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Statewide opinion polling for the 2008 Democratic Party presidential primaries: Difference between revisions

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Margin of Error: ± 5%
Margin of Error: ± 5%
| February 13-14, 2008
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| '''Barack Obama 47%''', Hillary Clinton 42%
| '''Barack Obama 47%''', Hillary Clinton 42%, undecided 11%
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| [http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/wisconsin/wisconsin_democratic_presidential_primary Rasmussen Reports]
| [http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/wisconsin/wisconsin_democratic_presidential_primary Rasmussen Reports]

Revision as of 18:58, 15 February 2008

For nationwide polling, see Nationwide opinion polling for the Democratic Party 2008 presidential candidates

Template:Future election in the United States This article is a collection of state-wide public opinion polls that have been conducted relating to the Democratic presidential primaries, 2008. The DNC has set a representation threshold of 15% for all primaries and caucuses. Candidates have to reach the threshold in order to receive delegates.[1] A graphic summary of the data in map form follows. For state and territory names abbreviated in the maps in this article, see: List of US postal abbreviations.

The area of each circle is proportional to the number of delegates selected in the states primary or caucus. When more than one recent poll exists for a state, results are weighted[2] and combined. States and other regions where no polling data is available remain empty. Polls used were completed between 31 January and 11 February 2008. The DNC has invalidated the delegates of Florida and Michigan.

Polling

For polling of January primaries, see: Statewide opinion polling for the January Democratic Party presidential primaries, 2008.
For polling of Super Tuesday primaries, see: Statewide opinion polling for the Super Tuesday Democratic Party presidential primaries, 2008.

States shaded with a dark color have already held a primary or local caucuses; lighter-colored states have not yet voted or caucused. The DNC has invalidated the delegates of Florida and Michigan. Only data reflecting the suspension of John Edwards' campaign is shown; states that remain gray had no applicable polling data. *For example: Barack Obama is the presumptive winner of the Nevada State Caucus (20 April 2008) despite the fact that Hillary Clinton won greater popular support in Nevada's local caucuses (19 January 2008). For more information see: Results of the 2008 Democratic Party presidential primaries.

Montana

MontanaMontana winner: To be determined
Format: Primary see: Montana Democratic primary, 2008
Date: 3 June 2008
Delegates At Stake 16
Delegates Won To be determined

Poll source Date Highlights
Mason-Dixon December 17-December 19 2007 Hillary Clinton 29%, John Edwards 19%, Barack Obama 17%

North Carolina

North CarolinaNorth Carolina winner: To be determined
Format: Primary see: North Carolina Democratic primary, 2008
Date: 6 May 2008
Delegates At Stake 155
Delegates Won To be determined
See also [1]

Poll source Date Highlights
SurveyUSA

Sample Size: 580
Margin of Error: ± 4.2%

February 11, 2008 Barack Obama 50%, Hillary Clinton 40%, Other 5%, Undecided 4%
Public Policy Polling (D)

Sample Size: 676
Margin of Error: ± 3.7%

December 3 2007 Hillary Clinton 31%, John Edwards 26%, Barack Obama 24%, Other 12%, undecided 8%
SurveyUSA November 2-November 5 2007 Hillary Clinton 43%, John Edwards 25%, Barack Obama 19%, Other 9%, undecided 5%
Public Policy Polling (D) November 5 2007 John Edwards 30%, Hillary Clinton 30%, Barack Obama 21%, Other 12%, undecided 8%
Civitas Institute October 9-October 14 2007 Hillary Clinton 31%, Barack Obama 18%, John Edwards 18%, Other 13%, undecided 19%
Public Policy Polling (D) October 3 2007 Hillary Clinton 32%, John Edwards 31%, Barack Obama 20%, Other 10%, undecided 7%
Elon University Polling September 24-September 27 2007 Hillary Clinton 37.4%, John Edwards 18.0%, Barack Obama 17.7% Joseph Biden 3.7%, Bill Richardson 1.3%, Dennis Kucinich 0.5%, Other 0.4%, undecided 21.1%
Public Policy Polling (D) September 5 2007 Hillary Clinton 30%, John Edwards 28%, Barack Obama 21%, Other 12%, undecided 10%
Public Policy Polling (D) August 1-August 2 2007 Hillary Clinton 29%, John Edwards 29%, Barack Obama 23% Other 10%, undecided 8%
Public Policy Polling (D) July 2 2007 Hillary Clinton 27%, Barack Obama 27%, John Edwards 26%, Other 10%, undecided 11%
Civitas Institute June, 2007 John Edwards 25%, Hillary Clinton 20%, Barack Obama 18%, Other 12%, undecided 25%
Public Policy Polling (D) June 4 2007 John Edwards 30%, Hillary Clinton 26%, Barack Obama 22%, Other 11%, undecided 11%
Public Policy Polling (D) May 1-May 3 2007 John Edwards 33%, Hillary Clinton 27%, Barack Obama 20%, Other 10%, undecided 10%
Public Policy Polling (D) April 2 2007 John Edwards 39%, Hillary Clinton 25%, Barack Obama 20%, Other 8%, undecided 9%
Public Policy Polling (D) 5 March 2007 John Edwards 29%, Barack Obama 25%, Hillary Clinton 21%, Other 13%, undecided 12%
American Research Group 4 January-7, 2007 John Edwards 30%, Hillary Clinton 26%, Barack Obama 19%, Dennis Kucinich 3%, Christopher Dodd 2%, Bill Richardson 2%, Joe Biden 1%, John Kerry 1%, undecided 15%

