Simcoe—Grey (federal electoral district)

Simcoe—Grey
Ontario electoral district
	Simcoe—Grey in relation to Southern Ontario ridings
Federal electoral district
Legislature	House of Commons
MP	Terry Dowdall; Conservative
;
District created	1996
First contested	1997
Last contested	2021
District webpage	profile, map
Demographics
Population (2011)	116,307
Electors (2015)	95,511
Area (km²)	1,950
Pop. density (per km²)	59.6
Census division(s)	Simcoe, Grey
Census subdivision(s)	New Tecumseth, Springwater, Collingwood, Essa, Wasaga Beach, Clearview, Adjala-Tosorontio, Blue Mountains

Simcoe—Grey is a federal electoral district in Ontario, Canada, that has been represented in the House of Commons of Canada since 1997.

It was created in 1996 from parts of Barrie—Simcoe—Bradford, Bruce—Grey, Simcoe Centre, Simcoe North, Wellington—Grey—Dufferin—Simcoe and York—Simcoe.

It consists of the municipalities of Blue Mountains, Collingwood, Clearview, Wasaga Beach, Springwater, Essa, New Tecumseth and Adjala-Tosorontio. It had a population of 117,505 in 2001, and an area of 2,515 km².

History

It consisted initially of:

the part of the County of Simcoe lying to the west of and including the Town of New Tecumseth and the Township of Essa, to the west of and excluding the City of Barrie, to the east of and including the townships of Vespra and Flos, and to the south of and excluding the Township of Tiny;
in the County of Grey, the Town of Thornbury, the villages of Flesherton and Markdale, and the townships of Artemesia, Collingwood and Osprey.

In 2003, it was given its current boundaries as described above.

This riding lost territory to Barrie—Springwater—Oro-Medonte during the 2012 electoral redistribution.

Demographics

According to the 2021 Canadian census^[3]

Ethnic groups: 86.7% White, 3.6% Indigenous, 2.3% South Asian, 2.1% Black, 1.2% Latin American

Languages: 85.3% English, 1.7% French, 1.5% Italian, 1.0% Spanish

Religions: 57.7% Christian (25.7% Catholic, 6.9% United Church, 6.2% Anglican, 3.3% Presbyterian, 1.2% Baptist, 1.2% Pentecostal, 1.0% Christian Orthodox, 12.2% Other), 1.1% Muslim, 38.4% None

Median income: $43,200 (2020)

Average income: $55,950 (2020)

Riding associations

Riding associations are the local branches of the national political parties:

Party		Association name	CEO	HQ address	HQ city
	Christian Heritage Party of Canada	Simcoe—Grey Christian Heritage Party Association	Iain Morris	PO Box 692	Alliston
	Conservative Party of Canada	Simcoe—Grey Conservative Association	Sandy Kursis	PO Box 2021	Thornton ON L0L 2N0
	Liberal Party of Canada	Simcoe—Grey Federal Liberal Association	Rob Glozier	PO Box 779	Alliston
	New Democratic Party	Simcoe—Grey Federal NDP Riding Association	Denny Oliver	7 Truax Crescent	Angus
	Green	Simcoe—Grey Federal Green Party Association	Kendra Marr	7150 Sideroad 3/4 Nottawasaga	Creemore, Ontario
	People's	Barrie-Simcoe PPC Association	Stephen Makk	PO Box 543	Victoria Harbour

Members of Parliament

This riding has elected the following members of Parliament:

Parliament	Years		Party
Simcoe—Grey Riding created from Barrie—Simcoe—Bradford, Bruce—Grey, Simcoe Centre, Simcoe North, Wellington—Grey—Dufferin—Simcoe and York—Simcoe
36th	1997–2000	Paul Bonwick	Liberal
37th	2000–2004	Paul Bonwick	Liberal
38th	2004–2006	Helena Guergis	Conservative
39th	2006–2008
40th	2008–2010
40th	2010–2011		Independent
41st	2011–2015	Kellie Leitch	Conservative
42nd	2015–2019	Kellie Leitch
43rd	2019–2021	Terry Dowdall
44th	2021–present	Terry Dowdall

