% 2.5%
5 Dec CRO Demoskop [20] 1,300 31.2% 26.3% 7.7% 1.9% 1.4% 1.8% 1.4% 2.2% 0.9% 1.4% 0.9% 2.6% 20.4%
24.3% 5.1% 0.5% 1.3% 21.1% 3.2% 2.0% <1%
25 Nov Ipsos Puls for NovaTV [21] 1,000 35.8% 28.7% 10.0% 3.2% 1.8% <1% 2.7% 3.1% 12.6%
26.4% 4.7% 2.2% 2.5% 20.2% 3.9% 3.2% 1.4%
3 Nov CRO Demoskop [22] 1,300 28.9% 25.2% 7.5% 1.8% 1.5% 1.9% 1.7% 5.1% 22.2%
24.1% 4.8% 1.4% 1.4% 21.6% 2.7% 2.3% <1%
29 Oct Mirela Holy, member of parliament and former minister of environment and nature protection and former member of SDP founded party ORaH
26 Oct Ipsos Puls for Nova TV [23] 961 31.7% 28.5% 8.0% 3.2% 4.2% 2.7% 2.7% 2.9% 15.3%
24.0% 4.4% 2.2% 1.1% 21% 2.2% 3.1% 2.2%
5 Oct CRO Demoskop [24] 1,300 32.6% 28.8% 7.0% 2.4% 1.3% 1.8% 1.3% 3.2% 22.6%
25.0% 5.0% 1.3% 1.3% 21.9% 3.1% 2.1% 0.9%
25 Sep Ipsos Puls for Nova TV [25] 961 35.8% 30.8% 9.9% 2.1% 2.7% 2.9% 1.8% 1.2% 12.4%
25.8% 5.6% 2.4% 1.3% 20.5% 3.0% 5.5% 1.8%
7 Sep CRO Demoskop [26] 1,300 31.2% 28.1% 6.9% 2.4% 1.3% 1.8% 1.3% 3.2% 22.6%
25.3% 4.9% 1.3% 1.3% 22.0% 3.1% 2.1% 0.9%
26 Aug Ipsos Puls for Nova TV [27] 961 30.1% 31.8% 10.6% 3.7% 1.7% 1.9% 1.3% 1.5% 13.4%
25.4% 3.4% <0.2% 1.3% 20.3% 4.4% 4.0% 3.1%
4 Aug CRO Demoskop [28] 1,300 32.9% 26.8% 6.9% 2.1% 1.3% 1.8% 1.4%
25.4% 5.1% 1.1% 1.3% 21.8% 2.9% 2.1% <2%
24 Jul Ipsos Puls for Nova TV [29] 971 38.6% 30.6% 7.6% 3.3% 3.3% 2.4% 2.2% 1.9% 9.4%
30.4% 4.9% 2% 1.3% 22.1% 3.3% 3.3% 1.9%
19 Jul HDZ and HSS sign coalition agreement and announce their intention to form a coalition for the next general election.
Date Polling Organisation/Client Sample size Kukuriku coalition HDZ coalition Labour HDSSB Grubišić et al HSS HSP HSLS Other Undecided
SDP HNS-LD HSU IDS HDZ HSP-AS BUZ
5 Jul CRO Demoskop [30] 1,300 28.3% 21.1% 7.5% <2% <2% 2.1% <2% <2% 25.3%
23.9% 4.4% <2% <2% 21.1% <2% <2%
1 Jul Croatia becomes the 28th member of the European Union.
24 Jun Ipsos Puls for Nova TV [31] 968 34.8% 28.7% 8.7% 2.9% 3.1% 2.4% 1.3% 1.1% 5.2% 11.8%
26.8% 4.1% 1.7% 2.2% 22.5% 4.2% 2%
21 Jun Former SDP minister Mirela Holy leaves the party because of severe disagreement with the PM over the climate and energy policy of the cabinet.[32]
14 Jun A socially conservative civil group, opposing the governing coalitions' affirmative same-sex marriage stance, brings over 700,000 signatures to Parliament with the intention of constitutionally defining marriage as a union between a man and a woman. The number of signatures is enough to trigger a binding referendum.[33]
5 Jun CRO Demoskop [34] 1,300 30.7% 23.6% 8.8% 1.9% 1.5% 2.8% 1.6% 1.4% 2.5% 25.3%
23.9% 4.2% 1.3% 1.3% 20.8% 1.8% 1.0%
2 Jun Second round of the nationwide quadrennial local elections is held. SDP wins most major cities, including Split, Rijeka and Osijek, but loses Zagreb to its former member. HDZ wins the majority of counties, but loses all major cities apart from Zadar.
