2015 Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario leadership election
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Turnout | 49.3% | ||||||||||||
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Results by Ontario electoral district | |||||||||||||
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Date | May 9, 2015 |
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Convention | Toronto Congress Centre |
Resigning leader | Tim Hudak |
Won by | Patrick Brown |
Ballots | 1 |
Candidates | 2 |
Entrance Fee | $75,000 fee + $25,000 deposit |
Spending limit | $1.25 million |
The 2015 Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario leadership election was held on May 9, 2015, as a result of the resignation of Ontario Progressive Conservative leader Tim Hudak following the provincial election on June 12, 2014, his second loss in a row as party leader. Patrick Brown won the leadership with 61.8% of votes allocated, defeating Christine Elliott who had 38.2%.
Rules and procedure
[edit]The party's 76,587 members[1] were eligible to cast votes by preferential ballot. The vote will be weighted so that each of the province's 107 ridings that has more than 100 votes cast are allocated 100 electoral votes;[2] ridings in which fewer than 100 party members vote will not be weighted, but will instead have the votes counted as individual votes.[3] If at least 100 members votes in each riding the number of electoral college votes needed to win will be 5,351.[1] The registration fee was $75,000 plus a refundable deposit of $25,000[3] and the spending limit was $1.25 million.[4] 20% of money raised by candidates after the first $100,000 will be transferred to the PC Ontario Fund.[4] The lowest ranked candidate will be dropped from the next round as ballots are counted, and the first candidate to get 50 per cent of the votes will be declared the new leader.[4]
Timeline
[edit]- June 12, 2014: General election results in the incumbent Liberals, led by Kathleen Wynne, being re-elected with a majority government and the Progressive Conservatives losing 9 seats. Party leader Tim Hudak announces his intention to resign as leader following the selection of his successor.
- June 16, 2014: Progressive Conservative caucus meets with a majority of MPPs asking Hudak to resign immediately.[5][6]
- June 18, 2014: Hudak announces to the Progressive Conservative caucus that he will resign effective July 2, 2014.
- June 25, 2014: Christine Elliott announces her bid for the leadership of the Ontario PC Party.
- July 2, 2014: Ontario legislature convenes; Hudak's resignation will take effect; Progressive Conservative caucus chooses Jim Wilson as interim leader.[5][6]
- July 5, 2014: The Progressive Conservative executive met to discuss the leadership and appointed a committee to consult the party membership and then draft recommendations for leadership campaign rules and propose a date for the election.[5][6][7][8]
- Early August 2014: Party committee reports back to the executive with its proposals.[8]
- August 9, 2014: Party executive announces that the leadership election will occur no earlier than April 1, 2015 and no later than May 31, 2015. The planning committee is given an additional six weeks to consult with party members on the rules of the election.[9]
- September 17, 2014: Monte McNaughton declares his candidacy.
- September 21, 2014: Planning committee reports back to executive.[9]
- September 24, 2014: Vic Fedeli declares his candidacy.
- September 28, 2014: Patrick Brown declares his candidacy.
- October 6, 2014: Lisa MacLeod declares her candidacy.
- November 8, 2014: Official campaign period begins.[3]
- November 24, 2014: All-candidates debate in Sudbury.[10]
- January 26, 2015: All-candidates debate in London.[10]
- January 30, 2015 at 12 pm: Deadline for candidates to file nomination papers and pay first installment of $75,000 registration fee and $25,000 deposit.[3][4]
- February 4, 2015: Fedeli withdraws from contest.
- February 6, 2015: MacLeod withdraws; final non-refundable $50,000 installment of candidate entry fee is due.[11]
- February 11, 2015: All-candidates debate in Ottawa.[10]
- February 28, 2015: Date by which one must become a member of the party and be eligible to vote in the leadership election.[2][4]
- April 9, 2015: McNaughton withdraws; endorses Brown.[12]
- May 1, 2015: Televised debate on TVO in Toronto
- May 3 & 7, 2015: Members cast preferential ballot for leader.[2]
- May 8–9, 2015: Ballots counted.[1]
- May 9, 2015: Results announced, riding by riding, between 10 am and noon at the Toronto Congress Centre.[1][2]
Interim leadership
[edit]The following MPPs stood in the July 2, 2014, election by caucus to be interim leader of the party until the leadership election for a permanent leader is held:
- Randy Hillier (Lanark—Frontenac—Lennox and Addington), MPP since 2007, variously Opposition Critic for Labour, Municipal Affairs and Housing, Rural Affairs, and Northern Development, Mines and Forestry.[13]
- Jim Wilson (Simcoe—Grey), MPP since 1990, Opposition House Leader (2011–2014), previously Minister of Health (1995–1997), Minister of Energy, Science & Technology (1997–2002), Minister of Northern Development and Mines (2002–2003), Minister of Environment (2003).[13]
- John Yakabuski (Renfrew—Nipissing—Pembroke), MPP since 2003, has served as Chief Opposition Whip (2011–2014), Opposition House Leader (2010–2011) and variously Opposition Critic for Community Safety and Energy.[13]
Jim Wilson was elected by caucus to be interim leader and also assumed the position of Leader of the Opposition. Vote totals were not released.[14]
Declared candidates
[edit]- Background
Federal Conservative Party MP for Barrie (2006–2015), Barrie City Councillor (2000–2006), President of the Progressive Conservative Youth Federation (PCYF) (1998–2002). Former vice-president of the Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario. Lawyer by profession.
