2023 Nigerian presidential election in the Federal Capital Territory

2023 Nigerian presidential election in the Federal Capital Territory
	Opinion polls
Registered	1,570,307
Turnout	30.48%
	Results; Tinubu: 30–40% 50–60% Obi: 30–40% 40–50% 70–80%
President before election; Muhammadu Buhari; APC	Elected President ; TBD;

The 2023 Nigerian presidential election in the Federal Capital Territory was held on 25 February 2023 as part of the nationwide 2023 Nigerian presidential election to elect the president and vice president of Nigeria.^[1] Other federal elections, including elections to the House of Representatives and the Senate, will also be held on the same date while state elections will be held two weeks afterward on 11 March.

Polling

Polling organisation/client	Fieldwork date	Sample size					Others	Undecided	Undisclosed	Not voting
			Tinubu APC	Obi LP	Kwankwaso NNPP	Abubakar PDP

BantuPage	December 2022	N/A	11%	44%	3%	6%	–	11%	10%	14%
Nextier (FCT crosstabs of national poll)	27 January 2023	N/A	8.6%	62.9%	2.9%	20.0%	5.7%	–	–	–
SBM Intelligence for EiE (FCT crosstabs of national poll)	22 January-6 February 2023	N/A	6%	68%	–	23%	2%	1%	–	–

Projections

Source	Projection		As of
Africa Elects^[a]^[2]	Likely Obi		24 February 2023
Dataphyte^[b]^[3]
	Tinubu:	33.01%	11 February 2023
	Obi:	28.90%
	Abubakar:	20.68%
	Others:	17.41%
Enough is Enough- SBM Intelligence^[c]^[4]	Obi		17 February 2023
SBM Intelligence^[d]^[5]	Abubakar		15 December 2022
The Nation^[e]^[6]^[7]	Battleground		12-19 February 2023

General election

Results

2023 Nigerian presidential election in the Federal Capital Territory
Party		Candidate	%
	A	Christopher Imumolen
	AA	Hamza al-Mustapha
	ADP	Yabagi Sani
	APP	Osita Nnadi
	AAC	Omoyele Sowore
	ADC	Dumebi Kachikwu
	APC	Bola Tinubu
	APGA	Peter Umeadi
	APM	Princess Chichi Ojei
	BP	Sunday Adenuga
	LP	Peter Obi
	NRM	Felix Johnson Osakwe
	New Nigeria Peoples Party	Rabiu Kwankwaso
	PRP	Kola Abiola
	PDP	Atiku Abubakar
	SDP	Adewole Adebayo
	YPP	Malik Ado-Ibrahim
	ZLP	Dan Nwanyanwu
Total votes			100.00%
Invalid or blank votes			N/A
Turnout

By federal constituency

The results of the election by federal constituency.

Federal constituency	Bola Tinubu APC		Atiku Abubakar PDP		Peter Obi LP		Rabiu Kwankwaso NNPP		Others		Total valid votes
									Others
	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%
Abaji/Gwagwalada/Kwali/Kuje Federal Constituency^[f]	48,150	36.21%	36,957	27.80%	44,127	33.19%	1,177	0.89%	2,549	1.92%	132,960
AMAC/Bwari Federal Constituency^[g]	42,752	13.07%	37,242	11.38%	237,590	72.63%	3,340	1.02%	6,194	1.89%	327,118
Totals	90,902	19.76%	74,194	16.13%	281,717	61.23%	4,517	0.98%	8,741	1.90%	460,071

By local government area

The results of the election by local government area.

Local government area	Bola Tinubu APC		Atiku Abubakar PDP		Peter Obi LP		Rabiu Kwankwaso NNPP		Others		Total valid votes	Turnout (%)
									Others
	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%
Abaji^[8]	10,370	50.70%	6,888	33.68%	2,874	14.05%	104	0.51%	216	1.06%	20,452	31.60%
Abuja^[9]^[10]	29,596	12.70%	26,407	11.33%	170,392	73.12%	2,463	1.06%	4,161	1.79%	233,019	31.47%
Bwari^[11]^[12]	13,156	13.98%	10,835	11.52%	67,198	71.41%	877	0.93%	2,033	2.16%	94,099	34.29%
Gwagwalada^[13]^[14]	15,890	32.98%	10,987	22.81%	19,694	40.87%	483	1.00%	1,128	2.34%	48,182	28.54%
Kuje^[15]^[16]^{[note 1]}	10,648	29.69%	10,028	27.96%	14,257	39.76%	266	0.74%	663	1.85%	35,862	27.79%
Kwali^[17]^[18]^{[note 2]}	11,242	39.50%	9,054	31.81%	7,302	25.65%	324	1.14%	542	1.90%	28,464	32.10%
Totals	90,902	19.76%	74,194	16.13%	281,717	61.23%	4,517	0.98%	8,741	1.90%	460,071	30.48%

