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Opinion polling for the 2014 European Parliament election in France

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This page lists public opinion polls conducted for the 2014 European Parliament election in France, which was held on 25 May 2014.

Unless otherwise noted, all polls listed below are compliant with the regulations of the national polling commission (Commission nationale des sondages) and utilize the quota method.

Graphical summary

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The averages in the graphs below were constructed using polls listed below conducted by the eight major French pollsters. The graphs are smoothed 14-day weighted moving averages, using only the most recent poll conducted by any given pollster within that range (each poll weighted based on recency).

National results for LO, NPA, ND, EC, AEI, NC, FV, and DLR lists were not provided by the Ministry of the Interior in the 2014 European elections. These lists, respectively, received 1.17%, 0.39%, 2.90%, 0.67%, 1.12%, 1.41%, 0.74%, and 3.82% of the vote in the 8, 5, 7, 6, 5, 7, 8, and 8 constituencies, respectively, in which they presented lists.

Voting intentions

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Starting on 10 April 2014, Ifop-Fiducial published a "rolling" poll for Paris Match which is listed in the tables below as "Ifop-Fiducial" without an asterisk, while separate polls not conducted as part of the "rolling" poll are listed with an asterisk (*).[1]

Regionalist lists received 0.25% of the vote in 2009; this total is included in that for other lists, which would otherwise have been 4.45%.

