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2024 Estlink 2 incident

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2024 Estlink 2 incident
Eagle S slowed significantly while passing Estlink 2.
Eagle S
Patrol vessel Turva
Date25 December
LocationGulf of Finland, Baltic Sea
CauseUnder investigation

On 25 December 2024 at 12:26 EET, the Estlink 2 submarine power cable had an unplanned failure, reducing the EstoniaFinland cross-border capacity from 1,016 MW to 358 MW.[1] The Finnish transmission system operator Fingrid expects the failure to last until August 2025.[1] At the time of the outage, electricity was flowing from Finland to Estonia at a rate of 658 MW. Concerns about potential sabotage rose due to recent outages in the Baltic Sea region, although subsea cables are also prone to technical malfunctions and accidents. Finnish prime minister Petteri Orpo confirmed that authorities were investigating the incident.[2]

In the evening of the same day, the authorities were also informed of disruptions to four telecommunications cables leaving Finland, with two cables belonging to the Finnish telecommunications company Elisa being completely severed.[3]

Investigation

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The oil tanker Eagle S, registered in the Cook Islands and while not on the list of 79 ships sanctioned by the EU at the time[4] believed to be part of Russia's so-called shadow fleet,[5] is under investigation for its potential involvement in the incident.[6][7] Finnish authorities suspect that the tanker's anchor may have caused the rupture of the cable.[6]

By early evening of 25 December, the Finnish Border Guard's offshore patrol vessel Turva was escorting Eagle S to the Porkkalanniemi peninsula.[7] The anchors were not in place on the vessel, and at 00:28 on the 26th, the Police Rapid Response Unit Karhu and the Special Intervention Unit of the Gulf of Finland Coast Guard District [fi] boarded the ship using two helicopters provided by the Finnish Defence Forces and the Finnish Border Guard. The authorities were armed and prepared for resistance, but there was none and the authorities quickly took control of the vessel.[8] The authorities asked Eagle S to raise the anchor, but only the anchor chain rose to the surface. The police took possession of the ship.[9]

The ship's crew, numbering just over 20 members, is made up of Georgian and Indian nationals.[10] According to Sami Rakshit, head of the Finnish Customs, the case is also being investigated for a serious regulatory offense of evasion of sanctions imposed on Russia following its invasion of Ukraine, as the vessel is carrying 35,000 tons of unleaded gasoline.[11][12]

As of 27 December 2024, Eagle S and Turva were still near Porkkalanniemi.[13] The police confirmed that the tanker is suspected of having caused the failure and that the incident is being investigated as an act of gross vandalism, with a flight ban of three kilometers instated around the area to support the preliminary investigation.[14] Chief of Police of Finland Ilkka Koskimäki [fi] said that there had not been any contact with Russia and there were no plans to do so.[15]

Reactions

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Raju (PVL 203)

Finland and Estonia

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Estonia's president Alar Karis said on X that "repeated damage to Baltic Sea infrastructure signals a systemic threat, not mere accidents."[16] Prime minister Kristen Michal said at a news conference that the shadow tankers "are helping Russia to earn funds that will aid Russian hybrid attacks,[17] and Defence Minister Hanno Pevkur announced on public radio that the patrol ship Raju had set sail on 24 December to protect Estlink 1.[18]

Professor of criminal law Sakari Melander [fi] told Helsingin Sanomat, that "here it seems justified to consider the use of coercive measures. Arrest and imprisonment may be an option." Matti Tolvanen [fi], professor emeritus of criminal and procedural law, said that if the ship is allowed to leave, there is little chance of the matter being taken to court or even investigated.[19] A prosecutor has been assigned to handle the case.[20]

Because electricity was flowing from Finland to Estonia and Estonia is a smaller country, electricity prices are expected to lovwer a bit in Finland and rise significantly in Estonia.[21]

European Union and NATO

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Kaja Kallas, the foreign EU minister, stated that the incident was "the latest in a series of suspected attacks on critical infrastructure" and thanked Finnish authorities "for their swift action in boarding the suspected vessel".[22]

Mark Rutte, the secretary general of NATO, discussed the incident with Finnish president Alexander Stubb and stated that NATO intends to increase its military presence in the Baltic Sea as a result of the incident.[23]

Russia

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The Kremlin didn't comment on the issue. "I can't say anything for sure, it's a very narrow-profile question, which is hardly the prerogative of the presidential administration," Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov said when asked by a Reuters journalist to comment on the actions of the Finnish authorities.[24]

See also

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References

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