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2024 Croatian presidential election

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2024 Croatian presidential election

← 2019–20 29 December 2024
 
Nominee Zoran Milanović Dragan Primorac Marija Selak Raspudić
Party Independent
(SDP)[a]
Independent[b] Independent

 
Nominee Mislav Kolakušić Ivana Kekin Miro Bulj
Party PiP Možemo! Most

Incumbent President

Zoran Milanović
Independent[c]



A presidential election is scheduled to be held in Croatia on 29 December 2024, with a second round on 12 January 2025 if no candidate receives a majority.[11] Incumbent president Zoran Milanović is eligible for a second term. His first term began on 19 February 2020 and will end on 18 February 2025.[12]

Background

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A presidential election will be held in the super-election year of 2024 during which voters in Croatia had also voted for the Croatian Parliament in April and European Parliament in June.[13]

The first round was planned for December 2024, but on 15 March 2024 incumbent president Zoran Milanović announced he would run as a candidate of the Social Democratic Party of Croatia (SDP) for the position of prime minister.[14] During this press conference, he also revealed he would tend his resignation as the president only in case of a parliamentary election victory on 17 April 2024.[15] If he would have become the next prime minister, the first round of the presidential election would have had to be held no later than 16 June 2024. However, since the Rivers of Justice coalition secured only 42 seats in the election, Milanović continued to hold the office of president.

On 20 November 2024, prime minister Andrej Plenković announced that the presidential election would be held on 29 December, which is subject to a vote by the Croatian Parliament on 21 November.[16]

Electoral system

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The president of Croatia is directly elected by secret ballot to a term of five years using the two-round system, with presidents limited to two full terms in office. The constitution requires that a presidential election be held no sooner than 60 days and no later than 30 days before the expiration of the incumbent president's term. An absolute majority (50% + 1 vote) of all votes cast (including invalid, blank and uncast ballots) is required to win in the first round. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a second-round is to be held fourteen days later, with the two candidates with the highest number of votes in the first round taking part. The candidate who receives the highest number of votes in the second round (a majority of valid votes cast) is declared the winner. If one of the candidates who has qualified for the second round were to withdraw their candidacy or die, the candidate with the next highest number of votes in the first round takes their place in the second round.[17]

In order for a potential candidate to be allowed to contest the elections and have their name placed on the ballot, they must gather at least 10,000 signatures from eligible voters, with every signatory being permitted to give their signature to only one potential candidate. The timeframe for collecting the said number of signatures is set at twelve days, and after the expiry of this period potential candidates must submit them to the State Electoral Commission for verification.[18]

Candidates

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Declared candidates

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Potential candidates

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  • Davorko Vidović (SD), President of the Social Democrats, Leader of the Opposition (2022–2024)

Declined to be candidates

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These individuals have been the subject of presidential speculation, but have publicly denied or recanted interest in running for president.

Opinion polls

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First round

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Date Polling Firm Milanović Primorac Selak Raspudić Kekin Kolakušić Jonjić Weiss Tokić Kartelo Keleminec Lozo Bulj Stier Penava Petrov Undecided / none Lead
26 Nov 2024 Karolina Vidović Krišto (OiP) officially announces her candidacy.
25 Nov 2024 IPSOS 35.1 24.5 8.0 6.8 - - - - - - 3.9 - - - 13.4 10.6
23 Nov 2024 Ava Karabatić (Independent ) officially announces her candidacy.
21 Nov 2024 Promocija plus 36.8 22.0 9.0 7.5 1.5 1.6 0.2 0.4 0.3 2.1 4.3 - - - 14.1 14.8
11 Nov 2024 Anton Filić (Independent) officially announces his candidacy.
9 Nov 2024 Promocija plus 38.3 21.3 10.0 7.6 1.1 0.9 1.3 0.6 0.6 - 3.8 - - - 14.4 17.0
3 Nov 2024 Croelecto 35.8 23.2 10.3 7.2 1.9 2.8 - - - 3.0 2.9 - - - - 13.5
25 Oct 2024 IPSOS 37.0 25.8 7.8 5.8 3.3 - - - - - 3.0 - - - 14.4 11.2
21 Oct 2024 Promocija plus 36.5 23.9 9.4 7.1 1.6 1.4 0.4 - 0.4 3.1 2.9 - - - 12.1 12.6
8 Oct 2024 Miro Bulj (MOST) officially announces his candidacy.
30 Sep 2024 Croelecto 42.5 25.4 12.1 6.8 - - - 3.5 - - - - - - 8.9 17.1
28 Sep 2024 Branka Lozo (DOMiNO) officially announces her candidacy.
21 Sep 2024 Dražen Keleminec (A-HSP) officially announces his candidacy.
11 Sep 2024 Aurora Weiss (Independent) officially announces her candidacy.
10 Sep 2024 Ivana Kekin (We Can!) officially announces her candidacy.
7 Sep 2024 Promocija plus 36.3 21.2 8.2 4.8 1.2 1.3 - - - - - - 4.3 4.6 15.5 15.1
4 Aug 2024 IPSOS 32.0 28.0 20.0 9.0 - - - - - - - - - - 13.0 4.0
02 Aug 2024 Niko Tokić Kartelo (Ind.) officially announces his candidacy.
30 Jul 2024 Dragan Primorac (Ind.) officially announces his candidacy and endorsed by HDZ.
22 Jul 2024 Marija Selak Raspudić (Ind.) officially announces her candidacy.
6 Jul 2024 Promocija plus 35.9 7.7 7.3 5.9 2.4 - - - - - - 15.4 5.7 4.0 12.0 20.5
26 Jun 2024 Zoran Milanović (incumbent president) officially announces his candidacy.
23 May 2024 Tomislav Jonjić (HSP) officially announces his candidacy.
23 Apr 2024 Mislav Kolakušić (PiP) officially announces his candidacy.