- Date candidacy declared: September 28, 2014[15]
- Supporters
- MPPs: (5) Rick Nicholls (Chatham-Kent—Essex), Jack MacLaren (Carleton—Mississippi Mills), Toby Barrett (Haldimand—Norfolk), Bob Bailey (Sarnia—Lambton), Monte McNaughton (Lambton—Kent—Middlesex; former leadership candidate)[12]
- MPs: (18) Gord Brown (Leeds—Grenville), Paul Calandra (Oak Ridges—Markham), Rick Dykstra (St. Catharines),[16] Dave Mackenzie (Oxford),[17] Phil McColeman (Brant), Brad Butt (Mississauga—Streetsville),[18] Chungsen Leung (Willowdale), Tim Uppal (Edmonton—Spruce Grove, AB), Bal Gosal (Bramalea—Gore—Malton), Parm Gill (Brampton—Springdale), Kyle Seeback (Brampton West), Costas Menegakis (Richmond Hill), Mark Adler (York Centre), Wladyslaw Lizon (Mississauga East—Cooksville), Joe Daniel (Don Valley East), Pierre Lemieux (Glengarry—Prescott—Russell), Royal Galipeau (Ottawa—Orléans), Dean Allison (Niagara West—Glanbrook)
- Senators: (6) Don Meredith (Ontario), Lynn Beyak (Ontario), Salma Ataullahjan (Ontario), Thanh Hai Ngo (Ontario), Tobias Enverga (Ontario), Victor Oh (Ontario)
- Municipal politicians: (6) Sandie Bellow (St. Catherines City Councillor for Ward 5), Scott McPherson (Oro-Medonte City Councillor for Ward 2), Denzil Minnan-Wong (Toronto City Councillor for Ward 34; Deputy Mayor of Toronto),[19] Sergio Morales (Barrie City Councillor for Ward 9), Ross Romano (Sault Ste. Marie City Councillor for Ward 6), Mat Siscoe (St. Catherines City Councillor for Ward 4)
- Former MPPs: (4) Steve Gilchrist (Scarborough East, 1995–2003), Jane McKenna (Burlington, 2011–2014), John Hastings (Etobicoke North, 1995–2003), Dave Boushy (Sarnia, 1995–1999)
- Former MPs:
- Former Senators: (4) Consiglio Di Nino (Ontario),[20] Vim Kochhar (Ontario), Hugh Segal (Ontario), Asha Seth (Ontario)[21]
- Former municipal politicians: (2) Joe DiPaola (Richmond Hill City Councillor for Ward 6, 1998–2006),[22] Alex Nuttall (Barrie City Councillor for Ward 10, 2006–2014)
- Former candidates: (6) Jeff Bennett (London West, 2014), Andrew Ffrench (York South—Weston, 2014), Kevin Gaudet (Pickering—Scarborough East, 2014), Nita Kang (Scarborough Southwest, 2014), Derek Parks (Thunder Bay—Superior North, 2014), Roxanne Villeneuve (Glengarry—Prescott—Russell, 2014)
- Other prominent individuals: (16) Derek Burney (Canadian Ambassador to the United States, 1989–1993),[23] Stuart Clark (Ontario PC Campus Association President, 2013–2014), Troy Crowder (NHL Player), Mike Gartner (NHL Player), Zack Goldford (Ontario PC Youth Association President), Wayne Gretzky (NHL Player), Dale Hawerchuk (NHL Player), Darma Jain (Indo-Canada Chamber of Commerce President), Kris King (NHL Player), Gary Leeman (NHL Player), Narendra Modi (Prime Minister of India),[24] Alanna Newman (Ontario PC Youth Association President, 2013–2014), Laj Prasher (Canada India Foundation President), Mark Towhey (Chief of Staff to the Mayor of Toronto, 2011–2013),[25] Devon White (MLB Player), Ken Zeise (Ontario PC Party President, 2008–2012)
- Organizations:
- Media: (1) Paul Godfrey (CEO of Postmedia)
- Policies:
- Background
MPP since 2006 (Whitby—Ajax (2006–2007), Whitby—Oshawa (2007–2015). Deputy Leader of the Opposition and Critic for Health and Long-Term Care since 2009. Ran in the 2009 leadership election, placing third. Widow of former federal Minister of Finance Jim Flaherty. Prior to entering politics, Elliott was a lawyer who practiced corporate, estate and real estate law.
