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2024 Curitiba mayoral election

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2024 Curitiba municipal election
← 2020 6 October 2024 (2024-10-06) (first round)
27 October 2024 (2024-10-27) (second round)		 2028 →
Mayoral election
Opinion polls
Turnout72.26% (first round)
69.63% (second round)
 
Candidate Eduardo Pimentel Cristina Graeml
Party PSD PMB
Running mate Paulo Martins Jairo Ferreira Filho
Popular vote 531,029 390,254
Percentage 57.64% 42.36%
Mayor before election

Rafael Greca
PSD

Elected mayor

Eduardo Pimentel
PSD

Parliamentary election
Party Leader Vote % Seats +/–
Municipal Chamber
PSD Beto Moraes 11.16 6 +2
PL Eder Borges 8.75 4 +4
UNIÃO Alexandre Leprevost 8.64 4 +4
PP Oscalino do Povo 7.88 3 +1
Republicanos Pastor Marciano Alves 7.03 3 +1
PODE Bruno Pessuti 6.20 3 +1
NOVO Amália Tortato 5.92 3 +1
MDB Noemia Rocha 5.19 2 +1
PDT Marcos Vieira 4.13 2 −1
Agir 2.81 1 +1
PRD Ezequias Barros 2.70 1 +1
Solidarity Dalton Borba 2.48 0 −2
PV Maria Letícia 0.54 0 −1
This lists parties that won seats. See the complete results below.

The 2024 Curitiba mayoral election took place on 6 October 2024. Voters will elect a mayor, a vice mayor, and 38 councillors. The incumbent mayor, Rafael Greca (PSD) isn't eligible for a new term, since he was elected in 2016 and reelected in 2020.

If the most voted candidate on the first round doesn't achieve more than 50% of the votes, a second round will happen on 27 October 2024. The mayor's term will begin on 1 January 2025 and end on 31 December 2028.[1]

Context

[edit]

2020 election

[edit]

The last mayoral election in Curitiba, held in 2020, resulted in the victory of incumbent Rafael Greca, from the Democrats (DEM), in the first round. Greca obtained 499,821 votes or 59.74% of the valid votes. In the second place, the state deputy Goura Nataraj, from the Democratic Labor Party (PDT) only obtained 110,977 or around 13.26% of the valid votes and the other candidates did not reach double digits in vote percentages.[2]

Greca's victory in the first round is linked to the enormous popularity he had and still has in the city. In December 2023, the mayor's management was approved by around 73% of Curitiba's inhabitants.[3] As he is in his second consecutive term, Greca cannot run for re-election, due to limitations imposed by the Federal Constitution. There is speculation that the current Vice Mayor of Curitiba, Eduardo Pimentel, will be his successor.[4]

Electorate

[edit]

In February 2024, Curitiba had around 1,419,395 people eligible to vote,[5] an increase of 5% in the electorate compared to the last election and around 80% of the city's population eligible to vote (1,773,718), according to the 2022 Brazilian Demographic Census.[6] The city is divided into ten electoral zones (1st, 2nd, 3rd, 4th, 145th, 174th, 175th, 176th, 177th and 178th).[7] Voters have until 8 May 2024 to make their first copy of the electoral title or regularize it with the biometric registration.[8]

Electoral calendar

[edit]
Electoral calendar announced by the Superior Electoral Court (TSE) on 3 January 2024[9]
7 March – 5 April Period of the 'party window' for councillors. During this period, the councillors are able to move to other political parties in order to run for election while not losing their respective political terms.
6 April Deadline for all parties and party federations to obtain the registration of their statutes at the Superior Electoral Court and for all candidates to have their electoral domicile in the constituency in which they wish to contest the elections with the affiliation granted by the party.
15 May Start of the preliminary fundraising campaign in the form of collective financing for potential candidates. During this period, candidates are not allowed to ask for votes and are still subjected to obey the rules regarding electoral propaganda on the Internet.
20 July – 5 August On this date, party conventions begin to deliberate on coalitions and choose candidates for mayors and councillors tickets. Parties have until 15 August to register their names with the Brazilian Election Justice.
16 August Beginning of electoral campaigns on an equal basis, with any advertising or demonstration explicitly requesting for votes before the date being considered irregular and subject to fines.
30 August –3 October Broadcasting of free electoral propaganda on radio and television.
6 October Date of mayoral elections.
27 October Date of a possible second round in cities with more than 200,000 voters in which the most voted candidate for mayor has not reached 50% of the valid votes.

Candidates

[edit]

Confirmed candidates

[edit]
Party Mayoral candidate Running mate Coalition

Progressistas
(PP 11)

Maria Victoria Barros

Progressistas
(PP)

Walter Petruzziello
  • Lawyer[10]
  • Candidate for Second Alternate of the senatorial candidate Alex Canziani (PTB) in the 2018 Paraná senatorial election.[11]
 Curitiba Better for Everyone[12]

United Socialist Workers' Party
(PSTU 16)

Samuel Mattos

United Socialist Workers' Party
(PSTU)

Leonardo Martinez —

Workers' Cause Party
(PCO 29)

Felipe Bombardelli
  • Engineer of Development at Siemens AG[17][18]

Workers' Cause Party
(PCO)

Paulo Costycha —

National Mobilization
(MOBILIZA 33)

Roberto Requião

National Mobilization
(MOBILIZA)

Marcelo Henrique Pinto —
Brazilian Woman's Party[a]
(PMB 35) 		Cristina Graeml (under legal review)[a] Brazilian Woman's Party
(PMB) 		Jairo Ferreira Filho (under legal review)[a] —
Brazilian Socialist Party
(PSB 40) 		Luciano Ducci

Democratic Labour Party
(PDT)

Goura Nataraj A More Social and Human Curitiba[12]

Brazil Union
(UNIÃO 44)

Ney Leprevost
  • State Deputy of Paraná (2007–2018; 2023–present)
  • Federal Deputy from Paraná (2019–2023)
  • Councillor of Curitiba (1997–2006)

Brazil Union
(UNIÃO)