27 May Ipsos Puls for Nova TV [35] 969 31.5% 26.7% 13.1% 2.6% 2.7% 3.9% 1.6% 0.8% 2.4% 13.9%
23.8% 4.4% 2.5% 0.8% 21.5% 3.1% 2.1%
5 May CRO Demoskop [36][37] 1,300 31.1% 23.3% 9.0% 2.3% 2.0% 2.6% 2.0% 1.6% 3.0% 23.2%
24.8% 3.3% 1.6% 1.4% 19.5% 2.5% 1.3%
24 Apr Ipsos Puls for Nova TV [38] 1,000 29.1% 26.1% 11.2% 3.4% 3.7% 3.7% 3.2% 1.8% 1.8% 15.9%
23.1% 2.9% 1.9% 1.2% 19.6% 3.1% 3.4%
14 Apr The 2013 special European Parliament election is held. HDZ coalition wins an unexpected razor thin plurality over the SDP coalition.
7 Apr CRO Demoskop [39] 1,300 30.9% 21.6% 9.2% 2.7% 2.0% 2.8% 1.8% 1.8% 1.7% 24.9%
25.0% 2.8% 1.7% 1.4% 18.8% 1.7% 1.1%
25 Mar Ipsos Puls for Nova TV [40] 971 32.6% 21.9% 11.8% 4.4% 4.0% 4.0% 2.5% 1.9% 3.3% 13.6%
26.0% 2.4% 2.1% 2.1% 17.0% 2.5% 2.4%
10 Mar Croatian and Slovenian Prime Ministers sign a memorandum settling the final hurdle in the Croatian EU ratification process.[41]
9 Mar Minister of Tourism is forced to resign, after it is revealed he is a subject of investigation over his family's past real estate affairs.[42]
3 Mar CRO Demoskop [43] 1,300 30.3% 21.4% 9.7% 3.1% 2.0% 2.6% 1.8% 1.8% 1.7% 25.6%
25.2% 2.6% 1.4% 1.1% 18.8% 1.6% 1.0%
1 Mar Former Prime Minister and HDZ leader Jadranka Kosor is expelled from the party by its High Court of Honor and she becomes an independent member of parliament which reduces the main opposition party's parliamentary club to 41 members.[44]
28 Feb Former Defence Minister and Economy Minister Branko Vukelić leaves HDZ to become an independent member of parliament.[45]
25 Feb Ipsos Puls for Nova TV [46] 950 33.1% 27.4% 9.1% 4.3% 3.5% 3.2% 2.8% 1.5% 2.2% 13.4%
27.0% 1.7% 2.7% 1.7% 20.0% 3.3% 4.1%
6 Feb CRO Demoskop [20] 1,300 31.7% 20.6% 9.8% 3.3% 2.5% 2.9% 2.4% 2.1% 2.8% 22.9%
25.7% 3.2% 1.7% 1.1% 19.1% 1.5%
25 Jan Ipsos Puls for Nova TV [47] 951 30% 19.3% 9.2% 3.8% 4.1% 2.5% 2.7% <2% 10.9% 17%
27.1% 2.9% <2% <2% 19.3% <2% <2%
6 Jan CRO Demoskop [20] 1,300 32.4% 21% 9.7% 2.6% 2.2% 3% 2.4% 1.7% 3.7% 21.4%
26% 3.2% 1.9% 1.3% 19.2% 1.8% <2%

2012

[edit]
Date Polling Organisation/Client Sample size Kukuriku coalition HDZ coalition Labour HDSSB Grubišić et al HSS HSP HSLS Other Undecided
SDP HNS-LD HSU IDS HDZ HSP-AS BUZ
23 Dec Ipsos Puls for Nova TV [48] 968 34.2% 22.6% 9.9% 2.4% 3.4% 4.1% 2.6% 2.3% 4% 15.9%
26.6% 2.7% 3.5% 1.4% 19% 1.3% 2.3%
14 Dec Standard & Poor's downgrades the Croatian credit rating to junk status.[49]
13 Dec Interior Minister Ranko Ostojić orders an investigation over a spying scandal which involved Tomislav Karamarko ordering the tracking of the Attorney General Mladen Bajić and several prominent journalists during his tenure as Minister of the Interior.[50]
4 Dec CRO Demoskop [20] 1,300 32.6% 21.8% 10.2% 2.8% 2.2% 3% 1.8% 1.5% 2.4% 21.8%