- Date candidacy declared: June 25, 2014[26]
- Supporters
- MPPs: (17) Ted Arnott (Wellington—Halton Hills), Todd Smith (Prince Edward—Hastings), Michael Harris (Kitchener—Conestoga), Norm Miller (Parry Sound—Muskoka), Jeff Yurek (Elgin—Middlesex—London), Sylvia Jones (Dufferin—Caledon), Laurie Scott (Haliburton—Kawartha Lakes—Brock), Bill Walker (Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound), Lisa Thompson (Huron—Bruce), Gila Martow (Thornhill), Ernie Hardeman (Oxford), Vic Fedeli (Nipissing; former leadership candidate), Randy Pettapiece (Perth—Wellington),[27] Lisa MacLeod (Nepean—Carleton; former leadership candidate), Steve Clark (Leeds—Grenville), Julia Munro (York—Simcoe), Jim McDonell (Stormont—Dundas—South Glengarry)[28]
- MPs: (25) Chris Alexander (Ajax—Pickering), Bruce Stanton (Simcoe North), Mike Wallace (Burlington), Peter Kent (Thornhill), Erin O'Toole (Durham), Ed Holder (London West), Michael Chong (Wellington—Halton Hills), Rob Nicholson (Niagara Falls), Kellie Leitch (Simcoe—Grey), Chungsen Leung (Willowdale), Costas Menegakis (Richmond Hill), Peter Braid (Kitchener—Waterloo), Daryl Kramp (Prince Edward—Hastings), Rick Norlock (Northumberland—Quinte West), Ted Opitz (Etobicoke Centre), Joe Preston (Elgin—Middlesex—London), Bernard Trottier (Etobicoke—Lakeshore), Dave Van Kesteren (Chatham-Kent—Essex), Terence Young (Oakville), Pat Perkins (Whitby—Oshawa), David Sweet (Ancaster—Dundas—Flamborough—Westdale), John Baird (Ottawa West—Nepean), John Carmichael (Don Valley West), Lisa Raitt (Halton), Jay Aspin (Nipissing—Timiskaming)
- Senators: (3) Nicole Eaton (Ontario), Linda Frum (Ontario), Marjory LeBreton (Ontario)
- Municipal politicians: (2) Don Mitchell (Mayor of Whitby), Rob Ford (Toronto City Councillor for Ward 2; Mayor of Toronto, 2010–2014)
- Former MPPs: (12) Bill Davis (Premier of Ontario, 1971–1985; MPP 1959–1985),[29] Peter Shurman (Thornhill, 2007–2013), Jerry Ouellette (Oshawa, 1995–2014), Bart Maves (Niagara Falls, 1995–2003), Wayne Wettlaufer (Kitchener Centre, 1995–2003), John O'Toole (Durham, 1995–2014), Barb Fisher (Bruce, 1995–1999), Phil Gillies (Brantford, 1981–1987), Brad Clark (Stoney Creek, 1999–2003), Joyce Savoline (Burlington, 2007–2011), Andy Brandt (Sarnia, 1981–1990; former interim leader), Doug Holyday (Etobicoke—Lakeshore, 2013–2014; former Deputy Mayor of Toronto)
- Former MPs:
- Former Senators:
- Former municipal politicians: (3) Nancy Branscombe (London City Councillor for Ward 6, 2006–2014),[30] Doug Ford (Toronto City Councillor for Ward 2, 2010–2014),[31] Hazel McCallion, (Mayor of Mississauga, 1978–2014)
- Former candidates: (10) Steve Black (Timmins—James Bay, 2014), Rick Byers (Oakville, 2011),[32][33] Liang Chen (Scarborough—Agincourt, 2011 & 2014), Ken Kirupa (Scarborough—Guildwood, 2013 & 2014), Todd McCarthy (Ajax—Pickering, 2011 & 2014), David Ramalho (Scarborough Centre, 2014), Chris Robson (London—Fanshawe, 2014), Larry Scott (Oakville, 2011 & 2014), Farid Wassef (Oak Ridges—Markham, 2011 & 2014), Tracey Weiler (Kitchener—Waterloo, 2012 & 2014)
- Other prominent individuals: (1) Sally Barnes (Former Press Secretary to Premier Bill Davis)
- Organizations:
- Media:
- Policies:
Withdrawn
[edit]- Background
MPP for Nipissing (2011–present), Opposition Finance Critic (2013–present), Energy Critic (2011–2013), Finance Critic (2013–Present), Fedeli served as mayor of North Bay, Ontario (2003–2010) for two terms, during which he donated his entire salary to charity. Before entering politics, he ran Fedeli Advertising, which in 1989 was ranked by Profit - the magazine for Small Business as the firm 34th on its list of 50 Best Places to Work in Canada. Fedeli was also recognized as one of Canada's Most Successful Entrepreneurs in an episode of MoneyMakers, hosted by Everett Banning. Additionally, Fedeli served as the dollar-per-year chairman of a non-profit organization in North Bay. Fedeli's campaign is called "OntarioFirst".[34]
- Date candidacy declared: September 24, 2014[35]
- Date withdrawn: February 4, 2015, endorsed Elliott[36]
- Supporters
- Support from caucus members: Randy Pettapiece (Perth—Wellington)
- Support from federal caucus members: Jay Aspin (Nipissing—Timiskaming)
- Support from former provincial caucus members:
- Other prominent supporters: Paula Peroni, 2014 Sudbury candidate and Sudbury Catholic District School Board trustee;[37]
- Policies
- Background
MPP for Nepean—Carleton (2006–present), Opposition Treasury Board Critic (2014–present), Energy and Francophone Affairs Critic (2013–2014), Education Critic (2011–2013), Revenue and Government Accountability Critic (2009–2011).
