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Opinion polling for the 2002 French presidential election

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

This page lists public opinion polls conducted for the 2002 French presidential election, which was held on 21 April 2002 with a run-off on 5 May 2002.

Unless otherwise noted, all polls listed below are compliant with the regulations of the national polling commission (Commission nationale des sondages) and utilize the quota method.

First round

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The Sofres poll conducted from 4 to 5 April 2002, marked with an asterisk (*) below, was conducted specifically for subsample data.

The publication of first-round polls was prohibited after midnight on 19 April 2002. Until the law of 19 February 2002 amended the law of 19 July 1977, the publication of voting intention polls was prohibited in the week before the election. The law of 19 February 2002 also extended the ban on the publication of polls to include surveys conducted before the electoral silence.[1]

Graphical summary

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The averages in the graphs below were constructed using polls listed below conducted by the six major French pollsters. The graphs are smoothed 14-day weighted moving averages, using only the most recent poll conducted by any given pollster within that range (each poll weighted based on recency).

28 March to 18 April 2002

[edit]
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. Laguiller
LO
Gluckstein
PT
Besancenot
LCR
Hue
PCF
Jospin
PS
Taubira
PRG
Chevènement
MDC
Mamère
LV
Lepage
Cap21
Bayrou
UDF
Chirac
RPR
Madelin
DL
Boutin
FRS
Miguet
RCF
Pasqua
RPF
Saint-
Josse

CPNT
Mégret
MNR
Le Pen
FN
2002 election 21 Apr 2002 28.40% 5.72% 0.47% 4.25% 3.37% 16.18% 2.32% 5.33% 5.25% 1.88% 6.84% 19.88% 3.91% 1.19% 4.23% 2.34% 16.86%
BVA 18 Apr 2002 631 8% 0.5% 3.5% 5% 18% 2% 6% 5% 1% 6% 19% 5% 1% 4% 2% 14%
CSA 17–18 Apr 2002 1,000 7% 0.5% 3% 5% 18% 2.5% 6.5% 5% 1.5% 6% 19.5% 3.5% 1.5% 4% 2.5% 14%
Ipsos 17–18 Apr 2002 989 7% 0.5% 4% 5% 18% 1% 6.5% 6.5% 1% 6% 20% 4% 1% 3% 2.5% 14%
Sofres 17–18 Apr 2002 1,000 6.5% 0.5% 4% 6% 18% 1.5% 6.5% 6% 1% 6% 19.5% 5% 1.5% 4% 1.5% 12.5%
Louis Harris 16–17 Apr 2002 592 8% 0% 2% 5% 18% 1% 6% 7% 1% 7% 20% 5% 2% 3% 2% 13%
Ipsos 15–16 Apr 2002 1,005 7% 0.5% 2.5% 5.5% 18% 1.5% 6% 6.5% 1% 5% 22% 4% 1% 3.5% 3% 13%
Sofres 13–15 Apr 2002 1,000 8% 0.5% 2.5% 6% 18% 1% 6% 5% 1.5% 6% 20% 5% 1.5% 3.5% 2.5% 13%
Ifop 12–13 Apr 2002 1,006 7% 0.5% 4% 5.5% 16.5% 1.5% 8.5% 6.5% 2% 6.5% 20% 3.5% 0.5% 4% 3% 10.5%
BVA 10–13 Apr 2002 749 9% 0.5% 2% 5% 18% 1.5% 6% 6% 1.5% 6% 18.5% 5% 1% 4% 2% 14%
Ifop 11–12 Apr 2002 951 8% 0.5% 3.5% 5.5% 17% 2% 8% 7% 2% 6.5% 19% 3.5% 0.5% 4.5% 3% 9.5%
CSA 10–11 Apr 2002 1,000 8% 0.5% 1.5% 5.5% 19% 1% 7% 6.5% 1.5% 5.5% 21% 3.5% 1% 3.5% 3% 12%
Sofres 10–11 Apr 2002 1,000 8% 0.5% 2.5% 6% 19% 1.5% 6% 4.5% 1.5% 5% 22% 5% 0.5% 3% 2% 13%
Ifop 5–6 Apr 2002 1,004 8.5% 0.5% 1% 5% 17.5% 1% 8% 8% 1.5% 5.5% 21% 3.5% 1% 4% 1% 13%
Ipsos 5–6 Apr 2002 952 11% 0% 1% 5% 19% 0.5% 8.5% 5% 1% 5% 23% 3.5% 0.5% 3.5% 1.5% 12%
BVA 4–6 Apr 2002 657 11% 1% 5% 20% 1% 6% 6.5% 1.5% 5% 20% 3.5% 0.5% 0.5% 3.5% 3% 12%
Sofres* 4–5 Apr 2002 1,000 8.5% 0% 1% 5.5% 21% 1% 6% 7% 1% 6% 21% 3.5% 1.5% 3% 1.5% 12.5%
CSA 3–4 Apr 2002 1,000 8.5% 0.5% 1% 4% 18.5% 0.5% 8% 8.5% 1.5% 4.5% 22% 3% 1.5% 5% 1.5% 11.5%
Sofres 3–4 Apr 2002 1,000 9% 0% 0.5% 6% 19% 1% 7% 5% 1% 4% 24% 4% 1.5% 0% 4% 2% 12%
Ipsos 29–30 Mar 2002 938 10% 1% 5% 20% 0.5% 8% 5% 0.5% 5% 24% 3% 1% 2% 3.5% 1.5% 10%
11% 1% 5% 21% 0.5% 10.5% 5% 0.5% 5.5% 27% 3.5% 1% 4% 4.5%
Louis Harris 29–30 Mar 2002 1,001 10% 1% 6% 21% 0.5% 8% 6% 1% 4.5% 21% 3.5% 1.5% 2% 3% 1% 10%
BVA 28–30 Mar 2002 661 11% 0.5% 6% 20% 0.5% 6.5% 6.5% 0.5% 5% 20% 4% 1% 2% 2% 1.5% 13%