Rosangela Moro
  • Federal Deputy from São Paulo (2023–present)
 Curitiba Can Achieve More[12]

Socialism and Liberty Party
(PSOL 50)

Andrea Caldas

Socialism and Liberty Party
(PSOL)

Letícia Faria

Social Democratic Party
(PSD 55)

Eduardo Pimentel
  • Vice Mayor of Curitiba (2017–present)

Liberal Party
(PL)

Paulo Martins Curitiba Love and Innovation[12]

Solidarity
(Solidariedade 77)

Luizão Goulart

Solidarity
(Solidariedade)

Tiago Chico
  • Technological Director of the Curitiba Development and Innovation Agency (2017–2018)
  • Civil engineer[44][45][12]
 —

Declined to run

[edit]
  • Bruno Meirinho (PSOL) – Candidate for mayor of Curitiba in the 2008 elections and in the 2012 elections. Lawyer.[46] The Socialism and Liberty Party, in a board meeting, decided on 13 April 2024 to officially support the potential candidacy of Andrea Caldas, thus removing the possibility of Meirinho becoming the party's nominee in the election.[47]
  • Deltan Dallagnol (NOVO) – Member of the Chamber of Deputies from Paraná (2023) and retired federal prosecutor.[48] The former Lava Jato prosecutor announced the withdrawal of his potential candidacy on 3 May 2024. He states that he will dedicate himself to campaigns and the training of his own party's politicians throughout Brazil.[49]
  • Carol Dartora (PT) – Councillor of Curitiba (2021–2023) and member of the Chamber of Deputies from Paraná (2023–present).[25]
  • Zeca Dirceu (PT) – Mayor of Cruzeiro do Oeste (2005–2010), member of the Chamber of Deputies from Paraná (2011–present) and businessman.[50]
  • Felipe Mongruel (PT) – Lawyer.[51]
  • Paulo Martins (PL) – Member of the Chamber of Deputies from Paraná (2016; 2019–2023) and journalist.[25] The Liberal Party nominated Martins as the running mate of Pimentel on 25 May 2024.[37]
  • Ricardo Arruda (PL) – Member of the Chamber of Deputies from Paraná (2013) and member of the Legislative Assembly of Paraná (2015–present).[52]
  • David Antunes (Cidadania) – Coordinator of Casa LGBT CWB[53] and candidate for state deputy in the 2022 Paraná state elections.[54]
  • Goura Nataraj (PDT) – Councillor of Curitiba (2017–2019), member of the Legislative Assembly of Paraná (2019–present), candidate in the 2020 Curitiba mayoral election and philosopher.[25]
  • Beto Richa (PSDB) – Member of the Legislative Assembly of Paraná (1995–2001), Vice Mayor of Curitiba (2001–2005), Mayor of Curitiba (2005–2010), Governor of Paraná (2011–2018), member of the Chamber of Deputies from Paraná (2023–present) and engineer.[55]

The Workers' Party, through its National Executive, formally announced its support for the potential candidacy of former mayor Luciano Ducci on 27 May 2024. Due to this decision, it is unlikely that any of the party's potential candidates would be able to launch a candidacy. However, these former candidates can still have an appeal to the Workers' Party National Directorate, which has already signaled that it intends to support other candidacies from other parties that are supporting the government in the National Congress, such as the Brazilian Socialist Party (PSB) itself.[56] Dartora and Mongruel decided to not appeal the decision of the National Executive, putting an end once and for all to the aspirations of having their own mayoral candidacies. Only Dirceu decided to appeal to the National Directorate. The appeal does not yet have a date to be analyzed.[57] Along with the Workers' Party itself, the other parties that belong to the Brazil of Hope alliance, such as the Communist Party of Brazil (PCdoB) and the Green Party (PV), will also support Ducci's candidacy.[58] Goura Nataraj was confirmed as Luciano Ducci's running mate on 24 July 2024, after his name was approved by the National Executive of the Democratic Labour Party.[27]

David Antunes withdrew his candidacy for mayor on 25 July 2024 in order to build a strong ticket, with strong candidates for the Municipal Chamber of Curitiba in the October elections. At the same meeting, the party declared its support for Eduardo Pimentel's candidacy. On 5 August 2024, Beto Richa withdrew his candidacy. The reasons that led him to make this decision were: a lack of party political broadcast time to present his proposals and a disagreement between some groups of Cidadania with a possible support for his candidacy. Cidadania is a party that has a national alliance (Always Forward – PSDB/Cidadania) with the Brazilian Social Democracy Party. Richa defends the neutrality of his party in the election.[59]

[edit]

On 26 January 2024, the Brazilian Woman's Party (PMB) announced the journalist Cristina Graeml as a potential mayoral candidate for the Curitiba City Hall.[22][60] She left Gazeta do Povo, where she worked as a columnist from January 2020 to April 2024, to run for the position.[23] However, there was uncertainty regarding the party convention that would officially confirm her candidacy in August due to a legal dispute involving the National President of PMB, Suêd Haidar, and the local party executives in Paraná. On 3 August, Haidar decided to dissolve the local PMB executives and removed Geonísio Marinho from his position as the municipal president of PMB Curitiba to prevent the convention that would officially confirm Graeml’s candidacy.[61][62] Despite this, the convention was confirmed by the state president of the PMB Paraná Executive Committee, Fabiano dos Santos, and took place as scheduled on the evening of 5 August. Cristina Graeml’s candidacy was officially confirmed, and the slate of candidates for the Municipal Chamber of Curitiba by the PMB was also formalized at the same event.[24]

The legal dispute is ongoing, and on the last day of the convention, the local executives of PMB in Paraná and Curitiba filed a writ of mandamus with the Regional Electoral Court of Paraná (TRE-PR) to contest the legal effects of the National Executive’s intervention. On 7 August 2024, the electoral judge Cláudia Cristina Cristofani ruled that the state electoral court did not have jurisdiction over the case. She argued that, since it involved a decision by the National Executive of the Brazilian Woman's Party, the Superior Electoral Court (TSE) was the appropriate body to decide the matter and determine the status of Cristina Graeml’s candidacy. The case has not yet been scheduled for a hearing by the Superior Electoral Court.[61][63]

