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Winter storm naming in the United States

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The "Mataafa Storm" of 1905 was named after SS Mataafa, which was wrecked during the storm.

Winter storm naming in the United States has been used sporadically since the mid-1700s in various ways to describe historical winter storms. These names have been coined using schemes such as the days of the year that the storm impacted or noteworthy structures that the storm had damaged and/or destroyed. In the 2010s, winter storm naming became controversial with The Weather Channel coming up with its own list of names for winter storms similar to that of hurricanes. The marketing of weather became a big part of media revenue by the 1990s (see Weather media in the United States). Various other media outlets soon followed The Weather Channel with their own naming lists. Most government and research meteorologists argue that winter storms can reform more than once, making the process of naming them both difficult and redundant. The United States National Weather Service (NWS) has refrained from commenting on the system and stated that they do not name winter storms.

Background

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The practice of using names to identify weather systems goes back several centuries, with systems named after places, saints or things they hit before the formal start of each naming scheme.[1][2] Examples include The Great Snow of 1717, The Schoolhouse Blizzard (1888), the Mataafa Storm, the Storm of the Century (1993).[3] Credit for the first usage of personal names for weather is generally given to the Queensland Government Meteorologist Clement Wragge, who named tropical cyclones and anticyclones between 1887–1907.[4] This system of naming weather systems subsequently fell into disuse for several years after Wragge retired, until it was revived for typhoons in the latter part of the Second World War.[4]

Named days of the calendar for storms include a storm that hit in 1940 called the Armistice Day Blizzard, a storm in Oregon in 1962 called the Columbus Day Storm, a storm in 1976 called the Groundhog Day gale, and more recently a storm in 1991 dubbed the Halloween blizzard. The twentieth century closed with two more storms that received names. In 1997, a blizzard that impacted the Northeastern United States was called the April Fool's Day Blizzard.

Storms of the twenty-first century include the South Valley Surprise of 2002 that impacted Oregon. During 2006 a major winter storm that impacted Colorado was dubbed the Colorado Holiday Blizzards. During October 2012 after informally using the previously coined name "Snowtober" for the 2011 Halloween nor'easter, The Weather Channel announced that it was going to start naming winter storms from a predetermined list of names.[5] The Weather Channel argued that the winter storm names would improve communications of storm warnings and help reduce storm impacts.[5] Private agencies, and news stations have also named storms in recent years that have received international media attention. These names include "Snowmageddon", "Snowzilla", and other voted upon names such as Anna, after former First Lady Anna Harrison.[6]

Ted Fujita proposed naming the April 3, 1974, tornado outbreak the “Jumbo Outbreak” as 747 was a designated jumbo jet and it occurred on the third day of the fourth in the 74th year of the 20th century.[7]

From the winter of 1998-99 until 2012-13, the United States National Weather Service (NWS) Weather Forecast Office in Buffalo, New York unofficially named lake-effect snow storms after the event, using various themes including insects, heavenly bodies, famous scientists, minerals and cows.[8][9]

Notable media

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WFSB Channel 3, Connecticut

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During the winter of 1971-72, Meteorologist Ken Garee of the Travelers Weather Service in Hartford, Connecticut started to name winter storms, in order to help educate the WTIC television and radio audiences about the rapid movement of winter storms.[10] Over the years, the naming scheme continued by the staff of WSFB Channel 3 with a variety of different themes used to name the systems including the top baby names of 1957, the children of Channel 3 and Connecticut Towns that could be someones first name.[11][12][13]

Currently systems are named if they are forecast to produce over 6 in (150 mm) of snow over the majority of the state and/or at least 1/2 the amount of ice accretion, an average ice storm would produce over the area. Critics say it is a way to hype the rather brief snow/winter season in Connecticut. [13] According to WFSB has found that their naming of winter storms has had a mixed reaction over the years with some viewers criticizing it, however, the majority of their viewers found it fun and loved the tradition.[13]