- Date candidacy declared: October 6, 2014[38]
- Date withdrawn: February 6, 2015, endorsed Elliott[28]
- Supporters
- Support from caucus members: Steve Clark (Leeds—Grenville), Garfield Dunlop (Simcoe North), Julia Munro (York—Simcoe), Jim McDonell (Stormont—Dundas—South Glengarry)
- Support from federal caucus members: Senator Bob Runciman, former interim PC Leader and cabinet minister, former MPP for Leeds—Grenville[39]
- Support from former provincial caucus members: Norm Sterling (Carleton—Mississippi Mills, Lanark—Carleton, Carleton, 1979–2011)[40]
- Other prominent supporters:
- Policies:
- Background
MPP for Lambton—Kent—Middlesex (2011–present), Opposition Critic for Citizenship, Immigration and International Trade (2014–present), Labour Critic (2013–2014), Economic Development and Innovation Critic (2011–2013). Prior to entering provincial politics, McNaughton sat on the city council of Newbury and was general manager and co-owner of McNaughton Family Shopping Centre in Newbury. He also served as chair of the Newbury Economic Development Committee and was president of the Strathroy and District Chamber of Commerce in 2009–10.
- Date candidacy declared: September 17, 2014[41]
- Date withdrawn: April 9, 2015; endorsed Brown.[12]
- Supporters
- Support from caucus members: Bob Bailey (Sarnia—Lambton)
- Supports from federal caucus members:
- Supports from former provincial caucus members: Darcy McKeough (Kent West, 1963–1967; Chatham—Kent 1967–1981), Marcel Beaubien, (Lambton then Lambton—Kent—Middlesex, 1995–2003), Andrew Naismith Watson, (Chatham—Kent 1978–1985)[42]
- Other prominent supporters: Rob Ford, Toronto city councillor and former mayor (2010–2014)[43]
- Policies: Social conservative
Declined
[edit]- John Baird, Minister of Foreign Affairs (2011–2015) and MP for Ottawa West—Nepean (2006–2015), former MPP (1995–2005) and provincial cabinet minister (1999–2003). Endorsed Elliott[44][45]
- Rick Byers, Bay Street executive (Borealis Infrastructure) and former federal and provincial candidate in Oakville. Endorsed Elliott[32][33]
- Michael Chong, MP for Wellington—Halton Hills (2004–present), federal Minister of Intergovernmental Affairs, President of the Queen's Privy Council for Canada, and Minister of Sport (2006). Endorsed Elliott[44][46]
- Richard Ciano, President of the Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario (2012–2015).[47]
- Tony Clement, federal President of the Treasury Board (2011–2015) and MP for Parry Sound-Muskoka (2006–present), former MPP (1995–2003) and provincial cabinet minister (1997–2003).[34][48]
- Rick Dykstra, MP for St. Catharines (2006–2015).[44] Endorsed Brown.[49]
- Doug Ford, Toronto City Councillor (2010–2014), and runner-up 2014 Toronto mayoral election. Endorsed Elliott[31]
- Randy Hillier, MPP for Lanark—Frontenac—Lennox and Addington (2007–present).[6]
- Kellie Leitch, federal Minister of Labour (2013–2015) and MP for Simcoe—Grey (2011–present). Endorsed Elliott[50]
- Rod Phillips, former chair of the Ontario Lottery and Gaming Corporation, chair of Postmedia Network Inc. and the Greater Toronto CivicAction Alliance.[51]
- Lisa Raitt, federal Minister of Transport (2013–2015) and MP for Halton (2008–present). Endorsed Elliott[34][52]
Results
[edit]Results announced in Toronto on May 9, 2015
Candidate | Weighted votes (sum of percentages in each riding) |
Percentage |
---|---|---|
Patrick Brown | 6,543 | 61.8 |
Christine Elliott | 4,040 | 38.2 |
Total | 10,583 | 100 |
Eligible voters: 76,587; turnout: 49.3%[53]
Riding results
[edit]Toronto | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Riding | MPP/MP (supported) | Brown | Elliott | Total |
Toronto & York | ||||
Beaches-East York | 54 | 46 | 100 | |
