Opinion polling in United Kingdom constituencies (2010–2015)

Prior to the 2015 general election, various polling organisations conducted opinion polling in specific constituencies. The results of publicised opinion polling for individual constituencies are detailed in this article. However, most opinion polling covers Great Britain, where the results are published in this article here.

Opinion polls were conducted gradually from the months after the previous general election held on 6 May 2010, and increased in frequency before the general election which took place on 7 May 2015. Though most opinion polls published are for general election voting intention, some polls shown are for voting intention in separate by-elections.

Polls of individual constituencies are expensive compared to national polling and were previously an infrequent practice in the UK. However, a large number of individual constituency polls were carried out in this period, most commissioned from independent polling providers by Michael Ashcroft, a Conservative peer and sponsor. In addition to polls listed in this article, other polling of constituencies has been carried out in private, often by political parties.^[1]

Given the expense of polling individual constituencies, constituencies are usually only polled if they are of some particular interest, e.g. they are thought to be marginal or facing an impending by-election. The constituencies polled are not necessarily representative of a national average swing. Under the first-past-the-post electoral system true marginal seats are, by definition, decisive as to the election outcome.^[2]

Constituency polls

England

Amber Valley

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Con	Lab	Lib Dem	UKIP	Green	Others	Lead
Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size						Others	Lead
7 May 2015	2015 result		44.0%	34.8%	3.0%	15.9%	2.4%	–	9.2%
3–12 Jul 2014	Ashcroft	1,000	34%	35%	4%	23%	3%	2%	1%
14–20 Apr 2014	Ashcroft	1,000	29%	41%	6%	20%	2%	2%	12%
6 May 2010	General Election Results	45,958	38.6%	37.4%	14.4%	2.0%	–	7.6%	1.2%

Bedford

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Con	Lab	Lib Dem	UKIP	Green	Others	Lead
Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size						Others	Lead
7 May 2015	2015 result		42.6%	40.2%	4.2%	9.6%	3.1%	0.3%	2.4%
23–30 Jul 2014	Ashcroft	1,000	28%	38%	14%	15%	3%	2%	10%
6 May 2010	General Election Results	45,102	38.9%	35.9%	19.9%	2.5%	0.9%	2.0%	3.0%

Bermondsey and Old Southwark

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Con	Lab	Lib Dem	UKIP	Green	Others	Lead
Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size						Others	Lead
7 May 2015	2015 result		11.8%	43.1%	34.3%	6.3%	3.9%	0.5%	8.7%
3–13 Sep 2014	Ashcroft	1,000	14%	35%	36%	9%	5%	2%	1%
6 May 2010	General Election Results	44,651	17.1%	29.2%	48.4%	–	1.6%	3.7%	19.1%

Berwick-upon-Tweed

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Con	Lab	Lib Dem	UKIP	Green	Others	Lead
Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size						Others	Lead
7 May 2015	2015 result		41.1%	14.9%	28.9%	11.2%	3.7%	0.2%	12.2%
21–28 Aug 2014	Ashcroft	1,000	33%	16%	30%	17%	3%	1%	3%
6 May 2010	General Election Results	38,439	36.7%	13.2%	43.7%	3.2%	–	3.2%	7%

Birmingham Edgbaston

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Lab	Con	Lib Dem	UKIP	Green	Others	Lead
Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size						Others	Lead
7 May 2015	General Election Results	41,293	44.8%	38.3%	2.9%	10.1%	3.3%	3.5%	3.4%
31 Jul–11 Aug 2014	Ashcroft	1001	48%	29%	3%	12%	5%	1%	19%
12–18 May 2014	Ashcroft	1000	44%	33%	5%	13%	4%	1%	11%
6 May 2010	General Election Results	41,571	40.6%	37.6%	15.4%	1.8%	1.1%	3.6%	3.1%

Birmingham Yardley

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Lab	Con	Lib Dem	UKIP	Green	Others	Lead
Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size						Others	Lead
7 May 2015	General Election Results	41,313	41.6%	14.0%	25.6%	16.1%	1.7%	1.0%	16.0%
27–31 Oct 2014	Ashcroft	1,000	31%	12%	34%	19%	2%	1%	3%
6 May 2010	General Election Results	40,850	32.2%	19.2%	39.6%	2.9%	–	–	7.3%

Blackpool North and Cleveleys

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Lab	Con	Lib Dem	UKIP	Green	Others	Lead
Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size						Others	Lead
7 May 2015	General Election Results	39,393	36.0%	44.4%	2.4%	14.8%	2.3%	0.1%	8.5%
30 Mar–4 Apr 2015	Ashcroft	1,000	37%	42%	3%	15%	2%	1%	5%
13–18 Oct 2014	Ashcroft	1,000	32%	35%	5%	24%	3%	1%	3%
6 May 2010	General Election Results	40,591	36.5%	41.8%	13.3%	4.1%	-	4.3%	5.3%

Bognor Regis and Littlehampton

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Con	LD	UKIP	Lab	Others	Lead
7 May 2015	General Election Results	47,116	51.3%	9.0%	21.7%	13.8%	4.1%	27.9%
22–24 Nov 2013	Survation/Alan Bown	508	37%	11%	27%	20%	5%	10%
6 May 2010	General Election Results	46,852	51.4%	23.5%	6.5%	14.0%	4.5%	27.9%

Bolton West

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Lab	Con	LD	UKIP	Green	Others	Lead
7 May 2015	General Election Results	47,576	39.0%	40.6%	4.0%	15.3%	-	1.1%	1.6%
23–31 Jul 2014	Ashcroft	1,000	40%	27%	8%	21%	2%	2%	13%
21–27 Apr 2014	Ashcroft	1,001	41%	28%	10%	17%	2%	1%	13%
6 May 2010	General Election Results	47,576	38.5%	38.3%	17.2%	4.0%	1.1%	0.8%	0.2%

Boston and Skegness

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Con	LD	UKIP	Lab	Green	IFE	BNP	Others	Lead
7 May 2015	General Election Results	43,339	43.8%	2.3%	33.8%	16.5%	1.8%	0.7%	0.3%	0.7%	10%
26 Jan–5 Feb 2015	Ashcroft	1,000	38%	5%	35%	17%	3%	–	–	2%	3%
5–9 Sep 2014	Survation/Alan Bown	342	26.2%	2.0%	45.5%	20.8%	3.2%	1.0%	1.0%	0.4%	19.3%
6 May 2010	General Election Results	43,125	49.4%	14.8%	9.5%	20.6%	–	–	5.3%	0.4%	28.8%

Bradford East

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Lab	Con	LD	UKIP	Green	BNP	Others	Lead
7 May 2015	General Election Results	41,406	46.6%	11.3%	29.3%	9.9%	2.1%	-	0.5%	17.1%
1–21 Jun 2014	Ashcroft	1,000	45%	12%	23%	15%	2%	–	3%	22%
6 May 2010	General Election Results	40,457	32.8%	26.8%	33.7%	–	–	4.6%	2.0%	0.9%

Brent Central

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Lab	Con	LD	UKIP	Green	Others	Lead
7 May 2015	General Election Results	45,324	62.1%	20.3%	8.4%	3.9%	4.1%	1.2%	41.8%
11–22 Jun 2014	Ashcroft	1,001	54%	13%	19%	7%	5%	1%	35%
6 May 2010	General Election Results	45,324	41.2%	11.2%	44.2%	–	1.5%	2%	3.0%

Brentford and Isleworth

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Con	Lab	LD	UKIP	Green	Others	Lead
17–26 Sep 2014	Ashcroft	1,001	32%	45%	10%	7%	4%	1%	13%
6 May 2010	General Election Results	53,765	37.2%	33.6%	23.7%	1.6%	1.5%	2.4%	3.6%

Brighton Kemptown

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Lab	Con	LD	UKIP	Green	Others	Lead
7 May 2015	General Election Results	45,306	39.2%	40.7%	3.0%	9.8%	7.0%	0.4%	1.5%
11–21 Sep 2014	Ashcroft	1,000	37%	33%	6%	13%	10%	1%	4%
6 May 2010	General Election Results	42,705	34.9%	38.0%	18.0%	3.2%	5.5%	0.5%	3.1%

Brighton Pavilion

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Green	Lab	Con	LD	UKIP	Others	Lead
7 May 2015	General Election Results	54,676	41.8%	27.3%	22.8%	2.8%	5.0%	0.4%	14.6%
11–20 Nov 2014	Ashcroft	1,001	38%	28%	21%	5%	8%	1%	10%
5–12 Jun 2014	Ashcroft	1,000	32%	33%	18%	5%	9%	2%	1%
6 May 2010	General Election Results	51,834	31.3%	28.9%	23.7%	13.8%	1.8%	0.4%	2.4%

Bristol North West

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Lab	Con	LD	UKIP	Green	Others	Lead
17-23 April 2015	Ashcroft	1,005	34%	43%	8%	8%	6%	0%	9%
6 May 2010	General Election Results	50,336	25.9%	38.0%	32.5%	2.3%	1.0%	1.3%	5.5%

Bristol West

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Lab	Con	LD	UKIP	Green	Others	Lead
7 May 2015	General Election Results	64,218	35.7%	15.2%	18.8%	3.0%	26.8%	0.4%	8.8%
17-23 April 2015	Ashcroft	1,001	38%	14%	20%	2%	25%	1%	13%
6 May 2010	General Election Results	55,347	27.5%	18.4%	48.0%	1.2%	3.8%	1.1%	20.5%