Second round

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Milanović vs Stier

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Date Polling Firm Milanović Stier Undecided / none Lead
6 Jul 2024 Promocija plus 54.2 31.6 8.6 22.6

Milanović vs Primorac

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Date Polling Firm Milanović Primorac Undecided / none Lead
25 Nov 2024 IPSOS 53.5 30.3 10.0 23.2
21 Nov 2024 Promocija plus 52.0 33.1 7.7 18.9
9 Nov 2024 Promocija plus 53.9 30.2 8.0 23.7
25 Oct 2024 IPSOS PULS 51.0 35.6 8.8 15.4
21 Sep 2024 Promocija plus 52.6 33.9 7.4 18.7
7 Sep 2024 Promocija plus 48.3 34.0 10.3 14.3
4 Aug 2024 IPSOS 49.0 40.0 11.0 9.0

Milanović vs Selak Raspudić

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Date Polling Firm Milanović Selak Raspudić Undecided / none Lead
25 Nov 2024 IPSOS PULS 47.7 31.9 13.4 15.8
25 Oct 2024 IPSOS PULS 50.0 28.5 11.0 21.5

Selak Raspudić vs Primorac

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Date Polling Firm Selak Raspudić Primorac Undecided / none Lead
25 Nov 2024 IPSOS PULS 45.7 29.6 14.0 16.1
25 Oct 2024 IPSOS PULS 38.1 35.3 15.3 2.8

See also

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Notes

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  1. ^ Endorsed by SDP,[1] HSS,[2] NS-R,[3] NPS,[4] SU,[5] BUZ,[6] Centre, IDS and DO i SIP
  2. ^ Endorsed by HDZ,[7] HSU,[8] HDS,[9] DP,[10] HSLS and HNS
  3. ^ Milanović was elected in the 2019–2020 election as the candidate of the SDP. However, under Article 96 of the Constitution of Croatia, sitting presidents are prohibited from holding party memberships for the duration of their term. As a result, he will stand as an independent candidate, albeit with informal SDP affiliation.

