Statewide opinion polling for the 2008 Democratic Party presidential primaries: Difference between revisions
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| February 13-14, 2008 |
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| '''Barack Obama 47%''', Hillary Clinton 42% |
| '''Barack Obama 47%''', Hillary Clinton 42%, undecided 11% |
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| [http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/wisconsin/wisconsin_democratic_presidential_primary Rasmussen Reports] |
| [http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/wisconsin/wisconsin_democratic_presidential_primary Rasmussen Reports] |
Revision as of 18:58, 15 February 2008
- For nationwide polling, see Nationwide opinion polling for the Democratic Party 2008 presidential candidates
Template:Future election in the United States This article is a collection of state-wide public opinion polls that have been conducted relating to the Democratic presidential primaries, 2008. The DNC has set a representation threshold of 15% for all primaries and caucuses. Candidates have to reach the threshold in order to receive delegates.[1] A graphic summary of the data in map form follows. For state and territory names abbreviated in the maps in this article, see: List of US postal abbreviations.
![](http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/5/5e/2008_Democratic_Primary_Opinion_Polling-Delegate_Proportionate.png/553px-2008_Democratic_Primary_Opinion_Polling-Delegate_Proportionate.png)
Polling
For polling of January primaries, see: Statewide opinion polling for the January Democratic Party presidential primaries, 2008.
For polling of Super Tuesday primaries, see: Statewide opinion polling for the Super Tuesday Democratic Party presidential primaries, 2008.
![](http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/6/66/Democratic_presidential_primary.png/650px-Democratic_presidential_primary.png)
Montana
Montana winner: To be determined
Format: Primary see: Montana Democratic primary, 2008
Date: 3 June 2008
Delegates At Stake 16
Delegates Won To be determined
Poll source | Date | Highlights |
---|---|---|
Mason-Dixon | December 17-December 19 2007 | Hillary Clinton 29%, John Edwards 19%, Barack Obama 17% |
North Carolina
North Carolina winner: To be determined
Format: Primary see: North Carolina Democratic primary, 2008
Date: 6 May 2008
Delegates At Stake 155
Delegates Won To be determined
See also
[1]
Poll source | Date | Highlights |
---|---|---|
SurveyUSA
Sample Size: 580 |
February 11, 2008 | Barack Obama 50%, Hillary Clinton 40%, Other 5%, Undecided 4% |
Public Policy Polling (D)
Sample Size: 676 |
December 3 2007 | Hillary Clinton 31%, John Edwards 26%, Barack Obama 24%, Other 12%, undecided 8% |
SurveyUSA | November 2-November 5 2007 | Hillary Clinton 43%, John Edwards 25%, Barack Obama 19%, Other 9%, undecided 5% |
Public Policy Polling (D) | November 5 2007 | John Edwards 30%, Hillary Clinton 30%, Barack Obama 21%, Other 12%, undecided 8% |
Civitas Institute | October 9-October 14 2007 | Hillary Clinton 31%, Barack Obama 18%, John Edwards 18%, Other 13%, undecided 19% |
Public Policy Polling (D) | October 3 2007 | Hillary Clinton 32%, John Edwards 31%, Barack Obama 20%, Other 10%, undecided 7% |
Elon University Polling | September 24-September 27 2007 | Hillary Clinton 37.4%, John Edwards 18.0%, Barack Obama 17.7% Joseph Biden 3.7%, Bill Richardson 1.3%, Dennis Kucinich 0.5%, Other 0.4%, undecided 21.1% |
Public Policy Polling (D) | September 5 2007 | Hillary Clinton 30%, John Edwards 28%, Barack Obama 21%, Other 12%, undecided 10% |