Outgoing Municipal Chamber

[edit]

The result of the last municipal election and the current situation in the Municipal Chamber is given below:

Affiliation Members +/–
Elected[64] April 2024[b][66]
PSD 4 8[c] Increase4
MDB 1 4[d] Increase3
PP 2 4[e] Increase2
PODE 2 4[f] Increase2
PT 3 3 Steady
PL 0 2[g] Increase2
PRD didn't exist 2[h] Increase2
NOVO 2 2 Steady
Republicanos 2 2[i] Steady
UNIÃO didn't exist 1[j] Increase1
PRTB 0 1[k] Increase1
REDE 0 1[l] Increase1
Cidadania 1 1 Steady
PV 1 1 Steady
Solidarity 2 1[m] Decrease1
PDT 3 1[n] Decrease2
PSB 1 0[o] Decrease1
DC 1 0[p] Decrease1
PMB 1 0[q] Decrease1
PROS 1 extinct party[r] Decrease1
PTB 1 extinct party[s] Decrease1
PSC 1 extinct party[t] Decrease1
Patriota 1 extinct party[u] Decrease1
PSL 3 extinct party[v] Decrease3
DEM 5 extinct party[w] Decrease5
Total 38

Debates

[edit]

Below is a list of the mayoral debates scheduled or held for the 2024 election (times in UTC−03:00).

Due to the crisis that unfolded within the Brazilian Woman's Party (PMB) following the dissolution of the local executives by the National Directorate and the suspension of Cristina Graeml's candidacy, she was not invited to the first Band debate. The conglomerate announced the decision of not inviting Graeml to the debate on the evening of 8 August.[71] She criticized Band Paraná for considering the decision to 'uninvite' her from the debate as undemocratic, especially after she had arrived at the broadcaster at the scheduled time and was forced to return home,[72] stated that she had prepared for the debate and, while the event was being broadcast on television, she hosted a live stream on social media to answer the questions directed at the other candidates.[73]

2024 Curitiba mayoral election debates
No. Date, time, and location Hosts Moderators Participants[x]
Key:
 P  Present  A  Absent  I  Invited  Out  Out of the election 		PSD PSB UNIÃO PSB PP Solidariedade PSOL PMB PSTU
Pimentel Ducci Leprevost Requião Barros Goulart Caldas Graeml Mattos
1 8 August 2024, 22:15
Pilarzinho, Curitiba[76] 		Bandeirantes Alessandra Consoli[77] P P P P P P P O P

Opinion polls

[edit]

Polling aggregator

[edit]

The CNN Index, developed by CNN Brazil and Ipespe Analítica, does not present sampling numbers or specific collection periods because it does not conduct its own polls. Instead, it aggregates and adjusts data from various polls conducted by different institutes, using statistical techniques and machine learning. The index provides an overview of voting intentions in 100 cities, including capitals, and is constantly updated based on the latest available data. Additionally, the CNN Index typically highlights only the top five candidates, potentially leaving out other relevant candidates.

5–7 August 2024 Beto Richa withdraws his candidacy for lack of political support
and party political broadcast time.[78] Cristina Graeml's candidacy was officially
confirmed by the Brazilian Woman's Party amid a legal battle that led to the
dissolution of the party's local executives and the suspension of the convention.
The Superior Electoral Court is set to rule on whether her candidacy
can stay on the ballot in the upcoming election.[24][61][63]
3–4 August 2024 Maria Victoria, Roberto Requião and Eduardo Pimentel were nominated by
their respective parties as mayoral candidates.[10][79][36] Felipe Bombardelli is
nominated as a mayoral candidate by the Workers' Cause Party (PCO).[18]
27 July–2 August 2024 Andrea Caldas is nominated by the PSOL REDE Federation as a mayoral candidate.[35]
Luizão Goulart is nominated by the Solidarity as a mayoral candidate.[80]
Ney Leprevost is nominated by the Brazil Union as a mayoral candidate.[30]
24–25 July 2024 Goura Nataraj is announced as Luciano Ducci's running mate.[27]
Paulo Martins is announced as Eduardo Pimentel's running mate.[81]
Samuel de Mattos is nominated as a mayoral candidate by his party.[15]
Poll aggregator Last update Pimentel
PSD 		Ducci
PSB 		Leprevost
UNIÃO 		Richa
PSDB 		Requião
MOBILIZA 		Lead
IPESPE/CNN 8 July 2024 22% 15% 13% 10% 10% 7%
30 May 2024 Deltan Dallagnol's name is removed from the IPESPE/CNN
aggregator due to his withdrawal from the race.
Poll aggregator Last update Pimentel
PSD 		Dallagnol
NOVO[y] 		Ducci
PSB 		Leprevost
UNIÃO 		Richa
PSDB 		Lead
IPESPE/CNN 30 May 2024 17% 16% 13% 11% 9% 1%
27 May 2024 The Workers' Party (PT) announces their support to
Luciano Ducci's candidacy for mayor of Curitiba.[56]
It's the second time since 2012 that the party will
not have a candidate for mayor.[82]
Poll aggregator Last update Pimentel
PSD 		Dallagnol
NOVO[z] 		Ducci
PSB 		Leprevost
UNIÃO 		Richa
PSDB 		Lead
IPESPE/CNN 14 May 2024 20% 16% 13% 12% 9% 4%
3 May 2024 Deltan Dallagnol announces the withdrawal of his
potential candidacy for mayor of Curitiba.[49]
Poll aggregator Last update Pimentel
PSD 		Dallagnol
NOVO 		Ducci
PSB 		Richa
PSDB 		Leprevost
UNIÃO 		Lead
IPESPE/CNN 25 April 2024 17% 16% 11% 10% 9% 1%
22 April 2024 15% 12% 14% 12% 12% 1%
27 March 2024 16% 13% 14% 12% 11% 2%
21 March 2024 16% 11% 15% 14% 12% 1%
18 March 2024 15% 10% 13% 13% 12% 2%
1 January 2024 The election year begins. All election polls from this date onward
must be registered with the Superior Electoral Court.[83]
Poll aggregator Last update Ducci
PSB 		Moro[aa]
UNIÃO 		Pimentel
PSD 		Martins
PL 		Carol
PT 		Lead
IPESPE/CNN 13 December 2023 18% 16% 13% 9% 3% 2%

First round

[edit]

Polls are designed to assess what the election outcome would be if it were held on the day the respondents' data were collected. They do not aim to predict the final election result based on the confidence percentage.