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. LO NPA FG PS
PRG
DVG EELV ND EC AEI MoDem UDI UMP NC FV DLR DVD FN EXD DIV
2014 election 25 May 2014 57.57% 1.60% (EXG) 6.33% 13.98% 3.18% 8.95% (DVG) (DIV) (DIV) 9.94% 20.81% (DVD) (DVD) (DVD) 5.98% 24.86% 0.01% 4.37%
Ipsos 22–23 May 2014 1,547 58% 1% 1% 7.5% 16.5% 8.5% 2.5% 1% 9.5% 21% 1% 0.5% 3% 24% 3%
Ifop-Fiducial 20–23 May 2014 1,691 57.5% 0.5% 1% 7.5% 16% 10% 2.5% 1% 0.5% 9.5% 21.5% 0.5% 2.5% 1% 23.5% 2.5%
Ipsos 21–22 May 2014 1,561 58.5% 0.5% 1% 8.5% 17.5% 9% 1.5% 1% 9.5% 21% 0.5% 0.5% 3% 24% 2.5%
CSA 20–22 May 2014 1,897 60% 1% 1% 8% 16% 9% 2% <0.5% 10% 21% 0.5% 0.5% 2% 23.5% 5.5%
Harris Interactive 20–22 May 2014 1,431 0.5% 1% 7% 16% 9% 3% 1% 11% 21% 1% 2% 23% 4.5%
Ipsos 20–22 May 2014 1,540 58.5% 0.5% 1.5% 8% 17.5% 9% 1.5% 1% 9.5% 21.5% 0.5% <0.5% 3% 23.5% 3%
OpinionWay 20–22 May 2014 2,948 60% 1% 1% 7% 17% 9% 3% 1% 1% 11% 21% 1% 0.5% 2.5% 21% 3%
Ifop-Fiducial 19–22 May 2014 1,691 58.5% 0.5% 1% 8% 16.5% 10% 2.5% 0.5% 0.5% 9.5% 22% 0.5% 2.5% 0.5% 23.5% 2%
YouGov 19–22 May 2014 1,092 55% 0.9% 1.4% 9.1% 16.7% 6.6% 1.6% 1.7% 1.4% 6.8% 21.1% 0.7% 0.1% 3.2% 26.1% 2.7%
Ipsos 19–21 May 2014 1,266 58.5% 1% 1% 7.5% 17% 8% 2% 1% 9% 22.5% 1% <0.5% 3% 23.5% 3.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 16–21 May 2014 1,691 58.5% 0.5% 1% 8% 17% 9.5% 2% 1% 0.5% 10% 22% 0.5% 2% 0.5% 23.5% 2%
Ipsos 16–20 May 2014 1,545 59% 1% 1% 7% 17% 8% 1.5% 1% 9% 23% 1% <0.5% 3.5% 23.5% 3.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 15–20 May 2014 1,610 59.5% 0.5% 1.5% 7.5% 17.5% 9% 2% 1% 0.5% 10% 21.5% 0.5% 1.5% 1% 23.5% 2.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 14–19 May 2014 1,507 60% 0.5% 2% 7.5% 17% 9.5% 2% 1% 0.5% 10% 21.5% 0.5% 1.5% 1% 23.5% 2%
Ipsos 15–18 May 2014 1,538 59.5% 1% 1% 7% 17.5% 8% 2% 1.5% 8.5% 22% 0.5% <0.5% 3.5% 24% 3.5%
Ipsos 14–17 May 2014 1,516 59.5% 1.5% 1% 7% 17% 8.5% 2.5% 1.5% 8% 21.5% 0.5% <0.5% 3.5% 24% 3.5%
BVA 15–16 May 2014 1,045 1% 1% 8% 17% 9% 1.5% 1% 9.5% 21% 1% 1% 2% 23% 4%
OpinionWay 14–16 May 2014 1,017 63% 1% 1% 8% 16% 9% 2.5% <1% 10.5% 23% 0.5% <1% 2.5% 22% 4%
Ifop-Fiducial 13–16 May 2014 1,424 60% 0.5% 1.5% 7.5% 17% 9.5% 2.5% 0.5% 0.5% 10% 22% <0.5% 1.5% 1% 23% 3%
Ipsos 13–16 May 2014 1,507 60% 1.5% 1% 7% 17% 8% 2.5% 2% 7.5% 22.5% 0.5% 0.5% 3% 24% 3%
CSA 13–15 May 2014 994 64% 1% 1.5% 6.5% 18% 8% 2% <0.5% 9% 21% <0.5% <0.5% 2% 25% 6%
Ifop-Fiducial 12–15 May 2014 1,407 60.5% 0.5% 1% 7.5% 16.5% 10% 2% 1% 0.5% 10% 22.5% <0.5% 1.5% 1% 23.5% 2.5%
Ipsos 12–15 May 2014 1,507 61% 1% 1.5% 7% 17% 8% 2.5% 2% 7.5% 23% 0.5% 0.5% 3% 24% 2.5%
Harris Interactive 12–14 May 2014 1,429 1% 2% 7% 16.5% 10% 2% 1% 8% 21% 1% 3% 22% 5.5%
Ipsos 12–14 May 2014 1,007 62% 1% 1.5% 7.5% 17% 8.5% 2% 2% 8% 23% 0.5% 0.5% 3% 24% 1.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 9–14 May 2014 1,311 60.5% 0.5% 1% 7.5% 16.5% 10% 2% 1% 0.5% 9.5% 22.5% <0.5% 1.5% 1% 24% 2.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 7–13 May 2014 1,206 61% 0.5% 1% 7.5% 17% 10% 1.5% 1% 0.5% 9.5% 22.5% 0.5% 1% 1% 24% 2.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 6–12 May 2014 1,118 61% 0.5% 1.5% 7.5% 17% 9.5% 2% 1% 0.5% 9.5% 22% 0.5% 1.5% 1% 24% 2%
TNS Sofres 9–11 May 2014 1,504 59% 2.5% 1.5% 6% 16% 8.5% 2% 1.5% 1% 8% 21% 1% <0.5% 3% 23% 5%
OpinionWay 5–9 May 2014 1,961 62% 1% 1% 7% 16% 9% 2% <1% 10% 23% 1% <1% 3% 22% 5%
Ifop-Fiducial 2–7 May 2014 1,076 61% 0.5% 1.5% 7% 17.5% 9% 2.5% 1% 10% 22% 0.5% 1.5% 1% 24% 2%