Public Policy Polling (D) | August 1-August 2 2007 | Hillary Clinton 29%, John Edwards 29%, Barack Obama 23% Other 10%, undecided 8% |
Public Policy Polling (D) | July 2 2007 | Hillary Clinton 27%, Barack Obama 27%, John Edwards 26%, Other 10%, undecided 11% |
Civitas Institute | June, 2007 | John Edwards 25%, Hillary Clinton 20%, Barack Obama 18%, Other 12%, undecided 25% |
Public Policy Polling (D) | June 4 2007 | John Edwards 30%, Hillary Clinton 26%, Barack Obama 22%, Other 11%, undecided 11% |
Public Policy Polling (D) | May 1-May 3 2007 | John Edwards 33%, Hillary Clinton 27%, Barack Obama 20%, Other 10%, undecided 10% |
Public Policy Polling (D) | April 2 2007 | John Edwards 39%, Hillary Clinton 25%, Barack Obama 20%, Other 8%, undecided 9% |
Public Policy Polling (D) | 5 March 2007 | John Edwards 29%, Barack Obama 25%, Hillary Clinton 21%, Other 13%, undecided 12% |
American Research Group | 4 January-7, 2007 | John Edwards 30%, Hillary Clinton 26%, Barack Obama 19%, Dennis Kucinich 3%, Christopher Dodd 2%, Bill Richardson 2%, Joe Biden 1%, John Kerry 1%, undecided 15% |
Ohio
Ohio winner: To be determined
Format: Primary see: Ohio Democratic primary, 2008
Date: March 4 2008
Delegates At Stake 141
Delegates Won To be determined
See also
[2][3][4]
Poll source | Date | Highlights |
---|---|---|
Rasmussen Reports
Sample Size: 754 LV |
February 13, 2008 | Hillary Clinton 51%, Barack Obama 37%, Undecided 12% |
Quinnipiac University
Sample Size: 564 |
February 6 - February 12, 2008 | Hillary Clinton 55%, Barack Obama 34%, Other 2%, Undecided 9% |
SurveyUSA
Sample Size: 720 |
February 10 - February 11, 2008 | Hillary Clinton 56%, Barack Obama 39%, Other 3%, Undecided 2% |
Columbus Dispatch
Sample Size: 2,156 |
January 23 - January 31, 2008 | Hillary Clinton 42%, Barack Obama 19%, John Edwards 18%, Dennis Kucinich 1%, Undecided 20% |
Opinion Consultants
Sample Size: 800 |
Hillary Clinton 44%, Barack Obama 28%, John Edwards 17% | |
Quinnipiac University
Sample Size: 436 |
November 26 - December 3 2007 | Hillary Clinton 45%, Barack Obama 19%, John Edwards 13%, Biden 3%, Kucinich 2%, Richardson 1%, Dodd 1%, Gravel -, Other -, Undecided 13% |
Quinnipiac University | November 6 - November 11 2007 | Hillary Clinton 42%, Barack Obama 17%, John Edwards 14%, Kucinich 4%, Biden 3%, Richardson 1%, Dodd -, Gravel -, Other -, Undecided 17% |
Quinnipiac University | October 1 - October 8 2007 | Hillary Clinton 47%, Barack Obama 19%, John Edwards 11%, Kucinich 2%, Biden 2%, Richardson 1%, Dodd -, Gravel -, Other -%, undecided 15% |
Strategic Vision | September 14 - September 16 2007 | Hillary Clinton 43%, Barack Obama 23%, John Edwards 11%, Bill Richardson 8%, Joseph Biden 3%, Dennis Kucinich 2%, Christopher Dodd 1, Undecided 11% |
Quinnipiac University | August 28 - September 3 2007 | Hillary Clinton 44%, Barack Obama 15%, John Edwards 11%, Al Gore 8%, Kucinich 3%, Biden 2%, Richardson 1%, Dodd -, Gravel -, Other 1%, undecided 13% |
Quinnipiac University | July 30 - August 6 2007 | Hillary Clinton 41%, Barack Obama 16%, John Edwards 11%, Al Gore 8%, Biden 3%, Dennis Kucinich 2%, Bill Richardson 1%, Dodd -, Gravel -, Other 3%, undecided 14% |
Quinnipiac University | July 3 - July 9 2007 | Hillary Clinton 35%, Barack Obama 17%, John Edwards 13%, Al Gore 12%, Dennis Kucinich 3%, Bill Richardson 2%, Biden 1%, Dodd -, Gravel -, Other 2%, undecided 15% |
Quinnipiac University (without Gore) | June 18 - June 25 2007 | Hillary Clinton 46%, John Edwards 15%, Barack Obama 14%, Dennis Kucinich 3%, Biden 1%, Richardson 1%, Dodd -, Gravel -, Other 2%, undecided 17% |
Quinnipiac (with Gore) | June 18 - June 25 2007 | Hillary Clinton 40%, John Edwards 12%, Al Gore 12%, Barack Obama 12%, Dennis Kucinich 3%, Biden 1%, Richardson 1%, Dodd -, Gravel -, Other 2%, undecided 16% |