Davenport | 73 | 28 | 100 | |
Eglinton-Lawrence | MP: Joe Oliver | 28 | 72 | 100 |
Parkdale-High Park | 65 | 35 | 100 | |
St. Paul's | 41 | 59 | 100 | |
Toronto Centre | 30 | 70 | 100 | |
Toronto-Danforth | 53 | 47 | 100 | |
Trinity-Spadina | 39 | 61 | 100 | |
Etobicoke | ||||
Etobicoke Centre | MP: Ted Opitz (Elliott) | 47 | 53 | 100 |
Etobicoke-Lakeshore | MP: Bernard Trottier (Elliott) | 58 | 42 | 100 |
Etobicoke North | 77 | 23 | 100 | |
North York | ||||
Don Valley East | MP: Joe Daniel (Brown) | 61 | 39 | 100 |
Don Valley West | MP: John Carmichael (Elliott) | 38 | 62 | 100 |
Willowdale | MP: Chungsen Leung | 58 | 42 | 100 |
York Centre | MP: Mark Adler (Brown) | 58 | 42 | 100 |
York South-Weston | MP: Mike Sullivan | 82 | 18 | 100 |
York West | 86 | 14 | 100 | |
Scarborough | ||||
Scarborough-Agincourt | 84 | 16 | 100 | |
Scarborough Centre | MP: Roxanne James | 76 | 24 | 100 |
Scarborough-Guildwood | 81 | 19 | 100 | |
Scarborough-Rouge River | 90 | 10 | 100 | |
Scarborough Southwest | 72 | 28 | 100 |
905 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Riding | MPP/MP (supported) | Brown | Elliott | Total |
Hamilton & Niagara | ||||
Ancaster-Dundas-Flamborough-Westdale | MP: David Sweet (Elliott) | 55 | 45 | 100 |
Brant | MP: Phil McColeman (Brown) | 70 | 30 | 100 |
Haldimand-Norfolk | MPP: Toby Barrett (Brown) MP: Diane Finley |
71 | 29 | 100 |
Hamilton Centre | 70 | 30 | 100 | |
Hamilton East-Stoney Creek | 72 | 28 | 100 | |
Hamilton Mountain | 81 | 19 | 100 | |
Niagara Falls | MP: Rob Nicholson (Elliott) | 43 | 57 | 100 |
Niagara West-Glanbrook | MPP: Tim Hudak MP: Dean Allison (Brown) |
64 | 36 | 100 |
St. Catharines | MP: Rick Dykstra (Brown) | 70 | 30 | 100 |
Welland | 68 | 32 | 100 | |
Peel & Halton | ||||
Bramalea-Gore-Malton | MP: Bal Gosal (Brown) | 76 | 24 | 100 |
Brampton-Springdale | MP: Parm Gill (Brown) | 67 | 33 | 100 |
Brampton West | MP: Kyle Seeback (Brown) | 72 | 28 | 100 |
Mississauga-Brampton South | MP: Eve Adams | 81 | 19 | 100 |
Mississauga East-Cooksville | MP: Wladyslaw Lizon (Brown) | 88 | 12 | 100 |
Mississauga-Erindale | MP: Bob Dechert | 75 | 25 | 100 |
Mississauga South | MP: Stella Ambler | 48 | 52 | 100 |
Mississauga-Streetsville | MP: Brad Butt (Brown) | 74 | 26 | 100 |
Burlington | MP: Mike Wallace (Elliott) | 41 | 59 | 100 |
Halton | MP: Lisa Raitt (Elliott) | 68 | 32 | 100 |
Oakville | MP: Terence Young (Elliott) | 44 | 56 | 100 |
York & Simcoe | ||||
Markham-Unionville | 87 | 13 | 100 | |
Newmarket-Aurora | MP: Lois Brown | 64 | 36 | 100 |
Oak Ridges-Markham | MP: Paul Calandra (Brown) | 74 | 26 | 100 |
Richmond Hill | MP: Costas Menegakis | 72 | 28 | 100 |
Thornhill | MPP: Gila Martow (Elliott) MP: Peter Kent (Elliott) |
52 | 48 | 100 |
Vaughan | 59 | 41 | 100 | |
York-Simcoe | MPP: Julia Munro (Elliott) MP: Peter Van Loan |
71 | 29 | 100 |
Barrie | MP: Patrick Brown (Brown) | 89 | 11 | 100 |
Simcoe-Grey | MPP: Jim Wilson MP: Kellie Leitch (Elliott) |
65 | 35 | 100 |
Simcoe North | MPP: Garfield Dunlop MP: Bruce Stanton (Elliott) |
48 | 52 | 100 |
Durham | ||||
Ajax-Pickering | MP: Chris Alexander (Elliott) | 54 | 46 | 100 |
Durham | MP: Erin O'Toole (Elliott) | 36 | 64 | 100 |
Oshawa | MP: Colin Carrie | 48 | 52 | 100 |
Pickering-Scarborough East | MP: Corneliu Chisu | 66 | 34 | 100 |
Whitby-Oshawa | MPP: Christine Elliott (Elliott) MP: Pat Perkins (Elliott) |
27 | 73 | 100 |
Eastern Ontario | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Riding | MPP/MP (supported) | Brown | Elliott | Total |
Ottawa | ||||
Carleton-Mississippi Mills | MPP: Jack MacLaren (Brown) MP: Gordon O'Connor |
68 | 32 | 100 |
Nepean-Carleton | MPP: Lisa MacLeod (Elliott) MP: Pierre Poilievre |
62 | 38 | 100 |
Ottawa Centre | 56 | 44 | 100 | |