Election results

Graph of election results in Simcoe—Grey (minor parties that never got 2% of the vote or didn't run consistently are omitted)

v t e 2021 Canadian federal election
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%	Expenditures
	Conservative	Terry Dowdall	36,249	47.3	+3.8	$77,055.07
	Liberal	Bren Munro	21,320	27.8	-3.9	$15,794.64
	New Democratic	Lucas Gillies	10,140	13.2	+2.0	$4,394.15
	People's	Adam Minatel	5,550	7.2	+5.3	$16,038.13
	Green	Nick Clayton	2,969	3.9	-10.1	$3,494.50
	Christian Heritage	Ken Stouffer	382	0.5	–	$5,174.14
Total valid votes			76,610
Total rejected ballots			436
Turnout			77,046	63.60
Eligible voters			121,142
Source: Elections Canada^[4]

2021 federal election redistributed results^[5]
Party		Vote	%
	Conservative	26,910	47.42
	Liberal	15,822	27.88
	New Democratic	7,476	13.17
	People's	3,938	6.94
	Green	2,356	4.15
	Others	242	0.43

v t e 2019 Canadian federal election
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%	Expenditures
	Conservative	Terry Dowdall	32,812	43.5	-3.1	$77,284.03
	Liberal	Lorne Kenney	23,925	31.7	-6.9	none listed
	Green	Sherri Jackson	8,589	11.4	+7.0	$13,135.30
	New Democratic	Ilona Matthews	8,462	11.2	+1.6	$4,265.12
	People's	Richard Sommer	1,416	1.9	–	none listed
	Veterans Coalition	Tony D'Angelo	305	0.4		none listed
Total valid votes/expense limit			75,509	100.0
Total rejected ballots			492
Turnout			76,001	66.0
Eligible voters			115,193
	Conservative hold		Swing		+1.90
Source: Elections Canada^[6]^[7]

2015 Canadian federal election: Simcoe—Grey
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%	Expenditures
	Conservative	Kellie Leitch	30,612	46.6	-1.8	$101,505.22
	Liberal	Mike MacEachern	25,352	38.6	+25.9	$55,545.97
	New Democratic	David Matthews	6,332	9.6	-7.8	$5,106.83
	Green	JoAnne Fleming	2,923	4.4	-1.1	$5,324.15
	Christian Heritage	Len Noordegraaf	528	0.8	–	$3,879.16
Total valid votes/Expense limit			65,747	100.0		$242,062.43
Total rejected ballots			225	–	–
Turnout			65,972	–	–
Eligible voters			97,145
	Conservative hold		Swing		-13.85
Source: Elections Canada^[8]^[9]

2011 federal election redistributed results^[10]
Party		Vote	%
	Conservative	26,764	48.43
	New Democratic	9,631	17.43
	Others	8,806	15.94
	Liberal	7,000	12.67
	Green	3,058	5.53

2011 Canadian federal election: Simcoe—Grey
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%	Expenditures
	Conservative	Kellie Leitch	31,784	49.36	-5.68	$96,128.50
	New Democratic	Katy Austin	11,185	17.38	+6.18	7,993.48
	Independent	Helena Guergis	8,714	13.50	–	57,289.66
	Liberal	Alex Smardenka	8,207	12.75	-8.80	83,148.92
	Green	Jace Metheral	3,482	5.41	-4.71	8,522.13
	Christian Heritage	Peter Vander Zaag	757	1.18	–	4,385.89
	Canadian Action	Gord Cochrane	244	0.38	–	2,512.75
Total valid votes/Expense limit			64,373	100.00	–	$99,651.72
Total rejected ballots			269	0.42	+0.08
Turnout			64,642	66.13	+6.03
Eligible voters			97,755	–	–
	Conservative hold		Swing		-5.93

2008 Canadian federal election
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%	Expenditures
	Conservative	Helena Guergis	30,897	55.04	+5.2	$71,239
	Liberal	Andrea Matrosovs	12,099	21.55	-9.3	$36,810
	New Democratic	Katy Austin	6,288	11.20	0.0	$6,077
	Green	Peter Ellis	5,685	10.12	+4.5	$9,015
	Christian Heritage	Peter Vander Zaag	1,018	1.81	-0.6	$4,175
	Libertarian	Caley McKibbin	143	0.25	–	$20
Total valid votes/Expense limit			56,130	100.00	$94,127
Total rejected ballots			189	0.34
Turnout			56,319	60.10