Quinnipiac University | May 8 - May 13 2007 | Hillary Clinton 38%, Barack Obama 19%, John Edwards 11%, Al Gore 10%, Dennis Kucinich 2%, Bill Richardson 2%, Joe Biden 1%, Clark -, Dodd -, Gravel -, Someone Else 3%, Don't Know 14% |
Quinnipiac University | March 13 - March 19, 2007 | Hillary Clinton 32%, Barack Obama 22%, Al Gore 14%, John Edwards 11%, Dennis Kucinich 3%, Joe Biden 1%, Bill Richardson 1%, Wesley Clark 0%, Chris Dodd 0%, Mike Gravel 0%, Someone Else 2%, Wouldn't Vote 1%, Don't Know 15% |
Quinnipiac University | January 23 - January 28, 2007 | Hillary Clinton 38%, Barack Obama 13%, John Edwards 11%, Al Gore 6%, John Kerry 6%, Joe Biden 2%, Dennis Kucinich 2%, Bill Richardson 1%, Wesley Clark 1%, Chris Dodd 0%, Tom Vilsack 0%, Someone Else 1%, Wouldn't Vote 1%, Don't Know 17% |
Oregon
Oregon winner: To be determined
Format: Mail-only Primary see: Oregon Democratic primary, 2008
Dates: May 2-May 20 2008
Delegates At Stake 52
Delegates Won To be determined
Poll source | Date | Highlights |
---|---|---|
Riley Research Poll
Sampling Size: 427 |
21 January-29 January, 2008 | Hillary Clinton 36%, Barack Obama 28%, John Edwards 14%, other 4%, undecided 13% |
Riley Research Poll
Margin of Error: ± 7.5% |
30 November-12 December, 2007 | Hillary Clinton 30%, John Edwards 15%, Barack Obama 14%, Other 7%, Undecided 33% |
Riley Research Poll | 10 August-15, 2007 | Hillary Clinton 26%, Barack Obama 18%, John Edwards 17%, Dennis Kucinich 2%, Joe Biden 2% |
Riley Research Poll | 5 March-13, 2007 | Hillary Clinton 31%, Barack Obama 21%, John Edwards 8%, Al Gore 4%, Bill Richardson 2% |
Pennsylvania
Pennsylvania winner: To be determined
Format: Primary see: Pennsylvania Democratic primary, 2008
Date: April 22 2008
Delegates At Stake 158
Delegates Won To be determined
See also
[5][6][7][8][9]
Poll source | Date | Highlights |
---|---|---|
Quinnipiac University
Sample Size: 577 LV |
February 6 - February 12, 2008 | Hillary Clinton 52%, Barack Obama 36%, Other 1%, Undecided 11% |
Quinnipiac University
Sample Size: 462 |
November 23-December 3, 2007 | Hillary Clinton 43%, Barack Obama 15%, John Edwards 9%, Joe Biden 5%, Dennis Kucinich 3%, Bill Richardson 2%, Dodd 1%, Gravel -, Other 2%, undecided 18% |
Quinnipiac University | October 31-November 5, 2007 | Hillary Clinton 48%, Barack Obama 15%, John Edwards 11%, Joe Biden 3%, Bill Richardson 2%, Kucinich 1%, Dodd -, Gravel -, Other 1%, undecided 15% |
Quinnipiac University | October 1-October 8, 2007 | Hillary Clinton 41%, Barack Obama 14%, John Edwards 11%, Joe Biden 5%, Bill Richardson 3%, Kucinich 3%, Dodd -, Gravel -, Other 2%, undecided 18% |
Strategic Vision | September 28-September 30 2007 | Hillary Clinton 42%, Barack Obama 24%, John Edwards 9%, Bill Richardson 6%, Joe Biden 5%, Chris Dodd 1%, Dennis Kucinich 1%, undecided 12% |
Pennsylvania Keystone Poll | August 24-September 2, 2007 | Hillary Clinton 38%, Barack Obama 21%, John Edwards 17%, Other 6%, Don't Know 18% |
Quinnipiac University | 14 August-20, 2007 | Hillary Clinton 42%, Al Gore 13%, Barack Obama 12%, John Edwards 8%, Joe Biden 4%, Bill Richardson 1%, Kucinich 1%, Dodd -, Gravel -, Other 2%, undecided 16% |
Quinnipiac University | July 30-6 August 2007 | Hillary Clinton 35%, Barack Obama 19%, Al Gore 12%, John Edwards 10%, Joe Biden 2%, Bill Richardson 2%, Kucinich 1%, Dodd -, Gravel -, Other 2%, undecided 15% |
Strategic Vision (R) | July 6-July 8 2007 | Hillary Clinton 36%, Barack Obama 25%, John Edwards 12%, Bill Richardson 8%, Joe Biden 5%, Chris Dodd 1%, Dennis Kucinich 1%, undecided 12% |