Ifop-Fiducial 30 Apr–6 May 2014 1,036 61.5% 1% 1.5% 7% 18% 9% 2% 1% 10% 22.5% <0.5% 1.5% 0.5% 24% 2%
YouGov 28 Apr–6 May 2014 1,069 4% 3% 10% 18% 7% 1% 8% 21% 0% 2% 24% 2%
Harris Interactive 2–5 May 2014 1,600 2% 2% 8% 17% 9% 2% <0.5% 9% 21% 1% <0.5% 3% 22% 4%
Ifop-Fiducial 30 Apr–5 May 2014 989 62% 0.5% 2% 7.5% 18% 9% 2% 1.5% 10% 22.5% <0.5% 1.5% 0.5% 23.5% 1.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 28 Apr–2 May 2014 989 62.5% 0.5% 2% 8% 18.5% 9% 1.5% 1% 10% 22.5% <0.5% 1.5% 23.5% 2%
Ifop-Fiducial 25–30 Apr 2014 993 63% 0.5% 2.5% 8% 19% 8.5% 1% 1% 10% 22.5% <0.5% 2% 23% 2%
Ifop-Fiducial 24–29 Apr 2014 993 63% 0.5% 2.5% 7.5% 19.5% 8% 1% 0.5% 10.5% 23% <0.5% 2% 23% 2%
Ifop-Fiducial 23–28 Apr 2014 997 62.5% 0.5% 2% 8% 19.5% 8% 1% 0.5% 10.5% 23% <0.5% 2.5% 22.5% 2%
OpinionWay 23–25 Apr 2014 1,830 60% 1% 1% 7% 18% 7% 3% 2% 1% 11% 22% 0.5% 0.5% 3% 20% 3%
Ifop-Fiducial 22–25 Apr 2014 997 62% 0.5% 2% 8% 19.5% 8.5% 1% 0.5% 10% 23.5% <0.5% 2% 22.5% 2%
CSA 22–24 Apr 2014 1,005 65% 1% 1.5% 7.5% 20% 7% 2% <0.5% 9% 22% 1% <0.5% 2% 24% 3%
Ifop-Fiducial 21–24 Apr 2014 1,000 61.5% 0.5% 2% 8% 19% 9% 1% 1% 10% 23.5% <0.5% 2% 22.5% 1.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 18–23 Apr 2014 984 61% 0.5% 2% 8% 19% 9% 1.5% 1% 10% 23% <0.5% 1.5% 22.5% 2%
Ifop-Fiducial 17–22 Apr 2014 980 60.5% 0.5% 2% 8.5% 19% 8% 1.5% 1.5% 10% 22.5% <0.5% 1.5% 23% 2%
Ifop-Fiducial* 15–19 Apr 2014 1,869 1% 3% 8% 18.5% 8.5% 1.5% 1.5% 10% 22% <0.5% 1.5% 23% 1.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 15–18 Apr 2014 989 60% 0.5% 2.5% 8% 19.5% 8% 1.5% 1% 10% 22.5% <0.5% 2% 23% 1.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 14–17 Apr 2014 989 60% 0.5% 2.5% 8% 19.5% 7.5% 1.5% 0.5% 10.5% 22.5% <0.5% 2% 23.5% 1.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 11–16 Apr 2014 990 60.5% 0.5% 2.5% 8% 20% 7.5% 1.5% 0.5% 10% 22.5% <0.5% 2% 23.5% 1.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 10–15 Apr 2014 999 61% 0.5% 2% 8% 20% 8% 1% 0.5% 10% 22.5% <0.5% 1.5% 24% 2%
Ifop-Fiducial 9–14 Apr 2014 1,008 61.5% 0.5% 2% 8% 20.5% 8% 1% 0.5% 9.5% 22.5% <0.5% 1.5% 24% 2%
Ifop-Fiducial 8–11 Apr 2014 1,002 61.5% 0.5% 2% 8.5% 20.5% 7.5% 1% 1% 9.5% 22.5% <0.5% 1.5% 24% 1.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 7–10 Apr 2014 997 61% 0.5% 2% 8% 21% 7.5% 1% 0.5% 9% 23% 0.5% 1.5% 24% 1.5%
TNS Sofres 4–6 Apr 2014 1,501 2% 1% 7% 19% 9% 1.5% 9% 25% 0.5% 2% 24%
Ifop 31 Mar–4 Apr 2014 1,872 0.5% 2.5% 7.5% 19% 8.5% 1.5% 1.5% 8% 24% 2% 22% 3%
OpinionWay 31 Mar 2014 1,053 1% 1% 9% 18% 7% 2% 1% 12% 22% 1% 3% 20% 3%
Harris Interactive 30 Mar 2014 3,000 2% 7% 16% 9% 2% 2% 11% 20% 1% 3% 22% 5%
Ipsos 27–29 Mar 2014 1,533 2% 1% 8% 19% 10% 2% 8% 24% 0.5% 3.5% 22%
OpinionWay 23–24 Mar 2014 1,158 1% 1% 8% 17% 7% 2% 10% 22% 1% 3% 21% 7%
OpinionWay 7–11 Mar 2014 1,008 1% 3% 9% 17% 7% 1% 1% 9% 22% 0% 1% 4% 21% 4%
OpinionWay 12–14 Feb 2014 2,104 4% 9% 16% 9% 12% 22% 3% 20% 5%
Ifop 14–17 Jan 2014 1,894 2% 9% 18% 7% 11% 21% 2.5% 23% 6.5%
Ifop 1–4 Oct 2013 1,893 2% 10% 19% 6% 11% 22% 2% 24% 4%
YouGov 7–12 Jun 2013 1,014 2% 15% 15% 5% 7% 8% 5% 19% 6% 18%
CSA 21 May–12 Jun 2013 3,952 1% 3% 9% 19% 8% 7% 6% 23% 1% 20% 3%
Ifop 29–31 May 2013 1,869 2% 9% 21% 7.5% 7% 6.5% 21% 3% 21% 2%
Harris Interactive 22–24 May 2013 1,279 2% 8% 21% 10% 6% 8% 23% 1% 18% 3%
2009 election 7 Jun 2009 59.37% 6.10% (EXG) 6.05% 16.48% 0.46% 16.28% (DIV) 8.46% 27.88% (DVD) 6.74% 6.34% 0.51% 4.70%