WLUK Fox 11, Wisconsin

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During the late 1980s, WLUK-TV meteorologist John Chandik started to name winter storms alphabetically, after communities in the station's viewing area in northeastern Wisconsin.[14][15] Over the next few years, the naming scheme continued with a fresh list of names developed internally every year and started to use people names for the winter storms, as it didn't make sense to name a system Florence, if the majority of the snow was in Appleton or Oshkosh.[15][16] These days systems are most commonly named if they are forecast to produce over 5 in (130 mm) of snow over WLUK Fox 11's viewing area or if a major ice storm occurs which has the potential for power outages and making driving hazardous.[17] WLUK has found that their naming of winter storms has had a mixed reaction over the years, with some communities taking it as a source of pride and fun, while other viewers didn't like the naming scheme.[14][15]

The Weather Channel

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During Halloween 2011, a nor'easter impacted the northeastern United States and was nicknamed "Snowtober" by various media outlets and on social media, which prompted The Weather Channel (TWC) to put the nickname on air where it took off.[18][19] As a result, the commercial weather service started to informally investigate naming winter storms and realised that Twitter needed a hashtag for every system so that information could be filtered.[18][20] During October 2012, TWC announced that 3 of their senior meteorologists would start proactively naming noteworthy winter storms, using names from a predetermined list of 26 Roman and Greek names.[21][20] TWC argued that the naming scheme would raise awareness, make communications and information sharing easier, which in turn would make it easier for people to understand forecasts, lead to better planning, preparedness and result in less impact overall.[21] The initial reaction to TWC's naming scheme was mixed as most people did not have a problem with it, while others were not happy that TWC had not consulted the rest of the meteorological community on the initiative and called it self-serving and not in the interest of effective weather communication.[22] After considering TWC's press release and various other factors, the founder and president of the commercial weather service Accuweather, Dr. Joel N. Myers, suggested that TWC had "confused media spin with science and public safety."[23] He also stated that Accuweather had explored the issue for 20 years and had concluded that it "was not good science" and would "mislead the public" and noted that "winter storms were very different from hurricanes".[23] At the time the NWS made no comment about the naming system but noted that they did not name winter storms.[23]

After TWC named its first system in November 2012, the NWS Eastern Region headquarters reminded its forecast offices that it didn't name Winter Storms, however, the NWS Weather Forecast Office in Buffalo, New York unofficially named six systems after the fact during the winter of 2012-13.[24][25] After reading a headline entitled "Brutus expected to bury Bozeman" students at the Bozeman High School in Montana reached out to TWC and provided them with four years worth of classical Latin and Greek names as they wanted to raise awareness of the language.[26][27] During the season, TWC did not use any quantitative method to name the systems and started to use the names provided by the Bozeman high school after it had exhausted the list of names that it had preselected.[28][29] After the season had ended, TWC reviewed the systems it had assigned a name to and felt that 90% of the systems deserved to be named, based on the impacts they had on a regional/national basis.[29] They also determined that the project had been a success after over a billion impressions were recorded on Twitter and numerous schools, agencies and media outlets had started to use it.[30] As a result, they decided to use the named storms of 2012-13 as a benchmark and developed a quantitative method for deciding when to name future storms, which they entitled the Integrated Meteorological Population and Area Calculation Tool (IMPACT).[31] This tool allowed TWC to calculate the population and area that is forecast to be impacted by a winter storm, based on thresholds set by the NWS for winter weather warnings and advisories.[29][31]

As a result, they decided that they would name a storm during the 2013-14 season if it was forecast to impact over 10 million people or 1,000,000 km2 (390,000 sq mi), however, it was noted that the storm naming committee could override the guidance in certain circumstances.[31] Over the next few years, TWC continued to develop the science behind their naming scheme and collaborated with the Latin class at Bozeman High School to release a new set of 26 names each year.[30][32][33] Ahead of the winter of 2015-16, the United Kingdom's Met Office and the Irish Met Éireann announced that they would start naming winter storms, in order to take control and inject authority into a messy situation where the media was using a variety of names for weather events.