Quinnipiac (without Gore) | June 22-June 28 2007 | Hillary Clinton 38%, Barack Obama 22%, John Edwards 10%, Joe Biden 6%, Bill Richardson 2%, Dodd 1%, Kucinich 1%, Gravel -, Other 2%, undecided 15% |
Quinnipiac (with Gore) | June 22-June 28 2007 | Hillary Clinton 32%, Barack Obama 18%, Al Gore 16%, John Edwards 7%, Joe Biden 5%, Bill Richardson 2%, Dodd 1%, Kucinich 1%, Gravel -, Other 2%, undecided 15% |
WTAE/Pittsburgh Tribune-Review Keystone | May 29-June 4 2007 | Hillary Clinton 40%, John Edwards 21%, Barack Obama 18%, Other 3%, Unsure 18% |
Quinnipiac University | May 22-May 28 2007 | Hillary Clinton 33%, Al Gore 16%, Barack Obama 13%, John Edwards 11%, Joe Biden 3%, Bill Richardson 3%, Dennis Kucinich 1%, Wesley Clark -, Chris Dodd -, Mike Gravel -, Other 4%, Unsure 16% |
Strategic Vision (R) | 13 April-15, 2007 | Hillary Clinton 33%, Barack Obama 23%, John Edwards 19%, Joe Biden 3%, Bill Richardson 3%, Chris Dodd 1%, Dennis Kucinich 1%, undecided 17% |
Quinnipiac University (without Gore) | 19 March-25, 2007 | Hillary Clinton 38%, Barack Obama 24%, John Edwards 16%, Joe Biden 6%, Bill Richardson 3%, Wesley Clark 0%, Chris Dodd 0%, Mike Gravel 0%, Dennis Kucinich 0%, Other 1%, Unsure 11% |
Quinnipiac University | 19 March-25, 2007 | Hillary Clinton 36%, Barack Obama 17%, Al Gore 13%, John Edwards 9%, Joe Biden 4%, Bill Richardson 2%, Wesley Clark 0%, Chris Dodd 0%, Mike Gravel 0%, Dennis Kucinich 0%, Other 2%, Unsure 16% |
Strategic Vision | 16 March-18, 2007 | Hillary Clinton 35%, Barack Obama 25%, John Edwards 13%, Wesley Clark 2%, Joe Biden 3%, Christopher Dodd 1%, Dennis Kucinich 1%, Bill Richardson 2%, undecided 18% |
Quinnipiac University | 1 February-5, 2007 | Hillary Clinton 37%, Barack Obama 11%, John Edwards 11%, Al Gore 11%, Joe Biden 5%, Christopher Dodd 1%, Dennis Kucinich 1%, Bill Richardson 1%, Tom Vilsack 1%, Someone Else 2%, Wouldn't Vote 2%, undecided 17% |
American Research Group | 16 January-22, 2007 | Hillary Clinton 32%, Barack Obama 13%, John Edwards 12%, Joe Biden 8%, Wesley Clark 6%, Christopher Dodd 2%, John Kerry 2%, Dennis Kucinich 2%, Mike Gravel 1%, Bill Richardson 1%, Tom Vilsack 1%, undecided 21% |
Rhode Island
Rhode Island winner: To be determined
Format: Primary see: Rhode Island Democratic primary, 2008
Date: March 4 2008
Delegates At Stake 21
Delegates Won To be determined
See also
[10]
Poll source | Date | Highlights |
---|---|---|
Brown University Poll
Sampling Size: 474 |
February 9-February 10, 2008 | Hillary Clinton 36%, Barack Obama 28%, uncommitted 27%, undecided 9% |
Brown University Poll
Sampling Size: 380 |
September 8-September 9, 2007 | Hillary Clinton 35%, Barack Obama 16%, John Edwards 7%, Joe Biden 3%, Bill Richardson 2%, Christopher Dodd 1%, Dennis Kucinich 1%, undecided 35% |
Brown University Poll
Sampling Size: 341 |
27 January 2007 | Hillary Clinton 33%, Barack Obama 15%, John Edwards 8%, Joe Biden 4%, Christopher Dodd 2%, Bill Richardson 1%, Tom Vilsack 1%, undecided 36% |
Texas
Texas winner: To be determined
Format:' Primary-Caucus Hybrid see: Texas Democratic primary, 2008
Date: March 4, 2008
Delegates At Stake 193
Delegates Won To be determined
See also
[11]
Poll source | Date | Highlights |
---|---|---|
InsiderAdvantage
Sample Size: 403 LV |
February 14, 2008 | Hillary Clinton 48%, Barack Obama 41%, Undecided 11% |
Rasmussen Reports
Sample Size: 577 LV |
February 14, 2008 | Hillary Clinton 54%, Barack Obama 38%, Undecided 9% |
American Research Group
Sample Size: 600 LV |
February 13-February 14, 2008 | Barack Obama 48%, Hillary Clinton 42%, Other 3% Undecided 7% |
Texas Credit Union League
Sample Size: 400 |
February 11-February 13, 2008 | Hillary Clinton 49%, Barack Obama 41%, Undecided 8% |
IVR Polls
Sample Size: 534 |