Broxtowe

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Con	Lab	LD	UKIP	Green	BNP	Others	Lead
26 Jun–4 Jul 2014	Ashcroft	1,000	30%	39%	7%	18%	4%	1%	1%	9%
8–13 Apr 2014	Ashcroft	1,000	30%	44%	10%	13%	1%	1%	1%	14%
6 May 2010	General Election Results	52,727	39.0%	38.3%	16.9%	2.3%	0.8%	2.7%	–	0.7%

Burnley

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Con	Lab	LD	UKIP	Green	BNP	Others	Lead
27–30 Oct 2014	Ashcroft	1,001	11%	38%	23%	25%	2%	1%	1%	13%
6 May 2010	General Election Results	41,845	16.6%	31.3%	35.7%	2.2%	–	9.0%	5.2%	4.3%

Bury North

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Con	Lab	LD	UKIP	Green	Others	Lead
2-14 October 2014	Ashcroft	1,004	32%	41%	5%	20%	2%	1%	9%
6 May 2010	General Election Results	44,961	40.2%	35.2%	17%	2.9%	-	4.8%	5%

Camborne and Redruth

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Con	Lab	LD	UKIP	Green	MK	OMRLP	Others	Lead
24–26 Mar 2015	Ashcroft	1,001	37%	24%	13%	14%	8%	–	–	3%	13%
25 Nov 2014	Survation/University of Exeter	500	30.0%	22.4%	6.3%	33.0%	6.9%	0.9%	0.4%	0.1%	3%
6 May 2010	General Election Results	42,493	37.6%	16.3%	37.4%	5.1%	1.4%	1.8%	–	0.4%	0.2%

Cambridge

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Con	Lab	LD	UKIP	Green	Others	Lead
24–28 Mar 2015	Ashcroft	1000	17%	31%	40%	3%	9%	–	9%
3–12 Sep 2014	Ashcroft	1000	19%	33%	32%	7%	8%	1%	1%
4–8 Apr 2014	ICM/Lord Oakeshott	500	18%	41%	28%	5%	5%	2%	13%
6 May 2010	General Election Results	50,130	25.6%	24.3%	39.1%	2.4%	7.6%	1.0%	13.5%

Cannock Chase

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Lab	Con	LD	UKIP	Green	BNP	Others	Lead
16–24 Apr 2015	Ashcroft	1,002	38%	32%	5%	21%	3%	–	1%	6%
22–27 Oct 2014	Ashcroft	1,000	32%	27%	8%	30%	2%	–	1%	2%
6 May 2010	General Election Results	45,559	33.1%	40.1%	17.0%	3.5%	–	4.8%	1.6%	7%

Carlisle

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Con	Lab	LD	UKIP	Green	Others	Lead
11-16 Jul 2014	Ashcroft	1,001	30%	41%	5%	18%	3%	3%	11%
6 May 2010	General Election Results	42,200	39.3%	37.3%	15.6%	2.3%	1.5%	4.1%	2.0%

Carshalton and Wallington

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Lab	Con	LD	UKIP	Green	Others	Lead
29 Oct–6 Nov 2014	Ashcroft	1,000	12%	23%	43%	17%	3%	1%	20%
6 May 2010	General Election Results	45,918	8.7%	36.8%	48.3%	2.9%	0.8%	2.4%	11.5%

Castle Point

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Lab	Con	LD	UKIP	Green	Others	Lead
15–24 Apr 2015	Ashcroft	1,000	12%	41%	2%	36%	3%	5%	5%
26 Jan–5 Feb 2015	Ashcroft	1,002	16%	37%	3%	36%	2%	6%	1%
6 May 2010	General Election Results	45,026	14.7%	44.0%	9.4%	–	-	31.9%	17.0%

Cheadle

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Lab	Con	LD	UKIP	Green	Others	Lead
15–22 Aug 2014	Ashcroft	1,000	19%	30%	34%	13%	2%	3%	4%
26 May-1 Jun 2014	Ashcroft	1,003	21%	29%	32%	15%	2%	1%	3%
6 May 2010	General Election Results	52,512	9.4%	40.8%	47.1%	2.7%	–	–	6.3%

Cheltenham

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Lab	Con	LD	UKIP	Green	Others	Lead
27 Oct-1 Nov 2014	Ashcroft	1,000	7%	34%	42%	11%	5%	1%	8%
6 May 2010	General Election Results	52,768	5.1%	41.2%	50.5%	2.3%	–	0.9	9.3%

Chippenham

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Con	Lab	LD	UKIP	Green	Others	Lead
14-20 Aug 2014	Ashcroft	1,000	39%	14%	24%	16%	6%	1%	15%
26 May-1 Jun 2014	Ashcroft	1,000	35%	12%	26%	19%	7%	1%	9%
6 May 2010	General Election Results	52,385	41.0%	6.9%	45.8%	3.4%	0.9%	2%	4.8%

City of Chester

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Lab	Con	LD	UKIP	Green	Others	Lead
26 Feb-5 Mar 2015	Ashcroft	1,000	45%	34%	7%	10%	3%	1%	11%
13–18 Oct 2014	Ashcroft	1,000	37%	36%	7%	15%	5%	1%	1%
6 May 2010	General Election Results	46,853	35.1%	40.6%	19.1%	2.6%	1.1%	1.5%	5.5%

Clacton

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Con	Lab	UKIP	LD	Green	Others	Lead
7 May 2015	General Election Results	44,207	36.7%	14.4%	44.4%	1.8%	1.9%	-	7.8%
9 Oct 2014	Clacton by-election Result	35,365	24.6%	11.2%	59.7%	1.4%	2.7%	1.2%	35.1%
29 Aug–1 Sep 2014	Ashcroft	1,001	27%	19%	48%	3%	3%	<0.5%	21%
29 Aug–1 Sep 2014	Ashcroft (By-election polling)	1,001	24%	16%	56%	2%	1%	1%	32%
28–29 Aug 2014	Survation (By-election polling)	700	20%	13%	64%	2%	1%	<0.5%	44%
6 May 2010	General Election Results	43,123	53.0%	25.0%	–	12.9%	1.2%	7.8%	28.0%

Cleethorpes

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Con	Lab	LD	UKIP	Green	Others	Lead
2-11 Apr 2015	Ashcroft	1,001	38%	36%	6%	15%	3%	1%	2%
6 May 2010	General Election Results	44,966	42.1%	32.6%	18.2%	7.1%	-	3.9%	9.5%

Colchester

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Lab	Con	LD	UKIP	Green	Others	Lead
4–14 Nov 2014	Ashcroft	1,000	17%	22%	36%	18%	6%	1%	14%
6 May 2010	General Election Results	46,139	12.3%	32.9%	48.0%	2.9%	1.5%	2.4%	15.1%

Colne Valley

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Lab	Con	LD	UKIP	Green	Others	Lead
16–22 April 2015	Ashcroft	1,000	35%	37%	8%	11%	6%	2%	2%
2–12 Feb 2015	Ashcroft	1,000	34%	33%	9%	13%	9%	1%	1%
6 May 2010	General Election Results	55,296	26.4%	37.0%	28.2%	2.1%	1.6%	4.7%	8.7%

Corby

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Lab	Con	LD	UKIP	Green	Others	Lead
10–17 Sep 2014	Ashcroft	1,000	40%	30%	5%	21%	2%	2%	10%
15 Nov 2012	Corby by-election Result	35,665	48.4%	26.6%	5.0%	14.3%	1.1%	4.6%	21.8%
6 May 2010	General Election Results	54,180	38.6%	42.2%	14.5%	–	–	4.7%	3.6%

Crewe and Nantwich

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Con	Lab	UKIP	LD	Others	Lead
2–9 Apr 2015	Ashcroft	1,000	38%	41%	13%	4%	1%	3%
22–24 Nov 2013	Survation/Alan Bown	500	33%	46%	11%	6%	5%	13%
6 May 2010	General Election Results	51,084	45.8%	34.0%	2.8%	15.0%	2.3%	11.8%

Croydon Central

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Con	Lab	UKIP	LD	Green	Others	Lead
26-30 Apr 2015	Ashcroft	1,003	44%	40%	10%	2%	3%	0%	4%
3–12 Mar 2015	Ashcroft	1,000	37%	41%	13%	3%	5%	1%	4%
14–18 Oct 2014	Ashcroft	1,000	33%	39%	19%	4%	4%	1%	6%
6 May 2010	General Election Results	49,757	39.5%	33.5%	2.0%	13.2%	1.2%	10.6%	6.0%

Derby North

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Con	Lab	LD	UKIP	Green	Others	Lead
28 May-4 Jun 2014	Ashcroft	1,000	23%	44%	17%	12%	2%	2%	21%
6 May 2010	General Election Results	45,080	31.7%	33%	28%	1.8%	–	5.4%	1.3%

Dewsbury

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Con	Lab	LD	UKIP	Green	Others	Lead
15-23 Jul 2014	Ashcroft	1,000	30%	40%	4%	18%	6%	3%	10%
6 May 2010	General Election Results	54,008	35%	32.2%	16.9%	-	1.6%	14.3%	2.8%

Doncaster North

Note: Michael Ashcroft initially published incorrect results for his 18–23 Nov 2014 poll,^[3] erroneously showing only a small Labour lead. The corrected poll results are below.