Ohio

OhioOhio winner: To be determined
Format: Primary see: Ohio Democratic primary, 2008
Date: March 4 2008
Delegates At Stake 141
Delegates Won To be determined
See also [2][3][4]

Poll source Date Highlights
Rasmussen Reports

Sample Size: 754 LV
Margin of Error: ±4%

February 13, 2008 Hillary Clinton 51%, Barack Obama 37%, Undecided 12%
Quinnipiac University

Sample Size: 564
Margin of Error: ±4.1%

February 6 - February 12, 2008 Hillary Clinton 55%, Barack Obama 34%, Other 2%, Undecided 9%
SurveyUSA

Sample Size: 720
Margin of Error: ±3.7%

February 10 - February 11, 2008 Hillary Clinton 56%, Barack Obama 39%, Other 3%, Undecided 2%
Columbus Dispatch

Sample Size: 2,156
Margin of Error: ±2%

January 23 - January 31, 2008 Hillary Clinton 42%, Barack Obama 19%, John Edwards 18%, Dennis Kucinich 1%, Undecided 20%
Opinion Consultants

Sample Size: 800

Hillary Clinton 44%, Barack Obama 28%, John Edwards 17%
Quinnipiac University

Sample Size: 436
Margin of Error: ± 4.7%

November 26 - December 3 2007 Hillary Clinton 45%, Barack Obama 19%, John Edwards 13%, Biden 3%, Kucinich 2%, Richardson 1%, Dodd 1%, Gravel -, Other -, Undecided 13%
Quinnipiac University November 6 - November 11 2007 Hillary Clinton 42%, Barack Obama 17%, John Edwards 14%, Kucinich 4%, Biden 3%, Richardson 1%, Dodd -, Gravel -, Other -, Undecided 17%
Quinnipiac University October 1 - October 8 2007 Hillary Clinton 47%, Barack Obama 19%, John Edwards 11%, Kucinich 2%, Biden 2%, Richardson 1%, Dodd -, Gravel -, Other -%, undecided 15%
Strategic Vision September 14 - September 16 2007 Hillary Clinton 43%, Barack Obama 23%, John Edwards 11%, Bill Richardson 8%, Joseph Biden 3%, Dennis Kucinich 2%, Christopher Dodd 1, Undecided 11%
Quinnipiac University August 28 - September 3 2007 Hillary Clinton 44%, Barack Obama 15%, John Edwards 11%, Al Gore 8%, Kucinich 3%, Biden 2%, Richardson 1%, Dodd -, Gravel -, Other 1%, undecided 13%
Quinnipiac University July 30 - August 6 2007 Hillary Clinton 41%, Barack Obama 16%, John Edwards 11%, Al Gore 8%, Biden 3%, Dennis Kucinich 2%, Bill Richardson 1%, Dodd -, Gravel -, Other 3%, undecided 14%
Quinnipiac University July 3 - July 9 2007 Hillary Clinton 35%, Barack Obama 17%, John Edwards 13%, Al Gore 12%, Dennis Kucinich 3%, Bill Richardson 2%, Biden 1%, Dodd -, Gravel -, Other 2%, undecided 15%
Quinnipiac University (without Gore) June 18 - June 25 2007 Hillary Clinton 46%, John Edwards 15%, Barack Obama 14%, Dennis Kucinich 3%, Biden 1%, Richardson 1%, Dodd -, Gravel -, Other 2%, undecided 17%
Quinnipiac (with Gore) June 18 - June 25 2007 Hillary Clinton 40%, John Edwards 12%, Al Gore 12%, Barack Obama 12%, Dennis Kucinich 3%, Biden 1%, Richardson 1%, Dodd -, Gravel -, Other 2%, undecided 16%
Quinnipiac University May 8 - May 13 2007 Hillary Clinton 38%, Barack Obama 19%, John Edwards 11%, Al Gore 10%, Dennis Kucinich 2%, Bill Richardson 2%, Joe Biden 1%, Clark -, Dodd -, Gravel -, Someone Else 3%, Don't Know 14%
Quinnipiac University March 13 - March 19, 2007 Hillary Clinton 32%, Barack Obama 22%, Al Gore 14%, John Edwards 11%, Dennis Kucinich 3%, Joe Biden 1%, Bill Richardson 1%, Wesley Clark 0%, Chris Dodd 0%, Mike Gravel 0%, Someone Else 2%, Wouldn't Vote 1%, Don't Know 15%
Quinnipiac University January 23 - January 28, 2007 Hillary Clinton 38%, Barack Obama 13%, John Edwards 11%, Al Gore 6%, John Kerry 6%, Joe Biden 2%, Dennis Kucinich 2%, Bill Richardson 1%, Wesley Clark 1%, Chris Dodd 0%, Tom Vilsack 0%, Someone Else 1%, Wouldn't Vote 1%, Don't Know 17%