2024

Pollster/client(s) Date(s) conducted Sample Size PimentelPSD Leprevost
UNIÃO 		Ducci
PSB 		Requião
MOBILIZA 		VictoriaPP Luizão
Solidariedade 		Graeml
PMB 		CaldasPSOL BombardelliPCO Others Abst.
Undec. 		Lead
IRG/Band 22–26 August 1000 28% 14.6% 16% 10% 2.7% 3% 6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.1% 18.7% 12%
Quaest/G1 24–26 August 900 19% 14% 18% 18% 4% 4% 5% 2% 0% 1% 15% 1%
Radar/Tribuna 19–21 August 816 25.1% 15.7% 13.8% 12.6% 5.4% 5% 3.7% 1.2% 0.5% 0.5% 16.5% 9.4%
5–7 August Beto Richa withdraws his candidacy for lack of political support and party political broadcast time.[78]
Cristina Graeml's candidacy was officially confirmed by the Brazilian Woman's Party amid a legal battle
that led to the dissolution of the party's local executives and the suspension of the convention.
The Superior Electoral Court is set to rule on whether her candidacy can proceed in the upcoming election.[24][61][63]
3–4 August Maria Victoria, Roberto Requião and Eduardo Pimentel were nominated by their respective parties as mayoral candidates.[10][79][36]
Felipe Bombardelli is nominated as a mayoral candidate by the Workers' Cause Party (PCO).[18]
27 July–2 August Andrea Caldas is nominated by the PSOL REDE Federation as a mayoral candidate.[35] Luizão Goulart is nominated
by the Solidarity as a mayoral candidate.[80] Ney Leprevost is nominated by the Brazil Union as a mayoral candidate.[30]
24–25 July Goura Nataraj is announced as Luciano Ducci's running mate.[27] Paulo Martins is announced as Eduardo Pimentel's
running mate.[81] Samuel de Mattos is nominated as a mayoral candidate by his party.[15]
Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted 		Sample
size 		Pimentel
PSD 		Ducci
PSB 		Leprevost
UNIÃO 		Requião
MOBILIZA 		Martins
PL 		Richa
PSDB 		Luizão
Solidariedade 		Graeml
PMB 		Goura
PDT 		Others Abst.
Undec. 		Lead
Paraná Pesquisas[84] 29 June–3 July 800 24.1% 14.9% 13.6% 12.4% — 10.1% 1.8% 3% — 5.7%[ab] 14.6% 9.2%
24.8% 15.4% 14.5% 12.9% — 10.6% 1.9% 3.4% — 1.5%[ac] 15.2% 9.4%
27.3% 17.8% — 13.3% — 12% 1.9% 3.3% — 7.2%[ad] 17.5% 9.5%
27 May The Workers' Party (PT) announces their support to Luciano Ducci's candidacy for mayor of Curitiba.[56]
It's the second time since 2012 that the party will not have a candidate for mayor.[82]
Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted 		Sample
size 		Pimentel
PSD 		Ducci
PSB 		Leprevost
UNIÃO 		Requião
MOBILIZA 		Martins
PL 		Richa
PSDB 		Luizão
Solidariedade 		Carol
PT 		Goura
PDT 		Others Abst.
Undec. 		Lead
Paraná Pesquisas 8–13 May 800 22.9% 13.1% 12.8% 11% 6.5% 8.1% 1.4% — 5.4% 3.6%[ae] 15.4% 9.8%
26.4% 14.5% 14.5% 11.6% — 8.4% 1.6% — 5.8% — 17.3% 11.9%
28.5% 19.9% 19.3% — — 10.6% 2.1% — — — 19.7% 8.6%
34.4% 24.1% — — — 13.9% 2.6% — — — 25% 10.3%
30.4% 22.9% 22.8% — — — 2.5% — — — 21.5% 7.5%
Futura/100% Cidades[85] 7–8 May 800 15.2% 9.9% 11.2% 9.3% 4.5% 9.4% 1.9% 3.8% 4.3% 10.6%[af] 20% 4%
17.6% 13.1% 13.4% — 4.8% 8% 1.6% — 6.4% 13.7%[ag] 21.2% 4.2%
17.4% 13.8% 12.4% 10.4% 6.3% 7.7% — 5.8% — 5.9%[ah] 20.2% 3.6%
3 May Deltan Dallagnol announces the withdrawal of his potential candidacy for mayor of Curitiba.[49]
Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted 		Sample
size 		Pimentel
PSD 		Ducci
PSB 		Dallagnol
NOVO 		Leprevost
UNIÃO 		Martins
PL 		Richa
PSDB 		Luizão
Solidariedade 		Carol
PT 		Goura
PDT 		Others Abst.
Undec. 		Lead
AtlasIntel 18–23 April 860 17.9% 3.8% 18.2% 7.7% 18% 8.7% 3.1% 7.9% 4.4% 8.4%[ai] 1,9% 0.2%
18.4% 4.1% 21.5% 8.3% — 12.7% 3.8% — 9% 19%[aj] 3,3% 3.1%
20.2% 7.9% — 10.7% 18.1% 10.8% 3.5% — — 13%[ak] 15.9% 2.1%
Instituto Opinião[86] 17–19 April 1,200 13.1% 14.1% 10.8% 12.5% 3.7% 11.7% 2% 3.1% 4.6% 6.4%[al] 18.2% 1%
19.9% 21.1% — 19.2% — — — — — 13.9%[am] 26% 1.2%
22.6% 23.5% — — — 14.7% — — — 12.6%[an] 26.7% 0.9%
Ágili Pesquisas 21–25 March 800 17.84% 11.93% 18.72% — — 10.43% 4.15% 5.78% 3.77% — 27.39% 0.88%
16.56% 13.05% 17.94% 10.16% — 9.91% 5.14% — — — 27.23% 1.38%
18.44% 13.05% — 12.55% 9.03% 10.54% 5.4% — — — 30.99% 5.39%
16.04% 9.4% 14.16% 10.4% 5.51% 9.4% 2.38% 4.01% 3.88% — 24.81% 1.88%
Paraná Pesquisas[87] 15–20 March 17.4% 15.9% 11% 13.1% 4.9% 14.5% 1.9% — 5.6% 2.8%[ao] 13% 1.5%
21.1% 20.3% — — 8% 16.4% 2.1% — 6.1% 6.9%[ap] 19.2% 0.8%
25.5% 23.8% — 22.8% — — 3.1% — — 0.9%[aq] 24% 1.7%
Radar Inteligência[88] 11–13 March 816 15.8% 12.3% 11.5% 10.9% 4.7% 13.1% 3.2% 2.6% 2.5% 3.3%[ar] 20.1% 2.7%
24% 17% — 19.2% — — — 3.9% 3.3% — 32.6% 4.8%
21.5% 17.4% 12% 16.4% 4.4% — — — — — 28.3% 4.1%
28.3% 23% — — — — — 4.4% 3.4% — 40.9% 5.3%