17 October 2001 to 27 March 2002

[edit]
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Laguiller
LO
Gluckstein
PT
Besancenot
LCR
Hue
PCF
Jospin
PS
Taubira
PRG
Chevènement
MDC
Dieudonné
LU
Mamère
LV
Waechter
MEI
Larrouturou
ND
Lepage
Cap21
Lalonde
GE
Bayrou
UDF
Chirac
RPR
Madelin
DL
Boutin
FRS
Pasqua
RPF
Saint-
Josse

CPNT
Mégret
MNR
Le Pen
FN
Ifop 28–29 Mar 2002 936 10% <0.5% 1% 4.5% 20.5% 1% 9% 7% 0.5% 0.5% 1% <0.5% 5.5% 21% 2% 0.5% 2% 2.5% 1% 10%
CSA 27–28 Mar 2002 1,003 9% 0.5% 1% 5% 20% 0.5% 9% 5% 1% 4.5% 20% 3.5% 1.5% 1.5% 4.5% 1.5% 12%
Sofres 27–28 Mar 2002 1,000 10% 0% 1% 6% 20% 0.5% 8.5% 6% 0.5% 4.5% 21% 4% 0.5% 2% 4% 0.5% 11%
Sofres 27–28 Mar 2002 1,000 10% 0% 0.5% 6% 21% 0% 8% 5% 0.5% 5% 22% 4% 0.5% 3% 3% 1.5% 10%
Ifop 23–24 Mar 2002 1,005 10% <0.5% 1% 6% 19% 1% 10% 1% 7% <0.5% <0.5% 1% <0.5% 4% 20% 3% 1% 3% 2% <0.5% 10%
Ipsos 22–23 Mar 2002 938 10% 0.5% 5% 22% 0.5% 9% 5.5% 0.5% 5% 24% 2.5% 1% 2% 2.5% 1% 9%
Sofres 22–23 Mar 2002 1,000 10% 1% 6% 21% 0.5% 7.5% 5.5% 1% 4% 23% 4% 1% 1.5% 3% 1% 10%
BVA 21–23 Mar 2002 647 10% 1% 5.5% 23% 1% 6.5% 5.5% 1% 4% 23% 3.5% 0.5% 1% 2.5% 1% 11%
Ifop 21–22 Mar 2002 947 8% 0.5% 0.5% 5% 21% <0.5% 9% 1% 5% 0.5% <0.5% 0.5% <0.5% 4% 23% 2.5% 0.5% 3% 2% 1% 12%
CSA 20–21 Mar 2002 1,000 8% 1% 5% 21% 0.5% 7% 6.5% 0.5% 4% 23% 4% 1% 2.5% 3.5% 1.5% 11%
Ifop 15–16 Mar 2002 933 10% 0.5% 0.5% 5% 19% 0.5% 11% 1% 6% <0.5% <0.5% 0.5% <0.5% 4% 22% 3% 1% 3% 3% 1% 8%
Ipsos 15–16 Mar 2002 919 9% 0.5% 5.5% 21% 0.5% 10% 5.5% 1% 4% 23% 3% 1% 3% 1.5% 1.5% 10%
9.5% 0.5% 5.5% 22% 0.5% 11% 5.5% 1% 4.5% 27.5% 3% 1% 6.5% 2%
BVA 14–16 Mar 2002 739 9% 1% 6% 22% 0.5% 7% 5% 2% 3.5% 25% 3.5% 0.5% 1.5% 3% 0.5% 10%
Sofres 13–16 Mar 2002 1,000 9.5% 1% 5.5% 21% 0.5% 6.5% 6% 0.5% 4.5% 23.5% 4% 1% 2.5% 3% 1% 10%
Sofres 14–15 Mar 2002 1,000 9% 1% 5.5% 20% 0.5% 7% 6% 1% 4% 24% 4% 1% 3% 2% 1% 11%
CSA 13–14 Mar 2002 1,001 7% 0.5% 1% 4.5% 22% 1% 8.5% 5.5% 0.5% 3% 25.5% 3% 1% 2.5% 3% 2% 9.5%
Ipsos 8–9 Mar 2002 933 8% 0.5% 6% 22% 0.5% 11% 6% 0.5% 3% 24% 3% 1% 3% 2% 1.5% 8%
8.5% 0.5% 6.5% 23% 0.5% 12.5% 6% 0.5% 3.5% 27% 3% 1% 4.5% 3%
Louis Harris 8–9 Mar 2002 626 8% 1% 5% 23% <0.5% 10% 5% 1% 3% 24% 3% 1% 2% 2% 2% 10%
Sofres 8–9 Mar 2002 1,000 9% 0.5% 5.5% 22% 0.5% 7.5% 5% 1% 4% 23% 4% 1% 3% 1.5% 1.5% 11%
Ipsos 1–2 Mar 2002 925 8% 1% 6% 21% 0.5% 10% 6% 0.5% 4% 24% 3% 0.5% 2.5% 3% 1% 9%
BVA 28 Feb–2 Mar 2002 693 8% 0.5% 6% 24% 0.5% 8% 5% 1% 4% 21% 4% 1% 2% 2.5% 1.5% 11%
Ifop 28 Feb–1 Mar 2002 941 9% <0.5% 0.5% 4% 21% 0.5% 10% 2% 7% <0.5% 0.5% 0.5% <0.5% 3% 22% 3% 1% 3% 3% 1% 8%
CSA 27–28 Feb 2002 1,007 6% 0.5% 5.5% 23.5% 0.5% 11% 6% 0.5% 4% 21% 3% 1.5% 1.5% 3.5% 2% 10%
Sofres 27–28 Feb 2002 1,000 7% 1% 5.5% 22.5% 0.5% 10% 6% 0.5% 3% 24% 3% 1% 2% 2% 1% 11%
Ifop 22–23 Feb 2002 937 7% <1% <1% 5% 22% <1% 12% 2% 6% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 23% 4% <1% 3% 3% 1% 7%
Ipsos 22–23 Feb 2002 938 7% 0.5% 6% 22% 0.5% 11% 6% 0.5% 3% 25% 3% 0.5% 1.5% 3% 1.5% 9%
Sofres 22–23 Feb 2002 1,000 7.5% 0.5% 6% 22% 0.5% 10% 5.5% 0.5% 3% 24% 4.5% 1% 1.5% 2% 0.5% 11%