January 30-January 31, 2008 | Hillary Clinton 48%, Barack Obama 38%, Mike Gravel 3%, Undecided 12% |
IVR Polls
Sample Size: 564 |
January 10, 2008 | Hillary Clinton 46%, Barack Obama 28%, John Edwards 14%, Dennis Kucinich 1%, Mike Gravel 1%, Undecided 10% |
IVR Polls
Sample Size: 510 |
December 11, 2007 | Hillary Clinton 51%, Barack Obama 17%, John Edwards 15%, Bill Richardson 8%, Dennis Kucinich 1%, Joe Biden 1%, Christopher Dodd 0%, Mike Gravel 0%, Undecided 6% |
IVR Polls | November 8, 2007 | Hillary Clinton 51%, Barack Obama 17%, John Edwards 11%, Bill Richardson 10%, Dennis Kucinich 2%, Joe Biden 1%, Christopher Dodd 0%, Mike Gravel 0%, Undecided 8% |
IVR Polls | August 30, 2007 | Hillary Clinton 36.7%, Barack Obama 17.6%, John Edwards 14.6%, Bill Richardson 8.9%, Joe Biden 4.2%, Dennis Kucinich 3.2%, Mike Gravel 1%, Christopher Dodd 0%, Undecided 13.7% |
IVR Polls | July 9, 2007 | Hillary Clinton 42%, Barack Obama 20%, John Edwards 12%, Bill Richardson 6%, Joe Biden 3%, Dennis Kucinich 1%, Christopher Dodd 0%, Mike Gravel 0% |
IVR Polls | June 4, 2007 | Hillary Clinton 40%, Barack Obama 15%, John Edwards 13%, Bill Richardson 9%, Dennis Kucinich 2%, Joe Biden 1%, Christopher Dodd 1%, Mike Gravel 0% |
Lyceum Polls | April 26-May 7, 2007 | Hillary Clinton 33%, Barack Obama 21%, John Edwards 8%, Bill Richardson 3%, Joe Biden 1%, Dennis Kucinich 1%, Christopher Dodd 0%, Mike Gravel 0% |
IVR Polls | April 24, 2007 | Hillary Clinton 35%, Barack Obama 18%, John Edwards 18%, Bill Richardson 7%, Joe Biden 2%, Dennis Kucinich 1%, Christopher Dodd 0%, Mike Gravel 0% |
IVR Polls | March 22, 2007 | Hillary Clinton 35%, John Edwards 19%, Barack Obama 15%, Bill Richardson 7%, Dennis Kucinich 3%, Joe Biden 2%, Christopher Dodd 1%, Mike Gravel 0% |
American Research Group | March 16-19, 2007 | Hillary Clinton 34%, Barack Obama 32%, John Edwards 11%, Joe Biden 4%, Bill Richardson 4%, Christopher Dodd 1%, Mike Gravel 0%, Dennis Kucinich 0% |
Vermont
Vermont winner: To be determined
Format: Primary see: Vermont Democratic primary, 2008
Date: March 4 2008
Delegates At Stake 15
Delegates Won To be determined
See also
[12]
Poll source | Date | Highlights |
---|---|---|
American Research Group | February 2-February 6, 2007 | Hillary Clinton 37%, Barack Obama 19%, John Edwards 14%, Christopher Dodd 3%, Dennis Kucinich 3%, Wesley Clark 2%, Bill Richardson 1%, undecided 21% |
West Virginia
West Virginia winner: To be determined
Format: Primary see: West Virginia Democratic primary, 2008
Date: May 13 2008
Delegates At Stake 28
Delegates Won To be determined
See also
[13]
Poll source | Date | Highlights |
---|---|---|
American Research Group | March 29-April 2, 2007 | Hillary Clinton 37%, Barack Obama 22%, John Edwards 19%, Joe Biden 3%, Wesley Clark 2%, Dennis Kucinich 2%, Bill Richardson 2%, Christopher Dodd 1%, Mike Gravel 0%, undecided 13% |
Wisconsin
Wisconsin winner: To be determined
Format: Primary see: Wisconsin Democratic primary, 2008
Date: February 19 2008
Delegates At Stake 74
Delegates Won To be determined
See also
[14]
Poll source | Date | Highlights |
---|---|---|
Research 2000
Sample Size: 600 LV |
February 13-14, 2008 | Barack Obama 47%, Hillary Clinton 42%, undecided 11% |
Rasmussen Reports
Sample Size: 855 LV |
February 13 2008 | Barack Obama 47%, Hillary Clinton 43%, Undecided 10% |
Public Policy Polling
Sample Size: 642 LV |
February 11 2008 | Barack Obama 50%, Hillary Clinton 39% |
Strategic Vision
Sample Size: 800 LV |
February 8-February 10 2008 | Barack Obama 45%, Hillary Clinton 41%, Undecided 14% |
American Research Group
Sample Size: 600 |
February 6-February 7 2008 | Hillary Clinton 50%, Barack Obama 41%, someone else 1%, undecided 8% |