By constituency

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Est

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Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. LO NPA FG PS
PRG
EELV ND EC AEI MoDem UDI UMP NC FV DLR FN DIV
2014 election 25 May 2014 56.85% 1.36% 0.33% 5.24% 13.24% 6.41% 2.44% 0.37% 2.34% 9.19% 22.72% 1.29% 0.53% 4.16% 28.98% 1.38%
Ifop 15–19 Apr 2014 666 1.5% 3% 6.5% 15.5% 12.5% 1.5% 7.5% 24% 0.5% 26% 1.5%

Île-de-France

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Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. LO NPA FG PS
PRG
EELV ND EC AEI MoDem UDI UMP NC FV DLR FN DIV
2014 election 25 May 2014 61.02% 0.85% 0.84% 6.48% 14.28% 9.68% 3.06% 2.34% 1.74% 11.99% 21.79% 2.16% 1.20% 3.82% 17.00% 2.79%
Ifop-Fiducial 14–19 May 2014 703 0.5% 3.5% 7% 17% 9% 2.5% 1.5% 0.5% 10% 21% 2% <0.5% 2.5% 20% 3%

Sud-Est

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Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. LO NPA FG PS
PRG
EELV ND EC AEI MoDem UDI UMP NC FV DLR FN R&PS DIV
2014 election 25 May 2014 57.04% 0.90% 5.96% 11.88% 9.32% 3.15% 2.14% 8.44% 22.40% 1.50% 0.43% 3.92% 28.18% 0.75% 1.03%
Ifop 23–28 Apr 2014 686 1% 2% 7% 13% 11% 1.5% 1% 8.5% 28% <0.5% <0.5% 2.5% 23% 1.5% <0.5%
OpinionWay 19–21 Feb 2014 1,052 2% 9% 15% 9% 8% 25% 3% 26% 3%

See also

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References

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  1. ^ "Les élections européennes en temps réel avec l'Euro-Rolling 2014 Ifop - Fiducial - Paris Match" (PDF). Ifop. 9 April 2014. Retrieved 27 April 2018.
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