Ifop 21–22 Feb 2002 939 8% <1% <1% 5% 23% <1% 10% 2% 6% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 25% 3% 1% 2% 2% 1% 7%
Ipsos 15–16 Feb 2002 916 7% 1% 6% 20% 0.5% 12% 5% 0.5% 3% 25% 3% 1% 3% 2% 1% 10%
BVA 14–16 Feb 2002 743 7% 0.5% 5% 23% 0.5% 10% 6% 1% 4% 24% 3% 0.5% 1% 2.5% 1% 11%
Sofres 13–15 Feb 2002 1,000 6% 0.5% 6% 21.5% 0% 10% 7% 0.5% 3% 26% 3% 0.5% 3% 3% 1% 9%
CSA 13–14 Feb 2002 1,000 5.5% 0.5% 5% 21.5% 0.5% 10% 6% 1% 3% 24.5% 5% 0.5% 1.5% 3.5% 2% 10%
Ipsos 12 Feb 2002 1,018 6% 0.5% 6% 23% 0.5% 11% 5% 1% 3% 27% 3% 1% 2% 2% 1% 8%
Ipsos 8–9 Feb 2002 908 6% 0.5% 7% 21% 0.5% 12% 6% 0.5% 3% 23% 4% 1% 3% 1.5% 1% 10%
Ifop 7–8 Feb 2002 961 7% <1% 1% 5% 19% <1% 13% 2% 7% <1% <1% 1% <1% 3% 23% 4% 1% 3% 2% 1% 7%
Ipsos 1–2 Feb 2002 925 6% 0.5% 6% 23% 0.5% 12% 6% 1% 4% 23% 5% 1% 3% 1% 8%
Louis Harris 1–2 Feb 2002 844 6% 1% 5% 23% 0.5% 13% 5% 1% 5% 23% 5% <0.5% 2.5% 1% 9%
Sofres 1–2 Feb 2002 1,000 6% 1% 6.5% 22.5% 11% 6% 4% 24% 5% 1.5% 1.5% 11%
BVA 31 Jan–2 Feb 2002 788 7% 1% 5% 22% 1% 10% 7% 1% 4% 23% 5% 0.5% 2% 1.5% 10%
Ifop 31 Jan–1 Feb 2002 963 7% <1% <1% 4% 22% <1% 11% 1% 6% <1% <1% 1% <1% 3% 24% 4% 1% 3% 2% 10%
CSA 29–30 Jan 2002 1,001 6% 0.5% 5% 22% 1% 14% 7% 0.5% 4% 23% 5% 1.5% 1.5% 9%
Ipsos 25–26 Jan 2002 962 7% 0.5% 5% 22% 0.5% 12% 5% 1% 4% 26% 5% 0.5% 1% 1.5% 9%
Ifop 17–18 Jan 2002 943 6% <1% <1% 5% 20% <1% 11% 8% <1% 1% <1% 5% 24% 5% 1% 3% 1% 9%
CSA 17 Jan 2002 1,006 6% 0.5% 4.5% 22% 0.5% 11% 7.5% 0.5% 4% 27% 5% 1% 0.5% 10%
Ipsos 11–12 Jan 2002 947 6% 0.5% 6% 24% 0.5% 10% 5% 0.5% 5% 28% 4% 0.5% 1% 1% 8%
Sofres 11–12 Jan 2002 1,000 7% 0.5% 6% 22% 9% 6% 4% 27% 4% 3.5% 2% 9%
Ifop 10–11 Jan 2002 963 6% <1% 5% 21% <1% 11% 8% <1% 1% <1% 4% 27% 3% 1% 3% 1% 8%
Sofres 5 Jan 2002 800 7% 0% 6% 24% 9% 6% 3% 27% 4% 3% 2% 9%
Ipsos 4–5 Jan 2002 955 6% 0.5% 6% 23% 0.5% 11% 5% 0.5% 4% 28% 3% 0.5% 2% 1% 9%
Louis Harris 4–5 Jan 2002 1,003 7% <0.5% 5% 24% 8% 7% 1% 3% 27% 4% <0.5% 3% 2% 9%
BVA 2–5 Jan 2002 735 7% 0.5% 6% 24% 0.5% 11% 7% 0.5% 5% 21% 4% 0.5% 2% 1% 10%
CSA 3–4 Jan 2002 1,005 5% 1% 5.5% 21.5% 0.5% 10.5% 6% 4% 28% 5% 1% 2% 10%
Sofres 14–15 Dec 2001 1,000 7% 0.5% 6.5% 22% 9% 7% 3% 27% 5% 3% 1.5% 8.5%
CSA 11–12 Dec 2001 1,000 7% 0.5% 5.5% 22% 10% 8% 5% 25% 5% 2% 1% 9%
Ipsos 7–8 Dec 2001 840 6% 0.5% 6% 22% 0.5% 12% 6% 1% 4% 27% 3% 0.5% 2% 1.5% 8%
BVA 29 Nov–1 Dec 2001 680 5% 0.5% 5% 24% 8% 9% 1% 4% 23% 4% 0.5% 4% 1% 11%
Ifop 29–30 Nov 2001 943 7% <1% 4% 22% 10% 8% <1% 1% 5% 26% 5% <1% 4% 1% 6%
Sofres 22–23 Nov 2001 1,000 7% 6.5% 22% 8% 6% 4.5% 27% 5% 4% 1% 9%
CSA 14–15 Nov 2001 1,006 6% 1% 5% 23% 10% 8% 4.5% 25% 4.5% 3% 1% 9%
Ipsos 9–10 Nov 2001 927 5% 0.5% 6% 22% 11% 7% 0.5% 4% 27% 4% 0.5% 3% 1.5% 8%
BVA 25–27 Oct 2001 685 7% 0.5% 5% 22% 12% 6% 1% 4% 24% 5% 1% 3% 0.5% 9%
Ipsos 19–20 Oct 2001 829 5% 0.5% 5% 23% 12% 6% 0.5% 5% 26% 5% 0.5% 4% 1.5% 6%
Sofres 19–20 Oct 2001 1,000 6% 6% 23% 8.5% 5.5% 5% 27% 5% 3% 11%
CSA 17–18 Oct 2001 1,005 7% 0.5% 5.5% 23% 9% 7% 5% 26% 5% 3% 0.5% 8.5%