Oregon

OregonOregon winner: To be determined
Format: Mail-only Primary see: Oregon Democratic primary, 2008
Dates: May 2-May 20 2008
Delegates At Stake 52
Delegates Won To be determined

Poll source Date Highlights
Riley Research Poll

Sampling Size: 427
Margin of Error: ± 4.74%

21 January-29 January, 2008 Hillary Clinton 36%, Barack Obama 28%, John Edwards 14%, other 4%, undecided 13%
Riley Research Poll

Margin of Error: ± 7.5%

30 November-12 December, 2007 Hillary Clinton 30%, John Edwards 15%, Barack Obama 14%, Other 7%, Undecided 33%
Riley Research Poll 10 August-15, 2007 Hillary Clinton 26%, Barack Obama 18%, John Edwards 17%, Dennis Kucinich 2%, Joe Biden 2%
Riley Research Poll 5 March-13, 2007 Hillary Clinton 31%, Barack Obama 21%, John Edwards 8%, Al Gore 4%, Bill Richardson 2%

Pennsylvania

PennsylvaniaPennsylvania winner: To be determined
Format: Primary see: Pennsylvania Democratic primary, 2008
Date: April 22 2008
Delegates At Stake 158
Delegates Won To be determined
See also [5][6][7][8][9]

Poll source Date Highlights
Quinnipiac University

Sample Size: 577 LV
Margin of Error: ±4.1%

February 6 - February 12, 2008 Hillary Clinton 52%, Barack Obama 36%, Other 1%, Undecided 11%
Quinnipiac University