Ottawa-Orleans | MP: Royal Galipeau (Brown) | 69 | 31 | 100 |
Ottawa South | 65 | 35 | 100 | |
Ottawa-Vanier | 60 | 40 | 100 | |
Ottawa West-Nepean | MP: John Baird (Elliott) | 53 | 47 | 100 |
Eastern Ontario | ||||
Glengarry-Prescott-Russell | MP: Pierre Lemieux (Brown) | 58 | 42 | 100 |
Haliburton-Kawartha Lakes-Brock | MPP: Laurie Scott (Elliott) MP: Barry Devolin |
29 | 71 | 100 |
Kingston and the Islands | 54 | 46 | 100 | |
Lanark-Frontenac-Lennox and Addington | MPP: Randy Hillier MP: Scott Reid |
56 | 44 | 100 |
Leeds-Grenville | MPP: Steve Clark (Elliott) MP: Gord Brown (Brown) |
47 | 53 | 100 |
Northumberland-Quinte West | MP: Rick Norlock (Elliott) | 39 | 61 | 100 |
Peterborough | MP: Dean Del Mastro | 61 | 39 | 100 |
Prince Edward-Hastings | MPP: Todd Smith (Elliott) MP: Daryl Kramp (Elliott) |
33 | 67 | 100 |
Renfrew-Nipissing-Pembroke | MPP: John Yakabuski MP: Cheryl Gallant |
66 | 34 | 100 |
Stormont-Dundas-South Glengarry | MPP: Jim McDonell (Elliott) MP: Guy Lauzon |
55 | 45 | 100 |
Southwestern Ontario | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Riding | MPP/MP (supported) | Brown | Elliott | Total |
Kitchener-Waterloo | ||||
Cambridge | MP: Gary Goodyear | 61 | 39 | 100 |
Guelph | 56 | 44 | 100 | |
Kitchener Centre | MP: Stephen Woodworth | 50 | 50 | 100 |
Kitchener-Conestoga | MPP: Michael Harris (Elliott) MP: Harold Albrecht |
53 | 47 | 100 |
Kitchener-Waterloo | MP: Peter Braid (Elliott) | 58 | 42 | 100 |
Wellington-Halton Hills | MPP: Ted Arnott (Elliott) MP: Michael Chong (Elliott) |
53 | 47 | 100 |
London | ||||
Elgin-Middlesex-London | MPP: Jeff Yurek (Elliott) MP: Joe Preston (Elliott) |
49 | 51 | 100 |
London-Fanshawe | 75 | 25 | 100 | |
London North Centre | MP: Susan Truppe | 66 | 34 | 100 |
London West | MP: Ed Holder (Elliott) | 67 | 33 | 100 |
Windsor-Essex | ||||
Chatham-Kent-Essex | MPP: Rick Nicholls (Brown) MP: Dave Van Kesteren (Elliott) |
73 | 27 | 100 |
Essex | MP: Jeff Watson | 75 | 25 | 100 |
Windsor-Tecumseh | 80 | 20 | 100 | |
Windsor West | 89 | 11 | 100 | |
Rural | ||||
Bruce-Grey-Owen Sound | MPP: Bill Walker (Elliott) MP: Larry Miller |
46 | 54 | 100 |
Dufferin-Caledon | MPP: Sylvia Jones (Elliott) MP: David Tilson |
57 | 43 | 100 |
Huron-Bruce | MPP: Lisa Thompson (Elliott) MP: Ben Lobb |
52 | 48 | 100 |
Lambton-Kent-Middlesex | MPP: Monte McNaughton (Brown) MP: Bev Shipley |
85 | 15 | 100 |
Oxford | MPP: Ernie Hardeman (Elliott) MP: Dave Mackenzie (Brown) |
46 | 54 | 100 |
Perth-Wellington | MPP: Randy Pettapiece (Elliott) MP: Gary Schellenberger |
57 | 43 | 100 |
Sarnia-Lambton | MPP: Bob Bailey (Brown) MP: Pat Davidson |
71 | 29 | 100 |
Northern Ontario | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Riding | MPP/MP (supported) | Brown | Elliott | Total |
Algoma-Manitoulin | 49 | 28 | 77 | |
Kenora-Rainy River | MP: Greg Rickford | 79 | 21 | 100 |
Nickel Belt | 58 | 35 | 93 | |
Nipissing | MPP: Vic Fedeli (Elliott) MP: Jay Aspin (Elliott) |
40 | 60 | 100 |
Parry Sound-Muskoka | MPP: Norm Miller (Elliott) MP: Tony Clement |
37 | 63 | 100 |
Sault Ste. Marie | MP: Bryan Hayes | 88 | 12 | 100 |
Sudbury | 73 | 27 | 100 | |
Thunder Bay-Atikokan | 73 | 27 | 100 | |
Thunder Bay-Superior North | 55 | 32 | 87 | |
Timiskaming-Cochrane | 43 | 18 | 61 | |
Timmins-James Bay | 38 | 27 | 65 |
Opinion polling
[edit]All Ontarians
[edit]Poll source | Date | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | Other |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Forum Research Sample size: 881 |
March 26, 2015 | Christine Elliott 24% |
Monte McNaughton 7% | Patrick Brown 6% |
Someone else 29%, Don't know 34% |
Forum Research Sample size: 1,079 |
September 30-October 1, 2014 | Christine Elliott 14% |
Lisa MacLeod 9% |
Patrick Brown 5% |