15 February to 16 October 2001

[edit]
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Laguiller
LO
Besancenot
LCR
Hue
PCF
Jospin
PS
Chevènement
MDC
Dieudonné
LU
Mamère
LV
Lipietz
LV
Voynet
LV
Waechter
MEI
Lepage
Cap21
Lalonde
GE
Bayrou
UDF
Chirac
RPR
Madelin
DL
Boutin
FRS
Pasqua
RPF
Villiers
MPF
Mégret
MNR
Le Pen
FN
Ifop 11–12 Oct 2001 761 6% <1% 5% 23% 10% 8% <1% 1% 6% 24% 4% <1% 5% 7%
7% <1% 5% 26% 11% 2% <1% 1% 5% 26% 4% <1% 5% 7%
BVA 27–29 Sep 2001 773 6% 1% 6% 26% 8% 3% 0.5% 5% 25% 7% 0.5% 3% 1% 8%
CSA 11–12 Sep 2001 1,000 7% 1% 6% 24% 9% 4% 6% 26% 6% 2% 1% 8%
Sofres 7–8 Sep 2001 1,000 7% 6% 27% 9% 2% 5% 26% 5% 0.5% 4% 1.5% 7%
BVA 30 Aug–1 Sep 2001 682 6% 1% 4% 25% 6% 4% 1% 6% 26% 5% 1% 6% 2% 7%
CSA 16–17 Jul 2001 1,005 7% 7% 26% 6% 3% 5% 30% 5% 3% 1% 7%
BVA 5–7 Jul 2001 605 7% 1% 6% 26% 5% 5% 2% 5% 25% 5% 2% 2% 2% 7%
Sofres 22–23 Jun 2001 1,000 7% 6% 27% 6% 3% 5% 26% 5% 1% 4% 10%
9% 7% 27.5% 7% 3% 6.5% 31% 9%
CSA 20–21 Jun 2001 1,000 6.5% 6.5% 27% 5% 4% 6% 28% 6% 2% 2% 7%
BVA 14–16 Jun 2001 658 8% 7% 24% 6% 7% 6% 23% 5% 5% 1% 8%
Ipsos 8–9 Jun 2001 839 6% 6% 27% 4% 5% 5% 30% 3% 3% 3% 2% 6%
6% 6% 27% 4% 5% 5% 32% 3% 3% 2% 7%
6% 6% 28% 4% 5% 5% 33% 4% 4% 5%
6% 6% 28% 5% 6% 6% 38% 5%
CSA 29–30 May 2001 900 6% 8% 28% 4% 5% 5% 27% 5% 2% 2% 8%
Sofres 15–16 May 2001 840 6% 5.5% 27% 5% 7% 6% 26% 5% 3% 1.5% 8%
BVA 10–12 May 2001 640 7% 6% 27% 3% 7% 6% 25% 5% 6% 8%
CSA 26–27 Apr 2001 922 6% 6% 25% 5% 5% 7% 30% 3% 3% 2% 8%
BVA 20–21 Apr 2001 733 8% 5% 26% 4% 7% 6% 24% 7% 6% 7%
Sofres 28–29 Mar 2001 1,000 6.5% 5% 28% 3% 5.5% 5% 27% 5% 3.5% 3% 8.5%
CSA 26 Mar 2001 1,000 5% 5% 28% 3% 7% 7% 28% 4% 4% 2% 7%
BVA 22–24 Mar 2001 678 6% 6% 26% 5% 8% 6% 25% 5% 6% 7%
BVA 22–24 Feb 2001 657 7.5% 6% 28% 4% 5% 5% 26% 6% 4.5% 8%
Ifop 15–16 Feb 2001 805 6% 5% 27% 5% 4% 7% 4% 24% 3% 5% 2% 8%