Sample Size: 462
Margin of Error: ± 4.6%

November 23-December 3, 2007 Hillary Clinton 43%, Barack Obama 15%, John Edwards 9%, Joe Biden 5%, Dennis Kucinich 3%, Bill Richardson 2%, Dodd 1%, Gravel -, Other 2%, undecided 18%
Quinnipiac University October 31-November 5, 2007 Hillary Clinton 48%, Barack Obama 15%, John Edwards 11%, Joe Biden 3%, Bill Richardson 2%, Kucinich 1%, Dodd -, Gravel -, Other 1%, undecided 15%
Quinnipiac University October 1-October 8, 2007 Hillary Clinton 41%, Barack Obama 14%, John Edwards 11%, Joe Biden 5%, Bill Richardson 3%, Kucinich 3%, Dodd -, Gravel -, Other 2%, undecided 18%
Strategic Vision September 28-September 30 2007 Hillary Clinton 42%, Barack Obama 24%, John Edwards 9%, Bill Richardson 6%, Joe Biden 5%, Chris Dodd 1%, Dennis Kucinich 1%, undecided 12%
Pennsylvania Keystone Poll August 24-September 2, 2007 Hillary Clinton 38%, Barack Obama 21%, John Edwards 17%, Other 6%, Don't Know 18%
Quinnipiac University 14 August-20, 2007 Hillary Clinton 42%, Al Gore 13%, Barack Obama 12%, John Edwards 8%, Joe Biden 4%, Bill Richardson 1%, Kucinich 1%, Dodd -, Gravel -, Other 2%, undecided 16%
Quinnipiac University July 30-6 August 2007 Hillary Clinton 35%, Barack Obama 19%, Al Gore 12%, John Edwards 10%, Joe Biden 2%, Bill Richardson 2%, Kucinich 1%, Dodd -, Gravel -, Other 2%, undecided 15%
Strategic Vision (R) July 6-July 8 2007 Hillary Clinton 36%, Barack Obama 25%, John Edwards 12%, Bill Richardson 8%, Joe Biden 5%, Chris Dodd 1%, Dennis Kucinich 1%, undecided 12%
Quinnipiac (without Gore) June 22-June 28 2007 Hillary Clinton 38%, Barack Obama 22%, John Edwards 10%, Joe Biden 6%, Bill Richardson 2%, Dodd 1%, Kucinich 1%, Gravel -, Other 2%, undecided 15%
Quinnipiac (with Gore) June 22-June 28 2007 Hillary Clinton 32%, Barack Obama 18%, Al Gore 16%, John Edwards 7%, Joe Biden 5%, Bill Richardson 2%, Dodd 1%, Kucinich 1%, Gravel -, Other 2%, undecided 15%
WTAE/Pittsburgh Tribune-Review Keystone May 29-June 4 2007 Hillary Clinton 40%, John Edwards 21%, Barack Obama 18%, Other 3%, Unsure 18%
Quinnipiac University May 22-May 28 2007 Hillary Clinton 33%, Al Gore 16%, Barack Obama 13%, John Edwards 11%, Joe Biden 3%, Bill Richardson 3%, Dennis Kucinich 1%, Wesley Clark -, Chris Dodd -, Mike Gravel -, Other 4%, Unsure 16%
Strategic Vision (R) 13 April-15, 2007 Hillary Clinton 33%, Barack Obama 23%, John Edwards 19%, Joe Biden 3%, Bill Richardson 3%, Chris Dodd 1%, Dennis Kucinich 1%, undecided 17%
Quinnipiac University (without Gore) 19 March-25, 2007 Hillary Clinton 38%, Barack Obama 24%, John Edwards 16%, Joe Biden 6%, Bill Richardson 3%, Wesley Clark 0%, Chris Dodd 0%, Mike Gravel 0%, Dennis Kucinich 0%, Other 1%, Unsure 11%
Quinnipiac University 19 March-25, 2007 Hillary Clinton 36%, Barack Obama 17%, Al Gore 13%, John Edwards 9%, Joe Biden 4%, Bill Richardson 2%, Wesley Clark 0%, Chris Dodd 0%, Mike Gravel 0%, Dennis Kucinich 0%, Other 2%, Unsure 16%
Strategic Vision 16 March-18, 2007 Hillary Clinton 35%, Barack Obama 25%, John Edwards 13%, Wesley Clark 2%, Joe Biden 3%, Christopher Dodd 1%, Dennis Kucinich 1%, Bill Richardson 2%, undecided 18%
Quinnipiac University 1 February-5, 2007 Hillary Clinton 37%, Barack Obama 11%, John Edwards 11%, Al Gore 11%, Joe Biden 5%, Christopher Dodd 1%, Dennis Kucinich 1%, Bill Richardson 1%, Tom Vilsack 1%, Someone Else 2%, Wouldn't Vote 2%, undecided 17%
American Research Group 16 January-22, 2007 Hillary Clinton 32%, Barack Obama 13%, John Edwards 12%, Joe Biden 8%, Wesley Clark 6%, Christopher Dodd 2%, John Kerry 2%, Dennis Kucinich 2%, Mike Gravel 1%, Bill Richardson 1%, Tom Vilsack 1%, undecided 21%

Rhode Island

Rhode IslandRhode Island winner: To be determined
Format: Primary see: Rhode Island Democratic primary, 2008
Date: March 4 2008
Delegates At Stake 21
Delegates Won To be determined
See also [10]

Poll source Date Highlights
Brown University Poll

Sampling Size: 474
Margin of Error: ±5%

February 9-February 10, 2008 Hillary Clinton 36%, Barack Obama 28%, uncommitted 27%, undecided 9%
Brown University Poll

Sampling Size: 380
Margin of Error: ±5%

September 8-September 9, 2007 Hillary Clinton 35%, Barack Obama 16%, John Edwards 7%, Joe Biden 3%, Bill Richardson 2%, Christopher Dodd 1%, Dennis Kucinich 1%, undecided 35%
Brown University Poll

Sampling Size: 341
Margin of Error: ±6%

27 January 2007 Hillary Clinton 33%, Barack Obama 15%, John Edwards 8%, Joe Biden 4%, Christopher Dodd 2%, Bill Richardson 1%, Tom Vilsack 1%, undecided 36%

Texas

TexasTexas winner: To be determined
Format:' Primary-Caucus Hybrid see: Texas Democratic primary, 2008
Date: March 4, 2008
Delegates At Stake 193
Delegates Won To be determined
See also [11]

Poll source Date Highlights
InsiderAdvantage

Sample Size: 403 LV
Margin of Error: ± 5%

February 14, 2008 Hillary Clinton 48%, Barack Obama 41%, Undecided 11%
Rasmussen Reports