Strategic Vision | December 7-December 9 2007 | Hillary Clinton 36%, Barack Obama 29%, John Edwards 12%, Bill Richardson 6%, Joe Biden 5%, Chris Dodd 1%, Dennis Kucinich 1%, undecided 10% |
Strategic Vision | September 14-September 16 2007 | Hillary Clinton 44%, Barack Obama 22%, John Edwards 11%, Bill Richardson 7%, Joe Biden 3%, Chris Dodd 1%, Dennis Kucinich 1%, undecided 11% |
Strategic Vision | July 13-July 15 2007 | Hillary Clinton 40%, Barack Obama 24%, John Edwards 14%, Bill Richardson 6%, Joe Biden 3%, Chris Dodd 1%, Dennis Kucinich 1%, undecided 11% |
Strategic Vision (R) | May 4-May 6 2007 | Hillary Clinton 38%, Barack Obama 25%, John Edwards 17% Joe Biden 6%, Bill Richardson 2%, Chris Dodd 1%, Dennis Kucinich 1%, undecided 10% |
Wisconsin Policy Research Institute | April 3-April 17 2007 | Hillary Clinton 33%, Barack Obama 30%, John Edwards, 18%, Bill Richardson 2%, Other 7%, undecided 10% |
Strategic Vision (R) | 28 February 2007 | Hillary Clinton 36%, Barack Obama 21%, John Edwards 17%, Wesley Clark 5%, Joe Biden 2%, Bill Richardson 2%, Chris Dodd 1%, Dennis Kucinich 1%, undecided 15% |
Strategic Vision (R) | 6 November 2006 | Hillary Clinton 32%, Al Gore 28%, John Edwards 12%, Barack Obama 9%, John Kerry 1%, Joe Biden 1%, Wesley Clark 1%, Tom Vilsack 1%, Evan Bayh 1%, Ed Rendell 1%, Bill Richardson 1%, Chris Dodd 1%, undecided 11% |
Polling of completed primaries
District of Columbia
District of Columbia winner: Barack Obama
Format: Primary see: District of Columbia Democratic primary, 2008
Date: 12 February 2008
Delegates At Stake 15
Delegates Won To be determined
Poll source | Date | Highlights |
---|---|---|
Constituent Dynamics
Sampling Size: 1,194 |
February 7-February 8, 2008 | Barack Obama 63%, Hillary Clinton 27%, Undecided 10% |
Maine
Maine winner: Barack Obama
Format: Caucus see: Maine Democratic caucuses, 2008
Date: 10 February 2008
Delegates At Stake 24
Delegates Won To be determined
See also
[15]
Poll source | Date | Highlights |
---|---|---|
Critical Insights | April 20-27, 2007 | Hillary Clinton 39%, Barack Obama 22%, John Edwards 16%, Bill Richardson 3%, Joe Biden 1%, Dennis Kucinich 1%, Undecided 18% |
American Research Group | 2 February-6, 2007 | Hillary Clinton 41%, Barack Obama 17%, John Edwards 14%, Joe Biden 2%, Christopher Dodd 2%, Tom Vilsack 2%, Wesley Clark 1%, Dennis Kucinich 1%, Bill Richardson 1%, undecided 20% |
Maryland
Maryland winner: Barack Obama
Format: Primary see: Maryland Democratic primary, 2008
Date: 12 February 2008
Delegates At Stake 70
Delegates Won To be determined
Poll source | Date | Highlights |
---|---|---|
SurveyUSA
Sampling Size: 774 |
February 9-February 10, 2008 | Barack Obama 55%, Hillary Clinton 32%, other 1%, uncommitted 6%, undecided 5% |
American Research Group
Sample Size: 600 |
February 8-February 9 2008 | Barack Obama 55%, Hillary Clinton 37%, someone else 2%, undecided 6% |
Constituent Dynamics
Sampling Size: 6,486 |
February 7-February 8, 2008 | Barack Obama 53%, Hillary Clinton 38%, Undecided 11% |
Mason-Dixon
Sample Size: 400 |
February 7-February 8, 2008 | Barack Obama 53%, Hillary Clinton 35%, other 2%, undecided 10% |
SurveyUSA
Sampling Size: 737 |
February 7-February 8, 2008 | Barack Obama 52%, Hillary Clinton 33%, other 2%, uncommitted 6%, undecided 7% |
Rasmussen Reports
Sampling Size: 925 |
February 6, 2008 | Barack Obama 57%,Hillary Clinton 31%, undecided 23% |
Baltimore Sun
Margin of Error: ±4.6% |
January 6-January 9, 2008 | Barack Obama 39%, Hillary Clinton 26%, John Edwards 12%, other 4%, undecided 12% |
Washington Post | October 18-October 27, 2007 | Hillary Clinton 48%, Barack Obama 29%, John Edwards 8%, Joe Biden 3%, Bill Richardson 2%, Dennis Kucinich 1%, other 3%, undecided 5% |