21 August 1998 to 14 February 2001

[edit]
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Laguiller
LO
Hue
PCF
Jospin
PS
Chevènement
MDC
Voynet
LV
Bové
SE
Bayrou
UDF
Chirac
RPR
Séguin
RPR
Madelin
DL
Boutin
FRS
Pasqua
RPF
Villiers
MPF
Saint-Josse
CPNT
Mégret
MNR
Le Pen
FN
Ipsos 9–10 Feb 2001 955 6% 5% 30% 4% 3% 5% 29% 5% 4% 9%
Sofres 2–3 Feb 2001 1,000 6% 7% 30% 3.5% 5% 5% 24% 6% 3.5% 2% 8%
BVA 1–3 Feb 2001 667 7% 6% 29% 4% 4% 7% 26% 5% 5% 7%
BVA 11–13 Jan 2001 634 7% 6% 27% 3% 4% 7% 28% 5% 5% 8%
CSA 5–6 Jan 2001 1,000 6% 7% 29% 3% 5% 7% 23% 5% 5% 1% 9%
Ipsos 5 Dec 2000 818 4% 5% 29% 5% 4% 8% 25% 5% 7% 2% 1% 5%
Sofres 1–2 Dec 2000 1,000 6% 6% 30% 6% 5% 6% 22% 6.5% 6% 1% 5.5%
BVA 30 Nov–2 Dec 2000 945 8% 6% 28% 2% 4% 7% 26% 4% 6% 9%
Ifop 27 Nov 2000 803 6% 6% 27% 4% 5% 5% 24% 5% <1% 6% 4% 8%
CSA 14–15 Nov 2000 1,000 6% 5.5% 28% 5% 4% 6% 27% 7.5% 1% 10%
BVA 8–10 Nov 2000 636 8% 7% 30% 4% 6% 27% 3% 5% 10%
BVA 6–8 Oct 2000 627 7% 8% 29% 3% 4% 30% 4% 7% 8%
Ipsos 29–30 Sep 2000 939 5% 7% 28% 6% 3% 6% 27% 10% 2% 6%
BVA 7–9 Sep 2000 581 7% 7% 27% 4% 6% 32% 3% 10% 4%
CSA 6–7 Sep 2000 1,000 6% 5.5% 25% 7% 5.5% 4% 30% 7.5% 1% 8.5%
BVA 20–22 Jul 2000 680 6% 6% 32% 4% 4% 31% 3% 8% 6%
Ipsos 15 Jul 2000 874 5% 6% 29% 4% 6% 4% 32% 6% 2% 6%
CSA 28–29 Jun 2000 1,000 7% 7% 28% 5% 4% 33% 7% 2% 7%
BVA 15–17 Jun 2000 638 6.5% 6% 33% 3% 4% 29% 2.5% 8% 8%
BVA 11–13 May 2000 691 5.5% 7% 31% 4% 4% 30% 3% 8.5% 7%
CSA 10–13 May 2000 1,000 6% 6% 27% 5% 5% 34% 6% 3% 8%
Ipsos 28–29 Apr 2000 825 3% 7% 32% 3% 3% 33% 9% 3% 1% 6%
BVA 13–15 Apr 2000 535 6% 7% 31% 3.5% 4% 29% 3% 9% 7.5%
BVA 16–18 Mar 2000 984 7% 6.5% 31% 4% 4% 26.5% 3% 11% 7%
Ipsos 10–11 Mar 2000 920 5% 6% 30% 4% 3% 30% 10% 4% 2% 6%
Ifop 2–3 Mar 2000 941 7% 6% 27% 6% 6% 26% 13% 9%
8% 6% 30% 6% 8% 17% 16% 9%
CSA 28–29 Feb 2000 1,000 7% 6% 29% 4% 5% 29% 9% 3% 8%
BVA 17–19 Feb 2000 615 6% 6.5% 31.5% 4% 5% 24% 4% 10% 9%
BVA 13–15 Jan 2000 567 5% 6.5% 31.5% 3% 4% 24% 3% 11% 12%
CSA 4–5 Jan 2000 1,000 5.5% 7.5% 31% 5% 5.5% 28% 8.5% 1% 8%
Sofres 27–29 Dec 1999 995 7% 7% 29% 6% 6% 26% 10% 2% 7%
CSA 3–4 Nov 1999 1,000 5% 8% 32% 5% 5% 30% 6% 1% 8%
CSA 1–2 Sep 1999 1,000 5% 6% 30% 5% 6% 31% 8% 1% 8%
CSA 1–2 Jul 1999 1,004 5% 7% 31% 5% 6% 31% 8% 2% 5%
CSA 6–7 May 1999 1,002 4.5% 7% 29% 4.5% 5% 34% 5% 3% 8%
CSA 5–6 Mar 1999 1,003 4.5% 9% 30% 3.5% 5% 35% 3% 3% 7%
CSA 18–19 Dec 1998 1,006 5% 8% 28% 5% 5% 31% 4% 5% 9%
BVA 10–13 Dec 1998 612 5% 7% 29% 5% 4% 32% 8% 10%
CSA 21–22 Aug 1998 1,003 5% 10% 31% 5% 5% 30% 3% 11%