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Con	Lab	LD	UKIP	Green	BNP	Others	Lead
18–23 Nov 2014	Ashcroft, Corrected	1,000	13%	54%	4%	25%	2%	1%	2%	29%
6 May 2010	General Election Results	41,483	21.0%	47.3%	14.9%	4.3%	–	6.8%	5.6%	26.3%

Dover

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Lab	Con	LD	UKIP	Green	Others	Lead
2-9 April 2015	Ashcroft	1,002	32%	40%	3%	20%	4%	-	8%
6 May 2010	General Election Results	50,385	33.5%	44%	15.8%	3.5%	-	3.2%	10.5%

Dudley North

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Lab	Con	UKIP	LD	Others	Lead
20–27 Nov 2014	Ashcroft	1,001	37%	24%	34%	3%	3%	3%
28 Apr–4 May 2014	Ashcroft	1,000	40%	24%	27%	4%	5%	13%
22–24 Nov 2013	Survation	526	45%	25%	23%	2%	5%	20%
6 May 2010	General Election Results	38,602	38.7%	37.0%	8.5%	10.5%	5.3%	1.7%

Dudley South

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Lab	Con	LD	UKIP	Green	Lead
7-10 April 2015	Ashcroft	1,000	35%	39%	3%	18%	4%	4%
6 May 2010	General Election Results	38,165	33%	43.1%	15.7%	8.2%	-	10.1%

Ealing Central and Acton

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Con	Lab	LD	UKIP	Green	Others	Lead
1–6 Dec 2014	Ashcroft	1,000	34%	40%	11%	6%	7%	2%	6%
6 May 2010	General Election Results	47,200	38.0%	30.1%	27.6%	1.6%	1.6%	1.0%	7.9%

Eastbourne

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Lab	Con	LD	UKIP	Green	Others	Lead
27 Aug-5 Sep 2014	Ashcroft	1,000	7%	25%	46%	18%	2%	2%	21%
6 May 2010	General Election Results	52,142	4.8%	40.7%	47.3%	2.5%	-	4.6%	6.6%

Eastleigh

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	LD	Con	UKIP	Lab	Green	Others	Lead
20–28 Aug 2014	Ashcroft	538	40%	25%	21%	12%	2%	1%	15%
29 May–6 Jun 2014	Ashcroft	523	39%	27%	22%	10%	2%	0%	12%
14–17 Apr 2014	Survation/Alan Bown	369	27.1%	28.2%	31.6%	11.5%	1.0%	0.6%	3.4%
28 Feb 2013	Eastleigh by-election Result	42,649	32.1%	25.4%	27.8%	9.8%	–	4.9%	4.3%
22–24 Feb 2013	Ashcroft (By-election polling)^[a]	416	33%	28%	23%	12%	–	4%	5%
19–22 Feb 2013	Populus/Times (By-election polling)^[a]	408	33%	28%	25%	11%	–	4%	5%
18–22 Feb 2013	Survation/Mail on Sunday (By-election polling)	402	29%	33%	21%	13%	–	4%	4%
6–8 Feb 2013	Survation/Mail on Sunday^[b]	321	36%	33%	16%	13%	0.3%	0.1%	3%
4–5 Feb 2013	Ashcroft (By-election polling)^[c]	314	31%	34%	15%	19%	1%	1%	3%
2–5 Aug 2010	Ashcroft	513	31%	43%	–	20%	–	6%	12%
6 May 2010	General Election Results	53,650	46.5%	39.3%	3.6%	9.6%	–	1.0%	7.2%

Elmet and Rothwell

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Con	Lab	LD	UKIP	Green	Others	Lead
8–13 Dec 2014	Ashcroft	1,000	39%	35%	6%	16%	3%	1%	4%
6 May 2010	General Election Results	55,789	42.6%	34.5%	16.3%	2.9%	–	3.6%	8.1%

Enfield North

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Con	Lab	LD	UKIP	Green	Others	Lead
17–25 Sep 2014	Ashcroft	1,000	34%	44%	3%	12%	3%	3%	10%
6 May 2010	General Election Results	44,453	42.3%	38.5%	12.2%	2.1%	1.1%	3.9%	3.8%

Erewash

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Con	Lab	LD	UKIP	Green	Others	Lead
3-14 Oct 2014	Ashcroft	1,003	30%	38%	5%	22%	3%	2%	8%
6 May 2010	General Election Results	47,642	39.5%	34.2%	17.5%	1.8%	1.1%	2.9%	5.3%

Finchley and Golders Green

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Lab	Con	LD	UKIP	Green	Lead
7-11 Apr 2015	Ashcroft	1,001	43%	41%	6%	6%	4%	2%
6 May 2010	General Election Results	47,157	33.7%	46%	17%	1.7%	1.6%	12.3%

Folkestone and Hythe

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Con	LD	UKIP	Lab	Green	Others	Lead
3–4 Apr 2014	Survation/Mail on Sunday	529	36.4%	9.6%	32.9%	17.8%	1.9%	1.5%	3.5%
22–24 Nov 2013	Survation/Alan Bown	548	35%	10%	28%	21%	4%	2%	7%
6 May 2010	General Election Results	52,800	49.4%	30.3%	4.6%	10.8%	1.2%	3.6%	19.1%

Gloucester

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Con	Lab	LD	UKIP	Green	Others	Lead
24 Mar–4 Apr 2015	Ashcroft	1,001	40%	36%	9%	12%	3%	1%	4%
24 Sep–2 Oct 2014	Ashcroft	1,000	34%	33%	12%	18%	3%	0%	1%
6 May 2010	General Election Results	50,764	39.9%	35.2%	19.2%	3.6%	1%	1.1%	4.8%

Great Grimsby

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Lab	Con	UKIP	LD	Others	Lead
15–24 Apr 2015	Ashcroft	1000	42%	24%	25%	5%	4%	17%
20–27 Nov 2014	Ashcroft	1,001	35%	20%	34%	8%	4%	1%
5–11 May 2014	Ashcroft	1,001	38%	21%	26%	10%	5%	12%
18–22 Oct 2013	Survation	506	40%	21%	23%	11%	5%	17%
6 May 2010	General Election Results	32,954	32.7%	30.5%	6.2%	22.4%	8.1%	2.2%

Great Yarmouth

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Con	Lab	UKIP	LD	Green	Others	Lead
15–24 Apr 2015	Ashcroft	1,000	36%	34%	24%	2%	4%	1%	2%
11–16 Jul 2014	Ashcroft	1,000	33%	28%	32%	3%	3%	1%	1%
21–27 Apr 2014	Ashcroft	1,001	32%	31%	29%	5%	2%	1%	1%
22–24 Nov 2013	Survation/Alan Bown	507	27%	37%	30%	3%		2%	7%
6 May 2010	General Election Results	43,057	43.1%	33.2%	4.8%	14.4%	1.0%	3.5%	9.9%

Halesowen and Rowley Regis

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Con	Lab	LD	UKIP	Green	Others	Lead
24 Feb–5 Mar 2015	Ashcroft	1,000	37%	39%	4%	15%	3%	2%	2%
24 Sep–3 Oct 2014	Ashcroft	1,000	34%	35%	2%	24%	4%	1%	1%
6 May 2010	General Election Results	43,979	41.2%	36.6%	14.8%	6.4%	–	1.0%	4.6%

Halifax

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Lab	Con	LD	UKIP	Green	Others	Lead
12–18 May 2014	Ashcroft	1,000	43%	26%	8%	18%	2%	3%	17%
6 May 2010	General Election Results	43,555	37.4%	34%	19.1%	1.5%	-	8%	3.4%

Hampstead and Kilburn

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Con	Lab	UKIP	LD	Green	Others	Lead
23 Jul–3 Aug 2014	Ashcroft	1,000	30%	47%	2%	13%	6%	1%	17%
21–27 Apr 2014	Ashcroft	1,003	30%	41%	3%	19%	6%	0%	11%
6 May 2010	General Election Result	52,822	32.7%	32.8%	0.8%	31.2%	1.4%	1%	0.1%

Harlow

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Lab	Con	LD	UKIP	Green	Others	Lead
2-10 April 2015	Ashcroft	1,000	34%	44%	3%	16%	2%	1%	10%
6 May 2010	General Election Results	53,878	33.7%	44.9%	13.7%	3.6%	-	4.2%	11.2%

Harrogate and Knaresborough

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Lab	Con	LD	UKIP	Green	Others	Lead
5-12 Jun 2014	Ashcroft	1,000	11%	41%	24%	16%	8%	0%	17%
6 May 2010	General Election Results	53,134	6.4%	45.7%	43.8%	2%	-	2.1%	1.9%

Harrow East

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Con	Lab	LD	UKIP	Green	Others	Lead
31 Mar–4 Apr 2015	Ashcroft	1,001	40%	44%	4%	8%	3%	1%	4%
1–7 Dec 2014	Ashcroft	1,000	40%	37%	6%	13%	3%	0%	3%
6 May 2010	General Election Results	48,006	44.7%	37.6%	14.3%	1.9%	1.7%	–	7.1%

Hastings and Rye

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Lab	Con	LD	UKIP	Green	Others	Lead
17-25 Sep 2014	Ashcroft	1,001	40%	31%	5%	19%	3%	1%	9%
6 May 2010	General Election Results	49,814	37.1%	41.1%	15.7%	2.8%	-	3.3%	4%

Hazel Grove

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Lab	Con	LD	UKIP	Green	Lead
4–15 Nov 2014	Ashcroft	1,000	15%	29%	35%	17%	4%	6%
6 May 2010	General Election Results	41,981	12.5%	33.6%	48.8%	5.1%	–	15.2%

Hendon

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Con	Lab	LD	UKIP	Green	Others	Lead
18–29 Jun 2014	Ashcroft	1,001	34%	49%	4%	9%	1%	1%	15%
31 Mar–6 Apr 2014	Ashcroft	1,000	36%	44%	7%	11%	2%	1%	8%
6 May 2010	General Election Results	46,374	42.3%	42.1%	12.4%	2.1%	1.1%	–	0.2%