2023

Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted 		Sample
size 		Dallagnol
NOVO 		Leprevost
UNIÃO 		Ducci
PSB 		Pimentel
PSD 		Richa
PSDB 		Luizão
Solidariedade 		Martins
PL 		Carol
PT 		Goura
PDT 		Others Abst.
Undec. 		Lead
Instituto Veritá 13–16 December 900 — 17% 16% 10% 12% 4% 6% 4% 5% 6%[as] 20% 1%
Ágora Pesquisa[89] 11–19 December 1,245 5% 14% 15% 10% 11% 5% 2% 2% 3% 12%[at] 22% 1%
— 15% 16% 12% — 6% 5% 3% 3% 1%[au] 37% 1%
— 17% 20% 15% 8% 7% — — — — 35% 3%
Paraná Pesquisas[90] 10–12 December 845 — 16% 16.2% 12.5% 13.5% 2.7% 8.4% 2.8% 5.1% 10.3%[av] 12.4% 0.2%
— 19.6% 22.1% 15.9% — 3.4% 10.8% — 7.3% 6.9%[aw] 14% 2.5%
— 21.2% 25.2% 16.7% — — 11.1% — — 8.4%[ax] 17.4% 4%
— 23.1% 27.1% 19.9% — — — — — 9%[ay] 20.9% 4%
Instituto Veritá[91] 5–7 December 1,002 24.2% 4.6% 1.2% 5.7% 7.6% 1.5% 5.7% 8.7% 3.3% — 37.5% 15.5%
26.1% — — 9.8% — — 7.5% 12.4% 4.2% — 40% 13.7%
1 November Luizão Goulart (Solidariedade) announces he will run for mayor in the 2024 Curitiba general election.[42]
Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted 		Sample
size 		Dallagnol
NOVO 		Leprevost
UNIÃO 		Ducci
PSB 		Pimentel
PSD 		Richa
PSDB 		Maria
PP 		Martins
PL 		Carol
PT 		Goura
PDT 		Others Abst.
Undec. 		Lead
Paraná Pesquisas[92] 26–29 October 805 — — 25.6% 14.7% — 6.6% 11.4% 6.6% — 15.3%[az] 19.8% 10.9%
15.5% 14.7% 14.5% 10.8% 13.7% 4.1% 7.5% 5.5% — — 13.8% 0.8%
15.8% 16.3% 19.8% 12.4% — 5.6% 8.2% 6.1% — — 15.9% 3.5%
— 19% 22.4% 14% — 6.1% 12.3% 6.7% — — 19.5% 3.4%
— 19.8% 28.1% 17.5% — — — 9.4% — — 25.2% 8.3%
IRG Pesquisa[93] 4–8 July 1,200 22% 14.2% 12.6% 11.3% 9.1% — 6.4% 6% 5.4% — 12.9% 7.8%
— 18.2% 15.5% 14.3% 10% — 13% 6% 6.2% — 16.9% 2.7%
Instituto Veritá July[ba] n/a[bb] — 5.5% 5.2% 10.8% 4.9% — 12.3% 2.7% 4.2% 1.4%[bc] 52% 1.5%

Second round

[edit]

These are the hypothetical scenarios of a second round.

Luciano Ducci and Eduardo Pimentel

Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted 		Sample
size 		Ducci
PSB 		Pimentel
PSD 		Abst.
Undec. 		Lead
Futura/100% Cidades[85] 7–8 May 2024 800 31.6% 39.7% 28.7% 8.1%
Instituto Opinião[94] 17–19 April 2024 1,200 40.7% 32.8% 26.5% 7.9%
Radar Inteligência 11–13 March 2024 816 28.8% 30.6% 40,6% 1.8%
Instituto Veritá 13–16 December 2023 900 41% 30% 29% 11%
Paraná Pesquisas[90] 10–12 December 2023 845 44% 31.7% 24.2% 12.3%

Luciano Ducci and Ney Leprevost

Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted 		Sample
size 		Ducci
PSB 		Leprevost
UNIÃO 		Abst.
Undec. 		Lead
Futura/100% Cidades[85] 7–8 May 2024 800 34.4% 32.8% 32.8% 1.6%
Instituto Opinião[94] 17–19 April 2024 1,200 39.3% 33.4% 27.3% 5.9%
Instituto Veritá 13–16 December 2023 900 35% 38% 27% 3%
Paraná Pesquisas[90] 10–12 December 2023 845 40.4% 35.1% 24.5% 5.3%