Sample Size: 577 LV
Margin of Error: ± 4%

February 14, 2008 Hillary Clinton 54%, Barack Obama 38%, Undecided 9%
American Research Group

Sample Size: 600 LV
Margin of Error: ± 4%

February 13-February 14, 2008 Barack Obama 48%, Hillary Clinton 42%, Other 3% Undecided 7%
Texas Credit Union League

Sample Size: 400
Margin of Error: ± 4.9%

February 11-February 13, 2008 Hillary Clinton 49%, Barack Obama 41%, Undecided 8%
IVR Polls

Sample Size: 534
Margin of Error: ± 4.3%

January 30-January 31, 2008 Hillary Clinton 48%, Barack Obama 38%, Mike Gravel 3%, Undecided 12%
IVR Polls

Sample Size: 564
Margin of Error: ± 4.1%

January 10, 2008 Hillary Clinton 46%, Barack Obama 28%, John Edwards 14%, Dennis Kucinich 1%, Mike Gravel 1%, Undecided 10%
IVR Polls

Sample Size: 510
Margin of Error: ± 4.3%

December 11, 2007 Hillary Clinton 51%, Barack Obama 17%, John Edwards 15%, Bill Richardson 8%, Dennis Kucinich 1%, Joe Biden 1%, Christopher Dodd 0%, Mike Gravel 0%, Undecided 6%
IVR Polls November 8, 2007 Hillary Clinton 51%, Barack Obama 17%, John Edwards 11%, Bill Richardson 10%, Dennis Kucinich 2%, Joe Biden 1%, Christopher Dodd 0%, Mike Gravel 0%, Undecided 8%
IVR Polls August 30, 2007 Hillary Clinton 36.7%, Barack Obama 17.6%, John Edwards 14.6%, Bill Richardson 8.9%, Joe Biden 4.2%, Dennis Kucinich 3.2%, Mike Gravel 1%, Christopher Dodd 0%, Undecided 13.7%
IVR Polls July 9, 2007 Hillary Clinton 42%, Barack Obama 20%, John Edwards 12%, Bill Richardson 6%, Joe Biden 3%, Dennis Kucinich 1%, Christopher Dodd 0%, Mike Gravel 0%
IVR Polls June 4, 2007 Hillary Clinton 40%, Barack Obama 15%, John Edwards 13%, Bill Richardson 9%, Dennis Kucinich 2%, Joe Biden 1%, Christopher Dodd 1%, Mike Gravel 0%
Lyceum Polls April 26-May 7, 2007 Hillary Clinton 33%, Barack Obama 21%, John Edwards 8%, Bill Richardson 3%, Joe Biden 1%, Dennis Kucinich 1%, Christopher Dodd 0%, Mike Gravel 0%
IVR Polls April 24, 2007 Hillary Clinton 35%, Barack Obama 18%, John Edwards 18%, Bill Richardson 7%, Joe Biden 2%, Dennis Kucinich 1%, Christopher Dodd 0%, Mike Gravel 0%
IVR Polls March 22, 2007 Hillary Clinton 35%, John Edwards 19%, Barack Obama 15%, Bill Richardson 7%, Dennis Kucinich 3%, Joe Biden 2%, Christopher Dodd 1%, Mike Gravel 0%
American Research Group March 16-19, 2007 Hillary Clinton 34%, Barack Obama 32%, John Edwards 11%, Joe Biden 4%, Bill Richardson 4%, Christopher Dodd 1%, Mike Gravel 0%, Dennis Kucinich 0%

Vermont

VermontVermont winner: To be determined
Format: Primary see: Vermont Democratic primary, 2008
Date: March 4 2008
Delegates At Stake 15
Delegates Won To be determined
See also [12]

Poll source Date Highlights
American Research Group February 2-February 6, 2007 Hillary Clinton 37%, Barack Obama 19%, John Edwards 14%, Christopher Dodd 3%, Dennis Kucinich 3%, Wesley Clark 2%, Bill Richardson 1%, undecided 21%

West Virginia

West VirginiaWest Virginia winner: To be determined
Format: Primary see: West Virginia Democratic primary, 2008
Date: May 13 2008
Delegates At Stake 28
Delegates Won To be determined
See also [13]

Poll source Date Highlights
American Research Group March 29-April 2, 2007 Hillary Clinton 37%, Barack Obama 22%, John Edwards 19%, Joe Biden 3%, Wesley Clark 2%, Dennis Kucinich 2%, Bill Richardson 2%, Christopher Dodd 1%, Mike Gravel 0%, undecided 13%

