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Nawalapitiya Polling Division

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Nawalapitiya
Location of Nawalapitiya
Coordinates: 7°05′11″N 80°33′17″E / 7.086327°N 80.554722°E / 7.086327; 80.554722
CountrySri Lanka
ProvinceCentral Province, Sri Lanka
Electoral DistrictKandy Electoral District
Area
 • Total
303.23 km2 (117.08 sq mi)
Population
 (2012)[1]
 • Total
206,887
 • Density682/km2 (1,770/sq mi)
ISO 3166 codeEC-04M

The Nawalapitiya Polling Division is a Polling Division in the Kandy Electoral District, in the Central Province, Sri Lanka.

Presidential Election Results

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Summary

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The winner of Nawalapitiya has matched the final country result 6 out of 8 times. Hence, Nawalapitiya is a Weak Bellwether for Presidential Elections.

Year Nawalapitiya Kandy Electoral District MAE[2] % Sri Lanka MAE[3] %
2019 NDF SLPP 4.81% SLPP 6.86%
2015 NDF NDF 0.28% NDF 3.23%
2010 UPFA UPFA 3.15% UPFA 0.54%
2005 UNP UNP 3.85% UPFA 2.03%
1999 PA PA 4.35% PA 2.89%
1994 PA PA 0.34% PA 5.24%
1988 UNP UNP 4.27% UNP 7.11%
1982 UNP UNP 2.48% UNP 6.99%
Matches/Mean MAE 6/8 7/8 2.94% 8/8 4.36%
Party Nawalapitiya[4] Kandy Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
NDF 39,887 49.51% 417,355 44.64% 5,564,239 41.99%
SLPP 36,436 45.22% 471,502 50.43% 6,924,255 52.25%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 2,504 3.11% 22,479 2.40% 345,452 2.61%
NMPP 1,740 2.16% 23,539 2.52% 418,553 3.16%
Valid Votes 80,567 98.74% 934,875 99.04% 13,252,499 98.99%
Rejected Votes 1,030 1.26% 9,020 0.96% 135,452 1.01%
Total Polled 81,597 84.42% 943,895 84.89% 13,387,951 83.71%
Registered Electors 96,659 1,111,860 15,992,568
Party Nawalapitiya[5] Kandy Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
NDF 40,233 54.25% 466,994 54.56% 6,217,162 51.28%
UPFA 32,619 43.98% 378,585 44.23% 5,768,090 47.58%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,310 1.77% 10,329 1.21% 138,200 1.14%
Valid Votes 74,162 98.16% 855,908 98.73% 12,123,452 98.85%
Rejected Votes 1,393 1.84% 10,993 1.27% 140,925 1.15%
Total Polled 75,555 79.06% 866,901 79.71% 12,264,377 78.69%
Registered Electors 95,567 1,087,542 15,585,942
Party Nawalapitiya[6] Kandy Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 35,555 57.05% 406,636 54.16% 6,015,934 57.88%
NDF 25,107 40.29% 329,492 43.89% 4,173,185 40.15%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,658 2.66% 14,658 1.95% 204,494 1.97%
Valid Votes 62,320 98.31% 750,786 98.85% 10,393,613 99.03%
Rejected Votes 1,069 1.69% 8,700 1.15% 101,838 0.97%
Total Polled 63,389 74.46% 759,486 75.87% 10,495,451 66.70%
Registered Electors 85,136 1,001,074 15,734,587
Party Nawalapitiya[7] Kandy Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 29,882 50.26% 387,150 54.33% 4,706,366 48.43%
UPFA 28,544 48.01% 315,672 44.30% 4,887,152 50.29%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,027 1.73% 9,798 1.37% 123,521 1.27%
Valid Votes 59,453 98.40% 712,620 98.64% 9,717,039 98.88%
Rejected Votes 965 1.60% 9,817 1.36% 109,869 1.12%
Total Polled 60,418 75.52% 722,437 77.37% 9,826,908 69.51%
Registered Electors 80,003 933,754 14,136,979
Party Nawalapitiya[8] Kandy Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 28,277 54.78% 308,187 50.29% 4,312,157 51.12%
UNP 20,885 40.46% 276,360 45.10% 3,602,748 42.71%
JVP 1,353 2.62% 15,512 2.53% 343,927 4.08%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,107 2.14% 12,752 2.08% 176,679 2.09%
Valid Votes 51,622 97.15% 612,811 97.29% 8,435,754 97.69%
Rejected Votes 1,513 2.85% 17,060 2.71% 199,536 2.31%
Total Polled 53,135 76.90% 629,871 77.61% 8,635,290 72.17%
Registered Electors 69,098 811,606 11,965,536
Party Nawalapitiya[9] Kandy Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 26,785 56.98% 320,110 56.64% 4,709,205 62.28%
UNP 19,423 41.32% 235,519 41.68% 2,715,283 35.91%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 799 1.70% 9,488 1.68% 137,040 1.81%
Valid Votes 47,007 96.89% 565,117 97.55% 7,561,526 98.03%
Rejected Votes 1,509 3.11% 14,179 2.45% 151,706 1.97%
Total Polled 48,516 77.01% 579,296 77.85% 7,713,232 69.12%
Registered Electors 62,996 744,151 11,158,880
Party Nawalapitiya[10] Kandy Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 24,203 59.26% 234,124 54.88% 2,569,199 50.43%
SLFP 16,082 39.37% 186,187 43.65% 2,289,857 44.95%
SLMP 559 1.37% 6,266 1.47% 235,701 4.63%
Valid Votes 40,844 98.74% 426,577 98.57% 5,094,754 98.24%
Rejected Votes 521 1.26% 6,167 1.43% 91,499 1.76%
Total Polled 41,365 76.59% 432,744 68.36% 5,186,256 55.87%
Registered Electors 54,010 633,030 9,283,143
Party Nawalapitiya[11] Kandy Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 24,586 62.32% 289,621 59.80% 3,450,815 52.93%
SLFP 13,512 34.25% 178,647 36.89% 2,546,348 39.05%
JVP 961 2.44% 12,493 2.58% 273,428 4.19%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 394 1.00% 3,536 0.73% 249,460 3.83%
Valid Votes 39,453 98.97% 484,297 99.07% 6,520,156 98.78%
Rejected Votes 411 1.03% 4,548 0.93% 80,470 1.22%
Total Polled 39,864 84.02% 488,845 89.44% 6,600,626 80.15%
Registered Electors 47,445 546,565 8,235,358