26.5% 3.3% 1.6% 1.2% 19.3% 2.1% 0.4%
26 Nov Croatian Democratic Union (HDZ), Croatian Party of Rights dr. Ante Starčević (HSP-AS) and Bloc Pensioners Together (BUZ) sign a coalition agreement.[51][52]
Date Polling Organisation/Client Sample size Kukuriku coalition HDZ coalition Labour HDSSB Grubišić et al HSS HSP-AS HSP HSLS BUZ Other Undecided
SDP HNS-LD HSU IDS HDZ
26 Nov Ipsos Puls for Nova TV[53] 964 35.2% 20.2% 10.7% 3.1% 3.5% 3.4% 3.3% 8.6% 12.9%
29.1% 2.2% 3% 20.2%
20 Nov Former Prime Minister and leader of HDZ Ivo Sanader is sentenced to ten years in prison for taking bribes from two foreign companies in the first of three corruption trials against him.[54]
19 Nov Finance minister Slavko Linić presents the 2013 budget, announcing further, albeit less than expected cuts.[55]
16 Nov Ante Gotovina and Mladen Markač, two prominent generals who fought in the Croatian War of Independence and were accused of war crimes, are found innocent by ICTY and are immediately released from prison.[56]
14 Nov Vice Premier and leader of the second largest governing party Radimir Čačić resigns on both functions after he is sentenced to 22 months in prison because of a car crash he caused, which resulted in the death of two people in Hungary.[57]
4 Nov CRO Demoskop [20] 1,300 32.8% 19.2% 9.6% 2.7% 2.5% 3.1% 2.4% 2% 1.3% (<1.5%) 3.2% 21.4%
27.3% 3.2% 1.1% 1.2% 19.2%
25 Oct Leader of the Opposition Tomislav Karamarko comes under growing pressure from the Prime Minister, members of Parliament and the media for seeming to know the details of the investigation against members of organized crime conducted in secrecy. Meanwhile, Jutarnji list runs a developing story accusing Karamarko and Večernji list for allegedly trying to create a fake political scandal and discredit the Prime Minister and the Minister of the Interior.[58]
23 Oct Ipsos Puls for Nova TV[59] 967 35.9% 18.1% 10.4% 5.1% 3.3% 3% 0.8% 2.6% 1.7% 2.3% 2.5% 14.3%
29.1% 2.7% 2.9% 1.2% 18.1%
20 Oct Right-leaning Večernji list publishes a story accusing the police and Interior Minister Ranko Ostojić for illegally tracking phone listings of operatives of the Security and Intelligence Agency (SOA). Left-leaning Jutarnji list reacts with claims that intelligence operatives were tracked because they were suspected of contacts with the mafia. Two days later President Josipović and Prime Minister Milanović hold a joint press conference where they announce major changes in SOA leadership.[60]
5 Oct CRO Demoskop [37] 1,300 31.6% 19.5% 9.5% 2.7% 2.3% 2.6% 2% 2.1% 1.3% (<2%) 6.3% 23.3%
26.7% 3% 0.9% 1% 19.5%
25 Sep Ipsos Puls for Nova TV[61] 1,000 32.7% 21% 9.7% 3.5% 2.7% 4.2% (<2%) 3.4% (<2%) 2.4% 6.0% 14.4%
28% 1.8% 2.9% 21%
