Jump to content

Opinion polling for the 2009 Norwegian parliamentary election

Add links
From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

Poll results for the Norwegian parliamentary elections that were held in Norway on 13–14 September 2009. The results are shown in chronological order, with the oldest poll at the top of the list and the newest poll at the bottom of the list.

Poll results

[edit]
Polling Firm Date Source FrP DNA H KrF SV Sp V Others
Norstat 2008-04 [1][usurped] 24.7% 29.4% 16.9% 7.1% 5.9% 5.3% 8.4% 2.3%
Response Analyse 2008-04 [2][usurped] 25.3% 31.6% 15.7% 5.7% 7.5% 5.5% 6.4% 2.3%
TNS Gallup 2008-04 [3][usurped] 23.5% 31.6% 18.2% 6.9% 6.4% 5.2% 4.9% 3.3%
Norstat 2008-05 [4][usurped] 30.8% 26.6% 17.0% 6.3% 6.9% 6.3% 5.3% 0.8%
Response Analyse 2008-05 [5][usurped] 24.8% 28.8% 19.0% 6.8% 7.0% 4.7% 7.0% 1.9%
TNS Gallup 2008-05 [6][usurped] 26.5% 26.3% 18.4% 6.0% 8.3% 4.7% 6.6% 3.2%
Sentio-Norsk Statistikk 2008-06 [7][usurped] 29.3% 23.9% 17.9% 6.7% 7.1% 5.2% 5.2% 4.7%
Norstat 2008-06 [8][usurped] 30.6% 26.0% 15.8% 6.3% 6.7% 6.3% 5.3% 3.0%
Response Analyse 2008-06 [9][usurped] 30.7% 26.4% 17.8% 4.7% 6.5% 5.3% 5.6% 3.0%
TNS Gallup 2008-06 [10][usurped] 28.3% 30.3% 16.5% 7.7% 6.1% 3.4% 5.2% 2.5%
Norstat 2008-07 [11][usurped] 30.7% 28.1% 16.1% 5.6% 5.7% 4.5% 5.6% 3.7%
Norstat 2008-08 [12][usurped] 32.1% 26.2% 16.2% 5.8% 7.0% 5.0% 5.1% 2.6%
TNS Gallup 2008-08 [13][usurped] 30.4% 29.2% 15.4% 4.8% 5.7% 4.2% 6.3% 4.0%
Norstat 2008-09 [14][usurped] 30.7% 29.3% 13.8% 6.5% 6.0% 5.5% 5.4% 2.8%
Response Analyse 2008-09 [15][usurped] 31.7% 27.9% 14.6% 5.8% 6.1% 5.6% 5.9% 2.4%
Norstat 2008-10 [16] 26.3% 32.2% 15.2% 5.7% 7.5% 4.5% 5.9% 2.8%
Norstat 2008-11 [17] 27.5% 31.1% 14.5% 6.6% 8.5% 4.8% 5.5% 1.5%
TNS Gallup 2008-12 [18] 21.6% 32.4% 16.7% 5.4% 7.9% 6.1% 5.8% 4.1%
Response Analyse 2008-12 [19] 21.5% 32.5% 18.2% 6.7% 7.2% 5.9% 6.1% 0.9%
Opinion 2008-12 [20] 25.1% 27.5% 19.1% 6.2% 7.5% 5.4% 5.1% 4.1%
Norstat 2008-12 [21] 25.7% 30.7% 17.1% 6.1% 8.1% 5.3% 5.1% 1.2%
Sentio 2008-12 [22][permanent dead link‍] 24.0% 29.9% 16.8% 6.2% 8.5% 5.9% 5.8% 1.4%
Opinion 2009-01 [23] 28.6% 28.7% 15.2% 5.6% 8.1% 6.0% 5.1% 2.6%
Sentio 2009-01 [24] 24.5% 36.5% 13.9% 5.9% 6.8% 5.3% 4.5% 2.4%
Synovate 2009-01 [25] 19.5% 34.5% 16.6% 5.2% 9.2% 5.5% 5.4% 4.1%