Vic Fedeli 4%, Monte McNaughton 4%, Someone else 14%, Don't know 43% |
Forum Research Sample size: 810 |
July 3, 2014 | Christine Elliott 21% |
John Baird 9% |
Doug Ford 8% |
Tony Clement 7%, Lisa MacLeod 6%, Lisa Raitt 3%, Someone else 15%, Don't know 30% |
Progressive Conservative supporters only
[edit]Poll source | Date | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | Other |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Forum Research Sample size: 310 |
March 26, 2015 | Christine Elliott 35% |
Monte McNaughton 15% | Patrick Brown 11% |
None of these 9%, Don't know 30% |
Forum Research Sample size: 367 |
September 30-October 1, 2014 | Christine Elliott 24% |
Lisa MacLeod 11% |
Patrick Brown 6% |
Vic Fedeli 5%, Monte McNaughton 3%, Someone else 20%, Don't know 30% |
Forum Research Sample size: 287 |
July 3, 2014 | Christine Elliott 25% |
John Baird 14% |
Lisa MacLeod 11% |
Tony Clement 7%, Doug Ford 6%, Lisa Raitt 3%, Someone else 15%, Don't know 19% |
Progressive Conservative Members Only
[edit]Poll source | Date | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | Other |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research Sample size: 442 |
April 30, 2015 | Patrick Brown 62% |
Christine Elliott 33% | - |
Undecided 5% |
Mainstreet Research Sample size: 348 |
April 14, 2015 | Patrick Brown 47% |
Christine Elliott 41% | - |
Undecided 12% |
Forum Research Sample size: 65 |
March 26, 2015 | Christine Elliott 51% |
Monte McNaughton 13% | Patrick Brown 10% |
Someone else 14%, Don't know 11% |
See also
[edit]- Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario leadership elections
- 2009 Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario leadership election
References
[edit]- ^ a b c d "Time to count the Tories". Toronto Star. May 8, 2015. Retrieved May 8, 2015.
- ^ a b c d "Ontario Progressive Conservative party to choose new leader next May". National Post. September 21, 2014. Retrieved September 22, 2014.
- ^ a b c d "Ontario PCs to choose new leader in May". Globe and Mail. September 22, 2014. Retrieved September 21, 2014.
- ^ a b c d e "Ontario Tories announce rules for leadership race". Hamilton Spectator. September 22, 2014. Retrieved September 21, 2014.
- ^ a b c "Tim Hudak will step down as Ontario Progressive Conservative Leader July 2". The Globe and Mail. June 18, 2014. Retrieved June 19, 2014.
- ^ a b c d "Tim Hudak to quit July 2 amid Tory revolt". Toronto Star. June 18, 2014. Retrieved June 18, 2014.
- ^ "Ontario Tories not rushing into a leadership race". Toronto Star. Retrieved July 10, 2014.
- ^ a b "Ontario Progressive Conservatives delay leadership race decision". CBC News. July 6, 2014. Retrieved July 6, 2014.
- ^ a b Babbage, Maria (August 9, 2014). "New Ontario Conservative leader to be chosen in spring 2015, no specific date set". National Post. Retrieved August 9, 2014.
- ^ a b c "Ontario Tory leadership candidates urge party to broaden support base". thestar.com. November 24, 2014.
- ^ "Lisa MacLeod to withdraw from Progressive Conservative leadership race". Toronto Star. February 5, 2015. Retrieved February 5, 2015.
- ^ a b c "Monte McNaughton drops out of Tory leadership race". Toronto Star. April 9, 2015. Retrieved April 9, 2015.
- ^ a b c "Eastern Ontario MPPs Hillier and Yakabuski seek interim Tory leadership". Ottawa Citizen. June 26, 2014. Retrieved June 28, 2014.
- ^ "Progressive Conservatives pick Jim Wilson as interim leader". Toronto Star. July 2, 2014. Retrieved July 2, 2014.
- ^ "Brown launches bid for Ontario PC leadership, promises 'fresh start'". Globe and Mail. September 28, 2014. Retrieved September 28, 2014.
- ^ "Rick Dykstra will not seek Ontario PC leadership bid". News Talk 610 CKTB Radio. September 12, 2014.