17 April 1996 to 20 August 1998

[edit]
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. Laguiller
LO
Hue
PCF
Jospin
PS
Voynet
LV
Léotard
UDF
Balladur
UDF
Chirac
RPR
Séguin
RPR
Villiers
MPF
Le Pen
FN
Cheminade
S&P
CSA 18 Aug 1997 1,000 5% 9% 29.5% 4% 3% 36.5% 13%
5% 8.5% 31.5% 5% 7% 29% 14%
CSA 17–19 Apr 1996 1,000 4% 8% 26% 2% 16% 25% 5% 14% 0%
1995 election 23 Apr 1995 21.62% 5.30% 8.64% 23.30% 3.32% 18.58% 20.84% 4.74% 15.00% 0.28%

By department

[edit]
Paris
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. Laguiller
LO
Gluckstein
PT
Besancenot
LCR
Hue
PCF
Jospin
PS
Taubira
PRG
Chevènement
MDC
Mamère
LV
Lepage
Cap21
Bayrou
UDF
Chirac
RPR
Madelin
DL
Boutin
FRS
Saint-
Josse

CPNT
Mégret
MNR
Le Pen
FN
2002 election 21 Apr 2002 29.81% 3.05% 0.34% 3.42% 2.19% 19.94% 3.78% 6.62% 7.39% 2.46% 7.91% 24.01% 6.50% 1.49% 0.52% 1.02% 9.35%
Ipsos 20–21 Mar 2002 804 10% 1% 3% 23% 0.5% 10% 6% 1% 4% 27% 4% 1% 0.5% 1% 6%
Réunion
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. Laguiller
LO
Gluckstein
PT
Besancenot
LCR
Hue
PCF
Jospin
PS
Taubira
PRG
Chevènement
MDC
Mamère
LV
Lepage
Cap21
Bayrou
UDF
Chirac
RPR
Madelin
DL
Boutin
FRS
Pasqua
RPF
Saint-
Josse

CPNT
Mégret
MNR
Le Pen
FN
2002 election 21 Apr 2002 43.68% 2.55% 0.22% 1.93% 1.18% 39.01% 2.10% 3.13% 2.14% 0.95% 2.50% 37.15% 1.05% 0.91% 0.49% 0.87% 3.81%
Ipsos 25–26 Feb 2002 838 5% <0.5% 4% 38% 2% 6% 3% <0.5% 1% 37% 1% <0.5% <0.5% <0.5% <0.5% 1%

Second round

[edit]

The Sofres poll conducted from 4 to 5 April 2002, marked with an asterisk (*) below, was conducted specifically for subsample data.

The publication of second-round polls was prohibited after midnight on 3 May 2002.[1]

Chirac–Le Pen

[edit]
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. Chirac
RPR
Le Pen
FN
2002 election 5 May 2002 20.29% 82.21% 17.79%
CSA 3 May 2002 1,000 80% 20%
Ipsos 30 Apr–2 May 2002 1,012 79% 21%
Ipsos 26–27 Apr 2002 922 78% 22%
CSA 23–24 Apr 2002 1,000 81% 19%
CSA 21 Apr 2002 1,000 77% 23%
Ipsos 21 Apr 2002 1,043 80% 20%
Sofres 21 Apr 2002 1,000 78% 22%

Jospin–Chirac

[edit]
Graphical summary

The averages in the graphs below were constructed using polls listed below conducted by the six major French pollsters. The graphs are 14-day weighted moving averages, using only the most recent poll conducted by any given pollster within that range (each poll weighted based on recency).