Norstat 2009-02 [26] 21.6% 35.4% 15.8% 5.2% 6.8% 5.5% 6.6% 3.0%
Synovate 2009-02 [27] 20.8% 35.1% 15.6% 5.9% 8.4% 4.7% 6.8% 2.8%
Norstat 2009-02 [28] 29.4% 33.0% 12.6% 5.2% 7.1% 6.5% 5.9% 2.5%
In fact 2009-03 [29] 27.2% 32.2% 13.2% 6.5% 6.9% 6.6% 5.0% 2.4%
Norfakta 2009-03 [30] 28.0% 31.0% 14.7% 6.9% 6.9% 4.6% 4.7% 3.8%
Norstat 2009-03 [31] 30.1% 31.3% 14.1% 5.7% 6.6% 5.0% 5.3% 1.9%
Norstat 2009-03 [32] 29.7% 31.7% 13.3% 7.3% 6.9% 5.0% 3.7% 2.3%
Opinion 2009-03 [33] 30.9% 28.4% 13.2% 5.6% 6.4% 6.8% 6.1% 2.6%
Response Analyse 2009-03 [34] 25.4% 32.8% 14.2% 6.1% 6.0% 5.9% 6.5% 3.2%
Sentio 2009-03 [35] 26.9% 32.9% 14.7% 6.5% 6.1% 5.7% 4.5% 2.7%
Synovate 2009-03 [36] 23.7% 36.2% 11.5% 4.7% 9.9% 5.5% 5.0% 3.4%
TNB 2009-03 [37] 27.4% 32.4% 13.9% 6.1% 7.0% 5.6% 5.0% 2.7%
TNS Gallup/TV2 2009-03 [38] 24.7% 35.5% 15.6% 5.2% 7.0% 5.1% 4.5% 2.6%
Sentio/BT 2009-04-02 [39] 29.6% 31.5% 13.3% 5.9% 7.1% 5.3% 4.7% 2.6%
TNS Gallup/TV2 2009-04-02 [40] 26.0% 35.7% 12.6% 5.1% 7.7% 5.9% 3.4% 3.5%
Norstat/NRK 2009-04-09 [41] 26.4% 31.7% 13.7% 7.2% 7.0% 6.8% 4.6% 2.7%
In fact/VG 2009-04-17 [42] 25.8% 29.1% 17.6% 6.0% 7.2% 5.1% 5.2% 4.0%
Sentio/DN 2009-04-17 [43] 28.4% 29.7% 13.9% 9.0% 5.7% 5.3% 5.0% 3.0%
Norfakta/Nationen/Klassekampen 2009-04-18 [44] 27.7% 33.6% 14.1% 6.6% 5.5% 4.7% 5.3% 2.5%
Opinion/ANB 2009-04-23 [45] 28.5% 29.1% 13.9% 7.6% 5.9% 5.8% 6.2% 3.0%
Opinion/ANB 2009-04-23 [46] 30.3% 34.5% 10.8% 4.8% 6.5% 6.5% 4.2% 2.3%
Synovate/Dagbladet 2009-04-25 [47] 25.2% 35.2% 14.0% 7.3% 6.4% 6.0% 3.9% 2.1%
TNS Gallup/TV2 2009-05-04 [48] 24.2% 33.0% 14.3% 5.3% 8.9% 4.2% 5.9% 4.2%
Norstat/NRK 2009-05-07 [49] 27.7% 34.1% 11.9% 6.5% 6.7% 5.8% 5.9% 1.5%
Norfakta/Nationen/Klassekampen 2009-05-09 [50] 26.9% 31.1% 13.9% 6.5% 8.2% 6.1% 4.8% 3.3%
Opinion/ANB 2009-05-14 [51] 28.5% 29.0% 13.0% 5.9% 7.1% 4.3% 8.7% 3.3%
Sentio/DN 2009-05-15 [52] 30.3% 31.5% 13.2% 5.8% 6.3% 4.0% 5.8% 3.0%
Response/Aftenposten 2009-05-15 [53] 24.0% 35.8% 15.3% 5.3% 5.8% 4.7% 5.9% 3.2%
Response/VG 2009-05-15 [54] 25.9% 33.3% 15.9% 6.5% 6.0% 6.0% 3.7% 2.5%
Response/Aftenposten 2009-06-12 [55] 26.1% 35.4% 13.5% 5.8% 5.5% 4.3% 5.6% 3.8%
Sentio/DN 2009-06-13 [56] 29.3% 23.9% 17.9% 6.5% 7.1% 5.2% 5.2% 4.9%
Norstat/Vårt Land 2009-06-26 [57] 28.6% 29.4% 13.4% 5.7% 8.3% 6.3% 5.9% 2.4%
Norfakta 2009-07-06 [58] 29.8% 32.6% 13.0% 5.7% 6.7% 5.3% 4.6% 2.4%