United States government naming policy

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The U.S. government-operated National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) (a division of which—the National Hurricane Center—has named hurricanes for many years), and its main division—the National Weather Service (NWS)—did not acknowledge TWC's winter storm names and asked its forecast offices to refrain from using the TWC names.[34] In a November 2012 memo, it requested that its employees avoid referring to storms by name.[19] NWS spokesperson Susan Buchanan stated, "The National Weather Service does not name winter storms because a winter storm's impact can vary from one location to another, and storms can weaken and redevelop, making it difficult to define where one ends and another begins."[35] The National Weather Service has stated that "no plans to consider naming winter storms" are in progress.[36]

Reception

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Private weather forecaster AccuWeather disagreed with the practice of naming winter storms in 2013. AccuWeather president Joel N. Myers stated in February 2013, "The Weather Channel has confused media spin with science and public safety. We [...] have found this is not good science and will mislead the public."[37][22] In defense of TWC's practice, TWC's Norcross said, "The fact is, a storm with a name is easier to follow, which will mean fewer surprises and more preparation."[38] Media organizations such as The New York Times and The Washington Post later stated that they would not use a name such as "Winter Storm Nemo" for the February 2013 nor'easter.[37][39] However, some outlets such as New York mayor Michael Bloomberg's office used the Twitter hashtag "#nemo" to refer to the storm.[40] Tom Kines of AccuWeather stated, "The Weather Channel probably names the storms because it gets the publicity." TWC relies on its TV audience and page views for revenue as the weather service is privately owned.[35] Other claims include TWC naming the storms as a form of an advertisement campaign.[41] Other stations/organizations have decided to use their own naming system, which only adds to the confusion that abounds.

Doctoral candidate Adam Rainear from the University of Connecticut stated that the names do not add credibility based on a study he had done on impacts.[18] Rainear argued that hurricane names were adopted as a useful tool for mariners to help warn ships of the storm's path. He points out though, that no "data" supports the notion of The Weather Channel drawing in more people by naming winter storms.[42] The AP Stylebook issued an update in 2018 advising that "Major storm names provided by government weather agencies, the European Union or World Meteorological Organization are acceptable." then went on to say "Do not use names created by private agencies or other organizations." This change affects news and media sources that rely on The Associated Press.[43]

AMS Committee

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During 2017 an ad-hoc subcommittee of the American Meteorological Society's Committee on the Effective Communication of Water and Climate Information investigated the naming of winter storms, in order to see if the United States weather enterprise and National Weather Service should adopt a winter storm naming process.[44] The Committee requested and received presentations on The Weather Channel's naming scheme, Social Science and Named Winter Storms, Differing perceptions of Hurricanes and Nor’easters and two on Met Éireann and the United Kingdom's Met Office's naming scheme.[44] The committee also consulted with the NWS who noted that collaboration would be needed with Canada and Mexico, while the agency that named the systems would need to be neutral.[45] The NWS also noted that its participation in any research did not imply an endorsement of the naming scheme or commitment to an operational change and that it did not have any plans to invest any money in this area.[45]

The committee subsequently found that there was no strong evidence that naming winter storms enhanced safety and that the major intent behind naming winter storms was to help communications with the general public and decision-makers.[44] Members of the committee subsequently commented that they felt better informed after these presentations, but were not able to come to a consensus on if the United States weather enterprise should adopt a naming process for winter storms.[45] In particular, members felt like they needed more information before they could make an informed opinion and suggested that further research was needed around the naming criteria, why and how the TWC names are used and into any potential harm of naming weather systems.[45] They also suggested that the issue should be moved up to either the AMS Board on Enterprise Communication or the AMS Board of Best Practices.[45]