Parliamentary Election Results

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Summary

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The winner of Nawalapitiya has matched the final country result 4 out of 7 times. Hence, Nawalapitiya is a Weak Bellwether for Parliamentary Elections.

Year Nawalapitiya Kandy Electoral District MAE[12] % Sri Lanka MAE[13] %
2015 UNP UNP 0.59% UNP 6.60%
2010 UPFA UPFA 12.60% UPFA 10.78%
2004 UNP UNP 1.63% UPFA 5.54%
2001 PA UNP 9.38% UNP 6.24%
2000 PA PA 9.35% PA 9.74%
1994 UNP UNP 2.61% PA 7.34%
1989 UNP UNP 2.15% UNP 7.43%
Matches/Mean MAE 4/7 5/7 5.47% 7/7 7.67%
Party Nawalapitiya[14] Kandy Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 37,611 56.12% 440,761 55.61% 5,098,916 45.77%
UPFA 25,672 38.31% 309,152 39.00% 4,732,664 42.48%
JVP 2,157 3.22% 30,669 3.87% 544,154 4.88%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 855 1.28% 7,655 0.97% 82,981 0.74%
CWC 719 1.07% 4,400 0.56% 17,107 0.15%
Valid Votes 67,014 92.82% 792,637 95.48% 11,140,333 95.35%
Rejected Votes 5,101 7.07% 37,065 4.46% 516,926 4.42%
Total Polled 72,200 75.55% 830,165 79.13% 11,684,111 77.66%
Registered Electors 95,567 1,049,160 15,044,490
Party Nawalapitiya[15] Kandy Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 38,153 74.76% 339,819 60.81% 4,846,388 60.38%
UNP 11,648 22.82% 192,798 34.50% 2,357,057 29.37%
DNA 1,128 2.21% 23,728 4.25% 441,251 5.50%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 108 0.21% 2,459 0.44% 30,354 0.38%
Valid Votes 51,037 92.23% 558,804 90.49% 8,026,322 96.03%
Rejected Votes 4,262 7.70% 58,333 9.45% 581,465 6.96%
Total Polled 55,338 65.00% 617,559 61.70% 8,358,246 59.29%
Registered Electors 85,136 1,000,861 14,097,690
Party Nawalapitiya[16] Kandy Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 25,823 50.99% 313,859 49.99% 3,486,792 37.73%
UPFA 22,708 44.84% 268,131 42.71% 4,223,126 45.70%
JHU 1,793 3.54% 42,192 6.72% 552,723 5.98%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 318 0.63% 3,684 0.59% 64,227 0.69%
Valid Votes 50,642 91.92% 627,866 93.24% 9,241,931 94.52%
Rejected Votes 4,421 8.02% 45,484 6.75% 534,452 5.47%
Total Polled 55,093 71.83% 673,380 76.47% 9,777,821 75.74%
Registered Electors 76,700 880,634 12,909,631
Party Nawalapitiya[17] Kandy Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 25,630 49.81% 233,637 39.23% 3,330,815 37.19%
UNP 22,110 42.97% 314,297 52.77% 4,086,026 45.62%
JVP 2,811 5.46% 37,146 6.24% 815,353 9.10%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 902 1.75% 10,496 1.76% 129,347 1.44%
Valid Votes 51,453 93.16% 595,576 93.40% 8,955,844 94.77%
Rejected Votes 3,780 6.84% 42,103 6.60% 494,009 5.23%
Total Polled 55,233 75.68% 637,679 76.03% 9,449,878 76.03%
Registered Electors 72,986 838,687 12,428,762
Party Nawalapitiya[18] Kandy Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 30,259 58.26% 282,282 46.66% 3,899,329 45.33%
UNP 16,089 30.98% 243,623 40.27% 3,451,765 40.12%
JVP 1,668 3.21% 21,565 3.56% 518,725 6.03%
NUA 1,388 2.67% 32,023 5.29% 185,593 2.16%
CWC 1,372 2.64% 6,108 1.01% 22,985 0.27%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,160 2.23% 19,327 3.19% 266,683 3.10%
Valid Votes 51,936 N/A 604,928 N/A 8,602,617 N/A
Party Nawalapitiya[19] Kandy Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 26,836 55.20% 301,824 52.35% 3,498,370 44.04%
PA 21,402 44.03% 267,683 46.43% 3,887,805 48.94%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 374 0.77% 7,045 1.22% 175,576 2.21%
Valid Votes 48,612 93.92% 576,552 94.89% 7,943,688 95.20%
Rejected Votes 3,148 6.08% 31,019 5.11% 400,395 4.80%