Wisconsin

WisconsinWisconsin winner: To be determined
Format: Primary see: Wisconsin Democratic primary, 2008
Date: February 19 2008
Delegates At Stake 74
Delegates Won To be determined
See also [14]

Poll source Date Highlights
Research 2000

Sample Size: 600 LV
Margin of Error: ± 5%

February 13-14, 2008 Barack Obama 47%, Hillary Clinton 42%, undecided 11%
Rasmussen Reports

Sample Size: 855 LV
Margin of Error: ± 4%

February 13 2008 Barack Obama 47%, Hillary Clinton 43%, Undecided 10%
Public Policy Polling

Sample Size: 642 LV
Margin of Error: ± 3.9%

February 11 2008 Barack Obama 50%, Hillary Clinton 39%
Strategic Vision

Sample Size: 800 LV
Margin of Error: ± 3%

February 8-February 10 2008 Barack Obama 45%, Hillary Clinton 41%, Undecided 14%
American Research Group

Sample Size: 600
Margin of Error: ± 4%

February 6-February 7 2008 Hillary Clinton 50%, Barack Obama 41%, someone else 1%, undecided 8%
Strategic Vision December 7-December 9 2007 Hillary Clinton 36%, Barack Obama 29%, John Edwards 12%, Bill Richardson 6%, Joe Biden 5%, Chris Dodd 1%, Dennis Kucinich 1%, undecided 10%
Strategic Vision September 14-September 16 2007 Hillary Clinton 44%, Barack Obama 22%, John Edwards 11%, Bill Richardson 7%, Joe Biden 3%, Chris Dodd 1%, Dennis Kucinich 1%, undecided 11%
Strategic Vision July 13-July 15 2007 Hillary Clinton 40%, Barack Obama 24%, John Edwards 14%, Bill Richardson 6%, Joe Biden 3%, Chris Dodd 1%, Dennis Kucinich 1%, undecided 11%
Strategic Vision (R) May 4-May 6 2007 Hillary Clinton 38%, Barack Obama 25%, John Edwards 17% Joe Biden 6%, Bill Richardson 2%, Chris Dodd 1%, Dennis Kucinich 1%, undecided 10%
Wisconsin Policy Research Institute April 3-April 17 2007 Hillary Clinton 33%, Barack Obama 30%, John Edwards, 18%, Bill Richardson 2%, Other 7%, undecided 10%
Strategic Vision (R) 28 February 2007 Hillary Clinton 36%, Barack Obama 21%, John Edwards 17%, Wesley Clark 5%, Joe Biden 2%, Bill Richardson 2%, Chris Dodd 1%, Dennis Kucinich 1%, undecided 15%
Strategic Vision (R) 6 November 2006 Hillary Clinton 32%, Al Gore 28%, John Edwards 12%, Barack Obama 9%, John Kerry 1%, Joe Biden 1%, Wesley Clark 1%, Tom Vilsack 1%, Evan Bayh 1%, Ed Rendell 1%, Bill Richardson 1%, Chris Dodd 1%, undecided 11%

Polling of completed primaries

District of Columbia

Washington, D.C.District of Columbia winner: Barack Obama
Format: Primary see: District of Columbia Democratic primary, 2008
Date: 12 February 2008
Delegates At Stake 15
Delegates Won To be determined

Poll source Date Highlights
Constituent Dynamics

Sampling Size: 1,194
Margin of Error: ± 2.82%

February 7-February 8, 2008 Barack Obama 63%, Hillary Clinton 27%, Undecided 10%

Maine

MaineMaine winner: Barack Obama
Format: Caucus see: Maine Democratic caucuses, 2008
Date: 10 February 2008
Delegates At Stake 24
Delegates Won To be determined
See also [15]

Poll source Date Highlights
Critical Insights April 20-27, 2007 Hillary Clinton 39%, Barack Obama 22%, John Edwards 16%, Bill Richardson 3%, Joe Biden 1%, Dennis Kucinich 1%, Undecided 18%
American Research Group 2 February-6, 2007 Hillary Clinton 41%, Barack Obama 17%, John Edwards 14%, Joe Biden 2%, Christopher Dodd 2%, Tom Vilsack 2%, Wesley Clark 1%, Dennis Kucinich 1%, Bill Richardson 1%, undecided 20%

Maryland

MarylandMaryland winner: Barack Obama
Format: Primary see: Maryland Democratic primary, 2008
Date: 12 February 2008
Delegates At Stake 70
Delegates Won To be determined

Poll source Date Highlights
SurveyUSA

Sampling Size: 774
Margin of Error: ±3.6%

February 9-February 10, 2008 Barack Obama 55%, Hillary Clinton 32%, other 1%, uncommitted 6%, undecided 5%
American Research Group