^ Kuje: Voting in thirteen polling units were disrupted by hoodlums who destroyed BVAS machines. Additionally, one polling unit was affected by a non-functional BVAS machine.
^ Kwali: Results in two polling units were cancelled due to overvoting.

Notes

^ Africa Elects projections predict the likelihood of a candidate winning a state by categorizing a state as "Safe" for exceedingly likely, "Likely" for somewhat likely, and "Lean" for least likely. If no clear determination could be made, states are categorized as "tossups".
^ Dataphyte projections predict candidates' projected votal shares in each state.
^ EiE-SBM projections predict which candidates will win states.
^ SBM projections predict which candidates will win states or, if no determination could be made, categorizes states as "Too close to call" (TCC).
^ The Nation projections predict which candidates will win states or, if no determination could be made, categorizes states as "Battlegrounds."
^ Comprising the local government areas of Abaji, Gwagwalada, Kwali, and Kuje.
^ Comprising the local government areas of Abuja and Bwari.

References

^ Jimoh, Abbas (26 February 2022). "INEC Sets New Dates For 2023 General Elections". Daily Trust. Retrieved 26 February 2022.
^ Elimian, Adrian. "Nigerian Presidential Election: State Ratings". Africa Elects. Retrieved 25 February 2023.
^ "President Tinubu: Predilections and Predictions". Substack. Dataphyte. Retrieved 11 February 2023.
^ "The EiE-SBM 2023 Election forecast: It all hinges on insecurity and turnout". SBM Intelligence. 17 February 2023. Retrieved 19 February 2023.
^ "Projection: 2023 presidential elections". SBM Intelligence. 15 December 2022. Retrieved 27 December 2022.
^ Oladesu, Emmanuel; Alli, Yusuf; O’neil, Shola; Onu, Nwanosike; Odiegwu, Mike; Adeyemi, Kolade; Ihyongo, Fanen; Adenuga, David; Emmanuel, Uja; Alabelewe, AbdulGafar; Shittu, Sola; Asishana, Justina; Duku, Joel; Oota, Linus; Okezie, Augustine; Alao, Onimisi; Onogu, Sanni; Jimoh, Adekunle; Odufowokan, 'Dare; Adedeji, Toba; Ibrahim, Rasaq; Oladele, Bisi; Otabor, Osagie; Okungbowa, Aiwerie; Nsa, Gil; Anioke, Ogo; Duruihuoma, Damian; Njoku, Chris; Nwankwo, Sunny (12 February 2023). "Who wins 2023 presidential election?". The Nation. Retrieved 19 February 2023.
^ Oladesu, Emmanuel; Alli, Yusuf; O’neil, Shola; Onu, Nwanosike; Odiegwu, Mike; Adeyemi, Kolade; Ihyongo, Fanen; Adenuga, David; Emmanuel, Uja; Alabelewe, AbdulGafar; Shittu, Sola; Asishana, Justina; Duku, Joel; Oota, Linus; Okezie, Augustine; Alao, Onimisi; Onogu, Sanni; Jimoh, Adekunle; Odufowokan, 'Dare; Adedeji, Toba; Ibrahim, Rasaq; Oladele, Bisi; Otabor, Osagie; Okungbowa, Aiwerie; Nsa, Gil; Anioke, Ogo; Duruihuoma, Damian; Njoku, Chris; Nwankwo, Sunny (19 February 2023). "WHO WINS 2023 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION? | The Nation Newspaper". The Nation Newspaper. Retrieved 19 February 2023.
^ Dataphyte [@channelstv] (26 February 2023). "LGA result updates from Abaji, FCT" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
^ TheCable [@thecableng] (28 February 2023). "PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION RESULT AMAC Area Council" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
^ TheCable [@thecableng] (28 February 2023). "Total valid votes: 233019" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
^ TheCable [@thecableng] (27 February 2023). "PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION Bwari Area Council, FCT" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
^ TheCable [@thecableng] (27 February 2023). "Total valid votes: 94,099" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
^ TheCable [@thecableng] (27 February 2023). "PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION Gwagwalada Area Council, FCT" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
^ TheCable [@thecableng] (27 February 2023). "Total valid votes: 48182" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
^ TheCable [@thecableng] (26 February 2023). "PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION Kuje Area Council, FCT" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
^ TheCable [@thecableng] (26 February 2023). "YPP---19" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
^ TheCable [@thecableng] (26 February 2023). "PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION Kwali Area Council, FCT" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
^ TheCable [@thecableng] (26 February 2023). "Total valid votes: 28,464" (Tweet) – via Twitter.