- ^ "Patrick Brown on Twitter". Twitter.
- ^ "Brad Butt on Twitter". Twitter.
- ^ "Vote Patrick Brown on Twitter". Twitter.
- ^ "Endorsements - Patrick Brown Campaign". patrickbrown.nationbuilder.com. Archived from the original on November 29, 2014. Retrieved June 6, 2022.
- ^ "Vote Patrick Brown › Log In". votepatrickbrown.ca. Archived from the original on January 6, 2015.
- ^ "Joe DiPaola on Twitter". Twitter.
- ^ "Patrick Brown urges 'greater market access' for beer and wine". Toronto Star. April 2, 2015. Retrieved April 2, 2015.
- ^ Taber, Jane (April 15, 2015). "Patrick Brown's friendship with Modi could reap rewards at the ballot box". The Globe and Mail.
- ^ "Mark Towhey". twitter.com.
- ^ "Christine Elliott aims to rebuild PC party 'from ground up'". Toronto Star. June 25, 2014. Retrieved June 25, 2014.
- ^ "Martin Regg Cohn on Twitter". Twitter.
- ^ a b "Lisa MacLeod endorses Christine Elliott for PC leadership". Toronto Star. February 6, 2015. Retrieved February 6, 2015.
- ^ Cohn, Martin (November 8, 2014). "Doug Ford's next conquest could be Ontario's PCs: Cohn". thestar.com. Toronto Star Newspapers Ltd. Retrieved May 12, 2015.
- ^ "Endorsements | Christine Elliott for Ontario PC Leader". christineelliott.ca. Archived from the original on November 23, 2014. Retrieved June 6, 2022.
- ^ a b "Doug Ford won't enter race for Ontario PC leadership". thestar.com. November 27, 2014.
- ^ a b Radwanski, Adam (July 4, 2014). "Outsider Rod Phillips could gain traction in race to succeed Hudak". Globe and Mail. Retrieved July 4, 2014.
- ^ a b "A DYNAMIC START TO THE ELLIOTT LEADERSHIP CAMPAIGN WITH FORMER PREMIER BILL DAVIS & STRONG SHOWING OF SUPPORTERS | Christine Elliott for Ontario PC Leader". christineelliott.ca. Archived from the original on December 5, 2014. Retrieved June 6, 2022.
- ^ a b c "Ontario election 2014: Potential contenders to replace Tim Hudak as PC leader". CBC News. June 12, 2014. Retrieved June 12, 2014.
- ^ "Vic Fedeli launches PC leadership bid with vow to 'restore trust'". Toronto Star. September 24, 2014. Retrieved September 24, 2014.
- ^ "Radical change in PC leadership race as Fedeli drops out". thestar.com. February 4, 2015.
- ^ "PC leadership hopefuls to debate in Sudbury". Sudbury Star.
- ^ "Ottawa MPP Lisa MacLeod enters Ontario PC leadership race". CTV News. October 6, 2014. Retrieved October 6, 2014.
- ^ "Runciman backs Lisa MacLeod for PC leader". Ottawa Sun.
- ^ "Norm Sterling on Lisa MacLeod leadership". CBC.ca Player. October 20, 2014.
- ^ "Monte McNaughton launches bid for Ontario PC leadership". The Globe and Mail. September 17, 2014. Retrieved September 17, 2014.
- ^ "Monte McNaughton on Twitter". Twitter.
- ^ "Rob Ford endorses Monte McNaughton as Progressive Conservative leader". Toronto Star. January 16, 2015. Retrieved January 16, 2015.
- ^ a b c Blizzard, Christina (June 13, 2014). "Who will replace Hudak?". Toronto Sun. Retrieved June 14, 2014.
- ^ "Joanne Chianello on Twitter". Twitter.
- ^ "The Wellington Advertiser". www.wellingtonadvertiser.com. Archived from the original on December 5, 2014. Retrieved November 27, 2014.
- ^ "Frustrated Tory MPPs say they were blindsided by Tim Hudak's controversial pledge to cut 100,000 jobs". National Post. June 16, 2014. Retrieved June 17, 2014.
- ^ "Clement dispels rumour about running for Ontario PC leader". My Muskoka Now.
- ^ "News Talk 610 CKTB :: EXCLUSIVE: Rick Dykstra will not seek Ontario PC leadership bid :: News News - Article". 610 CKTB.
- ^ "Who will replace Tim Hudak?". Toronto Star. June 14, 2014. Retrieved June 14, 2014.
- ^ "Touted PC leadership candidate declines to run", National Post, page A5, August 8, 2014
- ^ "Returning to work after health scare just Lisa Raitt's latest comeback". National Post. January 12, 2015. Retrieved January 15, 2015.
- ^ "Patrick Brown elected leader of Ontario PC party". Globe and Mail. May 9, 2015. Retrieved May 9, 2015.
Notes
[edit]- ^ Brown was the federal MP for Barrie at the time of the leadership election. He was later elected as provincial MPP for Simcoe North.