Sample Size: 600
Margin of Error: ± 4%

February 8-February 9 2008 Barack Obama 55%, Hillary Clinton 37%, someone else 2%, undecided 6%
Constituent Dynamics

Sampling Size: 6,486
Margin of Error: ± 1.75%

February 7-February 8, 2008 Barack Obama 53%, Hillary Clinton 38%, Undecided 11%
Mason-Dixon

Sample Size: 400
Margin of Error: ± 5.0%

February 7-February 8, 2008 Barack Obama 53%, Hillary Clinton 35%, other 2%, undecided 10%
SurveyUSA

Sampling Size: 737
Margin of Error: ±3.7%

February 7-February 8, 2008 Barack Obama 52%, Hillary Clinton 33%, other 2%, uncommitted 6%, undecided 7%
Rasmussen Reports

Sampling Size: 925
Margin of Error: ±4%

February 6, 2008 Barack Obama 57%,Hillary Clinton 31%, undecided 23%
Baltimore Sun

Margin of Error: ±4.6%

January 6-January 9, 2008 Barack Obama 39%, Hillary Clinton 26%, John Edwards 12%, other 4%, undecided 12%
Washington Post October 18-October 27, 2007 Hillary Clinton 48%, Barack Obama 29%, John Edwards 8%, Joe Biden 3%, Bill Richardson 2%, Dennis Kucinich 1%, other 3%, undecided 5%
OpinionWorks August 24-August 26, 2007 Hillary Clinton 32%, Barack Obama 18%, John Edwards 10%, undecided 32%

Virginia

VirginiaVirginia winner Barack Obama
Format: Primary see: Virginia Democratic primary, 2008
Date: February 12 2008
Delegates At Stake 83
Delegates Won To be determined

Poll source Date Highlights
SurveyUSA

Sample Size: 596
Margin of Error: ± 4%

February 9-February 10, 2008 Barack Obama 60%, Hillary Clinton 38%, other 2%, undecided 1%
American Research Group

Sample Size: 600
Margin of Error: ± 4%

February 8-February 9 2008 Barack Obama 56%, Hillary Clinton 38%, someone else 2%, undecided 4%
Constituent Dynamics

Sampling Size: 6,596
Margin of Error: ± 1.48%

February 7-February 8, 2008 Barack Obama 51%, Hillary Clinton 34%, Undecided 15%
SurveyUSA

Sample Size: 588
Margin of Error: ± 4.1%

February 7-February 8, 2008 Barack Obama 59%, Hillary Clinton 39%, other 1%, undecided 1%
Mason-Dixon

Sample Size: 400
Margin of Error: ± 5,0%

February 7-February 8, 2008 Barack Obama 53%, Hillary Clinton 37%
Rasmussen Reports

Sampling Size: 719
Margin of Error: ±4%

February 6-February 7, 2008 Barack Obama 55%, Hillary Clinton 37%, undecided 23%
InsiderAdvantage

Sample Size: 501
Margin of Error: ± 4%

February 7 2008 Barack Obama 52%, Hillary Clinton 37%, other 1%, undecided 10%
SurveyUSA

Sample Size: 369
Margin of Error: ± 5.1%

Barack Obama 59%, Hillary Clinton 37%, other 2%, undecided 3%
Washington Post October 4-October 8 2007 Hillary Clinton 50%, Barack Obama 25%, John Edwards 11%
Elon University February 18-February 22 2007 Hillary Clinton 27%, Barack Obama 13%, John Edwards 4%, Bill Richardson 1%, Chris Dodd 1%, undecided 54%

Washington

Washington (state)Washington winner: Barack Obama
First Tier Precinct Caucuses: February 9 2008
Delegates At Stake 78
Delegates Won 56[16]

Poll source Date Highlights
Survey USA

Sample Size: 575
Margin of Error: ± 4.2%

February 2-February 3 2008 Barack Obama 53%, Hillary Clinton 40%, undecided 7%
(Obama has a 22-point lead over Clinton with those who will caucus.)
Strategic Vision October 5-October 7 2007 Hillary Clinton 48%, Barack Obama 22%, John Edwards 10%, Bill Richardson 5%, Joe Biden 3%, Chris Dodd 1%, Dennis Kucinich 1%, undecided 10%
Survey USA April 26-May 3 2007 Hillary Clinton 38%, Barack Obama 30%, John Edwards 19%, Bill Richardson 4%, Other 5%, undecided 3%
Strategic Vision 6 November 2006 Hillary Clinton 32%, Al Gore 23%, John Edwards 10%, Russ Feingold 7%, Barack Obama 6%, Wesley Clark 3%, John Kerry 2%, Joe Biden 1%, Bill Richardson 1%, Evan Bayh 1%, Ed Rendell 1%, Tom Vilsack 1%, Chris Dodd 1%, undecided 11%

Poll Summary and Current Pledged Delegate Count

The following table shows a summary of the most recent polling data for each state, as well as completed primary and caucus results. Totals for withdrawn candidates have been placed in the "other" column.