5 Sep CRO Demoskop [62] 1,300 30.6% 19.2% 8.2% 3.0% 2.4% 2.7% 2.1% 2.0% 1.6% (<2%) 7.0% 22.7%
26.6% 4% (<2%) (<2%) 19.2%
25 Aug Ipsos Puls for Nova TV[63] 1,000 30.5% 20.2% 8.1% 3.3% 4.2% 3% 3.2% 2.8% (<2%) 3.1% 8.6% 15.2%
25.8% 2.4% 2.3% 20.2%
3 Aug CRO Demoskop [20] 1,300 31.5% 18.8% 8.2% 3.0% 2.4% 2.6% 2.5% 2.8% 1.8% (<2%) 7.8% 20.4%
27.6% 3.9% (<2%) (<2%) 18.8%
20 Jul Ipsos Puls for Nova TV[64] 1,000 29.4% 22% 7.5% 3.2% 3.8% 2.7% 2.5% 3% (<2%) 2.8% 8.6% 13.4%
27% 2.4% (<2%) (<2%) 22%
6 Jul CRO Demoskop [65] 1,300 32% 18.7% 7.5% 3% 2.1% 2.6% 2.8% 2.7% 1.9% (<2%) 7.9% 20.7%
28.5% 3.5% (<2%) (<2%) 18.7%
25 Jun Ipsos Puls for Nova TV[66] 1,000 34.4% 20.4% 8% 4.4% 3% 2% 3.1% 2.5% 2.5% 2.3% 2.5% 12%
29.2% 3.2% (<2%) 2% 20.4%
4 Jun CRO Demoskop[67][68] 1,300 35.6% 17.4% 8.1% 3.1% 2.2% 2.4% 2.6% 2.4% 2% (<2%) 5.7% 20.7%
30.1% 3.3% (<2%) (<2%) 17.1%
25 May Ipsos Puls for Nova TV[69] 967 36.9% 18.5% 9.5% 3.5% 3.6% 2.2% 1.7% 3.2% 1.6% 3.7% 1.4% 12.9%
32.6% 2.4% 1.9% 18.5%
21 May Tomislav Karamarko wins the HDZ leadership election thus becoming the unofficial Leader of the Opposition.[70]
12 May Prime Minister Zoran Milanović wins his 3rd term as leader of the Social Democrats [71]
7 May CRO Demoskop[72] 1,300 34.3% 16.2% 8.1% 3.1% 2.3% 2.6% 2.7% 2.4% 2.2%
30.3% 4% 16.2%
26 Apr Ipsos Puls for Nova TV[73] 1,000 37% 18.5% 7.7% 3% 3% 3.3% 2.6% 4.1% 2.7% 1.9% 1.2% 14%
30% 2.9% 2.7% 18.5%
26 Mar Ipsos Puls for Nova TV[74] 1,000 39.5% 17% 7.1% 3.3% 3.9% 3.5% 3.4% 11.4% 11.5%
32.7% 3.9% 2.9% 17%
16 Apr Croatian Democratic Union trial begins; party pleads not guilty.[75]
25 Feb Ipsos Puls for Nova TV[76] 1,000 39.1% 21% 6.1% 2.4% 3.5% 2.4% 3.6% 3.6% 10% 10%
35% 4.1% 21%
13 Feb Finance minister Slavko Linić presents the 2012 budget for the remainder of the year proposing cuts of up to 4 billion HRK.[77]
28 January Branko Hrg is elected leader of the Croatian Peasant Party[78]
28 Jan Ipsos Puls for Nova TV[79] 1,000 41.9% 20% 6.8% 3.3% 3.1% 3.2% 2.6% 2.5% 1.7% 1.3% 2.3% 10.6%
34% 4.5% 1.6% 20%
2-3 Jan CRO Demoskop[80][81] 1,300 42.8% 22.4% 5.4% 3.2% 3.1% 3.1% 3.4% 3.2% 2.4% 2.7% 2.9% 5.4%
33.1% 5.2% 2.7% 19.7%

2011

[edit]
Date Polling Organisation/Client Sample size Kukuriku coalition HDZ coalition Labour HDSSB Grubišić et al HSS HSP-AS HSP HSLS BUZ Other Undecided
SDP HNS-LD HSU IDS HDZ
27 Dec Ipsos Puls for Nova TV[82] 1,000 41.1% 23.5% 5.3% 3% 2.8% 3.1% 2.8% 3.5% 3.6% 2.3% 2.8% 6.3%
23 Dec Milanović cabinet wins the confidence vote in Parliament. Transition of power occurs.
22 Dec The seventh assembly of Parliament is constituted.
9 Dec Croatian Democratic Union formally indicted for graft.[83]
4 Dec 2011 parliamentary election 2,373,538 40% 23.8% 5.1% 2.9% 2.8% 3% 2.8% 3% 3% 2.8% 10.8%

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