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. Jospin
PS
Chirac
RPR
BVA 18 Apr 2002 579 50% 50%
CSA 17–18 Apr 2002 1,000 50% 50%
Ipsos 17–18 Apr 2002 989 49% 51%
Sofres 17–18 Apr 2002 1,000 50% 50%
Louis Harris 16–17 Apr 2002 577 49% 51%
Ipsos 15–16 Apr 2002 1,005 49% 51%
Sofres 13–15 Apr 2002 1,000 49% 51%
Ifop 12–13 Apr 2002 1,006 49% 51%
BVA 10–13 Apr 2002 641 50% 50%
Ifop 11–12 Apr 2002 951 49.5% 50.5%
CSA 10–11 Apr 2002 1,000 48% 52%
Sofres 10–11 Apr 2002 1,000 50% 50%
Ifop 5–6 Apr 2002 1,004 48.5% 51.5%
Ipsos 5–6 Apr 2002 952 49% 51%
BVA 4–6 Apr 2002 595 52% 48%
Sofres* 4–5 Apr 2002 1,000 51% 49%
CSA 3–4 Apr 2002 1,000 50% 50%
Sofres 3–4 Apr 2002 1,000 49% 51%
Ipsos 29–30 Mar 2002 938 49% 51%
Louis Harris 29–30 Mar 2002 1,001 51% 49%
BVA 28–30 Mar 2002 594 52% 48%
Ifop 28–29 Mar 2002 936 51% 49%
CSA 27–28 Mar 2002 1,003 50.5% 49.5%
Sofres 27–28 Mar 2002 1,000 52% 48%
Sofres 27–28 Mar 2002 1,000 51% 49%
Ifop 23–24 Mar 2002 1,005 50% 50%
Ipsos 22–23 Mar 2002 938 50% 50%
Sofres 22–23 Mar 2002 1,000 51% 49%
BVA 21–23 Mar 2002 588 52% 48%
Ifop 21–22 Mar 2002 947 50% 50%
CSA 20–21 Mar 2002 1,000 50% 50%
Ifop 15–16 Mar 2002 933 51.5% 48.5%
Ipsos 15–16 Mar 2002 919 50% 50%
BVA 14–16 Mar 2002 641 51% 49%
Sofres 13–16 Mar 2002 1,000 51% 49%
Sofres 14–15 Mar 2002 1,000 50.5% 49.5%
CSA 13–14 Mar 2002 1,001 51% 49%
Ipsos 8–9 Mar 2002 933 51% 49%
Louis Harris 8–9 Mar 2002 603 52% 48%
Sofres 8–9 Mar 2002 1,000 51.5% 48.5%
Ipsos 1–2 Mar 2002 925 50% 50%
BVA 28 Feb–2 Mar 2002 630 52% 48%
Ifop 28 Feb–1 Mar 2002 941 51% 49%
CSA 27–28 Feb 2002 1,007 52% 48%
Sofres 27–28 Feb 2002 1,000 51% 49%
Ifop 22–23 Feb 2002 937 51% 49%
Ipsos 22–23 Feb 2002 938 49% 51%
Sofres 22–23 Feb 2002 1,000 51% 49%
Ifop 21–22 Feb 2002 939 50% 50%
Ipsos 15–16 Feb 2002 916 47% 53%
BVA 14–16 Feb 2002 713 50% 50%
Sofres 13–15 Feb 2002 1,000 50% 50%
CSA 13–14 Feb 2002 1,000 47% 53%
Ipsos 12 Feb 2002 1,018 47% 53%
Ipsos 8–9 Feb 2002 908 49% 51%
Ifop 7–8 Feb 2002 961 48% 52%
Ipsos 1–2 Feb 2002 925 49% 51%
Louis Harris 1–2 Feb 2002 839 51% 49%
Sofres 1–2 Feb 2002 1,000 50% 50%
BVA 31 Jan–2 Feb 2002 697 51% 49%
Ifop 31 Jan–1 Feb 2002 963 50% 50%
CSA 29–30 Jan 2002 1,001 48% 52%
Ipsos 25–26 Jan 2002 962 48% 52%
Ifop 17–18 Jan 2002 943 49% 51%
CSA 17 Jan 2002 1,006 47% 53%
Ipsos 11–12 Jan 2002 947 48% 52%
Sofres 11–12 Jan 2002 1,000 49% 51%
Ifop 10–11 Jan 2002 963 48% 52%
Sofres 5 Jan 2002 800 49% 51%
Ipsos 4–5 Jan 2002 955 48% 52%
Louis Harris 4–5 Jan 2002 1,003 49% 51%
BVA 2–5 Jan 2002 735 52% 48%
CSA 3–4 Jan 2002 1,005 47% 53%
Sofres 14–15 Dec 2001 1,000 49% 51%
CSA 11–12 Dec 2001 1,000 48% 52%
Ipsos 7–8 Dec 2001 840 49% 51%
Sofres 6–7 Dec 2001 846 48% 52%
BVA 29 Nov–1 Dec 2001 608 50% 50%
Ifop 29–30 Nov 2001 943 49% 51%
Sofres 22–23 Nov 2001 1,000 49% 51%
CSA 14–15 Nov 2001 1,006 47% 53%
Ipsos 9–10 Nov 2001 927 47% 53%
BVA 25–27 Oct 2001 622 49% 51%
Ipsos 19–20 Oct 2001 829 48% 52%
Sofres 19–20 Oct 2001 1,000 48% 52%
CSA 17–18 Oct 2001 1,005 47% 53%
Ifop 11–12 Oct 2001 761 49% 51%
BVA 27–29 Sep 2001 704 49% 51%
CSA 11–12 Sep 2001 1,000 47% 53%
Sofres 7–8 Sep 2001 1,000 51% 49%
BVA 30 Aug–1 Sep 2001 634 49% 51%
CSA 16–17 Jul 2001 1,005 47% 53%
BVA 5–7 Jul 2001 571 52% 48%
Ifop 5–6 Jul 2001 826 50% 50%
Sofres 22–23 Jun 2001 1,000 51% 49%
CSA 20–21 Jun 2001 1,000 48% 52%