Heywood and Middleton

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Lab	Con	LD	UKIP	Green	Others	Lead
9 Oct 2014	Heywood and Middleton by-election Result	28,472	40.9%	12.3%	5.1%	38.7%	3.1%	–	2.2%
30 Sep–4 Oct 2014	Ashcroft (By-election polling)	1,000	47%	16%	5%	28%	4%	–	19%
30 Sep 2014	Survation/The Sun (By-election polling)	551	50%	13%	4%	31%	3%	–	19%
6 May 2010	General Election Results	46,125	40.1%	27.2%	22.7%	2.6%	-	7.4%	12.9%

High Peak

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Lab	Con	LD	UKIP	Green	Others	Lead
17-23 April 2015	Ashcroft	1,000	38%	40%	7%	10%	5%	1%	2%
6 May 2010	General Election Results	50,337	31.6%	40.9%	21.8%	3.4%	1.8%	0.4%	9.3%

Hornsey and Wood Green

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Con	Lab	LD	UKIP	Green	Others	Lead
3 Mar 2015	Liberal Democrats (fieldwork by Survation)	325	15%	37%	36%	4%	7%	1%	1%
3–13 Sep 2014	Ashcroft	1,000	14%	43%	30%	3%	8%	1%	13%
6 May 2010	General Election Results	55,042	16.7%	34.0%	46.5%	–	2.3%	0.6%	12.5%

Hove

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Con	Lab	LD	UKIP	Green	Others	Lead
7 May 2015	General Election Results	52,214	39.9%	42.3%	3.6%	6.3%	6.8%	1.1%	2.4%
1–4 Apr 2015	Ashcroft	1,002	37%	43%	5%	5%	9%	1%	6%
17–27 Sep 2014	Ashcroft	1,000	34%	37%	6%	11%	12%	-	3%
6 May 2010	General Election Results	49,819	36.7%	33.0%	22.6%	2.4%	5.2%	0.2%	3.7%

Ipswich

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Lab	Con	LD	UKIP	Green	Others	Lead
24 Sep-2 Oct 2014	Ashcroft	1,000	38%	31%	6%	19%	5%	1%	7%
6 May 2010	General Election Results	46,291	34.7%	39.1%	18.2%	2.9%	1.7%	3.3%	4.4%

Keighley

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Lab	Con	LD	UKIP	Green	Others	Lead
20-26 Oct 2014	Ashcroft	1,000	37%	31%	5%	23%	3%	1%	6%
6 May 2010	General Election Results	47,692	35.8%	41.9%	14.8%	3.1%	-	4.4%	6.1%

Kingston and Surbiton

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Con	Lab	LD	UKIP	Green	Others	Lead
29 Oct–8 Nov 2014	Ashcroft	1,000	30%	16%	38%	10%	6%	1%	8%
6 May 2010	General Election Results	57,111	36.5%	9.3%	49.8%	2.5%	1%	0.8%	13.3%

Kingswood

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Con	Lab	LD	UKIP	Green	Others	Lead
28 Mar–3 Apr 2015	Ashcroft	1,001	42%	33%	5%	15%	4%	1%	9%
3-14 Oct 2014	Ashcroft	1,001	34%	32%	6%	23%	4%	1%	2%
6 May 2010	General Election Results	47,906	40.4%	35.3%	16.8%	3.2%	0.8%	3.4%	5.1%

Lancaster and Fleetwood

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Con	Lab	LD	UKIP	Green	Others	Lead
26 Jun-4 Jul 2014	Ashcroft	1,000	27%	41%	4%	18%	10%	1%	14%
8-13 Apr 2014	Ashcroft	1,002	29%	43%	6%	12%	9%	1%	14%
6 May 2010	General Election Results	42,701	36.1%	35.2%	19.1%	4.4%	–	2.7%	0.8%

Lewes

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Con	Lab	LD	UKIP	Green	Others	Lead
7 May 2015	General Election Results	50,540	38.0%	9.9%	35.9%	10.7%	5.5%	-	2.1%
11-20 Nov 2014	Ashcroft	1,000	29%	9%	37%	15%	7%	2%	8%
6 May 2010	General Election Results	50,088	36.7%	5%	52%	3.4%	1.5%	1.4%	15.3%

Lincoln

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Lab	Con	LD	UKIP	Green	Others	Lead
14-21 Jul 2014	Ashcroft	1,000	39%	35%	6%	17%	3%	1%	4%
6 May 2010	General Election Results	45,721	35.2%	37.5%	20.2%	2.2%	-	4.8%	2.3%

Loughborough

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Con	Lab	LD	UKIP	Green	Others	Lead
31 Mar–3 Apr 2015	Ashcroft	1,000	45%	36%	3%	12%	3%	1%	9%
22-25 Oct 2014	Ashcroft	1,000	40%	37%	5%	12%	3%	3%	3%
6 May 2010	General Election Results	52,838	41.6%	34.5%	18.3%	1.8%	-	3.9%	7.1%

Manchester Withington

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Lab	Con	LD	UKIP	Green	Others	Lead
11–21 Jun 2014	Ashcroft	1,000	56%	7%	22%	4%	10%	1%	34%
6 May 2010	General Election Results	45,075	40.5%	11.1%	44.6%	1.5%	1.8%	0.4%	4.1%

Mid Dorset and North Poole

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Con	Lab	LD	UKIP	Green	Others	Lead
31 Jul–9 Aug 2014	Ashcroft	1,000	38%	8%	32%	19%	3%	1%	6%
12–18 May 2014	Ashcroft	1,000	39%	8%	32%	17%	3%	1%	7%
6 May 2010	General Election Results	46,788	44.5%	5.9%	45.1%	4.5%	-	-	0.6%

Milton Keynes South

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Con	Lab	LD	UKIP	Green	Others	Lead
7-10 Apr 2015	Ashcroft	1,000	37%	39%	8%	10%	4%	2%	2%
6 May 2010	General Election Results	55,333	41.6%	32.2%	17.7%	3.7%	1.4%	3.3%	9.4%

Morecambe and Lunesdale

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Con	Lab	LD	UKIP	Green	Others	Lead
1-4 Apr 2015	Ashcroft	1,000	36%	42%	5%	12%	5%	1%	6%
7-11 Jul 2014	Ashcroft	1,001	34%	37%	6%	18%	4%	2%	3%
14-20 Apr 2014	Ashcroft	1,000	37%	39%	5%	12%	3%	1%	2%
6 May 2010	General Election Results	43,436	41.5%	39.5%	13.3%	4.2%	1.4%	-	2%

Morley and Outwood

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Lab	Con	LD	UKIP	Green	Others	Lead
5–11 May 2014	Ashcroft	1,003	41%	24%	5%	20%	2%	8%	17%
6 May 2010	General Election Results	48,856	37.6%	35.3%	16.8%	3.1%	-	7.2%	2.3%

Newark

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Con	Lab	LD	UKIP	Others	Lead
5 Jun 2014	Newark by-election Result	38,707	45.0%	17.7%	3%	25.9%	8%	19%
2–3 Jun 2014	Survation	678	42%	22%	4%	27%	5%	15%
27 May–1 Jun 2014	Ashcroft (By-election polling)	1,000	42%	20%	6%	27%	5%	15%
27–28 May 2014	Survation/The Sun	606	36%	27%	5%	28%	5%	8%
6 May 2010	General Election Results	51,228	53.9%	22.3%	20.0%	3.8%	–	31.5%

Newton Abbot

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Lab	Con	LD	UKIP	Green	Others	Lead
5-12 Jun 2014	Ashcroft	1,000	13%	39%	20%	20%	7%	1%	19%
6 May 2010	General Election Results	48,283	7%	43%	41.9%	6.4%	1.5%	1.1%	1.1%

North Cornwall

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Con	Lab	LD	UKIP	Green	Others	Lead
24-29 Apr 2015	Ashcroft	1,002	36%	5%	38%	14%	5%	3%	2%
12-20 Mar 2015	Ashcroft	1,004	36%	6%	38%	13%	6%	1%	2%
15-20 Aug 2014	Ashcroft	1,000	33%	10%	33%	20%	3%	1%	Tied
26 May-1 Jun 2014	Ashcroft	1,001	31%	8%	31%	24%	5%	2%	Tied
6 May 2010	General Election Results	46,844	41.7%	4.2%	48.1%	4.9%	-	1.1%	6.4%

North Devon

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Con	Lab	LD	UKIP	Green	Others	Lead
24-26 Mar 2015	Ashcroft	1,001	38%	8%	31%	16%	6%	2%	7%
29 Oct-6 Nov 2014	Ashcroft	1,000	30%	9%	29%	23%	7%	2%	1%
6 May 2010	General Election Results	51,321	36%	7.2%	47.4%	7.2%	1.4%	2.8%	11.4%

North East Cambridgeshire

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Lab	Con	LD	UKIP	Green	Others	Lead
26 Jan–5 Feb 2015	Ashcroft	1,000	17%	46%	7%	25%	4%	1%	21%
6 May 2010	General Election Results	52,064	17.8%	51.6%	20%	5.4%	-	5.2%	31.6%

North East Somerset

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Lab	Con	LD	UKIP	Green	Others	Lead
7-11 April 2015	Ashcroft	1,001	28%	44%	9%	10%	8%	1%	16%
6 May 2010	General Election Results	51,203	31.7%	41.3%	22.3%	3.4%	1.3%	-	9.6%