See also

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References

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  1. ^ Dorst, Neal M (October 23, 2012). "They Called the Wind Mahina: The History of Naming Cyclones" (PPTX). United States Hurricane Research Division. Slides 8–72.
  2. ^ Adamson, Peter (September 2003). "Clement Lindley Wragge and the naming of weather disturbances". Weather. 58 (9): 359–363. Bibcode:2003Wthr...58..359A. doi:10.1256/wea.13.03. S2CID 122927390.
  3. ^ Zielinski, Gregory A; Keim, Barry D (2003). New England Weather, New England Climate. University Press of New England. ISBN 1-58465-312-4.
  4. ^ a b Smith, Ray (1990). "What's in a Name?" (PDF). Weather and Climate. 10 (1): 24–26. doi:10.2307/44279572. JSTOR 44279572. S2CID 201717866.
  5. ^ a b Freedman, Andrew (October 2, 2012). "Weather Channel Announces Plan to Name Winter Storms". Archived from the original on September 23, 2015. Retrieved September 21, 2015.
  6. ^ "Weekend Storm – the latest!". WFSB. Hartford, Connecticut: Meredith Corporation. January 21, 2016. Retrieved January 22, 2016.
  7. ^ "Jumbo Tornado Outbreak of 3 April 1974" (PDF). Retrieved October 8, 2023.
  8. ^ Masters, Jeffery (October 2, 2012). "Major U.S. Winter Storms to get names". Weather Underground. Archived from the original on December 26, 2022. Retrieved December 26, 2022.
  9. ^ Lake Effect Snow Season 1998-1999 (Report). United States National Weather Service Weather Forecast Office Buffalo, New York. October 2, 2012. Archived from the original on October 24, 2013. Retrieved December 26, 2022.
  10. ^ Srubas, Paul (December 24, 1973). "The People's Forum: We Name Storms". Hartford Courant. Retrieved December 29, 2022 – via Newspapers.com.
  11. ^ House, Dennis (November 7, 2012). "First Winter Storm is Named…". Retrieved December 29, 2022.
  12. ^ McEnroe, Colin (January 26, 2014). "'Bombogensis' Scary, But It Beats Politics". Hartford Courant. p. C3. Retrieved December 29, 2022 – via Newspapers.com.
  13. ^ a b c Gilardi, Jill; Slifer, Mike (December 29, 2022). "Technical Discussion: Were looking at a pretty good day of weather partly sunny skies are expected today". WFSB Channel 3. Archived from the original on December 29, 2022. Retrieved December 29, 2022.
  14. ^ a b Srubas, Paul (December 5, 1990). "Shovel the blame on Algoma for big blizzard". Green Bay Press-Gazette. Retrieved December 28, 2022 – via Newspapers.com.
  15. ^ a b c Kerhin, Brian (December 28, 2015). "Why FOX 11 names winter storms". WLUK Fox 11. Archived from the original on January 1, 2016. Retrieved December 28, 2022.
  16. ^ Powell, Patrick; Petoniak, Pete (December 28, 2015). "The 2015-2016 winter storm names". WLUK Fox 11. Archived from the original on November 13, 2015. Retrieved December 28, 2022.
  17. ^ Petoniak, Pete (November 7, 2022). "Pete reveals the 2022-23 winter storm names". WLUK Fox 11. Archived from the original on December 22, 2022. Retrieved December 28, 2022.
  18. ^ a b c Rainear, Adam M; Lachlan, Kenneth A; Lin, Carolyn A (2017). "What's in a #Name? An Experimental Study Examining Perceived Credibility and Impact of Winter Storm Names". Weather, Climate, and Society. 9 (4): 815–822. Bibcode:2017WCS.....9..815R. doi:10.1175/WCAS-D-16-0037.1.
  19. ^ a b Palmer, Roxanne (February 8, 2013). "What's In A Storm Name? Weather Channel Policy Draws Critics, But Catches On". International Business Times. Archived from the original on November 22, 2022. Retrieved December 26, 2022.
  20. ^ a b Norcross, Bryan (September 24, 2018). Winter Storm Naming by The Weather Channel FAQ (Report). American Meteorological Society. Archived from the original on December 22, 2022. Retrieved December 26, 2022.
  21. ^ a b "The Weather Channel to Name Winter Storms" (Press release). The Weather Channel. October 2, 2012. Archived from the original on October 6, 2012. Retrieved December 26, 2022.
  22. ^ a b Samenow, Jason (October 3, 2012). "TV weathercasters criticize unilateral action by The Weather Channel on storm naming". The Washington Post. Retrieved February 16, 2013.