Luciano Ducci and Roberto Requião

Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted 		Sample
size 		Ducci
PSB 		Requião
MOBILIZA 		Abst.
Undec. 		Lead
Futura/100% Cidades[85] 7–8 May 2024 800 40.6% 25.4% 34% 15.2%

Ney Leprevost and Eduardo Pimentel

Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted 		Sample
size 		Leprevost
UNIÃO 		Pimentel
PSD 		Abst.
Undec. 		Lead
Futura/100% Cidades[85] 7–8 May 2024 800 34.8% 35.1% 30.1% 0.3%
Instituto Opinião[94] 17–19 April 2024 1,200 39.4% 31.7% 29% 7.7%
Radar Inteligência 11–13 March 2024 816 29.4% 31.6% 39% 2.2%
Instituto Veritá 13–16 December 2023 900 43% 29% 28% 14%
Paraná Pesquisas[90] 10–12 December 2023 845 41.8% 32.4% 25.8% 9.4%

Ney Leprevost and Roberto Requião

Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted 		Sample
size 		Leprevost
UNIÃO 		Requião
MOBILIZA 		Abst.
Undec. 		Lead
Futura/100% Cidades[85] 7–8 May 2024 800 43.4% 27.6% 28.9% 15.8%

Eduardo Pimentel and Roberto Requião

Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted 		Sample
size 		Pimentel
PSD 		Requião
MOBILIZA 		Abst.
Undec. 		Lead
Futura/100% Cidades[85] 7–8 May 2024 800 45.7% 28.6% 25.7% 17.1%

Hypothetical scenario with Deltan Dallagnol

Eduardo Pimentel and Deltan Dallagnol (withdrawn)
Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted 		Sample
size 		Pimentel
PSD 		D. Dallagnol
NOVO 		Abst.
Undec. 		Lead
Radar Inteligência 11–13 March 2024 816 35.1% 20.5% 44.4% 14.6%

Rejection of candidates

[edit]

In some opinion polls, the interviewee can choose more than one alternative (the so-called "multiple rejection"), therefore, the sum of the percentages of all candidates can exceed 100% of the votes in some scenarios.

5–7 August 2024 Beto Richa withdraws his candidacy for lack of political support and party political broadcast time.[78]
Cristina Graeml's candidacy was officially confirmed by the Brazilian Woman's Party amid a legal battle
that led to the dissolution of the party's local executives and the suspension of the convention.
The Superior Electoral Court is set to rule on whether her candidacy can proceed in the upcoming election.[24][61][63]
3–4 August 2024 Maria Victoria, Roberto Requião and Eduardo Pimentel were nominated by their respective parties as mayoral candidates.[10][79][36]
Felipe Bombardelli is nominated as a mayoral candidate by the Workers' Cause Party (PCO).[18]
27 July–2 August 2024 Andrea Caldas is nominated by the PSOL REDE Federation as a mayoral candidate.[35] Luizão Goulart is nominated
by the Solidarity as a mayoral candidate.[80] Ney Leprevost is nominated by the Brazil Union as a mayoral candidate.[30]
24–25 June 2024 Goura Nataraj is announced as Luciano Ducci's running mate.[27] Paulo Martins is announced as Eduardo Pimentel's
running mate.[81] Samuel de Mattos is nominated as a mayoral candidate by his party.[15]
Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted 		Sample
size 		Richa
PSDB 		Requião
MOBILIZA 		Goura
PDT 		Ducci
PSB 		Luizão
Solidariedade 		Caldas
PSOL 		Leprevost
UNIÃO 		Pimentel
PSD 		Martins
PL 		Graeml
PMB 		Could vote in anyone Others Abst.
Undec.
Paraná Pesquisas[84] 29 June–3 July 2024 800 49% 37.6% — 17.4% 11.1% 8% 13.8% 12.6% — 7.2% 4% 18.5%[bd] 8.9%
27 May 2024 The Workers' Party (PT) announces their support to Luciano Ducci's candidacy for mayor of Curitiba.[56]
It's the second time since 2012 that the party will not have a candidate for mayor.[82]
Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted 		Sample
size 		Richa
PSDB 		Requião
MOBILIZA 		Goura
PDT 		Ducci
PSB 		Luizão
Solidariedade 		Carol
PT 		Leprevost
UNIÃO 		Pimentel
PSD 		Martins
PL 		Graeml
PMB 		Could vote in anyone Others Abst.
Undec.
Paraná Pesquisas 8–13 May 2024 800 56.3% 41.3% 12.1% 16% 10.3% — 12% 10.8% 10.8% 9.9% 3.1% 37.2%[be] 7.8%
3 May 2024 Deltan Dallagnol announces the withdrawal of his potential candidacy for mayor of Curitiba.[49]
Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted 		Sample
size 		Richa
PSDB 		Maria
PP 		Goura
PDT 		Ducci
PSB 		Luizão
Solidariedade 		Carol
PT 		Leprevost
UNIÃO 		Pimentel
PSD 		Martins
PL 		Dallagnol
NOVO 		Could vote in anyone Others Abst.
Undec.
Instituto Opinião[95] 17–19 April 2024 1,200 51.6% 11% 13% 10.7% 4.8% 7.8% 7.8% 8.7% 8.5% 10.9% 3.4% 18.4%[bf] 9.3%
Ágili Pesquisas 21–25 March 2024 800 43.11% — 2.51% 6.27% 1.38% 7.39% 3.38% 4.26% 1.75% 6.14% — — —
Paraná Pesquisas[96] 15–20 March 2024 47.4% — 12% 15.9% 6.9% — 11.5% 8.1% 8.9% 12.5% 5.3% 26.9%[bg] 13.3%
Instituto Veritá 13–16 December 2023 900 55% 20% 16% 13% 13% 13% 11% 9% 9% — — 13%[bh] —
Ágora Pesquisa[89] 11–19 December 2023 1,245 31% 6% 6% 9% 1% 3% 6% 4% <1%[bi] 4% — ≈8%[bj] 20%
Paraná Pesquisas[90] 10–12 December 2023 845 50.8% 8.9% 12% 11.7% 7.2% 6.5% 9.3% 8.5% 7.8% — 9.8% 14.5%[bk] 20.7%