North Warwickshire

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Lab	Con	LD	UKIP	Green	Others	Lead
18–28 Jun 2014	Ashcroft	1,000	41%	30%	2%	22%	2%	2%	11%
31 Mar–6 Apr 2014	Ashcroft	1,001	43%	35%	3%	15%	3%	1%	8%
6 May 2010	General Election Results	47,265	40.1%	40.2%	11.6%	2.8%	–	0.9%	0.1%

Norwich North

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Lab	Con	LD	UKIP	Green	Others	Lead
24-30 Apr 2015	Ashcroft	1,000	38%	36%	6%	12%	8%	1%	2%
4–12 Feb 2015	Ashcroft	1,000	35%	34%	5%	18%	10%	0%	1%
6 May 2010	General Election Results	42,573	31.4%	40.6%	18.3%	4.4%	2.9%	2.4%	9.2%

Norwich South

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Lab	Con	LD	UKIP	Green	Others	Lead
11–21 Jun 2014	Ashcroft	1,000	33%	18%	12%	15%	20%	1%	13%
6 May 2010	General Election Results	47,551	28.7%	22.9%	29.4%	2.4%	14.9%	1.7%	0.7%

Nuneaton

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Lab	Con	LD	UKIP	Green	BNP	Others	Lead
26 Feb-5 Mar 2015	Ashcroft	1,000	39%	34%	4%	14%	8%	–	1%	5%
24 Sep–3 Oct 2014	Ashcroft	1,000	39%	36%	3%	19%	2%	–	1%	3%
6 May 2010	General Election Results	44,646	36.9%	41.5%	15.3%	–	–	6.3%	-	4.6%

Oxford West and Abingdon

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Lab	Con	LD	UKIP	Green	Others	Lead
21–28 Aug 2014	Ashcroft	1,000	18%	38%	30%	9%	4%	<0.5%	8%
30 May–5 Jun 2014	Ashcroft	1,000	18%	36%	25%	11%	8%	1%	11%
6 May 2010	General Election Results	56,480	10.6%	42.3%	42.0%	2.7%	2.1%	0.3%	0.3%

Pendle

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Con	Lab	LD	UKIP	Green	Others	Lead
31 Mar–4 Apr 2015	Ashcroft	1,000	41%	37%	8%	10%	4%	1%	4%
8–14 Dec 2014	Ashcroft	1,000	36%	33%	11%	17%	2%	1%	3%
6 May 2010	General Election Results	45,045	38.9%	30.9%	20.2%	3.3%	–	6.7%	8.0%

Plymouth Moor View

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Lab	Con	LD	UKIP	Green	Others	Lead
15–23 Jul 2014	Ashcroft	506	35%	26%	5%	30%	2%	1%	5%
6 May 2010	General Election Results	41,526	37.2%	33.3%	16.9%	7.7%	1.0%	4.0%	3.8%

Plymouth Sutton & Devonport

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Lab	Con	LD	UKIP	Green	Others	Lead
15–23 Jul 2014	Ashcroft	506	39%	26%	6%	21%	8%	1%	8%
6 May 2010	General Election Results	43,894	31.7%	34.3%	24.7%	6.5%	2.1%	0.7%	2.6%

Portsmouth South

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Lab	Con	LD	UKIP	Green	Others	Lead
29 Oct–6 Nov 2014	Ashcroft	1,001	20%	30%	25%	17%	6%	1%	5%
6 May 2010	General Election Results	41,264	13.7%	33.3%	45.9%	2.1%	1.7%	3.4%	12.6%

Redcar

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Lab	Con	LD	UKIP	Green	Others	Lead
27 Aug–6 Sep 2014	Ashcroft	1,000	44%	12%	18%	23%	2%	1%	21%
17–19 Apr 2014	ICM/Lord Oakeshott	500	47%	15%	15%	19%	2%	2%	28%
6 May 2010	General Election Results	41,963	32.7%	13.8%	45.2%	4.5%	–	3.8%	12.5%

Rochester and Strood

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Con	Lab	LD	UKIP	Green	Others	Lead
15–22 April 2015	Ashcroft	1000	36%	24%	3%	33%	4%	1%	3%
20 Nov 2014	Rochester and Strood by-election Result	40,065	34.8%	16.8%	0.9%	42.1%	4.2%	2.2%	7.3%
7–10 Nov 2014	Ashcroft	543	36%	21%	2%	35%	5%	1%	1%
7–10 Nov 2014	Ashcroft (By-election polling)	543	32%	17%	2%	44%	4%^[d]	1%	12%
27–28 Oct 2014	Survation	1,012	33%	16%	1%	48%	1.7%	2%	15%
17–21 Oct 2014	ComRes^{[permanent dead link‍]}^[e]	949	30%	21%	3%	43%	2%	1%	13%
4 Oct 2014	Survation/Mail on Sunday	677	31%	25%	2%	40%	1%	0.4%	9%
6 May 2010	General Election Results	47,971	49.2%	28.5%	16.3%	–	1.5%	4.5%	20.7%

Rother Valley

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Con	Lab	UKIP	LD	Green	BNP	Others	Lead
24–29 Nov 2014	Ashcroft	480	18%	40%	34%	4%	3%	<0.5%	2%	6%
6 May 2010	General Election Results	46,768	28.4%	40.9%	5.6%	17.3%	–	7.7%	–	12.5%

Sheffield Hallam

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Lab	Con	LD	UKIP	Green	Others	Lead
4 May 2015	ICM/Guardian¹	501	35%	12%	42%	7%	3%	2%	7%
22–28 Apr 2015	Ashcroft	1,000	37%	15%	36%	7%	4%	1%	1%
22–28 Mar 2015	Ashcroft	1,001	36%	16%	34%	7%	6%	1%	2%
22–29 Jan 2015	Survation/Unite	1,011	33%	22%	23%	9%	12%	<0.5%	10%
20–22 Nov 2014	Ashcroft	962	30%	19%	27%^[f]	13%	10%	1%	3%
29 Apr–4 May 2014	ICM/Lord Oakeshott	500	33%	24%	23%	10%	8%	1%	9%
1–4 Oct 2010	Populus/Ashcroft	1,000	31%	28%	33%	N/A	N/A	8%	2%
6 May 2010	General Election Result	51,135	16.1%	23.5%	53.4%	2.3%	1.8%	2.7%	29.9%

¹: These figures represent the results when respondents were presented with named candidates. When asked to think only about the political parties [the methodology used by the Ashcroft polls] the figures showed a small Labour lead.^[4]

Solihull

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Lab	Con	LD	UKIP	Green	Others	Lead
31 Jul–10 Aug 2014	Ashcroft	1,000	12%	37%	28%	16%	6%	1%	9%
12–18 May 2014	Ashcroft	1,000	12%	37%	28%	16%	6%	1%	9%
6 May 2010	General Election Results	55,129	8.9%	42.6%	42.9%	2.2%	–	3.5%	0.3%

Southampton Itchen

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Lab	Con	LD	UKIP	Green	Others	Lead
24 Feb-7 Mar 2015	Ashcroft	1,000	35%	30%	7%	20%	8%	–	5%
6 May 2010	General Election Results	44,412	36.8%	36.3%	20.8%	4.3%	1.4%	0.4%	0.4%

South Basildon and East Thurrock

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Lab	Con	LD	UKIP	Green	Others	Lead
26 Jan–5 Feb 2015	Ashcroft	1,001	28%	35%	3%	29%	3%	1%	6%
6 May 2010	General Election Results	44,735	31.0%	43.9%	13.4%	5.9%	-	5.9%	12.9%

South Swindon

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Con	Lab	LD	UKIP	Green	Others	Lead
22–28 Apr 2015	Ashcroft	1,000	37%	36%	6%	16%	4%	-	1%
3–12 Mar 2015	Ashcroft	1,000	36%	35%	5%	19%	4%	2%	1%
1–6 Dec 2014	Ashcroft	508	34%	34%	7%	20%	4%	1%	Tied
6 May 2010	General Election Results	47,119	41.8%	34.3%	17.6%	4.3%	1.3%	0.7%	7.5%

South Thanet

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Con	Lab	UKIP	LD	Others	Lead
22-28 Apr 2015	Ashcroft	1,000	34%	26%	32%	3%	5%	2%
22 April 2015	Survation/Alan Bown ^[g]	1,057	30%	26%	39%	2%	3%	9%
13-18 March 2015	ComRes/Chartwell Political Archived 12 April 2015 at the Wayback Machine	1,003	31%	29%	30%	5%	5%	1%
18–20 Feb 2015	Survation/Alan Bown ^[g]	1,011	27%	28%	38%	2%	5%	10%
23–24 Nov 2014	Ashcroft	1,003	33%	27%	32%	4%	4%	1%
11–16 July 2014	Ashcroft	1,000	29%	29%	33%	4%	5%	4%
21–27 April 2014	Ashcroft	1,000	32%	31%	27%	7%	3%	1%
22–24 Nov 2013	Survation	515	28%	35%	30%	5%	2%	5%
6 May 2010	General Election Results	45,933	48.0%	31.4%	5.5%	15.1%	–	16.6%

South West Surrey

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Con	LD	UKIP	Lab	Green	Others	Lead
4–5 Dec 2014	Survation/Unite	587	57%	8%	15%	11%	7%	1%	42%
6 May 2010	General Election Results	57,259	58.7%	30.2%	2.6%	6.0%	1.2%	1.4%	28.5%

St Austell and Newquay

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Con	Lab	LD	UKIP	Green	Others	Lead
15 Mar 2015	Ashcroft	1002	32%	10%	26%	20%	6%	4%	6%
6–16 Aug 2014	Ashcroft	493	27%	13%	26%	25%	6%	3%	1%
19–25 May 2014	Ashcroft^[h]	473	32%	10%	24%	25%	4%	5%	7%
6 May 2010	General Election Results	47,238	40.0%	7.2%	42.7%	3.7%	–	6.4%	2.8%