Average polling

[edit]

The following table gives the average of 10 monthly opinion polls (9 before December 2008 - Synovate, Opinion, Gallup, Sentio BT, Sentio DN, Norstat NRK, Norstat VL, Response, In fact and, from December 2008, Norfakta).[1][2]

Party Result, Parliam. election 2005 Result, County elections 2007 Aug 2008 Sep 2008 Oct 2008 Nov 2008 Dec 2008 Jan 2009 Feb 2009 Mar 2009 Apr 2009 May 2009 Jun 2009 Jul 2009 Aug 2009
Labour 32.7% 30.8% 26.5% 29.0% 30.6% 31.4% 30.7% 33.9% 34.2% 32.8% 32.5% 32.9% 32.9% 33.1% 32.4%
Progress 22.1% 18.5% 30.8% 29.6% 26.5% 24.2% 23.7% 23.2% 24.1% 27.3% 27.0% 26.4% 26.0% 28.2% 25.7%
Conservative 14.1% 18.8% 16.3% 15.4% 16.1% 15.9% 17.4% 16.1% 15.1% 13.8% 13.9% 13.8% 13.5% 12.9% 13.8%
Socialist Left 8.8% 6.5% 6.7% 6.5% 7.3% 7.7% 7.8% 7.5% 7.1% 7.0% 7.1% 7.5% 7.3% 7.2% 8.1%
Christian Democratic 6.8% 6.7% 5.5% 5.6% 5.6% 6.6% 6.3% 6.0% 6.0% 6.2% 6.0% 6.0% 5.8% 5.9% 6.1%
Centre 6.5% 7.8% 5.2% 5.0% 5.3% 5.5% 5.7% 5.5% 4.9% 5.5% 5.8% 5.0% 5.8% 5.1% 5.6%
Liberal 5.9% 5.6% 6.1% 5.8% 5.6% 5.7% 5.5% 4.8% 6.0% 5.0% 4.9% 5.4% 5.6% 4.8% 5.2%
Red 1.2% 2.1% 1.7% 1.6% 1.4% 1.6% 1.6% 1.6% 1.5% 1.2% 1.3% 1.5% 1.5% 1.6% 1.6%
Others 1.9% 3.2% 0.1% 1.4% 0.2% 1.2% 1.4% 1.0% 1.1% 1.4% 1.5% 1.3% 1.4% 1.1% 1.6%

The following table gives the average of poll results through the electoral campaign, the last six weeks before the election.[1] The biggest surprise was the successful campaign of the Conservative Party, which saw a great increase in its poll results at the cost of the Progress Party, up until the election day.[3]