Result

[edit]

Mayor

[edit]
CandidateRunning matePartyFirst roundSecond round
Votes%Votes%
Eduardo PimentelPaulo Martins (PL)Social Democratic Party313,34733.51531,02957.64
Cristian GraemlJairo Ferreira FilhoBrazilian Woman's Party291,52331.17390,25442.36
Luciano DucciGoura Nataraj (PDT)Brazilian Socialist Party181,77019.44
Ney LeprevostRosangela MoroBrazil Union60,6756.49
Luiz GoulartTiago ChicoSolidariedade41,2714.41
Maria VictoriaWalter PetruzzielloProgressistas20,4972.19
Roberto RequiãoMarcelo Paula PintoNational Mobilization17,1551.83
Andrea CaldasLeticia FariaSocialism and Liberty Party8,0210.86
Samuel de MattosLeonardo MartinezUnited Socialist Workers' Party5690.06
Felipe BombardelliPaulo CostychaWorkers' Cause Party3410.04
Total935,169100.00921,283100.00
Valid votes935,16990.90921,28392.93
Invalid votes47,7284.6441,0824.14
Blank votes45,9134.4628,9792.92
Total votes1,028,810100.00991,344100.00
Registered voters/turnout1,424,02672.251,424,02669.62
PSD hold

Municipal Chamber

[edit]
Party or allianceVotes%Seats+/–
Social Democratic Party100,29311.186Increase2
Liberal Party78,6238.764Increase4
Brazil Union77,7028.664New
Brazil of HopeWorkers' Party72,9318.133Steady
Green Party7,9560.890Decrease1
Communist Party of Brazil4,8830.540Steady
Progressistas70,8177.893Increase1
Republicans63,1837.043Increase1
Podemos55,7386.213Increase1
New Party53,2005.933Increase1
Brazilian Democratic Movement46,6215.202Increase1
Brazilian Woman's Party43,0524.801Steady
Democratic Labour Party37,1694.142Increase2
Brazilian Socialist Party30,8673.441Steady
Agir25,2682.821Increase1
Democratic Renewal Party24,2632.701New
Solidariedade22,2902.480Decrease2
Brazilian Labour Renewal Party15,8381.770Steady
PSOL REDE
Federation		Sustainability Network14,8721.660Steady
Socialism and Liberty Party14,5591.621Increase1
Christian Democracy10,4971.170Decrease1
PSDB Cidadania
Federation		Cidadania10,2811.150Decrease1
Brazilian Social Democracy Party8,3790.930Steady
National Mobilization7,8770.880Steady
Total897,159100.0038–
Valid votes897,15987.20
Invalid votes52,3635.09
Blank votes79,2887.71
Total votes1,028,810100.00
Registered voters/turnout1,424,02672.25

