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Draft:2025 Canadian federal election in Ontario

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2025 Canadian federal election in Ontario
← 2021 On or before October 20, 2025 (2025-10-20)[a] 46th →
122 of 343 seats (35.6%) in the House of Commons
 
Justin Trudeau in May 2023.jpg
Pierre Poilievre in 2023 (edited).jpg
Jagmeet Singh in Brantford 2022 2 (cropped3).jpg
Leader Justin Trudeau Pierre Poilievre Jagmeet Singh
Party Liberal Conservative New Democratic
Leader since April 14, 2013 September 10, 2022 October 1, 2017
Leader's seat Papineau Carleton Burnaby South[b]
Last election 78 seats, 39.3% 37 seats, 34.9% 5 seats, 17.8%
Current seats 76 38 5
 
Elizabeth May 4431 (37439753570) (cropped).jpg
Maxime Bernier portrait 2023.png
Leader Elizabeth May Maxime Bernier
Party Green People's
Leader since November 19, 2022 September 14, 2018
Leader's seat Saanich—Gulf Islands N/A[c]
Last election 1 seats, 2.2% 0 seats, 5.5%
Current seats 1 0
Incumbent Prime Minister

Justin Trudeau
Liberal



In the 2025 Canadian federal election, there will be 122 constituency elections contested in the province of Ontario. This will be the first federal election where the city of Toronto will have less seats than it's surrounding municipalities within the Greater Toronto Area. Federal Conservative leader Pierre Poilievre will be contesting his seat in Ontario.

2022 electoral redistribution

[edit]

The 2025 Canadian federal election will be the first election to utilize the electoral districts established following the 2022 Canadian federal electoral redistribution. The House of Commons will increase from 338 seats to 343 seats, with Ontario gaining one seat in an increase from 121 to 122. This ensures that the the average population per constituency in Ontario is 116,590 (according to the 2021 Canadian census), which is 8,742 more people per electoral district than the national average.[2]

Summary of results

[edit]
Party Votes Seats
Liberal
0%
 pp
0 / 122 (0%)
Conservative
0%
 pp
0 / 122 (0%)
New Democratic
0%
 pp
0 / 122 (0%)
Green
0%
 pp
0 / 122 (0%)
People's
0%
 pp
0 / 122 (0%)
Independent
0%
 pp
0 / 122 (0%)

Comparison with national results

[edit]
Party Popular vote % Seats in caucus
ON Natl. avg. +/-
Liberal 39.3 32.6 Increase 6.7
78 / 160 (49%)
Conservative 34.9 33.7 Increase 2.3
37 / 119 (31%)
New Democratic 17.8 17.8 Steady 0.0
5 / 25 (20%)
Green 2.2 2.3 Decrease 0.1
1 / 2 (50%)
People's 5.5 4.9 Increase 0.6 unrepresented party

References

[edit]
  1. ^ On March 20, 2024, the government introduced the Electoral Participation Act, which included an amendment to the Canada Elections Act that would change the fixed election date to October 27, 2025, to avoid conflicting with the Hindu festival of Diwali, as well as municipal elections in Alberta.[1]
  2. ^ Burnaby South was dissolved in the 2022 electoral redistribution. Singh has not yet announced where he will be running.
  3. ^ Will likely be running in Portage–Lisgar.
  1. ^ "Canada Elections Act" (PDF). Parliamentary Debates (Hansard). Canada: House of Commons of Canada. March 20, 2024. p. 21765.
  2. ^ "New House of Commons Seat Allocation" (Press release). Gatineau: Elections Canada. July 8, 2022. Archived from the original on July 8, 2022. Retrieved July 8, 2022.


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