2006 Canadian federal election
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%	Expenditures
	Conservative	Helena Guergis	30,135	49.8	+9.1	$84,182
	Liberal	Elizabeth Kirley	18,689	30.9	-9.5	$92,500
	New Democratic	Katy Austin	6,784	11.2	+1.2	$10,777
	Green	Peter Ellis	3,372	5.6	+1.8	$2,361
	Christian Heritage	Peter Vander Zaag	1,585	2.6	-1.5	$14,302
Total valid votes			60,565	100.0

2004 Canadian federal election
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Conservative	Helena Guergis	22,496	40.6	-9.3
	Liberal	Paul Bonwick	22,396	40.4	-4.3
	New Democratic	Colin Mackinnon	5,532	10.0	+6.7
	Green	Peter Ellis	2,668	4.8
	Christian Heritage	Peter Vander Zaag	2,285	4.1
Total valid votes			55,377	100.0

Note: Conservative vote is compared to the total of the Canadian Alliance vote and Progressive Conservative vote in 2000 election.

2000 Canadian federal election
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Liberal	Paul Bonwick	22,224	44.8	+9.6
	Alliance	George Demery	16,113	32.5	-1.8
	Progressive Conservative	Bill Dunkley	8,655	17.4	-5.7
	New Democratic	Michael Kennedy	1,646	3.3	-2.8
	Canadian Action	James McGillivray	751	1.5
	Independent	Victor Carvalho	246	0.5
Total valid votes			49,635	100.0

Note: Canadian Alliance vote is compared to the Reform vote in 1997 election.

1997 Canadian federal election
Party	Candidate	Votes	%
	Liberal	Paul Bonwick	17,895	35.2
	Reform	Paul Shaw	17,414	34.3
	Progressive Conservative	Shawn Mitchell	11,761	23.1
	New Democratic	Marty Wilkinson	3,090	6.1
	Christian Heritage	Mia Colaris	664	1.3
Total valid votes			50,824	100.0

References

"Simcoe—Grey (federal electoral district) (Code 35085) Census Profile". 2011 census. Government of Canada - Statistics Canada. Retrieved March 3, 2011.
Riding history from the Library of Parliament
2011 results from Elections Canada
Campaign expense data from Elections Canada

Notes

^ Statistics Canada: 2012
^ Statistics Canada: 2012
^ Government of Canada, Statistics Canada (February 9, 2022). "Profile table, Census Profile, 2021 Census of Population - Simcoe--Grey [Federal electoral district (2013 Representation Order)], Ontario". www12.statcan.gc.ca. Retrieved April 3, 2023.
^ "Official Voting Results". Elections Canada. Retrieved October 3, 2021.
^ "Transposition of Votes from the 44th General Election to the 2023 Representation Orders". Elections Canada. Retrieved April 9, 2024.
^ "List of confirmed candidates". Elections Canada. Retrieved October 3, 2019.
^ "Election Night Results". Elections Canada. Retrieved October 30, 2019.
^ Elections Canada – Confirmed candidates for Simcoe—Grey, 30 September 2015
^ Elections Canada – Preliminary Election Expenses Limits for Candidates
^ Pundits' Guide to Canadian Elections

External links

44°22′30″N 80°00′29″W / 44.375°N 80.008°W / 44.375; -80.008

[1] Statistics Canada: 2012

[2] Statistics Canada: 2012

[3] Government of Canada, Statistics Canada (February 9, 2022). "Profile table, Census Profile, 2021 Census of Population - Simcoe--Grey [Federal electoral district (2013 Representation Order)], Ontario". www12.statcan.gc.ca. Retrieved April 3, 2023.

[4] "Official Voting Results". Elections Canada. Retrieved October 3, 2021.

[5] "Transposition of Votes from the 44th General Election to the 2023 Representation Orders". Elections Canada. Retrieved April 9, 2024.

[6] "List of confirmed candidates". Elections Canada. Retrieved October 3, 2019.

[7] "Election Night Results". Elections Canada. Retrieved October 30, 2019.

[8] Elections Canada – Confirmed candidates for Simcoe—Grey, 30 September 2015

[9] Elections Canada – Preliminary Election Expenses Limits for Candidates

[10] Pundits' Guide to Canadian Elections

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v t e Federal ridings in Central Ontario
Conservative	Barrie—Innisfil Barrie—Springwater—Oro-Medonte Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound Dufferin—Caledon Durham Haliburton—Kawartha Lakes—Brock Northumberland—Peterborough South Peterborough—Kawartha Simcoe—Grey Simcoe North York—Simcoe
Liberal	Newmarket—Aurora