Party Week 32 Week 33 Week 34 Week 35 Week 36 Week 37
Labour 32.7% 31.9% 32.1% 33.0% 32.0% 33.4%
Progress 26.2% 26.4% 26.5% 23.7% 23.7% 23.0%
Conservative 13.2% 14.3% 13.6% 14.8% 14.9% 16.1%
Socialist Left 7.2% 7.1% 7.3% 8.5% 7.5% 7.0%
Christian Democratic 6.4% 6.1% 6.0% 5.9% 6.5% 6.7%
Centre 6.5% 5.9% 5.8% 5.8% 6.5% 5.8%
Liberal 4.9% 5.2% 5.7% 4.9% 5.6% 5.2%
Red 1.2% 1.7% 1.6% 2.0% 1.8% 1.8%

NRK polling

[edit]
Polls During the Campaign
Polling firm Month Lab. Pro. Con. Soc. Cen. Chr. Lib. Red
Norstat NRK[4] August 2008 26% 30.6% 15.8% 6.7% 6.3% 6.3% 5.3% 1.7%
Norstat NRK[4] September 29.5% 29.2% 13.3% 8.4% 5.3% 5.8% 4.5% 1.3%
Norstat NRK[4] October 32.5% 26.3% 15.2% 7.5% 4.5% 5.7% 5.9% 1.5%
Norstat NRK[4] November 31.1% 27.5% 14.5% 8.5% 4.8% 6.6% 5.5% 0.8%
Norstat NRK[4] December 30.7% 25.9% 17.1% 8.1% 5.3% 6.1% 5.1% 1.2%
Norstat NRK[4] January 2009 33.2% 24.4% 17.6% 6.6% 4.8% 7.1% 4.2% 0.7%
Norstat NRK[4] February 35.4% 21.6% 15.8% 6.8% 5.5% 5.2% 6.6% 1.3%
Norstat NRK[4] March 31.3% 30.1% 14.1% 6.6% 5% 5.7% 5.3% 0.8%
Norstat NRK[4] April 31.7% 26.4% 13.7% 7% 6.8% 7.2% 4.6% 1%
Norstat NRK[4] May 34.1% 27.7% 11.9% 6.7% 5.8% 6.5% 5.9% 0.2%
Norstat NRK[4] June 33% 29.7% 12% 7.1% 4.9% 6.1% 4.2% 0.8%
Norstat NRK[4] July 33.2% 28.1% 11.3% 7.1% 6% 6.6% 4.9% 1.2%
Norstat NRK[4] August 33% 25.1% 13.6% 7.1% 6% 6.6% 4.9% 0.8%
Norstat NRK[5] September (9) 35% 24% 13.1% 5.8% 6.2% 6.9% 6% 2.1%
Synovate NRK[6] September (10) 33.8% 21.4% 14.5% 9.1% 5.9% 6.9% 4.7% 2.3%
Results[7] Election day 35.4% 22.9% 17.2% 6.2% 6.2% 5.5% 3.9% 1.3%

References

[edit]
  1. ^ a b From the homepage of Professor of Political Science at the University of Oslo, Bernt Aardal in Norwegian
  2. ^ TV2, Partibarometeret in Norwegian
  3. ^ Sør-Trøndelag og Trondheim Høyre, "Historisk Høyre-valgkamp[permanent dead link‍]"
  4. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m "Politiske meningsmålinger" (in Norwegian). NRK. December 2008 – August 2009. Retrieved November 28, 2009.
  5. ^ Haugland, Tor Helge; Bakken, Laila Ø. (September 9, 2009). "Dødt løp fem dager før valget" (in Norwegian). NRK. Retrieved November 28, 2009.
  6. ^ Knudsen, Sjur Øveråsen (September 12, 2009). "Rødgrønt på siste måling" (in Norwegian). NRK. Retrieved November 28, 2009.
  7. ^ "Valg 2009 Landsoversikt - Stortingsvalget" (in Norwegian). Regjeringen.no. Archived from the original on September 26, 2009. Retrieved September 15, 2009.
Retrieved from "https://wiki.riteme.site/w/index.php?title=Opinion_polling_for_the_2009_Norwegian_parliamentary_election&oldid=1264236439"