[24] Kuje: Voting in thirteen polling units were disrupted by hoodlums who destroyed BVAS machines. Additionally, one polling unit was affected by a non-functional BVAS machine.

[27] Kwali: Results in two polling units were cancelled due to overvoting.

[2] Africa Elects projections predict the likelihood of a candidate winning a state by categorizing a state as "Safe" for exceedingly likely, "Likely" for somewhat likely, and "Lean" for least likely. If no clear determination could be made, states are categorized as "tossups".

[4] Dataphyte projections predict candidates' projected votal shares in each state.

[6] EiE-SBM projections predict which candidates will win states.

[8] SBM projections predict which candidates will win states or, if no determination could be made, categorizes states as "Too close to call" (TCC).

[10] The Nation projections predict which candidates will win states or, if no determination could be made, categorizes states as "Battlegrounds."

[13] Comprising the local government areas of Abaji, Gwagwalada, Kwali, and Kuje.

[14] Comprising the local government areas of Abuja and Bwari.

[New_Dates-1] Jimoh, Abbas (26 February 2022). "INEC Sets New Dates For 2023 General Elections". Daily Trust. Retrieved 26 February 2022.

[Africa_Elects_state_ratings-3] Elimian, Adrian. "Nigerian Presidential Election: State Ratings". Africa Elects. Retrieved 25 February 2023.

[Dataphyte_February_projections-5] "President Tinubu: Predilections and Predictions". Substack. Dataphyte. Retrieved 11 February 2023.

[EiE-SBM_February_projections-7] "The EiE-SBM 2023 Election forecast: It all hinges on insecurity and turnout". SBM Intelligence. 17 February 2023. Retrieved 19 February 2023.

[9] "Projection: 2023 presidential elections". SBM Intelligence. 15 December 2022. Retrieved 27 December 2022.

[TN_February_projections-11] Oladesu, Emmanuel; Alli, Yusuf; O’neil, Shola; Onu, Nwanosike; Odiegwu, Mike; Adeyemi, Kolade; Ihyongo, Fanen; Adenuga, David; Emmanuel, Uja; Alabelewe, AbdulGafar; Shittu, Sola; Asishana, Justina; Duku, Joel; Oota, Linus; Okezie, Augustine; Alao, Onimisi; Onogu, Sanni; Jimoh, Adekunle; Odufowokan, 'Dare; Adedeji, Toba; Ibrahim, Rasaq; Oladele, Bisi; Otabor, Osagie; Okungbowa, Aiwerie; Nsa, Gil; Anioke, Ogo; Duruihuoma, Damian; Njoku, Chris; Nwankwo, Sunny (12 February 2023). "Who wins 2023 presidential election?". The Nation. Retrieved 19 February 2023.

[12] Oladesu, Emmanuel; Alli, Yusuf; O’neil, Shola; Onu, Nwanosike; Odiegwu, Mike; Adeyemi, Kolade; Ihyongo, Fanen; Adenuga, David; Emmanuel, Uja; Alabelewe, AbdulGafar; Shittu, Sola; Asishana, Justina; Duku, Joel; Oota, Linus; Okezie, Augustine; Alao, Onimisi; Onogu, Sanni; Jimoh, Adekunle; Odufowokan, 'Dare; Adedeji, Toba; Ibrahim, Rasaq; Oladele, Bisi; Otabor, Osagie; Okungbowa, Aiwerie; Nsa, Gil; Anioke, Ogo; Duruihuoma, Damian; Njoku, Chris; Nwankwo, Sunny (19 February 2023). "WHO WINS 2023 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION? | The Nation Newspaper". The Nation Newspaper. Retrieved 19 February 2023.