BVA 14–16 Jun 2001 652 49% 51%
Ipsos 8–9 Jun 2001 839 48% 52%
CSA 29–30 May 2001 900 49% 51%
Sofres 15–16 May 2001 840 50% 50%
BVA 10–12 May 2001 614 51% 49%
CSA 26–27 Apr 2001 922 47% 53%
Ifop 26–27 Apr 2001 831 51% 49%
BVA 20–21 Apr 2001 710 52% 48%
Sofres 28–29 Mar 2001 1,000 52% 48%
CSA 26 Mar 2001 1,000 49% 51%
BVA 22–24 Mar 2001 632 52% 48%
BVA 22–24 Feb 2001 628 52% 48%
Ifop 15–16 Feb 2001 805 51% 49%
Ipsos 9–10 Feb 2001 955 51% 49%
Sofres 2–3 Feb 2001 1,000 53% 47%
BVA 1–3 Feb 2001 654 54% 46%
BVA 11–13 Jan 2001 617 51% 49%
CSA 5–6 Jan 2001 1,000 54% 46%
Ipsos 5 Dec 2000 818 49% 51%
BVA 30 Nov–2 Dec 2000 945 51% 49%
Ifop 30 Nov–1 Dec 2000 947 51% 49%
CSA 14–15 Nov 2000 1,000 49% 51%
BVA 8–10 Nov 2000 597 53% 47%
Sofres 11–13 Oct 2000 1,000 52% 48%
BVA 6–8 Oct 2000 576 49% 51%
Ipsos 29–30 Sep 2000 939 51% 49%
Ifop 25 Sep 2000 804 49% 51%
BVA 7–9 Sep 2000 934 45% 55%
CSA 6–7 Sep 2000 1,000 48% 52%
Ifop 1–4 Sep 2000 982 49% 51%
BVA 20–22 Jul 2000 658 49% 51%
Ifop 6–7 Jul 2000 947 47% 53%
CSA 28–29 Jun 2000 1,000 51% 49%
BVA 15–17 Jun 2000 616 50% 50%
BVA 11–13 May 2000 680 47% 53%
CSA 10–13 May 2000 1,000 47% 53%
Ipsos 28–29 Apr 2000 825 48% 52%
Ifop 27–28 Apr 2000 952 47% 53%
BVA 13–15 Apr 2000 523 49% 51%
BVA 16–18 Mar 2000 984 50.5% 49.5%
Ipsos 10–11 Mar 2000 920 47% 53%
CSA 28–29 Feb 2000 1,000 48% 52%
BVA 17–19 Feb 2000 560 51% 49%
BVA 13–15 Jan 2000 545 51% 49%
Ifop 6–7 Jan 2000 943 51% 49%
CSA 4–5 Jan 2000 1,000 52% 48%
Sofres 27–29 Dec 1999 995 53% 47%
BVA 9–11 Dec 1999 573 53% 47%
BVA 18–20 Nov 1999 926 51% 49%
CSA 3–4 Nov 1999 1,000 52% 48%
BVA 14–16 Oct 1999 977 51% 49%
BVA 16–18 Sep 1999 671 52% 48%
CSA 1–2 Sep 1999 1,000 50% 50%
BVA 15–17 Jul 1999 574 48% 52%
CSA 1–2 Jul 1999 1,004 51% 49%
CSA 6–7 May 1999 1,002 46% 54%
Ifop 29–30 Apr 1999 953 50% 50%
CSA 5–6 Mar 1999 1,003 50% 50%
Ifop 4 Jan 1999 804 47% 53%
CSA 18–19 Dec 1998 1,006 49% 51%
BVA 10–13 Dec 1998 564 49% 51%
Ifop 4–5 Dec 1998 957 47% 53%
CSA 23–24 Oct 1998 1,003 50% 50%
CSA 21–22 Aug 1998 1,003 51% 49%
Ifop 3–4 Apr 1998 953 51% 49%
BVA 5–6 Dec 1997 964 56% 44%
Ifop 16–17 Oct 1997 950 53% 47%
CSA 18 Aug 1997 1,000 51% 49%
CSA 17–19 Apr 1996 1,000 49% 51%
BVA 26–27 Apr 1996 953 53% 47%
1995 election 7 May 1995 20.34% 47.36% 52.64%

By department

[edit]
Paris
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. Jospin
PS
Chirac
RPR
Ipsos 20–21 Mar 2002 804 47% 53%
1995 election 7 May 1995 22.57% 39.83% 60.17%
Réunion
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. Jospin
PS
Chirac
RPR
Ipsos 25–26 Feb 2002 838 52% 48%
1995 election 7 May 1995 25.13% 56.00% 44.00%

Chevènement–Chirac

[edit]
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Chevènement
MDC
Chirac
RPR
Sofres 6–7 Dec 2001 846 40% 60%
Ifop 29–30 Nov 2001 943 40% 60%

Jospin–Chevènement

[edit]
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Jospin
PS
Chevènement
MDC
Sofres 6–7 Dec 2001 846 56% 44%

Aubry–Chirac

[edit]
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Aubry
PS
Chirac
RPR
Sofres 11–13 Oct 2000 1,000 48% 52%

Jospin–Séguin

[edit]
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Jospin
PS
Séguin
RPR
Sofres 11–13 Oct 2000 1,000 62% 38%

See also

[edit]

References

[edit]
  1. ^ a b François Wenz-Dumas (19 April 2002). "Fin des sondages". Libération. Retrieved 22 April 2018.
[edit]