Stevenage

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Lab	Con	LD	UKIP	Green	Others	Lead
8–13 Dec 2014	Ashcroft	497	38%	33%	7%	18%	3%	0%	5%
6 May 2010	General Election Results	44,651	33.4%	41.4%	16.6%	4.5%	–	4.1%	8.0%

Stockton South

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Con	Lab	LD	UKIP	Green	Others	Lead
31 Mar–4 Apr 2015	Ashcroft	1000	39%	44%	3%	9%	1%	3%	5%
6–12 Nov 2014	Survation/Unite	571	39.1%	36.5%	2.8%	18.2%	3.1%	0.2%	2.6%
26 Jun–4 Jul 2014	Ashcroft	521	35%	38%	4%	19%	2%	2%	3%
7–13 Apr 2014	Ashcroft	512	36%	43%	5%	12%	0%	3%	7%
6 May 2010	General Election Results	50,284	38.9%	38.3%	15.1%	2.9%	–	4.8%	0.6%

Stroud

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Con	Lab	LD	UKIP	Green	Others	Lead
11–16 Jul 2014	Ashcroft	561	30%	41%	6%	11%	11%	<0.5%	11%
6 May 2010	General Election Results	57,973	40.8%	38.6%	15.4%	2.2%	2.7%	0.2%	2.2%

Sutton and Cheam

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Lab	Con	LD	UKIP	Green	Others	Lead
6-16 August 2014	Ashcroft	1,000	11%	27%	45%	14%	3%	0%	18%
6 May 2010	General Election Results	48,508	7.0%	42.4%	45.7%	2.0%	0.5%	2.5%	3.3%

Thurrock

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Con	Lab	UKIP	LD	Others	Lead
7 May 2015	General Election Results	49,964	33.7%	32.6%	31.7%	1.3%	0.7%	1.1%
17-23 April 2015	Ashcroft	1,000	30%	31%	35%	1%	3%	4%
18–26 June 2014	Ashcroft	1,002	28%	30%	36%	2%	4%	6%
31 Mar–6 Apr 2014	Ashcroft	394	27%	37%	29%	4%	3%	8%
6 May 2010	General Election Results	45,822	36.8%	36.6%	7.4%	10.7%	8.5%	0.2%

Torbay

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Lab	Con	LD	UKIP	Green	Others	Lead
7 May 2015	General Election Results	48,079	8.7%	40.7%	33.8%	13.6%	3.2%	0.0%	6.9%
12-21 Mar 2015	Ashcroft	1,000	11%	33%	34%	17%	3%	1%	1%
27 Aug - 6 Sep 2014	Ashcroft	1,001	15%	30%	30%	21%	3%	1%	Tied
6 May 2010	General Election Results	49,210	6.6%	38.7%	47.0%	5.3%	1.0%	1.4%	8.3%

Twickenham

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Con	Lab	UKIP	LD	Green	BNP	Others	Lead
11-16 Apr 2014	ICM/Oakeshott	501	34%	23%	5%	32%	4%	1%	1%	2%
6 May 2010	General Election Results	59,721	34.1%	7.7%	1.5%	54.4%	1.1%	1.1%	0.2%	20.3%

Warwick & Leamington

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Con	Lab	LD	UKIP	Green	Others	Lead
1–6 Dec 2014	Ashcroft	534	38%	34%	7%	14%	7%	<0.5%	4%
6 May 2010	General Election Results	49,032	42.6%	35.4%	18.3%	1.9%	1.4%	0.4%	7.2%

Watford

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Con	Lab	LD	UKIP	Green	Others	Lead
7 May 2015	General Election Results	56,149	43.5%	26.0%	18.1%	9.8%	2.4%	0.3%	17.4%
11–20 Nov 2014	Ashcroft	525	30%	24%	28%	14%	3%	0%	2%
20–28 Aug 2014	Ashcroft	525	27%	29%	25%	14%	4%	1%	2%
19 May–6 Jun 2014	Ashcroft	524	29%	25%	24%	16%	6%	0%	4%
6 May 2010	General Election Results	55,208	34.9%	26.7%	32.4%	2.2%	1.6%	2.2%	2.6%

Weaver Vale

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Con	Lab	LD	UKIP	Green	Others	Lead
14-22 Jul 2014	Ashcroft	1,001	32%	41%	6%	18%	2%	1%	9%
6 May 2010	General Election Results	43,990	38.5%	36.3%	18.6%	2.3%	0.8%	3.4%	2.2%

Wirral West

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Con	Lab	LD	UKIP	Green	Others	Lead
24-30 Apr 2015	Ashcroft	1,000	43%	46%	3%	5%	2%	0%	3%
3–12 Mar 2015	Ashcroft	1,000	37%	42%	5%	10%	5%	1%	5%
22–26 Oct 2014	Ashcroft	1,000	38%	39%	6%	12%	4%	1%	1%
6 May 2010	General Election Results	39,372	42.5%	36.3%	16.8%	2.3%	–	2.1%	6.2%

Witney

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Con	LD	UKIP	Lab	Green	Others	Lead
2–4 Dec 2014	Survation/Unite	531	53%	4%	19%	16%	7%	1%	34%
6 May 2010	General Election Results	57,769	58.8%	19.4%	3.5%	13.0%	4.1%	1.2%	39.4%

Worcester

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Con	Lab	LD	UKIP	Green	BNP	Others	Lead
3–12 Mar 2015	Ashcroft	1,002	38%	33%	4%	15%	7%	–	2%	5%
13–19 Oct 2014	Ashcroft	1,002	34%	36%	5%	17%	7%	–	1%	2%
6 May 2010	General Election Results	48,974	39.5%	33.4%	19.4%	2.8%	1.5%	2.5%	0.7%	6.1%

Wyre Forest

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Con	Lab	LD	UKIP	Green	BNP	ICHC	Others	Lead
11–20 Nov 2014	Ashcroft	518	32%	16%	7%	27%	5%	<1%	-	13%	5%
6 May 2010	General Election Results	50,899	36.9%	14.3%	11.9%	2.9%	–	2.2%	31.7%	–	5.2%

Wythenshawe and Sale East

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Lab	UKIP	Con	LD	Others	Lead
13 Feb 2014	Wythenshawe by-election Result	23,961	55.3%	18.0%	14.5%	4.9%	7.3%	37.3%
3–5 Feb 2014	Ashcroft (By-election polling)	1,009	61%	15%	14%	5%	4%	46%
6 May 2010	General Election Results	40,751	44.1%	3.4%	25.6%	22.3%	4.6%	18.6%

Northern Ireland

Belfast East

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	DUP	APNI	UUP	PUP	TUV	SF	UKIP	Green	SDLP	Others	Lead
7 May 2015	General Election Results	39,682	49.3%	42.8%	–	–	–	2.1%	–	–	0.3%	2.8%	6.5%
12–28 Jan 2015	LucidTalk^{[permanent dead link‍]}	820	34.4%	28.7%	14.6%	6.5%	2.8%	1.8%	1.6%	1.5%	0.8%	7.5%	5.7%
6 May 2010	General Election Results	34,488	32.8%	37.2%	21.2%	–	5.4%	2.4%	–	–	1.1%	–	4.4%

Scotland

Airdrie and Shotts

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Con	Lab	LD	UKIP	Green	SNP	Others	Lead
7 May 2015	General Election Results	44,286	7.7%	34.1%	1.5%	2.5%	-	53.9%	0.3%	19.8%
14–22 Jan 2015	Ashcroft	1,000	7%	39%	1%	5%	1%	47%	0%	8%
6 May 2010	General Election Results	35,849	8.7%	58.2%	8.1%	–	–	23.5%	1.5%	34.6%

Ayr, Carrick and Cumnock

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Con	Lab	LD	UKIP	Green	SNP	Others	Lead
7 May 2015	General Election Results	52,209	19.8%	27.3%	1.6%	2.5%	-	48.8%	-	21.6%
10–19 Feb 2015	Ashcroft	1,000	21%	31%	2%	3%	0%	42%	1%	11%
6 May 2010	General Election Results	45,893	25.5%	47.1%	9.3%	–	–	18.0%	–	21.6%

Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Con	Lab	LD	UKIP	Green	SNP	Others	Lead
7 May 2015	General Election Results	55,038	36.0%	4.9%	18.7%	2.4%	1.1%	36.6%	0.2%	0.6%
13-16 Apr 2015	Ashcroft	1,001	30%	9%	28%	3%	1%	29%	0%	1%
6 May 2010	General Election Results	40,014	33.8%	10.2%	45.4%	1.2%	–	9.2%	0.3%	11.6%

Coatbridge, Chryston and Bellshill

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Con	Lab	LD	UKIP	Green	SNP	Others	Lead
7 May 2015	General Election Results	50,698	6.3%	33.9%	1.1%	2.1%	-	56.6%	-	22.7%
7–17 Jan 2015	Ashcroft	1,001	6%	43%	1%	3%	1%	46%	1%	3%
6 May 2010	General Election Results	41,635	8.1%	66.6%	8.5%	–	–	16.8%	–	49.8%

Cumbernauld, Kilsyth and Kirkintilloch East

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Con	Lab	LD	UKIP	Green	SNP	Others	Lead
7 May 2015	General Election Results	49,382	7.9%	30.0%	2.2%	-	-	59.9%	-	29.9%
14–22 Jan 2015	Ashcroft	1,000	6%	34%	2%	3%	3%	52%	1%	18%
6 May 2010	General Election Results	41,150	8.3%	57.2%	9.5%	–	–	23.8%	1.2%	33.3%