References

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  1. ^ "Grbin potvrdio da će Milanović biti SDP-ov kandidat za predsjednika". Net.hr (in Croatian). 29 June 2024. Retrieved 30 June 2024.
  2. ^ a b "Jutarnji list - HSS podržao kandidaturu Milanovića u za još jedan mandat na Pantovčaku". www.jutarnji.hr (in Croatian). 2 July 2024. Retrieved 2 July 2024.
  3. ^ "Čačićevi Reformisti dali podršku Milanoviću na izborima za predsjednika". Index.hr (in Croatian). Retrieved 30 June 2024.
  4. ^ Uzinić, Silvana (1 July 2024). "Tko će podržati Milanovića i zašto u Saboru prijedlozi bivše 'mostovke' ekspresno dolaze na dnevni red?" [Who will support Milanović and why are the proposals of the former "mostovka" on the agenda in Parliament?]. Slobodna Dalmacija (in Croatian). Retrieved 5 July 2024.
  5. ^ "Stranka umirovljenika podržala Milanovića, on obećao da će "glasno govoriti"". www.index.hr (in Croatian). Retrieved 16 September 2024.
  6. ^ a b "BUZ - Podržat ćemo Zorana Milanovića na izborima". 17 September 2024. Retrieved 31 October 2024.
  7. ^ "Primorac objavio kandidaturu za predsjednika RH, HDZ mu dao potporu". vijesti.hrt.hr (in Croatian). Retrieved 7 September 2024.
  8. ^ Špiljak, Lucija (1 August 2024). "HSU podržao kandidaturu Dragana Primorca: 'Postao je meta napada i omalovažavanja'" [HSU supported Dragan Primorc's candidacy: 'He became the target of attacks and disparagement']. tportal (in Croatian). Retrieved 1 August 2024.
  9. ^ "Zekanović podržao Primorca: On je čovjek koji može pobijediti Milanovića" [Zekanović supported Primorac: He is the man who can defeat Milanović]. HRT (in Croatian). 1 August 2024. Retrieved 1 August 2024.
  10. ^ "Penava otkrio koga će DP podržati na predsjedničkim izborima" [Penava revealed who DP will support in the presidential elections]. Index.hr (in Croatian). 16 September 2024. Retrieved 16 September 2024.
  11. ^ "Election Calendar". State Electoral Commission of the Republic of Croatia.
  12. ^ "Croatia". FAO. Retrieved 7 October 2023.
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  14. ^ "Milanović ide na izbore sa SDP-om: Bit će kandidat za premijera" [Milanović is going to the elections with SDP: He will be a candidate for prime minister]. Dnevnik.hr (in Croatian). 15 March 2024. Retrieved 16 March 2024.
  15. ^ "Oglasio se Milanović nakon šokantne objave: Otkrio kada će odstupiti s mjesta predsjednika" [Milanović spoke after the shocking announcement: Revealed when he will step down as president]. Dnevnik.hr (in Croatian). 15 March 2024. Retrieved 15 March 2024.
  16. ^ "Croatia to hold a presidential election on Dec. 29". Associated Press. 20 November 2024. Retrieved 20 November 2024.
  17. ^ Važniji propisi Archived 2016-12-13 at the Wayback Machine Croatian Parliament (in Croatian)
  18. ^ "Bliže se predsjednički izbori! Ovo su datumi koje morate znati" [The presidential election is getting near! These are the dates you have to know.] (in Croatian). Dnevnik.hr. 20 November 2014. Retrieved 22 December 2018.
  19. ^ "Grbin potvrdio da će Milanović biti SDP-ov kandidat za predsjednika". Net.hr (in Croatian). 29 June 2024. Retrieved 30 June 2024.
  20. ^ "Čačićevi Reformisti dali podršku Milanoviću na izborima za predsjednika". Index.hr (in Croatian). Retrieved 30 June 2024.
  21. ^ Uzinić, Silvana (1 July 2024). "Tko će podržati Milanovića i zašto u Saboru prijedlozi bivše 'mostovke' ekspresno dolaze na dnevni red?" [Who will support Milanović and why are the proposals of the former "mostovka" on the agenda in Parliament?]. Slobodna Dalmacija (in Croatian). Retrieved 5 July 2024.
  22. ^ "Stranka umirovljenika podržala Milanovića, on obećao da će "glasno govoriti"". www.index.hr (in Croatian). Retrieved 16 September 2024.
  23. ^ "Centar će na predsjedničkim izborima podržati Milanovića" [Centre will endorse Milanović in the presidential elections]. vijesti.hrt.hr (in Croatian). HRT. 22 October 2024. Retrieved 3 November 2024.
  24. ^ "Slobodna Dalmacija - Milanović sigurno ide na drugi mandat, neće se odreći mogućnosti da još jednom pobijedi HDZ. Tko bi mu mogao parirati?". slobodnadalmacija.hr. 13 August 2023. Retrieved 8 December 2023.
  25. ^ "VIDEO Zorana Milanovića novinari pitali planira li po novi mandat, pogledajte što im je odgovorio". Dnevnik.hr. Retrieved 8 December 2023.