OpinionWorks | August 24-August 26, 2007 | Hillary Clinton 32%, Barack Obama 18%, John Edwards 10%, undecided 32% |
Virginia
Virginia winner Barack Obama
Format: Primary see: Virginia Democratic primary, 2008
Date: February 12 2008
Delegates At Stake 83
Delegates Won To be determined
Poll source | Date | Highlights |
---|---|---|
SurveyUSA
Sample Size: 596 |
February 9-February 10, 2008 | Barack Obama 60%, Hillary Clinton 38%, other 2%, undecided 1% |
American Research Group
Sample Size: 600 |
February 8-February 9 2008 | Barack Obama 56%, Hillary Clinton 38%, someone else 2%, undecided 4% |
Constituent Dynamics
Sampling Size: 6,596 |
February 7-February 8, 2008 | Barack Obama 51%, Hillary Clinton 34%, Undecided 15% |
SurveyUSA
Sample Size: 588 |
February 7-February 8, 2008 | Barack Obama 59%, Hillary Clinton 39%, other 1%, undecided 1% |
Mason-Dixon
Sample Size: 400 |
February 7-February 8, 2008 | Barack Obama 53%, Hillary Clinton 37% |
Rasmussen Reports
Sampling Size: 719 |
February 6-February 7, 2008 | Barack Obama 55%, Hillary Clinton 37%, undecided 23% |
InsiderAdvantage
Sample Size: 501 |
February 7 2008 | Barack Obama 52%, Hillary Clinton 37%, other 1%, undecided 10% |
SurveyUSA
Sample Size: 369 |
Barack Obama 59%, Hillary Clinton 37%, other 2%, undecided 3% | |
Washington Post | October 4-October 8 2007 | Hillary Clinton 50%, Barack Obama 25%, John Edwards 11% |
Elon University | February 18-February 22 2007 | Hillary Clinton 27%, Barack Obama 13%, John Edwards 4%, Bill Richardson 1%, Chris Dodd 1%, undecided 54% |
Washington
Washington winner: Barack Obama
First Tier Precinct Caucuses: February 9 2008
Delegates At Stake 78
Delegates Won 56[16]
Poll source | Date | Highlights |
---|---|---|
Survey USA
Sample Size: 575 |
February 2-February 3 2008 | Barack Obama 53%, Hillary Clinton 40%, undecided 7% (Obama has a 22-point lead over Clinton with those who will caucus.) |
Strategic Vision | October 5-October 7 2007 | Hillary Clinton 48%, Barack Obama 22%, John Edwards 10%, Bill Richardson 5%, Joe Biden 3%, Chris Dodd 1%, Dennis Kucinich 1%, undecided 10% |
Survey USA | April 26-May 3 2007 | Hillary Clinton 38%, Barack Obama 30%, John Edwards 19%, Bill Richardson 4%, Other 5%, undecided 3% |
Strategic Vision | 6 November 2006 | Hillary Clinton 32%, Al Gore 23%, John Edwards 10%, Russ Feingold 7%, Barack Obama 6%, Wesley Clark 3%, John Kerry 2%, Joe Biden 1%, Bill Richardson 1%, Evan Bayh 1%, Ed Rendell 1%, Tom Vilsack 1%, Chris Dodd 1%, undecided 11% |
Poll Summary and Current Pledged Delegate Count
The following table shows a summary of the most recent polling data for each state, as well as completed primary and caucus results. Totals for withdrawn candidates have been placed in the "other" column.
Indicates a state or territory that has not yet held a caucus or primary or whose polling data has not been made available. All data is based on recent surveys. |
Indicates a state or territory that has held a caucus, primary, or convention. Polling data is from CBS News unless otherwise cited. Delegate counts are subject to change.[3] |
Indicates a state whose delegates are not scheduled to be seated at the nominating convention as a penalty for violating the rules of the DNC.[4][5] |
Date | State | Delegates | Hillary Clinton | Barack Obama | Undecided/Other | Hillary Clinton | Barack Obama | Other |
01/03/08 | Iowa | 45 | 29% | 38% | 33% | 15 | 16 | 14 |
01/08/08 | New Hampshire | 22 | 39% | 37% | 24% | 9 | 9 | 4 |
01/15/08 | Michigan | 0 (128) | 55% | -† | 45% | |||
01/19/08 | Nevada | 25 | 51% | 45% | 4% | 12 | 13 | 0 |
01/26/08 | South Carolina | 45 | 27% | 55% | 18% | 12 | 25 | 8 |
01/29/08 | Florida | 0 (185) | 50% | 33% | 17% | |||