Dumfries and Galloway

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Con	Lab	LD	UKIP	Green	SNP	Others	Lead
7 May 2015	General Election Results	55,432	29.9%	24.7%	1.7%	2.3%	–	41.4%	–	11.5%
19–26 Feb 2015	Ashcroft	1,002	30%	28%	2%	4%	2%	34%	0%	4%
6 May 2010	General Election Results	52,173	31.6%	45.9%	8.8%	1.3%	–	12.3%	–	14.3%

Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and Tweeddale

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Con	Lab	LD	UKIP	Green	SNP	Others	Lead
7 May 2015	General Election Results	52,134	39.8%	14.8%	2.7%	2.8%	1.6%	38.3%	-	1.5%
24-29 Apr 2015	Ashcroft	1,000	31%	17%	5%	4%	2%	42%	-	11%
9-15 Apr 2015	Ashcroft	1,000	34%	20%	4%	2%	2%	36%	1%	2%
10–19 Feb 2015	Ashcroft	1,001	34%	18%	7%	4%	2%	34%	1%	Tied
6 May 2010	General Election Results	45,892	38.0%	28.9%	19.8%	1.4%	1.1%	10.8%	–	9.1%

Dundee West

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Con	Lab	LD	UKIP	Green	SNP	Others	Lead
7 May 2015	General Election Results	44,714	8.6%	23.7%	2.4%	-	2.7%	61.9%	0.7%	38.2%
23–30 Jan 2015	Ashcroft	1,000	6%	25%	3%	2%	5%	59%	0%	34%
6 May 2010	General Election Results	37,126	9.3%	48.5%	11.4%	–	–	28.9%	1.9%	19.6%

East Dunbartonshire

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Con	Lab	LD	UKIP	Green	SNP	Others	Lead
7 May 2015	General Election Results	54,871	8.6%	12.3%	36.3%	1.0%	1.5%	40.3%	-	4.0%
10-16 Apr 2015	Ashcroft	1,000	12%	16%	29%	1%	1%	40%	0%	11%
6 May 2010	General Election Results	47,948	15.5%	34.1%	38.7%	1.1%	–	10.5%	-	4.6%

East Renfrewshire

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Con	Lab	LD	UKIP	Green	SNP	Lead
7 May 2015	General Election Results	56,825	21.9%	34.0%	1.8%	1.6%	–	40.6%	6.5%
24-30 Apr 2015	Ashcroft	1,000	20%	36%	3%	1%	1%	39%	3%
11-16 Apr 2015	Ashcroft	1,002	25%	31%	3%	1%	1%	40%	9%
16–26 Feb 2015	Ashcroft	1,000	26%	34%	2%	1%	3%	33%	1%
6 May 2010	General Election Results	51,181	30.4%	50.8%	9.2%	0.7%	–	8.9%	20.4%

Edinburgh North and Leith

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Con	Lab	LD	UKIP	Green	SNP	Others	Lead
14 - 17 Apr 2015	Ashcroft	1,000	14%	29%	6%	1%	6%	43%	0%	14%
6 May 2010	General Election Results	47,356	14.9%	37.5%	33.8%	–	2.2%	9.6%	1.6%	3.5%

Edinburgh South

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Con	Lab	LD	UKIP	Green	SNP	Others	Lead
13 - 17 Apr 2015	Ashcroft	1,000	16%	34%	8%	1%	4%	37%	1%	3%
6 May 2010	General Election Results	43,801	21.6%	34.7%	34.0%	–	2.0%	7.7%	-	0.7%

Edinburgh South West

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Con	Lab	LD	UKIP	Green	SNP	Others	Lead
11–19 Feb 2015	Ashcroft	1,000	19%	27%	4%	2%	7%	40%	0%	13%
6 May 2010	General Election Results	45,462	24.3%	42.8%	18.0%	–	1.9%	12.2%	0.8%	18.6%

Glasgow Central

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Con	Lab	LD	UKIP	Green	SNP	Others	Lead
5–10 Jan 2015	Ashcroft	1,000	5%	35%	3%	3%	7%	45%	2%	10%
6 May 2010	General Election Results	30,572	7.1%	52.0%	16.4%	0.8%	2.6%	17.5%	3.6%	34.5%

Glasgow East

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Con	Lab	LD	UKIP	Green	SNP	Others	Lead
5–8 Jan 2015	Ashcroft	1,001	4%	37%	1%	4%	2%	51%	2%	14%
6 May 2010	General Election Results	32,164	4.5%	61.6%	5.0%	0.6%	–	24.7%	3.5%	36.8%

Glasgow North

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Con	Lab	LD	UKIP	Green	SNP	Others	Lead
5–10 Jan 2015	Ashcroft	1,001	5%	33%	4%	1%	11%	45%	1%	12%
6 May 2010	General Election Results	29,613	7.1%	44.5%	31.3%	–	3.2%	11.9%	2.0%	13.2%

Glasgow North East

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Con	Lab	LD	UKIP	Green	SNP	Others	Lead
5–8 Jan 2015	Ashcroft	1,001	4%	46%	1%	5%	4%	39%	1%	7%
6 May 2010	General Election Results	29,409	5.3%	68.3%	7.7%	–	–	14.1%	4.4%	54.2%

Glasgow North West

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Con	Lab	LD	UKIP	Green	SNP	Others	Lead
7–17 Jan 2015	Ashcroft	1,000	7%	38%	3%	2%	5%	44%	1%	6%
6 May 2010	General Election Results	35,582	9.9%	54.1%	15.8%	–	2.5%	15.3%	2.5%	38.3%

Glasgow South

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Con	Lab	LD	UKIP	Green	SNP	Others	Lead
7–16 Jan 2015	Ashcroft	1,001	9%	33%	2%	3%	3%	48%	1%	15%
6 May 2010	General Election Results	40,094	11.5%	51.7%	11.8%	–	2.4%	20.1%	2.5%	31.6%

Glasgow South West

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Con	Lab	LD	UKIP	Green	SNP	Others	Lead
11-16 Apr 2015	Ashcroft	1,003	6%	34%	2%	3%	1%	55%	1%	21%
7–15 Jan 2015	Ashcroft	1,000	4%	42%	2%	5%	2%	45%	1%	3%
6 May 2010	General Election Results	31,781	6.6%	62.5%	9.0%	–	–	16.3%	5.5%	46.2%

Gordon

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Con	Lab	LD	UKIP	Green	SNP	Others	Lead
22–29 Jan 2015	Ashcroft	1,002	11%	14%	26%	4%	1%	43%	1%	17%
6 May 2010	General Election Results	48,775	18.7%	20.1%	36.0%	–	1.5%	22.2%	1.4%	13.8%

Inverness, Nairn, Badenoch and Strathspey

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Con	Lab	LD	UKIP	Green	SNP	Others	Lead
20–29 Jan 2015	Ashcroft	1,000	10%	13%	21%	4%	1%	50%	1%	29%
23–26 May 2014	ICM/Oakeshott	500	12%	25%	16%	7%	4%	32%	3%	7%
6 May 2010	General Election Results	47,086	13.3%	22.1%	40.7%	1.2%	1.7%	18.7%	2.5%	18.6%

Kirkcaldy and Cowdenbeath

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Con	Lab	LD	UKIP	Green	SNP	Others	Lead
19–26 Feb 2015	Ashcroft	1,000	7%	39%	3%	3%	3%	45%	0%	6%
6 May 2010	General Election Results	45,802	9.3%	64.5%	9.3%	1.7%	–	14.3%	0.9%	50.2%

Motherwell and Wishaw

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Con	Lab	LD	UKIP	Green	SNP	Others	Lead
14–22 Jan 2015	Ashcroft	1,000	5%	39%	1%	3%	1%	50%	1%	11%
6 May 2010	General Election Results	39,123	9.4%	61.1%	9.8%	–	–	18.2%	1.6%	42.9%

North East Fife

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Con	Lab	LD	UKIP	Green	SNP	Others	Lead
10-16 Apr 2015	Ashcroft	1,000	16%	9%	30%	4%	1%	43%	1%	13%
6 May 2010	General Election Results	40,064	21.8%	17.1%	44.3%	2.6%	-	14.2%	-	22.6%

Paisley and Renfrewshire South

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Con	Lab	LD	UKIP	Green	SNP	Others	Lead
7 May 2015	General Election Results	46,226	7.6%	38.6%	2.2%	–	–	50.9%	0.6%	12.3%
11-16 Apr 2015	Ashcroft	1,005	6%	39%	1%	2%	1%	50%	1%	11%
22–29 Jan 2015	Ashcroft	1,000	6%	40%	2%	1%	2%	48%	1%	8%
6 May 2010	General Election Results	39,998	9.9%	59.6%	9.5%	–	–	18.1%	2.9%	41.5%

Ross, Skye and Lochaber

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Con	Lab	LD	UKIP	Green	SNP	Others	Lead
9-15 Apr 2015	Ashcroft	1,000	7%	6%	33%	2%	3%	48%	1%	15%
16–26 Feb 2015	Ashcroft	1,001	8%	9%	35%	2%	5%	40%	1%	5%
6 May 2010	General Election Results	34,838	12.2%	15.1%	52.6%	1.9%	2.2%	15.1%	0.8%	37.5%

West Aberdeenshire and Kincardine

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Con	Lab	LD	UKIP	Green	SNP	Others	Lead
11–19 Feb 2015	Ashcroft	1,001	25%	10%	20%	3%	2%	39%	0%	14%
6 May 2010	General Election Results	45,195	30.3%	13.6%	38.4%	0.9%	–	15.7%	1.1%	8.1%