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^ The party asked to change its name to “Por Mais Brasil” (For More Brazil), but the Superior Electoral Court (TSE) hasn't allowed the name change yet.[22]
  2. ^ Between March and April 2024, councilors were able to change parties during the so-called "party window" without losing their respective terms.[65]
  3. ^ Mauro Ignácio, Sabino Picolo, Serginho do Posto, Toninho da Farmácia and Zezinho Sabará, all previously affiliated with the Brazil Union (UNIÃO) are the four councillors who joined the Social Democratic Party (PSD) during the "party window".
  4. ^ Tito Zeglin, previously affiliated with the Democratic Labour Party (PDT) and João da 5 Irmãos (previously affiliated with the Brazil Union (UNIÃO) joined the Brazilian Democratic Movement (MDB) during the party window.
  5. ^ Mauro Bobato, previously affiliated with Podemos (PODE) joined Progressistas (PP) during the party window, and in the same period, Eder Borges left the party.
  6. ^ Leonidas Dias, previously affiliated with Solidariedade and Sargento Tânia Guerreiro, previously affiliated with the Brazil Union (UNIÃO) joined Podemos during the party window, and in the same period, Mauro Bobato left the party.
  7. ^ Eder Borges, previously affiliated with Progressistas (PP) and Rodrigo Reis (previously affiliated with the Brazil Union (UNIÃO) are the two councillors who joined PL during the party window.
  8. ^ Ezequias Barros, previously affiliated with the Brazilian Woman's Party (PMB), joined the Democratic Renewal Party (PRD) during the party window.
  9. ^ Hernani, previously affiliated with the Brazilian Socialist Party (PSB) and Pastor Marciano Alves (previously affiliated with Solidariedade) joined the Republicans during the party window, and in the same period, Osias Moraes left the party.
  10. ^ All the eight councillors affiliated with UNIÃO (Mauro Ignácio, Sabino Picolo, Serginho do Posto, Toninho da Farmácia, Zezinho Sabará, Rodrigo Reis, Sargento Tânia Guerreiro and João da 5 Irmãos) left the party in April 2024, during the so-called "party window". As a result, the UNIÃO bench was emptied until Alexandre Leprevost (previously affiliated with Solidariedade) joined the party.
  11. ^ Osias Moraes (previously affiliated with the Republicans) joined the Brazilian Labour Renewal Party (PRTB) during the party window.
  12. ^ Salles do Fazendinha, previously affiliated with the Christian Democracy (DC), joined Sustainability Network (REDE) during the party window.
  13. ^ Dalton Borba, previously affiliated with the Democratic Labour Party (PDT) joined Solidariedade during the party window; and in the same period, the councillors Leonidas Dias, Alexandre Leprevost and Pastor Marciano Alves left the party.
  14. ^ Councillors Dalton Borba and Tito Zeglin left the party during the party window.
  15. ^ Hernani left the party during the party window, leaving the party without representation in the Municipal Chamber of Curitiba.
  16. ^ Salles do Fazendinha left the party during the party window, leaving the party without representation in the Municipal Chamber of Curitiba.
  17. ^ Ezequias Barros left the party during the party window, leaving the party without representation in the Municipal Chamber of Curitiba.
  18. ^ The Republican Party of the Social Order (PROS) merged into Solidariedade in February 2023.[67]
  19. ^ Brazilian Labour Party (PTB) and Patriota merged into the Democratic Renewal Party (PRD) in November 2023.[68]
  20. ^ The Social Christian Party (PSC) merged into Podemos in June 2023.[69]
  21. ^ Brazilian Labour Party (PTB) and Patriota merged into the Democratic Renewal Party (PRD) in November 2023.[68]
  22. ^ Democrats (DEM) and the Social Liberal Party (PSL) merged into the Brazil Union in February 2022.[70]
  23. ^ Democrats (DEM) and the Social Liberal Party (PSL) merged into the Brazil Union in February 2022.[70]
  24. ^ Debates broadcast on television or radio were legally required to invite all candidates whose parties or coalitions had at least five members in the National Congress based on the most recent election.[74] The candidates listed in this table satisfied this condition.[75]
  25. ^ Deltan Dallagnol withdrew from his candidacy for mayor at the beginning of May 2024. During that month, some polling institutes still listed him as a candidate, which justified his presence in the IPESPE/CNN polling aggregator. Dallagnol’s name appeared on the aggregator until the end of May. After that period, his name was removed, reflecting subsequent polls that no longer included him in the electoral scenario.
  26. ^ Deltan Dallagnol withdrew from his candidacy for mayor at the beginning of May 2024. During that month, some polling institutes still listed him as a candidate, which justified his presence in the IPESPE/CNN polling aggregator. Dallagnol’s name appeared on the aggregator until the end of May. After that period, his name was removed, reflecting subsequent polls that no longer included him in the electoral scenario.
  27. ^ Rosangela Moro
  28. ^ Maria Victoria (PP) with 4.4%; Andrea Caldas (PSOL) with 0.9% and Samuel de Mattos (PSTU) with 0.4%
  29. ^ Andrea Caldas (PSOL) with 1% and Samuel de Mattos (PSTU) with 0.5%
  30. ^ Maria Victoria (PP) with 5.8%; Andrea Caldas (PSOL) with 1% and Samuel de Mattos (PSTU) with 0.4%
  31. ^ Cristina Graeml (PMB) with 2.3%; Zeca Dirceu (PT) with 0.8%; Samuel de Mattos (PSTU) with 0.4% and Andrea Caldas (PSOL) with 0.1%
  32. ^ Fernanda Dallagnol (NOVO) with 3.5%; Rosangela Moro (UNIÃO) with 3.1%; Cristina Graeml (PMB) with 2.7% and Maria Victoria (PP) with 1.3%
  33. ^ Cristina Graeml (PMB) with 4.4%; Rosangela Moro (UNIÃO) with 4.2%; Maria Victoria (PP) with 3.6%; Zeca Dirceu (PT) with 1.4% and Valdemar Jorge (NOVO) with 0.1%
  34. ^ Fernanda Dallagnol (NOVO)
  35. ^ Cristina Graeml (PMB)
  36. ^ Cristina Graeml (PMB) with 10.3%; Ricardo Arruda (PL) with 5.2%; Zeca Dirceu (PT) with 3.4% and Maria Victoria (PP) with 0.1%
  37. ^ Cristina Graeml (PMB)
  38. ^ Maria Victoria (PP) with 4.1%; Cristina Graeml (PMB) with 1.8% and Andrea Caldas (PSOL) with 0.5%
  39. ^ Maria Victoria (PP) with 5.8%; Fernanda Dallagnol (NOVO) with 4.6% and Cristina Graeml (PMB) with 3.5%
  40. ^ Fernanda Dallagnol (NOVO) with 6.8% and Cristina Graeml (PMB) with 5.8%
  41. ^ Cristina Graeml (PMB)
  42. ^ Rosangela Moro (UNIÃO) with 6,4% and Valdemar Jorge (NOVO) with 0,5%
  43. ^ Valdemar Jorge (NOVO)
  44. ^ Maria Victoria (PP)
  45. ^ Maria Victoria (PP) with 3% and Fernanda Dallagnol (NOVO) with 3%
  46. ^ Gustavo Fruet (PDT) with 6%; Maria Victoria (PP) with 2%; Márcia Huçulak (PSD) with 2%; Professor Euler (MDB) with 1% and Denian Couto (PODE) with 1%
  47. ^ Denian Couto (PODE)
  48. ^ Maria Victoria (PP) with 5.6% and Fernanda Dallagnol (NOVO) with 4.7%
  49. ^ Fernanda Dallagnol (NOVO)
  50. ^ Fernanda Dallagnol (NOVO)
  51. ^ Maria Victoria (PP)
  52. ^ Rosangela Moro (UNIÃO)
  53. ^ The opinion poll was carried out in July 2023 by the Instituto Veritá, without specifying a sample size.
  54. ^ The opinion poll was carried out in July 2023 by the Instituto Veritá, without specifying a sample size.
  55. ^ Indiara Barbosa (NOVO)
  56. ^ Maria Victoria (PP) with 12.6% and Samuel de Mattos (PSTU) with 5.9%
  57. ^ Zeca Dirceu (PT) with 17.5%; Samuel de Mattos (PSTU) with 10.3% and Andrea Caldas (PSOL) with 9.4%
  58. ^ Fernanda Dallagnol (NOVO) with 6.6%; Andrea Caldas (PSOL) with 6% and Cristina Graeml (PMB) with 5.8%
  59. ^ Rosangela Moro (UNIÃO) with 13.3%; Cristina Graeml (PMB) with 7% and Valdemar Jorge (NOVO) with 6.6%
  60. ^ Fernanda Dallagnol (NOVO)
  61. ^ The opinion poll does not specify the exact percentage, but rather a value below 1%
  62. ^ Gustavo Fruet (PDT) with 6%; Márcia Huçulak (PSD) with 1% and Denian Couto (PODE) with 1%; Professor Euler (MDB) didn't achieve 1% of the votes.
  63. ^ Fernanda Dallagnol (NOVO) with 7.5% and Ilana Lerner Hoffmann (Ind.) with 7%

References

[edit]
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