Total Polled 51,760 82.16% 607,571 81.67% 8,344,095 74.75%
Registered Electors 62,996 743,939 11,163,064
Party Nawalapitiya[20] Kandy Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 22,315 64.05% 204,973 61.72% 2,838,005 50.71%
SLFP 10,425 29.92% 105,977 31.91% 1,785,369 31.90%
SLMC 1,065 3.06% 14,697 4.43% 202,016 3.61%
USA 921 2.64% 5,147 1.55% 141,983 2.54%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 114 0.33% 1,315 0.40% 67,723 1.21%
Valid Votes 34,840 92.60% 332,109 93.69% 5,596,468 93.87%
Rejected Votes 2,784 7.40% 22,374 6.31% 365,563 6.13%
Total Polled 37,624 70.55% 354,483 56.42% 5,962,031 63.60%
Registered Electors 53,327 628,317 9,374,164

Demographics

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Ethnicity

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The Nawalapitiya Polling Division has a Sinhalese majority (60.1%), a significant Indian Tamil population (16.5%) and a significant Moor population (15.7%) . In comparison, the Kandy Electoral District (which contains the Nawalapitiya Polling Division) has a Sinhalese majority (74.4%) and a significant Moor population (13.9%) [1]

Ethnicity in Nawalapitiya[1]

  Sinhalese (60.1%)
  Indian Tamil (16.5%)
  Moor (15.7%)
  Sri Lankan Tamil (7.0%)
  Other (0.7%)

Religion

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The Nawalapitiya Polling Division has a Buddhist majority (59.3%), a significant Hindu population (20.9%) and a significant Muslim population (16.3%) . In comparison, the Kandy Electoral District (which contains the Nawalapitiya Polling Division) has a Buddhist majority (73.4%) and a significant Muslim population (14.3%) [1]

Religion in Nawalapitiya[1]

  Buddhist (59.3%)
  Hindu (20.9%)
  Muslim (16.3%)
  Roman Catholic (2.2%)
  Other Christian (1.3%)
  Other (0.0%)

References

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  1. ^ a b c d e "Census of Population and Housing 2012". statistics.gov.lk. Department of Census and Statistics, Sri Lanka. 2012.
  2. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Nawalapitiya and the Kandy Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  3. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Nawalapitiya and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  4. ^ "2019 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2019.
  5. ^ "2015 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015.
  6. ^ "2010 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010.
  7. ^ "2005 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2005.
  8. ^ "1999 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1999.
  9. ^ "1994 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994.
  10. ^ "1988 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1988.
  11. ^ "1982 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1982.
  12. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Nawalapitiya and the Kandy Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  13. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Nawalapitiya and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  14. ^ "2015 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015.
  15. ^ "2010 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010.
  16. ^ "2004 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2004.
  17. ^ "2001 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2001.
  18. ^ "2000 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2000.
  19. ^ "1994 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994.
  20. ^ "1989 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1989.