02/05/08 | Alabama [6] | 52 | 42% | 56% | 2% | 25 | 27 | 0 |
02/05/08 | Alaska | 13 | 25% | 75% | 0% | 4 | 9 | 0 |
02/05/08 | American Samoa | 3 | 57% | 43% | 0% | 2 | 1 | 0 |
02/05/08 | Arizona | 56 | 51% | 42% | 7% | 31 | 25 | 0 |
02/05/08 | Arkansas | 35 | 70% | 27% | 3% | 27 | 8 | 0 |
02/05/08 | California | 370 | 52% | 42% | 6% | 207 | 163 | 0 |
02/05/08 | Colorado | 55 | 32% | 67% | 1% | 13 | 32 | 0 |
02/05/08 | Connecticut | 48 | 47% | 51% | 2% | 22 | 26 | 0 |
02/05/08 | Delaware | 15 | 43% | 53% | 4% | 6 | 9 | 0 |
02/05/08 | Democrats Abroad | 7 | 100% | |||||
02/05/08 | Georgia | 87 | 31% | 67% | 2% | 26 | 61 | 0 |
02/05/08 | Idaho | 18 | 17% | 79% | 1% | 3 | 15 | 0 |
02/05/08 | Illinois | 153 | 33% | 65% | 2% | 48 | 104 | 0 |
02/05/08 | Kansas | 32 | 26% | 74% | 0% | 9 | 23 | 0 |
02/05/08 | Massachusetts | 93 | 56% | 41% | 3% | 55 | 38 | 0 |
02/05/08 | Minnesota | 72 | 32% | 67% | 1% | 24 | 48 | 0 |
02/05/08 | Missouri | 72 | 48% | 49% | 3% | 36 | 36 | 0 |
02/05/08 | New Jersey | 107 | 54% | 44% | 2% | 59 | 48 | 0 |
02/05/08 | New Mexico | 26 | 49% | 48% | 3% | 14 | 12 | 0 |
02/05/08 | New York | 232 | 57% | 40% | 3% | 139 | 93 | 0 |
02/05/08 | North Dakota | 13 | 37% | 61% | 2% | 5 | 8 | 0 |
02/05/08 | Oklahoma | 38 | 55% | 31% | 14% | 24 | 14 | 0 |
02/05/08 | Tennessee [7] | 68 | 54% | 41% | 5% | 40 | 28 | 0 |
02/05/08 | Utah | 23 | 39% | 57% | 4% | 9 | 14 | 0 |
02/09/08 | Louisiana | 56 | 36% | 57% | 7% | 22 | 34 | 0 |
02/09/08 | Nebraska | 24 | 32% | 68% | 0% | 8 | 16 | 0 |
02/09/08 | U.S. Virgin Islands [8] | 3 | 8% | 92% | 0% | 0 | 3 | 0 |
02/09/08 | Washington | 78 | 31% | 69% | 0% | 15 | 43 | 0 |
02/10/08 | Maine | 24 | 41% | 59% | 0% | 9 | 15 | 0 |
02/12/08 | District of Columbia | 15 | 24% | 74% | 0% | 0 | 9 | 0 |
02/12/08 | Maryland | 70 | 30% | 68% | 2% | 24 | 44 | 0 |
02/12/08 | Virginia | 83 | 36% | 63% | 1% | 29 | 54 | 0 |
02/19/08 | Hawaii | 20 | 100% | |||||
02/19/08 | Wisconsin | 74 | 39% | 50% | 11% | |||
03/04/08 | Ohio | 141 | 56% | 39% | 5% | |||
03/04/08 | Rhode Island | 21 | 100% | |||||
03/04/08 | Texas | 193 | 48% | 38% | 14% | |||
03/04/08 | Vermont | 15 | 100% | |||||
03/08/08 | Wyoming | 12 | 100% | |||||
03/11/08 | Mississippi | 33 | 100% | |||||
04/22/08 | Pennsylvania | 151 | 100% | |||||
05/03/08 | Guam | 3 | 100% | |||||
05/06/08 | Indiana | 66 | 100% | |||||
05/06/08 | North Carolina | 91 | 100% | |||||
05/13/08 | West Virginia | 26 | 100% | |||||
05/20/08 | Kentucky | 47 | 100% | |||||
05/20/08 | Oregon | 48 | 36% | 28% | 36% | |||
06/01/08 | Puerto Rico | 55 | 100% | |||||
06/03/08 | Montana | 15 | 100% | |||||
06/03/08 | South Dakota | 14 | 100% | |||||
Total | 3,203 | 965 | 1,101 | 26 | ||||
Inc. FL & MI | 3,516 | 1,143 | 1,168 | 94 |
† Barack Obama was not on the ballot in Michigan.
References
- ^ http://www.cnn.com/ALLPOLITICS/1996/conventions/chicago/facts/rules/index.shtml
- ^ Opinion poll results used to make the delegate proportional map were weighted to give individual respondents to different polls equal representation.
- ^ Estimated Democratic Delegate Scorecard
- ^ DNC Punishes Michigan For Early Primary Date
- ^ DNC Strips Florida Of 2008 Delegates
- ^ http://www.aladems.org/custom/results/Delegate%20Breakdown.htm
- ^ http://www.tndp.org/files/Total_Delegation.pdf
- ^ http://abcnews.go.com/politics/elections/state?state=VI&ref=ipb
See also
External links
![](http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/thumb/4/4a/Commons-logo.svg/30px-Commons-logo.svg.png)
- 2008 Democratic National Convention Website-FAQ gives map with delegation information.
- USAElectionPolls.com - Primary polling by state
- Select2008 - Live issue-based and policy-based polling