Indicates a state or territory that has not yet held a caucus or primary or whose polling data has not been made available. All data is based on recent surveys.
Indicates a state or territory that has held a caucus, primary, or convention. Polling data is from CBS News unless otherwise cited. Delegate counts are subject to change.[3]
Indicates a state whose delegates are not scheduled to be seated at the nominating convention as a penalty for violating the rules of the DNC.[4][5]
Date State Delegates Hillary Clinton Barack Obama Undecided/Other Hillary Clinton Barack Obama Other
01/03/08 Iowa 45 29% 38% 33% 15 16 14
01/08/08 New Hampshire 22 39% 37% 24% 9 9 4
01/15/08 Michigan 0 (128) 55% -† 45% 73 0 55
01/19/08 Nevada 25 51% 45% 4% 12 13 0
01/26/08 South Carolina 45 27% 55% 18% 12 25 8
01/29/08 Florida 0 (185) 50% 33% 17% 105 67 13
02/05/08 Alabama [6] 52 42% 56% 2% 25 27 0
02/05/08 Alaska 13 25% 75% 0% 4 9 0
02/05/08 American Samoa 3 57% 43% 0% 2 1 0
02/05/08 Arizona 56 51% 42% 7% 31 25 0
02/05/08 Arkansas 35 70% 27% 3% 27 8 0
02/05/08 California 370 52% 42% 6% 207 163 0
02/05/08 Colorado 55 32% 67% 1% 13 32 0
02/05/08 Connecticut 48 47% 51% 2% 22 26 0
02/05/08 Delaware 15 43% 53% 4% 6 9 0
02/05/08 Democrats Abroad 7 100%
02/05/08 Georgia 87 31% 67% 2% 26 61 0
02/05/08 Idaho 18 17% 79% 1% 3 15 0
02/05/08 Illinois 153 33% 65% 2% 48 104 0
02/05/08 Kansas 32 26% 74% 0% 9 23 0
02/05/08 Massachusetts 93 56% 41% 3% 55 38 0
02/05/08 Minnesota 72 32% 67% 1% 24 48 0
02/05/08 Missouri 72 48% 49% 3% 36 36 0
02/05/08 New Jersey 107 54% 44% 2% 59 48 0
02/05/08 New Mexico 26 49% 48% 3% 14 12 0
02/05/08 New York 232 57% 40% 3% 139 93 0
02/05/08 North Dakota 13 37% 61% 2% 5 8 0
02/05/08 Oklahoma 38 55% 31% 14% 24 14 0
02/05/08 Tennessee [7] 68 54% 41% 5% 40 28 0
02/05/08 Utah 23 39% 57% 4% 9 14 0
02/09/08 Louisiana 56 36% 57% 7% 22 34 0
02/09/08 Nebraska 24 32% 68% 0% 8 16 0
02/09/08 U.S. Virgin Islands [8] 3 8% 92% 0% 0 3 0
02/09/08 Washington 78 31% 69% 0% 15 43 0
02/10/08 Maine 24 41% 59% 0% 9 15 0
02/12/08 District of Columbia 15 24% 74% 0% 0 9 0
02/12/08 Maryland 70 30% 68% 2% 24 44 0
02/12/08 Virginia 83 36% 63% 1% 29 54 0
02/19/08 Hawaii 20 100%
02/19/08 Wisconsin 74 39% 50% 11%
03/04/08 Ohio 141 56% 39% 5%
03/04/08 Rhode Island 21 100%
03/04/08 Texas 193 48% 38% 14%
03/04/08 Vermont 15 100%
03/08/08 Wyoming 12 100%
03/11/08 Mississippi 33 100%
04/22/08 Pennsylvania 151 100%
05/03/08 Guam 3 100%
05/06/08 Indiana 66 100%
05/06/08 North Carolina 91 100%
05/13/08 West Virginia 26 100%
05/20/08 Kentucky 47 100%
05/20/08 Oregon 48 36% 28% 36%
06/01/08 Puerto Rico 55 100%
06/03/08 Montana 15 100%
06/03/08 South Dakota 14 100%
Total 3,203 965 1,101 26
Inc. FL & MI 3,516 1,143 1,168 94

† Barack Obama was not on the ballot in Michigan.

References

See also