  26. ^ "Milanović upravo objavio: "Idem na izbore, ovo su moji aduti"". dnevnik.hr (in Croatian). Nova TV. 26 June 2024. Retrieved 26 June 2024.
  27. ^ "Mislav Kolakušić kandidirat će se na predsjedničkim izborima: "Rekao je da više nema što raditi s Domovinskim pokretom"" [Mislav Kolakušić will run in the presidential elections: "He said that he has nothing to do with the Homeland Movement anymore"]. Dnevnik.hr (in Croatian). 23 April 2024. Retrieved 23 April 2024.
  28. ^ a b c "IZJASNILI SE Hrvatski suverenisti podržavaju čak troje predsjedničkih kandidata. Evo o kome je riječ". nacional.hr (in Croatian). Nacional. 29 October 2024. Retrieved 25 November 2024.
  29. ^ "Poznati osvjetnik želi postati predsjednik, cilja na birače HDZa: "Popularniji sam od Primorca, možemo se kladiti". telegram.hr. Retrieved 7 July 2024.
  30. ^ "Tomislav Jonjić, kandidat za predsjednika: Moj program je poštenje, rad, obitelj i Domovina". maxportal.hr. Retrieved 13 September 2024.
  31. ^ Špoljar, Marko (10 June 2024). "Nino Raspudić otkrio nam je planove: "Marija ide na Milanovića! Most? Samo se sjetite što je Božo rekao..."" [Nino Raspudić revealed the plans to us: "Marija is going to Milanović! The Bridge? Just remember what Božo said..."]. Jutarnji list (in Croatian). Retrieved 10 June 2024.
  32. ^ Toma, Ivanka (22 July 2024). "Selak Raspudić ekskluzivno za Jutarnji: 'Kandidirat ću se za predsjednicu i pobijediti Milanovića'" [Selak Raspudić exclusively for Jutarnji: 'I will run for president and defeat Milanović']. Jutarnji list (in Croatian). Retrieved 23 July 2024.
  33. ^ "Plenković: Primorac je naš kandidat, ima sve kvalifikacije za pobjedu". Hrvatska radiotelevizija (in Croatian). Retrieved 16 September 2024.
  34. ^ Špiljak, Lucija (1 August 2024). "HSU podržao kandidaturu Dragana Primorca: 'Postao je meta napada i omalovažavanja'" [HSU supported Dragan Primorc's candidacy: 'He became the target of attacks and disparagement']. tportal (in Croatian). Retrieved 1 August 2024.
  35. ^ "Zekanović podržao Primorca: On je čovjek koji može pobijediti Milanovića" [Zekanović supported Primorac: He is the man who can defeat Milanović]. HRT (in Croatian). 1 August 2024. Retrieved 1 August 2024.
  36. ^ "Penava otkrio koga će DP podržati na predsjedničkim izborima". www.index.hr (in Croatian). Retrieved 16 September 2024.
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  38. ^ "VIDEO Dragan Primorac objavio kandidaturu za predsjednika, objavio i snimku, a već se pohvalio i web-stranicom" [VIDEO Dragan Primorac announced his candidacy for the presidency, published a video, and already boasted about his website]. Večernji list (in Croatian). 31 July 2024. Retrieved 1 August 2024.
  39. ^ "Primorac objavio kandidaturu za predsjednika RH, HDZ mu dao potporu". vijesti.hrt.hr. Retrieved 13 September 2024.
  40. ^ ""Narodni predsjednik" – Hrvatska na prvom i pravom mjestu". predsjednikprijatelj.hr. Retrieved 12 September 2024.
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  48. ^ "Dražen Pilić Vaš Predsjednik RH". Dražen Pilić (Facebook).
  49. ^ "Bivši novinar Večernjeg lista Anton Filić najavio kandidaturu za predsjednika". jutarnji.hr (in Croatian). Jutarnji list. 11 November 2024. Retrieved 26 November 2024.
  50. ^ "Službeno je: Ava Karabatić opet se kandidira za predsjednicu!". www.24sata.hr (in Croatian). 23 November 2024. Retrieved 25 November 2024.
  51. ^ "UVEST ĆE REDA Karolina Vidović Krišto u utrci za Pantovčak: 'Zbog korupcije su nam plaće na dnu'". nacional.hr (in Croatian). Nacional. 26 November 2024. Retrieved 26 November 2024.
  52. ^ "Butković: 'U kampanji ću svakako sudjelovati, želimo da do kraja godine rezultat bude 3:0'" [Butković: 'I will definitely participate in the campaign, we want the result to be 3:0by the end of the year']. vecernji.hr (in Croatian). Večernji list. 27 June 2024. Retrieved 27 June 2024.
  53. ^ Šošić, Dajana (28 June 2024). "IMA LI AMBICIJA? / Pitali smo Kolindu hoće li se kandidirati za predsjednicu. Odgovor je bio kratak" [DOES SHE HAVE AMBITION? / We asked Kolinda if she would run for president. The answer was short]. net.hr (in Croatian). Retrieved 5 July 2024.
  54. ^ Vasilj, Iva (28 June 2024). "Jandroković: Građani će izabrati nekog drugog umjesto Milanovića" [Jandroković: Citizens will choose someone else instead of Milanović]. tportal.hr (in Croatian). Retrieved 5 July 2024.