West Dunbartonshire

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Con	Lab	LD	UKIP	Green	SNP	Others	Lead
14–22 Jan 2015	Ashcroft	1,000	6%	38%	1%	4%	2%	47%	1%	9%
6 May 2010	General Election Results	42,266	7.7%	61.3%	8.1%	1.6%	–	20.1%	1.2%	41.2%

Wales

Brecon and Radnorshire

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Plaid	Lab	Con	LD	UKIP	Green	Others	Lead
27 Oct–1 Nov 2014	Ashcroft	553	8%	15%	27%	31%	17%	2%	0%	4%
6 May 2010	General Election Results	38,845	2.5%	10.5%	36.5%	46.2%	2.3%	0.9%	1.1%	9.6%

Cardiff Central

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Plaid	Lab	Con	LD	UKIP	Green	Others	Lead
19–22 Sep 2014	Ashcroft	542	9%	36%	17%	24%	9%	5%	<0.5%	12%
6 May 2010	General Election Results	36,151	3.4%	28.8%	21.6%	41.4%	2.1%	1.6%	1.0%	12.6%

Cardiff North

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Plaid	Lab	Con	LD	UKIP	Green	Others	Lead
18–27 Jun 2014	Ashcroft	1,000	7%	41%	30%	6%	12%	3%	1%	11%
31 Mar–6 Apr 2014	Ashcroft	461	7%	41%	34%	8%	8%	1%	<0.5%	7%
6 May 2010	General Election Results	47,630	3.3%	37.1%	37.5%	18.3%	2.4%	0.8%	0.6%	0.4%

Carmarthen West and South Pembrokeshire

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Plaid	Lab	Con	LD	UKIP	Green	Others	Lead
8–13 Dec 2014	Ashcroft	515	16%	29%	33%	4%	14%	3%	1%	4%
6 May 2010	General Election Results	40,507	10.4%	32.7%	41.1%	12.1%	2.8%	–	0.9%	8.5%

Vale of Glamorgan

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Plaid	Lab	Con	LD	UKIP	Green	Others	Lead
2–12 Feb 2015	Ashcroft	532	12%	32%	38%	4%	10%	3%	1%	6%
6 May 2010	General Election Results	48,667	5.5%	32.9%	41.8%	15.2%	3.1%	0.9%	0.5%	8.8%

Multiple constituency polling

Some polls are carried out in specified subsets of marginal constituencies. Most of the polls for Michael Ashcroft were compilations of polls in individual constituencies.

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	No of Seats surveyed	Incumbents by party	Sample size	Con	Lab	UKIP	LD	Green	Others
1–14 Dec 2014	Ashcroft	8	8 Con	8,000	36%	35%	14%	6%	5%^[i]	2%
20–29 Nov 2014	Ashcroft	4	4 Lab	4,002	22%	37%	33%	5%	2%^[j]	1%
15–24 Nov 2014	ComRes/ITV News^{[permanent dead link‍]}	40	25 Con, 15 Lab	743	31%	39%	18%	7%	4%	<0.5%
2–27 Oct 2014	Ashcroft	12	12 Con	12,008	32%	35%	23%	5%	4%	1%
10 Sep–3 Oct 2014	Ashcroft	11	11 Con	11,002	32%	38%	18%	5%	5%	1%
18–26 Sep 2014	ComRes/ITV News^{[permanent dead link‍]}	40	25 Con, 15 Lab	766	30%	41%	17%	6%	5%	2%
31 Jul–14 Sep 2014	Ashcroft	5	5 LibDem	5,000	15%	38%	10%	28%	6%	3%
31 Jul–6 Sep 2014	Ashcroft	17	2 Con, 15 LibDem	8,909	32%	13%	17%	32%	4%	1%
11 Jul–11 Aug 2014	Ashcroft	8	8 Con	8,005	30%	40%	8%	17%	5%	1%
11 Jul–11 Aug 2014	Ashcroft	4	4 Lab	4,001	30%	43%	9%	13%	4%	1%
18 Jun–16 Jul 2014	Ashcroft	14	14 Con	14,004	31%	38%	4%	21%	4%	2%
18–25 Jun 2014	ComRes/ITV News^{[permanent dead link‍]}	40	25 Con, 15 Lab	795	31%	36%	17%	7%	6%	3%
11–22 Jun 2014	Ashcroft	4	4 LD	1,963	12%	47%	10%	19%	9%	2%
11 May–14 Jun 2014	Ashcroft	17	6 Con, 11 LibDem	8,728	33%	14%	18%	28%	6%^[d]	1%
15–20 May 2014	ComRes/Independent^{[permanent dead link‍]}	40	25 Con, 15 Lab	1,030	33% (−4)	35% (−2)	17% (+14)	8% (−10)	4%	2%
31 Mar–18 May 2014	Ashcroft	26	14 Con, 12 Lab	26,025	29%	41%	18%	8%		4%
1 Aug–5 Sep 2013	Ashcroft	40	40 Con	12,809	30%	35%	12%	13%		10%

Explanatory notes

The Lord Ashcroft polls typically ask two voting intention questions, with the second question asking the respondent to think "specifically about your own constituency and the candidates who are likely to stand there".^[2] This latter question is reported in the tables above.

Most polling companies are members of the British Polling Council and abide by its disclosure rules; however, Michael Ashcroft, who commissioned many of these polls, is not a BPC member, despite having been invited to join. However, he contracts the conduct of his polls to BPC members.^[5]

Notes

^ ^a ^b Percentages for UKIP/Others based on a table that does not adjust for don't know/refusers
^ Percentage for Greens based on a table that does not adjust for don't know/refusers
^ Percentages for UKIP/Green/Others based on a table that does not adjust for don't know/refusers
^ ^a ^b Based on a table that does not adjust for don't know/refusers
^ By-election polling
^ This poll originally, erroneously, showed a small lead for the LDs: see http://lordashcroftpolls.com/2015/02/sheffield-hallam-doncaster-north-thanet-south/#more-7536
^ ^a ^b Candidates named in the poll.
^ Share for Greens based on a table that did not further prompt "don't know" and refusers.
^ Based on a mean of the (non-aggregated) shares of 3%, 9%, 3%, 3%, 3%, 5%, 3% and 7% in the eight constituencies
^ Based on non-aggregated shares of 3%, 2%, 2% and 2% in the four constituencies

References

^ Patrick Wintour (19 February 2015). "Lib Dem polling brings hope of future coalition role". The Guardian.
^ ^a ^b "Introducing the New Statesman Political Index: Lib Dems to win at least 30 seats". New Statesman. 8 June 2021.
^ "Ed Miliband and Doncaster North: a correction (and apology) – Lord Ashcroft Polls". lordashcroftpolls.com. Archived from the original on 2 December 2014. Retrieved 2 December 2014.
^ Sheffield Hallam Constituency Poll for The Guardian Archived 7 May 2015 at the Wayback Machine - ICM Media Centre, 4 May 2015
^ "Sheffield Hallam, Doncaster North and Thanet South". Michael Ashcroft. Archived from the original on 9 February 2015. Retrieved 7 February 2015."Minutes of the Annual General Meeting 2013". British Polling Council. Archived from the original on 19 May 2014. Retrieved 19 May 2014.

^P – The dates when the fieldwork for this poll was carried out is unknown, therefore the date of publication has been given.

External links

Ipsos Mori archive of all pollsters' polls
British Polling Council
Electoral Calculus
UK Polling Report Blog
- UK Polling Report – 2015 Election Guide Archived 21 March 2015 at the Wayback Machine
ICM Polls
Populus Polls
Political Polls
ComRes Polls
Angus Reid Public Opinion^[usurped]

[UKIPO-4] Percentages for UKIP/Others based on a table that does not adjust for don't know/refusers

[5] Percentage for Greens based on a table that does not adjust for don't know/refusers

[6] Percentages for UKIP/Green/Others based on a table that does not adjust for don't know/refusers

[dunno-7] Based on a table that does not adjust for don't know/refusers

[8] By-election polling

[9] This poll originally, erroneously, showed a small lead for the LDs: see http://lordashcroftpolls.com/2015/02/sheffield-hallam-doncaster-north-thanet-south/#more-7536

[named-11] Candidates named in the poll.

[12] Share for Greens based on a table that did not further prompt "don't know" and refusers.

[13] Based on a mean of the (non-aggregated) shares of 3%, 9%, 3%, 3%, 3%, 5%, 3% and 7% in the eight constituencies

[14] Based on non-aggregated shares of 3%, 2%, 2% and 2% in the four constituencies

[1] Patrick Wintour (19 February 2015). "Lib Dem polling brings hope of future coalition role". The Guardian.

[newstatesman.com-2] "Introducing the New Statesman Political Index: Lib Dems to win at least 30 seats". New Statesman. 8 June 2021.

[3] "Ed Miliband and Doncaster North: a correction (and apology) – Lord Ashcroft Polls". lordashcroftpolls.com. Archived from the original on 2 December 2014. Retrieved 2 December 2014.

[10] Sheffield Hallam Constituency Poll for The Guardian Archived 7 May 2015 at the Wayback Machine - ICM Media Centre, 4 May 2015

[15] "Sheffield Hallam, Doncaster North and Thanet South". Michael Ashcroft. Archived from the original on 9 February 2015. Retrieved 7 February 2015."Minutes of the Annual General Meeting 2013". British Polling Council. Archived from the original on 19 May 2014. Retrieved 19 May 2014.

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