  23. ^ a b c Macmath, Jillian (October 5, 2012). "TWC Winter Storm Naming "Will Mislead Public"". Accuweather. Archived from the original on October 6, 2012. Retrieved December 26, 2022.
  24. ^ Samenow, Jason (November 7, 2013). "National Weather Service: Just say no to Athena". The Washington Post. Retrieved December 26, 2022.
  25. ^ "NWS Buffalo Lake Effect Page". United States National Weather Service Weather Forecast Office Buffalo, New York. April 4, 2013. Archived from the original on June 28, 2013. Retrieved December 26, 2022.
  26. ^ "Bozeman High students to be featured on Weather Channel". Bozeman Daily Chronicle. April 4, 2013. Archived from the original on December 29, 2022. Retrieved December 29, 2022.
  27. ^ "Montana High School Students Name Winter Storms". Newstalk KGVO. April 4, 2013. Archived from the original on November 27, 2014. Retrieved December 29, 2022.
  28. ^ Wiltgen, Nick (May 7, 2013). "Winter 2012-13: Named Storms from 'A' to 'Z' (and 'A' Again)". The Weather Channel. Archived from the original on November 22, 2014. Retrieved December 26, 2022.
  29. ^ a b c Niziol, Thomas (July 3, 2017). Naming Winter Storms (Report). American Meteorological Society. Archived from the original on December 27, 2022. Retrieved December 26, 2022.
  30. ^ a b "Winter Storm Names 2013-14: What They Are and What They Mean". The Weather Channel. October 1, 2013. Archived from the original on October 1, 2013. Retrieved December 27, 2022.
  31. ^ a b c Nizol, Thomas (January 21, 2014). "The Science Behind Naming Winter Storms at The Weather Channel". The Weather Channel. Archived from the original on November 22, 2014. Retrieved December 27, 2022.
  32. ^ "Winter Storm Names 2014-15: What They Are and What They Mean". The Weather Channel. October 2, 2014. Archived from the original on November 21, 2014. Retrieved December 27, 2022.
  33. ^ "Winter Storm Names 2015-16: What They Are and What They Mean". The Weather Channel. October 13, 2015. Archived from the original on October 15, 2015. Retrieved December 27, 2022.
  34. ^ "What's the big deal with naming winter storms?". wxbrad.com. November 8, 2013. Retrieved February 9, 2013.
  35. ^ a b "Why Your Weatherman Is Protesting the Name 'Nemo' - National". The Atlantic. February 8, 2013. Retrieved February 16, 2013.
  36. ^ Doyle Rice (October 18, 2016). "Ready for Winter Storm Blanche? Weather Channel releases list of storm names". USA Today. Retrieved March 14, 2017.
  37. ^ a b Newman, Jared (February 9, 2013). "Don't Call that Storm 'Nemo'? Twitter Begs to Differ". Time. Retrieved February 11, 2013.
  38. ^ Nizol, Thomas (October 3, 2012). "Why The Weather Channel is Naming Winter Storms". The Weather Channel. Archived from the original on October 3, 2012. Retrieved December 26, 2022.
  39. ^ Stelter, Brian (February 9, 2013). "A Storm Is 'No One,' and Means Very Little". The New York Times. Retrieved February 9, 2013.
  40. ^ Mirkinson, Jack (February 8, 2013). "'Nemo' May Be Weather Channel's Name For Northeast Blizzard, But Most Other Outlets Aren't Biting". The Huffington Post. Retrieved February 10, 2013.
  41. ^ Mersereau, Dennis. "The Weather Channel's Winter Storm Names Are a Cheap Advertising Ploy". Gawker. Retrieved November 27, 2019.
  42. ^ Kenneth Best (December 14, 2017). "The Impact of Winter Storm Names". University of Connecticut. Retrieved December 14, 2017.
  43. ^ Merrill Perlman (May 7, 2018). "New AP Stylebook guidelines, influenced by #MeToo, hurricanes, and online polls". Columbia Journalism Review. Archived from the original on June 20, 2018. Retrieved October 29, 2018.
  44. ^ a b c Abstract – Report out from Ad Hoc Committee on Naming Winter Storms – What's in a Name? (Report). American Meteorological Society. 2019. Archived from the original on December 26, 2022. Retrieved December 26, 2022.
  45. ^ a b c d e Naming Winter Storms Final Report (Report). American Meteorological Society. October 28, 2019. Archived from the original on December 26, 2022. Retrieved December 26, 2022.
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