[15] Dataphyte [@channelstv] (26 February 2023). "LGA result updates from Abaji, FCT" (Tweet) – via Twitter.

[16] TheCable [@thecableng] (28 February 2023). "PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION RESULT AMAC Area Council" (Tweet) – via Twitter.

[17] TheCable [@thecableng] (28 February 2023). "Total valid votes: 233019" (Tweet) – via Twitter.

[18] TheCable [@thecableng] (27 February 2023). "PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION Bwari Area Council, FCT" (Tweet) – via Twitter.

[19] TheCable [@thecableng] (27 February 2023). "Total valid votes: 94,099" (Tweet) – via Twitter.

[20] TheCable [@thecableng] (27 February 2023). "PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION Gwagwalada Area Council, FCT" (Tweet) – via Twitter.

[21] TheCable [@thecableng] (27 February 2023). "Total valid votes: 48182" (Tweet) – via Twitter.

[22] TheCable [@thecableng] (26 February 2023). "PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION Kuje Area Council, FCT" (Tweet) – via Twitter.

[23] TheCable [@thecableng] (26 February 2023). "YPP---19" (Tweet) – via Twitter.

[25] TheCable [@thecableng] (26 February 2023). "PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION Kwali Area Council, FCT" (Tweet) – via Twitter.

[26] TheCable [@thecableng] (26 February 2023). "Total valid votes: 28,464" (Tweet) – via Twitter.

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v t e (2022 ←) 2023 Nigerian elections (→ 2024)
President	Abia Adamawa Akwa Ibom Anambra Bauchi Bayelsa Benue Borno Cross River Delta Ebonyi Edo Ekiti Enugu FCT Gombe Imo Jigawa Kaduna Kano Katsina Kebbi Kogi Kwara Lagos Nasarawa Niger Ogun Ondo Osun Oyo Plateau Rivers Sokoto Taraba Yobe Zamfara
Senate	Abia Adamawa Akwa Ibom Anambra Bauchi Bayelsa Benue Borno Cross River Delta Ebonyi Edo Ekiti Enugu FCT Gombe Imo Jigawa Kaduna Kano Katsina Kebbi Kogi Kwara Lagos Nasarawa Niger Ogun Ondo Osun Oyo Plateau Rivers Sokoto Taraba Yobe Zamfara
House of Representatives	Abia Adamawa Akwa Ibom Anambra Bauchi Bayelsa Benue Borno Cross River Delta Ebonyi Edo Ekiti Enugu FCT Gombe Imo Jigawa Kaduna Kano Katsina Kebbi Kogi Kwara Lagos Nasarawa Niger Ogun Ondo Osun Oyo Plateau Rivers Sokoto Taraba Yobe Zamfara
Governors	Abia Adamawa Akwa Ibom Bauchi Bayelsa Benue Borno Cross River Delta Ebonyi Enugu Gombe Imo Jigawa Kaduna Kano Katsina Kebbi Kogi Kwara Lagos Nasarawa Niger Ogun Oyo Plateau Rivers Sokoto Taraba Yobe Zamfara
Houses of Assembly	Abia Adamawa Akwa Ibom Anambra Bauchi Bayelsa Benue Borno Cross River Delta Ebonyi Edo Ekiti Enugu Gombe Imo Jigawa Kaduna Kano Katsina Kebbi Kogi Kwara Lagos Nasarawa Niger Ogun Ondo Osun Oyo Plateau Rivers Sokoto Taraba Yobe Zamfara
Local	Zamfara
Statewide	Abia Adamawa Akwa Ibom Anambra Bauchi Bayelsa Benue Borno Cross River Delta Ebonyi Edo Ekiti Enugu FCT Gombe Imo Jigawa Kaduna Kano Katsina Kebbi Kogi Kwara Lagos Nasarawa Niger Ogun Ondo Osun Oyo Plateau Rivers Sokoto Taraba Yobe Zamfara